12 th jcsda workshop ocean data assimilation development of a gsi-based da interface for operational...

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12 th JCSDA Workshop Ocean Data Assimilation Development of a GSI-based DA interface for operational wave forecasting systems at NOAA/NCEP Vladimir Osychny, Hendrik Tolman, Henrique Alves, Arun Chawla

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Page 1: 12 th JCSDA Workshop Ocean Data Assimilation Development of a GSI-based DA interface for operational wave forecasting systems at NOAA/NCEP Vladimir Osychny,

12th JCSDA WorkshopOcean Data Assimilation

Development of a GSI-based DA interface for operational wave forecasting systems at

NOAA/NCEP

Vladimir Osychny, Hendrik Tolman, Henrique Alves, Arun Chawla

Page 2: 12 th JCSDA Workshop Ocean Data Assimilation Development of a GSI-based DA interface for operational wave forecasting systems at NOAA/NCEP Vladimir Osychny,

• The main objective of the project:

to develop a GSI-based module in WAVEWATCH III for assimilation of total significant wave height (Hs) from altimeter missions

• Completed work:

- developed a quality-control (QC) module for Near-Real-Time (NRT) Hs data from satellites

- developed a strategy to adapt the GSI for Hs assimilation using RTMA 2D approach (in collaboration with RTMA team: Manuel Pondeca, Steven Levine )

- modified the GSI code (RTMA 2DVAR) to include the new variable - significant wave height

- determined that current RTMA prepbufr has enough wave-height data to start preliminary tests

Page 3: 12 th JCSDA Workshop Ocean Data Assimilation Development of a GSI-based DA interface for operational wave forecasting systems at NOAA/NCEP Vladimir Osychny,

Development of the QC procedure was based on

Jason-1 NRT Hs data for 2011 obtained via GTSIn principle:

254 passes

~10 days exact repeat cycle

~ 6 km (1 sec) sampling rate

3-10 km Hs footprint

In NRT GTS reality:

Not quite exact repeat passes

Not quite regular alongtrack sampling

Page 4: 12 th JCSDA Workshop Ocean Data Assimilation Development of a GSI-based DA interface for operational wave forecasting systems at NOAA/NCEP Vladimir Osychny,

Example of raw SWH Jason-1 data: Dec. 6, 2011

Page 5: 12 th JCSDA Workshop Ocean Data Assimilation Development of a GSI-based DA interface for operational wave forecasting systems at NOAA/NCEP Vladimir Osychny,

Developed QC procedure includes:

1. Valid value (range) test

2. Proximity to land test

3. Proximity to ice test

4. De-spiking (statistical outliers)

Page 6: 12 th JCSDA Workshop Ocean Data Assimilation Development of a GSI-based DA interface for operational wave forecasting systems at NOAA/NCEP Vladimir Osychny,

Data rejected based on proximity to land test

• For each data location: a data is flagged as being likely “bad”,

if a land point is found within the area with radius approx 20 km

• Test is based on ETOPO-1 data set, which is also used in operational

wave model

Page 7: 12 th JCSDA Workshop Ocean Data Assimilation Development of a GSI-based DA interface for operational wave forecasting systems at NOAA/NCEP Vladimir Osychny,

Data that are likely affected by proximity to floating ice

Page 8: 12 th JCSDA Workshop Ocean Data Assimilation Development of a GSI-based DA interface for operational wave forecasting systems at NOAA/NCEP Vladimir Osychny,

Ice ConcentrationNCEP operational (5’ grid)

Page 9: 12 th JCSDA Workshop Ocean Data Assimilation Development of a GSI-based DA interface for operational wave forecasting systems at NOAA/NCEP Vladimir Osychny,

For each data location: → a data is rejected, if ice is found within the area with radius approx. 20 km -- same as for the “land” test;

→ this search radius seems to be too small in the case of ice

Details of the Proximity to Ice Test

Page 10: 12 th JCSDA Workshop Ocean Data Assimilation Development of a GSI-based DA interface for operational wave forecasting systems at NOAA/NCEP Vladimir Osychny,

Results of the proximity to ice test are more accurate with a larger search radius – 40 km

Also shown are “spikes” identified by the de-spiking procedure

Page 11: 12 th JCSDA Workshop Ocean Data Assimilation Development of a GSI-based DA interface for operational wave forecasting systems at NOAA/NCEP Vladimir Osychny,

An iterative de-spiking procedure

• Iterative core:

1. A low-pass signal is obtained by using an order-statistic filter: Approx. 10 sec. (~60 km, ~11 points; 5 minimum) data window Mean is calculated for values between 20th and 80th percentile

2. Estimate STD based on the high-pass residue for the same data window and the same data selection

3. Flag outliers (> 3STD)

4. Additional constraints at each iteration: - test differences between neighboring data values for original data and for high-pass portion- introduce lower limit on RMS

Page 12: 12 th JCSDA Workshop Ocean Data Assimilation Development of a GSI-based DA interface for operational wave forecasting systems at NOAA/NCEP Vladimir Osychny,

The next step:

use the Real-Time Mesoscale Analysis (RTMA) 2DVAR approach to adapt the GSI for Hs assimilation

What is RTMA?• operational hourly analysis of atmospheric surface data• based on GSI- and an atmospheric forecast model

RTMA is the best choice of development framework for our purposes because:

• similar set up (although different models, grids, etc.)• relatively simpler case to start with• substantial existing expertise• opportunity to add a valuable (for forecasters) new analysis variable

to an existing operational system (RTMA) while developing a data assimilation module for a wave model

Page 13: 12 th JCSDA Workshop Ocean Data Assimilation Development of a GSI-based DA interface for operational wave forecasting systems at NOAA/NCEP Vladimir Osychny,

Summary:

Concluded development of a working version of the QC procedure

In progress:- Transfer the QC procedure to FORTRAN or Python (currently in Matlab)- Test the QC procedure on real time GTS data (Jason-2)- Start pre-operational cycling on WCOSS

In progress:- modify RTMA to include analysis of Significant Wave Height- work with EMC obsproc group to include altimeter wave height data into

RTMA prepbufr- further modify RTMA code to build the GSI-based data assimilation module

for the operational wave model