2009 revision by the noordwijk risk initiative foundation
TRANSCRIPT
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8/14/2019 2009 Revision by the Noordwijk Risk Initiative Foundation
1/1
MORT - Management Oversight & Risk Tree
People
BasedonKnown
Precedent
39 3939 39
Pointof
operation
logLTA
TimeLTA
CausedFailure
TaskPerformance
Errors
b3SD5
Pointof
operation
logLTA
TimeLTA
CausedFailure
TaskPerformance
Errors
b3SD5
Pointof
operation
logLTA
TimeLTA
CausedFailure
TaskPerformance
Errors
b3SD5
Pointof
operation
logLTA
TimeLTA
CausedFailure
TaskPerformance
Errors
b3SD5
TaskPerformance
Errors
TaskPerformance
Errors
TaskPerformance
Errors
TaskPerformance
Errors
b2b1 b3
R11
R12
SA2
b5
b6
b3 b4
a1 a2 a3 a4 a5
b1b2
c2 c3 c5c6
c1 c4 b3SD5
a1 a1 a1 a1a6
SA2
SD1
SD1
a1 a2 a3 a4a5
b1
c2
d6d5
c1
d2 d4d1 d3
c3
d8d7
c4
d10d9
b2 b3 b5 b7
b4 b6
b9
b8
b11b10 b12
b16 b17b14b13 b15
SD1b1
MB3
f6SD5
b6MB1
MA3
MB3 MB4 MB5
a1 a3 a6a5
SD6
MA2
b3SD5
a2 a4
T
S/M R
R1 R2 R3 R4 Rn
SD6
M
MA1 MA2
b7R12
b2
a1
b1
c4
d1 d3d2
b4b3
c2
a2
c1 c3 c6 c7
b6b5
d4 d5
c5
b8
a3
c8 b3SD5
a1
b4
c10 c12
c9 c11 c13
b5 b6 b7
c16
c17
c14
c15
b3
c6 c8
c7
c4
a1SD1
b2b1
c2c1
SD1
c3 c5
SD6
a2 a4 a6
a3a5
a7
b1 29 29 29 29b2 b3 b4
a1
SD6b5
MA2a5
MB4
b1 b2
SD3
a1 a2
SD3
b10MB1
c2 c3c1 c4 c5
b3 b6b4 b5 b3SD5
b1 b2
SD4
a1
b3
a2
b6b4 b5
b11MB1
b3SD5
SD4
c2 c3c1 c4 c5
d12
e14e13
d14
e23
e21
e20
f13
e22
f12
c15
e16 e18
e17 e19
d13
e15
e27
e26 e28
e24
e25
d15
e32e31e30
f17f16f15
e29
R8
c14
d9
e1e3
e2
d8
c11c10
f2 f4f1 f3
c13
R6
SD1
c12
d10 d11
f5 f6 f7
f8 f10
g1 g2
f9 f11
e4 e5e7 e11e6 e8 e9 e10
e12R7
a4
c16 c18c17
b4 b5
c19b3SD5
SD6SD6SD5
a1 a2 a3
b1
c2
d2 d4d1 d3
c3c1
d5 d6 d7
b2
R5
c4 c7c5c6
c9c8
b3
c2SC2
b6
SD3
b6
SD4
c5SA2
c8MA2
b1MB4
c18
SD5
b1 b3 b5
b2 b4
SD2SD1 SD3 SD4
a1 a4a3a2
SD1 SD3 SD4
SB4
SC4SC3a1 a2
SB2
b1 b2
c1 c2
b4b3
R4
R3
SC2
a1 a2 a3 a4
b2b1 b3
c1 c2 b3SD5
R9
R10
S
SC1
SB3
SA1SA2
SA2
SC3c24
MB3
a2
b20 b21 b22
c43
c44
b19
c39 c41
c40
c37
c38 c42
c30 c32
b14 b17 b18
c31 c33 c35
c36
d5 d7 d9 d11
c34
d13
d6 d8 d10 d12
b15 b16b10 b11 b12 b13a1SD3
a1SD4
b9
c25 c26 c27c28
d1 d4d2
c29
d3
c20
b8
c19 c21
c22 c24
c23
SB3c18
MB1 MB2
a1a1a1
SC4
SB3 SB1a1 a2
SB1
b1b2
c1 c2R2
b4b3
R1
Losses
Oversights& Omissions
Damageto
peopleorassets
FutureUndesired
Events
AssumedRisks
Specific
ControlFactors
LTA
AccidentStabilisation
& Restoration
LTA
Potentially
HarmfulEnergyFloworCondition
Non-functionalEnergy Flow
FunctionalEnergy Flow
Barriers LTA
ControlLTA
Control
ofUseLTA
Control
LTA
DiversionofEnergy
LTA
