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  • - 1 -

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    2) Merton R. K. (1968). Social Theory and Social Structure (2nd Edition). N. Y. Free

    Press. Simon R. C. and M. M. Miller (1962). "Social Status and Anomie" Social

    Problem. 10. Voss H. S. (1966). "Socio-economic Status and reported Delinquent

    Behavior", Social Problem 13. Liska A. E. (1971). "Aspirations, Expectation and

    Delinquency: Stress and Additive Model", Sociological Quarterly 12.

    (1987). 2. .

    (1970). :

    , 6. .

    3) Sutherland E. and D. Cressey (1970). The Principles of Criminology. New York.

    Lippincott.

    4) Hirschi T. (1969). Causes of Delinquency. Berkeley. CA. University of California

    Press.

  • 6 . 28(2). 2011

    - 6 -

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    Merton

    . Merton(1968) ,

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    7) Hindelang M. J. (1973). " Causes of Delinquency : A Replication and Extension".

    Social Problems. 20.

    Johnson R. E. (1979). Juvenile Delinquency and It's Origins : An Integrated

    Theoretical Approach. Cambridge. Cambridge University Press.

  • 10 . 28(2). 2011

    - 10 -

    .

    . Gottfredson & Hirschi(1990)

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    Hirschi

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    8) Sutherland E. (1939). Criminology. Philadelphia, PA. Lippincott.

  • -11

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    9) Johnson R. E. (1979). Juvenile Delinquency and It's Origins : An Integrated

    Theoretical Approach. Cambridge. Cambridge University Press. 3

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  • 16 . 28(2). 2011

    - 16 -

    407 14.5

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  • 22 . 28(2). 2011

    - 22 -

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    , 6. .

    (1973). . .

    Agnew, R. (1992). Foundation For a General Strain Theory of

    Crime and Delinquency. Criminology 30. 47-61.

    Cohen, Albert K. (1955). Delinquent Boys : The Culture of Gang

    Glenco, IL : Pree Press.

    Gottfredson, Michael and Travis Hirschi (1990).A General Theory

    of Crime. Palo Alto. CA : Stanford University Press.

  • -23

    - 23 -

    Hindelang M. J. (1973). " Causes of Delinquency : A Replication and

    Extension".Social Problems 20.

    Hirschi T. (1969). Causes of DelinquencyBerkeley. CA. Univesity

    of California Press.

    Johnson R. E. (1979). Juvenile Delinquency and It's Origins : An

    Integrated Theoretical Approach Cambridge. Cambridge

    University Press.

    Liska, Allen E. (1971). "Aspirations, Expectation and delinquent

    behavior", Sociological Quarterly 12 : 99 -107.

    Liska, Allen E. (1981). Perspectives on Deviance Englewood Cliffs. N. J. `

    Free Press.

    Simon R. C. and M. M. Miller (1962). "Social Status and Anomie",

    Social Problem 10.

    Sutherland E. (1939). Criminology Philadelphia, PA. Lippincott.

    Sutherland E. and D. Cressey (1970). The Principles of Criminology

    New York. Lippincott.

    Voss H. S. (1966). "Socio-economic Status and reported Delinquent

    Behavior", Social Problem13.

  • - 25 -

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    - 30 -

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    - 32 -

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  • 36 . 28(2). 2011

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  • 38 . 28(2). 2011

    - 38 -

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    - 40 -

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  • -41

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    - 42 -

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  • 44 . 28(2). 2011

    - 44 -

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  • -49

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  • 50 . 28(2). 2011

    - 50 -

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    Longman Ltd.,1997).

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  • 52 . 28(2). 2011

    - 52 -

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  • -53

    - 53 -

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  • 54 . 28(2). 2011

    - 54 -

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  • 56 . 28(2). 2011

    - 56 -

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    . EU EU

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  • -57

    - 57 -

    EU EU

    .

    EU

    EU EU

    EU (FDI)

    . EU EU

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    .

    2000 12 EU EU

    EU EU 7

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    2002 12 EU EU

    . 2003 4 EU 5

    . 2004 5 1 ,

    10 .

    EU EU

    . EU

    EU .

    EU EU

    EU .40)

    40) , , , CIS , , 1998.pp.112-115.

  • 58 . 28(2). 2011

    - 58 -

    14

    . 15

    350

    50 . 2003 91%

    EU 54%

    EU

    .

    5. ,

    1)

    10 200917

    .

    . 2009 1000 250

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    . , ,

    .

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  • -59

    - 59 -

    .41)

    17 , , , ,

    , 100% . (90%),

    (81%), (78%), (72%), (67%),

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    (31%), (27%), (16%) .42)

    2009 1 6 , , , ,

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    .43)

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    .

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    . 25%, 40%

    . 80% .

    , , , , 2009 7 13

    (Nabucco)

    .

    .

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    41),2009.1.8.

    42),2009.1.9.

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  • 60 . 28(2). 2011

    - 60 -

    .

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    . 25% .

    3200km (South Stream)

    .44)

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    ,

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    44), 2009.7.14.

  • -61

    - 61 -

    3 .

    (EU) '

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    2

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    2 .

    , 25% ,

  • 62 . 28(2). 2011

    - 62 -

    80% , 20%

    . 45)

    1 11

    .46)

    3) 3

    , ,

    , , .47)

    81%, 9%, 7.0%,

    2%, 1%

    . . 1991

    . 48)

    1989 , 1940

    .

    .

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    2 .

    . 49)

    1

    . 17

    2010 12 7 . 6

    45),2010.6.24.

    46),2011.8.18.1991 818 20,

    47),2010.2.9.

    48) CIA World Factbook ; http://geography.about.com/library/ccia (2011.8.25)

    49) .

  • -63

    - 63 -

    . 6

    . " '

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    " .

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  • 64 . 28(2). 2011

    - 64 -

    7

    .

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    . 10 .

    966 , 988

    .

    .

    .

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    . . 17

    .

    , 1795

    . 123

    . 1

    (1918) . 1939 2

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    . (-

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    .

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    . 1991

    .

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    . 1999

    () , 2004 (EU) . 2000

  • -65

    - 65 -

    NATO

    .

    (Middle East Europe: MEE)

    .50) W

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    . 4

    .51)

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    States: ) .

    50),2010.10.5

    51) http://www.yna.co.kr (2010.6.12)

    52),2010.10.5

  • 66 . 28(2). 2011

    - 66 -

    .

    , ,

    CIS , 60%

    CIS .53)

    1993 14%

    1994 3.1% 1994

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    . 2000 38 900

    , , , , . 54 5700

    , , , , ,

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    , . 54)

    1994 2,010km .

