2005 ndia/aac air armament symposium long range strike industry panel brief october 5, 2005
TRANSCRIPT
2005 NDIA/AAC Air Armament Symposium
Long Range Strike Industry Panel BriefOctober 5, 2005
NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 2
Long Range Strike Industry Panel
LibertyWorksLibertyWorksTMTM
NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 3
Panel Membership
• Alliant Tech Systems
– Robert Blake
– Douglas Lewis
– Gordon Snurr
• Aerojet– Mark Director
– Pat Hewitt
• Boeing– Carl Avila
– Bob Marinan
– Carl Miller
– Steve Morrow
– Ron Mutzleburg
– John Reilly
– Glenn Vogel
– Steve Vukelich
• General Electric– Bill Dwyer
• Honeywell– Dan Shockley
• Liberty Works– John Arvin
• Lockheed Martin– Barry Brown– Jim Enault– Bob Hartmann– Richard Mitchell– Ed Whalen
• Northrop Grumman– Gail Allen– Russ Prechtl– Dave Rosenblatt
• Orbital Sciences– Kevin Richardson
• Pratt & Whitney– Richard Kazmar
• Raytheon– Dave Andrews
– Louis Galto
– Robert Nelson
– Charles Stevens
• Rockwell Collins– Nick Holoviak
– Ken Kato
• Williams International– Mike Bak
– Scott Cruzen
– Carl Schiller
Panel Chair: Carl AvilaCo-Chair : Ed WhalenCo-Chair: Bob Nelson
Panel Advisors Marya Bard: AAC/XREd Jackanowski: ASN/RDA
NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 4
Long Range Strike Capability
SOFSOF
NuclearNuclear
C/BC/B
LeadershipLeadership
LRS
LRSSOFSOF
F/A-22 / F-35Range
SOFSOFSOFSOF
Enablers
•Objective Capability To Achieve Desired Effects Rapidly, Persistently, On Any Target, In any Environment, Anywhere, At Any Time
Requirements•Phase 1: Bomber Forces Upgrade:
•Link -16 Connectivity, Stand Off, Precision, Radar, Targeting
•Phase 2: Field Mid-Term Strike Capability:
•Range, Persistence, L/O, Speed, GIG
•Phase 3: Field Long Range Strike Capability
•Long Range, Persistence, L/O, Speed, GIG, Transformational Technologies
USAF Next Generation Long Range Strike Study
Potential missions/targetsPotential missions/targets: : TCS, Relocatable Targets, Fixed Targets, TCS, Relocatable Targets, Fixed Targets, Counter-WMD, GWOT, HDBT, SUW, …Counter-WMD, GWOT, HDBT, SUW, …
Global Strike WeaponGlobal Strike Weapon(High Speed Weapon)(High Speed Weapon)
What it isWhat it is: : A A WeaponWeapon SYSTEMSYSTEM,, NOT just a speed/propulsion… NOT just a speed/propulsion…
Potential launch platformsPotential launch platforms: : TacAir, Surface Ships, Submarines, TacAir, Surface Ships, Submarines,
Bombers, …Bombers, …
Mach NumberMach Number
66
““High Speed”High Speed” ““Hypersonic”Hypersonic”
22
It all depends on… the It all depends on… the CAPABILITIESCAPABILITIES Required RequiredIt all depends on… the It all depends on… the CAPABILITIESCAPABILITIES Required Required
Milestone B
• Target Set• Launch Platform
• PK
• C4ISR ConOps• Cost Analysis
• TRL Assessment
• Target Set• Launch Platform
• PK
• C4ISR ConOps• Cost Analysis
• TRL Assessment
JCIDSJCIDS
JOINTNESS/FundingJOINTNESS/Funding
AoAAoA1010
NotionalNotional
ScheduleSchedule
NotionalNotional
ScheduleSchedule
0505 0606 0707 0808 0909 1313 1414////FYFY
AoAAoAJCIDSJCIDS
MS BMS BRFPRFPSourceSelSourceSel
IOC?IOC?StudiesStudies
Sea Strike