ControlImpracticable
DivertImpracticable
Non-functionalPeopleor
Objects
FunctionalPeopleorObjects
Barriers LTA
ControlLTA
Controlof
Exposure
LTA
Means ofEvasion
LTA
ControlImpracticable
EvasionImpracticable
VulnerablePeople
orObjects
EvasiveActionLTA
Controls &Barriers LTA
ControlofWork and
Process LTA
Barriers LTA
OntheEnergy Source
BetweenOnPersonsorObjects
SeparateinTimeorPlace
None
PossibleBarrier
FailedDidNotUse
D/N
Provide
TaskPerformance
Error
Events andEnergyFlows Leadingto
Accident/Incident
Barriers &
Controls LTA
Events andEnergy
Transfers
RelevanttoAccident
TechnicalInformationSystemsLTA
VerificationofReadinessLTA
DidnotSpecifyCheck
CriteriaLTA
ProcedureLTA
Compet-enceLTA
Follow-upLTA
TechnicalSupport
LTA
Interface
Ops/Maint&Testing
LTA
Config-urationLTA
OperationalReadiness
LTA
MaintenanceLTA
InspectionLTA
InspectionLTA
PlanLTA
ExecutionLTA
AnalysisofFailures
LTA
SpecificationofPlanLTA
Inventory
LTA
Inspect-ability
LTA
FrequencyLTA
Co-ord-
ination
LTA
Compet-ence
LTA
Log
Access
LTA
Time
LTACausedFailure
TaskPerformance
Errors
MaintenanceLTA
PlanLTA
ExecutionLTA
AnalysisofFailures
LTA
SpecificationofPlanLTA
Pointof
operation
logLTA
TimeLTA
CausedFailure
TaskPerformance
Errors
Planno t
Complete
Maintain-ability
LTA
Schedule
LTA
Co-ord-
ination
LTA
Compet-ence
LTA
Supervision
&StaffPerformanceLTA
Supvn
Continuity
LTA
TimeLTA
TimeLTA
House-
keeping
LTA
AuthorityLTA
BudgetLTA
TimeLTA
Supv
Judgem-
entLTA
D/NCorrectinTime
WorkforceInputLTA
DetectionPlanLTA
ChecklistLTA
DetectionorCorrectionofHazardsLTA
DetectionofHazardsLTA
CorrectionofHazardsLTA
Supv'sMonitor
PlanLTA
Change
Review
LTA
D/NRelateto
PriorEvents
InterdeptCo-ordLTA
Postponed
Logs&
Diagrams
LTA
Task
Procedures
D/NagreeW
Situation
SupvJudgem-
entLTA
TaskAssignment
LTA
AuthorityLTA
BudgetLTA
TimeLTA
TaskPerformance
Errors
Task-SpecificRiskAssessment
NotPerformed
HighPotentialNotIdentified
LowPotential
TaskAnalysisNotReqd
TaskAnalysis
LTA
TaskAnalysis
NotMade
Pre-Task
Briefing
LTA
Task-SpecificRisk Assessment
LTA
Task-SpecificRisk Analysis
LTA
RecommendedRiskControls
LTA
K no wl ed ge LT A E xe cu ti on LT A
Useof
WorkersInputLTA
Technical
Information
SystemsLTA
TimeLTA
BudgetLTA
ScopeLTA
AnalyticalSkillLTA
Hazard
Selection
LTA
HazardIdentifica-
tionLTA
HazardPrioritisa-
tionLTA
Compat-
ibilityLTA
Testing
ofcontrolLTA
DirectivetoUse
LTA
Avail-ability
LTA
Adapt-abilityLTA
Clarity
LTA
UsenotMandatory
Consideration
o fBehaviou ra l
VariationLTA
NormalVariability
Changes
SupvObserva-
tionLTA
Re-instru
