2009 revision by the noordwijk risk initiative foundation

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  • 8/14/2019 2009 Revision by the Noordwijk Risk Initiative Foundation

    1/1

    MORT - Management Oversight & Risk Tree

    People

    BasedonKnown

    Precedent

    39 3939 39

    Pointof

    operation

    logLTA

    TimeLTA

    CausedFailure

    TaskPerformance

    Errors

    b3SD5

    Pointof

    operation

    logLTA

    TimeLTA

    CausedFailure

    TaskPerformance

    Errors

    b3SD5

    Pointof

    operation

    logLTA

    TimeLTA

    CausedFailure

    TaskPerformance

    Errors

    b3SD5

    Pointof

    operation

    logLTA

    TimeLTA

    CausedFailure

    TaskPerformance

    Errors

    b3SD5

    TaskPerformance

    Errors

    TaskPerformance

    Errors

    TaskPerformance

    Errors

    TaskPerformance

    Errors

    b2b1 b3

    R11

    R12

    SA2

    b5

    b6

    b3 b4

    a1 a2 a3 a4 a5

    b1b2

    c2 c3 c5c6

    c1 c4 b3SD5

    a1 a1 a1 a1a6

    SA2

    SD1

    SD1

    a1 a2 a3 a4a5

    b1

    c2

    d6d5

    c1

    d2 d4d1 d3

    c3

    d8d7

    c4

    d10d9

    b2 b3 b5 b7

    b4 b6

    b9

    b8

    b11b10 b12

    b16 b17b14b13 b15

    SD1b1

    MB3

    f6SD5

    b6MB1

    MA3

    MB3 MB4 MB5

    a1 a3 a6a5

    SD6

    MA2

    b3SD5

    a2 a4

    T

    S/M R

    R1 R2 R3 R4 Rn

    SD6

    M

    MA1 MA2

    b7R12

    b2

    a1

    b1

    c4

    d1 d3d2

    b4b3

    c2

    a2

    c1 c3 c6 c7

    b6b5

    d4 d5

    c5

    b8

    a3

    c8 b3SD5

    a1

    b4

    c10 c12

    c9 c11 c13

    b5 b6 b7

    c16

    c17

    c14

    c15

    b3

    c6 c8

    c7

    c4

    a1SD1

    b2b1

    c2c1

    SD1

    c3 c5

    SD6

    a2 a4 a6

    a3a5

    a7

    b1 29 29 29 29b2 b3 b4

    a1

    SD6b5

    MA2a5

    MB4

    b1 b2

    SD3

    a1 a2

    SD3

    b10MB1

    c2 c3c1 c4 c5

    b3 b6b4 b5 b3SD5

    b1 b2

    SD4

    a1

    b3

    a2

    b6b4 b5

    b11MB1

    b3SD5

    SD4

    c2 c3c1 c4 c5

    d12

    e14e13

    d14

    e23

    e21

    e20

    f13

    e22

    f12

    c15

    e16 e18

    e17 e19

    d13

    e15

    e27

    e26 e28

    e24

    e25

    d15

    e32e31e30

    f17f16f15

    e29

    R8

    c14

    d9

    e1e3

    e2

    d8

    c11c10

    f2 f4f1 f3

    c13

    R6

    SD1

    c12

    d10 d11

    f5 f6 f7

    f8 f10

    g1 g2

    f9 f11

    e4 e5e7 e11e6 e8 e9 e10

    e12R7

    a4

    c16 c18c17

    b4 b5

    c19b3SD5

    SD6SD6SD5

    a1 a2 a3

    b1

    c2

    d2 d4d1 d3

    c3c1

    d5 d6 d7

    b2

    R5

    c4 c7c5c6

    c9c8

    b3

    c2SC2

    b6

    SD3

    b6

    SD4

    c5SA2

    c8MA2

    b1MB4

    c18

    SD5

    b1 b3 b5

    b2 b4

    SD2SD1 SD3 SD4

    a1 a4a3a2

    SD1 SD3 SD4

    SB4

    SC4SC3a1 a2

    SB2

    b1 b2

    c1 c2

    b4b3

    R4

    R3

    SC2

    a1 a2 a3 a4

    b2b1 b3

    c1 c2 b3SD5

    R9

    R10

    S

    SC1

    SB3

    SA1SA2

    SA2

    SC3c24

    MB3

    a2

    b20 b21 b22

