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Page 1: © Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. · 2015-07-23 · 47.8 . 46.5 44.3 39.3 34.6 33.8 . 36.4 . 39.5 . 41.8 . 44.2 0 10. 20. 30. 40. 50. 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008

© Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

p

1

Page 2: © Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. · 2015-07-23 · 47.8 . 46.5 44.3 39.3 34.6 33.8 . 36.4 . 39.5 . 41.8 . 44.2 0 10. 20. 30. 40. 50. 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008

2015 Annual Issues Symposium

© Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Page 3: © Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. · 2015-07-23 · 47.8 . 46.5 44.3 39.3 34.6 33.8 . 36.4 . 39.5 . 41.8 . 44.2 0 10. 20. 30. 40. 50. 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008

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My Agenda

Top Line Numbers

Flash Forward Economy Evolving Workplace Basic Principles Under Attack

Defining the Market Condition

Page 4: © Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. · 2015-07-23 · 47.8 . 46.5 44.3 39.3 34.6 33.8 . 36.4 . 39.5 . 41.8 . 44.2 0 10. 20. 30. 40. 50. 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008

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Workers Compensation Total Market Net Written Premium

47.8 46.5 44.3

39.3

34.6 33.8 36.4

39.5 41.8

44.2

0

10

20

30

40

50

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014p

$ Billions

Calendar Year p Preliminary Includes state insurance fund data for the following states: AZ, CA, CO, HI, ID, KY, LA, MD, MO, MT, NM, OK, OR, RI, TX, and UT Each calendar year total for state funds includes all funds operating as a state fund in that year Source: Annual Statement data

Page 5: © Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. · 2015-07-23 · 47.8 . 46.5 44.3 39.3 34.6 33.8 . 36.4 . 39.5 . 41.8 . 44.2 0 10. 20. 30. 40. 50. 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008

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Workers Compensation Underwriting Results Improved Again

103

93

101 101

110

115 115

109

102

98

90

95

100

105

110

115

120

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014p

Percent

Calendar Year

Combined Ratio

p Preliminary Includes private carrier data Source: Annual Statement data

Page 6: © Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. · 2015-07-23 · 47.8 . 46.5 44.3 39.3 34.6 33.8 . 36.4 . 39.5 . 41.8 . 44.2 0 10. 20. 30. 40. 50. 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008

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Top Line Industry Numbers

Premium >5%

Combined Ratio 98%

Claims Frequency Decreased

Page 7: © Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. · 2015-07-23 · 47.8 . 46.5 44.3 39.3 34.6 33.8 . 36.4 . 39.5 . 41.8 . 44.2 0 10. 20. 30. 40. 50. 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008

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Flash Forward—Issues on the Horizon

Economy

Evolving Workplace

Basic Principles Under Attack

Page 8: © Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. · 2015-07-23 · 47.8 . 46.5 44.3 39.3 34.6 33.8 . 36.4 . 39.5 . 41.8 . 44.2 0 10. 20. 30. 40. 50. 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008

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The Economic Outlook

Many Positive Signs

Employment increasing

Stock market recovered

Low inflation

Strong Dollar May be a Concern

Page 9: © Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. · 2015-07-23 · 47.8 . 46.5 44.3 39.3 34.6 33.8 . 36.4 . 39.5 . 41.8 . 44.2 0 10. 20. 30. 40. 50. 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008

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What to Watch For

Continued Volatility

Focus on the Fed

Real inflationary pressure?

Rate increases beginning when?

Page 10: © Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. · 2015-07-23 · 47.8 . 46.5 44.3 39.3 34.6 33.8 . 36.4 . 39.5 . 41.8 . 44.2 0 10. 20. 30. 40. 50. 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008

© Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

What to Watch For

Continued Volatility

Focus on the Fed

Real inflationary pressure?

Rate increases beginning when?

Page 11: © Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. · 2015-07-23 · 47.8 . 46.5 44.3 39.3 34.6 33.8 . 36.4 . 39.5 . 41.8 . 44.2 0 10. 20. 30. 40. 50. 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008

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It’s an Evolving Workforce (and Workplace)

Who’s an Employee?

Mobile Workspaces

What’s Next?

Page 12: © Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. · 2015-07-23 · 47.8 . 46.5 44.3 39.3 34.6 33.8 . 36.4 . 39.5 . 41.8 . 44.2 0 10. 20. 30. 40. 50. 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008

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It’s an Evolving Workforce (and Workplace)

Who’s an Employee?