• Stealth / Standoff Platforms• Long Range (w/ tanking/support)• Various POR/Cruise Weapons • Various conventional payloads
• Stealth / Standoff Platforms• Long Range (w/ tanking/support)• Various POR/Cruise Weapons • Various conventional payloads
• Medium Range: XXX - XXX+ nm• Speed: Mach X+• Warhead: XXX - XXX lbs• GW: ~XXXX lbs
• Medium Range: XXX - XXX+ nm• Speed: Mach X+• Warhead: XXX - XXX lbs• GW: ~XXXX lbs
“Platforms & Subsonic/LOE Weapons” “JHS Strike Tactical Weapon”
Launch Platforms: B-2; F-117; Next-Gen High-Speed Bombers; CG/DDG; SSN; SSGN; TACAIR
Launch Platforms: TACAIR, SSGN, SSN, CG/DDG
• Long Range: >3000 nm• Type: Conventional ICBM / IRBM • Large Warhead: >1000 lbs• GW: >3000 lbs
• Long Range: >3000 nm• Type: Conventional ICBM / IRBM • Large Warhead: >1000 lbs• GW: >3000 lbs
“Prompt Global Strike Weapons”
Launch Platforms: Silo’s, Heavy Bombers, SSGN
Fills Time Critical Warfighter Gap / Multi-Mission CapableFills Time Critical Warfighter Gap / Multi-Mission Capable Allows Long Range Strike in Direct Attack TimelinesAllows Long Range Strike in Direct Attack Timelines
Notional TCS Capabilities TriadNotional TCS Capabilities Triad
NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 7
C4ISR
WEAPONS
PLATFORMS
SENSOR TO SHOOTER
DELAY TIME
UNIVERSAL ARMAMENT INTERFACE
DATALINK CONNECTIVITY
IT ALL DEPENDS ON: IT ALL DEPENDS ON: THE THE CAPABILITIESCAPABILITIES REQUIRED REQUIRED
POTENTIAL MISSIONS/TARGETSPOTENTIAL MISSIONS/TARGETS: : TIME CRITICAL, RELOCATABLE, FIXED, TIME CRITICAL, RELOCATABLE, FIXED, COUNTER-WMD, GWOT, HDBT, SUW, - -COUNTER-WMD, GWOT, HDBT, SUW, - -
POTENTIAL LAUNCH PLATFORMSPOTENTIAL LAUNCH PLATFORMS: : TACAIR, MARITIME PATROL, SURFACE TACAIR, MARITIME PATROL, SURFACE
SHIPS, SUBMARINES, BOMBERS, - -SHIPS, SUBMARINES, BOMBERS, - -
CURRENT AND FUTURE
CARRIAGE CONSTRAINTS
LRS and HSW are System of Systems(Not Just a Range or Speed)
TIME OF FLIGHT
NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 8
Warfighter’s Stand OffTime Critical Requirement
Kill Chain
Fix Track Target Engage AssessFind
Major Investments Being Made in This Part Of The
Kill Chain
Focus on Sensor to Shooter Delay Times of
10 Minutes or Less
We Focused on the “Weapons” Piece of the Kill
Chain
NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 9
• Time Critical Strike– Integrated Defense
– Theatre Ballistic Missiles
• Mobile/Moving Surface Targets. • Limited "Deep" GS Against HVT • CBRNE Defense • Maritime CAS • Fixed Targets • Close Air Support • Underground Facility
Customer’s Desired Capabilities
• Time Critical Strike
• Relocatable Targets • GWOT/High Value Targets• Counter-WMD• Surface Warfare (SUW)• Fixed Targets• Naval Surface Fire Support• Hard/Buried Targets
USAF USN
NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 10
Analysis ProcessDerived System Characteristics
C4ISR & Targeting Performance
Target Set
Defensive Threat
Launch Platforms
Lethality
Block Speed
AccuracySurvivability
Effectiveness
Compatibility
Probability of Survival
Reliability
Range
Capability Needs & Constraints
System Attributes or Key Performance Parameters
System Characteristics/TPM
Cost Affordability
Payload Type/Size
Acquisition Cost
Technical RiskNeed Date TRL
