17.08.11 meteorological institute klima campus university of hamburg

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17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

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Page 1: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

17.08.11

Meteorological Institute

Klima Campus

University of Hamburg

Page 2: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

High resolution modelling for London, UK using an urban surface exchange parameterisation for METRAS

David Grawe1,2, Heather Thompson2, Jennifer Salmond3,

Xiao-Ming Cai2, Heinke Schlünzen1

1 Meteorological Institute, Klima Campus, University of Hamburg, Germany

2 School of Geography, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Birmingham, UK

3 School of Environment, University of Auckland, New Zealand

Page 3: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

Introduction

Motivation

• Direct influence of tall buildings and sealed surface on

meteorological variables

• Indirect impact on dispersion and chemical reactions

• Changes in land use due to urbanisation

Aim

• Evaluation of the implementation

• Description of regional influence of urban effect

Page 4: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

Urban Areas

wind,turbulence

radiativetrapping

localshading

sealedsurfaces

emissions

Page 5: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

• 3d mesoscale numerical model

• prognostic, non-hydrostatic

• Part of M-SYS:METRAS / MECTM / MITRAS / MICTMused as meteorological preprocessor for chemistry model

• Previously: 10 land use classes, incl 1 urban(has been extended since this study)

• Sub-grid land use with flux averaging

METRAS

Page 6: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

• BEP: Building Energy Parametrisation

• Martilli et al (2002)

• Multi-layer1d-model

• Implementedinto severalother models

z = 10 m

z = 30 m

z = 50 m

z = 72 m METRAS GRID

BEP GRIDdz = 5 m

RuralSub-urban Urban Sub-urban

Rural

1 km

METRAS- and BEP-grid

BEP

Page 7: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

Dynamical effect

Influence of horizontal and vertical surfaces onmomentum, TKE, turbulent length scales

Thermodynamic effect

Turbulent heat flux above horizontal surfaces

Surface enegy budget with radiative trappingand shading

Heat diffusion equation solved for all surfaces

BEP

Page 8: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

• Building height distriution asprobability distribution(several classes)

• Direction of street canyons

• Street and building width

• Core building temperature

z [m]

Fraction [%]

BEP Input Data

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70

SuburbanColumn C

Roof height of buildings

Page 9: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

OrographyFraction of

urban land use

(from USGS) (from CEH Edinburgh)

Application to London

[m] [%]

Page 10: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

Domain dimensions

Size 70 x 70 km² (100 x 100 km²)Resolution 1 x 1 km2

Land use

Realistic land use with two urban classes

Meteorological conditions

Driven with radiosonde data every 6 hours

Set-up for London domain

Page 11: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

6-7 August 1998

Part of a longer period with average UHI

No/few clouds

Low wind speed

30-31 July 1999

Temperatures above average

No/few clouds

Low wind speed

Selected situations

Page 12: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

Urban

London Weather Centrecity centreroof top

Heathrowairport

St James’ Parkurban park

Rural

Wisley32 km south west

Bracknell-Beaufort Parkoutside ofmodel domain

Comparison data (MIDAS)

Page 13: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

London Weather Centre Heathrow

METRAS

METRAS+ BEP

SJP

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

Timesteps (hourly from midnight)

Air

te

mp

(C

)

St James’ Park

Temperature: 30-31 July 1999

Page 14: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

Temperature: all locations, all days

Page 15: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

Wind: 7-8 August 1998

LWC

LH

R

wind speed [m/s] wind direction [deg]

Page 16: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

Temp Temp wind speed

wind speed

wind dir. wind dir.

METRAS METRAS-BEP METRAS METRAS-BEP METRAS METRAS-BEP

LWC bias -3.4 , -2.1 -1.1 , 0.4 -1.7 -2.4 -13.7 -11.3

corr. coeff.

.94 , .84 .95 , .86 .45 .72 -.13 .42

hit rate .29 , .63 .52 , .77 .25 .13 .73 .60

LHR bias -2.6 , -2.3 -1.1 , -.5 -.1 -.9 -20.5 -17.8

corr. coeff.

.93 , .90 .99 , .97 .54 .83 .08 .50

hit rate .42 , .54 .50 , .69 .69 .66 .75 .71

SJP bias -2.9 -0.6 - - - -

corr. coeff.

