100 i chronicle
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Investeurs Chronicle marks its 100th volume. On this 100th volume the time has come to reflect on this centuries generation of leaders, thinkers, and makers. These people, their companies, and their ideas have shaped the future we live in today. In this edition we've gathered information on Corporates Longevity. Companies that survive 100 years or longer are "a special and rarefied group." So what is the key to their Longevity? Read more……TRANSCRIPT
Volume: 100
The past few years have seen previously unthinkable corporate behemoths - from financial firms such as Lehman Brothers to iconic car manufacturers
such as Saab - felled by economic turmoil or by unforgiving customers and tough rivals. And do not put away the black garb yet - the pace of corporate
funerals is set to pick up.
The average lifespan of a company listed in the S&P 500 index of leading US companies has decreased by more than 50 years in the last century, from 67
years in the 1920s to just 15 years today, according to Professor Richard Foster from Yale University. Today's rate of change "is at a faster pace than ever",
he says. Professor Foster estimates that by 2020, more than three-quarters of the S&P 500 will be companies that we have not heard of yet.
In the world of institutions, commercial corporations are newcomers. Their history comprises only 500 years of activity in the Western world, a tiny fraction
of the time span of human civilization. In that time, as producers of material wealth, they have had immense success. They have been the major vehicle for
sustaining the exploding world population with goods and services that make civilized life possible. In the years ahead, as developing countries expand
their standards of living, corporations will be more needed than ever. Yet, if you look at them in the light of their potential, most commercial corporations
are dramatic failures-or, at best, underachievers. They exist at a primitive stage of evolution; they develop and exploit only a fraction of their potential. For
proof, you need only consider their high mortality rate. The average life expectancy of a multinational corporation-Fortune 500 or its equivalent-is between
40 and 50 years. This figure is based on most surveys of corporate births and deaths. A full one-third of the companies listed in the 1970 Fortune 500, for
instance, had vanished by 1983-acquired, merged, or broken to pieces.
It is perhaps unsurprising that the country where people live the longest is also home to some of the oldest companies in the world.
In Japan, there are more than 20,000 companies that are more than 100 years old, with a handful that are more than 1,000 years old, according to credit
rating agency Tokyo Shoko Research. There is even a specific word for long-lived companies in Japanese: shinise.
The list includes Nissiyama Onsen Keiunkan, a hotel founded in 705, which is thought to be the oldest company in the world.
Longevity is, of course, a relative term. Autenrieder, a German brewery, is the oldest-known commercial establishment, having been founded in 1650, the
same year in which Japan’s two longest-living, sake-makers Kaganoi and Yukawa were founded. The Dutch porcelain maker Royal Delft was established a
few years later in 1653. America, too, has its share of 300-plus-year-old entities. Shirley Plantation the oldest active plantation in Virginia and one of the
oldest family-owned businesses in North America dates back to 1614.
In terms of oldest continuously operated businesses, the U.S. can cite Cigna (1792), State Street (1795), Crane & Co. (1801), DuPont (1802), Colgate (1806)
and many more
The Secrets of Corporate Longevity
What accounts for these impressive lifespans? Achieving this degree of longevity “doesn’t happen by accident,” answers Mary Kier, CEO of Chicago-based
search firm Cook Associates, who has written extensively on the subject. “It happens to companies that have character. It happens when owners or CEOs
or chairmen know how to keep their composure, even in times of economic crisis, and how to invest their money wisely to sustain the long term. It happens
when employees feel it is their company, too. They do what’s right all the time. If they do that, they have a better chance of longevity and sustainability.”
Business of Survival - Corporate Longevity
One of the keys at large, publicly traded companies like General Electric, Kier says, is the practice of identifying and grooming high-potential managers
from within. “CEOs come from within and stay a long time,” she says. These annual systems of evaluating high potentials, also seen at Johnson
& Johnson, IBM and other top public companies, are essential to building in durability for the company as a whole. “If you know that your future is well
planned out and you are part of that planning, it certainly is going to be a sustaining factor,” Kier concludes.
Second comes the successful amalgamation of the best of family run or Private managed Companies and its listed counterparts. Michael E. Werner,
president and CEO of the North American division of Taiwan-based Globe Union Group, a $700 million a year, publicly traded maker of plumbing
equipment, argues that the companies with the best shot at longevity manage to combine the best family values with the realities of having at least some
shares traded publicly.
“I’m a firm believer that if a senior-management team thinks about the future and about stewardship, almost doing it with a servant type of mentality, the
company will prosper for a long time,” says Werner. “The best case is when you can couple that with the high-performance expectations of a public
company. We want to combine the best of both worlds. In a public company, you can’t become complacent because you’ve always got people looking over
your shoulder challenging you.”
