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1 Public Utilities Commission of the State of California March 23, 2004 Wyoming Wyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority

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Page 1: 1 Public Utilities Commission of the State of California March 23, 2004 Wyoming Wyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority

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Public Utilities Commission of the State of California

March 23, 2004

WyomingWyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority

Page 2: 1 Public Utilities Commission of the State of California March 23, 2004 Wyoming Wyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority

Where is Production Growing ………………..

……………And Where is it Not Growing

Page 3: 1 Public Utilities Commission of the State of California March 23, 2004 Wyoming Wyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority

Wyoming vs Kansas

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

Jan-9

1

Jan-9

2

Jan-9

3

Jan-9

4

Jan-9

5

Jan-9

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Jan-9

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Jan-9

8

Jan-9

9

Jan-0

0

Jan-0

1

Jan-0

2

Jan-0

3

Jan-0

4P

roduction (M

mcf/m

onth

)

0.9 bcfd loss

EIA data

Page 4: 1 Public Utilities Commission of the State of California March 23, 2004 Wyoming Wyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority

Wyoming vs Oklahoma

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

Jan-9

1

Jan-9

2

Jan-9

3

Jan-9

4

Jan-9

5

Jan-9

6

Jan-9

7

Jan-9

8

Jan-9

9

Jan-0

0

Jan-0

1

Jan-0

2

Jan-0

3

Jan-0

4P

roduction (M

mcf/m

onth

)

Wyoming

Oklahoma

1.9 bcfd loss

2.3 bcfd gain

EIA Data

Page 5: 1 Public Utilities Commission of the State of California March 23, 2004 Wyoming Wyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority

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Growth In Production - Wyoming

Wyoming Production From Major Plants and Fields (Sales)

Production is stated in MMCFD and is average daily production for a particular year.

Blacks Echo Lost Powder

Opal Granger Fork Springs Cabin PavillionRiver Basin

1998 545 172 89 303 35 82

1999 582 156 98 279 55 47 156

2000 645 139 127 295 78 50 403

2001 713 148 125 323 84 56 673

2002 839 189 89 346 91 68 848

Oct ’03 Average 1078 255 98 344 121 45 952

Page 6: 1 Public Utilities Commission of the State of California March 23, 2004 Wyoming Wyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority

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Jonah Field (EnCana Interest Only)Unrestricted Development – If we don’t keep drilling production will decline as illustrated in red below

Jonah - Unrestricted Capital and Production Forecast

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Pro

du

ctio

n W

edg

es (

MM

CF

/D)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

Cap

ital

Co

lum

ns

(MM

$)

2003 = 70 wells/year2004 = 165 wells/year2005-2012 = 200 wells/year

Current Production

Future Development

Page 7: 1 Public Utilities Commission of the State of California March 23, 2004 Wyoming Wyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority

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Growth In Production – Colorado (Garfield County)

• 1999 154,000 Mcfd• 2000 190,000 Mcfd• 2001 241,000 Mcfd• 2002 315,000 Mcfd• March ’03 365,000 Mcfd• Oct ’03 423,000 Mcfd• Going to? 1 Bcfd +

Major Operators include: EnCana, Williams, Calpine, Mesa, Tom Brown, Exxon/Mobil

Data Source: Colorado Oil and Gas Conservation Commission

Page 8: 1 Public Utilities Commission of the State of California March 23, 2004 Wyoming Wyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority

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Producer Critical Success Factors

• Access to Federal Lands• Gas Price• Timing of Regulatory Approvals• Gathering System Capacities and Pressures• Transportation Export Capacity• Capital Efficiency• Public Acceptance

Page 9: 1 Public Utilities Commission of the State of California March 23, 2004 Wyoming Wyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority

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Lack of Access to Federal Lands

Page 10: 1 Public Utilities Commission of the State of California March 23, 2004 Wyoming Wyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority

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Nymex vs Wyoming Prices - 2002

Nymex vs Wyoming Prices2002

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00

8.00

9.00

10.00

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Price

($/M

MBtu)

CIG 2002

Nymex 2002

Page 11: 1 Public Utilities Commission of the State of California March 23, 2004 Wyoming Wyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority

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Nymex vs Wyoming Prices - 2003

