2010 02 04 id gazprom website · 2010-02-11 · 2008 2010 2015 2020 bcm 0 200 400 600 2008 2010...
TRANSCRIPT
1
Gaining MomentumGazprom Investor Day
February 2010
Moscow, London, New York
2
Disclaimer
This presentation has been prepared by OJSC Gazprom (the “Company”), and comprises the slides for a presentation to investors concerning the Company. This presentation does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any shares or other securities representing shares in the Company, nor shall it or any part of it nor the fact of its presentation or distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision.
No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation, or any other material discussed at any presentation or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness. The information in this presentation should not be treated as giving investment advice. Care has been taken to ensure that the facts stated in this presentation are accurate, and that the opinions expressed are fair and reasonable. However, the contents of this presentation have not been verified by the Company. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its members, directors, officers or employees or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in or discussed at this presentation. None of the Company or any of their respective members, directors, officers or employees nor any other person accepts any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith.
The information in this presentation includes forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include all matters that are not historical facts, statements regarding the Company’s intentions, beliefs or current expectations concerning, among other things, the Company’s results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects, growth, strategies, and the industry in which the Company operates. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, including, without limitation, the risks and uncertainties to be set forth in the prospectus, because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. The Company cautions you that forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and that its actual results of operations, financial condition and liquidity and the development of the industry in which the Company operates may differ materially from those made in or suggested by the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. In addition, even if the Company’s results of operations, financial condition and liquidity and the development of the industry in which the Company operates are consistent with the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation, those results or developments may not be indicative of results or developments in future periods.
The information and opinions contained in this presentation are provided as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice. No person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein.
By attending the presentation you agree to be bound by the foregoing limitations.
3
Today’s Speakers
Growth Strategy
Solid Financial Position
Vlada RusakovaMember of Gazprom Management CommitteeHead of Strategic Development Department
Andrey KruglovDeputy Chairman of Gazprom Management Committee
Head of the Department for Finance and Economics
Gazprom Neft: Oil Business Development
Gazprom Energoholding: Power Generation Business Development
Vadim YakovlevDeputy Chairman of the Management Board and CFO of Gazprom Neft
Denis FedorovHead of Gazprom Directorate for Development of Power Generation Sector and
Power Generation Marketing, General Director of Gazprom Energoholding
Strong and Growing Customer BaseAlexander Medvedev
Deputy Chairman of Gazprom Management CommitteeDirector General of Gazprom Export
4
Vlada Rusakova
Member of Gazprom Management Committee
Head of Strategic Development Department
Part 1. Growth Strategy
5
-2 000
-1 000
0
1 000
2 000
2008 2030
Production Import Consumption Export
53.2%
46.8%
95.6%
38.7%
61.3%
96.6%
3,4%
4,4%
0
200
400
600
800
2008 2030
Oil, oil products, coal and other Gas
57%68%
32% 43%
2008 2030
85% 43% 50% 50%
DECREASEDECREASE
19%
14% 22%
45%53%
18% 19%10%
Total Final ConsumptionTotal Final Consumption
GDP Energy IntensityGDP Energy Intensity(1)(1)Primary Energy ResourcesPrimary Energy Resources
20302008
OilOther
GASGAS::
INCREASE IN VOLUME, INCREASE IN VOLUME,
SHARE REDUCTIONSHARE REDUCTION
GasGas
Oil
CoalOther
Coal
Energy Resources ExportEnergy Resources Export
Source: Energy Strategy of Russia 2030 1. Compared to 2005 levels
New Energy Strategy of Russia 2030
Mtoe Mtoe
Growth Strategy
6
Pro
du
ctio
n g
row
th
664 bcm in 2008
885-940 bcm in 2030
33-42 %
Indicators for Russian Gas Industry Development by 2030
23%
3%0%
50%
100%
2008 2030
Share of new pipelines
39%
2%0%
50%
100%
2008 2030
Share of new regions
ProductionProduction ExportExportTransportationTransportation
17%27%
0%
50%
100%
2008 2030
Share of independent producers
4%
26%
0%
50%
100%
2008 2030
Share of reconstructed length
15%
0%
50%
100%
2008 2030
Share of LNG
20%
0%
50%
100%
2008 2030
Share of Asia
Source: Energy Strategy of Russia 2030
Growth Strategy
7
Key highlights:
� Identification of main drivers of gas industry development (production, transportation, refining volumes; investment forecast for reconstruction and new facilities)
� Identification of key factors that will ensure effective development of the gas industry
� Risk assessment and mitigation through administrative decisions
� Recommendations to the State on how best to support the development of the gas industry
General plan specifies the most effective way for gas industry development
General Plan of Russian Gas Industry Development 2030
Growth Strategy
8
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
2008 2010 2015 2020
bcm
0
200
400
600
2008 2010 2015 2020
bcm
RussiaRussia
Europe and FSU CountriesEurope and FSU CountriesUSA USA
Source: Gazprom, CERA, IEA, Cedigaz, EC, IEEJ, MOCIE, EIA
Alternative Forecast
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
2008 2010 2015 2020
bcm
0
200
400
600
2008 2010 2015 2020
bcm
Gas Demand Outlook
Growth Strategy
NorthNorth--East AsiaEast Asia
9
0
200
400
600
2008 2009E 2030E
bcm
Gazprom Independent Gas Producers
0
200
400
2008 2009E 2030E
bcm
Ukraine Other FSU Baltic States
0
200
400
600
2008 2009E 2030E
bcm
Possible growth of supply due to gas demand increase
LNG
New contracts/ volumes to Asia Pacific Region, incl. pipeline gas
Contracted volumes to Europe
Gazprom’s Supply Volumes to Target Markets
FSU countriesFSU countries(1)(1)Europe and other countriesEurope and other countries(1)(1)
160140
85
55
RussiaRussia
402411
320 - 345
90 - 100
500 - 560
1. Net export
Growth Strategy
10
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2008 2009E … 2030E
- Gydan peninsula
- Arctic Shelf
- New fields in Nadym-Pur-Taz
bcm bcm
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
2008 2009E 2010E 2015E 2020E 2030E
- Eastern Siberia and Far East
- Yamal peninsula fields
- Currently existing projects
- Production Alternatives
Gazprom mobilises reserves and develops its production and transportation system in response to market demand without creating excess capacity
Gas Production Scenarios
Growth Strategy
11
Major Projects Development
Growth Strategy
12
Volumes of Volumes of GGas Processing Productsas Processing Products(1)(1)
76%
46% 59% 63%24%
54% 41% 37%
0
250
500
750
1 000
2008 2016-2020 2021-2025 2026-2030
Methane gas Gas with high content of ethane, propane, butane
Significant Change in GasSignificant Change in Gas ComponentsComponents
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2008 2010E 2015E 2020E 2025E 2030E
Expansion of Gas Chemicals Production
bcm
mln ton
1. Excluding Salavatnefteorgsintez
Growth Strategy
13
Planned Capital Expenditure
Planned CAPEX (annual average)Planned CAPEX (annual average)
0
200
400
600
800
2010-2016 2017-2023 2024-2030
Exploration Production Transportation Processing Others
Planned CAPEX (2010Planned CAPEX (2010--2030 in total)2030 in total)
10%
30%
7%11%
16%
5%
21%
Shtokman
Yamal
Eastern Siberia and Far East
Development of Transportation System
Reconstruction in Transportation
Reconstruction in Production
Others
bln RR p.a.