    , ,

    ,

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    .55)

    1999

    . EU

    2000 .

    EU

    .56)

    EU

    2007-2013 673 .57) EU

    53) CIA World Factbook ; http://geography.about.com/library/ccia (2011.8.25)

    54) .

    55) .

    56) ,2007 , , p.387.

  • -67

    - 67 -

    . EU 65%

    . , , ,

    .58)

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    .59)

    .

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    . IMF 92 10 21

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    (The World Bank) 6 . 1992 10

    5 CIS

    .

    1993

    3

    57),2010.10.5.

    58) EU

    1.5% .

    59) 21, 612 2006 66.

  • 68 . 28(2). 2011

    - 68 -

    40 .

    . 1991 9 17

    , 10 15 (CSCE) , 11

    , 1992 10 (IAEA)

    (NPT: nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty)

    . 91 12 20 (NACC)

    (WTO)

    .60)

    94 1-9 CIS

    .

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    ,

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    .

    . 28

    .

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    . 2012 5 G8

    .61) 20116

    ,

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    .

    60) , , 200-205,

    61), 2011.7.20. ,

  • -69

    - 69 -

    , ,

    .62)

    .

    EU, NATO

    .

    .63)

    .

    , ,

    .64)

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    ,

    .

    2008 9 17 ,

    .

    .

    . ,

    , ,

    . 1991

    .65)

    .

    62) .

    63) , , ,(: , 1993), pp. 282-283;

    Archie Brown ed., Political Culture & Communist Studies(1984).

    64) , (: , 2007),p.58.

    65),2008.9.19.

  • 70 . 28(2). 2011

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    2.

    (

    , -

    - )

    .66)

    ,

    , EU, NATO , G-8

    .

    . 67)

    .

    10.5% . (7.6%), (6.6%),

    (6.1%), (6%) . P

    (Eon)

    .

    45%, 35% .

    , ,

    .68)

    . CIS , , .

    . , ,

    , , CIS

    90 60% CIS

    . , , , , ,

    , , , ,

    66) , , ? (: ,2010), pp.379-380;

    ,Nous, Citoyens, D'Europe?

    67) Newsweek, August 15,2011,"Fascist Russia,"pp.20-23

    68) Finacial Times, 26 Oct.,2009.

  • -71

    - 71 -

    . EU

    . 2001 WTO

    . 2004

    EU 10

    .

    1998

    1999 .

    ,

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    1992 10 1

    1993 1 1 (Lita)

    . 3 1 500

    .69)

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    . 2007

    (

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    , , 3

    .

    1933 49 .

    45

    . 2

    39 9 1

    9 3

    69) ,194-191.

  • 72 . 28(2). 2011

    - 72 -

    .70)

    1), 2)

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    . ,

    ,

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    , 3(, ,

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    3+ . ,

    .

    .71)

    V.

    EU NATO

    .

    , ,

    70),2008.2.21.

    71),2009.9.30.

  • -73

    - 73 -

    .

    , .

    . , ,

    .

    .

    , EU

    EU .

    .

    .

    , .

    .

    . 1990

    .

    . NATO EU

    .

    .

  • 74 . 28(2). 2011

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    (2007)., .

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    (2009). : .

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    (2010).,.

    (1993).(: ), pp.282-283;

    Archie Brown ed.,Political Culture & Communist Studies(1984).

    (2007). (:

    ).

    (2003). ,

    .

    (1993). 3: , , ,

    ,, 6

    (2005).(: )

    (2009). (: )

    (2010). ,

    ,

    , 25.

    (2010). EU

    ,,, 121.

    (2007). EU

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    (2011). - : 1990 ,

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    : )

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    (2004). (: )

    (2005).

    ( ).

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    , (1997). (: )

    (2006).(: ), Ian Budge &

    Kenneth Newton eds.,the Politics of the New Europe(Addison

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    http://www.atkearney.com (2011.5.19).

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  • - 79 -

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  • 80 . 28(2). 2011

    - 80 -

    , .

    : , , , ,

  • -81

    - 81 -

    I.

    .

    .

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    .

    (intelletctual guess) () ()

    .

    .

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    (metaphor)

    (intellectual bridge) .

    (, 1987).

    .

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  • 82 . 28(2). 2011

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    II.

    1.

    .

    (,

    , ) .

    (unintended consequence)

    .

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    .

    (multi-problem)

    (vicious circle) .

    . (

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  • -83

    - 83 -

    .

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  • 84 . 28(2). 2011

    - 84 -

    .

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  • -85

    - 85 -

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    .

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    7

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  • 86 . 28(2). 2011

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  • -87

    - 87 -

    Q7) 30

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  • 88 . 28(2). 2011

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    1. :

    .

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  • -89

    - 89 -

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  • 90 . 28(2). 2011

    - 90 -

    . /,

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    .

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    .

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    ()

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  • -91

    - 91 -

    .

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  • 92 . 28(2). 2011

    - 92 -

    ()

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    ( ) .

    (knowing)

    (understanding)

    .

    .

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    ) .

    (why in why), (how in how).

    .

  • -93

    - 93 -

    .

    , , , ()

    () .

    .

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    ()

    .

    ( ) (

    ) .

    .

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    (hidden), (lost), (ignored)

    () .

    ( :

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    ) .

    .

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    .

    ()(), ()(), ()() .

    ,

  • 94 . 28(2). 2011

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    .

    .

    . -

    - ,

    ,

    ,

    .

    .

    ,

    .

    .

    .

    IV.

    ,

  • -95

    - 95 -

    .

    ,

    .

    .

    . metaphor .

    .

    .

    ,

    .

  • 96 . 28(2). 2011

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    (David John Farmer ) (1999). . :

    (2009). . : .

    ( ) (2004). 8 .

    :

    (2002). . : .

    (2010). . : .

    ( ) (2001). . : .

    (1989). , .

    , 6(2).

    (2004). . : .

    (2010). . : .

    (2006). . : .

    (1987). : . : .

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    Univ. Press .

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    *1)

    **2) ***3)

    .

    .

    .

    .

    .

    19792008

    , , ,

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    * () .

    ** , , [email protected]

    *** 1,

  • 98 . 28(2). 2011

    - 98 -

    .

    ,

    .

    . 1992

    .

    : , , , ,

  • -99

    - 99 -

    .

    ,

    .

    (FDI: Foreign Direct Investment)

    .

    1979

    . ,

    , , ,

    .

    1982 4.3

    2008 924 . 1

    1982 524 2008 223,648 45

    .

