當日市場:指數隨著流動性增加而擴大漲勢 2021/07/02
TRANSCRIPT
YUANTA SECURITIES VIETNAM – RETAIL RESEARCH YUTA<GO> / TRANG 1
市場走勢
由於大型股的上漲,各指數當天繼續強勁上漲。VN-Index 分別收
於當日最高水平,上漲 0.61%,報 1417.08 點。HNX-Index 上漲
0.74%,收於 325.72 點;Upcom-Index 保持同步,並略有上漲。3
個市場的交易額達 28 兆 7750 億越南盾,較前一交易日大幅增
長。
市場廣度是積極,189 檔股票上漲,147 檔下跌,反映了市場更
傾於上漲的走勢。大型股繼續強勁向積極的方向波動,VPB
(+4%)、MSN (+2.7%)、HDB (+2.7%)、HPG (+2.5%) 領漲指數。然
而,最引人注目的是證券股,如 SSI (+4.5%)、HCM (+5.7%)、VCI
(+4.2%)、SHS (+6.6%)、BSI (+9.8%) 等均強勁上漲。相反,油氣
板塊表現弱於大盤,PVS、PVD、PVC 和 PVT 在過去 4.5 個交易
日大幅下跌。
外資當天賣超 2570 億越南盾。賣壓集中在 VPB(3380 億)、
CTG(2980 億)、NVL(570 億)。另一方面,VCB(770
億)、MSN(450 億)、E1VFVN30(440 億)買超列表方面遙遙
領先。
市場短期觀點
我們認為,下個交易日大盤將繼續上漲,未來 1-2 個交易日中
VN-Index 將很快逼近 1435 點。同時,市場仍處於積極的強烈波
動期,短期現金流仍為積極,表明短期上漲趨勢將更具可持續
性,市場可能只會出現短期的調整階段。亮點在於流動性明顯改
善,銀行股等大型股的回歸,表明短期獲利機會仍然較存在。
我們建議短線投資者在投資組合中繼續持有高比例的股票,並利
用回調的機會增加股票的比例或購買新的股票。同時,我們認為
短線投資者應停止低保證金比例,規避市場意外反轉的風險。
請在 https://ysradar.yuanta.com.vn/查看有關股票的信號。
3
-z
2021/07/02 當日市場:指數隨著流動性增加而擴大漲勢
市場走勢
市場指數 VNI HNI UPCOM
收盤 1,417.08 325.72 90.44
%日 0.61% 0.74% 0.21%
%週 2.71% 3.38% 0.85%
%月 5.93% 2.28% 1.77%
%年 68.00% 191.63% 61.36%
成交值(Bil.VND)
當日 25,563 3,770 1,851
日均量/週 21,730 3,083 1,532
日均量/月 23,883 3,941 1,931
外資進出 買進 1,449.66 18.88 44.79
賣出 1,682.20 28.42 49.25
買賣超 -232.54 -9.54 -4.46
市場漲跌家數 上漲 189 88 139
下跌 147 92 161
持平 62 186 603
P/E 19.10 17.92 24.50
總市值 5,312 415 1,200
(兆盾)
股息殖利率 0.88% 2.25% 4.93%
資料源: Bloomberg – YSVN
VNINDEX
HNXINDEX
YUANTA SECURITIES VIETNAM – RETAIL RESEARCH YUTA<GO> / TRANG 2
熱點股票技術分析
YUANTA SECURITIES VIETNAM – RETAIL RESEARCH YUTA<GO> / TRANG 3
熱點股票技術分析
YUANTA SECURITIES VIETNAM – RETAIL RESEARCH YUTA<GO> / TRANG 4
技術分析圖
指數技術分析圖 VN-Index
指數技術分析圖 HNX-Index
指數 短期趨勢 中期趨勢 阻力區 1 阻力區 2 支撐區 1 支撐區 2
VN-Index 上漲 上漲 1456 1470 1322 970
HNX-Index 上漲 上漲 330 333 300 180
VN30 上漲 上漲 1522 1550 1445 960
VNMidcaps 上漲 上漲 1,730 1800 1650 963
VNSmallcaps 上漲 上漲 1430 1450 1400 804
YUANTA SECURITIES VIETNAM – RETAIL RESEARCH YUTA<GO> / TRANG 5
胡志明市交易所 (HSX)
河內交易所 (HSX)
UPCOM 市場 (UPCoM)
收盤 漲跌%
收盤 漲跌%
收盤 漲跌%
VNI 1417.08 0.61%
HNI 325.72 0.74% UPCoM 90.44 0.21%
VN30 1545.14 1.06%
HN30 515.59 1.46%
VN Mid 1700.93 1.01%
VNX AllSh 1437.35 0.94%
VN Small 1400.66 0.61%
外資交易 成交值
(Bil.VND) 外資交易
成交值
(Bil.VND) 外資交易
成交值
(Bil.VND)
買進 1449.66
買進 18.88 買進 44.79
賣出 1682.2
賣出 28.42 賣出 49.25
買超/賣超 -232.54
買超/賣超 -9.54 買超/賣超 -4.46
上漲排名/
股碼
漲跌
(VND) 漲跌%
上漲排名/
股碼
漲跌
(VND) 漲跌%
上漲排名/
股碼 漲跌(VND) 漲跌%
HRC 4300 6.94%
BVS 3000 9.97% HHV 1116 6.10%
VPH 400 6.93%