Growth Strategy
14
МостовойжелезнодорожнойМостовойжелезнодорожной
Efficiency of Innovations Exceeds the Efficiency of Any Other Project
Карское море
Обскаягуба
Ямало-Ненецкийавтономный округ
п-ов Ямал
Республика
Коми
Печора
Обь
ст.Бованенково
ст.Сохонто
ст.Паюта
ст.Обская
ст.Ухта
Бованенковское
КС 1 Байдарацкая
КС 2 Ярынская
КС 3 Гагарацкая
КС 4 Воркутинская
КС 5 Усинская
КС 6 Интинская
КС 8 Чикшинская
КС 9 Малоперанская
разъезд
Хралов
КС 7 Сынинская
Карское море
Обскаягуба
Ямало-Ненецкийавтономный округ
п-ов Ямал
Республика
Коми
Печора
Обь
ст.Бованенково
ст.Сохонто
ст.Паюта
ст.Обская
ст.Ухта
Бованенковское
КС 1 Байдарацкая
КС 2 Ярынская
КС 3 Гагарацкая
КС 4 Воркутинская
КС 5 Усинская
КС 6 Интинская
КС 8 Чикшинская
КС 9 Малоперанская
разъезд
Хралов
КС 7 Сынинская
Карское море
Обскаягуба
Ямало-Ненецкийавтономный округ
п-ов Ямал
Республика
Коми
Печора
Обь
ст.Бованенково
ст.Сохонто
ст.Паюта
ст.Обская
ст.Ухта
Бованенковское
КС 1 Байдарацкая
КС 2 Ярынская
КС 3 Гагарацкая
КС 4 Воркутинская
КС 5 Усинская
КС 6 Интинская
КС 8 Чикшинская
КС 9 Малоперанская
разъезд
Хралов
КС 7 Сынинская
Карское море
Обскаягуба
Ямало-Ненецкийавтономный округ
п-ов Ямал
Республика
Коми
Печора
Обь
ст.Бованенково
ст.Сохонто
ст.Паюта
ст.Обская
ст.Ухта
Бованенковское
КС 1 Байдарацкая
КС 2 Ярынская
КС 3 Гагарацкая
КС 4 Воркутинская
КС 5 Усинская
КС 6 Интинская
КС 8 Чикшинская
КС 9 Малоперанская
разъезд
Хралов
КС 7 Сынинская
Карское море
Обскаягуба
Ямало-Ненецкийавтономный округ
п-ов Ямал
Республика
Коми
Печора
Обь
ст.Бованенково
ст.Сохонто
ст.Паюта
ст.Обская
ст.Ухта
Бованенковское
КС 1 Байдарацкая
КС 2 Ярынская
КС 3 Гагарацкая
КС 4 Воркутинская
КС 5 Усинская
КС 6 Интинская
КС 8 Чикшинская
КС 9 Малоперанская
разъезд
Хралов
КС 7 Сынинская
Карское море
Обскаягуба
Ямало-Ненецкийавтономный округ
п-ов Ямал
Республика
Коми
Печора
Обь
ст.Бованенково
ст.Сохонто
ст.Паюта
ст.Обская
ст.Ухта
Бованенковское
КС 1 Байдарацкая
КС 2 Ярынская
КС 3 Гагарацкая
КС 4 Воркутинская
КС 5 Усинская
КС 6 Интинская
КС 8 Чикшинская
КС 9 Малоперанская
разъезд
Хралов
КС 7 Сынинская
Trunk Gas Pipeline Network Bovanenkovo-Ukhta
Unique combination of technical specifications:
– 115 Bnm3/ year production capacity
– 11.8 MPa (120 atm.) transportation pressure
– 1100 km length (2 routes), 1420 mm diameter
Baydaratskaya Bay subsea pipeline - 71 km
Cost to Gazprom of developing innovative solutions for the project
– RUR 1.3 bln
Rate of Return – 1526% a year
Creating Transportation Infrastructure on the Yamal peninsula
Obskaya - Bovanenkovo railway bridge crossing the Yuribei river
The world's longest bridge built north of the Arctic Circle
Cost effectiveness as a result of bridge construction – RUR 1.1 bln
Field Development and Infrastructure Construction
Использование парожидкостных
3,0
2,5
2,0
1,5
1,0
0,5
0,0
-0,5
-1,0
-2,5
-1,5
-2,0
-3,5
-4,0
-3,0
-4,5
-5,5
-6,0
-5,0
СистемаИспользованиетрубамимногозабойныхУменьшение
Использование парожидкостных
3,0
2,5
2,0
1,5
1,0
0,5
0,0
-0,5
-1,0
-2,5
-1,5
-2,0
-3,5
-4,0
-3,0
-4,5
-5,5
-6,0
-5,0
СистемаИспользованиетрубамимногозабойныхУменьшение
High-strength and cold-resistant pipes with high steel viscoplasticity. No risk of extended damage to the gas pipeline. There is no world practice of using K 65 strength (Х80) grade pipes for gas pipelines with such characteristics. Concrete-encased pipes with external reinforced-plastic insulation for Baydaratskaya Bay
Multi-zone structure development system. Use of wells with insulated pipes. Use of horizontal and multi-hole wells
Decreasing the spacing beween adjacent production wells from 40 m to12 m to cut infrastructure construction costs
High-Strength 1420 mm 11.8 MPa (120 Atm.) Rated Pipes
Снижениедо 50Двух
Снижениедо 50Двух
Decrease in steel intensity of the foundations by up to 50-60% and costs by 50%. Two to three-fold reduction of construction duration
Ability to control thermal conditions of permafrost soil bases
Use of Permafrost Soil Vapour-Liquid Thermal Stabilisation Systems
New Technologies for Welding High-Strength Thick-Walled Pipes with Strength Grades up to К85 (Х80)
Strength and cold-resistance of welds exceeds parameters of international peers. International standards are at the foundation of the technology. The expected cost effectiveness as a result of construction of one pipeline MG Bovanenkovo–Ukhta exceeds RUR 500 MM
Новые технологии сварки высокопрочных
Трубыс высокимОтсутствиегазопроводакласса
Новые технологии сварки высокопрочных
Трубыс высокимОтсутствиегазопроводакласса
Innovation Megaproject «Yamal»
Growth Strategy
15
Gazprom – A Company Focused on Innovation
R&D Expenditure/ Revenue, 2008R&D Expenditure, 2008
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.42004006008001,0001,2001,400
Royal Dutch Shell
Total
Exxon Mobil
ENI
Gazprom
GDF Suez
Lukoil
E.ON Rurhgas
Surgutneftegas
Tatneft
Norilsk nikel
Rosneft
Gazprom is a leader in R&D in Russia.
