1996 overview htrs

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    1

    THE HDM-4 TECHNICAL

    RELATIONSHIPS STUDY

    Asian Development Bank RETA 5549

    Dr. Christopher R. Bennett

    Team Leader

    HDM-4 Technical Relationships Study

    ISOHDM Secretariat

    University of Birmingham

    U.K.

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    HIGHWAY DESIGN AND MAINTENANCE

    STANDARDS MODEL (HDM-III)

    Developed by the World Bank and released in 1987

    Used in over 100 countries for different types of

    investment studies

    Predicts pavement performance over time and undertraffic and effects of maintenance on pavements

    Predicts the effects of pavement and operating

    conditions on vehicle operating costs (VOC)

    Fundamental relationships based on researchconducted in Kenya, the Caribbean, India and Brazil

    1971-1984

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    DEVELOPMENT OF HDM MODEL

    de Weille

    1966

    Highway Cost

    Model

    1971

    Kenya Study

    1971-75

    HDM-II

    1981

    Caribbean Study 1977-82

    India Study 1976-82

    Brazil Study 1975-84

    HDM-III

    1987

    HDM-VOC Model 4

    1994

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    4

    LIMITATIONS OF HDM-III

    Software difficult to use

    Vehicle and tyre technology in the VOC studies

    different to those of modern vehicles

    HDM-III does not consider: Traffic congestion

    Environmental impacts

    Rigid pavements

    Many types of flexible pavements Pavement texture and skid resistance

    Freeze-thaw conditions

    Traffic safety

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    5

    ISOHDM RESEARCH TEAMS

    Malaysian TechnicalRelationships Study

    Japanese Study Team

    Technical Experts Swedish Study Team

    University of

    Birmingham SoftwareDevelopment

    Finnish Study TeamChile Study Team

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    STATUS - JANUARY 1996

    ISOHDM Study Accomplishments Held Inception Workshop in Birmingham UK October 1993

    Held Cold Climate Workshop in Sweden March 1994

    Held International Workshop on HDM-4 in Malaysia

    November 1994

    Technical Relationships Study completed November 1995

    Held Workshop on Road User Effects at TRL December

    1995

    Preliminary Specifications of HDM-4 RUE and RDMEModels completed

    Programing of software has commenced and some

    preliminary modules completed

    Have established FTP site for accessing material on the

    Internet

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    7

    HDM TECHNICAL RELATIONSHIPS

    STUDY (HTRS)

    Funded by ADB

    Led by N.D. Lea International Ltd. (Canada)

    Hosted and supported by Institut Kerja Raya

    Malaysia (IKRAM)

    Other participants:

    Works Consultancy Services (New Zealand)

    Department of Transport (South Africa)

    Van Wyk and Louw (South Africa)

    TRL (U.K.)

    University of Auckland, University of Pretoria, Michigan

    Technical Institute

    Snowy Mountain Engineering Corporation (Australia)

    Various Individuals

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    HTRS RESEARCH APPROACH

    Focused on areas deficient in HDM-III

    Limited primary research - mainly desk study

    Evaluated available research results and selecting

    those most appropriate

    Can be summarised as what were the areas where

    HDM-III needs the most improvement and how could

    this best be achieved with the available resources

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    9

    REVIEW OF PREVIOUS EXPERIENCES

    WITH HDM

    Contacted academics, consultants, governments, lending

    agencies

    To date have identified studies in over 100 countries

    Used the results to identify the key areas requiring

    attention in HDM-4 and for preparing draft specifications

    Very few studies undertook rigorous calibration/

    adaptation of HDM

    Summarised parameter values by region and study

    Identified alternative models and relationships to those in

    HDM-III

    VOC and RDME results presented in two internal reports

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    KEY ISSUES - RDME

    Standardising/Simplifying Data Collection

    Generally, one set of models with different parameter

    values by surface/base materials

    Flexible pavements characterised by modifiedstructural number

    Uses incremental models developed based on

    structured empirical approach

    Models provided in HDM-4 for Flexible

    Rigid

    Block

    Unsealed

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    KEY ISSUES - RDME

    Extension of Flexible Pavement Deterioration Model

    New distresses

    Disaggregated distresses to account for individual

    components

    Extended models to account for more diverse

    construction and climatic effects

    Made models easier to calibrate

    Rigid pavements

    Work conducted by Chile team

    Based on USA Ripper Model

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    KEY ISSUES - RDME

    Block pavements

    Unsealed pavements

    Includes models for surface texture and skid

    resistance

    Pavement Maintenance Effects

    Covers full range of maintenance practices

    More flexible than HDM-III

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    HDM-4 PAVEMENT DISTRESSES