    1996 2001 6 400

    2001 WTO FDI

    . 2002

    527 FDI 1

    .

    . ,

    . 1986 29.9

    4.0% , 2008

  • 100 . 28(2). 2011

    - 100 -

    50% . 2000

    70%

    , .

    1979 .

    , , ,

    .

    2008 924 .

    FDI GDP 1982 0.15% 2008 2.14%

    , 1985 1.9% 2008

    3.5%

    .

    .

    . , 1982

    2008 50

    , IMF International F inancial Statistics

    . ,

    .

    ,

    .

    .

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    , , .

  • -101

    - 101 -

    .

    .

    .

    . Mundell(1957)

    (factor price equalization theorem)

    . Mundell

    , ,

    ,

    .

    ,

    .

    Vernon(1966)

    .

    . ,

  • 102 . 28(2). 2011

    - 102 -

    .

    Kojima(1973)

    (trade-oriented)

    (anti-trade-oriented) ,

    . Kojima(1978)

    .

    Helpman(1984) Helpman et al.(1984)

    .

    Graham(1994) ,

    .

    Markusen(1984, 1998)

    , , ,

    . Lipsey and Weiss(1981,

    1984), Blomstrom and Kokko(1994), Kawai(1994)

    , , ,

    .

    , Lipsey(1999)

    . Thomson(1999)

    , 1980

    .

  • -103

    - 103 -

    , (1994) ,

    .

    (1999) 1996

    .

    . Sun(1999) GDP

    1981 15.4% 1995 26.6% ,

    63.3%

    . ,

    .

    Chen(1999) 29 ()

    ,

    .

    Zhang and Song(2000) 19861997

    . (2001) Zhang(2001)

    . (2004)

    (-) .

  • 104 . 28(2). 2011

    - 104 -

    .

    , ,

    3 . 1979 7 1

    .

    . 19791991

    .

    1992 ()

    .

    1980 20

    1992 100 ,

    1993 200 , 1994 300

    . 1995

    1996 400

    . 19931997 5

    2 . 2001 WTO

    2002 527

    .

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    ,

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    4 1980 14

    , 1990 , .

  • -105

    - 105 -

    1.

    4 . , (19791986), (1987

    1991), (19921996), (19972000

    ) .

    1) (19791986)

    11 3

    .

    ,

    ,

    . 1979

    1986 290.48 ,

    207.43

    71.4% , 65.95

    22.7% .

    2) (19871991)

    1986

    .

  • 106 . 28(2). 2011

    - 106 -

    (: , %)

    1979

    1983144.38 117.55 81.42 18.02 12.48 8.81 6.10

    1984 27.05 12.86 47.54 12.58 46.51 1.61 5.95

    1985 46.47 26.88 57.84 16.16 34.78 2.98 6.41

    1986 72.58 50.14 69.08 18.74 25.82 3.70 5.10

    1987 84.52 58.05 68.68 23.14 27.38 3.33 3.94

    1988 102.26 64.87 63.44 31.94 31.23 5.45 5.33

    1989 100.60 62.86 62.49 33.92 33.72 3.81 3.79

    1990 102.89 65.34 63.50 34.87 33.89 2.68 2.60

    1991 115.54 68.88 59.62 43.66 37.79 3.00 2.60

    1992 192.03 79.11 41.20 110.08 57.32 2.84 1.48

    1993 389.60 111.89 28.72 275.15 70.62 2.56 0.66

    1994 432.13 92.67 21.44 337.67 78.14 1.79 0.41

    1995 481.33 103.27 21.46 375.21 77.95 2.85 0.59

    1996 548.05 126.69 23.12 417.26 76.14 4.10 0.75

    1997 644.08 120.21 18.66 452.57 70.27 71.30 11.07

    1998 585.57 110.00 18.79 454.63 77.64 20.94 3.58

    1999 526.59 102.12 19.39 403.19 76.57 21.28 4.04

    2000 593.56 100.00 16.85 407.15 68.59 86.41 14.56

    2001 496.72 - 468.78 94.38 27.94 5.62

    2002 550.11 - 527.43 95.88 22.68 4.12

    2003 561.40 - 535.05 95.31 26.35 4.69

    2004 640.72 - 606.30 94.63 34.42 5.37

    2005 638.05 - 603.25 94.55 34.80 5.45

    2006 670.76 - 630.21 93.95 40.55 6.05

    2007 783.39 - 747.68 95.44 35.72 4.56

    2008 952.53 - 923.95 97.00 28.58 3.00

    1979

    200810,498.18 1,471.57 14.028,526.13 81.22 500.48 4.77

    : 2000 .

    : (2009)

  • -107

    - 107 -

    1987 1991 505.8

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    3) (19921996)

    8 5

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    6.5 ,

    1,600 7 5 3.5 .

    1992 1996 2,043.14

    1996 1991 374.3%

    74.9% .

  • 108 . 28(2). 2011

    - 108 -

    513.63 25.1%

    , 1,515.37

    74.2% .

    4) (1997 )

    8 5

    .

    ,

    .

    1997 2000 2,349.79

    , 19962000 4.98% .

    432.33

    18.4% , 1,717.53

    73.1% .

    20012008 5,042.65

    95.25% .

    .

    9 5

    . ,

    .

    2.

    30

    . 19791986

    , 3

  • -109

    - 109 -

    12,987 1.55

    8,552 1.02

    501,757 59.69

    , 26,643 3.17

    14,848 1.77

    275,790 32.80

    21,776 2.59

    7,262 0.86

    28,284 3.36

    2,144 0.26

    123,824 14.73

    19,870 2.36

    4,778 0.57

    ,

    1,234 0.15

    20,601 2.45

    2,764 0.33

    2,283 0.27

    40,970 4.87

    840,577 100

    . 19871991

    , ,

    . 1992

    1995

    .

    ,

    . ,

    , .

    (19952008)

    (: , %)

    : (2009)

  • 110 . 28(2). 2011

    - 110 -

    19901994 19951999 20002004 20052008

    31.8

    (1.2)

    48.4

    (1.6)

    47.2

    (1.9)

    34.3

    (1.2)

    161.7

    (1.5)

    1,430.7

    (52.8)

    2,077.0

    (70.3)

    1,884.8

    (74.1)

    1,833.2

    (63.1)

    7,225.7

    (65.0)

    1,245.6

    (46.0)

    830.6

    (28.1)

    612.7

    (24.0)

    1,037.6

    (35.7)

    3,726.5

    (33.5)

    2,708.1

    (100)

    2,956.0

    (100)

    2,544.7

    (100)

    2,905.1

    (100)

    11,113.9

    (100)

    19952008

    59.7%

    .