Mobile Workspaces

What’s Next?

Page 13: © Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. · 2015-07-23 · 47.8 . 46.5 44.3 39.3 34.6 33.8 . 36.4 . 39.5 . 41.8 . 44.2 0 10. 20. 30. 40. 50. 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008

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It’s an Evolving Workforce (and Workplace)

Who’s an Employee?

Mobile Workspaces

What’s Next?

Page 14: © Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. · 2015-07-23 · 47.8 . 46.5 44.3 39.3 34.6 33.8 . 36.4 . 39.5 . 41.8 . 44.2 0 10. 20. 30. 40. 50. 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008

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Fundamental Principle of Workers Comp

“The basic principle underlying workers’ compensation programs was that benefits would be provided to injured workers without regard to fault and, in return, employers would face limited liability.”

Ann Clayton, Social Security Bulletin, Vol. 65, No. 4, 2003/2004

Page 15: © Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. · 2015-07-23 · 47.8 . 46.5 44.3 39.3 34.6 33.8 . 36.4 . 39.5 . 41.8 . 44.2 0 10. 20. 30. 40. 50. 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008

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Basic Principles Under Fire

Press Reports

OSHA Report

Court Cases

Florida—Padgett v. State of Florida

Florida—Westphal v. The City of St. Petersburg

Oklahoma—Duck v. Morgan Tire & Auto, LLC

Page 16: © Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. · 2015-07-23 · 47.8 . 46.5 44.3 39.3 34.6 33.8 . 36.4 . 39.5 . 41.8 . 44.2 0 10. 20. 30. 40. 50. 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008

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Current Responses

Plenty of industry pundits have defended the workers comp system over the past few months The court cases may not stand

Comp has worked well for more than 100 years

What’s the problem?

Page 17: © Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. · 2015-07-23 · 47.8 . 46.5 44.3 39.3 34.6 33.8 . 36.4 . 39.5 . 41.8 . 44.2 0 10. 20. 30. 40. 50. 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008

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Perception Can Turn to Action Quickly

Legislative Responses

Call for National Action

Will We Learn from Past Lessons?

Page 18: © Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. · 2015-07-23 · 47.8 . 46.5 44.3 39.3 34.6 33.8 . 36.4 . 39.5 . 41.8 . 44.2 0 10. 20. 30. 40. 50. 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008

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Perception Can Turn to Action Quickly

Legislative Responses

Call for National Action

Will We Learn from Past Lessons?

Page 19: © Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. · 2015-07-23 · 47.8 . 46.5 44.3 39.3 34.6 33.8 . 36.4 . 39.5 . 41.8 . 44.2 0 10. 20. 30. 40. 50. 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008

© Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Perception Can Turn to Action Quickly

Legislative Responses

Call for National Action

Will We Learn from Past Lessons?

Page 20: © Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. · 2015-07-23 · 47.8 . 46.5 44.3 39.3 34.6 33.8 . 36.4 . 39.5 . 41.8 . 44.2 0 10. 20. 30. 40. 50. 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008

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Defining the Market Condition

Top Line Numbers Look Solid

Economic Recovery Continuing (Albeit Slowly)

Workplaces are Changing Rapidly

Benefit Challenges on the Rise

Page 21: © Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. · 2015-07-23 · 47.8 . 46.5 44.3 39.3 34.6 33.8 . 36.4 . 39.5 . 41.8 . 44.2 0 10. 20. 30. 40. 50. 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008

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Calm… But turbulence ahead

21 © Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Start with Calm… and then delay but turbulence ahead

Page 22: © Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. · 2015-07-23 · 47.8 . 46.5 44.3 39.3 34.6 33.8 . 36.4 . 39.5 . 41.8 . 44.2 0 10. 20. 30. 40. 50. 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008

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Turbulence Ahead

System Under Attack From All Sides

Continuing Challenges to Exclusive Remedy

Benefit Increases Without Rate Increases?

New National Commission on Workers Comp?

Rapidly Evolving Workforce/Workplace

Page 23: © Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved. · 2015-07-23 · 47.8 . 46.5 44.3 39.3 34.6 33.8 . 36.4 . 39.5 . 41.8 . 44.2 0 10. 20. 30. 40. 50. 2005. 2006. 2007. 2008

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