MBS 3100 9.87% SBS 817 5.24%
FIT 1100 6.92%
BSI 2200 9.78% TCW 1571 4.69%
CTS 1600 6.90%
APS 1200 7.89% AAS 625 3.86%
AGR 950 6.88%
HUT 600 7.59% ACV 2133 2.83%
下跌排名/
股碼
漲跌
(VND) 漲跌%
下跌排名/
股碼
漲跌
(VND) 漲跌%
下跌排名/
股碼 漲跌(VND) 漲跌%
VOS -520 -7.00%
TVD -1100 -9.73% CST -1575 -11.33%
PSH -1650 -6.20%
NBC -800 -5.26% BSR -660 -3.11%
BHN -3600 -5.49%
API -700 -3.38% OIL -367 -2.40%
VNE -450 -5.23%
PVC -300 -2.61% SCG -1760 -2.18%
VTO -380 -3.76%
SLS -2200 -1.74% PVP -342 -2.09%
*備註:市值>5,000 億盾;成交值>15 億盾
市值排名/
股碼 Bil.VND
市值排名/
股碼 Bil.VND
市值排名/
股碼 Bil.VND
VCB 431,713
THD 72,485 ACV 163,953
VIC 402,509
SHB 55,263 MCH 80,352
VHM 388,163
VND 19,049 BSR 65,780
HPG 230,356
BAB 18,634 VEA 63,846
CTG 196,223
VCS 17,408 GE2 37,854
交易量排
名/股碼 成交值 30 日均
交易量排
名/股碼 成交值 30 日均
交易量排
名/股碼 成交值 30 日均
HPG 40,857,600 28,767,536
PVS 22,790,320 16,984,826 BSR 29,389,541 22,727,383
FLC 32,162,400 32,468,609
SHB 19,127,784 27,616,834 HHV 9,537,131 836,620
VPB 30,962,800 31,613,855
SHS 10,191,698 9,895,816 OIL 3,691,752 3,778,826
STB 29,657,500 29,096,168
VND 9,761,270 7,517,829 ABB 3,662,654 3,971,486
CTG 29,466,200 17,638,805
KLF 8,996,884 6,960,658 HAF 3,502,300 5,477
資料源: BloomBerg & Yuanta Research
資料源: BloomBerg & Yuanta Research
資料源: BloomBerg & Yuanta Research
YUANTA SECURITIES VIETNAM – RETAIL RESEARCH YUTA<GO> / TRANG 6
各行業板塊的交易走勢
資料源:: FiinPro – YSVN
-2.8%
-1.6%
-1.3%
-1.2%
-1.1%
-1.0%
-0.8%
-0.8%
-0.8%
-0.7%
-0.6%
-0.6%
-0.6%
-0.3%
-0.3%
-0.2%
-0.2%
-0.2%
-0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.2%
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
0.9%
0.9%
1.0%
1.1%
1.6%
1.7%
2.2%
-4.0% -3.0% -2.0% -1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0%
Điện tử & Thiết bị điện
Thiết bị và Phần cứng
Hàng hóa giải trí
Bia và đồ uống
Sản xuất Dầu khí
Viễn thông di động
Thiết bị và Dịch vụ Y tế
Viễn thông cố định
Khai khoáng
Bán lẻ
Phân phối thực phẩm & dược phẩm
Thiết bị, Dịch vụ và Phân phối Dầu khí
Bảo hiểm phi nhân thọ
Thuốc lá
Du lịch & Giải trí
Truyền thông
Hàng cá nhân
Bất động sản
Hàng công nghiệp
Hàng gia dụng
Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh
Dược phẩm
Quỹ đầu tư
Ô tô và phụ tùng
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Lâm nghiệp và Giấy
Ngân hàng
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Nước & Khí đốt
Sản xuất thực phẩm
Bảo hiểm nhân thọ
Phần mềm & Dịch vụ Máy tính
Công nghiệp nặng
Vận tải
Kim loại 金屬
運輸
重工業
電腦軟件和服務
人壽保險