    14.7% , (3.36%) ,

    (3.17%) 3%, (2.59%)

    (2.36%) 2% ,

    32.8% .

    (: , %)

    : , , , , .

    : , .

    19901994

    52.8% 1,430.7 ,

    46% 1,245.6 .

    1990 ,

    , .

    19951999

    .

    70.3% 2,077.0 , 28.1%

  • -111

    - 111 -

    830.6 .

    . 2000

    2004

    , 19951999

    .

    , 20052008 63.1%

    1,833.2 10

    35.7% 1,037.6

    . ,

    , , .

    500 300

    ,

    . ,

    ,

    .

    3.

    1980 , , ,

    . 1984

    , 52.7%, 18.1%, 15.8%,

    6.9% 93.5% . 1990 ,

    ,

    , ,

    .

  • 112 . 28(2). 2011

    - 112 -

    2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 ()

    341.02 376.2 357.19 350.85 421.17 563.45 2,410.09 59.56

    177 189.98 179.49 202.33 277.03 410.36 1,436.32 35.49

    50.54 54.52 65.3 45.98 35.89 36.52 288.78 7.14

    44.89 62.48 51.68 38.95 36.78 31.35 266.16 6.58

    4.17 5.46 6.00 6.03 6.37 5.82 33.85 0.84

    2.51 3.85 3.61 3.93 3.97 2.47 20.35 0.5

    20.58 20.08 22.04 22.6 31.85 44.35 161.53 3.99

    33.77 31.17 21.52 21.36 17.74 18.99 144.57 3.57

    6.18 7.76 10.71 12.17 14.87 16.68 68.37 1.69

    5.21 6.02 9.08 10.33 13.33 14.94 58.9 1.46

    42.72 47.98 56.43 57.12 43.65 54.59 302.52 7.48

    7.42 7.93 9.65 7.26 8.31 9.14 49.72 1.23

    8.57 10.58 15.3 19.79 7.34 9.00 70.59 1.74

    6.04 6.57 6.15 3.83 4.56 5.88 33.03 0.82

    3.17 2.81 3.22 3.5 3.48 4.93 21.11 0.52

    7.25 8.11 10.44 8.41 6.17 8.62 49 1.21

    69.07 90.44 112.93 141.63 201.18 209.03 824.35 20.37

    0.24 0.31 0.97 5.35 7.10 12.55 26.53 0.66

    8.66 20.43 19.48 20.95 25.71 31.45 126.68 3.13

    57.77 67.30 90.22 112.48 165.52 159.54 652.88 16.13

    51.61 49.78 37.3 36.87 33.9 39.58 249.06 6.15

    5.64 6.14 4.54 4.24 3.97 5.43 29.96 0.74

    41.99 39.41 30.61 28.65 26.16 29.44 196.28 4.85

    3.98 4.23 2.14 3.95 3.77 4.69 22.76 0.56

    17.31 19.74 19.99 22.6 27.43 31.70 138.79 3.43

    5.93 6.63 4.01 5.52 3.54 4.07 29.69 0.73

    9.86 11.29 13.52 15.38 21.70 25.50 97.24 2.40

    535.05 606.3 603.25 630.21 747.68 923.95 4,046.77 100

    (20032008)

    (: , %)

    :

  • -113

    - 113 -

    20032008 6

    1,436.32 35.49% 1

    . 16.13%, 7.14%, 7.14%,

    6.58%, 4.85%, 3.99%, 3.57%,

    126.68 3.13% .

    .

    1.

    . 1986

    738.5 28.9

    3.9% . 429

    24 5.6%, 309

    5.8 1.9% . 2001

    5,098 2,591

    50.8% .

    1996 54.5%

    50% 2002 2006 60%

    . 1990

    2001 50% 2006 60% .

  • 114 . 28(2). 2011

    - 114 -

    +

    1986 738.5 28.9 3.9 309.4 5.8 1.9 429.1 24.0 5.6

    1987 826.5 45.8 5.5 394.4 12.1 3.1 432.2 33.7 7.8

    1988 1,027.8 83.4 8.1 475.2 24.6 5.2 552.7 58.8 10.6

    1989 1,116.8 137.1 12.3 525.4 49.1 9.3 591.4 88.0 14.9

    1990 1,154.4 201.2 17.4 620.9 78.1 12.6 533.5 123.0 23.1

    1991 1,357.0 289.6 21.3 719.1 120.5 16.8 637.9 169.1 26.5

    1992 1,655.3 437.5 26.4 849.4 173.6 20.4 805.9 263.9 32.7

    1993 1,957.0 670.7 34.3 917.4 252.4 27.5 1,039.6 418.3 40.2

    1994 2,366.2 876.5 37.0 1,210.1 347.1 28.7 1,156.1 529.3 45.8

    1995 2,808.6 1,098.2 39.1 1,487.8 468.8 31.5 1,320.8 629.4 47.7

    1996 2,898.8 1,371.1 47.3 1,510.5 615.1 40.7 1,388.3 756.0 54.5

    1997 3,251.6 1,526.2 46.9 1,827.9 749.0 41.0 1,423.7 777.2 54.6

    1998 3,239.5 1,576.8 48.7 1,837.1 809.6 44.1 1,402.4 767.2 54.7

    1999 3,606.3 1,745.1 48.4 1,949.3 886.3 45.5 1,657.0 858.8 51.8

    2000 4,742.9 2,367.1 49.9 2,492.0 1,194.4 47.9 2,250.9 1,172.7 52.1

    2001 5,096.5 2,591.0 50.8 2,661.0 1,332.4 50.1 2,435.5 1,258.6 51.7

    2002 6,207.7 3,302.4 53.2 3,256.0 1,699.9 52.2 2,951.7 1,602.5 54.3

    2003 8,509.9 4,721.7 55.5 4,382.3 2,403.1 54.8 4,127.6 2,318.6 56.2

    2004 11,545.5 6,631.8 57.4 5,933.2 3,386.1 57.1 5,612.3 3,245.7 57.8

    2005 14,219.1 8,316.4 58.5 7,619.5 4,441.8 58.3 6,599.5 3,874.6 58.7

    2006 17,604.0 10,362.7 58.9 9,689.4 5,637.8 58.2 7,914.6 4,724.9 59.7

    (: , %)

    :50,

  • -115

    - 115 -

    . 1997

    1998 .

    .

    2.

    , , , GDP

    .

    50, , IMF

    International Financial Statistic 19822008

    . 1979

    1982 .