    Cracking

    Structural

    Thermal

    Reflection

    Disintegration

    Ravelling

    Delamination Potholing

    Longitudinal Profile

    Roughness in IRI

    m/km

    Rutting

    Densification

    Structural

    Plastic Deformation

    Wear

    Friction

    Macrotexture Skid Resistance

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    14

    INTERACTION OF HDM-4 PAVEMENT

    DISTRESSES

    PavementStructure

    PavementCondition

    & Age

    Traffic

    CrackInitiation

    RavellingInitiation

    CrackProgression

    RavellingProgression

    PotholeDelaminationProgression

    Roughness

    Rutting

    Deformation

    ShoulderDeterioration

    EdgeBreak

    Shoulder Use on Narrow Roads

    PotholeDelamination

    Initiation

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    HDM-4 ROAD USER EFFECTS

    Road User

    Effects

    Vehicle Operating

    Costs

    Fuel

    Consumption

    Depreciation

    Motorised Travel

    Time CostsAccident Costs

    Labour Hours

    Oil and

    Lubricants

    Consumption

    Interest

    PartsConsumption

    Tyre

    Consumption

    Overheads

    Uncongested

    Travel Time

    Delay Due To

    Congestion

    Delay Due ToRoad Works

    Environmental

    Impact

    NoiseVehicle

    Emissions

    Other EffectsNon-Motorised

    Traffic

    Impact on

    Motorised

    Traff ic

    Operating

    Costs

    Travel Time

    Road User Effects Researched by HTRS

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    16

    RUE STUDIES

    NZVOC

    COBA

    VETO

    RTIM

    Scandanavian

    Studies

    HDM Study

    KenyaCaribbean

    Studies

    Intermediate

    Brazil Study

    HDM

    TRDF Model

    MicroBENCOST

    VOC

    CB-ROADS

    NIMPAC VOC

    ARFCOMAustralian

    Studies

    South African

    Studies

    Winfrey

    Claffey

    Red Book

    U.K. Studies

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    REPRESENTATIVE VEHICLES

    Motorised

    MotorcyclesPassenger

    CarsUtilities Buses

    Motorcycles(1)

    Small Car(2)

    Medium Car(3)

    Large Car(4)

    Light DeliveryVehicle

    (5)

    Light GoodsVehicle

    (6)

    Four WheelDrive

    (7)

    Light Truck(8)

    Medium Truck(9)

    Heavy Truck(10)

    ArticulatedTruck(11)

    Mini-bus(12)

    Light Bus(13)

    Medium Bus(14)

    Heavy Bus(15)

    Coach(16)

    Trucks

    TYPES

    CLASSES

    CATEGORIES

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    REPRESENTATIVE VEHICLES

    Non-

    motorised

    Pedestrian BicycleCycle-

    RickshawAnimal Cart Farm Tractor

    Pedestrian BicyclePassenger

    (Commercial)

    Freight

    (Commercial)

    Freight(Private)

    Animal Cart Farm Tractor

    TYPES

    CLASSES

    CATEGORIES

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    SPEED PREDICTION

    Minor changes to HDM-

    III Brazil free speed

    model

    Use 3-zone speed-flow model to consider

    congestion effects

    Qo Qnom Qult

    Flow in PCSE/h

    Speedkm/h

    S1

    S2

    S3

    Snom

    Sult

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    FUEL CONSUMPTION

    Replaced HDM-III

    Brazil model with one

    based on ARRB

    ARFCOM model Predicts fuel use as

    function of power usage

    TRACTIVE FORCES

    Rolling, air, inertia, grade

    and cornering resistance

    ACCESSORIES

    Cooling fan,power steering,

    air conditioner,alternator, etc.

    INTERNAL

    ENGINE

    FRICTION

    DRIVE - TRAIN

    INEFFICIENCIES

    TOTAL POWER

    ENGINE FUEL EFFICIENCY FACTOR

    ESTIMATED FUEL CONSUMPTION

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    FUEL CONSUMPTION - CONGESTION

    AND ROAD EFFECTS

    Modelling based on

    acceleration noise -

    standard deviation of

    acceleration Comprised of natural and

    traffic noise

    Natural noise function of

    slow-moving transport, side

    friction, roughness

    Use Monte Carlo simulation

    to establish correction factors

    through calibration routine

    0.0

    0.1

    0.2

    0.3

    0.4

    0.5

    0.6

    0.7

    0.8

    0.9

    1.0

    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0

    Relative Traffic Flow (Q/Qult)

    TotalAccelerationNoiseinm/s/s

    .

    Qo/Qult=0.0

    Qo/Qult=0.1

    Qo/Qult=0.2

    Qo/Qult=0.3

    Qo/Qult=0.4

    Qo/Qult=0.5

    natural noise

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0

    Relative Flow

    AdditioanlFuelinm

    L/km

    NZ - Two-lane

    India - Two-lane

    India - One-lane

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    MAINTENANCE AND REPAIRS

    Replaced HDM-III model with linear model

    Linear model easier to calibrate and parameter

    values provided for Brazil and India

    Significant reduction in roughness effects forpassenger cars and light vehicles

    Increased roughness effects for heavy buses

    No benefit on parts from reducing roughness below 3

    IRI m/km

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    CAPITAL COSTS

    Using Chesher and

    Harrison Optimal Life

    (OL) method

    Uses maintenance coststream to determine OL

    Model calibrated by

    supplying target OL and

    adjusting age exponent

    in parts model

    Costsperyear

    Vehicle Age in years

    Discounted Area = New Vehicle Price

    RUN(OL)

    Running Costs

    OL

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    OTHER RUE COMPONENTS

    Tyre Consumption

    Extending HDM-III mechanistic model to cover full

    range of tyre types

    Oil Consumption Adopting South African model

    Overheads and Utilisation

    Changes to methods from HDM-III

    Traffic Safety

    Using matrix approach

    Effects of road works on users

    Noise and Vehicle Emissions

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    SUPPORTING STUDIES

    Swedish Study

    Tyre consumption

    Emissions

    Speed-flow

    Cold-climate pavement deterioration

    Japanese Team

    Slow-moving transport