食品製造
水和煤氣
電力生產和分銷
銀行
林業和造紙
建設和材料
汽車和零件
投資基金
藥品
營業咨詢和服務
家用品
工業品
房地產
個人用品
傳媒
旅遊和娛樂
香煙
非人壽保險
油氣設備,服務和分銷
食品和藥品分銷
零售
礦業
固定電信
醫療設備和服務
移動電信
油氣生產
啤酒和飲料
娛樂貨品
設備和硬件
電子和電設備
YUANTA SECURITIES VIETNAM – RETAIL RESEARCH YUTA<GO> / TRANG 7
外資買進賣統計
證劵
代碼
買超金額
(百萬盾)
證劵
代碼
賣超金額
(百萬盾)
VCB 76,875 VPB 338,195
MSN 45,186 CTG 297,712
E1VFVN30 43,970 NVL 57,405
MBB 40,082 VIC 37,621
GAS 36,941 HCM 22,401
HSX 外資買/賣超的前 5 名
證劵
代碼
買超金額
(百萬盾)
證劵
代碼
賣超金額
(百萬盾)
THD 2,080 VND 11,660
MBS 1,726 BVS 2,921
PVS 1,722 PAN 2,843
VCS 1,702 PCG 1,669
APS 1,354 SD9 359
HNX 外資買/賣超的前 5 名
證劵
代碼
買超金額
(百萬盾)
證劵
代碼
賣超金額
(百萬盾)
ACV 35,129 PGV 35,114
MCH 969 QNS 3,711
SIP 735 VEA 3,178
OIL 223 BSR 1,798
AAS 169 NHT 238
UPCOM 外資買/賣超的前 5 名
源: FiinPro – YSVN
-1,500
-1,000
-500
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
18/06 21/06 22/06 23/06 24/06 25/06 28/06 29/06 30/06 01/07
HSX 外資每日買/賣超
-600
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
18/06 21/06 22/06 23/06 24/06 25/06 28/06 29/06 30/06 01/07
HNX 外資每日買/賣超
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
18/06 21/06 22/06 23/06 24/06 25/06 28/06 29/06 30/06 01/07
UPCOM外資每日買/賣超
YUANTA SECURITIES VIETNAM – RETAIL RESEARCH YUTA<GO> / TRANG 8
自營統計
券商自營交易最大前名
越南證券市場投資人類別統計
資料源: FiinPro – YSVN
88%
6%
0%
6%
Cá nhân trong nước
Tổ chức trong nước
Cá nhân nước ngoài
Tổ chức nước ngoài
證劵
代碼
買超金額
(Mil.VND)
證劵
代碼
賣超金額
(Mil.VND)
MBB 42,083 HPG 93,993
FUESSVFL 18,172 E1VFVN30 45,999
DXG 11,897 FUEVFVND 27,645
FPT 8,621 CTG 22,730
TCB 8,480 OCB 10,550
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
18/06 21/06 22/06 23/06 24/06 25/06 28/06 29/06 30/06 01/07
劵商自營交易每日買/賣超
(Bil.VND)
YUANTA SECURITIES VIETNAM – RETAIL RESEARCH YUTA<GO> / TRANG 9
東南亞主要市場數據
源: BloomBerg &
YSVN, 2014
-20.0%
-10.0%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
70.0%
80.0%
Diễn biến các thị trường trong khu vực
SET Index (ThaiLand) JCI Index (Indonesia)
PCOMP Index (Philippines) VNINDEX (VietNam)
Thailand Indonesia Philippines Vietnam
P/B 1.7x 1.9x 1.7x 2.8x
P/E 29.9x 30.0x 29.8x 19.3x
ROE % 5.96 6.10 5.95 14.97
ROA % 1.50 1.52 1.34 2.40
Vốn hóa Tỷ
USD 566.81 486.20 177.63 229.64
GTGD Triệu
USD 2.33 0.80 0.08 0.77
LS cổ tức % 2.33 1.94 1.57 1.30
東南亞主要市場走勢比較
0.0x
5.0x
10.0x
15.0x
20.0x
25.0x
30.0x
35.0x
P/B P/E ROE ROA
SET Index JCI Index PCOMP Index VNINDEX Index
YUANTA SECURITIES VIETNAM – RETAIL RESEARCH YUTA<GO> / TRANG 10
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