    ,

    .

    .

    .

    (1) (2)

    .

  • 116 . 28(2). 2011

    - 116 -

    lnEXt = 0 + 1lnFDIt + 2lnREERt + 3lnIMwt + 4DUM92 + t (1)

    lnIMt = 0 + 1lnFDIt + 2lnREERt + 3lnGDPct + 4DUM92 + t (2)

    (1) EXt t , FDIt ,

    REERt (REER ),

    IMwt , DUM92 1992

    19821991 0, 19922008

    1 . (2) IMt t

    , GDPc GDP, (1)

    . (ln) .

    ()

    (20).

    (3>0), GDP

    (3>0). 1992

    (4>0, 4>0).

    .

    (1?, 1?)

    3.

    ADF(Augmented Dickey-Fully) PP(Phillips-Perron)

    , 1

    ( 1).

  • -117

    - 117 -

    .

    Johansen

    2 ( 2). ,

    , trace

    1 , max ( 3).

    , DUM92

    1 OLS .

    1)

    ( D 1 ).

    EX(1) . 1

    Cochrane-Orcutt EX(2)

    1 AR(1) 10%

    1 . EX(3)

    DUM92 1% . EX(4)

    1

    AR(1) 10% .

    EX(3)

    .

    EX(3) (FDI) 0.0717 (+)

    , 10% , FDI 1%p

    0.07%p . ,

    (REER) -0.1681 (-) ,

  • 118 . 28(2). 2011

    - 118 -

    1%p

    0.17%p . (IMw) 1%

    . 1%p

    1.1%p

    . DUM92

    1% , 1992

    .

    (EXg)

    EX(3)

    . (FDI)

    (REER) (+) (-) FDI

    . (IMw) DUM92

    1% (+)

    .

    EXs(3)

    . 1%

    (FDI) 0.1611 (+) , FDI

    1%p 0.16%p .

    (REER) -0.5511 (-) ,

    REER 1%p 0.55%p .

    , (IMw) 0.7119 1%

    .

  • -119

    - 119 -

    EX(1) EX(2) EX(3) EX(4)

    C0.0539** 0.0573* -0.0006 0.0001

    (2.28) (2.03) (-0.02) (0.01)

    D(lnFDI)0.0622 1.5477 0.0717* 0.0741*

    (1.37) (0.07) (1.95) (2.07)

    D(lnREER)-0.0248 (-0.11) -0.1681* -0.1638*

    (-0.25) (-1.05) (-1.91) (-1.79)

    D(lnIMw)1.1256*** 1.0624*** 1.0597*** 1.0505***

    (6.19) (5.48) (7.18) (6.93)

    DUM92_ _ 0.0813*** 0.0822***

    (3.60) (3.79)

    AR(1)_ 0.3599 _ -0.1698

    (1.61) (-0.70)

    0.59 0.57 0.73 0.68

    D.W. 1.38 2.12 2.23 2.02

    EXg(1) EXg(2) EXg(3) EXg(4)

    C0.0547** 0.0580* 0.0044 0.0053

    (2.24) (2.04) (0.17) (0.19)

    D(lnFDI)0.0514 0.0603 0.0602 0.0614

    (1.09) (1.20) (1.50) (1.58)

    D(lnREER)0.0154 -0.0399 -0.1171 -0.1134

    (0.15) (-0.35) (-1.21) (-1.13)

    D(lnIMw)1.1665*** 1.1147*** 1.1056*** 1.0941***

    (6.20) (5.36) (6.84) (6.64)

    DUM92_ _ 0.0752*** 0.0765***

    (3.04) (3.25)

    AR(1)_ 0.2424 _ -0.1833

    (1.02) (-0.76)

    0.59 0.54 0.70 0.64

    D.W. 1.55 2.05 2.24 2.00

    : OLS

    (1) : D(lnEX)

    (2) : D(lnEXg)

  • 120 . 28(2). 2011

    - 120 -

    EXs(1) EXs(2) EXs(3) EXs(4)

    C0.0460 0.0726* -0.0385 -0.0412

    (1.60) (1.79) (-1.65) (-1.71)

    D(lnFDI)0.1462** 0.1514** 0.1611*** 0.1742***

    (2.63) (3.15) (4.57) (5.13)

    D(lnREER)-0.3285** -0.5454*** -0.5511*** -0.5410***

    (-2.76) (-5.37) (-6.52) (-6.34)

    D(lnIMw)0.8142*** 0.6150*** 0.7119*** 0.7223***

    (3.67) (3.27) (5.03) (5.09)

    DUM92_ _ 0.1263*** 0.1260***

    (5.82) (6.25)

    AR(1)- 0.6345*** _ -0.2110

    (3.68) (-0.91)

    0.47 0.62 0.79 0.76

    D.W. 1.05 2.64 2.31 1.96

    (3) : D(lnEXs)

    : (1) *** 1%, ** 5%, * 10% .

    (2) ( ) t.

    ,

    .

    .

    ,

    .

    .

    .

    ,

    .

    .

  • -121

    - 121 -

    , 1992

    .

    2)

    . IM(1) IM(3)

    DUM92 . IM(2) IM(4) 1

    IM(1) IM(3) Cochrane-Orcutt

    10% AR(1) 1

    . 4

    IM(1) FDI 10%

    (+) FDI

    1%p 0.17%p .

    GDP (+)

    , DUM92 (+)

    .

    IMg(1)

    (FDI), (REER)

    GDP, DUM92 (+)

    .

  • 122 . 28(2). 2011

    - 122 -

    IM(1) IM(2) IM(3) IM(4)

    C0.1145*** 0.1171** 0.0815 0.0850

    (2.87) (2.82) (1.51) (1.49)

    D(lnFDI)0.1663* 0.1752* 0.1764* 0.1862*

    (1.92) (1.95) (2.01) (2.08)

    D(lnREER)0.0895 0.0971 0.0583 0.0307

    (0.27) (0.29) (0.18) (0.09)

    D(lnGDPC)0.2426 0.2385 0.1616 0.2040

    0.65 0.62 (0.42) (0.52)

    DUM92_ _ 0.0515 0.0427

    (0.91) (0.71)

    AR(1)_ 0.0060 _ -0.0542

    (0.03) (-0.24)

    0.12 0.09 0.11 0.06

    D.W. 1.95 1.97 2.07 2.01

    IMg(1) IMg(2) IMg(3) IMg(4)

    C0.1180** 0.1184** 0.0926 0.0926

    (2.73) (2.64) (1.56) (1.48)