ctionLTA
Enforce-mentLTA
SupervisorCorrectionLTA
Personnel
Performance
Discrepancy
Personnel
SelectionLTA
Criteria
LTA
Testing
LTA
Training
LTA
NoTraining
Methods
LTA
Verific-ation
LTA
Trainer
SkillsLTA
Definition
ofNeedsLTA
PersonnelMotivation
LTA
Leadership& Example
LTA
Time
Pressure
PerformisPunishing
Non-PerformisRewarded
Job
InterestBuilding
LTA
Group
NormsConflict
Obstaclestoperform
PersonalConflict
Deviant
Traits
With
Super-visor
With
Others
GeneralMotivationProgLTA
Performance
Errors
Errors in
Performanceof
UnrelatedTasks
AllowedActivities
ProhibitedActivities
Emergency
Shut-off
Errors
Incident
has occurred
EmergencyPerformance
Errors
Errorsin
Unrelatedtasks
SupportofSupervision
LTA
Supportof
SupervisorsLTA
ResearchSupport
LTA
InfoExchange
LTA
Standards
&Directives
LTA
ResourcesLTA
Training
LTA
Access to
ExpertiseLTA
AccesstoEquipment
LTA
He lp&Training
LTA
Co-ordofResources
LTA
Useo f
ResourcesLTA
ResponsetoRisk
ReferralsLTA
PreventionofFollow-on
Accidents
RescueandSalvageLTA
MedicalServices LTA
DisseminationofInformation
LTA
Execution
ofPlanLTA
Personneland/orEquipment
Changes
Plan
LTA
Op
ContinuityLTA
Rehab-ilitation
LTA
Restor-ationLTA
AbsorbLoss
Training&
ExperienceLTA
Notification
LTA
Logistics
LTA
Task
Performance
Errors
EmergencyAction
(Firefighting,etc.)
LTA
Restoration&Rehabilitation
LTA
ResponseDelay
Stabilisation& Restoration
LTA
Accident
Occurrence
Codes &Manuals
LTA
ListofExperts
LTA
LocalKnowledge
LTA
NoKnownPrecedent
InternalCommunication
LTA
ExternalCommunication
LTA
DataCollection
LTA
TechnicalInformation
Systems LTA
SolutionResearch
LTA
Prev.Inv/anal
LTA
ResearchLTA
NetworkStructure
LTA
NetworkOperation
LTA
NetworkOperation
LTA
NetworkStructure
LTA
Monitoring
Plan
LTA
HealthMonitoring
LTA
Routine
Inspections
LTA
Upstream
Audits
LTA
PreviousA.I.info
LTA
Independ-entreview
LTA
LearningfromWorkersLTA
CommunicationofKnowledge
LTA
KnowledgeLTA
DataAnalysis
LTA
Triggers toRisk Analysis
LTA
PriorityProblemListLTA
Priority
Problem
FixesLTA
StatusDisplay
LTA
UseofNewInfo
LTA
Audit&Appraisal
LTA
StatisticsLTA
PlannedChange
LTA
Unplann
-edChange
LTA
TechnicalInformation
LTA
BasedonExisting
Knowlege
SingleEvent
SensitivityLTA
SupportLTA
PolicyLTA
ImplementationofPolicy LTA
Delays
Management
SystemFactors
LTA
Risk AnalysisProcess LTA
RiskManagement
SystemLTA
Methods,Criteria,Analyses
LTA
LineRespons-
ibilityLTA
TaskAssign-mentLTA
StaffRespons-
ibilityLTA
BudgetsLTA
SpecificationofPlan
LTA
Useof Feedback
LTA
SpecificationofResponsibilities
LTA
