© imperial college londonpage 1 estimating the saharan dust loading over a west african surface...
DESCRIPTION
© Imperial College LondonPage 3 Cloud, dust or clear? For starters: Cloud Combination of NWCSAF and RMIB cloud flags Dust NWCSAF dust flagTRANSCRIPT
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Estimating the Saharan dust loading over a west African surface site
GIST 26: May 2007
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Outline
• Cloud and dust detection tools over land• Dust loading estimation
Existing methodologiesAccounting for meteorology
• Potential for direct radiative effect estimation• Caveats
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Cloud, dust or clear?
For starters:Cloud
Combination of NWCSAF and RMIB cloud flagsDust
NWCSAF dust flag
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Performance:
1. Assessed visually ‘by eye’ : subjective
2. Assessed through comparison with AERONET sites. If an AERONET retrieval has been made within 15 minutes of SEVIRI observation, site is assumed clear or ‘dusty’
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Original NWC tests Blue: NWC cloud
8th March 2006: 1200 UTC
Red: RMIB cloud
Yellow: NWC dust
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8th March 2006: 1200 UTC
10.8 m – 3.9 m test removed (cloud)
10.8 m – 12.0 m threshold made dependent on total column water vapour (dust)
RAE
DK AGBZ
IERDMN
DJ
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SITE Lat/Lon Original (%) New (%)Agoufou 15.3 N, 1.5 W 77.2 77.2
Banizoumbou 13.5 N, 2.7 E 75.8 76.8
DMN Maine Soroa
13.2 N, 12.0 E 81.8 81.8
IER Cinzana 13.3 N, 5.9 W 74.4 87.8
Ras El Ain 31.7 N, 7.6 W 32.5 77.5
Dakar 14.4 N,17.0 W 71.0 87.0
D’jougou 9.8 N, 1.6 E 43.7 73.2
Successful classification
AERONET comparisons:
Total of 577 observations (4 months of data). 1200 UTC only
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Dust Quantification
• Using visible info: problematic over desert
• Using IR info: better contrast (note time dep.) but dust properties poorly known
• BUT, previous attempts made with Meteosat IR channel: IDDI (Legrand et al.)• Determines a clear-sky reference image and relates (cloud-free) deviations from this to dust amount
• Main assumption - unchanging atmospheric conditions from reference state over time-window
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Can we use a similar approach but take changing meteorology into account?
• Focus on one AERONET site (Banizoumbou, Niger), and one time-slot, 1200 UTC
• Meteorology from ECMWF analyses interpolated to site location
• Points only retained if identified as not cloudy or dusty (NWC and RMIB flags)
• Analysis performed through March-June 2006
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Can we use a similar approach but take changing meteorology into account?
• ‘Clear-sky’ points identified using maximum TB108 value through a rolling time-window of set length TB108max
• Tsfc and TCWV values from ECMWF analyses retained for each point analysed
• Clear-sky values ‘corrected’ to the conditions on any given day using:
TB108clr = c1Tsfc + c2TCWV
Only requires relative variation in Tsfc and TCWV to be correct, not absolute values
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Optimal window length?
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Optimal window length?
Suggests site is never ‘clear’ and that a window of > 14 days is required
14 day window
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Optimal window length?
28 day window
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Fitting TB108clr
Perfect knowledge of Tsfc, TCWV
1 K (5 %) random error distribution applied to Tsfc (TCWV) values
Nadir view
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ECMWF reliability?
ECMWF extracted Tsfc, and AMF auxiliary site air surface temperature values
Correlation = 0.85
ECMWF extracted TCWV, and retrieved values from MWR at main AMF site
Correlation = 0.98
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Results
Dust signal, d = (TB108max+TB108clr) – TB108
Original: correlation = 0.67, rms = 0.36 Corrected: correlation = 0.88, rms = 0.23
28 day rolling window period
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Estimating corresponding radiative effect…
• Could be done using identical approach? Use TB108max as a guide to identify ‘clear-sky’ OLR from GERB
• Include vertical information on temperature and water vapour content through deep layer relative humidities
• ‘Clear-sky’ OLR values ‘corrected’ to the conditions on any given day using:
OLRclr = c1Tsfc + c2ln(UTH/UTHmax) + c3 ln(LTH/LTHmax)
• Direct radiative effect of dust given by:
DRE = (OLRmax+ OLRclr) – OLR
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For Banizoumbou
‘Correcting’ the ‘clear-sky’ OLR to account for changes in surface temperature and relative humidity isolates the dust effect on the OLR.
Essentially same idea as calculating clear sky OLR explicitly and subtracting from ‘dusty’ observation (see Vincent’s talk), but removes need for absolute accuracy in profiles etc. assuming relative variation is correct.
Direct radiative effect:
17 ± 5 W m-2 per unit 067
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Conclusions/Caveats
Encouraging results over the sample site – what happens at other locations? Preliminary work suggests that if the surface type is similar (i.e. arid/semi-arid), the correlation between TB108 and aerosol optical depth is always improved with a correction applied. However this requires further detailed corroboration.
Issues:
Assessing the quality of ECMWF (or alternative) analyses in data sparse desert regions (or over other AERONET sites)
How to extend in time – quality of cloud/dust detection schemes/ availability of meteorological data/size of signal
Variations in dust layer height, surface emissivity, and …?
Quality of AERONET retrievals themselves?
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Other sites? - preliminary
SITE No of points
range Original Corrected
Agoufou 34 0.15 – 4.08 0.87 0.91
Dakar 54 0.18 – 1.03 0.62 0.67
D’jougou 16 0.22 – 1.10 -0.33 -0.14
DMN Maine Soroa
29 0.22 – 4.05 0.79 0.83
IER Cinzana
40 0.20 – 1.85 0.46 0.56
Ras El Ain 27 0.06 – 0.69 0.22 0.20