    D(lnFDI)0.1436 0.1528 0.1514 0.1614

    (1.53) (1.56) (1.58) (1.64)

    D(lnREER)0.0849 0.0746 0.0610 0.0133

    (0.24) (0.20) (0.17) (0.04)

    D(lnGDPC)0.2527 0.2653 0.1904 0.2455

    (0.63) (0.63) (0.45) (0.57)

    DUM92 _ - 0.0395 0.0335

    (0.64) (0.51)

    AR(1) _ -0.0165 _ -0.0631

    (-0.07) (-0.27)

    0.06 0.02 0.03 -0.02

    D.W. 2.00 1.99 2.08 2.02

    : OLS

    (1) : D(lnIM)

    (2) : D(lnIMg)

  • -123

    - 123 -

    IMs(1) IMs(2) IMs(3) IMs(4)

    C0.0748 0.1023** -0.0222 0.0410

    (1.23) (2.42) (-0.28) (0.74)

    D(lnFDI)0.3570** 0.5053*** 0.3867*** 0.4020***

    (2.70) (1.35) (3.05) (4.39)

    D(lnREER)0.0618 -0.0300 0.0583 0.4045

    (0.12) (-0.06) (0.18) (1.11)

    D(lnGDPC)0.3064 0.0683 0.1616 -0.1675

    (0.54) (0.12) (0.42) (-0.42)

    DUM92_ _ 0.1514* 0.0947*

    (1.84) (1.63)

    AR(1)_ -0.46** _ -0.49**

    (-2.32) (-2.39)

    0.19 0.35 0.27 0.40

    D.W. 2.64 1.98 2.74 2.08

    (3) : D(lnIMs)

    : (1) *** 1%, ** 5%, * 10% .

    (2) ( ) t.

    IMg(4)

    , FDI 1%

    (+) . , FDI 1%p

    0.40%p .

    (+) .

    GDP

    .

    ,

    (+) ,

    . , GDP

    .

  • 124 . 28(2). 2011

    - 124 -

    OLS ,

    .

    .

    ,

    .

    .

    1978

    1992

    10%

    .

    .

    ,

    (+)

    .

    ,

    ,

    .

    , ()

  • -125

    - 125 -

    .

    30

    .

    .

    , .

    .

    .

    .

    ,

    .

    .

    , ,

    .

    .

  • 126 . 28(2). 2011

    - 126 -

    (1994). , ,

    .

    (1999).

    , , 2 1, pp.24-38.

    (2004). ,

    , pp.69-89.

    (2001).

    50 (1999). ,

    .

    , , .

    , http://www.stats.gov.cn/

    Blomstrom, Magnus and Ari Kokko (1994). "How Foreign

    Investment Affects Host Countries," Journal of Development

    Economics 43.

    Chen C. (1999). "The Impact of FDI and Trade," in Yanrui Wu (ed.)

    Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in China,

    Edward Elgar Publishing.

    Helpman, Elhanan (1984). "A Simple Theory of International Trade

    with Multinational Corporations," Journal of Political Economy

    92.

    Helpman, Elhanan, Marc J. Melitz and Stephen R. Yeaple(1984),

    "Export Versus FDI with Heterogeneous Firms," American

    Economic Review.

    Kawai H. (1994). "International Comparative Analysis of Economic

    Growth: Trade Liberalization and Productivity," The

    Developing Economies 17, pp.373-397.

  • -127

    - 127 -

    Kojima, Kiyoshi (1973). A Macroeconomic Approach to Foreign

    Direct Investment," Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics.

    _______________ (1978). Direct Foreign Investment : A Japanese

    Model of Multinational Business Corporations, Praeger

    Publishers.

    Lipsey, R. E. and M. Y. Weiss (1981). "Foreign Production and

    Exports in Manufacturing Industries," Review of Economics

    and Statistics 63, pp.488-494.

    __________ (1984). "Foreign Production and Exports of Individual

    Firms," Review of Economics and Statistics 66, pp.304-308.

    Lipsey (1999). "The Location and Characteristics of U. S. Affiliates

    in Asia," NBER Working Papers, No. 6879.

    MacKinnon, James G. (1996). Numerical Distribution Functions for

    Unit Root and Cointegration Tests," Journal of Applied

    Econometrics 11.

    Markusen, James R. (1984). "Multinational, Multi-plant Economies

    and the Gains from Trade," Journal of International

    Economics 16, pp.205-226.

    __________ (1998). "Multinational Firms, Location and Trade," The

    World Economy 21, pp.733-756.

    Mundell, R. A. (1957). "International Trade and Factor Mobility,"

    American Economic Review, 47(3), pp.321-335.

    Sun H. (1999). "FDI, Trade and Transfer Pricing," in Yanrui Wu

    (ed.) Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in

    China, Edward Elgar Publishing.

    Thomson. S. (1999). "The Foreign Direct Investment Policies in

    Development," OECD Working Papers in the International

    Investment.

  • 128 . 28(2). 2011

    - 128 -

    Vernon, Raymond (1966). "International Investment and International

    Trade in the Product Cycle," Quarterly Journal of Economics

    80, pp.190-207.

    Zhang, K. Honglin and Shunfeng Song (2000). "Promoting Exports:

    The Role of Inward FDI in China," China Economic Review,

    Vo1. 11. pp.385-396.

  • -129

    - 129 -

    ADF-test PP-test

    lnEX 2.24 -1.84 2.34 -1.84

    lnEXg 2.23 -1.83 2.39 -1.83

    lnEXs 1.32 -3.19 11.2 -2.25

    lnIM 3.09 -0.02 1.45 -1.70

    lnIMg 3.23 0.40 1.28 -1.56

    lnIMs 0.23 -2.45 0.23 -2.46

    lnFDI

    -2.01 -2.13 -1.85 -1.80

    lnREER

    -2.69** -1.34

    -4.80***-0.83

    lnIMw 2.18 -2.32 2.18 -1.98

    lnGDPc

    GDP 2.35 1.20 2.43 1.45

    1.

    ADF(Augmented Dickey-Fully) PP(Phillips-

    Perron) . ADF SIC(Schwarz Information Criterion)

    PP Newey-West

    .

    (REER)

    , 1

    . REER ADF PP

    ,

    .

    : 1) *** 1%, ** 5%, * 10% .

    2) MacKinnon(1996) .

  • 130 . 28(2). 2011

    - 130 -

    H0 trace

    trace

    (95%)

    max

    max

    (95%)

    r=0

    1

    46.47 47.86 20.61 27.58

    r1 25.86 29.80 19.42 21.13

    r2 6.44 15.49 5.92 14.26

    r3 0.52 3.84 0.52 3.84

    2.

