1 · web viewproblem 8.12 worldwide travel’s acquisition hedging foreign exchange risk: a payable...
TRANSCRIPT
Chapter 8
Problem 8.3 Hindustan Lever Advise Hindustan Lever on its Japanese yen purchase. Assumptions Values 180-day account payable, Japanese yen (¥) 8,500,000 Spot rate (¥/$) 120.60 Spot rate, rupees/dollar (Rs/$) 47.75 Implied (calculated) spot rate (¥/Rs) 2.5257 (120.60/47.75) 180-day forward rate (¥/Rs) 2.4000 Expected spot rate in 180 days (¥/Rs) 2.6000 180-day Indian rupee investing rate 8.000% 180-day Japanese yen investing rate 1.500% Currency agent’s exchange rate fee 4.850% Hindustan Lever’s cost of capital 12.00% Spot Risk Hedging Alternatives Values Rate (Rp/$) Assessment
1. Remain Uncovered, settling A/P in 180 days at spot rate
If spot rate in 180 days is same as current spot 3,365,464.34 2.5257 Risky If spot rate in 180 days is same as forward rate 3,541,666.67 2.4000 Risky If spot rate in 180 days is expected spot rate 3,269,230.77 2.6000 Risky 2. Buy Japanese yen forward 180 days Settlement amount at forward rate (Rs) 3,541,666.67 2.4000 Certain
(Continued)
Problem 8.3 Hindustan Lever (Continued)
3. Money Market Hedge Principal A/P (¥) 8,500,000.00 discount factor for yen investing rate for 180 days 0.9926 Principal needed to meet A/P in 180 days (¥) 8,436,724.57 Current spot rate (¥/Rs) 2.5257 Indian rupee, current amount (Rs) 3,340,411.26 Hindustan Lever’s WACC carry-forwad factor for 180 days 1.0600 Future value of money market hedge (Rs) 3,540,835.94 Certain 4. Indian Currency Agent Hedge Principal A/P (¥) 8,500,000.00 Current spot rate (¥/Rs) 2.5257 Current A/P (Rs) 3,365,464.34 Plus agent’s fee (4.850%) 163,225.02 Hindustan’s WACC carry-forwad factor for 180 days on fee 1.0600 Total future value of agent’s fee (Rs) 173,018.52 Total A/P, future value, A/P fee (Rs) 3,538,482.87 Certain Evaluation of Alternatives The currency agent is the lowest total cost, in CERTAIN future rupee value, of all certain alternatives.
Problem 8.4 Mattel Toys Advise Mattel on its European sales. Assumptions Values
90-day A/R (€)€30,000,000.0
0 Current spot rate (4/€) $1.2186 Credit Suisse 90-day forward rate ($/€) $1.2170 Barclays 90-day forward rate ($/€) $1.2210 Expected spot rate in 90 days ($/€) $1.1800 90-day eurodollar interest rate 4.000% 90-day euro-euro interest rate 4.400% Implied 90-day forward rate (calculated, $/€) $1.2174 90-day eurodollar borrowing rate 5.600% 90-day euro-euro borrowing rate 6.400% Mattel Toys weighted average cost of capital ($) 9.600% Risk Hedging Alternatives Values Assessment 1. Remain Uncovered, settling A/R in 90 days at market rate (20 million euros/future spot rate) If spot rate in 90 days is same as current $36,558,000.00 Risky If spot rate in 90 days is same as Credit Suisse forward rate $36,510,000.00 Risky If spot rate in 90 days is same as Barclays forward rate $36,630,000.00 Risky If spot rate in 90 days is expected spot rate $35,400,000.00 Risky 2. Sell euros forward 90 days Settlement amount at Credit Suisse forward rate $36,510,000.00 Certain Settlement amount at Barclays forward rate $36,630,000.00 Certain 3. Money Market Hedge
Principal A/R in euros€30,000,000.0
0
discount factor for euro borrowing rate for 90 days 0.98431/(1 (0.064
90/360))
Borrow euros against 90-day A/R€29,527,559.0
6 Current spot rate, $/euro $1.2186 US dollar current value $35,982,283.46 Mattel’s WACC carry-forward factor for 90 days 1.0240 1 (0.0960 90/360) Future value of money market hedge $36,845,858.27 Certain
Evaluation of Alternatives
The money market hedge guarantees Mattel the greatest dollar value for the A/R when using the cost of capital as the reinvestment rate (carry-forward rate).
Problem 8.5 Tek: Italian account receivable Hedging foreign exchange risk: a receivable
Assumptions Values
Account receivable due in 3 months, in euros (€)€4,000,000.0
0 Spot rate ($/(€) 1.2000 3-month forward rate ($/€) 1.2180 3-month euro interest rate 4.200% 3-month put option on euros: Strike rate ($/€) 1.0800 Premium, percent per year 3.400% Tek’s weighted average cost of capital 9.800%
a) b) What are the costs and risk of each alternative? Value Certainty? 1. Do nothing and exchange euros for dollars at end of 3 months
Amount of euro receivable€4,000,000.0
0 If spot rate in 3 months is the same as the forward rate 1.2180 Very uncertain; US dollar proceeds of receivable would be $4,872,000.00 Risky
Amount of euro receivable€4,000,000.0
0 If spot rate in 3 months is the same as the current spot rate 1.2000 Very uncertain; US dollar proceeds of receivable would be $4,800,000.00 Risky
2. Sell euro receivable forward at the 3-month forward rate
Amount of euro receivable€4,000,000.0
0 forward rate 1.2180 Certain; US dollar proceeds of receivable would be $4,872,000.00 Locked-in
Problem 8.5 Tek: Italian account receivable (Continued)
3. Buy a put option on euros
Amount of euro receivable€4,000,000.0
0 Current spot rate ($/euro) 1.2000 Premium on put option, % 3.400% Cost of put option (amount spot rate percent premium) $163,200.00 If the spot rate at end of 3-months is less than strike rate Minimum is the option is exercised yielding gross dollars of $4,320,000.00 guaranteed; Less cost of option (premium) plus US$interest on premium $(167,198.40) could be Net proceeds of A/R if option is exercised (this is Minimum) $4,152,801.60 greater.
