110826_-_vietnam_construction_cost_review_-_q2-2011.pdf
TRANSCRIPT
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DAVIS LANGDON & SEAH VIETNAM
Q2 2011
QUARTERLY
CONSTRUCTION COST REVIEW
IN VIETNAM
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Q2 2011
OVERVIEW
APPROXIMATE BUILDING COST IN VIETNAM
AVERAGE DAILY LABOUR COST
MATERIAL COST TREND IN VIETNAM
STATUS OF VIETNAM PRICE MOVEMENTS
GOVERNMENTS SUBSIDIZED MATERIALS
TABLE OF CONTENTS
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Whilst sovereign debt seems to be the primary issue concerning world economics at present, it would
seem from an international perspective that this scenario has already played out in Vietnam and as a
function of reduced Foreign Direct Investment (FDI).
As this paper has frequently stated, FDI commitments had reduced markedly since the end of 2008
however FDI disbursement as a function of the reduced FDI commitments have been notably
depreciating over the past 12 months.
Reduced FDI is a key reason why construction grown in 2011 will most likely be less than in 2010 but
it is certainly not the only contributing factor.
Fiscal measure currently being adopted by the Government and in an effort to curtail the growing
trade deficit are having a significant effect on; infrastructure, property and ultimately construction. High
Central Bank and Commercial Rates are affecting both demand and supply for property in terms of
buyers and in terms of project start ups. Not only do the high interest rates increase the cost of
borrowing to house owners and businesses but they also have detrimental impacts upon project
feasibilities and hence reduce new developments
OVERVIEW
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US$ PSM, CONSTRUCTION FLOOR AREA
RESIDENTIAL Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11
Detached Houses and Bungalows 485 490 497 507 520 520-620
Average Standard Apartment, High rise 615 620 629 642 655 662-782
Luxury Apartments, High rise 780 788 808 815 835 850-980
Terraced Houses 400 403 408 417 425 439-496
Specification1. Average Standard Apartments to be 30-50 storey 60-90 m2 per flat.2. Average Luxury Apartment to be 30-50 storey 100-150 m2 per flat.3. Apartments and Houses include air conditioning, kitchen cabinets, kitchen cooktop, exhausted hood but exclude loose furniture and home
appliances.
OFFICE /COMMERCIAL Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11
Prestige Offices, High Rise 885 900 913 930 950 926-1,156
Average Standard Office, High Rise 720 730 740 757 770 787-907
Shopping Centers 665 675 684 697 715 720-835
Specification1. Offices based on buildings 20-30 storeys high with floor plans minimum 1,000m2 per level.2. Shopping centres and average standard offices exclude finishes, A/C ducting and light fittings to tenant areas, standard faade.3. Prestige offices are fitted with raised floor, suspended ceiling, A/C ducting and light fittings to tenant areas, standard faade.
INDUSTRIAL Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11
APPROXIMATE BUILDING COSTIN VIETNAM Q2/2011
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Description Jan 11 Feb 11 Mar 11 Apr 11 May 11 Jun 11
General Worker10.32 10.55 10.77 11.17 11.42 11.54
Concretor11.65 11.90 12.15 12.60 12.88 13.01
Bar Bender and Fixer12.49 12.76 13.03 13.51 13.81 13.95
Carpenter (formwork)11.65 11.90 12.15 12.60 12.88 13.01
Plumber16.64 17.00 17.36 17.99 18.39 18.59
Electrical Fitter16.64 17.00 17.36 17.99 18.39 18.59
Brick layer13.31 13.60 13.89 14.39 14.71 14.87
Metal Worker13.31 13.60 13.89 14.39 14.71 14.87
Construction Plant Mechanic24.12 24.64 25.16 26.08 26.66 26.94
AVERAGE DAILY LABOUR COST IN
PRIVATE SECTOR CONSTRUCTIONPROJECT IN VIETNAM Q2/2011
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AVERAGE PRICE (USD)
Excluded:
