20080816 design to delivery v2.2 en
TRANSCRIPT
“product design to delivery”
V.2.2200809
operational excellence through integration
retail & sales planningmethodology overview
team composition
a team of industry professional with relevant hands-on experiences on the market
marketsMade in Italy Luxury Goods Automotive
lines
Customer eXperience Mgmt
Supply Chain Mgmt
Business Intelligence
Retail Management
our mission
increase our client’s performances
implementing
tools, methodologies,
services, and expertise
to increase customer loyalty and
to streamline sales & logistic activities.
productdesign
supplychainmgmt
retailoperation
CRMbusiness
intelligence
what we doncrease efficiency and streamline activities of
“design to deliver”
business process reegineering
leverage on the expertise already present in the company
sustain change management
design and implement business intelligence applications
project management during software implementation, web-based sw development
increase usage of existing sw application through user training and support
Discover• process owners & key players interview• process & IT applications assessment• gather business needs
Diagnose• identify critical success factors
• organization• operation• finance
Design• to be plan
• “gap” analysys• implementation plan• change management plan
Deliver• implement plans
• project management• time• cost
our methodology
supply chain managemento
bje
ctiv
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sign
nal
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acti
on
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new
pro
du
cts
lau
nch
PO
S se
gmen
tati
on
fore
cast
ing
rep
len
ish
men
t
key
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icat
ors
key
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oin
ts
business objectives
maximise shopping
eXperience
service / volume
• increase POS sales forecastingdemand and a better execution ofassortment/castegorymanagement
• increase new products sales duringlaunch and post-launch period
• increase sales orders fill-rate and respect of promised delivery date
• make a more reliable forecast ofdemand through the usage ofadvanced BI toolsi
organizaton / operations
• increase flexibility and readiness of entiredesign to delivery process
• roles and responsiblities re-alignement
• re-fucus each resource on its corecompetences
inventory / financials
• reduce new products stock-out during early months of sales
• increase stock turnover controllingand optimize inventory over the entire supply chain
• sustain company growth with no or minimum increase of inventory
• obsolete management
lines of action
As Is
organizationrealignment
POS segmentation
productassortment
budgeting & forecasting
streamlineoperations
negative signals
productassortment
weak control ofassortment
• brand,
• area / country,
• shop / pos
no product stock-out analysis
loosely definedprocesses & procedures
• no periodic assessment ofassortment,
• new shops opening,
• new products launch
purchasing
purchase orders drivenby personal taste / gutt
feeling
• little or no usage of BI info,
• stock turnover objectivesset at category level
stock turnover set byfinancial objectives notby customer experience
expectations
low POs’ fill-rate and respect of delivery dates
production
sales forecast by sku
• no unfullfilled demandanalysis at POS
• unsctrucured awereness ofnew opening plans and seasonality at POS
new products
• little or no alignment withsales & mktg
• understimation of productneeds to sustaindistribuition network growth
• production capacity limitssales forecast
sales & marketing
sales forecast bybusiness unit
• country / sales channell
• breakdown by productcategory using past salesdata only
inventory level forecast
• by product category only
• underestimate seasonalityand new products launch
new products salesforecast
• underestimatecannibalization
indicated actions
production
procurement plan
• strategic raw materials
• components and WIP management
engineering of newproducts
• increase reusability ofexisting components
actual production
• keep promised quantities & delivery dates
• increase flexibility
• postponement
• control product quality
sales & marketing
(corp.)
