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First-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW

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Page 1: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

1

First-half FY20 Results Presentation.26 February 2020.

Argyle, Elderslie, NSW

Page 2: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

2

Housing matters.Community matters.

Arcadian Hills, Cobbitty, NSW

Page 3: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

What we do.

• We acquire an interest in land.• Develop and sub-divide it.• Then sell a mix of land and AVJennings

built homes on our land.

• We don’t do inner city high-rise or contract building.

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Page 4: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

And we continue to be focused on a domestic customer base.

First home buyers, 31%

Subsequent home buyers,

43%

Investors, 15%

Builders / developers,

11%

AVJennings customer segmentation H1 FY20.

Zero foreign buyers.

4

Page 5: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

Business update – H1 FY20.

Delivered solid and responsible financial results.• Revenue and profit up. • Managing WIP and

Balance Sheet.

Well positioned for future growth.• Capacity to quickly scale

up WIP. ANGLE-RIGHT Making good progress with existing projects.• The market recovery

continues.

We are active with acquisitions.

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Page 6: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

Delivered solid and responsible financial results in H1 FY20.

Increases in Revenue and PBT were aided by:• Early stages of market recovery.• Resulting in settlements (566 lots up 55%) and

higher margin contributions from projects in South-East Queensland, NSW and Auckland.

• The comparative H1 FY19 result was impacted by settlement delays across several projects.

A strong Balance Sheet provides capacity for growth.

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Page 7: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

Solid and responsible financial results.

H1 FY20 H1 FY19 % change

Total revenue $171.4m $113.2m 51.4%

Statutory profit before tax $12.6m $2.2m 482.5%

Statutory profit after tax $8.9m $1.4m 525.2%

Gross margins 22.2% 21.3% +0.9pp

Net tangible assets (NTA) $396.2m $382.1m 3.7%

NTA per share $0.975 $0.941 3.7%

EPS (cents per share) 2.2 0.4 508.3%

Dividend fully franked (cents per share) 1.2 1.0 20%

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Page 8: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

Revenue by land, housing and apartments.

-

20

40

60

80

100

120

Land Housing Apartments

$m

H1 FY19 H1 FY20

$m

H1 FY19

H1 FY20

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Page 9: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

Increasing average contract value as we sell more built form product.

• This is an intentional re-balancing of our product pipeline towards retail customers and more built form.

• Built form increases the project value.

• Built form extends the amount of time between development starting and settlement.

-

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 H1 FY20

* Average contract value is based on net contract price to AVJennings

Total Company

Total Company excluding NZ

$k

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Page 10: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

Strong Balance Sheet provides capacity for growth.$Millions December 2019 June 2019CURRENT ASSETS   Cash and cash equivalents 15.7 18.2Receivables 27.9 15.1Inventories 175.8 194.7Total Current Assets 223.9 230.4NON-CURRENT ASSETSInventories 392.6 430.3Total Non-Current Assets 426.9 454.8TOTAL ASSETS 650.8 685.2CURRENT LIABILITIESPayables 16.4 41.2Total Current Liabilities 24.6 51.5NON-CURRENT LIABILITIESBorrowings 180.0 199.8Total Non-Current Liabilities 227.2 237.4TOTAL LIABILITIES 251.8 288.9NET ASSETS 399.0 396.3

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Page 11: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

WIP lots atNet debt of

Managed downwards from recent peaks reflecting market conditions. However still at historically good levels, allowing quick scale up when conditions improve further.

25.2% gearing is well inside our target gearing range of 15-35% and down from 28.8% a year ago providing flexibility for acquisitions and further capacity for growth.

Capital efficient land transactions created a step change for total lots in our project pipeline from 9.9k lots to 12.4k lots while not changing our short term funding requirements. The PDA at Caboolture in SEQ involving 3,500 lots and Harvest Square at Brunswick in Melbourne are recent examples of capital efficient transactions.

1,480$164.3m

Strong Balance Sheet provides capacity for growth.

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Page 12: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

Work in Progress levels are appropriate for current market conditions and well placed for future.

554

715

974

1,264

1,539 1,512 1,623 1,681

1,880

2,161

1,991 1,949

2,241

1,600 1,480

1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 1H16 2H16 1H17 2H17 1H18 2H18 1H19 2H19 1H20

Work In Progress (Lots)

-

500

1,000

1,500

WIP by Product (lots)

Land Housing Apart.

Work in Progress (Lots) Work in Progress (Product)

Land

Housing

Apartment

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Page 13: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

We are active with acquisitions.

H1 FY20 includes:• the Caboolture option

agreement providing ~3.5k lots.

• renewal of an ageing public housing estate in Brunswick West, an inner Melbourne suburb (198 lots total incl. 79 lots private).

