2010 and beyond

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2010 and beyond

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Last week me and Stephen Thomas presented to our company's UXC Luncheon. This is a quarterly event open to all the different User Experience groups in the company. Our topic was upcoming trends in Design and technology. This is actually the fifth time I've presented a presentation like this one, starting back in 2005. While some trends are still developing, there are some new and interesting things that will shape the years to come.

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2010 and beyond

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jeremy

stephen

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Bright Corner @ RLC04 06 05

WHERE THE WEB IS HEADINGand other odds and ends from SXSW Interactive 05

Presented by Stephen P. Anderson and Jeremy Johnson from Bright Corner

Where the web is heading2006 Edition

Hello.Welcome to 2007.

Hello, welcome to 2008

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User Experience

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visioning the future

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Visioning helps:

» Blue Sky ideas» Thought Leadership “points”» Set future strategy» Break away from legacy» Sell ideas to internal audiences

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Today 2015 2020 2030 2040

Current Technology no longer matters

Need to factor in possible changes to market conditions

“When” is the first step. There is a threshold of time that once passed two things change:

1) Current Technology no longer matters.2) You need to factor in possible changes to market conditions.

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Microsoft "2019"http://www.istartedsomething.com/20090228/microsoft-office-labs-vision-2019-video/

Adaptive Path Aurora concept videohttp://adaptivepath.com/aurora/

Adaptive Path Charmr concepthttp://www.adaptivepath.com/blog/2007/08/14/charmr-a-design-concept-for-diabetes-management-devices/

Nokia Morphhttp://www.engadget.com/2008/02/25/nokias-nanotech-morph-goes-on-display-signals-melting-devices/You'll see a trend in using animation - again, this removes it fromreality which then removes any pressure for actual delivery.

Nokia Design (multiple videos)http://www.youtube.com/profile?user=NokiaDesignhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f5iBBEp0Efg&feature=channel_page(see the disclaimer!)

Samsung Future Mobile Projecthttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=srw2WiPevQA

Lastminute Labshttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fMA7wAU5BH0This is an actual app they created - while the video looks "fake" - thisIs actually a working demo.

Google Mobile App for iPhone with Voice Searchhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GQ3Glr5Ff28Commercial/tutorial style...

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Wireless Power

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“Intel's work builds on the progress MIT has made with transmitting power through resonant magnetic fields. But where the MIT team, led by Marin Soljacic, has only achieved 50% efficiency over a range of a few feet, Intel is said to have recently zapped up to 60 watts over the same distance at an efficiency of 75%, which is quite a leap forward.”

http://gizmodo.com/5039871/intel-says-theyve-taken-a-huge-leap-in-wireless-power-tech%23c7344512

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“the e-passport uses an AMOLED display so frugal it can be powered wireless via an RFID reader”

http://www.slashgear.com/samsung-amoled-rfid-e-passport-video-demo-1947449/

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Location Gaming

http://www.flickr.com/photos/14665421@N00/2168241718/

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small screens

Netbooks

http://www.flickr.com/photos/ryanblock/3562871919/

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“The real divider is how you use it. A Netbook is a light mobile computing device that allows you to process information, access the Internet, and that does not store a bundle of bloated programs or data.”

“They are cheap, portable web browsers.”

http://www.enterpriseirregulars.com/EI/33716

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1024!600

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In The Pre-Chrome OS World, Google Optimizes Gmail For Netbooks

http://www.techcrunch.com/2009/08/05/in-the-pre-chrome-os-world-google-optimizes-gmail-for-netbooks/

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http://i.gizmodo.com/5185966/first-look-at-the-tesla-model-s-electric-cars-giant-touchscreen-dashboard

“The RFID tag is also very interesting. When you walk up to the car, the

Model S detects your RFID keytag and pops out the handles for you.

When you want to start up the car, there's no start button. You just sit there and wait for the car to detect your RFID presence.”

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“Internet of things”

In computing, the Internet of Things refers to a network of objects, such

as household appliances. It is often a self-configuring wireless network.

