10 customized india newsletter march 2012 9 apr 2012 - issue 10

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  • 8/2/2019 10 Customized India Newsletter March 2012 9 Apr 2012 - Issue 10

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    Customized Energy Solutions 1

    StateOld Rate (Rs / kWh) New Rate (Rs / kWh)

    HT Tariff LT Tariff HT Tariff LT Tariff

    Punjab 4.58 4.14 4.95 4.47

    Haryana 4.15 3.91 4.70 4.50

    Rajasthan 4.01 3.75 5.00 4.75

    Bihar 4.70 4.75 5.10 5.20

    Madhya Pradesh 3.78 4.45 4.20 4.80

    Andhra Pradesh 2.97 3.25 3.97 4.80

    Uttarakhand 2.99 2.99 3.17 3.17

    Tamil Nadu 4.00 5.50

    March, 2012

    Issue 10

    STATES Seek NOD to hike ower tariff

    In order to reduce the deficit on account of unpaid dues by government backed power utilities, some of them have

    already increased the Retail Tariff and more are likely to increase the tariff in coming months.

    Tamil Nadu, Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan, Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Andhra Pradesh and Uttarakhand have already

    increased the Retail Tariff. The tariff hike is ranging from 7% - 50% in different categories.

    Also, there are few states such as Karnataka, Uttar Pradesh, Tripura and West Bengal have also submitted their proposal

    to the Electricity Regulatory Commission seeking a tariff revision.

    Inside This IssuePower Exchanges starts scheduling for 15 minute time block 2

    Congestion on Inter-state Transmission Corridor for Day-Ahead Market on Power Exchange

    2

    Bachat Lamp Yojana 3 &

    4

    Review of REC Trading March 2012

    5

    Possibilities for next trade session 6

    Monthly Analysis of OTC contracts for the month of February 2012

    Customized EnergySolutions is committed to

    working with each of our

    clients to analyze their

    needs, simplify the

    solutions, and implement

    an informed, fiscally

    responsible plan to help

    them to navigate the

    complex energy markets.

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    Customized Energy Solutions www.ces-ltd.com 2

    Power Exchanges starts scheduling for 15

    minute time block

    The power exchanges in India have started scheduling

    in 15 minutes time block from 1st April in Day

    Ahead Market. This 15 minute scheduling will help in

    managing the ABT mechanism in a better way as the

    computation of ABT / UI Mechanism is also done in

    15 minutes block interval.

    Every 15 minute time block will be treated as a

    separate contract under this new system. This will

    bring more stability in demand and supply

    management. The two exchanges have already made

    necessary changes in their systems to go for the

    arrangement.

    Since January 2012, approximately 1500 MUs have

    been curtailed due to congestion. Congestion is

    occurring during evening peak hours on both the

    power exchanges, primarily for Southern Region.

    This is happening at the time when Open AccessConsumers are participating on the Power

    exchange, in order to run their plant during load

    shedding hours. The volume of electricity that

    could not be cleared due to congestion and could

    not been transacted through power exchanges is the

    difference of unconstrained cleared volume

    (volume of electricity that would have been

    scheduled, had there been no congestion) and

    actual cleared volume.

    Congestion means a situation where the demand

    for transmission capacity exceeds the available

    transfer capability

    Market Splitting is a mechanism adopted by

    Power Exchange where the market is split in theevent of transmission congestion, into

    predetermined (by NLDC) bid areas or zones,

    which are cleared individually at their respective

    area prices such that the energy balance in every

    bid area is reached based upon the demand and

    supply in individual bid areas and using the

    available transmission corridor capacity between

    various bid areas simultaneously. As a result of this

    market splitting the price of electricity in the

    importing region, where demand for electricity is

    more than supply, becomes relatively higher than

    the price of electricity in the exporting region.

    Source: NLDC

    Congestion on Inter-state Transmission

    Corridor for Day-Ahead Market on Power

    ExchangeCongestion on Inter-state Transmission Corridor for

    Day-Ahead Market on Power Exchange

    Power Exchanges use a price discovery mechanism in

    which the aggregate demand and supply are matched

    to arrive at an unconstrained market price and

    volume. This step assumes that there is no congestion

    in the inter-state transmission system between

    different regions. However, in reality, the system

    operator, NLDC in coordination with RLDCs, limits

    the flow due to congestion in the inter-state

    transmission system. In such a situation, Power

    Exchanges adopt a mechanism called Market

    Splitting.

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    In India, lighting accounts for almost 20% of

    the total electricity demand and contributes

    almost fully to the peak load as well. The vast

    amount of lighting in India is provided by

    incandescent bulbs, which are extremely

    energy inefficient. Only about 5% of the

    electricity is converted into light, the rest is

    lost as heat, whereas CFL uses only one-fifth

    as much electricity as an incandescent lamp to

    provide the same level of illumination. CFLs

    have almost completely penetrated the

    commercial market, and the sales of CFLs in

    India have grown from about 20 million in

    2003 to more than 100 million in 2010.

