1 measuring re-exports jasper roos cbs / statistics netherlands unit international trade
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Measuring re-exports
Jasper Roos
CBS / Statistics Netherlands
Unit International trade
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Re-exports vs domestic exports
Difference in economic impact
Role:Re-exports
– Only distribution and / or trade
Exports from domestic production
– Also production
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Re-exports
Ways to define re-exports– Origin criteria
– Value added
– Change of goods - Description
– Change of goods - Change of product code
Decision:Change on 6-digit Harmonized System-code ?
=> no re-exports
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Estimating re-exports (1)Supply and use tables
P + M = C + I + IC + E
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Estimating re-exports (1)Supply and use tables
P + M = C + I + IC + E
P + M = C + I + IC + Eimport + Eprod.
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Estimating re-exports (2)Statistical procedure
Statistical procedure:– Additional variable in the Netherlands– Specification of the trade flow
Gives underestimation– Unfamiliarity + discussion about the definition of
re-exports– Companies sometimes are unable to tell the
origin– No information for countries outside EU
(customs)
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Estimating re-exports (3)Comparison of import and export
Value of exports
---------------------- < 2
Value of imports
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Estimating re-exports (3)Comparison of import and export
Value of exports
---------------------- < 2 => re-exports
Value of imports
Else => some exports from domestic production
Comparison by– 6-digit HS-code
– Company (preferable enterprise-group level)
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Example (1)
Time period imports exports Estimated re-exports
X
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Example (1)
Time period imports exports Estimated re-exports
X € 900 € 300
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Example (1)
Time period imports exports Estimated re-exports
X € 900 € 300 € 300
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Example (2)
Time period imports exports Estimated re-exports
Y
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Example (2)
Time period imports exports Estimated re-exports
Y € 0 € 200
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Example (2)
Time period imports exports Estimated re-exports
Y € 0 € 200 € 0
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Example (3)
Time period imports exports Estimated re-exports
Z
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Example (3)
Time period imports exports Estimated re-exports
Z € 100 € 500
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Example (3)
Time period imports exports Estimated re-exports
Z € 100 € 500 € 40
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Example (4)
Time period imports exports Estimated re-exports
April € 900 € 300 € 300
May € 0 € 200 € 0
June € 100 € 500 € 40
2nd quarter
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Example (4)
Time period imports exports Estimated re-exports
April € 900 € 300 € 300
May € 0 € 200 € 0
June € 100 € 500 € 40
+ + +
2nd quarter € 1000 € 1000 € 340 (?)
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Enhancements of the model
Enhancements:– Profiling of the largest companies
– Knowlegde of production structure
– Statistical procedure
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Results - Exported goods in 2005
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Food, drink and tobacco
Raw materials
Mineral fuels, lubricants and related materials
Chemical products
Machinery and transportation equipment
Other manufactured goods
(in billion euro)
Exports from domestic production Re-exports
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Results - Destination of the exports in 2005
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
GermanyBelgiumFrance
United KingdomRest of EU15
Rest of EuropeUnited States
China and Hong-KongRest of S.E. AsiaRest of the World
Billion Euro
Domestic exports Re-exports
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Results - Origin of the re-exports in 2005
Germany
Belgium
France
United Kingdom
Rest of EU15
Rest of Europe
United States
China and Hong-Kong
Rest of S.E. Asia
Rest of the World
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Questions ?