1q15 isg outsourcing index - global
TRANSCRIPT
© 2015 Information Services
Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved
isg-one.com
*Contracts with ACV ≥ $5M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
1
Hosted by: Moshe Katri,
Cowen and Company
16 April 2015
The ISG Outsourcing Index™
First Quarter 2015
Global Market Data and Insights
© 2015 Information Services
Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved
isg-one.com
*Contracts with ACV ≥ $5M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
2
Covering the state of the outsourcing industry for global, commercial contracts.*
Welcome to the 50th Quarterly ISG Outsourcing Index™ Review
Esteban Herrera Partner
John Keppel Partner & President
Dr. David Howie Partner
*Contracts with ACV ≥ $5M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
© 2015 Information Services
Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved
isg-one.com
*Contracts with ACV ≥ $5M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
3
At a Glance BROADER MARKET ACV COMES IS LIGHTER
DOWN 18% Y/Y AS MID-SIZE AND LARGER AWARDS FALL SHORT
WEAKNESS SPREAD BETWEEN NEW SCOPE AND RESTRUCTURING AWARDS
AMERICAS ACV UP 10% Y/Y WITH BPO, ENERGY, HEALTHCARE AND PHARMA SECTORS PARTICULARLY ACTIVE
EMEA ACV DOWN 26% Y/Y; DESPITE A STRONG SHOWING IN FINANCIAL SERVICES AND IN THE DACH MARKET; SLOWING IN THE UK AND FRANCE TURNED OVERALL RESULTS NEGATIVE
ASIA PACIFIC ACV DOWN 45% Y/Y; INDIA STEPS UP ITS CONTRACTING PACE WHILE ANZ REMAINED SLUGGISH
Scorecard 1Q15 1Q Y/Y 1Q Q/Q 1Q15 1Q Y/Y 1Q Q/Q ACV ($B)* Change Change Counts Change Change
Global Market $ 5.1 -18% -22% 305 -7% -16% New Scope $ 3.2 -19% -7% 213 0% -11% Restructurings $ 1.9 -16% -39% 92 -20% -26% Mega-relationships $ 1.2 -32% -34% 8 -27% -11% ITO $ 3.5 -27% -26% 201 -16% -21% BPO $ 1.6 13% -12% 104 18% -4% Americas $ 2.1 10% -13% 143 27% -8% EMEA $ 2.4 -26% -29% 128 -24% -23% Asia Pacific $ 0.6 -45% -19% 34 -24% -15%
© 2015 Information Services
Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved
isg-one.com
*Contracts with ACV ≥ $5M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
4
As we forecast last quarter, 1Q15 Broader Market ACV declines, down 18% Y/Y, as midsize and larger awards fall short.
Broader Market Quarterly ACV ($B)*
Broader Market Quarterly Contract Counts
Broader Market Contract Award Trends
$5.1
$6.5
$5.1
$6.6 $6.2
$4.7
$6.2
$3.9
$5.9 $5.6 $6.0 $6.5
$7.0 $7.3 $6.6
$4.7
$6.0
1Q151Q141Q131Q121Q11
305 327 308 360 379
1Q151Q141Q131Q121Q11 -
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
© 2015 Information Services
Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved
isg-one.com
*Contracts with ACV ≥ $5M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
5
1Q15 Americas ACV are up 10% Y/Y with first quarter contract award counts up for the third straight year. BPO ACV, up 7% Y/Y, has its best quarter in two years.
Americas Quarterly Counts
Americas Contract Award Trends
Americas Quarterly ACV ($B)*
Like-Quarter Segment Details ACV ($B)* Americas Trailing 12 Months ACV ($B)*
$2.1 $1.9 $1.9
$2.7 $3.1
$2.1
1Q151Q141Q131Q121Q11 $-
$0.5
$1.0
$1.5
$2.0
$2.5
$3.0
$3.5
143 113 131
174 146
1Q151Q141Q131Q121Q11 -
50
100
150
200
$1.0 $1.1 $1.2 $0.9
$0.5
$1.0
$1.5
$2.0
$2.5
New Scope Restructuring ITO BPO
Range of 5 Prior 1Qs Avg of 5 Prior 1Qs1Q14 1Q15
$9.1
$6.5 $8.8 $9.4
$8.3
585
454 470 555
457
2Q14 -1Q15
2Q13 -1Q14
2Q12 -1Q13
2Q11 -1Q12
2Q10 -1Q11
ACV Counts
© 2015 Information Services
Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved
isg-one.com
*Contracts with ACV ≥ $5M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
6
$0.22
$0.01 $0.00 $0.03
$0.00$0.05$0.10$0.15$0.20$0.25$0.30
Canada Brazil Mexico Other LatAm
Range of 5 Prior 1Qs Avg of 5 Prior 1Qs 1Q14 1Q15
$1.84
$0.0
$0.5
$1.0
$1.5
$2.0
$2.5
$3.0
U.S.