    Johansen

    .

    VAR Schwarz

    , 1 .

    VAR Schwarz

    2 1

    ( 2). 5%

    2

    .

    VAR

    Schwarz 2 Johansen

    1 . trace ,

    1 max

    .

    (1)

  • -131

    - 131 -

    H0 trace

    trace

    (95%)

    max

    max

    (95%)

    r=0

    1

    44.62 47.86 20.01 27.58

    r1 24.61 29.80 18.55 21.13

    r2 6.07 15.49 5.79 14.26

    r3 0.28 3.840 0.28 3.84

    H0 trace

    trace

    (95%)

    max

    max

    (95%)

    r=0

    1

    76.24* 47.86 41.22** 27.58

    r1 35.01* 29.80 23.61* 21.13

    r2 11.40 15.49 9.87 14.26

    r3 1.53 3.84 1.53 3.84

    H0 trace

    trace

    (95%)

    max

    max

    (95%)

    r=0

    1

    50.09** 47.86 25.40 27.58

    r1 24.69 29.80 13.53 21.13

    r2 11.16 15.49 10.65 14.26

    r3 0.51 3.84 0.51 3.84

    (2)

    (3)

    : ** 5%

    (1)

  • 132 . 28(2). 2011

    - 132 -

    H0 trace

    trace

    (95%)

    max

    max

    (95%)

    r=0

    1

    51.01** 47.86 26.22 27.58

    r1 24.79 29.80 13.37 21.13

    r2 11.42 15.49 10.82 14.26

    r3 0.60 3.84 0.60 3.84

    H0 Trace

    trace

    (95%)

    max

    max

    (95%)

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    54.15** 47.86 26.70 27.58

    r1 27.45 29.80 14.42 21.13

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    r3 1.22 3.84 1.22 3.84

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    - 134 -

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    - 136 -

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    - 138 -

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    - 140 -

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    - 142 -

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    - 144 -

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    - 146 -

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    - 148 -

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    - 154 -

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    Boyke, Richard & Michelle Worth-Butler (1999). Multi-Stream

    Structure in the Public Service. Committee for Public

    Management Research Discussion Paper 9. Dublin; Institute of

    Public Administration.

    Fleming, Sile (1999). From Personnel Management to HRM: Key

    Issues and Challenges. Committee for Public Management

    Research Discussion Paper 16. Dubin: Institute of Public

    Administration.

  • - 155 -

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    - 156 -

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    - 158 -

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    - 160 -

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    - 162 -

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    - 164 -

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  • -165

    - 165 -

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    - 166 -

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    2005

  • -167

    - 167 -

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

    7,578 2,883 8,292 3,525 7,669 3,171 6,459 2,472 5,640 1,987

    1,245 435 1,401 528 1,342 490 1,143 392 1,035 344

    4,633 1,936 5,078 2,463 4,606 2,159 3,816 1,646 3,306 1,335

    1,663 498 1,793 529 1,718 522 1,499 434 1,295 307

    129 46 149 54 163 51 128 43 84 18

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    83 39 93 41 95 35 78 32 58 7

    156 54 124 47 133 26 107 29 77 15

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    , 2009

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  • 168 . 28(2). 2011

    - 168 -

    2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

    59 25 69 24 59 24 49 9 35 7

    899 274 932 289 895 290 772 247 712 200

    505 166 517 189 511 197 370 146 387 131

    415 192 470 208 423 178 344 141 300 116

    893 370 957 395 931 406 765 296 703 262

    754 319 772 341 741 368 705 325 576 245

    1,088 428 1,272 598 1,126 511 893 388 838 363

    1,104 482 1,285 645 1,116 530 903 358 747 244

    844 338 1,039 547 871 417 719 289 590 236

    276 53 287 60 280 67 301 87 281 87

    : , 2010

    2)

    2010 1 5,664, 4,647

    2009 5 4,927, 3,715

    .

    ,

    ,

    .

  • -169

    - 169 -

    ( : )

    181,671 51,348 59,346 1,042 5,326 2,602 34,640 10,610 2,272 496 3,350 358 2,355 2,145 1,678 1,041 3,062 121,935

    5,664 1,821 1,065 27 147 193 1,451 499 90 10 112 7 48 69 17 58 50 4,647

    1,488 645 296 9 32 66 197 104 18 3 24 2 15 21 15 12 29 1,061

    792 255 208 5 15 14 193 69 5 2 10 2 3 4 1 4 2 698

    455 126 127 3 8 6 121 36 7 1 9 - 3 6 - - 2 362

    639 216 68 2 26 42 133 66 10 - 17 1 4 7 - 37 10 485

    239 25 45 - 3 6 134 12 2 - 4 - 1 5 - - 2 246

    340 47 45 3 9 2 182 26 11 - 7 - - 4 - 3 1 338

    257 62 30 - 11 9 103 24 7 1 9 - 1 - - - - 221

    151 43 32 1 5 4 34 21 6 - 2 1 2 - - - - 135

    399 143 70 - 13 11 95 29 10 - 11 1 5 10 - - 1 307

    181 45 24 2 4 9 45 44 1 - 3 - 1 2 - - 1 197

    570 189 100 2 17 23 141 52 12 3 9 - 9 9 1 1 2 446

    153 25 20 - 4 1 73 16 1 - 7 - 4 1 - 1 - 151

    10. 6. ( : 300+ 5,364)2010. 1. 1.

  • 170 . 28(2). 2011

    - 170 -

    .

    2009 1,319 2010

    1,451 .

    .

    .

    2. 1)

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  • -171

    - 171 -

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    (22.5)

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    (47.8)

    66

    (11.6)

    72

    (12.7)

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    (2.3)

    9

    (1.6)

    1

    (0.2)

    8

    (1.4)

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    (100.0)

    77

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    203

    (39.3)

    82

    (15.9)

    118

    (22.9)

    28

    (5.4)

    5

    (1.0)

    1

    (0.2)

    2

    (0.4)

    516

    (100.0)

    172

    (13.0)

    482

    (36.5)

    216

    (16.4)

    355

    (26.9)

    55

    (4.2)

    10

    (0.8)

    10

    (0.8)

    21

    (1.6)

    1,321

    (100.0)

    377

    (15.7)

    957

    (39.8)

    364

    (15.1)

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    (22.7)

    96

    (4.0)

    24

    (1.0)

    12

    (0.5)

    31

    (1.3)

    2,406

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    * missing data .

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    43.0%, 16.8%

    .