10,876

9,825 9,480

11,259 10,837

9,952 9,219

10,198 10,048 9,654 9,373 9,530

12,433

FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 H1 FY20

Total lots controlled by AVJennings Total lots controlled by AVJennings

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Page 14: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

NZ

Diverse geographic allocation of funds employed helps mitigate market risk.

Strategic allocations of net funds employed.

WA1%

PCP2%

QLD19%

NSW28%

NZ17%

VIC25%

SA10%

PCP10%

PCP30%

PCP30%

PCP15%

PCP13%

PCP = Prior corresponding period (1H19)

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Page 15: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

H1 FY20 Results – Cash Flow Statement.

$Millions H1 FY20 H1 FY19

CASH FLOWS FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES  

Receipts from customers 173.0 141.2

Payments to suppliers, land vendors and employees (134.8) (183.8)

Net cash from / (used in) operating activities 25.0 (61.1)

CASH FLOWS FROM INVESTING ACTIVITIES

Net cash from / (used in) investing activities 0.1 (0.1)

CASH FLOWS FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES

Proceeds from borrowings 36.7 149.5

Repayment of borrowings (57.0) (89.2)

Net cash (used in) / from financing activities (27.6) 55.4

NET DECREASE IN CASH HELD (2.5) (5.8)

Includes land payments:• H1 FY20 $12.1 million • H1 FY19 $59.5 million

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Page 16: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

Capital management.

Dividends.

• Interim dividend of 1.2 cents per share fully franked.

• Increase of 20% driven by earnings increase.

• Annualised grossed up yield of ~6% on a $0.60 share price.

0%

50%

FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 H1 FY20

Dividend payout ratio to earnings

0%

50%

FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 H1 FY20

Dividend payout ratio to earnings

Interim only

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Page 17: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

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Regions.

Page 18: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

• In November 2019 we entered into an option agreement over ~3,500 lots at Caboolture (included in 5,588 above). This is a medium to long term project conditional on satisfactory Development Approval.

• Construction commenced on 3 new projects during the half (Jimboomba, Ripley and Rochedale) with settlements of 59 lots in Rochedale a major contributor to revenue.

CALOUNDRA

CABOOLTURE

LEICHHARDTBETHANIARIPLEY &

DEEBINGHEIGHTS JIMBOOMBA

BRIDGEMANDOWNS

MACKAY

BRISBANEROCHEDALE

Queensland business overview.

Anise, Bridgeman Downs, QLD

NFE $110.9m

Total Lots 5,588

H1 FY20 Revenue $32.5m

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Page 19: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

Headline.

Sub-headline.

New South Wales business overview.

• Solid market conditions in NSW led to a much improved sales performance when compared to the same period in FY19.

• Good margins were realised at Evergreen (Spring Farm), Argyle (Elderslie), Magnolia (Hamlyn Terrace), Seacrest (Sandy Beach) and Arcadian Hills and Arcadian Grove (Cobbitty).

• Rosella Rise at Warnervale will commence mid 2020 providing a new focus on the Central Coast.

SYDNEY

CENTRAL COAST

ELDERSLIECOBBITTYSPRINGFARM

KOGARAH

SANDY BEACH

HAMLYN TERRACEWARNERVALE

HUNTLEY

Arcadian Hills, Cobbitty, NSW

NFE $155m

Total Lots 1,728

H1 FY20 Revenue $71.3m

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Page 20: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

Headline.

Sub-headline.

Victoria business overview.

• At Lyndarum North stages 1-7 are complete with majority of lots settled. Stages 8 & 9 under construction. Built form construction has commenced.

• GEM apartments at Waterline Place were awarded the prestigious UDIA design award for developments below 10 storeys.

• Construction and sales of the adjacent Empress apartment complex has commenced.

MELBOURNE

WOLLERT

WILLIAMSTOWN

MERNDA

Waterline Place,Williamstown, VIC

NFE $146m

Total Lots 2,512

H1 FY20 Revenue $29.1m

20

Page 21: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

Headline.

Sub-headline.

New Zealand business overview.

• Development work has completed for the Buckley B stage at Hobsonville Point, Auckland, for which $26.9 million of revenue was recognised in the result. 10 built form homes constructed at Hobsonville Point were also sold and settled.

• During the half we significantly advanced construction on Stage 1 of Ara Hills project at Orewa, north of Auckland. Development is progressing well with bulk earthworks completed, road and drainage works underway, the builder and retail sales are continuing.

HOBSONVILLE POINTAUCKLAND

OREWA

Ara Hills, Orewa, NZArtist Impression

NFE $98.7m

Total Lots 642

H1 FY20 Revenue $30.9m

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Page 22: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

Headline.

Sub-headline.

South Australia business overview.

• We continue to prioritise the rationalisation of funds invested in the South Australian business.

• There were 59 settlements completed in the half. We continue to revise cost structures, operational methods and product to improve both sales and efficiency.