Reliability
NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 11
Concept 1190” Length 2320 lbs Maximum Weight 20.4” Diameter
Concept 2 250” Length 2320 -5500 lbs 20.4” Diameter
Vehicle SizingPlatform and Configuration Constraints
• Solid Rocket• Turbine• Pulse DetonationLiquid Fuel RamjetSolid Fuel RamjetVariable Flow Ducted RocketDual Combustion RamjetScramjet
PropulsionSubsystem Candidates
Subsystem ConstraintsBooster Required for Air Launch(All Require Boosters For Surface Launch)
LAUNCH PLATFORM CANDIDATES
• F/A-18 E/F• F/A-22 (EXTERNAL)• JSF (EXTERNAL) • F-16, F-15 E• B-2, B-52H, B-1 • CG, DDG (MK-41/-75 VLS)• SSGN/SSN
TACTICAL FIGHTER AIR LAUNCH (F/A-18 E/F, JSF, F-16, F/A-22, F-15E)• 194 IN. CONTAINER LENGTH FOR CV MAGAZINE ELEVATOR• 1965 LB F/A-18 E/F ASYMMETRIC RECOVERY LIMIT - POTENTIALLY 2320 LB
• BOMBER, VLS/CLS (SSN, CG, DDG, SSGN)• 22 IN. BY 22 IN. MK-41 VLS CANISTER CROSS SECTION• 250 IN. LENGTH OVER ALL (WITH BOOSTER) BOMBER• 3300 LB MISSILE WEIGHT LIMIT (USING MK-41 VLS CANISTER)• 5000 LB FOR BOMBERS
LAUNCH PLATFORM SIZE CONSTRAINTS
TACTICAL FIGHTER AIR LAUNCH (F/A-18 E/F, JSF, F-16, F/A-22, F-15E)• 194 IN. CONTAINER LENGTH FOR CV MAGAZINE ELEVATOR• 1965 LB F/A-18 E/F ASYMMETRIC RECOVERY LIMIT - POTENTIALLY 2320 LB
• BOMBER, VLS/CLS (SSN, CG, DDG, SSGN)• 22 IN. BY 22 IN. MK-41 VLS CANISTER CROSS SECTION• 250 IN. LENGTH OVER ALL (WITH BOOSTER) BOMBER• 3300 LB MISSILE WEIGHT LIMIT (USING MK-41 VLS CANISTER)• 5000 LB FOR BOMBERS
TACTICAL FIGHTER AIR LAUNCH (F/A-18 E/F, JSF, F-16, F/A-22, F-15E)• 194 IN. CONTAINER LENGTH FOR CV MAGAZINE ELEVATOR• 1965 LB F/A-18 E/F ASYMMETRIC RECOVERY LIMIT - POTENTIALLY 2320 LB
• BOMBER, VLS/CLS (SSN, CG, DDG, SSGN)• 22 IN. BY 22 IN. MK-41 VLS CANISTER CROSS SECTION• 250 IN. LENGTH OVER ALL (WITH BOOSTER) BOMBER• 3300 LB MISSILE WEIGHT LIMIT (USING MK-41 VLS CANISTER)• 5000 LB FOR BOMBERS
NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 12
Target Set Considerations
•Traditional fixed targets
•Time Critical Targets
•Mobile Targets
•Moving Targets
• WMD, Chem, Bio
• HDBT
LRS And HSW Must Address Traditional, Time Critical and High Value Targets
Payload and Range Requirements for Different Target Sets Drive Vehicle Configurations
• No single vehicle/ordnance pairing does it all
• Delivery Vehicle Must Accommodate• Ordnance ~ Blast Frag, Submunitions, Penetrator, CBRNE• Delivery accuracy
NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 13
Payload and Accuracy
Target TypePayload HDBT MVR Hard Med Soft
250
500
750
1000
DE
SubMn
Cluster
Good Moderate Poor
HardBunker, Shelter
MedRunway, Bridge
Armor
SoftPersonnel, POL
HDBTCBRNE, C2
SubMn1000 750 500 250
CEP
SKRLLDL
GPSINS
HLDL
Today’s Guidance CapabilitySatisfies Accuracy Needs
Most Target Types At Risk WithSmaller Warhead
NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 14
Strike BattlespaceDefined by Missile Range vs Time-of-Flight
200
600
1000
1400
1800
30 60
Ra
ng
e T
o T
arg
et (
nm
i)
Time of Flight (min)
Current Air/Surface Launch Tactical Strike Capability
Mach 1
Mach 2
Mach 3Mach 4Mach 5Mach 6Mach 6Mach 6
NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 15
