Lecture Presentation Software to accompany

Investment Analysis and Portfolio Management

Eighth Editionby

Frank K. Reilly & Keith C. Brown

Chapter 19

Chapter 19 - Bond Portfolio Management Strategies

Questions to be answered:

• What are the four major bond portfolio management strategies?

• What are the two passive portfolio management strategies available?

Chapter 19 - Bond Portfolio Management Strategies

• What are the five active bond portfolio management strategies available?

• What is meant by care-plus bond management and what are some plus strategies?

• What is meant by matched-funding techniques, and what are the four specific strategies available in this category?

Chapter 19 - Bond Portfolio Management Strategies

• What are the major contingent procedure strategies that are also referred to as structured active management strategies?

• What are the implications of capital market theory for those involved in bond portfolio management?

Chapter 19 - Bond Portfolio Management Strategies

• What is the evidence on the efficient market hypothesis as it relates to bond markets?

• What are the implications of efficient market studies for bond portfolio managers?

Alternative Bond Portfolio Strategies

1. Passive portfolio strategies

2. Active management strategies

3. Core-plus management strategy

3. Matched-funding techniques

4. Contingent procedure (structured active management)

Passive Portfolio Strategies

• Buy and hold– A manager selects a portfolio of bonds based

on the objectives and constraints of the client with the intent of holding these bonds to maturity

• Indexing– The objective is to construct a portfolio of

bonds that will equal the performance of a specified bond index

Active Management Strategies• Interest-rate anticipation

– Risky strategy relying on uncertain forecasts– Ladder strategy staggers maturities– Barbell strategy splits funds between short

duration and long duration securities

• Valuation analysis– The portfolio manager attempts to select bonds

based on their intrinsic value

• Credit analysis– Involves detailed analysis of the bond issuer to

determine expected changes in its default risk

Active Management Strategies• High-Yield Bond Research

– Several investment houses such as Merrill Lynch, First Boston, Lehman Brothers, etc., have developed specialized high-yield groups that examine high-yield bond issues and monitor high-yield bond spreads

• Yield spread analysis– Assumes normal relationships exist between the yields

for bonds in alternative sectors

• Bond swaps– Involve liquidating a current position and simultaneously

buying a different issue in its place with similar attributes but having a chance for improved return

Bond Swaps

• Pure Yield Pickup Swap

• Substitution Swap

• Tax Swap

• Swap strategies and market-efficiency– Bond swaps by their nature suggest

market inefficiency

A Global Fixed-Income Investment Strategy

Factors to consider– The local economy in each country including

the effects of domestic and international demand

– The impact of total demand and domestic monetary policy on inflation and interest rates

– The effect of the economy, inflation, and interest rates on the exchange rates among countries

Core-Plus Bond Portfolio Management

• This involves having a significant (core) part of the portfolio managed passively in a widely recognized sector such as the U.S. Aggregate Sector or the U.S. Government/Corporate sector.

• The rest of the portfolio would be managed actively in one or several additional “plus” sectors, where it is felt that there is a higher probability of achieving positive abnormal rates of return because of potential inefficiencies

Matched-Funding Techniques

• Dedicated Portfolios Dedication refers to bond portfolio

management techniques that are used to service a prescribed set of liabilities– Pure Cash‑Matched Dedicated Portfolios

• Most conservative strategy– Dedication With Reinvestment

• Cash flows do not have to exactly match the liability stream

Matched-Funding Techniques

• Immunization Strategies– A portfolio manager (after client consultation)

may decide that the optimal strategy is to immunize the portfolio from interest rate changes

– The immunization techniques attempt to derive a specified rate of return during a given investment horizon regardless of what happens to market interest rates

Immunization Strategies

• The process intended to eliminate interest rate risk is referred to as interest rate risk

• Components of Interest Rate Risk– Price Risk– Coupon Reinvestment Risk

Classical Immunization

• Immunization is neither a simple nor a passive strategy

• An immunized portfolio requires frequent rebalancing because the modified duration of the portfolio always should be equal to the remaining time horizon (except in the case of the zero-coupon bond)

Classical Immunization

• Duration characteristics– Duration declines more slowly than term to

maturity, assuming no change in market interest rates

– Duration changes with a change in market interest rates

– There is not always a parallel shift of the yield curve

– Bonds with a specific duration may not be available at an acceptable price

Matched-Funding Techniques

• Horizon matching – Combination of cash-matching dedication and

immunization– Important decision is the length of the horizon

period

Contingent Procedures

• A form of structured active management– Constrains the manager if unsuccessful

• Contingent immunization– duration of portfolio must be maintained at the

horizon value– cushion spread is potential return below current

market– safety margin– trigger point

Implications of Capital Market Theory and the EMH on Bond Portfolio

Management

• Bonds and Total Portfolio Theory

• Bonds and Capital Market Theory

• Bond Price Behavior in a CAPM Framework

• Bond-Market Efficiency

The InternetInvestments Online

http://www.ryanalm.comhttp://www.cmsbondedge.comhttp://smithbarney.com/research/fixed_income.htmlhttp://www.smithbarney.com/products_services/fixed_income/http://www.bergencapital.com/research/files/LadderedPortfolio.htmlhttp://www.askmerrill.ml.com/investments/http://www.mlim.ml.com/usa/http://www.finpipe.com

End of Chapter 19–Bond Portfolio Management Strategies

Future topicsChapter 20

• An Introduction to Derivative Markets and Securities