Summary of Alternatives Value Certainty? Do Nothing $4,800,000.00 Risky Sell A/R forward $4,872,000.00 Certain Buy Put Option $4,152,801.60 Minimum
c) If Tek wishes to play it safe, it should lock in the forward rate.
d) If Tek wishes to take a reasonable risk (definining ‘reasonable’ is another issue), and has a directional view that the dollar is going to depreciate versus the euro over the 3-month period,past $1.20/€, then Tek might consider purchasing the put option on euros.
Problem 8.6 Tek: Japanese account payable Hedging foreign exchange risk: a payable Assumptions Values Account payable to Japan Sony-Tek, in Japanese yen (¥) 8,000,000.00 Spot rate (¥/$) 108.20 6-month forward rate (¥/$) 106.20 6-month yen deposit rate 1.250% 6-month dollar interest rate 4.000% 6-month call option on yen: Strike rate (¥/$) 108.00 Premium, percent per year 2.500% Tek’s weighted average cost of capital 9.800% What are the costs and risk of each alternative? a) Value b) Certainty 1. Do nothing and exchange dollars for yen at end of 6 months Amount of yen payable 8,000,000.00 If spot rate in 3 months is the same as the forward rate 106.20 Very uncertain; US dollar cost of settling payable would be $75,329.57 Risky Amount of yen payable 8,000,000.00 If spot rate in 3 months is the same as the current spot rate 108.20 Very uncertain; US dollar cost of settling payable would be $73,937.15 Risky 2. Buy yen forward 6-months to lock in cost of settling payable Amount of yen payable 8,000,000.00 forward rate 106.20 Certain; US dollar cost of settling payable would be $75,329.57 Locked-in
Problem 8.6 Tek: Japanese account payable (Continued)
3. Money market hedge—invest funds in yen deposit now
Principal needed at the end of 6-months, yen 8,000,000 Discount factor, 6-months @ yen deposit rate 0.9938 1/(1 (0.0125 180/360)) Yen deposit needed, now 7,950,311 Current spot rate (¥/$) 108.20 US dollars needed now, for exchange into yen $73,477.92 Carry-forward rate, 6 months @ Tek’s WACC 1.05 1 (0.0980 180/360) US cost of money market hedge at end of 6-months $77,078.33 4. Buy a call option on Japanese yen Amount of yen payable 8,000,000.00 Current spot rate (¥/$) 108.20 Premium on call option, % 2.500% Cost of call option $1,848.43 If the spot rate at end of 3-months is greater than strike rate Maximum cost the option is exercised yielding gross dollars of $74,074.07 guaranteed; Plus cost of option (premium) plus US$interest on premium $1,939.00 could be Total cost of exercising call option on yen $76,013.08 less. Summary of Alternatives: Cost of settling A/P Value Certainty? Do Nothing $73,937.15 Risky Buy yen forward $75,329.57 Certain Deposit yen now (money market hedge) $77,078.33 Certain Buy call option on yen $76,013.08 Maximum c) If Tek wishes to take a reasonable risk (definining ‘reasonable’ is another issue), and has a directional view
that the yen may be depreciating (falling) versus the dollar over the coming 6-month period, somewhere below the option strike rate of ¥108/$, then Tek might consider purchasing the call option. If Tek is a bit more risk adverse, the forward rate is relatively attractive compared to the money market hedge.
Problem 8.7 Tek: British Telecom bidding Hedging foreign exchange risk of a contract bid Assumptions Values Account receivable of bid, supply & install (British pounds, £) £1,500,000 Spot rate ($/£) 1.8418 Tek’s weighted average cost of capital 9.800% 1-month 4-month Forward rate ($/£) 1.8368 1.8268 British pound investment rate 4.000% 4.125% British pound borrowing rate 6.500% 6.500% Put option on pound: Strike rate ($/£) 1.85 1.85 Premium ($/£) $0.006 $0.012 Analysis and Evaluation a) Value b) Certainty
If Tek wins the bid, it will be long foreign currency, having a 1.5 million
pound position which is first backlog then an A/R. If and when Tek is awarded the bid, it would have 4 months (120 days) until cash settlement of the 1 million pound position. 1. Do Nothing—Remaining Uncovered Wait 120 days and exchange pounds for dollars spot If the ending spot rate is the same as current spot rate $2,762,700.00 Risky If the ending spot rate is the same as the 4-month forward rate $2,740,200.00 Risky It could, however, be much lower.
2. Sell the pounds forward Selling 1 million pounds forward at the 4-month forward rate $2,740,200.00 Certain Value The primary problem with this is that if Tek does not win the bid, If Tek Wins Bid it has a forward contract to sell pounds which it will not earn. 3. Money market hedge—borrow against expected receipts Expected receipts (£) £1,500,000
Discount factor for 4-months at pound borrowing rate 0.97881/(1 (0.065
120/360)) Proceeds from borrowing, now (£) £1,468,189 Current spot rate ($/£) 1.8418 Proceeds from borrowing, now ($) $2,704,110.93 Carry-forward rate, 4 months @ Tek’s WACC 1.0327 1 (0.098 120/360) Value in 4 months of money market hedge ($) $2,792,445.22 4. Buy a put option on pounds at strike price of 1.85 Option, if exercised (if ending spot rate less than $1.85) $2,775,000.00 Put option premium, up-front $18,000.00 and the 4-months opportunity cost of premium 588.00 Total premium expense $18,588.00 Minimum; Minimum dollars received if put option purchased $2,756,412.00 Could be More The money market hedge provides the largest dollar value at the end of 4 months, but it assumes certainty of bid’s award.