.92 .96 - - - -

hit rate .38 .69 - - - -

Summary of comparison

Page 17: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

Analysis of the urban effect

Urban effect: model-centric definition

result of model run with current land use- result of model run with no urban fraction----------------------------------------------------------------

effect of the urban area

(annihilation approach)

Page 18: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

Effect on temperature / UHI

T (current urbanisation) – T (rural domain)

ΔT[K]

ΔT[K]

4:00 a.m. 12:00 noon

Page 19: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

FF (current urbanisation) – FF (rural domain)

4:00 a.m. 12:00 noon

ΔFF[m/s]

ΔFF[m/s]

Effect on wind speed

Page 20: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

Regional effect

REI = total area of affected cells / total area of urban cells

≥ 100%

urban grid cell:

any cell with at least 30% urban land use

affected grid cell:

defined, so that the total urban area is affectedany cell with a difference higher than the lowest

difference of any urban cell is affected

based on Trusilova et al. (2008)

Page 21: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

Regional effect

REI = total area of affected cells / total area of urban cells

Parameter Threshold REI

Temperature at 04:00 a.m. 1.43  K 227 %

Temperature at 12:00 noon 0.82  K 125 %

Tmin_diurnal1.47  K 219 %

Tmax_diurnal0.64  K 123 %

Wind speed at 04:00 a.m. 0.91  m/s 123 %

Wind speed at 12:00 noon 1.15  m/s 122 %

Page 22: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

Conclusions

• Implementation of BEP into METRAS improves resultsfor the urban area.

• Suitable measurements required in the urban area.

• Urban impact on meteorology not limited to the urban area.

• High data demand for adequate application of BEP.

Page 23: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

Outlook

Impact on chemistry

Application for urban climate studiesfor Hamburg, Germany

Incorporate more detailed informationabout the urban area:

- building resolved building heights- street resolved street direction

and street width

Include direct anthropogenic heat flux.

Page 24: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

17.08.11

THE END

Page 25: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

Domain dimensions

Size 40 x 40 km2

Resolution 1 x 1 km2

Land use

Centre (400 km2) urbanBackground meadows

Meteorological conditions

Geostrophic wind speed 4.0 m/sPotential temperature gradient 3.5 K/km

Idealised Domain

Page 26: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

PotentialTemperature

Windspeed

TKE

green: METRAS black: METRAS+BEP yellow: rural

Idealised Domain

Page 27: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

Extent of urban area: 6km, 10km, 20km

Sensitivity to size of urban area

Tpot

[K]

Distance across domain [km]

6 km

10 km20 km

Page 28: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

Extent of urban area: 6km, 10km, 20km

Sensitivity to size of urban area

Tpot

[K]

Distance across domain [km]

ΔT = 3.0 K

ΔT = 3.5 K

ΔT = 4.0 K

Page 29: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

UHI

UHI diurnal cycle

REPLACE WITH FIGURE FROM PUBLICATION

UHI intensity: Highest temperature difference'Current land use' – 'rural land use' within the domain

Page 30: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

Detailed data for Hamburg

Page 31: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

Potential Temperature

z = 10m z = 30m

Idealised Domain

Page 32: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

SJP

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

Timesteps (hourly from midnight)

Air

tem

p (

C)

LHR

METRAS

METRAS+ BEPSt James’ Park

LHR

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

Timesteps (hourly from midnight)

Air

tem

p (

C)

Heathrow

6-7 August 1998

Page 33: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

LWC

METRAS

METRAS+ BEP

LWC: 30-31 July 1999

Page 34: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

Timesteps (hourly from midnight)

Air

tem

p (

C)

LWC

METRAS

METRAS+ BEP

LWC: 6-7 August 1998

Page 35: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

LHR

METRAS

METRAS+ BEP

LHR: 30-31 July 1999

Page 36: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

LHR

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

Timesteps (hourly from midnight)

Air

te

mp

(C

)

LHR

METRAS

METRAS+ BEP

LHR: 6-7 August 1998

Page 37: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

SJP

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

Timesteps (hourly from midnight)

Air

tem

p (

C)

SJP

METRAS

METRAS+ BEP

SJP: 6-7 August 1998

Page 38: 17.08.11 Meteorological Institute Klima Campus University of Hamburg

17.08.11

• Urban areas

• Model components

• Simplified tests

• Evaluation and analysis for London

• Outlook (Hamburg)