Long Range High-Speed Missile Improves Time-Range Battlespace
200
600
1000
1400
1800
30 60
Ra
ng
e T
o T
arg
et (
nm
i)
Time of Flight (min)
Art of the Possible Air/Surface Launch Long-Range Strike Capability
Mach 1
Mach 2
Mach 3Mach 4Mach 5
Current Air/Surface Launch Tactical Strike Capability
Mach 6
NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 16
High-Speed Missile System Range vs Time-of-Flight Battlespace
200
600
1000
1400
1800
30 60
Ra
ng
e T
o T
arg
et (
nm
i)
Near-TermTechnology
Fly out designed for fuel load, speed, and thermal
In-ServiceTechnology
Mach 1
Mach 2
Mach 3Mach 4Mach 5
Time of Flight (min)
Mach 6
Mid-TermTechnology
NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 17
Low Risk Vehicle Design Points Provide Substantially Improved Battlespace
200
600
1000
1400
1800
30 60
Ra
ng
e T
o T
arg
et (
nm
i)
Near-TermAir/Surface Launch 2320-5500 lb
(Concept 2)
Near-TermAir/Surface Launch 2320 lb
(Concept 1)
Mach 2
Mach 3Mach 4Mach 5
Time of Flight (min)
Mach 6
NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 18
Warfighter Sensitivity to Speed
Initial Standoff Strike - Near-Peer Adversary Asset Laydown
More Targets Reachable Before Hide Using High-speed Long-range Weapon
15 300
25
50
75
100
125
2,500 ft/sec5,000 ft/sec
1,000 ft/sec
Cap
abil
itie
s-B
ased
An
alys
is
Sensor-to-Shooter Delay (min)
No
rmal
ized
Tar
get
s E
ng
agab
leWeapon
Block Speed
NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 19
Operations Research Models Long Range High-Speed Strike Weapons Benefits
Supersonic missile added to a baseline weapon set to examine campaign level effect
Case 2Baseline + HSW vs . Stationary TCTs• Range = 600 nm
• Targets = Stationary TCTs
• Platform = Surface Launch
Case 3Baseline + HSW vs . Stationary TCTs• Range = 600 nm
•
• Platform = Surface Launch+AIR
Case 1Baseline• JDAM• JSOW A• JSOW B• Paveway• Maverick• JASSM• Tomahawk• ERGM
TCTs: Time Critical TargetsHSW: High-Speed Weapon
Targets = Stationary TCTs
NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 20
High-Speed Long-Range Capabilities Achieve Objectives Sooner
• Air-launched Fast Weapons Showed The Most Benefit Due To High Sortie Rate
• Benefit Achieved Is A Shorter Campaign
0
200
400
600
800
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Days of Campaign
Cu
mu
lati
ve T
CT
Kil
ls
1. Current Weapons
2. High-Speed Weapon(HSW)Stationary TargetSurface Platform
3. HSW, Stationary Targets,Air & Surface Platforms
NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 21
Survivability is Altitude, Speed and Observable Dependent
Speed
Altitude
Low PSModerate PS
Good PS
Excellent PS
HighLow
Low
High
Stealth Driven Improvement
NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 22
Operational Availability
• Long Range Strike Weapons Will Be Highly Reliable– Reliability Designed In and Verified in Development
– Wooden Round
– Reliability As a Key Performance Parameter
• Minimum Support Infrastructure
NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 23
Technology Readiness Level (TRL) Flight Vehicle Subsystems Focus
•System Integration
•Airframe - Structure - Control Surfaces - Thermal protection