$0.34 $0.37 $0.24
$0.40
$0.13 $0.11
$0.32
$0.07 $0.13 $0.0
$0.2
$0.4
$0.6
$0.8
$1.0
Manufacturing FinancialServices
Telecom& Media
Healthcare& Pharma
BusinessServices
Retail Energy ConsumerProducts & Goods
TravelTransport
Leisure
Range of 5 Prior 1Qs Avg of 5 Prior 1Qs 1Q14 1Q15
1Q15 ACV increases due to strength in the major markets of U.S. and Canada. Healthcare & Pharmaceutical and Energy sectors are particularly active.
Americas Sub-regions Like-Quarter ACV ($B)*
Americas Industry Like-Quarter ACV ($B)*
Americas Contract Award Trends Detail
© 2015 Information Services
Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved
isg-one.com
*Contracts with ACV ≥ $5M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
7
Co. Revenues < $2 B Co. Revenues $2 -10 B
ISG Sourcing Market Standouts in the Americas Providers with substantial offshore profiles led in the Building tier. Several contact center firms are now positioned in the Breakthrough 10.
Placements based on ACV of commercial contract awards in the past 12 months sourced from ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®. Service providers in alphabetical order; no rankings implied. Revenues sourced from Hoovers and individual company financial fillings
The Building 10 Sourcing Standouts
The Breakthrough 10 Sourcing Standouts
Aon Hewitt CBRE CGI
Cognizant CompuCom
Genpact HCL
Infosys Teleperformance
Wipro
Accenture Atos BT
Capgemini Dell IBM
RR Donnelley State Street
TCS Xerox
Alorica APAC Customer Services
EXL Firstsource Solutions
ICF International IGATE
KPIT Technologies Luxoft Syntel
TeleTech
The Big 10 Sourcing Standouts
Co. Revenues > $10B
SOURCING STANDOUTS GROUPED BY COMPANY SIZE
© 2015 Information Services
Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved
isg-one.com
*Contracts with ACV ≥ $5M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
8
$1.7
$0.7
$1.8
$0.6
$0.0
$0.5
$1.0
$1.5
$2.0
$2.5
$3.0
New Scope Restructuring ITO BPO
Range of 5 Prior 1Qs Avg of 5 Prior 1Qs1Q14 1Q15
EMEA ACV in 1Q15 fall 26% Y/Y as the region sees decreases in both Restructuring and New Scope awards. ITO ACV accentuates the decline, shrinking 36% Y/Y.
EMEA Quarterly Counts
EMEA Contract Award Trends
EMEA Quarterly ACV ($B)*
Like-Quarter Segment Details ACV ($B)* EMEA Trailing 12 Months ACV ($B)*
$2.4
$3.3 $2.7
$3.4 $3.2
1Q151Q141Q131Q121Q11 $-
$1.0
$2.0
$3.0
$4.0
$5.0
128 169
143 153
181
1Q151Q141Q131Q121Q11 -
40
80
120
160
200
$11.6 $12.1 $11.6 $14.2
$11.6
569 629
541 593 553
2Q14 -1Q15
2Q13 -1Q14
2Q12 -1Q13
2Q11 -1Q12
2Q10 -1Q11
ACV Counts
© 2015 Information Services
Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved
isg-one.com
*Contracts with ACV ≥ $5M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
9
$0.75
$0.10
$0.65
$0.18
$0.50
$0.05 $0.16 $0.02
$0.0
$0.5
$1.0
$1.5
$2.0
U.K. & Ireland Nordics DACH France Benelux SouthernEurope
Africa & MiddleEast
E. Europe &Russia
Range of 5 Prior 1Qs Avg of 5 Prior 1Qs 1Q14 1Q15
$1.23
$0.32 $0.18 $0.15 $0.20
$0.04 $0.01 $0.17 $0.12
$0.0$0.2$0.4$0.6$0.8$1.0$1.2$1.4
FinancialServices
TravelTransport
Leisure
Manufacturing Telecom& Media
Energy BusinessServices
ConsumerProducts & Goods
Retail Healthcare& Pharma
Range of 5 Prior 1Qs Avg of 5 Prior 1Qs 1Q14 1Q15
Despite a strong showing in Financial Services and in the DACH market, slowing in the U.K. and a difficult comparison in France cause overall results to turn negative.
