1 federal aviation administration right sizing kick-off – v0.1 march 17, 2009 goals today shared...

1Federal AviationAdministration

Right Sizing Kick-off – v0.1

March 17, 2009

Goals Today

• Shared understanding of NextGen• Sources of information• Shared understanding of our role in NextGen• Discussion of our tasks and who will do them• Role of the OWPP• Coordination of our activities (regular meetings?)• Next steps including July meeting in Oklahoma



March 17, 2009

NextGen 101

• FAA’s next generation national airspace system (NAS) environment– Air traffic management rather than control via trajectory-based

capability– More precise navigation– Digital data communication– Dynamic airspace management– Probabilistic weather information– Common framework and single authoritative source

• Interim Operational Capability (IOC) in 2012• Full Operational Capability (FOC) in 2025



March 17, 2009

NextGen 101



March 17, 2009

NextGen 101• NextGen goals are not achievable without improving

integration of weather information into decision support systems

• NextGen weather vision (a major paradigm shift) is focused on:– Providing a multiple user common

weather picture– Consistent and reliable weather

information– An improved weather information data storage approach containing

observation and forecast data (i.e., the WIDB or the “4 Dimensional Weather Cube” enabling NextGen dissemination capabilities)



March 17, 2009

NextGen 101;Key Themes

• An integrated and nationally consistent common weather picture for observation, analysis, and forecast data available to all system users

• Direct integration of weather information into operational decision making processes



March 17, 2009

NextGen 101;Key Themes• A Net-centric (net-enabled) capability is

envisioned:

– “Network Enabled”…

• An information network that makes information available, securable, and usable in real time

• Information may be pushed to known users and is available to be pulled by others

• Weather information sharing is two-way

– “Virtual” repository with no single physical database or computer

• Conceptually unified source distributed among multiple physical locations and suppliers, of which NOAA is the leading data supplier



March 17, 2009

NextGen Weather Basics

TodayToday NextGenNextGen(new requirements)(new requirements)

Not integrated into aviation Not integrated into aviation decision support systems decision support systems (DSS)(DSS)

Accuracy meets today’s Accuracy meets today’s requirementsrequirements

Low temporal resolution (for Low temporal resolution (for aviation decision making aviation decision making purposes)purposes)

Disseminated in minutesDisseminated in minutes

Updated by scheduleUpdated by schedule

Fixed product formats Fixed product formats (graphic or text)(graphic or text)

Totally integrated into DSSTotally integrated into DSS

Better accuracyBetter accuracy

High temporal resolutionHigh temporal resolution

Disseminated in secondsDisseminated in seconds

Updated by events Updated by events

Flexible formatsFlexible formats



March 17, 2009

What is the WIDB?• The WIDB (aka the 4-Dimensional Weather Data Cube)

will contain:– Continuously updated weather observations (surface to low earth

orbit, including space weather and ocean parameters)

– High resolution (space and time) analysis and forecast information (conventional weather parameters from numerical models)

– Aviation impact parameters for IOC (2013)• Turbulence

• Icing

• Convection

• Ceiling and visibility

• Winds and Temperature

– The WIDB of the future will contain “all” weather data, not just aviation parameters.



March 17, 2009

What is the 4-D WeatherSingle Authoritative Source?

• The 4-D Wx Single Authoritative Source (SAS):– Is only a portion of the WIDB

– Provides a common weather picture for National Air Space (NAS) participants (Airlines, DoD, FAA, etc.)

– Is the basis for all aviation decisions by Air Traffic Management (ATM) in the FAA

– Is formed by merger of model data, automated gridded algorithms, climatology and observational data, and meteorologist input/data manipulation to ensure consistency and accuracy

– Sticky issues:

• FAA SAS definition differs internally

• Who will own the SAS?

• Will the FAA SAS be the NWS SAS?



