1 1 cooperative institute for research in the atmosphere cira colorado state university overview for...
Post on 21-Dec-2015
213 views
TRANSCRIPT
11
Cooperative Institute for Research in the AtmosphereCIRA
Colorado State University
Overview for the 4th Annual NESDIS Cooperative Institute Directors Meeting
New York City, New York
June 2-3, 2005
Professor Thomas H. Vonder Haar, Director
www.cira.colostate.edu [email protected]
22
CIRA HIGHLIGHTS, 2004-05
• CIRA Today
• New Research Results and Applications
• Response to NOAA SAB Review of CIRA
• Some Future Plans
33
CIRA in 04/05 – the 25th Year• Operates under a 5-year, renewable Cooperative Agreement (CA) with
NOAA• NOAA CI co-sponsored by NESDIS and ORA with good NWS
interaction• Complementary CAs with DOI/NPS and DoD/ARL• 180 scientists, staff and students (144 FTE)• Including 6 NESDIS, RAMM Team scientists on site• Including 12 postdocs, 25 graduate students, 16 undergraduates
supported by NOAA• Including 15 academic faculty (part time)
• $12M/year in research and outreach funding• $8M/year from NOAA
44
FY 03/04 NOAA Final Report NOAA Expenditure by Task 2 Themes (Dollars)
219,310
310,194
833,908
95,719
855,540
1,019,402
1,262,737
2,927,460
Applications of Satellite Observations Global and Regional Climate Studies
Local and Mesoscale Area Weather Forecasting and Evaluation Air Quality and Visibility
Cloud Physics Numerical Modeling
Education, Training, Outreach Societal and Economic Impacts
CIRA’s 8 Theme Areas
55
CIRA Publications
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2001 2002 2003
Peer Review edPublications
Non-Peerreview edPublications
Total
FY01 FY02 FY03 FY01 FY02 FY03 FY01 FY02 FY03
Peer-Reviewed ~~~ ~~~ 29 20 21 20 77 78 40
Non Peer-Reviewed ~~~ ~~~ 82 73 32 48 108 44 53
CI Lead Author NOAA Lead Author Other Lead Author
66
AMSU Data Products
MSPPS data from NESDIS are reformatted, mapped, and made available to researchers at CIRA, NESDIS, and elsewhere: http://amsu.cira.colostate.edu
(Kidder et al., 2005)
77
GOES Products
1-km resolution GOES products to match NWS radar coverage: http://amsu.cira.colostate.edu/GOES
88
Tropical Rainfall Potential (TRaP)
Two papers in press:
• Kidder, S. Q., S. J. Kusselson, J. A. Knaff, R. R. Ferraro, R. J. Kuligowski, and M. Turk, 2005: The Tropical Rainfall Potential (TRaP) Technique. Part 1: Description and Examples. Weather and Forecasting, in press.
• Ferraro, R., P. Pellegrino, M. Turk, W. Chen, S. Qiu, R. Kuligowski, S. Kusselson, A. Irving, S. Kidder, and J. Knaff, 2005: The Tropical Rainfall Potential (TRaP) Technique. Part 2: Validation. Weather and Forecasting, in press.
99
New Wind Probability Product for the National Hurricane Center
• Track, intensity and wind radii forecasts have uncertainty
• Monte Carlo model estimates probabilities of 34, 50 and 64 kt wind– Random sampling from observed
error distributions• Will replace old probability
products that only accounted for track errors
• Versions developed for NHC, Central Pacific Hurricane Center and Joint Typhoon Warning Center
• Funding from NOAA Joint Hurricane Testbed 5-day Cumulative Probability of 50 kt Winds
For Hurricane Charley (2004)
(DeMaria et al.)
1010
CIRA contribution to• Mission: Accelerate the transfer of research results into NWS operations via
teletraining• Participants from NOAA (NWS, NESDIS), DOD, international
• Since April 1999:– 57 courses offered– 966 teletraining sessions administered– 15,037 certificates of completion awarded
• 19 of 57 teletraining courses developed at CIRA• Collaborative effort with CIMSS
rammb.cira.colostate.edu/visit• Topics include severe weather, tropical cyclones, winter weather, with a focus on satellite applications
IST/VISIT Cumulative Training Certificates Issued
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
Apr-9
9
Jul-9
9
Oct-99
Jan-
00
Apr-0
0
Jul-0
0
Oct-00
Jan-
01
Apr-0
1
Jul-0
1
Oct-01
Jan-
02
Apr-0
2
Jul-0
2
Oct-02
Jan-
03
Apr-0
3
Jul-0
3
Oct-03
Jan-
04
Apr-0
4
Jul-0
4
Oct-04
Jan-
05
Apr-0
5
Date
Cer
tifi
cate
s
1111
NOAA’S 5-YEAR REVIEW OF CIRA
NOVEMBER 2003
•Final report approved March 16th 2004 by the Science Advisory Board of NOAA
•CIRA was judged to be a successful Joint Institute based on:the quality of its research
the strength of CSU’s commitment to CIRA
the vision and leadership of the CSU administrators
strong relationships between CIRA and collaborating departments at CSU, particularly Atmospheric Science
strong partnership with the partnering NOAA labs
the value of the RAMM Team with its cadre of NOAA/NESDIS employees
4 Challenges:
•Review science themes
•Improve strategic planning and self-assessment
•Increase education, diversity, outreach
•Leadership transition
1212
Progress on NOAA’s Nov. 2003 Peer Review Challenge for CIRA
1) All Science Themes under review vis-à-vis NOAA’s Goals and Objectives and CSU Capabilities and Infrastructure
2) New focal point for CIRA/NOAA Strategic Planning and Self-Assessment Metrics (Ken Eis, Deputy Director)
3) New Education and Outreach Coordinator (David Cismoski) and New Activities; New Diversity Coordinator (Mary McInnis-Efaw) and New Activities
4) Strong University and Faculty Support for a New CIRA Director in 2008-09; Developing Candidate Pool
1414
Established New Center for Accelerating Research Results into Operations (CARRO)
• With ORA and other CI’s (other CARRO’s?)
• Lessons learned; best practices; new mechanisms
• CARRO Algorithm Incubator Program (CAIP) for local CI and joint CI research activities interface to Satellite Products Testbed (SPT) at NESDIS
(Contacts: Andy Jones and Stan Kidder)
SPT
CARRO
Project 1
OtherCARROs
Experimental Users
Project 2Project 3
Satellite Products Testbed
OSDPD ORA
Experimental Users
CIOSS CREST
CIRACICS CIMSS
1616
Data Processing Center at CIRA
• Provide 7 CloudSat data products to science community
• Developed prototype small mission satellite processing center (generic)
• Flexible – Allows new data/satellite sources to be included in
days, not years.
– Provides standard system for operations, prototyping, and scientific R&D (no porting science-to-ops code)
1717
Blended TPW
TPW data, acquired from NESDIS, for three NOAA satellites and three DMSP satellites are blended every hour and made available to SAB forecasters and researchers.
http://amsu.cira.colostate.edu/TPW
1818
The Regional and Mesoscale Meteorology Team at CIRA
• Established Aug 1980 to foster research on satellite applications to short-term forecasting
• 5 original federal employees– J. Purdom, B. Green, R. Phillips, J. Weaver, R. Zehr
• 5 current federal employees– M. DeMaria, D. Hillger, D. Molenar, J. Weaver, R. Zehr
• Two team leaders since 1980– J. Purdom 1980-1997, M. DeMaria 1998-present
• Current emphasis:– Applied research and training on satellite applications to severe
weather, tropical cyclones and mesoscale aspects of mid-latitude cyclones