    c43

    c44

    b19

    c39 c41

    c40

    c37

    c38 c42

    c30 c32

    b14 b17 b18

    c31 c33 c35

    c36

    d5 d7 d9 d11

    c34

    d13

    d6 d8 d10 d12

    b15 b16b10 b11 b12 b13a1SD3

    a1SD4

    b9

    c25 c26 c27c28

    d1 d4d2

    c29

    d3

    c20

    b8

    c19 c21

    c22 c24

    c23

    SB3c18

    MB1 MB2

    a1a1a1

    SC4

    SB3 SB1a1 a2

    SB1

    b1b2

    c1 c2R2

    b4b3

    R1

    Losses

    Oversights& Omissions

    Damageto

    peopleorassets

    FutureUndesired

    Events

    AssumedRisks

    Specific

    ControlFactors

    LTA

    AccidentStabilisation

    & Restoration

    LTA

    Potentially

    HarmfulEnergyFloworCondition

    Non-functionalEnergy Flow

    FunctionalEnergy Flow

    Barriers LTA

    ControlLTA

    Control

    ofUseLTA

    Control

    LTA

    DiversionofEnergy

    LTA

    ControlImpracticable

    DivertImpracticable

    Non-functionalPeopleor

    Objects

    FunctionalPeopleorObjects

    Barriers LTA

    ControlLTA

    Controlof

    Exposure

    LTA

    Means ofEvasion

    LTA

    ControlImpracticable

    EvasionImpracticable

    VulnerablePeople

    orObjects

    EvasiveActionLTA

    Controls &Barriers LTA

    ControlofWork and

    Process LTA

    Barriers LTA

    OntheEnergy Source

    BetweenOnPersonsorObjects

    SeparateinTimeorPlace

    None

    PossibleBarrier

    FailedDidNotUse

    D/N

    Provide

    TaskPerformance

    Error

    Events andEnergyFlows Leadingto

    Accident/Incident

    Barriers &

    Controls LTA

    Events andEnergy

    Transfers

    RelevanttoAccident

    TechnicalInformationSystemsLTA

    VerificationofReadinessLTA

    DidnotSpecifyCheck

    CriteriaLTA

    ProcedureLTA

    Compet-enceLTA

    Follow-upLTA

    TechnicalSupport

    LTA

    Interface

    Ops/Maint&Testing

    LTA

    Config-urationLTA

    OperationalReadiness

    LTA

    MaintenanceLTA

    InspectionLTA

    InspectionLTA

    PlanLTA

    ExecutionLTA

    AnalysisofFailures

    LTA

    SpecificationofPlanLTA

    Inventory

    LTA

    Inspect-ability

    LTA

    FrequencyLTA

    Co-ord-

    ination

    LTA

    Compet-ence

    LTA

    Log

    Access

    LTA

    Time

    LTACausedFailure

    TaskPerformance

    Errors

    MaintenanceLTA

    PlanLTA

    ExecutionLTA

    AnalysisofFailures

    LTA

    SpecificationofPlanLTA

    Pointof

    operation

    logLTA

    TimeLTA

    CausedFailure

    TaskPerformance

    Errors

    Planno t

    Complete

    Maintain-ability

    LTA

    Schedule

    LTA

    Co-ord-

    ination

    LTA

    Compet-ence

    LTA

    Supervision

    &StaffPerformanceLTA

    Supvn

    Continuity

    LTA

    TimeLTA

    TimeLTA

    House-

    keeping

    LTA

    AuthorityLTA

    BudgetLTA

    TimeLTA

    Supv

    Judgem-

    entLTA

    D/NCorrectinTime

    WorkforceInputLTA

    DetectionPlanLTA

    ChecklistLTA

    DetectionorCorrectionofHazardsLTA

    DetectionofHazardsLTA

    CorrectionofHazardsLTA

    Supv'sMonitor

    PlanLTA

    Change

    Review