• Guidance, Navigation, and Control - Guidance and Control Unit ~ IMU ~ Data Link - Actuators - Seeker/Radome/IR Dome ~ as required
• Payload - Penetrator/Blast Frag /Thermobaric /Fuzing/ Submunitions/Advanced Payloads
• Propulsion - Inlet/Flow Path - Fuel [Liquid/Solid] - Combustor/Turbine/Fuel Control
BLUE: Design/Development Materials/Processes Readily Available Across IndustryGREEN: Focus Investment to Attain TRL >6/7; Target Set/Mach Number Dependent
Generic Vehicle Architecture
Concept 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Solid Rocket 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
Supersonic Turbojet 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
Liquid Fueled Ramjet 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
Variable Flow Ducted Rocket
8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
Dual Combustion Ramjet
6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
Solid Fueled Ramjet 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
SCRAMJET 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
Pulse Detonation Engine
4 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
Propulsion Technology Readiness Levels
HyFly Flight Demo Program (M=4-6)
Fiscal Year
VAATE Ground Testing (M=4+)
NASA Wind Tunnel Tests
GQM-163A Flights (M=2.5); In Production
MA-31 Operational Use (M=2.5-3.5)
Many Examples of Operational Solid Rockets
RATTLRS Flight Testing (M=3-4)
SED Flight Tests (M=4.5-6.5)
LRS/HSW Considerations
Low ISP, Sizing Not Suitable
RATTLRS/VAATE Adding Maturity
Mature, in Production
Mature, in Production
HyFly Adding Maturity
Funding Limited Schedule to Mature
No Govt. Funded Plans to Mature
No Govt. Funded Plans to Mature
Propulsion Technology Supports FY-08 Program Start
NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 25
Vehicle Concepts
SCRAMJET
Dual Combustion RAMJET
Variable Flow Ducted Rocket
Supersonic Turbo JetLiquid Fuel RAMJET
NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 26
Notional Acquisition Program
• Constant Base Year 2005 Dollars
• SDD Period of Performance : Oct 2007 thru Sept 2012
• 50 Equivalent Test Units Delivered
• Production Quantity Assumed to be 4,000 Units
• Excludes Pre-SDD Concept / Technology Development Cost
• Assumes All Up Round – no GFE Required for Production
• Excludes Government Program Office, Test Facility, and Support Costs
• Integration on one USAF and One USN platform2005 2006
MS BMS A MS C
Ongoing Risk Reduction
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
System Design & Development
DT / OT
IOC
SDD Program = $800-900 M AUPP= $500-800 K
Full ProductionLow Rate Production
NDIA LRS Industry Team10/5/2005 27
Summary and Recommendations
• High Speed, Long Range Weapons Have The Potential To Be A Significant Force Multiplier
• Technology Readiness of Critical Subsystems Supports FY-08 Program Start
• USAF and USN Studies are Addressing the Same Requirement• Development Cost Consistent with Current Generation Weapons• Strong, Competitive Industrial Base
• Establish Joint Requirements (JCIDS)• Coordinate Government Planned AoAs in FY-06 (USAF & USN)• Conduct Program Cost Estimates to Support FY-08 POM
Recommendations
Summary