Source: Gazprom, Companies annual reports
$MM
Growth Strategy
16
Development of Gazprom’s Innovation Potential
Growth of Innovation Potential – Increased Competitive Advantage – Foundation for Economic Stability in the Future
Innovative Technological Development GAZPROM Ongoing exploration R&D activities �
Creation of corporate research institutes and venture funds �
Engagement of specialty research teams �
Diversification toward high-tech �
fast-growing market segmentsOngoing active patent and licensing work �
Innovative Technological Development GAZPROM Ongoing exploration R&D activities �
Creation of corporate research institutes and venture funds �
Engagement of specialty research teams �
Diversification toward high-tech �
fast-growing market segmentsOngoing active patent and licensing work �
Only several large Russian companies, one of which is Gazprom, have reached the level of innovative technological development
Innovation Maturity Levels
National report "Innovative development as the basis for accelerated growth of the economy of the Russian Federation", Moscow: The Association of Managers, 2006
Modernisation
Equipment upgrades, creation of new pre-assembled production lines and technologies, creation of research units, ongoing search for new unoccupied market niches, deployment of automated engineering systems
Modernisation
Equipment upgrades, creation of new pre-assembled production lines and technologies, creation of research units, ongoing search for new unoccupied market niches, deployment of automated engineering systems
Market Innovations
Development of marketing and distribution networks, establishing logistics chains and marketing policies, ongoing process of upgrading and extending the product mix
Market Innovations
Development of marketing and distribution networks, establishing logistics chains and marketing policies, ongoing process of upgrading and extending the product mix
Organisational and Management Innovations
Structuring of relationships between divisions, introduction of planning and budgeting, management of human resources, computerisation of management information processes, deployment of ERP systems
Organisational and Management Innovations
Structuring of relationships between divisions, introduction of planning and budgeting, management of human resources, computerisation of management information processes, deployment of ERP systems
Economic sustainability and active government support for innovations are key to accelerating the process
Growth Strategy
17
Russian Gas Industry Experienced Stable Growth Despite Volatile Environment
Length of High Pressure Pipelines, ths km Length of High Pressure Pipelines, ths km
EXPERIENCEEXPERIENCE CONFIDENCECONFIDENCE RELIABILITYRELIABILITY
1973
Break-up of the Soviet Union
August 1991
Russian Parliamentary Crisis
1993
Asian Financial Crisis
2008
World Financial CrisisWorld Oil Crisis
1994 August 1998
Russian Financial Crisis
Gas Production WellsGas Production Wells
Gas Production, bcm Gas Production, bcm GazpromGazprom’’s Gas Export to Europe, bcm s Gas Export to Europe, bcm
Sou
rce:
Com
pany
dat
a
Growth Strategy
020406080
100120140160180
1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008 2009E
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008 2009E
0100020003000400050006000700080009000
1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008 2009E
020406080
100120140160180
1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008 2009E
18
WELL-DEFINED LONG-TERM STRATEGY CLIENT BASE
GAZPROM’S RESERVESTHE LARGEST GAS SUPPLYSYSTEM IN THE WORLD
Gas Business: Main Factors of Success
STRATEGIC STRATEGIC
PROGRAM PROGRAM
FOR GAS BUSINESS FOR GAS BUSINESS DEVELOPMENTDEVELOPMENT
GLOBAL RUSSIA
18% 69%
165,8 20,4
14,7 47,7
Accumulated production A+B+C1 C2 C3+D
TOTAL RUSSIAN RESOURCES - 248.6 tcm
33.1 tcm
LONG-TERM CONTRACTS
Σ ≥ 3 tcm
LONGLONG--TERM TERM CONTRACTSCONTRACTS
ΣΣ ≥≥ 3 tcm3 tcm
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT
Growth Strategy
19
Alexander Medvedev
Part 2. Strong and Growing Customer Base
Deputy Chairman of Gazprom Management Committee
Director General of Gazprom Export
20
European Market: Current and Future Prospects for Gazprom’s Business
Gazprom Group Sales to Europebcm
Expected Gazprom’s Share of the European Market
2010
$/mcm – Decline of local gas production and strong demand for natural gas as the cleanest fossil fuel will create ideal conditions for increasing Gazprom’s share in the European market. We estimate company’s share to increase to 32% by 2020
– Minimum Annual Quantities of gas in Gazprom’s portfolio of long term contracts ensure deliveries of 3.1 trillion cm of gas to Europe in 2010-2035. At current contractual prices it guarantees revenues of around $1,000 bln
28%
72%
2015
70%
30%
Gazprom Other Suppliers
2020
32%
68%
Source: International Energy Agency, Eurostat, National Statistics Bodies, Gazprom estimates.
161140
160153156154
190175169162156
184
192262 269
407296 326
0
50
100
150
200
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009E 2010E
0
150
300
450
600
Gazprom Export Volumes Gazprom Trading Volumes
Average European Price
Strong and Growing Customer Base
21
European Gas Demand Forecast
0
200
400
Jan'0
9Fe
b'09
Mar
'09Apr
'09M
ay'09
Jun'0
9Ju
l'09
Aug'09
Sep'09
Oct'09
Nov'09
Dec'09
Jan'1
0
NBP (Fact and Futures) BAFA (Fact and PIRA Forecast)
European Gas Consumption, Production and Imports in 2008 and 2009 (1),(2)
Spot and Long - Term Contract Prices Deviation
$/mcm
117 $/mcm200 $/mcm
100%
90
100
110
2007 2008 2009E 2010E 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E
CERA PIRA Wood Mackenzie McKinsey
Medium Term Gas Demand Forecasts (2008 = 100%)
2008 2009EChange,
bcmChange,
%
Consumption (bcm) 600.7 560.0 -40.7 -6.8%
Local Production (bcm) 320.0 302.3 -17.8 -5.6%
Imports (bcm) 280.7 257.8 -22.9 -8.2%
Source: International Energy Agency estimates nominated in TJ, Eurostat, National Statistics Bodies, Gazprom estimates.
601
669713
550
650
750
850Con
s.AVERAGE
IEA
EU Com
mission
CERA
EIA D
OE US
IGA
Eurog
asCed
igaz
Woo
d Mac
kenz
ieAVERAGE
IEA
CERA
EIA D
OE US
IGA
Eurog
as
2008 2020 2030
1. European Non-FSU countries.2. Using conversion factor of 37MJ/cm.
Long-Term Consensus Forecast for European Gas Demand
Strong and Growing Customer Base
22
FSU Market and Central Asian Gas
39.635.0
66.264.2
20.3
58.0
0
20
40
60
80
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009E 2010E
6653
979777
101273
111
208159
61 89
0
30
60
90
120
150
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009E 2010E
0
60
120
180
240
300
Volume Average FSU Price
Gazprom Group FSU Sales Prices and Volumes (1)
bcm US$/mcm
Central Asian Gas Purchases
bcm – December 2009 – agreement with AK Uztransgaz and Lukoil Overseas Supply and Trading Ltd. on deliveries in 2010 up to 17.2 bcm of gas from Uzbekistan
– December 2009 – amendment to long-term contract with State Concern Turkmengas to resume in January 2010 purchases of Turkmen gas of up to 30 bcm annually in 2010-2012
– October 2009 –agreement with Azerbaijan for purchasing annually 0.5 bcm of gas in 2010-2015
– May 2007 – 15 year contract for purchasing gas from Kazakhstan. Expected volume in 2010 – 12.6 bcm
Major Cooperation Projects in Central Asia
– Divergence between European and FSU export prices is expected decrease from 30% in 2009 to 16% in 2010
– In 2011 European and FSU export prices will reach parity for Custom Union non-members. Custom Union members are not subject to export duty