The advantage of the option is if Tek does not win the bid, the option can easily be sold.
Problem 8.8 Tek—Swedish price list Hedging foreign currency price quotes and potential sales. Assumptions Values Expected sale over 90-day period, Swedish krona (SKr) 5,000,000.00 Could be more Spot rate (SKr/$) 7.4793 90-day forward rate (SKr/$) 7.4937 3-month dollar interest rate 4.000% 3-month krona deposit interest rate 4.780% 3-month krona borrowing interest rate 6.500% 3-month put option on krona: Strike rate (SKr/$) 7.50 Premium 2.500% Tek’s weighted average cost of capital 9.800% Hedging Alternatives This is an uncertain exposure. Although sales will most likely occur, it is not known what total quantity of sales will occur, and therefore what Tek’s actual long position in Swedish krona will be. Value Certainty? 1. Do Nothing—Remain Uncovered. The ending spot rate at the time of settlement could be nearly anything. If the ending spot rate is the same as current spot rate (SKr/$) $668,511.76 Risky If the ending spot rate is the same as forward (SKr/$) $667,227.14 Risky 2. Sell Swedish krona forward Sold forward 3-months at forward rate (SKr/$) $667,227.14 Certain However, remember that Tek does not know total sales.
Problem 8.8 Tek—Swedish price list (Continued)
3. Money market hedge Tek would borrow now against expected proceeds of (SKr) 5,000,000.00 Discount rate of SKr interest rate for 90-days 0.98401 SKr proceeds from borrowing received up-front 4,920,049.20 Exchanged at current spot rate (SKr/$) 7.48 US dollars received now $657,822.15 Tek carry-forward rate for US$for 90 days 1.025 Money market hedge proceeds in 90-days $673,938.79 4. Buy a 3-month put option on Swedish krona If exercised If not exercised Proceeds will be option less premium if exercised (minimum) (random choice) Exchange rate if exercised/not exercised (SKr/$) 7.50 7.24 Amount of Swedish krona 5,000,000.00 5,000,000.00 If exercised, it will yield a gross dollar amount of $666,666.67 $690,607.73 Put option premium $16,712.79 $16,712.79 Opportunity cost of premium 409.46 409.46 Total future value of premium $17,122.26 $17,122.26 Minimum net dollar proceeds at end of 90 days $649,544.41 $673,485.48 (exercised gross amount less future value of premium) Minimum The money market hedge provides the highest certain US dollar receipts. (This is again a result of the
significant increase in relative value arising from carrying-forward the dollars at Tek’s WACC.)
If Tek sincerely believes in its directional view, and is willing to take some currency risk, the SKr
would have to fall to about SKr7.24 (shown above) in order for the put option to yield roughly the same amount of US dollars as the money market hedge.
Problem 8.9 Tek: Swiss dividend payable Hedging an intra-company dividend payment. Assumptions Values Dividend declared, Swiss francs (SFr) SFr. 5,000,000 Spot rate (SFr/$) 1.2462 90-day forward rate (SFr/$) 1.2429 3-month US dollar interest rate 4.000% 3-month Swiss franc interest rate 3.750% 3-month put option on Swiss francs: Strike rate (SFr/$) 1.25 Premium ($/SFr) $0.015 Tek’s weighted average cost of capital 9.80% Tek’s expected spot rate in 90 days (SFr/$) 1.22 Hedging Alternatives Value Certainty? 1. Do Nothing—Remain Uncovered. If the ending spot rate is the same as current spot rate (SFr/$) $4,012,197.08 Risky If the ending spot rate is the same as forward (SKr/$) $4,022,849.79 Risky Realistically, the ending spot rate could vary between SFr1 and SFr2 per $. 2. Sell Swiss francs forward Sold forward 3-months at forward rate (SFr/$) $4,022,849.79 Certain
Problem 8.9 Tek: Swiss dividend payable (Continued)
3. Money Market Hedge Borrow SFr now against future receipt Principal SFr. 5,000,000 Borrow SFr at SFr interest rate for 90-days 0.9907 SFr proceeds received now via borrowing SFr. 4,953,560 Exchanged into US$at spot rate of (SFr/$) 1.25 Dollars received now $3,974,932.09 Carry-forward rate for US$at Tek’s WACC for 90-days 1.0245 Money Market Hedged proceeds in 90 days $4,072,317.93 4. Buy a 3-month put option on Swiss francs If exercised If not exercised Proceeds option – premium, if exercised (minimum) Effective exchange rate if exercised/not exercised, SFr/$ 1.25 1.22 Principal of payment, SFr SFr. 5,000,000 SFr. 5,000,000 If exercised, it will yield a gross dollar amount of $4,000,000.00 $4,098,360.66 Put option premium $75,000.00 $75,000.00 Opportunity cost of premium 1,837.50 1,837.50 Total future value of premium $76,837.50 $76,837.50 Minimum net dollar proceeds at end of 90 days $3,923,162.50 $4,021,523.16 (exercised gross amount less future value of premium) Minimum Analysis. The Money market hedge yields the highest certain US dollar proceeds. If, however,
Tek wishes to accept some degree of currency risk, and believes in the direciton of a stronger SFr, it may choose the 3-month put option. Note that the official expectation is SFr1.22/$. This is still not superior to the Money Market Hedge. (The ending spot rate would need to be SFr1.20/$or stronger to end up superior to the Money Market Hedge.)