ADELAIDE

EYRE

ST CLAIR

GOOLWA NORTH

MURRAY BRIDGE

Eyre, Eyre, SAArtist Impression

NFE $60m

Total Lots 1,760

H1 FY20 Revenue $7.7m

22

Page 23: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

Capability and trust.

UDIA 2019 WinnerWaterline Place, VIC

UDIA 2019 FinalistCreekwood, QLD

Reader's Digest 2019Trusted Brand

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Page 24: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

Social licence.

Our people Communities Innovation Strategic focus Quality

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Page 25: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

Sentiment is improving.

Current market dynamics.

• Continuing supportive market fundamentals.

• Positive changes to lending practices and home loan application processes leading to increased loan approvals.

• Positive media commentary about residential property markets generally.

• Improving auction clearance rates.

• New tax offsets and future tax cuts introduced.

• Continued support for first home buyers through First Home Buyers Scheme, government grants and stamp duty relief.

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Page 26: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

Supply has contracted but underlying demand has grown.

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2

4

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8

10

12

14

16

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20

22

08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

Dw

ellin

g Ap

prov

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('000

s pe

r mon

th)

Houses (sa) Flats/units/townhouses (sa) Total dwellings (sa)

Houses (trend) Flats/units/townhouses (trend) Total dwellings (trend)Source : The Australian Bureau of Statistics. sa = seasonally adjusted

-

2

4

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10

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14

16

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20

22

08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19

Dw

ellin

g Ap

prov

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('000

s pe

r mon

th)

Houses (sa) Flats/units/townhouses (sa) Total dwellings (sa)

Houses (trend) Flats/units/townhouses (trend) Total dwellings (trend) -

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prov

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s pe

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Houses (sa) Flats/units/townhouses (sa) Total dwellings (sa)

Houses (trend) Flats/units/townhouses (trend) Total dwellings (trend) -

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Houses (trend) Flats/units/townhouses (trend) Total dwellings (trend)

Houses (sa)Houses (trend)Flats/units/townhouses (sa)Flats/units/townhouses (trend)Total dwellings (sa)Total dwellings (trend)

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Page 27: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

Sector outlook continues to be supported by positive economic fundamentals.

Population growth

> 31m people by 2040.

Stable employment

Unemployment rate 5.3%.

Interestrates

At historically low levels.

Real GDP growth

Around 2.5% p.a.

Wagesgrowth

Around 2.5% p.a.

remains positive.

27

Page 28: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

FY20 and beyond.

Improving outlook.

General market sentiment is

beginning to improve.Lead indicators

of foot traffic and enquiries increasing.

Macroeconomic fundamentals remain

supportive.

We will have more product to sell in more places this year, and more

projects reaching profit recognition,

especially in Queensland.

Realisation of benefits from

enhancements to the Company’s

operating model.

Continue to benefit from our ethical and responsible

approach.

Expecting FY20 to be stronger than last year

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Page 29: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

29

Appendices.

Evergreen, Springfarm, NSW

Page 30: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

Detailed project pipeline by state.

Pre-delivery phase

Development phase

Project pipeline as at 31 December 2019, excluding Caboolture in Queensland, Mernda in Victoria and remnant lots.

Communities Remaining# of Lots Pre FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24 Post

New

Sou

th W

ales

Argyle, Elderslie 119Magnolia, Hamlyn Terrace 19Evergreen, Spring Farm (South) 78Evergreen, Spring Farm (East Village) 455Seacrest, Sandy Beach 9Arcadian Hills, Cobbitty Stages 1 - 8 163Arcadian Grove, Cobbitty 50Warnervale 495Evergreen, Spring Farm 50Kogarah (apartment project) 56Huntley 231

Que

ensl

and

Creekwood, Caloundra 35Glenrowan, Mackay 177Essington Rise, Leichardt 5Parkside, Bethania 42Anise, Bridgeman Downs 54Arbor, Rochedale 2 55Riverton, Jimboomba 1,196Deebing Springs, Deebing Heights 210Arbor, Rochedale 1 20Cadence, Ripley 294

NZ Buckley B, Hobsonville Point 5

Ara Hills, Hall Farm 637

Vict

oria Lyndarum, Wollert 95

Lyndarum North, Wollert JV 1,785Harvest Square, Brunswick 79Waterline Place, Williamstown 323

SA

Pathways, Murray Bridge 53River Breeze, Goolwa North 80St Clair 258Eyre, Eyre 1,359

WA

Indigo China Green, Subiaco Fine China Precinct 78Viridian China Green, Subiaco Fine China Precinct 13The Heights Kardinya 82Viveash 2Parkview, Ferndale 28

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Page 31: 1 First-half FY20 Results Presentation.investors.avjennings.com.au/.../Presentation-HY20.pdfFirst-half FY20 Results Presentation. 26 February 2020. Argyle, Elderslie, NSW 2 Housing

Headline.

Sub-headline.

31