EMEA Sub-regions Like-Quarter ACV ($B)*
EMEA Industry Like-Quarter ACV ($B)*
EMEA Contract Award Trends Detail
© 2015 Information Services
Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved
isg-one.com
*Contracts with ACV ≥ $5M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
10
Co. Revenues < $2 B Co. Revenues $2 -10 B
ISG Sourcing Market Standouts in EMEA Large multinationals and providers with strong local “home market” profiles head up each of the service provider segments.
Placements based on ACV of commercial contract awards in the past 12 months sourced from ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®. Service providers in alphabetical order; no rankings implied. Revenues sourced from Hoovers and individual company financial fillings
Co. Revenues > $10B
SOURCING STANDOUTS GROUPED BY COMPANY SIZE
Cognizant Capita
CGI EVRY HCL
Infosys MITIE Serco Tieto Wipro
Accenture Atos
Balfour Beatty BT
Capgemini Fujitsu
HP IBM TCS
T-Systems
Endava HH Global
IGATE InnerWorkings
Kuehne & Nagel Luxoft
MAYKOR Mindtree NNIT A/S
Xchanging
The Building 10 Sourcing Standouts
The Breakthrough 10 Sourcing Standouts
The Big 10 Sourcing Standouts
© 2015 Information Services
Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved
isg-one.com
*Contracts with ACV ≥ $5M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
11
Asia Pacific 1Q15 ACV is down 45% Y/Y versus a robust quarter a year ago. Contract counts are down 24% Y/Y yet are in line with 1Q12 and 1Q13.
Asia Pacific Quarterly Counts
Asia Pacific Contract Award Trends
Asia Pacific Quarterly ACV ($B)*
Like-Quarter Segment Details ACV ($B)* Asia Pacific Trailing 12 Months ACV ($B)*
$0.54
$0.98
$0.56 $0.53
$0.73
1Q151Q141Q131Q121Q11 $-
$0.2
$0.4
$0.6
$0.8
$1.0
$1.2
$1.4
34
45
34 33
52
1Q151Q141Q131Q121Q11 -
10
20
30
40
50
60
$2.6 $2.5
$3.6
$2.1 $2.7
139 141 169
135 166
2Q14 -1Q15
2Q13 -1Q14
2Q12 -1Q13
2Q11 -1Q12
2Q10 -1Q11
ACV Counts
$0.42
$0.12
$0.50
$0.04 $0.0
$0.2
$0.4
$0.6
$0.8
$1.0
New Scope Restructuring ITO BPO
Range of 5 Prior 1Qs Avg of 5 Prior 1Qs1Q14 1Q15
© 2015 Information Services
Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved
isg-one.com
*Contracts with ACV ≥ $5M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
12
$0.03
$0.30
$0.10 $0.08
$0.02 $0.02 $0.0$0.1$0.1$0.2$0.2$0.3$0.3$0.4
ANZ India and SouthAsia
Japan Greater China Southeast Asia South Korea
Range of 5 Prior 1Qs Avg of 5 Prior 1Qs 1Q14 1Q15
$0.18
$0.02
$0.10 $0.12
$0.06 $0.00
$0.03 $0.03 $0.00 $0.0
$0.1$0.1$0.2$0.2$0.3$0.3$0.4
FinancialServices
Manufacturing Telecom& Media
TravelTransport
Leisure
Energy BusinessServices
ConsumerProducts & Goods
Retail Healthcare& Pharma
Range of 5 Prior 1Qs Avg of 5 Prior 1Qs 1Q14 1Q15
India steps up its contracting pace. However, ANZ remains sluggish, holding back overall regional results.
Asia Pacific Sub-regions Like-Quarter ACV ($B)*
Asia Pacific Industry Like-Quarter ACV ($B)*
Asia Pacific Contract Award Trends Detail
© 2015 Information Services
Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved
isg-one.com
*Contracts with ACV ≥ $5M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
13
Co. Revenues < $2 B Co. Revenues $2 -10 B
ISG Sourcing Market Standouts in Asia Pacific Several Japanese providers joined the large multinationals in the Big 10 Sourcing Standouts list. Australian and India-based providers contributed greatly to the two smaller tiers.