Problem 8.10 Northern Rainwear Hedging foreign exchange risk: A/R & forward points
Assumptions ValuesForwardDiscount
Spot rate, DKr/C$ 4.70 3-month forward rate, DKr/C$ 4.71 –0.85% 6-month forward rate, DKr/C$ 4.72 –0.85% 12-month forward rate, DKr/C$ 4.74 –0.84%
Northern’s Exposures 0–90 days 91–180 days > 180 days A/R due in 3 months, DKr 3,000,000 A/R due in 6 months, DKr 2,000,000 A/R due in 12-months, DKr 1,000,000 Northern’s Manadatory Forward Cover 0–90 days 91–180 days > 180 days Paying the points forward 75% 60% 50% Receiving the points forward 100% 90% 50% Analysis & Exposure Management The Danish krone is selling forward at a discount versus the Canadian dollar: it takes more DKr/C$forward. Northern Rainwear is receiving foreign currency, DKr, at future dates (“long DKr”). Northern Rainwear is therefore expecting to PAY THE POINTS FORWARD. Required Forward Cover for Northern: 0–90 days 91–180 days > 180 days A/R due in 3 months, DKr 75% A/R due in 6 months, DKr 60% A/R due in 12-months, DKr 50% DKr Forward Cover A/R due in 3 months, DKr 2,250,000 A/R due in 6 months, DKr 1,200,000 A/R due in 12-months, DKr 500,000 Expected Canadian dollar value of DKr sold forward 477,707.01 254,237.29 105,485.23
Problem 8.11 Vamo Road Industries Hedging foreign exchange risk: a payable
Assumptions Values Construction payment due in six-months (A/P, quetzals) 8,400,000 Present spot rate (quetzals/$) 7.0000 Six-month forward rate (quetzals/$) 7.1000 Guatemalan six-month interest rate (per annum) 14.000% U.S. dollar six-month interest rate (per annum) 6.000% Vamo’s weighted average cost of capital (WACC) 20.000% Expected spot rate in six-months (quetzals/$): Highest expected rate 8.0000 Expected rate 7.3000 Lowest expected rate 6.4000
a) What realistic alternatives are available to Vamo? Cost Certainty 1. Wait six months and make payment at spot rate Highest expected rate $1,050,000.00 Risky Expected rate $1,150,684.93 Risky Lowest expected rate $1,312,500.00 Risky 2. Purchase quetzals forward six-months $1,183,098.59 Certain (A/P divided by the forward rate)
3. Transfer dollars to quetzals today, invest for six-months quetzals needed today (A/P discounted 180 days) 7,850,467.29 Cost in dollars today (quetzals to $at spot rate) $1,121,495.33 factor to carry dollars forward 180 days (1 (WACC/2)) 1.10 Cost in dollars in six-months ($carried forward 180 days ) $1,233,644.86 Certain
The second choice, the forward contract, results in the lowest cost alternative amongcertain alternatives.
Problem 8.12 Worldwide Travel’s acquisition Hedging foreign exchange risk: a payable Assumptions Values Acquisition price & 3-month A/P, NewTaiwan dollars (T$) 7,000,000 Spot rate (T$/$) 33.40 3-month forward rate (T$/$) 32.40 3-month Taiwan dollar deposit rate 1.500% 3-month dollar borrowing rate 6.500% 3-month call option on T$ not available Evaluation of Alternatives Cost Certainty 1. Do Nothing—Wait 3 months and buy T$spot If spot rate is the same as current spot rate $209,580.84 Risky If spot rate is the same as 3-month forward rate $216,049.38 Risky Although this would do nothing to cover the currency risk, there would be no required payment or borrowing for 3-months. 2. Buy T$forward 3-months Assured cost of T$at 3-month forward rate $216,049.38 Certain The purchase of a forward contract would not require any cash up-front, but the Bank of Hawaii would reduce his available credit line by the amount of the forward. This is a non-cash expense. 3. Money Market Hedge: Exchanging US$for T$now, depositing for 3-months until payment Acquisition price in T$needed in 3-months 7,000,000 Discounted back 3-months at T$deposit rate 0.9963 Amount of NT$needed now for deposit 6,973,848 Spot rate, T$/$ 33.40 US$needed now for exchange $208,797.85 US$carry-forward rate (3-month dollar borrowing rate) 6.500% Certain Carry-forward factor of US$for 3-month period 1.0163 Total cost in US$of settling A/P in 3-months with $212,190.81 Money Market Hedge The currency risk is eliminated, but since Matt Morita would have to exchange the money up-
front, it requires Matt Morita to increase his debt outstanding for the entire 3 months.
Forward contract hedge is probably the best “acceptable” alternative.
Problem 8.13 Seattle Scientific, Inc. Costs and benefits of cash versus cover. Assumptions Values Seattle’s 30-day account receivable, Japanese yen 12,500,000 Spot rate, yen/$ 120.23 30-day forward rate, yen/$ 119.73 90-day forwrad rate, yen/$ 118.78 180-day forward rate, yen/$ 117.21 Yokasa’s WACC 8.850% Seattle Scientific’s WACC 12.500% Desired discount on purchase price by Yokasa 4.500% Josh Miller should compare two basic alternatives, both of which eliminate the currency risk. 1. Allow the discount and receive payment in Japanese yen in cash Account recievable (yen) 12,500,000 Discount for cash payment up-front (4.500%) (562,500) Amount paid in cash net of discount 11,937,500 Current spot rate 120.23 Amount received in U.S. dollars by Seattle Scientific $99,288.86 2. Not offer any discounts for early payment and cover exposure with forwards Account receivable (yen) 12,500,000 30-day forward rate 119.73 Amount received in cash in dollars, in 30 days $104,401.57 Discount factor for 30 days @ Seattle’s WACC 0.9897 Present value of dollar cash received $103,325.27 Josh Miller should politely decline Yokasa’s offer to pay cash in exchange for cash payment.