    LTA

    D/NRelateto

    PriorEvents

    InterdeptCo-ordLTA

    Postponed

    Logs&

    Diagrams

    LTA

    Task

    Procedures

    D/NagreeW

    Situation

    SupvJudgem-

    entLTA

    TaskAssignment

    LTA

    AuthorityLTA

    BudgetLTA

    TimeLTA

    TaskPerformance

    Errors

    Task-SpecificRiskAssessment

    NotPerformed

    HighPotentialNotIdentified

    LowPotential

    TaskAnalysisNotReqd

    TaskAnalysis

    LTA

    TaskAnalysis

    NotMade

    Pre-Task

    Briefing

    LTA

    Task-SpecificRisk Assessment

    LTA

    Task-SpecificRisk Analysis

    LTA

    RecommendedRiskControls

    LTA

    K no wl ed ge LT A E xe cu ti on LT A

    Useof

    WorkersInputLTA

    Technical

    Information

    SystemsLTA

    TimeLTA

    BudgetLTA

    ScopeLTA

    AnalyticalSkillLTA

    Hazard

    Selection

    LTA

    HazardIdentifica-

    tionLTA

    HazardPrioritisa-

    tionLTA

    Compat-

    ibilityLTA

    Testing

    ofcontrolLTA

    DirectivetoUse

    LTA

    Avail-ability

    LTA

    Adapt-abilityLTA

    Clarity

    LTA

    UsenotMandatory

    Consideration

    o fBehaviou ra l

    VariationLTA

    NormalVariability

    Changes

    SupvObserva-

    tionLTA

    Re-instru

    ctionLTA

    Enforce-mentLTA

    SupervisorCorrectionLTA

    Personnel

    Performance

    Discrepancy

    Personnel

    SelectionLTA

    Criteria

    LTA

    Testing

    LTA

    Training

    LTA

    NoTraining

    Methods

    LTA

    Verific-ation

    LTA

    Trainer

    SkillsLTA

    Definition

    ofNeedsLTA

    PersonnelMotivation

    LTA

    Leadership& Example

    LTA

    Time

    Pressure

    PerformisPunishing

    Non-PerformisRewarded

    Job

    InterestBuilding

    LTA

    Group

    NormsConflict

    Obstaclestoperform

    PersonalConflict

    Deviant

    Traits

    With

    Super-visor

    With

    Others

    GeneralMotivationProgLTA

    Performance

    Errors

    Errors in

    Performanceof

    UnrelatedTasks

    AllowedActivities

    ProhibitedActivities

    Emergency

    Shut-off

    Errors

    Incident

    has occurred

    EmergencyPerformance

    Errors

    Errorsin

    Unrelatedtasks

    SupportofSupervision

    LTA

    Supportof

    SupervisorsLTA

    ResearchSupport

    LTA

    InfoExchange

    LTA

    Standards

    &Directives

    LTA

    ResourcesLTA

    Training

    LTA

    Access to

    ExpertiseLTA

    AccesstoEquipment

    LTA

    He lp&Training

    LTA

    Co-ordofResources

    LTA

    Useo f

    ResourcesLTA

    ResponsetoRisk

    ReferralsLTA

    PreventionofFollow-on

    Accidents

    RescueandSalvageLTA

    MedicalServices LTA

    DisseminationofInformation

    LTA

    Execution

    ofPlanLTA

    Personneland/orEquipment

    Changes

    Plan

    LTA

    Op

    ContinuityLTA

    Rehab-ilitation

    LTA

    Restor-ationLTA

    AbsorbLoss

    Training&

    ExperienceLTA

    Notification

    LTA

    Logistics

    LTA

    Task

    Performance

    Errors

    EmergencyAction

    (Firefighting,etc.)