1. Labour, plant, transport, wastage and other incidentals (and is ex-works price).2. Tax (VAT, Import tax).
NO Description Unit2011
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
ex-rate 19,500 20,395 20,874 20,868 20,700 20,645
1 Portland Cement (PCB40) Bags 3.25 3.30 3.25 3.64 3.65 3.66
2 Mild steel round bars Kg 0.78 0.79 0.79 0.80 0.80 0.81
3 High tensile steel bars Kg 0.77 0.75 0.77 0.78 0.78 0.79
4 40mm aggregate Cum 6.44 6.15 6.01 6.61 7.32 7.34
5 20mm aggregate Cum 8.63 8.25 8.06 8.48 9.46 9.48
6 Yellow sand Cum 9.74 9.32 9.34 9.58 9.66 9.69
7 Clay brick units Pcs 0.23 0.22 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21
8 Concrete blocks Pcs 0.53 0.51 0.49 0.54 0.54 0.55
9 Structural Steel MT 885.79 936.06 914.58 958.41 966.18 968.76
AVERAGE MATERIAL COST TRENDIN VIETNAM Q2/2011
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2.00
3.00
4.00
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
2010 2011
USD/BAG
Portland Cement (PCB40)
Portland Cement (PCB40)
-
0.50
1.00
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
2010 2011
USD/
KG
Steel Bars
Mild steel round bars (6-20mm)
High tensile steel bars (10-40mm)
-
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
2010 2011
USD/CUM
Ready Mixed Concrete
RMC M20 Grade RMC M35 Grade RMC M40 Grade
-
0.20
0.40
0.60
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
2010 2011
USD/pcs
Clay Brick + Concrete
Clay brick units Concrete blocks
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2005 Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11
HN 100.00 146.96 149.72 147.90 148.71 149.53 151.35 152.56 151.84 152.86 153.03 154.65 158.24 159.15 164.37 166.84 166.74 167.88 168.61 169.13 169.78 173.65 177.61 184.41 191.50 198.11 206.26 215.80 230.27 239.50 245.04
HCMC 100.00 146.60 150.18 148.04 149.25 150.11 150.89 153.06 151.46 152.91 152.86 155.91 159.34 159.11 162.88 165.38 166.00 167.25 168.20 168.16 168.12 171.97 174.55 180.87 187.41 192.59 199.78 208.59 222.33 232.67 236.84
VN 100.00 146.54 148.25 148.00 148.52 149.17 149.99 150.77 151.13 152.07 152.63 153.47 155.00 157.11 160.19 161.39 161.62 162.06 162.42 162.52 162.89 165.02 166.75 169.85 173.21 176.22 179.90 183.80 189.90 194.10 196.22
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
200%
220%
240%
260%CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
for whole country and major cities of Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh
(Source: GSO of Vietnam)
STATUS OF VIETNAM PRICE MOVEMENTS
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PRICE INDEX: HOUSING AND CONSTRUCTION MATERIALSfor whole country and major cities of Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh
(Source: GSO of Vietnam)
2005 Jan-09 Feb-09Mar-09Apr-09May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09Sep-09 Oct-09Nov-09Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10Mar-10Apr-10May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10Sep-10 Oct-10Nov-10Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11Mar-11Apr-11May-11 Jun-11
HN 1 00 . 1 46 . 1 51 . 1 47 . 1 47 . 1 49 . 1 53 . 1 54 . 1 53 . 1 53 . 1 53 . 1 54 . 1 58 . 1 59 . 1 63 . 1 67 . 1 70 . 1 74 . 1 74 . 1 74 . 1 73 . 1 77 . 1 82 . 1 89 . 1 99 . 2 05 . 2 10 . 2 21 . 2 38 . 2 51 . 2 55 .
HCMC 1 00 . 1 47 . 1 50 . 1 49 . 1 49 . 1 51 . 1 52 . 1 53 . 1 52 . 1 53 . 1 53 . 1 54 . 1 58 . 1 60 . 1 63 . 1 66 . 1 70 . 1 73 . 1 75 . 1 74 . 1 76 . 1 79 . 1 83 . 1 89 . 1 98 . 2 06 . 2 11 . 2 21 . 2 38 . 2 50 . 2 53 .
VN 1 00 . 1 38 . 1 41 . 1 41 . 1 42 . 1 43 . 1 45 . 1 48 . 1 49 . 1 49 . 1 49 . 1 49 . 1 51 . 1 53 . 1 56 . 1 58 . 1 62 . 1 64 . 1 65 . 1 64 . 1 64 . 1 66 . 1 67 . 1 70 . 1 75 . 1 77 . 1 78 . 1 85 . 1 93 . 1 99 . 2 01 .
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
200%
220%
240%
260%
280%
HOUSING & CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS
STATUS OF VIETNAM PRICE MOVEMENTS
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0.40
0.45
0.50
0.55
0.60
0.65
0.70
0.75
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10
1.15
1.20
1.25
USD/Liter
Month
DIESEL PRICE 2007 - 2011
World market VN market
DIESEL PRICE in Vietnam market against the world price market
GOVERNMENTS SUBSIDIZED MATERIALS
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0.40
0.45
0.50
0.55
0.60
0.65
0.70
0.75
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.95
1.00
1.05
1.10
1.15
1.20
1.25
USD/Liter
Month
GASOLINE PRICE 2007 - 2011
World market VN market
GASOLINE PRICE in Vietnam market against the world price market
GOVERNMENTS SUBSIDIZED MATERIALS