Problem 8.14 Wilmington Chemical Company Hedging foreign exchange risk: a payable Assumptions Values Shipment of phosphates from Morocco, Moroccan dirhams 6,000,000 Wilmington’s cost of capital (WACC) 14.000% Spot exchange rate, dirhams/$ 10.00 Six-month forward rate, dirhams/$ 10.40 Options on Moroccan dirhams: Call Option Put Option Strike price, dirhams/$ 10.00 10.00 Option premium (percent) 2.000% 3.000% United States Morocco Six-month interest rate for borrowing (per annum) 6.000% 8.000% Six-month interest rate for investing (per annum) 5.000% 7.000% Risk Management Alternatives Values Certainty
1. Remain uncovered, making the dirham payment in six months
at the spot rate in effect at that date Account payable (dirhams) 6,000,000 Possible spot rate in six months—the current spot rate (dirhams/$) 10.00 Cost of settlement in six months (US$) $600,000.00 Uncertain. Account payable (dirhams) 6,000,000 Possible spot rate in six months—forward rate (dirhams/$) 10.40 Cost of settlement in six months (US$) $576,923.08 Uncertain.
Problem 8.14 Wilmington Chemical Company (Continued)
2. Forward market hedge. Buy dirhams forward six months. Account payable (dirhams) 6,000,000 Six month forward rate, dirhams/$ 10.40 Cost of settlement in six months (US$) $576,923.08 Certain. 3. Money market hedge. Exchange dollars for dirhams now, invest for six months. Account payable (dirhams) 6,000,000.00 Discount factor at the dirham investing rate for 6 months 1.035 Dirhams needed now for investing (payable/discount factor) 5,797,101.45 Current spot rate (dirhams/$) 10.00 US dollars needed now $579,710.14 Carry forward rate for six months (WACC) 1.070 US dollar cost, in six months, of settlement $620,289.86 Certain. 4. Call option hedge. (Need to buy dirhams call on dirhams) Option principal 6,000,000.00 Current spot rate, dirhams/$ 10.00 Premium cost of option 2.000% Option premium (principal/spot rate % pm) $12,000.00 If option exercised, dollar cost at strike price of 10.00 dirhams/$ $600,000.00 Plus premium carried forward six months (pm 1.07, WACC) 12,840.000 Total net cost of call option hedge if exercised $612,840.00 Maximum.
The lowest cost certain alternative is the forward. If Wilmington were to expect the dirham to depreciate significantly over the next six months, it may choose the call option.
Problem 8.15 Dawg-Grip, Inc. Hedging foreign exchange risk: a payable Assumptions Values Purchase price of Korean manufacturer, in Korean won 7,030,000,000 Less initial payment, in Korean won (1,000,000,000) Net settlement needed, in Korean won, in six months 6,030,000,000 Current spot rate (Won/$) 1,200 Six month forward rate (Won/$) 1,260 Plasti-Grip’s cost of capital (WACC) 25.00% Options on Korean won: Call Option Put Option Strike price, won 1,200.00 1,200.00 Option premium (percent) 3.000% 2.400% United States Korea Six-month investment interest rate (per annum) 4.000% 16.000% Six-month borrowing rate (investment rate 2%) 6.000% 18.000% Risk Management Alternatives Values Certainty 1. Remain uncovered, making the won payment in 6 months at the spot rate in effect at that date Account payable (won) 6,030,000,000 Possible spot rate in six months: current spot rate (won/$) 1,200 Cost of settlement in six months (US$) $5,025,000.00 Uncertain. Account payable (won) 6,030,000,000 Possible spot rate in six months: forward rate (won/$) 1,260 Cost of settlement in six months (US$) $4,785,714.29 Uncertain.
Problem 8.15 Dawg-Grip, Inc. (Continued)
2. Forward market hedge. Buy won forward six months Account payable (won) 6,030,000,000 Forward rate (won/$) 1,260.00 Cost of settlement in six months (US$) $4,785,714.29 Certain. 3. Money market hedge. Exchange dollars for won now, invest for six months. Account payable (won) 6,030,000,000 Discount factor at the won interest rate for 6 months 1.080 Won needed now (payable/discount factor) 5,583,333,333.33 Current spot rate (won/$) 1,200.00 US dollars needed now $4,652,777.78 Carry forward rate for six months (WACC) 1.125 US dollar cost, in six months, of settlement $5,234,375.00 Certain. 4. Call option hedge. (Need to buy won call on won) If exercised If not exercised Option principal 6,030,000,000 Current spot rate (won/$) 1,200.00 1,307.00 Premium cost of option (%) 3.000% Option premium (principal/spot rate % pm) $150,750.00 If option exercised/not exercised, dollar cost of won $5,025,000.00 $4,613,618.97 Premium carried forward six months (pm 1.125, WACC) 169,593.750 169,593.75 Total net cost of call option hedge if exercised $5,194,593.75 $4,783,212.72 Maximum. The forward contract provides the lowest cost hedging method for payment settlement. If, however, the firm believes the ending spot rate will be Won 1307/$or higher, the call option hedge could prove lower cost. This would require the firm, however, to accept the foreign exchange risk and suffering the higher cost of the call option hedge in the event their spot rate expectations proved incorrect.