PlanningProcess
LTA
ExecutionofPlanLTA
CapabilityLTA
ScheduleLTA
AuthorityLTA
Account-abilityLTA
CommunicationPlanLTA
Inform-ationFlowLTA
Guidanceand
DirectivesLTA
Leader-ship
LTA
CausedFailure
Monitor-ing
LTA
TaskPerformance
Errors
Time&
Budget
LTA
Reviewof
RMSystemLTA
Aims
& PolicyLTA
Docum-entation
LTA
ActivitiesLTA
ProgScope
LTA
AssuranceProgOrganisation
LTA
RMAssuranceProgramme
LTA
AssuranceProgServices
LTA
Comm-itteesLTA
RMPolicy
LTA
ImplementationofRMPolicy
LTA
Progres-siono fimprovt
LTA
RMAssuranceStaffPerform-
anceLTA
Concepts andRequirements
LTA
InformationSearch
LTA
RiskAnalysis
Criteria
LTA
ChangeAnalysis
LTARequired
Alternatives
LTA
Analytical
MethodsLTA
Measure-
mentScale
LTA
Solution
PrecedenceSequence
LTA
CriteriaforProcedures
LTA
Specification
ofRequirements
LTA
Customer
&Stake-
holders
National
Laws
National&Internat'nl
Codes&Stds
LocalCodes&Byelaws
InternalStandards
LifeCycle
AnalysisLTA
ScopeLTA
Env'lImpact
AnalysisLTA
RqmtforLifeCycleAnalysis
LTA Extend-edUseAnalysis
LTA
TechnicalInformationSystemLTA
Definitionof
Goals& Tolerable
RisksLTA
PerformGoals&
RisksnotDefined
Plan
LTA
ES&HGoals&
RisksnotDefined
DesignandDevelopment
LTA
EnergyControl
LTA
D/N
LimitEnergy
Warnings
LTA
Manual
ControlsLTA
AutomaticControl
LTA
Safe
EnergyRelease
LTA
HumanFactors(Ergonomics)ReviewLTA
Controls &
Barriers LTA
Ergo-nomics
knowledgeLTA
TaskAnalysis
LTA
TaskAllocation
LTA
InterfaceDesignLTA
DefinitionofUsers
LTA
Error
Predict-ionLTA
DisplayDesign
LTA
Media-
tionLTA
ControlDesign
LTA
MaintenancePlanning
LTA
InspectionPlanning
LTA
Arrange-ment
LTA
Environ-ment
LTA
SpecificationofOperationalReadiness LTA
Test&Qualifica-
tionLTA
Super-vision
LTA
TaskProceduresD/N
MeetCriteria
MatchtoHardwareChange
LTA
Match
toUsersLTA
MatchtoTask&Equipmnt
LTA
EmergcyProvisions
LTA
Emrgncy
ShutdownProvision
LTA
Warnings
LTA
Lockouts
LTA
Task
Sequence
LTA
Comms
Interfaces
LTA
Spec.ofWork
ConditionsLTA
Personnel
SelectionLTA
MonitorPoints
LTA
PersonnelMotivation
LTA
Training&Qualif-icationLTA
Conting-ency
PlanningLTA
Disposal
PlanningLTA
Config-urationControl
LTA
Indep-endantReview
LTA
Docu-mentationControl
LTA
Fast
ActionCycle
LTA
DesignAcceptance
&ChangeControl
ProcessesLTA
Standard-isationof
PartsLTA
Design
Description
LTA
CodeCompliance
Verification
LTA
Engine-ering
StudiesLTA
Accept-
ance
Criteria
LTA
TestingLTA
Control
ofChange
Process
LTA
Reliab-
ility&QA
LTA
D/NSubstitute
SaferEnergy
2009 Revision by
The Noordwijk Risk
Initiative FoundationDocumentReference:NRI-2(2009).