Placements based on ACV of commercial contract awards in the past 12 months sourced from ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®. Service providers in alphabetical order; no rankings implied. Revenues sourced from Hoovers and individual company financial fillings
Co. Revenues > $10B
SOURCING STANDOUTS GROUPED BY COMPANY SIZE
Cognizant HCL
Infosys NEC
Orange Business Services Tech Mahindra
Transfield Services Unisys
United Group Services Wipro
Accenture BT
Fujitsu HP
Hitachi IBM
NTT Data Ricoh TCS
Ericsson
Aegis Limited ChinaSoft
Hollysys Automation Itron
Kratos Defense & Security NGA Human Resources
Ramco SITA
Vertex Group WNS
The Building 10 Sourcing Standouts
The Breakthrough 10 Sourcing Standouts
The Big 10 Sourcing Standouts
© 2015 Information Services
Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved
isg-one.com
*Contracts with ACV ≥ $5M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
14
Relative to the Commercial Sector, Public Sector ACV grows in the past five years. Most ACV is generated by ITO awards, with BPO ACV varying by geography.
Public Sector Trailing 12 Months Counts
Global Public Sector Award Trends
Public Sector Trailing 12 Months ACV ($B)*
Public Sector ITO vs. BPO TTM ACV ($B)* Public Sector Regional ITO vs. BPO % TTM ACV
$23.3
$47.3 $38.9
$27.7 $25.1 $27.6
2Q14 -1Q15
2Q13 -1Q14
2Q12 -1Q13
2Q11 -1Q12
2Q10 -1Q11
Commercial Sector Public Sector
1,293 1,224
1,180 1,283 1,176 1,400 1,188
978 891 876
2Q14 -1Q15
2Q13 -1Q14
2Q12 -1Q13
2Q11 -1Q12
2Q10 -1Q11
Commercial Sector Public Sector
88%
36%
91%
38%
12%
64%
9%
62%
U.S. & Canada U.K. ContinentalEurope
Australia
ITO BPO
$35.9 $30.0
$20.9 $18.0 $20.7
$11.4 $8.8 $6.8 $7.1 $6.9
2Q14 -1Q15
2Q13 -1Q14
2Q12 -1Q13
2Q11 -1Q12
2Q10 -1Q11
Public Sector ITO ACV Public Sector BPO ACV
© 2015 Information Services
Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved
isg-one.com
*Contracts with ACV ≥ $5M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
15
North America, led by Defense and Healthcare spending, account for a large share of sourcing. Average ACV remains steady while durations fall.
Share of Public Sector ACV for Trailing 12 Months Top Public Sector Providers in Recent 12 Months*
Global Public Sector Award Trends Continued
67%
17% 7% 6% 2%
U.S. &Canada
U.K. ContinentalEurope
Australia Other
Global Average Deal Size and Duration Compare
3.81 4.15
3.12
4.36
$18.0 $19.2
$33.8 $31.5
2Q14 -1Q15
2Q13 -1Q14
2Q12 -1Q13
2Q11 -1Q12
2Q10 -1Q11
Commercial Sector Public Sector
*Service providers in alphabetical order; no rankings implied. Placements based on counts of public sector contract awards sourced from ISG Contracts Knowledgebase ®.
Accenture BT
Capita Carillion
CGI CSC HP
Accenture Atea Atos
Capgemini CGI HP
IBM Indra Sistemas
Serco
Accenture Boeing Fujitsu
Harris Corp. IBM
NEC Corp. Serco
Avg. Duration in Yrs.
Avg. Contract Value ($K)
U.S. & Canada Asia Pacific
U.K. Continental Europe
General Dynamics L-3 Communications
Leidos Holdings Lockheed Martin
Northrop Grumman Raytheon
Science Applications
© 2015 Information Services
Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved
isg-one.com
*Contracts with ACV ≥ $5M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
16
Special Topic for First Quarter 2015
THE COMPOUNDED IMPACT OF AUTOMATION, ROBOTICS AND CLOUD – THE ARC HEIGHTENS SOURCING PRICE WARS
John Keppel Partner & President
© 2015 Information Services
Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved
isg-one.com
*Contracts with ACV ≥ $5M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
17
The ARC Effect Accelerates and Broadens Pricing Changes Automation, Robotics and Cloud (ARC) impact the managed service marketplace more rapidly and broadly than anticipated. Clients look to benchmarking to take advantage.
obotics
utomation
Most Recent
loud ? SaaS PaaS
IaaS
A Buyer’s Market
reveals price declines more than 20% in
some cases
Stirring Up the
Status Quo
© 2015 Information Services
Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved
isg-one.com
*Contracts with ACV ≥ $5M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
18
Providers Adjust – Talk of New Service Investments Abound Providers are trying to leverage what they have, protect existing revenues and invent their future businesses all at the same time – a significant challenge.