Problem 8.16 Aqua-Pure Hedging foreign exchange risk: a receivable Assumptions Values Amount of receivable, Japanese yen 20,000,000 Spot exchange rate at time of sale (yen/$) 118.255 Booked value of sale (amount/spot rate) $169,126.04 Days receivable due 90 Aqua-Pure’s WACC 16.0% Competitor borrowing premium, yen 2.0% Forward rates and premiums Forward Rate Premium One-month forward rate (yen/$) 117.760 5.04% Three-month forward rate (yen/$) 116.830 4.88% One-year forward rate (yen/$) 112.450 5.16% Investment rates, % per annum United States Japan 1 month 4.8750% 0.09375% 3 months 4.9375% 0.09375% 12 months 5.1875% 0.31250% Purchased options Strike (yen/$) Premium 3-month call option on yen 118.000 1.0% 3-month put option on yen 118.000 3.0%
Problem 8.16 Aqua-Pure (Continued)
a. Alternative Hedges Values Certainty 1. Remain uncovered. Account receivable (yen) 20,000,000 Possible spot rate in 90 days (yen/$) 118.255 Cash settlement in 90 days (US$) $169,126.04 Uncertain. 2. Forward market hedge. Account receivable (yen) 20,000,000 Forward rate (won/$) 116.830 Cash settlement in 90 days (US$) $171,188.91 Certain. 3. Money market hedge. Account receivable (yen) 20,000,000
Discount factor for 90 days 1.005231 ((0.0009375 .02)
90/360) Yen proceeds up front 19,895,858 Current spot rate (won/$) 118.255 US dollars received now $168,245.38 Carry forward at Aqua-Pure’s WACC 1.0400 1 (0.16 90/360) Proceeds in 90 days $174,975.20 Certain.
4. Put option hedge. (Need to sell yen put on yen)
Option principal 20,000,000 Current spot rate (won/$) 118.255 Premium cost of option (%) 3.000% Option pm (principal/spot rate % pm) $5,073.78 If option exercised, dollar proceeds $169,491.53 Less Pm carried forward 90 days (5,276.732) 1.04 carry-forward rate Net proceeds in 90 days $164,214.79 Minimum.
The put option does not GUARANTEE the company of settling for the booked amount. The money market and forward hedges do; the money market yielding the higher proceeds.
b) Breakeven rate between the money market and the forward hedge is determined by the
reinvestment rate: Money market, US$up-front $168,245.38 Forward contract, US$, end of 90 days $171,188.91 (1 x) 101.750% $168,245 (1 x) $171,189 x 1.74954% For 90 days Breakeven rate, % per annum 6.998%
Problem 8.17 Botox Watch Company Hedging policy
Assumptions Values Account recievable in 90 days (€) 1,560,000 Initial spot exchange rate ($/€) $1.2340 Forward rate, 90 days ($/€) $1.2460 Expected spot rate in 90 to 120 days ($/€): Case #1 $1.2000 Expected spot rate in 90 to 120 days ($/€): Case #2 $1.2600
Hedged Hedged If Botox Watch Company …… the Minimum the Maximum Proportion of exposure to be hedged 70% 120% Total exposure (€) 1,560,000 1,560,000 hedged proportion 70% 120% Minimum hedge in euros (exposure min prop) 1,092,000 1,872,000 at the forward rate ($/€) $1.2460 $1.2460 locking in ($) $1,360,632 $2,332,512
Case #1: Ending spot rate Proportion uncovered (short) 468,000 (312,000) If ending spot rate is ($/€) $1.2000 $1.2000 Value of uncovered proportion ($) $561,600 $(374,400)
Value of covered proportion (from above) $1,360,632 $2,332,512 Total net proceeds, covered uncovered $1,922,232 $1,958,112
Case #2: Ending spot rate Proportion uncovered (short) 468,000 (312,000) If ending spot rate is ($/€) $1.2600 $1.2600 value of uncovered proportion ($) $589,680 $(393,120)
Value of covered position (from above) $1,360,632 $2,332,512 Total net proceeds, covered uncovered $1,950,312 $1,939,392
Benchmark: Full (100%) forward cover $1,943,760 $1,943,760 This is not a conservative hedging policy. Any time a firm may choose to leave any proportion
uncovered, or purchase cover for more than the exposure (therefore creating a net short position) the firm could experience nearly unlimited losses or gains.