    However, penetration into households has

    been very limited, largely because of the highprice of the CFLs. The price of CFLs has

    decreased considerably with the increasing

    market volumes, but is still in the Rs. 80-100

    price range. On the other hand, incandescent

    bulbs are available in the price range of Rs.10-

    15. It is estimated that about 400 million light

    points in India today are lighted by

    incandescent bulbs; their replacement by

    CFLs would lead to a reduction of over

    20,000 MW in electricity demand.

    In this regard, BEE has initiated Bachat

    Lamp Yojna (BLY), efficient lighting program

    The BEE has also successfully registered the

    Bachat Lamp Yojna as a Clean

    Development Mechanism Program of

    Activities (CDM PoA). The BLY PoA aims

    at large-scale replacement of incandescent

    bulbs in households by CFLs. The PoA uses

    the approved CDM methodology AMS II J

    for the replacement of Incandescent Lamps

    by Compact Fluorescent Lamps in the

    residential sector. It seeks to provide CFLs

    to households at the price similar to that of

    incandescent lamp and plans to utilize the

    Clean Development Mechanism (CDM)

    under the Kyoto Protocol to recover the cost

    differential between the market price of the

    CFL and the price at which the CFL is soldto household. The model is such that it

    captures the energy savings of Demand Side

    Management program which is translated in

    reduction in carbon emissions and thereby

    creating CERs. These CERs are issued after

    monitoring and verification based on Clean

    Development Mechanism (CDM)

    modalities and procedure, according to

    approved baseline and monitoring

    methodologies under the Kyoto Protocol

    and then traded. The funds so generated are

    ploughed back to the DSM project.

    BACHAT LAMP YOJANA(POA)

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    The key elements of such a program involving replacement of incandescent bulbs with

    Compact Florescent Lamps (CFL) are:

    To prepare CDM Program Activities (CPAs) under the PoA, CFL manufacturers would

    enter into agreements with electricity distribution companies (Discoms) for sale of CFLs

    to households in the Discoms area of operation at a price comparable to that of

    incandescent bulbs. The manufacturer would also establish a mechanism for the

    buyback of fused CFLs. Each area for which an agreement has been signed would

    constitute one CPA.

    BEE ensure that the CPA-DDs and the documentation meets all the requirements

    determined in the PoA and then submits the CPA-DDs to a DOE for consistency

    checking and submission to the CDM Executive Board for registration and project

    inclusion.

    BEE would periodically provide a subset of monitoring reports to the DOE as andwhen submitted by the CPA implementers as per the CPA DDs for their due

    diligence.

    BEE would instruct the DOE to submit a request for issuance of Certified Emissions

    Reductions (CERs) and instruct the CDM Executive Board to forward CERs to the

    BLY investor according to their share in achieved emissions reductions.

    The CERs issued will be traded with companies in developed countries who will use

    these CERs to partially meet compliance with their quantified emission limitations and

    reduction requirements

    The BLY PoA will be jointly developed by the CFL manufactures, Distribution Utilities and

    BEE under public private partnership mode. Number of project developers have shown

    interest and came forward to develop CPAs throughout India under registered BLY PoA.

    Total twenty numbers of Investors have been empanelled by BEE who is interested in

    implementation in different states. As on date, 50 numbers of CPA DDs (i.e. 8 from AP, 7

    BACHAT LAMP YOJANA (POA) contd.

    Source: BEE

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    Review of REC TradingMARCH 2012

    On 28th March 2012, trading session of REC was conducted on both the Power Exchanges for the month of

    March. Total Volume cleared in this trading session was 3% lower than previous trading session. RECs

    available for sale had decreased by 1% as compared to previous trading session.

    A total of 238,282 Non-Solar RECs were available for trading, however, actual participation was for 231,312

    RECs only. A total of 199,737 RECs were traded (86%) at an average price of Rs 2,907 per Non-Solar REC.

    Both the cleared price and quantum have decreased vis--vis previous trading session. There were 9,101 Solar

    REC buy bids on the Power Exchanges. Firs Solar PV Plant in Madhya Pradesh has been registered on

    NLDC. IT is expected to participate on Power Exchange Shortly.

    Volume cleared in this month is 86%; almost the same percentage as is being witnessed for the past few

    Trading Sessions.

    Compared to previous month, this month also saw an increase in the number of participants in REC market.Total number of participants in this month was around 389. Some of the important cues of this Trading

    Session are summarized below:

    Out of238,282 RECs issued, 231,312 (97%) RECs participated in this trade session (IEX+PXIL). InFebruary, this percentage was also 97%.