March 17, 2009

The WIDB:A Conceptual Model

WIDB

Custom

Graphic

Generators

Custom

Graphic

Generators

Integration into User DecisionsIntegration into User Decisions

Decision

Support

Systems

Decision

Support

Systems

Custom

Alphanumeric

Generators

Custom

Alphanumeric

Generators

ObservationsObservationsNumerical

Modeling

Systems

Numerical

Modeling

Systems

Statistical

Forecasting

Systems

Statistical

Forecasting

Systems

NWS

Forecaster

NWS

Forecaster

ForecastingForecasting

Automated Forecast

Systems

Automated Forecast

Systems

Forecast IntegrationForecast Integration

4D Wx

SAS

RadarsRadars

AircraftAircraft

SurfaceSurface

SatellitesSatellites

SoundingsSoundings



March 17, 200911

Virtual 4D Weather Cube

Virtual 4D Virtual 4D

Weather Weather CubeCube

4th

dimension

time

HazardHazard

ObservationObservation

0 – 15 mins0 – 15 mins

15-60mins15-60mins

1- 24 hrs1- 24 hrs

Aviation weather information

in 3 dimensions

( latitude/longitude/height)



March 17, 2009

Our Role

• One of three sub-teams of the Right Sizing Team• We are the Advanced Data Management

Applications and Demonstration Sub-Team• Three major tasks

– Work with the other two sub-teams (LL and NCAR)

– Assess current observing network for IOC using NRC report

– Create an approach to planning for FOC



March 17, 2009

Right Sizing Program – Background Info• Reduce Weather Impact Program

– A planning and development portfolio for ensuring NextGen operational weather capabilities utilize a broad range of weather improvements and technologies to mitigate the effects of weather in future NAS operations.

– Two major elements: weather observation and weather forecast improvements.

– Provide consistent weather information that enables more effective and timely decision making…Automated decision support tools.

– Enables a common understanding of weather, supports traffic flow management by trajectory, and provides for improved weather avoidance.

– Right Sizing the Sensor Network is the cornerstone to the NextGen Weather Effort!



March 17, 2009

Right Sizing Program – Motivations

• Enterprise Architecture Weather Roadmap

• Observing Weather and Climate from the Ground Up, A Nationwide Network of Networks – NRC Report



March 17, 2009


• Weather Roadmap– NAS Enterprise Architecture Team.

• http://nas-architecture.faa.gov

– Right Sizing Team will initially (FY09-FY10) be developing planning/assessment documents to support roadmap activities.

• Master Plan, IOC Assessment.• Documents will outline activities needed to support

roadmap decision points.– Assessments/analysis/prototypes/demonstrations.

– Future efforts to include mid-term and final planning documents and executing planned activities.



March 17, 2009


• Observing Weather and Climate from the Ground Up, A Nationwide Network of Networks – NRC Report

– Non-FAA specific recommendations for improving the weather sensor network.

– Overall need for improved mesoscale observing system.– Metadata tagging standards.– Network of Networks.– Need for test beds to evaluate new observing systems –

specifically to address regions of data gaps.– Overall improvements to lower troposphere sampling

capabilities.– Coordination with external organizations…find middle ground

between WMO compliance and special needs of transportation sectors.



March 17, 2009

Right Sizing Scope

• Study EA Wx Roadmap and develop planning documents to support upcoming EA decision points.– NextGen weather sensor capabilities at IOC, then through

FOC.

• Address applicable NRC recommendations for next-generation sensor network.

• Matrix Roadmap and NRC information to ground-based and airborne-based capabilities. Identify resources, tasking, and deliverables.



March 17, 2009

Right Sizing Master Plan

• Team will develop a Master Plan that outlines planning, evaluations, demonstrations, and implementation activities associated with right-sizing effort. Focus will be on identifying required tailored plans that address activities associated with EA roadmap decision points, mitigating discovered sensor gaps, and exploring and demonstrating dynamic sensing and control in a SOA environment.