Problem 8.18 Redwall Pump Company Hedging foreign exchange risk: a receivable Assumptions Values Today is March 1 90-day Forward rate, $/euro $1.1060 Exchange Rate 180-day Forward rate, $/euro $1.1130 Date ($/euro) US Treasury bill rate 3.600% February 1 $1.0800
Redwall’s borrowing rate, euros, per annum 8.000% March 1 $1.1000
Redwall’s cost of equity 12.000% Options on euros Strike ($/euro) Call Option Put Option June maturity options $1.1000 3.0% 2.0% September maturity options $1.1000 2.6% 1.2%
Valuation of Alternative Hedges June ReceivableSept
Receivable Amount of receivable, in euros €2,000,000 €2,000,000 a. Hedge in the forward market Amount of receivable, in euros €2,000,000 €2,000,000 Respective forward rates ($/euro) $1.1060 $1.1130 US dollar proceeds as hedged ($) $2,212,000 $2,226,000 Carry forward to Sept 1st at WACC 1.03 — Total US$proceeds on Sept 1st $2,278,360 $2,226,000 Total of both payments $4,504,360
(Continued)
Problem 8.18 Redwall Pump Company (Continued)
b. Hedge in the money market Amount of receivable, in euros €2,000,000 €2,000,000 Discount factor for euro funds, period 1.02 1.04 Current proceeds from discounting, euros €1,960,784 €1,923,077 Current spot rate ($/euro) $1.1000 $1.1000 Current US dollar proceeds $2,156,863 $2,115,385 Carry forward rate for the period 1.06 1.06 US dollar proceeds on future date $2,286,275 $2,242,308 Total of both payments $4,528,582 c. Hedge with options Amount of receivable, in euros €2,000,000 €2,000,000 Buy put options for maturities (% spot value) $(44,000) $(26,400) Carry forward for the period 1.06 1.06 Premium cost carried forward to Sept 1 $(46,640) $(27,984) Gross put option value if exercised $2,200,000 $2,200,000 Carried forward 3 months to Sept 1 1.03 — Gross proceeds, Sept 1 $2,266,000 $2,200,000 Total net proceeds, after premium deduction, Sept 1 $4,391,376
d. Do nothing (remain uncovered) Amount of receivable, in euros €2,000,000 €2,000,000 Ending spot exchange rate ($/euro) ??? ??? The money market hedge provides the highest certain outcome. If Redwall believes the euro will strengthen versus the dollar over the coming months, and it is willing to take the currency risk, the put option hedges could be considered.
ance, Second Edition
Problem 8.19 Pixel’s financial metrics Transaction exposure life-span and accounting treatment. Days Forward Date Event Spot Rate Forward Rate of Forward Rate February 1 Price quotation by Metrica 1.7850 1.7771 210 March 1 Contract signed for sale 1.7465 1.7381 180 Contract amount, pounds £1,000,000 June 1 Product shipped to Grand Met 1.7689 1.7602 90 August 1 Product received by Grand Met 1.7840 1.7811 30 September 1 Grand Met makes payment 1.7290 — — Analysis a. The sale is booked at the exchange rate existing on June 1, when the product is shipped to Grand Met, and the shipment is categorized as an account receivable. This sale is then compared to that value in effect on the date of cash settlement, the difference being the foreign exchange gain (loss). Value as settled 1 million pounds @ $1.7290/pound $1,729,000 Value as booked 1 million pounds @ $1.7689/pound $1,768,900 FX gain (loss) $(39,900) b. The vlaue of the foreign exchange gain (loss) will depend upon when Leo actually purchases the forward contract. Because many firms do not define an “exposure” as arising until the date that the product is shipped (loss of physical control over the goods) and the sale is booked on the income statement, that is a common date for the purchase of the forward contract.
(Continued)
Problem 8.19 Pixel’s financial metrics (Continuted)
Forward contract purchased on June 1 Value of forward settlement 1 million pounds @ $1.7602/pound $1,760,200 Value as booked 1 million pounds @ $1.7689/pound $1,768,900 FX gain (loss) $(8,700) A more aggressive alternative is for Leo to purchase the forward contract on the date that the contract was signed, March 1, locking-
in Pixel’s US dollar settlement amount a full 90 days earlier in the transaction exposure’s life span.
Forward contract purchased on March 1 Value of forward settlement 1 million pounds @ $1.7381/pound $1,738,100 Value as booked 1 million pounds @ $1.7689/pound $1,768,900 FX gain (loss) $(30,800) Note that in this case if Leo had covered forward on March 1st rather than June 1st, the amount of the foreign exchange loss would have been even greater, although “fully hedged.” The difference is of course the result of the forward rate changing with spot rates and interest differentials.
Problem 8.20 Maria Gonzalez and Trident (A) Assumptions Value 90-day A/R in pounds 3,000,000 Spot rate, US$per pound 1.7620 90-day forward rate, US$per pound 1.7550 3-month U.S. dollar investment rate 6.000% 3-month U.S. dollar borrowing rate 8.000% 3-month UK investment interest rate 8.000% 3-month UK borrowing interest rate 14.000% Put options on the British pound: Strike rates, US$/pound 1.75 1.71 Put option premium 1.500% 1.000% Trident’s WACC 12.000% Maria Gonzalez’s expected spot rate in 90-days, US$per pound 1.7850 Alternative #1: Remain Uncovered Rate ($/pound) Proceeds
Value of A/R will be (3 million pounds ending spot rate ($/pound))
If spot rate is the same as current spot rate $1.7620 $5,286,000.00 If ending spot rate is the same as current forward rate $1.7550 $5,265,000.00 If ending spot rate is the expected spot rate $1.7850 $5,355,000.00 Alternative #2: Forward Contract Hedge Rate ($/pound) Proceeds Sell the pounds forward 3-months locking in the forward rate Pound A/R at the forward rate (pounds forward) $1.7550 $5,265,000.00
Alternative #3: Money Market Hedge Rate ($/pound) Proceeds Trident borrows against the A/R, receiving pounds up-front, exchanging into US$. Amount of A/R in 90-days, in pounds 3,000,000.00 Discount factor, pound borrowing rate, for 3-months 0.9662 Proceeds of borrowing, up-front, in pounds 2,898,550.72 Exchanged to US$at current spot rate of $1.7620 US$received against A/R, up-front $5,107,246.38 US$need to be carried forward for comparison: Carry-forward rate, WACC for 90-days 1.0300 Money Market Hedge, US$, at end of 90-days $5,260,463.77
(Continued)
Problem 8.20 Maria Gonzalez and Trident (A) (Continued)
Strike Rate ($/pnd)
Strike Rate ($/pnd)
Alternative #4: Put Option Hedges 1.75 1.71 Option premium 1.500% 1.000% Notional principal of option (pounds) 3,000,000 3,000,000 Spot rate ($/pound) 1.7620 1.7620 Option premium, US$ $79,290.00 $52,860.00 Carry-forward factor, WACC, for 90-days 1.0300 1.0300 Total premium cost, in 90-days $81,668.70 $54,445.80 Proceeds from put option if exercised $5,250,000.00 $5,130,000.00 Less cost of premium, including time-value (81,668.70) (54,445.80) Net proceeds from put options, in 90-days: Minimum $5,168,331.30 $5,075,554.20
Ending spot rate needed to be superior to forward: $1.7825 $1.7732 Proceeds from exchanging pounds for US$spot $5,347,500.00 $5,319,600.00 Less cost of option (allowed to expire OTM) (81,668.70) (54,445.80) Net proceeds from put option, unexercised $5,265,831.30 $5,265,154.20
Analysis: Maria Gonzalez would receive the most certain US$from the forward contract, $5,265,000; the money market hedge is less attractive as result of the higher borrowing costs in the UK now. The two put options yield unattractive amounts if they had to be exercised. As shown, the $1.75 strike price put option would be superior to the forward if the ending spot rate was $1.7825 or higher; the $1.71 strike price would be superior to the forward if the ending spot rate were $1.7732 or higher.
