1 Statistisches Bundesamt Federal Statistical Office of Germany, Walter Radermacher Mandelbrot set* Official Statistics and Knowledge Economywikipedia.org/wiki/Mandelbrot-Mengehttp://de statistic s 2 Statistisches Bundesamt Federal Statistical Office of Germany, Walter Radermacher Mandelbrot area after 8 steps of magnification statistics 3 Statistisches Bundesamt Federal Statistical Office of Germany, Walter Radermacher Kondratieff cycles: A glance into the future? steam engine cotton long-term growth path gross domestic product railway steel industry electrical engineering chemistry petrochemistry automobile information technology The Kondratieff cycles and their basic innovations 1. KONDRA- TIEFF 2. KONDRA- TIEFF 6. KONDRA- TIEFF 3. KONDRA- TIEFF 5. KONDRA- TIEFF 4. KONDRA- TIEFF Source: chart based on Vahs, D., Burmester, R.: Innovationsmanagement. Stuttgart: Schffer-Poeschel, 1999, p.6. recession boom 4 Statistisches Bundesamt Federal Statistical Office of Germany, Walter Radermacher Sunrise industries From: http.//uni21.jahrhundert-net 5 Statistisches Bundesamt Federal Statistical Office of Germany, Walter Radermacher Statistical infrastructure (sample) surveys maps classifications statistical standards register regulatory framework, codes 6 Statistisches Bundesamt Federal Statistical Office of Germany, Walter Radermacher Classifications Economic branches: A. Agriculture, hunting and forestry C. Mining and quarrying O. Other service activities . information and communication technology (ICT) innovations / R&D nano-/biotechnology globalisation 7 Statistisches Bundesamt Federal Statistical Office of Germany, Walter Radermacher Statistical production based on registers metadata inputediting output surveys information from administrative sources business accountancy sample surveys business register chamber of industry + comm. labour administration tax authorities labour administration tax authorities 8 Statistisches Bundesamt Federal Statistical Office of Germany, Walter Radermacher Processes of statistics users of statistics Producers of statistics those willing to form an opinion use. knowledge. statistical information statistical data work system conducting of processes, provision of products and services discussion / definition programmes products interpretation of data 9 Statistisches Bundesamt Federal Statistical Office of Germany, Walter Radermacher level distribution social security continuing education income consumption wealth labour experience school education vocational qualification population public finance infrastructure world economy and international relations natural resources and the environment technical progress societal trends Knowledge Economy Knowledge Society 10 Statistisches Bundesamt Federal Statistical Office of Germany, Walter Radermacher Measurement concepts of technological change* intention innovation input byput output diffusion Improvements Local innovations Global innovations Product innovations Process innovations (OsloManual ) R&D personnel R&D expenditures (Frascati manual ) patents *) D. Radic: Econometric Analysis of innovation activities, Inaugural-Dissertation, Frankfurt, May 2005, p. 10 11 Statistisches Bundesamt Federal Statistical Office of Germany, Walter Radermacher models / indicators core programme population economy environment overall systems new components human resources innovation / R&D ICT obsolete and/or outdated list of variables + _ _ Overall statistical programme new components human resources innovation / R&D ICT 12 Statistisches Bundesamt Federal Statistical Office of Germany, Walter Radermacher Data supply coherence degree of aggregation/ model character EU structural indicators short-term economic data overall systems e.g. NA structural data multi-dimensional indicators basic data indicator systems high low accuracy core system satellite systems 13 Statistisches Bundesamt Federal Statistical Office of Germany, Walter Radermacher Additional outputs until now: tables as aggregates of a set of statistics new: tables as an analysis of several sets of statistics new: longitudinal analysis of microdata new: geographical reference of individual statistical data individual case in statistics = characteristic of an individual in time and space 14 Statistisches Bundesamt Federal Statistical Office of Germany, Walter Radermacher Process-oriented organisation standardisation of processes: from the Stovepipe System to the Clearing House Architecture competence centres: CENEX quality management eStatistics (online surveys; online data collection at municipalities) 15 Statistisches Bundesamt Federal Statistical Office of Germany, Walter Radermacher Input factors for producing statistics man vocational training, job-related continuing education financial means for work in progress sufficient budgetary means for statistical services equipment with modern technology modern information and communication technologies 16 Statistisches Bundesamt Federal Statistical Office of Germany, Walter Radermacher Official statistics as a service provider private research facilities and institutes European official statistics international and supranational institutions, e.g. OECD, UN national official statistics Land statistical office Public institutions, e.g. German Bundesban k Federal Statistical Office Statistical Office of the EU Public institutions of the EU data suppliers users 17 Statistisches Bundesamt Federal Statistical Office of Germany, Walter Radermacher Thank you for your attention!