Narrowing the Gap between European and FSU Export Prices
1. Source: Factual data – company Annual report, Forecasts – management estimates.
Strong and Growing Customer Base
23
Diversifying Transit Risks and Ensuring Reliable Supply
NORWAYSWEDEN
DENMARK
GERMANY POLAND
LITHUANIA
LATVIA
RUSSIA
ESTONIA
FINLANDBaltic
Sea
North
Sea
Nord
Stream
Nord Stream
Nord Stream: Offshore Part
South Stream
ITALY
TURKEYGREECE
ROMANIA
UKRAINEHUNGARY
SLOVAKIA
AUSTRIA
CROATIA
SERBIA
BULGARIAMACEDONIA
MOLDOVA
South
Stream
ParticipantsGazprom (51%), BASF (20%), E.ON (20%), Gasunie (9%)
Length 1,223 km
Capacity55 bcm
(Phase I - 27.5 bcm + Phase II - 27.5 bcm)
Operational Start2011 - Phase I
2012 - Phase II
South Stream: Onshore Part
South Stream: Offshore Part
Agreements Bulgaria, Hungary, Greece, Serbia, Slovenia
Length 1,300 km to Austria + 990 km to Greece
Participants Gazprom (50%), ENI (50%)
Length 902 km
Capacity up to 63 bcm based on FEED
Strong and Growing Customer Base
24
LNG Demand in North America and Asia-Pacific
Strong and Growing Customer Base
Source : Pace Global, 2009 Source : Energy Information Administration, 2009
Yamal
Sakhalin
Shtokman
LNG LNG LNG
LNG LNG LNG
LNG LNG LNG
USA Gas-Demand Gap
bcm
a
29 102184 235 292
300
400
500
600
700
800
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Pipeline ImportsFields in Operation New Gas (Inc. LNG)
Asia-Pacific Gas Demand
bcm
a0
200
400
600
800
1 000
2006 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Other Non-OECD Asia South Korea Japan India China
25
Chinese Gas Demand
At the end of 2009 Gazprom and China National
Petroleum Corporation signed basic Heads of
Agreement for gas deliveries and are now
working on the Commercial Agreement.
0
100
200
300
400
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
Gas demand (bcm)
Source: Wood Mackenzie, 2009
13%
37%
43%
52%
Importdependency
• Expected gas demand growth of 300% by 2030 from 105.8 bcm to c. 330 bcm
• Gas share in Chinese energy demand should grow from current figure of 3.4% to 8-10% in 2030
• Import dependence is inevitable - pipeline and LNG supplies contracted from Australia, Malaysia, Turkmenistan, Qatar, Indonesia, Yemen, and others cannot increase substantially
• Considering its projected market growth, Russian gas is the only long term sustainable solution - Gazprom and Chinese National Petroleum Company are in intensive negotiations over the contract for volumes comparable to current China consumption
Strong and Growing Customer Base
26
Environmental Benefit and Cost Competitiveness of Gas-Fired Power Generation
The Investment Costs of Achieving Different Levels of GHG Reductions in Europe by Displacing Coal-Fired Power Generation
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
10
30
50
70
90
110
130
150
170
190
210
230
250
270
290
310
330
350
370
390
410
430
450
470
490
Million tonnes of CO2e saved
Inve
stm
ent in
US$
bn
Total additional
cut in GHG
required to
achieve EU target
solar
nuclear
wind
onsh
gas
GHG saved by replacing
50% of hard coal-fired
plants in the EU27 with gas-
fired CCGT & costs for
equivalent CO2 saving
through use of other
technologies
Strong and Growing Customer Base
27
Energy Security and Gas-Fired Power Generation
Comparison of Capital Investment Costs and Reliability In Meeting Peak Load by Technology
0
1 000
2 000
3 000
4 000
5 000
6 000
7 000
0% 5% 10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
Availability at winter system peak
Cap
ital i
nves
tmen
t U
S$/
KW solar
nuclear
wind gas
biomass
High reliability
Low cost
Strong and Growing Customer Base
28
Andrey Kruglov
Part 3. Solid Financial Position
Deputy Chairman of Gazprom Management Committee
Head of the Department for Finance and Economics
29
Sales and Production Recovery
2
6
10
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2007 2008 2009
10
20
30
40
50
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2007 2008 2009
Monthly Gas Exports to Western Europe
bcm
Monthly Gas Sales in Russia bcm
5
15
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2007 2008 2009
Source: Company data
bcmMonthly Gas Exports to FSU(1)
25
35
45
55
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2007 2008 2009
Gazprom Monthly Gas Productionbcm
Source: Company data
Source: Company dataSource: Company data
Solid Financial Position
1. Including operations of RosUkrEnergo in 2007 and 2008
30
Financial Performance, $ bln
$46
$25
9M08 9M09
$102$80
9M08 9M09
$33 $31 $27 $23 $26
3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09
(21%)
$14$10 $10
$6 $7
3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09
$5,8$6,2
$3,0$1,3
$5,2
3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09
(50%) (46%)
(22%)
17%
13%
Adj. EBITDAAdj. EBITDA(1)(1)
– Increase in 9M09 operating costs is mainly associated with purchased oil and gas costs growth.
– Costs of purchased oil and gas increase in 9M09 primarily relates to the increase in the gas purchase price from Central Asian suppliers
– 3Q09 profit for the period increase mainly relates to decrease of income tax rate from 24% to 20% and to non-taxable profits and losses dynamics.
SalesSales
– Global gas demand drop followed by decrease in volumes of gas sold to main markets in 9M09 resulted in sales down by 22% y-o-y.
– 21% sales decrease in 3Q09 mainly relates to decline in sales of oil and gas condensate since world prices in reporting period were lower then in previous year
Exchange rates applied as for the end of the respective period
1. EBITDA calculated as operating profit plus depreciation and impairment provisions for assets (includes impairment provisions of accounts receivable and prepayments, assets under construction, investments and other long-term assets and inventory obsolescence) except for impairment provisions for accounts receivable and prepayments.