Foruse withthe MORTUsers'Manual(NRI-1)
Publishedand distributedby theNoordwijk Risk InitiativeFoundation
P.O.Box 286,2600 AGDelft,TheNetherlands.
1stOctober2009Email:[email protected]:www.nri.eu.com
ISBN
Anevent,usually afault oroversight,expressedingenericterms.
Aneventdescribed by abasiccomponentorpart failure.Itmarksthelowestlevel ofdevelopmentin the tree .
Aneventwhere sequenceis endedforlack ofinformationorsolutions.Theevent may betransferredto"AssumedRisks".
Aneventthat is satisfactory.
ANDGate- Requires thecoexistenceof allgateinputs toproduceoutput.
ORGate- Requires any onegate inputtop roduceou tpu t.Ifmore thanone inpu t,theoutputwillstill occur.
Aneventthat is normallyexpectedtooccur.
Conditionalgate(either ANDorOR) -Inputsproducethe outputprovidedthe conditionis true.
Constraintsymbol-Applies conditions toga teo rou tpu t.
Triangle-Used totransfersequence toanotherlocationon page.
TransfertoAssumedRisk branch- denotesproblems forwhichthereis nopracticablecountermeasure
D /N D id n ot
D/NP Didnotprovide
ES&HEnvironment,Safety& Health
F /T F ai le d to
RM Risk Management
W With
LTA Less thanadequa te
NRI-2,SecondEdition,August 2009.Revisedby JohnKingston,FloorKoornneef, Jaapv.d.Ruit, RudolfFrei,and PhilippeSchallier.MajorrevisionofMORT1992,US Departmentof Energy,drawnby JohnKingston.
MORT Reference Description of (Provisional) Assumed Risks Judgement
(Provisional) Assumed Risks
Rn
ConditionInput
46
46 46
46 46
46 49 49 49 4150
50
50
50
50 51
51 51 51
51 51 51
50
54
54
54
54 54
51 52
52
52 52 52
52
48
48 48 48 48
47 4747
47
47
47
47
49
53 53 53
5353
53
53 53
36 36
36 36 36
36
3535 36
34
34
3434
34 34 34 35 3535
5 8 9 1010
10 10 10 10 107 7
6
6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7
6 7 7
8 8 8 9
9 9 9
8 98
5
55 55 55
55
55 56 56
56
5555
55
42
41
41
29
29
2929
29
29
30
30
22
24 24
24
24
24 24
23 23 23 23
23 23
23
242323
23
25
26 26
26 26 27
27 2727
27
25
25
1818
18
18
19
19 19 19 19
1919
2220
20 21
20
20 20 20
20 21
2121
2121
2021 21 21 21 22 22
22
14
18
18 28 28
28 28 28 28
29
14
14
14
14 14
15
15 15 15 15
16 16 1616
16
17
17 17 17
17 17
5 11 12 12
11 11 11 11
1111
11 11
11
33
33 33
1
1 56
1
1
22
3 3
2 2
3 3
4
4 4
4 4 4 4
44
5
5
32
32
32 32
33 33
31
31
31
34
1 37
37
37
42
42 42 42
12
12
12 12 12 12 12
13
13
12
13131313
12
12
12 12 12 12 12
13
13
12
13131313
37
37 38
38 38 38
38 38
40 4039
39
39 39
40 40
40 4040
40 41
46 46
43 43
43 43
43 44 44
44 45
45
4545
45 45
45
45 46
45
44
43 43
42