© copyright 2015 ncci holdings, inc. all rights reserved. · 2015-07-23 · 47.8 . 46.5 44.3 39.3...
TRANSCRIPT
© Copyright 2015 NCCI Holdings, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
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2015 Annual Issues Symposium
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My Agenda
Top Line Numbers
Flash Forward Economy Evolving Workplace Basic Principles Under Attack
Defining the Market Condition
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Workers Compensation Total Market Net Written Premium
47.8 46.5 44.3
39.3
34.6 33.8 36.4
39.5 41.8
44.2
0
10
20
30
40
50
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014p
$ Billions
Calendar Year p Preliminary Includes state insurance fund data for the following states: AZ, CA, CO, HI, ID, KY, LA, MD, MO, MT, NM, OK, OR, RI, TX, and UT Each calendar year total for state funds includes all funds operating as a state fund in that year Source: Annual Statement data
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Workers Compensation Underwriting Results Improved Again
103
93
101 101
110
115 115
109
102
98
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014p
Percent
Calendar Year
Combined Ratio
p Preliminary Includes private carrier data Source: Annual Statement data
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Top Line Industry Numbers
Premium >5%
Combined Ratio 98%
Claims Frequency Decreased
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Flash Forward—Issues on the Horizon
Economy
Evolving Workplace
Basic Principles Under Attack
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The Economic Outlook
Many Positive Signs
Employment increasing
Stock market recovered
Low inflation
Strong Dollar May be a Concern
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What to Watch For
Continued Volatility
Focus on the Fed
Real inflationary pressure?
Rate increases beginning when?
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What to Watch For
Continued Volatility
Focus on the Fed
Real inflationary pressure?
Rate increases beginning when?
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It’s an Evolving Workforce (and Workplace)
Who’s an Employee?
Mobile Workspaces
What’s Next?
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It’s an Evolving Workforce (and Workplace)
Who’s an Employee?
Mobile Workspaces
What’s Next?
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It’s an Evolving Workforce (and Workplace)
Who’s an Employee?
Mobile Workspaces
What’s Next?
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Fundamental Principle of Workers Comp
“The basic principle underlying workers’ compensation programs was that benefits would be provided to injured workers without regard to fault and, in return, employers would face limited liability.”
Ann Clayton, Social Security Bulletin, Vol. 65, No. 4, 2003/2004
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Basic Principles Under Fire
Press Reports
OSHA Report
Court Cases
Florida—Padgett v. State of Florida
Florida—Westphal v. The City of St. Petersburg
Oklahoma—Duck v. Morgan Tire & Auto, LLC
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Current Responses
Plenty of industry pundits have defended the workers comp system over the past few months The court cases may not stand
Comp has worked well for more than 100 years
What’s the problem?
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Perception Can Turn to Action Quickly
Legislative Responses
Call for National Action
Will We Learn from Past Lessons?
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Perception Can Turn to Action Quickly
Legislative Responses
Call for National Action
Will We Learn from Past Lessons?
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Perception Can Turn to Action Quickly
Legislative Responses
Call for National Action
Will We Learn from Past Lessons?
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Defining the Market Condition
Top Line Numbers Look Solid
Economic Recovery Continuing (Albeit Slowly)
Workplaces are Changing Rapidly
Benefit Challenges on the Rise
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Calm… But turbulence ahead
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Start with Calm… and then delay but turbulence ahead
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Turbulence Ahead
System Under Attack From All Sides
Continuing Challenges to Exclusive Remedy
Benefit Increases Without Rate Increases?
New National Commission on Workers Comp?
Rapidly Evolving Workforce/Workplace
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