    LTA

    Restoration&Rehabilitation

    LTA

    ResponseDelay

    Stabilisation& Restoration

    LTA

    Accident

    Occurrence

    Codes &Manuals

    LTA

    ListofExperts

    LTA

    LocalKnowledge

    LTA

    NoKnownPrecedent

    InternalCommunication

    LTA

    ExternalCommunication

    LTA

    DataCollection

    LTA

    TechnicalInformation

    Systems LTA

    SolutionResearch

    LTA

    Prev.Inv/anal

    LTA

    ResearchLTA

    NetworkStructure

    LTA

    NetworkOperation

    LTA

    NetworkOperation

    LTA

    NetworkStructure

    LTA

    Monitoring

    Plan

    LTA

    HealthMonitoring

    LTA

    Routine

    Inspections

    LTA

    Upstream

    Audits

    LTA

    PreviousA.I.info

    LTA

    Independ-entreview

    LTA

    LearningfromWorkersLTA

    CommunicationofKnowledge

    LTA

    KnowledgeLTA

    DataAnalysis

    LTA

    Triggers toRisk Analysis

    LTA

    PriorityProblemListLTA

    Priority

    Problem

    FixesLTA

    StatusDisplay

    LTA

    UseofNewInfo

    LTA

    Audit&Appraisal

    LTA

    StatisticsLTA

    PlannedChange

    LTA

    Unplann

    -edChange

    LTA

    TechnicalInformation

    LTA

    BasedonExisting

    Knowlege

    SingleEvent

    SensitivityLTA

    SupportLTA

    PolicyLTA

    ImplementationofPolicy LTA

    Delays

    Management

    SystemFactors

    LTA

    Risk AnalysisProcess LTA

    RiskManagement

    SystemLTA

    Methods,Criteria,Analyses

    LTA

    LineRespons-

    ibilityLTA

    TaskAssign-mentLTA

    StaffRespons-

    ibilityLTA

    BudgetsLTA

    SpecificationofPlan

    LTA

    Useof Feedback

    LTA

    SpecificationofResponsibilities

    LTA

    PlanningProcess

    LTA

    ExecutionofPlanLTA

    CapabilityLTA

    ScheduleLTA

    AuthorityLTA

    Account-abilityLTA

    CommunicationPlanLTA

    Inform-ationFlowLTA

    Guidanceand

    DirectivesLTA

    Leader-ship

    LTA

    CausedFailure

    Monitor-ing

    LTA

    TaskPerformance

    Errors

    Time&

    Budget

    LTA

    Reviewof

    RMSystemLTA

    Aims

    & PolicyLTA

    Docum-entation

    LTA

    ActivitiesLTA

    ProgScope

    LTA

    AssuranceProgOrganisation

    LTA

    RMAssuranceProgramme

    LTA

    AssuranceProgServices

    LTA

    Comm-itteesLTA

    RMPolicy

    LTA

    ImplementationofRMPolicy

    LTA

    Progres-siono fimprovt

    LTA

    RMAssuranceStaffPerform-

    anceLTA

    Concepts andRequirements

    LTA

    InformationSearch

    LTA

    RiskAnalysis

    Criteria

    LTA

    ChangeAnalysis

    LTARequired

    Alternatives

    LTA

    Analytical

    MethodsLTA

    Measure-

    mentScale

    LTA

    Solution

    PrecedenceSequence

    LTA

    CriteriaforProcedures

    LTA

    Specification

    ofRequirements

    LTA

    Customer

    &Stake-

    holders

    National

    Laws

    National&Internat'nl

    Codes&Stds

    LocalCodes&Byelaws

    InternalStandards

    LifeCycle

    AnalysisLTA

    ScopeLTA

    Env'lImpact

    AnalysisLTA

    RqmtforLifeCycleAnalysis

    LTA Extend-edUseAnalysis

    LTA

    TechnicalInformationSystemLTA

    Definitionof

    Goals& Tolerable

    RisksLTA

    PerformGoals&

    RisksnotDefined

    Plan

    LTA

    ES&HGoals&

    RisksnotDefined

    DesignandDevelopment

    LTA

    EnergyControl

    LTA

    D/N

    LimitEnergy

    Warnings

    LTA

    Manual

    ControlsLTA

    AutomaticControl

    LTA

    Safe

    EnergyRelease

    LTA

    HumanFactors(Ergonomics)ReviewLTA

    Controls &

    Barriers LTA

    Ergo-nomics

    knowledgeLTA

    TaskAnalysis

    LTA

    TaskAllocation

    LTA

    InterfaceDesignLTA

    DefinitionofUsers

    LTA

    Error

    Predict-ionLTA

    DisplayDesign

    LTA

    Media-

    tionLTA

    ControlDesign

    LTA

    MaintenancePlanning

    LTA

    InspectionPlanning

    LTA

    Arrange-ment

    LTA

    Environ-ment

    LTA

    SpecificationofOperationalReadiness LTA

    Test&Qualifica-

    tionLTA

    Super-vision

    LTA

    TaskProceduresD/N

    MeetCriteria

    MatchtoHardwareChange

    LTA

    Match

    toUsersLTA

    MatchtoTask&Equipmnt

    LTA

    EmergcyProvisions

    LTA

    Emrgncy

    ShutdownProvision

    LTA

    Warnings

    LTA

    Lockouts

    LTA

    Task

    Sequence

    LTA

    Comms

    Interfaces

    LTA

    Spec.ofWork

    ConditionsLTA

    Personnel

    SelectionLTA

    MonitorPoints

    LTA

    PersonnelMotivation

    LTA

    Training&Qualif-icationLTA

    Conting-ency

    PlanningLTA

    Disposal

    PlanningLTA

    Config-urationControl

    LTA

    Indep-endantReview

    LTA

    Docu-mentationControl

    LTA

    Fast

    ActionCycle

    LTA

    DesignAcceptance

    &ChangeControl

    ProcessesLTA

    Standard-isationof

    PartsLTA

    Design

    Description

    LTA

    CodeCompliance

    Verification

    LTA

    Engine-ering

    StudiesLTA

    Accept-

    ance

    Criteria

    LTA

    TestingLTA

    Control

    ofChange

    Process

    LTA

    Reliab-

    ility&QA

    LTA

    D/NSubstitute

    SaferEnergy

    2009 Revision by

    The Noordwijk Risk

    Initiative FoundationDocumentReference:NRI-2(2009).