Third and perhaps the most crucial factor is to remember the true nature of an organization. Arie de Geus, the father of scenario planning when he was
the coordinator of planning for the Royal Dutch/ Shell Group, posits that it is because they focus on more than just the economic activity of producing
goods and services. Specifically, he says that those that fail to endure "...forget that their organization’s true nature is that of a community of humans". A
company is a legal fiction; any organization is a collective of people and the internal challenge is aligning interests. The external perspective requires a
sound understanding of an ever-changing world. The Shell researchers looked at companies that were older than Shell (founded in the 1890s), that were
at least as important in their respective industries and that had weathered some profound changes in the world around them. From 40 such companies
they narrowed the list down to 27 that were studied in detail.
From this list, they found 4 key factors to corporate longevity:
Being sensitive to their environment: They kept their corporate radar attuned to subtle, and not so subtle, changes going on around them. This is
all the more impressive given the lack of communications technology that was available for the greater part of these companies' lives.
Having internal cohesiveness and a strong sense of identity: No matter the diversification or spread, employees and suppliers alike felt they were
all part of one entity. There was a sense of belonging to the organisation and being able to identify with its achievements. Career advancement and
progression was from within and management's concern was for the health of the institution as a whole. In this way, the leaders, acted as trustees or
custodians rather than simply managers.
Tolerance: It seemed the long-lived companies avoided exercising centralised control. Note that the management-speak word 'decentralised' was a
twentieth century invention. The companies were tolerant of activity at the margin, such as outliers and experiments that stretched the
thinking. Today, we would classify this third horizon activity as buying options for the future.
Conservative financing: Frugality and the avoidance of risk were paramount. Having cash in the bank not only de-risked the enterprises but gave
them flexibility and an ability to act independently of what others might have been forced into doing. The options referred to above could be funded
from within and pursued with patience.
No doubt there were, in each company's case, many more factors that contributed to their longevity. One such factor which comes to mind is emphasis on
innovation and reinvention. Take Berkshire Hathaway, which began as a textile mill in Rhode Island. In fact, the world's oldest limited liability
corporation, the Finnish paper and pulp manufacturer Stora Enso, first started out as a copper mining company in 1288. Innovation in general is not
always easy, however, especially for publicly listed companies that must balance the concerns of capital markets and shareholders, who demand quarterly
profits and who are not necessarily interested in decades-long research projects.
When to Die
Yet even if a company can innovate and conditions do remain favourable, immortality does have its downsides. For instance, there is no real proof that age
makes a company any more profitable than younger companies. On the contrary, evidence from the stock market actually suggests that age could be a
hindrance. Of the 74 or so companies that have stayed in the S&P 500 for more than 40 years, only a dozen or so have managed to beat the average,
according to a study by consultancy McKinsey. In fact, if the S&P 500 were made up of only the companies that were part of the index in 1957, overall
performance would have been some 20% worse.
Conclusion
There is accumulating evidence that corporations fail because the prevailing thinking and language of management are too narrowly based on the
prevailing thinking and language of economics. To put it another way: Companies die because their managers focus on the economic activity of producing
goods and services and they forget that their organizations' true nature is that of a community of humans. The legal establishment, business educators,
and the financial community all join them in this mistake.
Longevity seems to have anything to do with a company's material assets, its particular industry or product line, or its country of origin. Indeed, the 40- to
50-year life expectancy seems to be equally valid in countries as wide apart as the United States, Europe, and Japan, and in industries ranging from
manufacturing to retailing to financial services to agriculture to energy.
These Companies have paid dividends for over 100 years
These companies have managed to pay distributions through two world wars, the cold war, several oil price shocks and countless recessions. Their
strong business models have helped them to consistently find new ways to increase sales, pass on cost increases to consumers and gain market share
that has resulted in higher profits and dividends over the past century.
1) International Business Machines Corporation- The Company has raised dividends for 18 years in a row, and has consistently paid them since
1913.
2) Exxon Mobil Corporation- This dividend champion has raised dividends for 31 years in a row, and has consistently paid them since 1911.
3) The Bank of Nova Scotia - The Company has paid dividends since 1892, maintained its distributions during the crisis of 2007 -2009 and has
been boosting them again over the past few years.
4) Edison International- The Company has raised dividends for 11 years in a row, and has consistently paid them since 1910.
An honorable mention goes to Kellogg, which has paid dividends for almost 90 years in a row, and has a listing of all the payments since 1925. Kellogg
has also raised dividends for 9 years in a row.
Century Old Indian Companies
Two World Wars, the Great Depression, India's independence struggle, the Hindu rate of growth, the licence-permit raj, controls on foreign exchange and
expansion, and the reforms of the 1990s: a handful of Indian companies have seen it all, and adapted along the way to do well. India has around three
dozen century-old companies that are listed and still actively traded. Some of them are:
Bennett , Coleman & Co.
Britannia
Century Textile & Industries
CESC
Dabur
The Global 100 Most Sustainable Corporations
Innovest Strategic Value Advisors has pulled together a list of 100
stalwart companies poised to survive past all others. These are the
companies that stand the best chance to still be around in the year 2109.