2. Profit for the period attributable to owners of OAO Gazprom.
$28
$16
9M08 9M09
(6)%12% (43%)
Solid Financial Position
Profit for the periodProfit for the period(2)(2)
31
Measures and Results of 2009 Financial Strategy
Strategy GuidelinesStrategy Guidelines
Operating and Investment ActivitiesOperating and Investment Activities Financial ActivitiesFinancial Activities
CapExCapExManagementManagement
FinancialFinancialInvestmentsInvestmentsManagementManagement
OpExOpExManagementManagement
Working CapitalWorking CapitalManagementManagement
Cash PoolingCash PoolingBudgetingBudgetingDebt andDebt and
BorrowingsBorrowingsManagementManagement
Self fundingReduction of
financialinvestments
Reduction ofOpEx
Reduction ofaccountsreceivable
Internal cash management
Budget scenariosbased on
$25, $30 and $41 oil price forecasts
Usage of internal
financial resources
Projects prioritisation
Projectsfeasibility in
crisisenvironment
Optimisation ofgas purchasing
Management ofaccounts payable
Payments monitoring
Cost cutting programRefinancing of
expensive debts
Execution monitoring
Assessment of opportunity
for raising funds
Optimisation ofheadcount
Reduction ofinventories
Reduction ofnon-core assets
Control over Group
borrowings
Solid Financial Position
32
Cost Control Measures (Parent Company)*
Price optimisation for goods, services, construction and assembly works (decreasing coefficient 0.8)
Substitution of domestic supplies for imported materials and equipment
Extension of the gas and energy saving programs
Reduction of production costs (per unit, y-o-y) - 4%
Reduction of transportation costs (per unit, y-o-y) - 1%
2010 net income of OAO Gazprom is expected to increase (y-o-y) 2x
2009 2009 Cost control Cost control goals were goals were
primarily primarily
regarding: regarding:
Materials and equipment purchasing
Repair and maintenance
Capital construction
Solid Financial Position
Labour Cost
20102010Program Program of cost of cost
optimisation: optimisation:
RR 11.7 bln savings
plan
Price Reductions for Materials and Equipment in 2009
Pipes - 22%
Gas pumping equipment - 5%
Processing equipment - 10 - 20%
Shutoff valves - 12%
Spare parts for gas compressor units and stations - 5 - 12%
Maintenance of gas compressor unit drives - 5 - 7%
Airplane and turbine oils - 47%
Labour Cost Management
Reduction of staff hiring (y-o-y) - 90%
RR 14.5 bln (12%)
savings from price reduction
* According to management accounting
33
Working Capital Management
Accounts Receivable Turnover
8.2x9.5x
7.6x8.9x
7.5x
5.9x4.9x
3
6
9
12
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 9m2009 LTM
times a year
RR 30 bln increase
in Companyturnover
Priority for domestic supplies in materials and equipment purchasing for construction projects
Reduction of advance payments for materials andequipment
Obligatory tendering process for supplies and service purchased contracts
IMPROVEMENT IN WORKING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
New MeasuresNew Measures
in Working in Working Capital Capital
ManagementManagement
Solid Financial Position
34
OAO Gazprom Investment Program
613.8483.5
699.9
138.8139.6
220.6138.5
0
500
1 000
2009 Initial 2009 Revised 2010
CapEx Long-Term Financial Investments
2009 Investment Program Adjustment and 2010 Investment Program(1)
RR bln
920. 4
761.5 752.6Purchase of 20% of Gazprom Neft
2010 Priority Investments
Sakhalin-Khabarovsk-Vladivostok pipeline,
Gas supply to the Kamchatka Region
Eastern Gas ProgramEastern Gas ProgramOther Major Other Major
Transportation and Production ProjectsTransportation and Production Projects
Shtokmanovskoye and Prirazlomnoye fields,
Nord Stream, Pochinki-Gryazovets,
Dzhubga-Lazorevskoye-Sochi pipe lines
Comprehensive Comprehensive
Development Program in YamalDevelopment Program in Yamal
Cenomanian-Aptian deposits of the Bovanenkovskoye field,
Bovenenkovo-Ukhta pipe line
RR bln
1. Totals may not sum due to rounding
Solid Financial Position
35
Debt and Liquidity Management
BB+
BB
BB-
BBB
BBB-
BBB
BB
BB+
BBB-
Baa1
A3Baa1
Baa2Baa2
Baa3
Jan-05 Jul-05 Jan-06 Jul-06 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10
S&P Fitch Moody's
Investment Grade
Credit Ratings Credit Metrics(1)
1,7
0.9
1.7
1.1
1.6
1,4
0.7
1.4
0.8
1.4
2005 2006 2007 2008 9m 2009 LTM
Total Debt / Adj. EBITDA Net Debt / Adj. EBITDA
$35 $35 $43 $49
$12 $10$12 $10
2008 1Q09 1H09 9M09
Net Debt Cash&Cash equivalents
Total and Net Debt Debt Management Measures
� Works on interest rates reduction
� Financing with insurance coverage
� Introduction of the new European Commercial Papers (ECP) Program
� Liquidity management: introduction of cash-pooling system
- 41 subsidiaries and 14 branches involved - Earnings from fund allocation in the System increased by 40%- Potential volume of preferential credits accumulated
in the Pool amounts to RR25 bln
Solid Financial Position
1. Calculated as per the end of the respective period
$59$55$47 $45
36
>4 800
1 064 1 180 1 3541 699
1 9702 495 2 870
3 3003 795
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009E 2010E 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E
Sources of Additional Revenues
43%59%
23%38%
18% 19%
Revenue 2009E Revenue 2014E
Europe Russia FSU
– Price liberalisation principles in gas deliveries to the FSU countries are expected to be implemented by 2011(1)
– Significant price increase expected due to the liberalisation of the Russian market by 2014
– Profit from domestic gas sales is to reach appx. RR70 bln in 2009
Gas Sales Breakdown and Price Liberalisation
Average FSU Export Price Growth
$/mcm
Domestic Wholesale Price Growth for Industrial Consumers
RR/mcm
+11% +15% +25%+16%
“Net Back” to European Sales(3)
+27%
1. Except Armenia2. Pursuant to “General assumptions and forecast of social and economic development in Russia 15% annual price growth for the period from 2010 to 2012” designed by the Russian Ministry of Economic Development in July 20093. According to Ministry of Economic Development oil price forecast of $76 Urals
+15%
Gazprom’s proposal to link domestic prices to European
“Net Back”
273
208
159
1118961
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009E 2010E
+46%+25%
+43%
+31%
+31%
(2)
(2)
Solid Financial Position
37
Enhancement of IT Systems
– Creation of a unified IT environment
– Improvement of information transparency
– Closer monitoring of investment projects
– Reduction of preparation period for financial reports
Solid Financial Position
38
Dividend Policy
1. Company development: 75% of parent company net profit (RAS). No allocation to the reserve fund, as it was formed from allocation of previous years
2. Dividends: 2% of market capitalisation, but not more than 10% of parent company net profit (RAS)
3. Remaining part: 15% of parent company net profit (RAS) is equally distributed between the dividend payment and company development
Dividend Policy
10%
75%15%
10%
7.5%
Dividends
Parent Company Net Profit(Russian Accounting Standards)
Historical Dividends RR per Share
0.36
2.662.54
1.19
0.690.44
1.50
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Pursuant to the Russian
Government’s Directive
Solid Financial Position
39
Potential for Further Value Growth
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Jan-06 Apr-06 Jul-06 Oct-06 Jan-07 Apr-07 Jul-07 Oct-07 Jan-08 Apr-08 Jul-08 Oct-08 Jan-09 Apr-09 Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10
MICEX Oil&Gas Index Gazprom share price
Current Share
Price
2010 Consensus
Target Price
Gazprom Share Price Performance vs Russia’s MICEX Oil & Gas Index
Source Bloomberg
RR 190RR 254
2010 Investors’ Concerns Mitigation2009 Investors’ Concerns
Transit conflict with Ukraine and concerns on conflict recurrence in the beginning of 2010
Sharp production decline in the 1H 2009
Speculations on long-term contracts revision
Decrease in export prices due to low oil price
Uncertainty over price liberalisation in Russia
Expensive Central Asian gas to influence revenue
Source: Bloomberg, Interfax
Ukraine paid in full for Russian gas in January 2010Most of the permissions for alternative transport routes have been received
Production rebound in 2H 2009 due to increase in European sales and colder winter
No significant revision of long-term contracts
Improving oil price through-out 2009
From January 1, 2010 the price for industrial consumers was increased by 15%,
implying 26% y-o-y average price growth
Decrease in Central Asian gas purchases and more favorable contract terms withCentral Asian countries
RR
Reb
ased
to G
azpr
om s
hare
pric
e
24 Buy
3 Hold
Solid Financial Position
40
Vadim Yakovlev
Deputy Chairman of the Management Board
CFO of Gazprom Neft
Part 4. Oil Business Development
41
Gazprom Neft at a Glance
UPSTREAM
Combined consolidated production1
47.9 mln tonnes per year(962 kbpd):
33 mln tonnes own subsidiaries
14.9 mln tonnes equityaffiliated units
REFINING
Total Refining – 34.2 mln tonnesper year (687 kbpd):
27.4 mln tonnes own subsidiaries
6.8 mln tonnes equityaffiliated units
MARKETING
1 489 retail outlet stations in Russia, the Balkans and CIS
9 Bunkering facilities in Russia
6 airport filling terminals and
Overseas trading unit in Austria
2009 2009 2009
Source: Company data.