    Foruse withthe MORTUsers'Manual(NRI-1)

    Publishedand distributedby theNoordwijk Risk InitiativeFoundation

    P.O.Box 286,2600 AGDelft,TheNetherlands.

    1stOctober2009Email:[email protected]:www.nri.eu.com

    ISBN

    Anevent,usually afault oroversight,expressedingenericterms.

    Aneventdescribed by abasiccomponentorpart failure.Itmarksthelowestlevel ofdevelopmentin the tree .

    Aneventwhere sequenceis endedforlack ofinformationorsolutions.Theevent may betransferredto"AssumedRisks".

    Aneventthat is satisfactory.

    ANDGate- Requires thecoexistenceof allgateinputs toproduceoutput.

    ORGate- Requires any onegate inputtop roduceou tpu t.Ifmore thanone inpu t,theoutputwillstill occur.

    Aneventthat is normallyexpectedtooccur.

    Conditionalgate(either ANDorOR) -Inputsproducethe outputprovidedthe conditionis true.

    Constraintsymbol-Applies conditions toga teo rou tpu t.

    Triangle-Used totransfersequence toanotherlocationon page.

    TransfertoAssumedRisk branch- denotesproblems forwhichthereis nopracticablecountermeasure

    D /N D id n ot

    D/NP Didnotprovide

    ES&HEnvironment,Safety& Health

    F /T F ai le d to

    RM Risk Management

    W With

    LTA Less thanadequa te

    NRI-2,SecondEdition,August 2009.Revisedby JohnKingston,FloorKoornneef, Jaapv.d.Ruit, RudolfFrei,and PhilippeSchallier.MajorrevisionofMORT1992,US Departmentof Energy,drawnby JohnKingston.

    MORT Reference Description of (Provisional) Assumed Risks Judgement

    (Provisional) Assumed Risks

    Rn

    ConditionInput

    46

    46 46

    46 46

    46 49 49 49 4150

    50

    50

    50

    50 51

    51 51 51

    51 51 51

    50

    54

    54

    54

    54 54

    51 52

    52

    52 52 52

    52

    48

    48 48 48 48

    47 4747

    47

    47

    47

    47

    49

    53 53 53

    5353

    53

    53 53

    36 36

    36 36 36

    36

    3535 36

    34

    34

    3434

    34 34 34 35 3535

    5 8 9 1010

    10 10 10 10 107 7

    6

    6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7

    6 7 7

    8 8 8 9

    9 9 9

    8 98

    5

    55 55 55

    55

    55 56 56

    56

    5555

    55

    42

    41

    41

    29

    29

    2929

    29

    29

    30

    30

    22

    24 24

    24

    24

    24 24

    23 23 23 23

    23 23

    23

    242323

    23

    25

    26 26

    26 26 27

    27 2727

    27

    25

    25

    1818

    18

    18

    19

    19 19 19 19

    1919

    2220

    20 21

    20

    20 20 20

    20 21

    2121

    2121

    2021 21 21 21 22 22

    22

    14

    18

    18 28 28

    28 28 28 28

    29

    14

    14

    14

    14 14

    15

    15 15 15 15

    16 16 1616

    16

    17

    17 17 17

    17 17

    5 11 12 12

    11 11 11 11

    1111

    11 11

    11

    33

    33 33

    1

    1 56

    1

    1

    22

    3 3

    2 2

    3 3

    4

    4 4

    4 4 4 4

    44

    5

    5

    32

    32

    32 32

    33 33

    31

    31

    31

    34

    1 37

    37

    37

    42

    42 42 42

    12

    12

    12 12 12 12 12

    13

    13

    12

    13131313

    12

    12

    12 12 12 12 12

    13

    13

    12

    13131313

    37

    37 38

    38 38 38

    38 38

    40 4039

    39

    39 39

    40 40

    40 4040

    40 41

    46 46

    43 43

    43 43

    43 44 44

    44 45

    45

    4545

    45 45

    45

    45 46

    45

    44

    43 43

    42