Company Name Country Sector
Acciona SA Spain Construction
Accor France Consumer Goods
Adidas AG Germany Consumer Goods
Advanced Micro Devices USA Computers/Electronics
Aeon Company Limited Japan Retail
Air France-KLM France Transportation
Alcoa Inc USA Extractives
Amazon.com Inc USA Retail
Atlantia Italy Transportation
Atlas Copco AB Sweden Industrials/Capital Goods
BASF SE Germany Chemicals
Baxter International Inc USA Health Care
BG Group PLC UK Oil & Gas
BHP Billiton PLC UK Extractives
Godrej & Boyce
ITC
Shalimar Paints
Kirloskar Brothers
Tata Steel
TVS
Indian Hotels
British Land Company PLC UK Real Estate
British Sky Broadcasting Group PLC UK Media
Cable & Wireless PLC UK Telecom & IT
Cairn Energy PLC UK Oil & Gas
Centrica PLC UK Utilities
Coca Cola Company USA Consumer Goods
Credit Agricole SA France Banks
Daikin Industries Limited Japan Construction
Dell Inc USA Computers/Electronics
Deutsche Boerse AG Germany Diversified Financials
Dexus Property Group Australia Real Estate
Diageo PLC UK Consumer Goods
East Japan Railway Company Japan Transportation
Eastman Kodak Company USA Consumer Goods
Encana Corp. Canada Oil & Gas
Ericsson Telephone AB Sweden Computers/Electronics
FPL Group Inc USA Utilities
Fresenius Medical Care AG Germany Health Care
Geberit Switzerla
nd
Construction
Ericsson Telephone AB Sweden Computers/Electronics
FPL Group Inc USA Utilities
Fresenius Medical Care AG Germany Health Care
Geberit Switzerland Construction
Genzyme Corp. USA Health Care
Glaxosmithkline PLC UK Health Care
Goldman Sachs Group Inc USA Diversified Financials
Groupe Danone France Consumer Goods
H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB Sweden Retail
Hewlett-Packard Company USA Computers/Electronics
Hochtief AG Germany Construction
Honda Motor Company Limited Japan Industrials/Capital
Goods
Iberdrola SA Spain Utilities
Inditex SA Spain Retail
Intel Corp. USA Computers/Electronics
Kesko OYJ Finland Retail
Kuraray Company Limited Japan Chemicals
Lafarge SA France Construction
Land Securities Group PLC UK Real Estate
Lend Lease Corp. Limited Australia Real Estate
London Stock Exchange Group
PLC
UK Diversified Financials
Lonmin PLC UK Extractives
L’Oreal France Consumer Goods
Michelin France Industrials/Capital
Goods
Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
Limited
Japan Industrials/Capital
Goods
Muenchener Rueckversicherung
AG
Germany Insurance
Neste Oil OYJ Finland Oil & Gas
Nike Inc USA Consumer Goods
Nippon Yusen KK Japan Transportation
Nokia Corporation Finland Computers/Electronics
Novo Nordisk A/S Denmark Health Care
Novozymes A/S Denmark Chemicals
NTT Data Corp. Japan Telecom & IT
NTT Docomo Inc Japan Telecom & IT
Panasonic Corporation Japan Consumer Goods
PG & E Corp. USA Utilities
Pinnacle West Capital Corp. USA Utilities
Procter & Gamble Company USA Consumer Goods
Prologis USA Real Estate
Prudential PLC UK Insurance
Reed Elsevier PLC UK Media
Ricoh Company Limited Japan Computers/Electronics
Roche Holdings Limited Switzerland Health Care
Royal Bank Of Canada Canada Banks
Sainsbury (J) PLC UK Retail
Saint Gobain France Construction
Saipem Italy Oil & Gas
SAP AG Germany Telecom & IT
SCA AB Sweden Extractives
Scania AB Sweden Industrials/Capital
Goods
Sekisui Chemical Company Ltd Japan Real Estate
Sims Group Limited Australia Extractives
Smith & Nephew PLC UK Health Care
Sompo Japan Insurance Japan Insurance
State Street Corp. USA Diversified Financials
Statoilhydro ASA Norway Oil & Gas
Stora Enso OYJ Finland Extractives
Swiss Reinsurance Company Switzerland Insurance
Telus Corp. Canada Telecom & IT
TNT NV Netherlands Transportation
The Capita Group PLC UK Business Services
The Walt Disney Company USA Media
TNT NV Netherlands Transportation
Toppan Printing Company Limited Japan Business Services
Toronto-Dominion Bank Canada Banks
Toyota Motor Corp. Japan Industrials/Capital Goods
Transcanada Corp. Canada Utilities
Unilever PLC UK Consumer Goods
United Technologies Corp. USA Transportation
Vestas Windsystems A/S Denmark Computers/Electronics
Wartsila OYJ Finland Industrials/Capital Goods
Whitbread PLC UK Consumer Goods
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Disclaimer: Investeurs Chronicles is prepared by Research & Analysis Team of Investeurs Consulting Private Limited to provide the recipient with relevant information pertaining to the world economy. The
information contained in the document is based on the releases made by various newspaper & publications; hence, we are not responsible for any inaccuracies in the information provided.