1. Including Gazprom Neft share in equity investees and recently acquired assets
Oil Business Development
42
October 2010-2014February
Oil Business Development within Gazprom Group
Gazprom acquired 75%stake in Sibneft
2005 2006
Gazprom oil strategy isapproved by BOD
2007
Acquired 50% stakein Tomskneft
Start of Gazprom oil assets integration process Special entity “Gazprom Neft –Yamal” is created
J V «Moscow NPZ Holdings B.V.»established to manageMoscow Oil refinery
2008 2009
NIS (51%) acquisition
Sibir Energy (55%) acquisition
Ruble Bond IssueReopening of the domestic
market after the crisis
Gazprom Neft Wins Tenderon Iraqi Badra Oil Field
Development
New retail network rebrandingcampaign launched
September December May June July September December
New blocks development in traditional producing regions
Gazprom oil assets integration: Novy Port, Orenburg fields
Expansion into new producing regions: Messoyaha, Kuyumba
Increasing refining capacity of existing assets (reconstruction)
Expansion of retail network in Russia and abroad
UPSTREAM DOWNSTREAM
Launch of large-scale projects to ensurelong-term development and business
growth
April
Oil Business Development
43
Gazprom Neft Strategic Goals in Figures:100 - 70 - 40
70 MM tonnes – oil refining
in Russia – up to 40 MM tons
in Europe – up to 30 MM tons
Increase of yield of light HC products up to 77%
Increase of processing depth up to 90%
40 MM tonnes – sales of oil products via premium channels in Russia and
abroad12 MM tons – retail sales at fuel filling stations (8,2 MM tons in Russia and CIS)
18 MM tons – sale of products business units - Aero (jet fuel), lubricants
p (packed oils),bitumen, petrochemistry
10 MM tons – small wholesales to large ultimate users
Share of production fields in the initial stage of
exploration not less than 50%
Reserve life- not less than 20 years
100 MM tonnes of oil equivalent - production
Large scale business development provides for the
highest Total Shareholder Return among Russian oil
companies while maintaining its leading position in business effectiveness among vertical integrated oil companies in
Russia
Oil Business Development
Source: Company data.
44
Crude balance 2020, MM tones/year
14-19
25-30
2,2
7,3
15-20
Exports
Refining
NIS
Belorussia
Western Europe Russia
44
6
Refining in Russia
40
90
Russia’s resources
10
– The Company’s target is to refine at least 50 per cent of export oil volumes
– Refining capacity needs to be expanded in Europe as a core oil trade market:
– Eastern Siberia’s oil resources have priority for deliveries via ESPO pipeline. According to the Ministry of Energy, in 2020 production in Eastern Siberia will hit 80 mm tones per year and will fill ESPO
– The resources originating from Western Siberia, Offshore, NAO and YaNAO will be exported to the Western Europe (Primorsk, Novorossiysk, “Druzhba”)
Eastern Siberia
Western Siberia
Shelf, Nenets district, Yamal
605748
270
Overseas oil resources
New refining assets
Crude Oil SalesFrom Eastern Siberia toAsian Pacific Region
Oil Business Development
Production 2009E Production 2020E
45
$2 375
$5 201
9M08 9M09
Gazprom Neft’s Key Financials, $ mln
RevenuesRevenues(1)(1)
EBITDAEBITDA(2)(2)
Net IncomeNet Income
$10 307$5 998 $4 242 $5 269 $7 087
3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09
(31%)34%
(42%)
$2 752
$416 $957 $1 501 $1 823
3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09
(48%)
$1 593
-$543
$335$1 196 $846
3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09
(54%)
(34%)21%
(47%)(29%)
$8 164
$4 280
9M08 9M09
$28 717
$16 596
9M08 9M09
– Export customs duty, mineral extraction tax and continuing RUR appreciation constrained EBITDA growth
– High refining volume in crude balance supported quarterly EBITDA growth
– FX gain as well as gain from Sibir Energy acquisition in 2Q09 hampered q-o-q net income growth in 3Q09
– Oil price fluctuations drove revenues up q-o-q and down y-o-y
Oil Business Development
Source: Company data.1. Revenues for 2007 and 1-3Q08 were adjusted for excise tax that was previously excluded (2007 –$ 0.7B; 1Q08 – $0.2B, 2Q08 - $0.3B; 3Q08 - $0.8B)2. EBITDA includes the Company’s share in EBITDA of its equity affiliates (Slavneft , Tomskneft and Salym Petroleum Development)
46
Operational Performance
Oil Business Development
1. Production figures include 50% of Slavneft and Tomskneft
Source: Company data.
+ 3.5%
Crude Output (MM Tonnes)
47.9
Crude Oil Sales (MM Tonnes)
Refining (MM Tonnes)
Oil Products Sales (MM Tonnes)
26.7
32.1
43.1
29.0
26.128.5
34.246.3
+ 7.4% + 9.2%
+ 20.0%
19.220.5 19.0
+10.7%
+ 8.6%
+ 6.7% - 7.3%
32.7 30.8 29.9
0.7
10.6 9.8 9.55.42.4
5.7
2007 2008 2009E
Own Production NIS Slavneft(1) Tomskneft(1) Sibir Energy
16.5 18.4 18.4
2.96.3
6.86.83.3
6.13.3
2007 2008 2009E
Omsk NIS Yaroslavl Moscow
15.1 16.3 15.2
2.5 3.61.60.9 0.23.3
2007 2008 2009E
Crude export Crude export to CIS Crude domestic
11.4 11.4 12.3
1.9 1.7
13.4 15.718.1
1.9
2007 2008 2009E
Export Export to CIS Domestic
47
Gazprom Neft has Strong Reserves Upside Potential
Proved*
Probable
3P
Source: Company dataSource: Company data
Possible
0
5 000
10 000
15 000
20 000 1 844
1 525
1 410
115
319
1150
1250
1350
1450
1550
1650
1750
1850
1950
ABC1 Reserves revisions & additions (mln t) as of Dec 31, 2009
As ofDec 31,
2008
RevisionsAnd
Acquisitions
As ofDec 31,
2009
Licenses from
Gazprom
Potential
Resources and Reserves(1)
(MM boe), as of Dec 31, 2008 • 118% 3-year reserve replacement ratioexcluding acquisitions and divestments (PRMS based)
• Proved reserve life maintained at 21 years
• ABC1 reserves figure as of Dec 31, 2009 (Russian classification) suggests substantial improvement in reserves volume
• Gazprom assets to be transferred to Gazprom Neft will increase the Company’s reserves even further
Oil Business Development
1. Reserves include Gazprom Neft’s share in Reserves of its equity affiliates (Slavneft and Tomskneft)
48
High Refining Cover – Gazprom Neft’s Key Competitive Advantage
1. Source: Company data, IEA, European refining margin states for average Europe NW cracking refineries processing Urals, operating costs are assumed at $2/bbl
50%
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09E
Gazprom Neft’s refining cover evolution
Omsk
Moscow
YANOS
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35Gazprom Neft’s vs. European refining margin(1),
$/bbl
Europe
• Gazprom Neft’s netbacks at domestic refineries steadily outperform those of crude exports (except for a unique situation in 1H09)
• Given Russia-specific fiscal stimulus for processing, Gazprom Neft has substantially increased its refining exposure (Refining to Production) over the past two years in order to fully exploit the high global crude pricing environment
Oil Business Development
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09E-5
49
Gazprom Neft is Accelerating its Downstream Facilities Upgrade Program
2009
Source: Company data.