March 17, 2009


Schedule

Task Name Duration Start Finish

ASSESSMENT 0 days Tue 3/17/09 Tue 3/17/09

Kick-Off Meeting at WJHTC 0 days Tue 3/17/09 Tue 3/17/09

Formulate Strategy 45 days Tue 3/17/09 Mon 5/18/09

Develop Plan and Schedule 45 days Tue 3/17/09 Mon 5/18/09

Draft Assessment 89 days Tue 3/17/09 Fri 7/17/09

Oklahoma University Meeting 0 days Wed 7/8/09 Wed 7/8/09

Deliverable Development 120 days Fri 7/17/09 Thu 12/31/09

Final Deliverable 0 days Thu 12/31/09 Thu 12/31/09

RIGHT-SIZE MASTER PLAN 0 days Tue 3/17/09 Tue 3/17/09

Kick-Of Meeting 0 days Tue 3/17/09 Tue 3/17/09

Master Plan Outline 59 days Tue 3/17/09 Fri 6/5/09

Develop Draft 83 days Mon 6/8/09 Wed 9/30/09


Draft 0 days Thu 10/1/09 Thu 10/1/09

Develop Final 33 days Thu 10/1/09 Mon 11/16/09

Final 0 days Mon 11/16/09 Mon 11/16/09

3/17

3/17

7/8

12/31

3/17

3/17

7/8

10/1

11/16

2/8 3/15 4/19 5/24 6/28 8/2 9/6 10/11 11/15 12/20 1/24 2/28February 1 April 11 June 21 September 1 November 11 January 21



March 17, 2009


• Living Document• Sub-Team Responsibilities

– Develop a planning document that addresses activities required for sensor network to meet NextGen IOC, mid-point and FOC.

– DOD Test and Evaluation Master Plan (TEMP) Template.• System Introduction - Description, measures of effectiveness and

suitability, critical technical parameters.

• Integrated Program Study – Schedule, management.

• Developmental Activities (OU Sub-team).

• Operational Activities (TBD-NWEC).

• Resource Summary/POCs.



March 17, 2009

IOC Sensor Assessment

• Team will evaluate the anticipated state of the sensor network at NextGen IOC. Create plan that supports Pre-IOC and IOC EA roadmap decision points, detail upcoming sensor gap analysis activities and mitigation recommendations. Sensors will be categorized as ground-based and airborne-based. Subset of each category to be examined through IOC will be identified.



March 17, 2009

IOC Sensor AssessmentSchedule

Task Name Duration Start Finish

ASSESSMENT 0 days Tue 3/17/09 Tue 3/17/09

Kick-Off Meeting at WJHTC 0 days Tue 3/17/09 Tue 3/17/09

Formulate Strategy 45 days Tue 3/17/09 Mon 5/18/09

Develop Plan and Schedule 45 days Tue 3/17/09 Mon 5/18/09

Draft Assessment 89 days Tue 3/17/09 Fri 7/17/09


Deliverable Development 120 days Fri 7/17/09 Thu 12/31/09

Final Deliverable 0 days Thu 12/31/09 Thu 12/31/09

RIGHT-SIZE MASTER PLAN 0 days Tue 3/17/09 Tue 3/17/09

Kick-Of Meeting 0 days Tue 3/17/09 Tue 3/17/09

Master Plan Outline 59 days Tue 3/17/09 Fri 6/5/09

Develop Draft 83 days Mon 6/8/09 Wed 9/30/09


Draft 0 days Thu 10/1/09 Thu 10/1/09

Develop Final 33 days Thu 10/1/09 Mon 11/16/09

Final 0 days Mon 11/16/09 Mon 11/16/09

3/17

3/17

7/8

12/31

3/17

3/17

7/8

10/1

11/16

2/8 3/15 4/19 5/24 6/28 8/2 9/6 10/11 11/15 12/20 1/24 2/28February 1 April 11 June 21 September 1 November 11 January 21



March 17, 2009


• Sub-Team Responsibilities– Develop planning information related to analysis of

sensor capability for IOC. • Matrix IOC functional and performance requirements to

current capabilities. Identify gaps, areas of need, propose solutions, demonstrations.

• Integrate effort with SE EA Weather Roadmap decision points through IOC.

• Provide information (to OU/IU team) as required to support Master Plan.

• Assessment to have two major categories: Ground-based and Airborne-based.



March 17, 2009


• Sub-Team Responsibilities by Category– NCAR– LL– Other (TBD)

• Ground based to include ASOS (LWE), NEXRAD (include dual pole), LIDAR, ASR-WSP, TDWR (2012), wind-shear detection services, F-420, DASI, SAWS, NLDN.

• Airborne – PIREPS, satellite, in-situ.



March 17, 2009


• Deliverables– For focus areas, provide assessment of sensor

capability to meet expected IOC capability.– If assessment can NOT be provided, or fully

provided, identify why and suggested activities required…gap analysis.

– Information will be gathered and presented in a final report.

1 federal aviation administration right sizing kick-off – v0.1 march 17, 2009 goals today shared...

Documents

space weather

reliable weather information

weather information

nextgen weather basics

aviation parameters

aviation decisions

dimensional weather

dimensional weather