ARC leads to
supplant on-premises, fixed-pricing
models
Not just short-term contracts, but effectively pay-as-you-go models to ensure flexibility
$4
$1
revenue is replaced with
only $1 of cloud-based
revenue
?
$3 to $4 dollars in hardware/software
Significant Provider Challenge
© 2015 Information Services
Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved
isg-one.com
*Contracts with ACV ≥ $5M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
19
As we forecast, Broader Market ACV fell short Y/Y even as smaller deal flow remained constant
Americas results stayed consistent as the U.S. and Canada and several industries (Energy and Healthcare/Pharmaceuticals) saw stepped-up activity
EMEA and Asia-Pacific fell back Y/Y as they struggled with difficult comparisons against a more robust quarter a year ago
Positive results in selected geographic markets like India and DACH and Financial Services in Europe were not enough to counterbalance declines in larger, more established sourcing markets like the U.K. and ANZ
We expect a difficult comparison in 2Q15 as markets such as France and Japan have tough targets to match
ACV should remain muted through the first half but we expect will turn more positive in 2H15 – especially with strength in verticals like Energy and Transportation, coupled with solid results in the larger sourcing markets like the U.S. and DACH
1Q15 ISG Outsourcing Index™ - Global Summary and Outlook
summary market
outlook market
© 2015 Information Services
Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved
isg-one.com
*Contracts with ACV ≥ $5M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
20
Please contact us with your questions and comments. Learn More
Paul Reynolds Chief Research Officer
+1 508 625 2194 [email protected]
ISG insights serving providers and market analysts
www.isg-one.com John Keppel
Partner and President +44 (0)7879 432 212
Will Thoretz Americas Media Contact
+1 203 517 3119 [email protected]
Denise Colgan EMEA and AP Media Contact
+44 1737 371523 [email protected]
© 2015 Information Services
Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved
isg-one.com
*Contracts with ACV ≥ $5M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
21
First Quarter 2015 APPENDIX: SCORE CARD FOR TCV
© 2015 Information Services
Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved
isg-one.com
*Contracts with ACV ≥ $5M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
22
The ISG Outsourcing Index has moved to ACV as the primary measure of the Broader Market. We will continue to provide a high-level TCV view of the market via a Scorecard analysis.
First Quarter 2015 TCV Scorecard
*Contracts with TCV ≥ $25M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
Scorecard 1Q15 1Q Y/Y 1Q Q/Q 1Q15 1Q Y/Y 1Q Q/Q
TCV ($B)* Change Change Counts Change Change
Global Market $ 22.4 -17% -25% 305 -7% -16%
New Scope $ 16.0 -8% 13% 213 0% -11%
Restructurings $ 6.4 -32% -60% 92 -20% -26%
Mega-deals $ 4.4 40% -61% 8 -27% -11%
ITO $ 16.7 -14% -23% 201 -16% -21%
BPO $ 5.6 -23% -32% 104 18% -4%
Americas $ 7.0 -14% -29% 143 27% -8%
EMEA $ 12.7 -10% -26% 128 -24% -23%
Asia Pacific $ 2.7 -42% -11% 34 -24% -15%
© 2015 Information Services
Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved
isg-one.com
*Contracts with ACV ≥ $5M from the ISG Contracts Knowledgebase®
23
Information Services Group is a leading technology insights, market intelligence and advisory services company, serving more than 500 clients around the world to help them achieve operational excellence. ISG supports private and public sector organizations to transform and optimize their operational environments through research, benchmarking, consulting and managed services, with a focus on information technology, business process transformation, program management services and enterprise resource planning. Clients look to ISG for unique insights and innovative solutions for leveraging technology, the deepest data source in the industry, and more than five decades of experience of global leadership in information and advisory services. Based in Stamford, Conn., the company has more than 900 employees and operates in 21 countries.
knowledge powering results®
www.isg-one.com