Nymex vs Wyoming Prices2003

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00

8.00

9.00

10.00

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Pric

e ($

/MM

Btu

)

CIG 2003

Nymex 2003

Kern River Online

Page 12: 1 Public Utilities Commission of the State of California March 23, 2004 Wyoming Wyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority

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Pipeline Projects In-service or Full Market Support

• Kern River Pipeline Expansion

• Williston Basin Grasslands Pipeline

• Northwest Pipeline Expansion

• El Paso Cheyenne Plains Pipeline

• TransColorado

Page 13: 1 Public Utilities Commission of the State of California March 23, 2004 Wyoming Wyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority

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Kern Expansion online May ‘03

WBI Grasslands online Nov ‘03

Northwest PL Expansion online Nov ‘03

Proposed El Paso Cheyenne Plains and Kinder Advantage

EnCana Proposed Piceance to Cheyenne lateral

TransColorado

Expansion

Page 14: 1 Public Utilities Commission of the State of California March 23, 2004 Wyoming Wyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority

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Pipeline Export Projects Proposed

• Kinder Morgan Advantage

• Northern Border Bison Project

• Enbridge Chicago Project

• Southern Star Western Frontier Project

• El Paso Ruby Project

• Kinder Morgan TransColorado Expansion.

Page 15: 1 Public Utilities Commission of the State of California March 23, 2004 Wyoming Wyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority

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Intraregional Projects

• Questar Kern Expansion• El Paso Front Range Expansions• Xcel Front Range Projects• Kinder Huntsman Storage Project• Totem Gas Storage Project• Questar Gas Storage Project• Wyoming Interstate/Overthrust Backhaul Projects• Jonah/Opal/Powder/Wind River

Gathering/Processing Expansions• EnCana NW Colorado to Cheyenne Project

Page 16: 1 Public Utilities Commission of the State of California March 23, 2004 Wyoming Wyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority

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Expansions Since 2001 Acquisition:

• Phase I: 9000 HP

50 miles of 20”

• Phase II: 9000 HP

40 miles of 20”/24”

• Phase III: 3000 HP

90 miles of 20”/24”

250 MMcf/d Plant

2001 Capacity: 450 MMcf/d

2004 Capacity: 1180 MMcf/d

Current Volume: 925 MMcf/d

Teppco Jonah Gas Gathering System

Page 17: 1 Public Utilities Commission of the State of California March 23, 2004 Wyoming Wyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority

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Cost of Limited Infrastructure to Wyoming

• $130 + million in Federal/State royalties and severance taxes – 2002.

• $1 million per day in March 2003.• Stalled investment in development of mineral

resources.• Limited ability to predict revenues with certainty.

Page 18: 1 Public Utilities Commission of the State of California March 23, 2004 Wyoming Wyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority

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$1 Billion in Bonding Authority

Page 19: 1 Public Utilities Commission of the State of California March 23, 2004 Wyoming Wyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority

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Our Team of Finance Professionals

• Goldman Sachs – Jeff Brown• Merrill Lynch – Ed Burdett and Greg Dawley• George K. Baum – Mary Keating-Scott and Geoff Urbina• Kutak Rock – John Wagner

Page 20: 1 Public Utilities Commission of the State of California March 23, 2004 Wyoming Wyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority

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The Wyoming Pipeline Authority Will

• Promote all industry sponsored and supported projects.• Proactively promote infrastructure development within the state

and the Rocky Mountain Region.• Promote efficient utilization of existing infrastructure in a cost

effective manner.• Promote development of Wyoming’s mineral resource base in a

systematic, streamlined and environmentally responsible manner.

• Utilize its bonding authority to build or cause to be built infrastructure projects that will enhance state netbacks and promote development of a resource base that is in the nation’s best interests.

Page 21: 1 Public Utilities Commission of the State of California March 23, 2004 Wyoming Wyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority

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Thanks for the opportunity to speak with you.

Bryan Hassler

Interim Executive Director - Wyoming Natural Gas Pipeline Authority

Ph 303-357-7314

Cell 303-748-6473

Fax 303-948-1428

Email [email protected]

Wyoming Pipeline Authority Presentations Can be Accessed via the Wyoming Oil & Gas Conservation Commission Website at: www.wogcc.state.wy.us