Problem 8.21 Maria Gonzalez and Trident (B) Construction of Trident’s income statement, with foreign exchange losses and EPS by strategy. Exchange Rate Assumptions Assumption Assumption Assumption Part c) Positions Spot exchange rates at booking: US dollars per euro 1.0560 1.0560 1.0560 US dollars per pound 1.5900 1.5900 1.5900 Japanese yen per dollar 122.43 122.43 122.43 90-day forward rates: US dollars per euro 1.0250 1.0250 1.0250 Paying points US dollars per pound 1.5875 1.5875 1.5875 Paying points Japanese yen per dollar 120.85 120.85 120.85 Receiving points Spot rate forecasts: US dollars per euro 1.0660 1.0660 1.0660 US dollars per pound 1.5600 1.5600 1.5600 Japanese yen per dollar 126.00 126.00 126.00 Settlement spot rates: US dollars per euro — — 1.0480 US dollars per pound — — 1.6000 Japanese yen per dollar — — 122.50 Export sales in currency of invoice: Sales in European euros €2,340,000 €2,340,000 €2,340,000 50% Fwd Cover Sales in British pounds £1,780,000 £1,780,000 £1,780,000 50% Fwd Cover Sales in Japanese yen 125,000,000 125,000,000 125,000,000 100% Fwd Cover a) b) c) FX gains (losses) by sale: Settled at Forecast Settled at Forward Forwards on Points Sales in European euros $23,400 $(72,540) $(45,630) Sales in British pounds $(53,400) $(4,450) $6,67 Sales in Japanese yen $(28,928) $13,349 $13,34 $(58,928) $(63,641) $(25,606)
(Continued)
Problem 8.21 Maria Gonzalez and Trident (B) (Continued)
Uncovered 100% Forward Forward Cover Income Statement (US$) Settled at Forecast Cover Based on Points Sales $13,622,232 $13,622,232 $13,622,232 Domestic sales 7,300,000 7,300,000 7,300,000 Export sales 6,322,232 6,322,232 6,322,232 Less cost of goods sold 65% (8,854,451) (8,854,451) (8,854,451) Gross profit $4,767,781 $4,767,781 $4,767,781 Less G&A expenses 9% (1,226,001) (1,226,001) (1,226,001) Less depreciation (248,750) (248,750) (248,750) Foreign exchange gains (losses) (58,928) (63,641) (25,606) EBIT $3,234,102 $3,229,389 $3,267,424 Less US corporate taxes 40% (1,293,641) (1,291,755) (1,306,969) Net income $1,940,461 $1,937,633 $1,960,454 Shares outstanding 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 Earnings per share (EPS) $1.940 $1.938 $1.960
Trident’s EPS is highest in part c), where it determined its forward cover by whether it would receive or pay the forward points. In part c), for both the euro and the pound, Dayton is paying the points, and would therefore decide to cover 50% of the exposure with forwards (the yen is receiving the points, and is 100% covered with forwards). The foreign exchange loss for the pound is smaller in part c) because the pound moved in the company’s favor. Although the euro moves against the firm, the loss is not as large as what would occur under the forward contract.
Problem 8.22 Siam Cement Assumptions Value US dollar debt taken out in June 1997 $50,000,000 US dollar borrowing rate on debt 8.400% Initial spot exchange rate, baht/dollar, June 1997 25.00 Average spot exchange rate, baht/dollar, June 1998 42.00 Calculation of Foreign Exhange Loss on Repayment of Loan
At the time the loan was acquired, the scheduled repayment of dollar
and baht amounts would have been as follows: Scheduled Repayment: Repayment of US dollar debt: Principal $50,000,000 Repayment of US dollar debt: Interest 4,200,000 Total repayment $54,200,000 Exchange rate at time of repayment, baht/dollar 25.00 Total repayment in Thai baht 1,355,000,000 Total proceeds from loan, up-front, in Thai baht 1,250,000,000 Net interest to be paid, in Thai baht 105,000,000 Actual Repayment: Repayment of US dollar debt: Principal $50,000,000 Repayment of US dollar debt: Interest 4,200,000 Total repayment $54,200,000 Exchange rate at time of repayment, baht/dollar 42.00 Total repayment in Thai baht 2,276,400,000 Less what Siam had EXPECTED or SCHEDULED to be repaid (1,355,000,000) Amount of foreign exchange loss on debt 921,400,000