    .

    .

    .

    (, 2009).

  • 172 . 28(2). 2011

    - 172 -

    (: , %)

    2 20 130 273 152 16 593 1 31 81 279 137 14 543

    0.3 3.4 21.9 46.0 25.6 2.7 100.0 0.2 5.7 14.9 51.4 25.2 2.6 100.0

    3 30 125 259 88 12 517 5 38 94 252 89 8 486

    0.6 5.8 24.2 50.1 17.0 2.3 100.0 1.0 7.8 19.3 51.9 18.3 1.6 100.0

    11 140 356 564 220 22 1,313 14 138 252 680 143 21 1,248

    0.8 10.7 27.1 43.0 16.8 1.7 100.0 1.1 11.1 20.2 54.5 11.5 1.7 100.0

    16 190 611 1,096 460 50 2,423 20 207 427 1,211 369 43 2,277

    0.7 7.8 25.2 45.2 19.0 2.1 100.0 0.9 9.1 18.8 53.2 16.2 1.9 100.0

    * missing data

  • -173

    - 173 -

    226 (41.6) 317 (58.4) 543 (100.0)

    220 (45.5) 264 (54.5) 484 (100.0)

    663 (56.0) 521 (44.0) 1,184 (100.0)

    1,109 (50.2) 1,102 (49.8) 2,211 (100.0)

    2)

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    . ,

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    .

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  • 174 . 28(2). 2011

    - 174 -

    (: , %)

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    (10.4)

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    (4.0)

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    (1.2)

    54

    (16.5)

    151

    (46.2)

    327

    (100.0)

    45

    (15.9)

    33

    (11.6)

    32

    (11.3)

    7

    (2.5)

    64

    (22.5)

    103

    (36.3)

    284

    (100.0)

    157

    (20.8)

    77

    (10.2)

    114

    (15.1)

    14

    (1.9)

    188

    (24.9)

    205

    (27.2)

    755

    (100.0)

    273

    (20.0)

    144

    (10.6)

    159

    (11.6)

    25

    (1.8)

    306

    (22.4)

    459

    (33.6)

    1,366

    (100.0)

    * missing data

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    . (2009)

    .

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    44.3%

    .

  • -175

    - 175 -

    ,

    82% .

    .

    (: , %)

    ()

    ,

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    39 92 17 60 49 41 22 28 4 26 25 40 65 508

    7.7 18.1 3.3 11.8 9.6 8.1 4.3 5.5 0.8 5.1 4.9 7.9 12.8 100.0

    172 253 48 177 90 81 36 86 7 46 41 125 144 306

    13.2 19.4 3.7 13.6 6.9 6.2 2.8 6.6 0.5 3.5 3.1 9.6 11.0 100.0

    241 425 76 352 191 164 101 150 16 109 92 204 284 405

    10.0 17.7 3.2 14.6 7.9 6.8 4.2 6.2 0.7 4.5 3.8 8.5 11.8 100.0

    * missing data .

    ,

    , ,

    (13.2%)

    (17.4%)

  • 176 . 28(2). 2011

    - 176 -

    .

    ,

    .

    (: , %)

    ()

    ,

    6 43 13 6 19 5 25 261 1 42 9 91 49 570

    1.1 7.5 2.3 1.1 3.3 0.9 4.4 45.8 0.2 7.4 1.6 16.0 8.6 100.0

    46 42 10 4 19 5 25 232 2 31 4 49 27 496

    9.3 8.5 2.0 0.8 3.8 1.0 5.0 46.8 0.4 6.3 0.8 9.9 5.4 100.0

    225 111 45 16 34 13 31 567 5 50 2 109 84 1,292

    17.4 8.6 3.5 1.2 2.6 1.0 2.4 43.9 0.4 3.9 0.2 8.4 6.5 100.0

    277 196 68 26 72 23 81 1,060 8 123 15 249 160 2,358

    11.7 8.3 2.9 1.1 3.1 1.0 3.4 45.0 0.3 5.2 0.6 10.6 6.8 100.0

    * missing data

    3.

    1)

    . 350(37.7%),

  • -177

    - 177 -

    266(28.6%),

    175(18.8%) ,

    .

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    .

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    22.9%

    .

    (: , %)

    266 28.6

    350 37.7

    138 14.9

    / 175 18.8

    929 100.0

    .

    ,

    .

  • 178 . 28(2). 2011

    - 178 -

    110 18.2

    152 25.2

    94 15.6

    , , 53 8.8

    66 10.9

    129 21.3

    604 100.0

    /

    91(30.2) 90(29.9) 54(17.9) 66(21.9) 301(100.0)

    86(25.1) 154(44.9) 39(11.4) 64(18.7) 343(100.0)

    14(19.2) 27(37.0) 13(17.8) 19(26.0) 73(100.0)

    43(38.1) 38(33.6) 15(13.3) 17(15.0) 113(100.0)

    11(40.7) 14(51.9) 1(3.7) 1(3.7) 27(100.0)

    7(22.6) 11(35.5) 10(32.3) 3(9.7) 31(100.0)

    7(41.2) 7(41.2) 1(5.9) 2(11.8) 17(100.0)

    2(40.0) 2(40.0) 0(0.0) 1(20.0) 5(100.0)

    3(33.3) 2(22.2) 3(33.3) 1(11.1) 9(100.0)

    264(28.7) 345(37.5) 136(14.8) 174(18.9) 919(100.0)

    (: , %)

    2)

    . 152(25.2%),

    110(18.2%) ,

    ,

    .

    (: , %)

  • -179

    - 179 -

    ,

    ,

    36

    (17.3)

    45

    (21.6)

    23

    (11.1)

    20

    (9.6)

    28

    (13.5)

    56

    (26.9)

    208

    (100.0)

    32

    (16.5)

    59

    (30.4)

    34

    (17.5)

    8

    (4.1)

    20

    (10.3)

    41

    (21.1)

    194

    (100.0)

    10

    (20.4)

    14

    (28.6)

    6

    (12.2)

    4

    (8.2)

    3

    (6.1)

    12

    (24.5)

    49

    (100.0)

    19

    (20.9)

    15

    (16.5)

    18

    (19.8)

    17

    (18.7)

    13

    (14.3)

    9

    (9.9)

    91

    (100.0)

    6

    (37.5)

    3

    (18.8)

    1

    (6.3)

    0

    (0.0)

    1

    (6.3)

    5

    (31.3)

    16

    (100.0)

    4

    (20.0)

    8

    (40.0)

    5

    (25.0)

    1

    (5.0)

    1

    (5.0)