Strategic goals by 2020:
• Quality upgrade program (Euro 4,5)
• Substantial improvement in the Company’s downstream facilities sophistication
Omsk
Moscow
Diesel Hydro-TreatingUnit launched; Technological
Condensate-Treating Unit upgraded;
Fuel Dehydration Unit Installed; Isomerization Unit construction
started
Moscow
Yaroslavl Five-year upgradeprogram approved; Diesel
Hydro-Treating Unit upgraded;
Hydrogen Production and Isomerization Units construction started
Mid-term goals by 2012
Installation of:
Diesel Hydro Reforming Unit, Catalytic Cracking and Isomerization Units
Installation of:
Diesel Hydro-Treating,
Gasoline Hydro-Treating andIsomerization Units
+750,000 tpa high-octane gasoline
By 2012 Omsk, Yaroslavl and Moscow refineries should all meet Euro 4 standards
Gain control
Currently Gazprom Neft is actively developing MNPZ’s
upgrade program
Strategic goals by 2020:
• Quality upgrade program (Euro 5)
• Substantial improvement in the sophistication &efficiency of the Company’s downstream facilities
• Refining depth >90%Installation of:
Primary Distillation, Catalytic
Cracking and Isomerization Units
+550,000 tpa high-octane gasoline
Oil Business Development
Source: Company data.
50
1 4191 406
858
2008 2009 2010E
– Aero fuelling – Largest jet fueling terminals operator in Russia, new fueling terminals in Bryansk, Tomsk, Chita, new fueling terminal in Moscow (Sheremetievo) – construction-in-progress
– Bunkering – Largest volumes in Russia, expansion into new regions (Black Sea), Ust Luga bunkering
– Lubricants – Acquisition of Lubricants Plant in Italy (Bari) - February 2009, production of new oils: 50 in Russia and 40 in Italy
– Retail network - At the end of September 2009 own retail network (including NIS and Sibir) totaled 1,489 gas stations
Sales region
402
847 807
2008 2009 2010E
Aero fuelling (‘000 tonnes) (2)
Bunkering (‘000 tonnes)
Lubricants (‘000 tonnes)
5063
79
2008 2009 2010
111%
64%
26%
Expansion of Oil Products MarketingNew Products Sales via Premium Channels (1)
Khabarovsk
Kirgizia Chelyabinsk region
+40 gas stations
Kazakhstan
Novorossiysk
Bunkering
Airports
Italy
Serbia
Belorussia
Murmansk
Archangelsk
Ust-Luga
-5%
1%
25%
Oil Business Development
Source: Company data.1. Premium channels – sales from tank farms, terminals, filling stations, fueling terminals and packed oils sales2. Volume decline as Government bodies impose new regulations with respect to jet fuel pricing which makes this activity less attractive
New asset 2009
51
New Retail Brand: Bringing the Idea to Life
Rebranding Campaign Key Figures
2009 2010E 2011E 2012E Total
Number of rebranded filling stations 208 Full implementation
179 Limited implementation
300 229 200 937
Average volume turnover (th.t/ day) 8.8 9.0 9.6 10.5
Oil Business Development
52
18%
45%
37%
ST Bridge LT
1. Maturity profile due to refinanced bridge repayments ($857 mln)2. Bridge facility was refinanced under the long term basis in December 2009
Debt Profile: Shifting from Short Term to Long Term Financing; Maintaining Investment Grade Ratings
Net Debt/EBITDA, GearingLong Term Debt Maturity Profile as of
September 30, 2009(1)
% US$MM
0,00
0,30
0,60
0,90
1,20
2006 2007 2008 3Q09
0%
10%
20%
30%
Net Debt/EBITDA (LHS) Gearing (RHS)
1 0561 169
650
311
311
235
166 113
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Debt Structure as of September 2009 Credit Ratings
%
87%
13%
Foreign Currency (USD, EUR, RSD) RUR
Investment Grade
S&P Moodys
B-/B3
B/B2
B+/B1
BB-/Ba3
BB/Ba2
BB+/Ba1
BBB-/Baa3
BBB/Baa2
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 20092008
Source: Company data.
Oil Business Development
(2)
53
New Assets NIS Development
• 4.4% Production growth
in 2009 vs.2008
• Euro diesel production launched
Domestic market share increase to 29% from 8%
• Refineries modernization
program launched
• Headcount structure
optimization -
(9.7%) from 2008
• Debt structure optimization:
Decrease of short term debt to 25%
n 2009 from 85% in 2008
Achieved Operating and Financial Results 2009
2009 2014 %
Proved reserves, MM toe 13 14 +8%
Production, MM tones 0.7 1.4 +100%
Refining, MM tones 2.7 4.5 +67%
Euro diesel production, MM tones 0.19 1.7 +795%
Sales through own retail network, MM tones 0.6 1 +67%
Sales through partners’ network, MM tones - 1 + 100%
Export sales, MM tones 0.32 0.7 +119%
Lifting costs,$/boe $13 $9 +44%
Processing costs,$/t $40 $25 -38%
Unit sales, per gas station, tone/day 3.4 6.3 +85%
Source: Company data.