segmentation & assortment
• products
• pos
new products
• creative briefing
• launch strategies
• distribution strategies on different sales channels
sales forecastconsolidation
sales & marketing
(local)
sales data quality
• correctdness
• timeliness
project management
• promotion
• new shop / pos opening
demand forecast
• capture unfilfilled demandat shop / pos
• BI tools
• sales forecast at macro level
logistics
safety level definitions
• central warehouse
• area warehouse
• shop warehouse
global and localdistribution plan
BI competence center
sustain and championchange
define key dimensions
• identify and agree on key dimensions of each business line and / or product line
• assign and maintain key dimensions to each sku
definition of assortment cell
• all sku’s that have same values of their key dimensions
assortment cell is the basic tool to:
• be perceived as “different” (assortmentwise) by the final customer
• control and measure stock-outs
• forecast sales
• define product obsolescenze and manage “long tail”
segment product assortment
product assortment grid
Bracelets / Retail price: 1,000 – 5,000€
Steel Steel-Gold Gold-Steel Gold
Plain Sku1Sku5Sku6
Sku2Sku7
Sku3Sku8Sku9
Sku4Sku10
Semiprecious Sku11 Sku12Sku13
Sku14Sku15
Sku17Sku18
Semiprec.-Prec. Sku20 Sku22Sku23
Sku24Sku25Sku26
Preciuos Sku27Sku28Sku29
Sku30Sku31Sku32
Diamonds Sku33 Sku34 Sku35 Sku36Sku37Sku38
Rubies Sku39Sku40
Emeralds Sku41
Zaffires Sku42
4. sales meetings and sell-in orders– first update to purchasing and
replenishment plan
5. merchandise delivery to shopsand POS
6. early sales analisys
7. second update to purchasing and replenishment plan
1. product brief– agreed with sales / mktg / production
– expected retail price band
2. collaborative forecasting– consensus based
• corporate• areas / sales channels managers• marketing corporate & local• production• logistics
– impact on existing products
3. distribution plan– expected service levels safety stocks levels– purchasing and replenishment plans
new products launch process
stand-alone shared
unstructured structured
reactive / late proactive / planned
As Is To Be
BU # 1 on street shop in shop shopping mall airport
flagship full
level 1 full high1
level 2 full high2 high2
level 3 high2 full
BU # 2 on street shop in shop shopping mall airport
flagship full
level 1 full high1
level 2 high1 high2 high2
level 3 high2 high1
shop and POS segmentation
shop segmentation
strategic & brand image building
flagship
level 1
level 2
level 3
location
on street
shop in shop
shopping mall
travel retail outlet
BU # 3 on street shop in shop shopping mall airport
flagship full
level 1 high1 high2
level 2 high2 low1 low2
level 3 low3 low3
marketing
forecasting cycle (top down approach)
distribution plandelivery plan by warehouse by sku by month
acquistipurchase plan by month by sku
sales forecast approvalgroup-wide sales forecast
definition of inventory levelssafety stock levels by area / shop by month by sku
agreement on sales forecastupdates/changes at assortment cell level
sales forecast by skumonthly forecast by shop / sales channel by sku
sales forecastby quarter by product category
sales /
mktg
CEO
logistics
responsible
anticipate customer demandsafety stock levels defined taking into consideration producttypology and its seasonality
• Core (fast movers): no stock-outs expected
• Select (slow movers): no stock-outs expected on assortment cell
flexible purchase plan
• moving purchase plan
• scope of purchase plan equal to product lead-time
• flexibility bands vary according to production processes
month 1 month 3 month 4 month 11month 10month 5 month 7 month 9month 6 month 8 month 12month2
delivery plan
0% 20% 50% trendflexibility band
replenishment – owned shops
each shops makes available daily sales and stock levels data
logistics calculates inventory gaps by shop by sku
logistics calculates the optimal distribution plan to:
• replenish shop filling the inventory gaps, and replenish the entiresupply chain if needed
• anticipate shop and product seasonality
delivery plansales
forecast
safety stock levels
definition
purchasingplan
product on shekves
saleinventory
gaps
changes todelivery
plan
replenishment frequency: based on sales forecast and distribution network
key performance indicators
re-orders
budget
forecast update
sales
Production
inventory levels
central
area
shop / POS
re-routing
central warehouse
area warehouse
area warehouse
shop
delays
production
central warehouse
area warehouse
new productlaunches
obsolete
outlet
auctions
e-commerce
reverse logistic
intraarea
interarea
sales forecast variances vs. actual sales
expected vs. actual operation activities and costs
key learning points
“soft”
get quick wins asap,
top management sponsorship,
increase and reward operations flexibity,
align customer experience objectives with corporate and personal objectives,
change management,
right mix of data analysis and gutt feelings.
“hard”
standardize, streamline and accelerate information flows,
standardize, streamline and accelerate business processes,
don’t stop to communicate and align: shops, key players, what’s going wrong and the relevant countermeasures, product shortages and action plan to minimize bad effect on customer experience.
thank you
Ing. Fabio O. BernardiniManaging Partner
mobile +39 3383497750
office +39 0683398345
email: [email protected]
founder of “Made in Italy & Luxury Goods” social network