© nerc all rights reserved building on geological models – the vision of an environmental...
TRANSCRIPT
© NERC All rights reserved
BUILDING ON GEOLOGICAL MODELS – THE VISION OF AN ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING
PLATFORM
Holger Kessler, Diarmad Campbell, Jon Ford, Jeremy Giles, Andrew Hughes, Ian Jackson, Denis Peach, Simon Price, Hans-Georg Sobisch, Ricky Terrington, Ben Wood
3D Geological Modelling WorkshopPortland 17th October 2009
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Geological Model
Data and Information Base
QuantitativeConceptual Model
Process Model
?
Quantitative Understanding
Predictions
Forecasts
Scenario
Planning … to produce geoscientifically based “what if scenarios” and putting these into context in a subsurface information system
The vision is to develop the Environmental Modelling Platform which links data, knowledge and concepts seamlessly to numerical process models….
Unc
erta
inty
Refinem
ent
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We need to think outside our own comfort zone
BGS
NERC
“where it matters”
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The environmental challenges ahead
• The ability of to provide clean and affordable drinking water and water for industrial use from ground or surface water
• Managing the risks of flooding from the sea, rivers, rainfall run-off and groundwater
• The safe disposal, containment and potential re-use of anthropogenic waste products
• Prediction of ground conditions for major infrastructure projects (transport, housing, utilities)
• The mitigation of physical hazard such as landslides, subsidence, earthquakes and tsunamis
• The conservation of land to maintain food production as well as protecting biodiversity
• The sustainable management of ground sourced heating and cooling
in a changing environment
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The emerging tasks
• Data supply and interoperability• Process models and their linkage• Communication of model results to scientific peers and a non-technical audience• Computational infrastructure
Continue to build and engage the community:
• BGS (test beds and other projects)
• UK collaborations
• International collaborations