Oil Business Development
54
New Assets Sibir Energy Contribution
Sources: Company data, Public sources
5%
95% 92%
8% 7%
93%
Production RefiningProduct
sales
Gazprom Neft Sibir Energy
Oil Business Development
Source: Company data
55
Denis Fedorov
Part 5. Power Generation Business Development
Head of Gazprom Directorate for Development of the
Power Generation Sector and Power Generation Marketing
General Director of Gazprom Energoholding
56
RysHydro
11%RosAtom
10%
Inter RAO
8%
16%
Other
Gazprom Generation Assets: Position in Russiaand Globally
Gazprom share in Russia’s Installed Capacity (1)
1. 2008 data2. 2009 data
414849517591149163180180185
253
395441
610615
0
200
400
600
800
E.O
N
ED
F
Iber
drol
a
KE
PC
O
Ene
l
AE
P
Gaz
prom
RW
E
Duk
e
End
esa
Ten
aga
CE
Z A
S
End
esa
Ene
rgia
s
For
tum
Sco
ttish
&
11
127
9474
6447 43 42 39 39 36 36
13 13 12 12 11
0
50
100
150
ED
F
Ene
l
E.O
N
KE
PC
O
End
esa
Iber
drol
a
Sou
ther
n
AE
P
Duk
e
Gaz
prom
RW
E
End
esa
Ene
rgia
s
CE
Z A
S
Ten
aga
For
tum
Sco
ttish
&
Installed Capacities (1) Power Generation Volumes (1)
Other
17%
Gazprom share in Russia’s Power Generation Volumes
Sources: State Statistics Committee, Company Data, System Operator of UES
(2)
164.6 bln kWh
827.4 bln kWh
(GW) (bln kWh)
36 GW
123 GW
25 GW
23 GW
18 GW
Power Generation Business Development
57
Power
Generation
6%
Role of the Power Generation Business for Gazprom Group
Power
Generation
3%
Gazprom
Group
Gazprom Group 9M09 Revenue,
$mn
Generation companies’ shares in the Group’s9M09 sales revenue, $mn
Power Generation assets share in the Group’smarket capitalisation (2)
Power generation companies’market capitalisation, $mn (2)
1. Mosenergo, OGK-2 and OGK-6 results only. TGC-1 results are not consolidated in the Group’s 9M09 IFRS results2. As of 14 January 20103. Accounting for Gazprom Group share in Mosenergo, TGC-1, OGK-2, OGK-6
(3)
Sources: Company data, Bloomberg
$970
$1 003
$2,587
$4 843
$2 301
$1 087$815
$4,560
Power Generation Business Development
(1)
58
Structure of the Group’s Power Assets
ZAO Kaunas TPP
Adler TPP
Kaliningrad TPP-2
OAO FGC UES of Russia
OAO TGK-11
OAO TGK-12
OAO TGK-13
OAO TGK-5
OAO OGK-5
OAO Inter RAO UES
OAO MRSK Holding
OAO RAO Far East Energy Systems
Non-Strategic Assets
53.5%
51.8%
50.3%
3.9%
5.3%
4.4%
4.9%
5.0%
5.3%
10.5%
10.5%
8.5%
50.3%
OAO Mezhregionenergo
sbyt
OOO Gazpromenergo
Core generation Assets
Power Generation Business Development
59
Consolidation of the Group’s Strategic Generation Assets as Part of OOO Gazprom Energoholding
In 2009 Gazprom Board of Directors’ decision on consolidation of generation assets as part of OOO Gazprom Energoholding was implemented
– Largest TGK in Russia by installed electricity and thermal power generation capacities
– Services about 70% of the electrical and thermal power market in Moscow region
– Installed capacity – 11,918.3 MW and 34,900 GCal-hr
– Installed capacity utilisation ratio – 65%
– Average year of facilities commissioning – 1985
– Key power generation company in Northwestern Federal District
– Includes 55 power generation stations
– Hydro power stations share in generation volumes – around 50%
– Installed capacity – 6,313 MW and 14,362 GCal-hr
– Installed capacity utilisation ratio – 49%
– Average year of facilities commissioning – 1973
– Includes 5 State District Power Stations, about 70% of generation capacities located in the Ural Federal District
– №2 among wholesale generation companies by utilisation ratio – 65%
– Installed capacity – 8,695 MW
– Average year of facilities commissioning – 1975
– Includes 6 State District Power Stations, about 40% of generation capacities located in Central UES
– №2 by power generation capacities and №2 by thermal power generation capacities among wholesale generation companies
– Installed capacity – 9,052 MW
– Utilisation ratio – 49%
– Average year of facilities commissioning – 1975
Power Generation Business Development
60
531
3,6853,227
284
1770
2008 2009E
Revenue EBITDA Net Income
Operational and Financial Results and EstimatesPower,
bln kWhHeat, mln
GCal
$mln (1)Power, bln kWh
Heat, mln GCal
Source: Company data
1. Exchange rates used for conversion as of the end of corresponding periods
Power Generation Business Development
61.7
64.3
62.4
65.4
2008 Generation Volume 2009E Generation Volume
26.726.9
26.3
26.9
2008 Generation Volume 2009E Generation Volume
273
1,3681,143
1298635
2008 2009E
Revenue EBITDA Net Income
47.249.8
2.3 2.4
2008 Generation Volume 2009E Generation Volume
29.038.9
4.4 4.4
2008 Generation Volume 2009E Generation Volume
106
1,3481,380
21 28
-132008 2009E
Revenue EBITDA Net Income
178
1,3841,439
76 80
-282008 2009ERevenue EBITDA Net Income
61
Long-Term Capacity Market
- Currently the formation of the long-term capacity market in Russia is being finalised
- Recently a methodology for determining economic feasibility of generation companies’ bids for sale of capacities has been approved, making the pricing mechanism more transparent
- Introduction of new capacities results in higher operational margins:
� In 2010, average old capacity tariff for Mosenergo is expected to be RR132 thousand/MW per month. Average new capacity tariff is expected to be RR 533 thousand/MW per month
� In 2010, average old capacity tariff for TGC-1 is expected to be RR87 thousand/MW per month. Average new capacity tariff is expected to be RR422 thousand/MW per month
64.4%
88.1%
35.6%
11.9%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Capacity Capacity revenue
Old capacity New capacity
Mosenergo capacity revenues
84.4%96.3%
15.6%3.7%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Capacity Capacity revenue
Old capacity New capacity
TGC-1 capacity revenues
Power Generation Business Development
Source: Company data.
62
Investment Outlook: 2008-2010 Commissioning
– Gazprom Group is #1 in Russia by generation capacity commissioning in 2007-2009
– In 2009, installed capacity of the Group’s generation assets was increased by 215 MW
– In 2010, Gazprom is set to increase its generation capacity by up to 1.8 GW
Capacity Increase, Capacity Increase
MW Total, MW
2008
Mosenergo 875905
TGC-1 30
2009
TGC-1 215 215
2010 (Plan)
TGC-1 823
1,819Mosenergo 436
OGK-6 110
Kaliningrad TPP-2 450
Other91%
Other
22%
215 MW
905 MW
Gazprom Group share in Russian generation capacity commissioning, 2008
Gazprom Group share in Russian generation capacity commissioning, 2009
Power Generation Business Development
Source: Company data
63
0.8 1.6
10.49.1
10.2
8.7
7.7
6.3
14.9
11.9
Investment Outlook: Commissioning of New Facilities
– Gazprom Group’s adjusted investment program for power generation provides for installed capacity increase from 36.8 to 44.8 GW that will ensure that the Group keeps its leading position in the sector
– The total CAPEX until 2020 is set to amount to RR 315 bln
Source: Company data
1. 2009 data2. As of 14 January 2010 adjustments to the investment programmes have not been approved by the government3. Figure does not include decommissioning of capacities
Current Capacity (1) Planned Capacity After Facilities Commissioning by 2020 (2)
44.8 GW (3)
36.8 GW(3)
(3)
(3)
(3)
+17%
+25%
+22%
+15%
+50%
Power Generation Business Development
64
Potential for Value Creation
Market values of power generation companies per capacity unit, $/kW (1)
90
127
321
368
414
580
692
863
1 087
1 146
1 160
1 287
1 289
1 649
2 408
0 500 1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500 3 000
CEZ AS
Scottish & Southern Energy
Energias de Portugal
Cia. Paranaense de Energia
Endesa Chile
Iberdrola
E.ON
Tenaga Nasional
EDF
Enel
Mosenergo
TGK-1
KEPCO
OGK-2
OGK-6
Sources: Bloomberg, Company Data
1. As of 18 January 2010
– OOO Gazprom Energoholding is one of the largest energy companies in Russia
– Its large-scale investment program will permit the Company to maintain the leading position in the sector
– The holding’s generation assets are located in the regions with stable energy consumption patterns
– Complete liberalisation of the electricity market in Russia is expected by 2011
– Launch of the long-term capacity market justifies economic viability of Gazprom’s investment program
– OOO Gazprom Energoholding companies are fundamentally undervalued in comparison with the global peers
Power Generation Business Development
65
Andrey Kruglov
Conclusions
Deputy Chairman of Gazprom Management Committee
Head of the Department for Finance and Economics
66
Ready for the Next Step
Financials
Cost controlAccess to capital
Self-funding
Development
ProjectsExport Regions
Business Segments
Consumers
Demand Recovery in Europe Economic Growth Forecast
in Russia
Capacity
Unmatched Reserve BaseUnique Transportation System
GainingGaining
Momentum!Momentum!
Conclusions