    Of238,282 RECs that were available for sale (IEX+PXIL), 199,737 (86%) RECs got sold. Total buybid for RECs was 323,767 (1.6 times).

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    Possibilities for next trade session

    Total No. of RE Generators who have been registered by NLDC are 366, with total aggregated

    capacity of 2318 MW. Another 89 RE Generators are pending for registration with a total capacity o

    350 MW. The Clearing price of RECs will go down during first few months of this Financial Year, as there wi

    11 more trading sessions before the compliance date.

    First Solar PV project of 2 MW in Madhya Pradesh have been Registered. We may soon witness fir

    Solar REC Trade in coming months.

    Source: Recregistryindia / IEX / PXIL

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    Monthly Analysis of the OTC Contracts for FEBRUARY

    2012

    1. The reported short-term contract volume for the month of February was 1158.14 MUs whereas the

    same was 1895.48 MUs for the month of January. A decrease of 39% in reported contract volume.

    2. 97% of total volume has been contracted at the price above Rs. 4/kWh.3. Total number of contracts (including swap & Banking) in February was 107 by 5 traders whereas in

    January it was 137 by 6 traders.

    Observation:1. In the month of February, OTC contract prices were higher than the Indian Energy Exchange (IEX

    and Power Exchange of India Ltd. spot prices.

    2. The minimum price in the exchanges during 30th

    Jan 2012 26th

    Feb 2012 was Rs. 3.01 / kWh

    (PXIL, 31st

    Jan 2012) while that in the OTC market it was Rs. 2.96 / kWh (30th

    Jan 26th

    Feb)

    Maximum price in Day-Ahead Exchange reached Rs. 4.06 / kWh (IEX, 2

    nd

    Feb 2012) while in OTCMarket it was Rs 5.60 / kWh (5

    thFeb) which was a peak power contract.

    3. OTC Contracts are mostly for a delivery period of one month or above. The scheduling of these

    contracts is generally happening from one month after contract date. Power Exchange is a day ahead

    market with standardized contracts and no corridor assurance while the OTC Contracts are

    weekly/monthly contracts with flexibility of customization and corridor assurance

    4. The number of contracts entered above Rs 4/kwh were 33 out of total 91 contracts. There were a

    total 107 contracts including swap & banking during the month.

    5. The cumulative volume trade above Rs 4/kWh was 919.64 MUs which is 97% of total OTC contract

    for the reported period (30th

    Jan 2012 26th

    Feb 2012).

    Source: CERC

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    Useful data

    All India Region-wise Generating Installed Capacity (MW) Of Power Utilities Including Allocated Shares inJoint and Central Sector Utilities (As on 29 February 2012)

    Sr.No. RegionThermal Nuclear Hydro R.E.S.@ TotalCoal Gas DSL Total (Renewable) (MNRE)

    1 Northern 27817.50 4171.26 12.99 32001.75 1620.00 15022.75 3830.32 52474.822 Western 35204.50 8254.81 17.48 43476.79 1840.00 7447.50 6810.28 59574.573 Southern 21232.50 4690.78 939.32 26862.60 1320.00 11338.03 10976.45 50497.084 Eastern 21122.88 190.00 17.20 21330.08 0.00 3882.12 381.71 25593.915 N. Eastern 60.00 787.00 142.74 989.74 0.00 1158.00 228.31 2376.056 Islands 0.00 0.00 70.02 70.02 0.00 0.00 6.10 76.127 All India 105437.38 18093.85 1199.75 124730.98 4780.00 38848.40 22233.17 190592.5

    Captive Generated Capacity Connected to Grid (MW) = 19509

    Fuel Mix India

    All India Thermal Nuclear Hydro RES@ GrandTotalCoal Gas Diesel Total (Renewable) (MNRE)MW 105437.38 18093.85 1199.75 124730.98 4780.00 38848.40 22233.17 190592.55

    %age 55.32 9.49 0.63 65.44 2.51 20.38 11.67 100.00

    Power Supply Position February12Power supply Position 2011-12(FEB,12)

    Region Energy (MU) Requirement Deficit % Peak Demand (MW) Deficit %Northern 22332 -7.7 36684 -9.6Western 24426 -13.4 41277 -13.9Southern

    22363 -13.3 35343 -15.2Eastern 8109 -6.8 13563 -5.8

    North Eastern 837 -11.2 1813 -10.5All India 78067 -11.1 128680 -12.1

    Source: CEA:http://www.cea.nic.in/

    Customized Energy Solutions FEBRUARY 2012

    http://www.cea.nic.in/http://www.cea.nic.in/http://www.cea.nic.in/http://www.cea.nic.in/
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    Customized Energy Solutions www.ces-ltd.com 9Customized Energy Solutions FEBRUARY 2012

    Useful data

    Source: CERC

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