The concept of the internet of things is attributed to the original Auto-

ID Center, founded in 1999 and based at the time in MIT[1].

The idea is as simple as its application is difficult. If all cans, books, shoes

or parts of cars are equipped with minuscule identifying devices, daily life on our planet will undergo a transformation. Things like running out

of stock or wasted products will no longer exist as we will know exactly

what is being consumed on the other side of the globe. Theft will be a

thing of the past as we will know where a product is at all times. The

same applies to parcels lost in the post.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Internet_of_Things

http://www.readwriteweb.com/archives/5_companies_building_the_internet_of_things.php

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Command Line

http://www.flickr.com/photos/34427466731@N01/1629269/

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http://code.google.com/p/qsb-mac/

Google Quick Search

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http://kwyno.com/

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Future of email

http://www.flickr.com/photos/jeremyjohnson/515371865/in/set-72157600270103743/

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http://retry.tv/

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Social Service

http://www.flickr.com/photos/simonhazeldine/3086322671/

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Visualizing Data

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Wi-Fi on the go

http://www.flickr.com/photos/66885056@N00/141398971/

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http://www.carta-bus.org/

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"This is the year" for Wi-Fi on planes, said Jack

Blumenstein, president and CEO of Aircell, whose Gogo®

Inflight Internet service provides access on Delta Air Lines,

American Airlines, AirTran and Virgin America flights, and

will begin testing on United flights later this year. Gogo is

installed on more than 200 commercial planes, and

Blumenstein said he expected 1,200 aircraft to have Gogo

capability by the end of 2009.

Looking for a Wi-Fi hot spot? Try 10,000 feet up

http://www.cnn.com/2009/TRAVEL/business.travel/05/04/airplane.wifi/index.html

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Search vs. Find

http://www.flickr.com/photos/44124466908@N01/422417066/

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I’m searching for something.

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I’ve found it!vs.

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I think I know what they are looking for...

Can we answer the search request in a meaningful way?

YES NO

Give customized experience Show search results

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XHTML & HTML 5

http://www.flickr.com/photos/26325011@N00/490423135/

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Augmented Reality

http://www.wunschfeld.net/blog/2009/03/augmented-reality-based-on-flartoolkit.html

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Augmented (via Mobile)

Augmented (via Games)

Augmented (via Objects)

Augmented (via Projection)

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Augmented (via Mobile)

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http://gizmodo.com/5299581/ibm-seer-augmented-reality-app-ensures-no-confused-android-users-at-wimbledon

“Basically, if you point your phone's

camera at a court, restaurant,

bathroom or parking lot, Seer

should tell you whatever you could

want to know about it.”

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Augmented (via Games)

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Augmented (via Objects)

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Best Buy goes 3D, even augmented

reality isn't safe from advertisinghttp://www.engadget.com/2009/08/06/best-buy-goes-3d-even-augmented-reality-isnt-safe-from-adverti/

http://bestbuyin3d.com/

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Augmented (via Projection)

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Web OS

http://www.flickr.com/photos/52264959@N00/163341454/

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“Google Chrome OS is an open source, lightweight operating

system that will initially be targeted at netbooks. Later this year

we will open-source its code, and netbooks running Google

Chrome OS will be available for consumers in the second half of

2010. Because we're already talking to partners about the project, and we'll soon be working with the open source community, we

wanted to share our vision now so everyone understands what

we are trying to achieve.”

http://googleblog.blogspot.com/2009/07/introducing-google-chrome-os.html

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“Work anywhere with Office Web applications—

the lightweight, Web browser versions of Word,

PowerPoint, Excel and OneNote-that provide

access to documents from anywhere and

preserve the look and feel of a document

regardless of device.”

http://gizmodo.com/5313285/microsoft-office-2010-web-apps-will-be-free-testing-starts-today

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“...Or that webOS development offers a shorter, more gradual

learning curve than other mobile platforms, because it is based on

standard web technologies like HTML, CSS, and JavaScript. And maybe you heard that webOS – through its multitasking and

gesture-based interactions – enables mobile apps to employ an

outstanding user interface.”http://developer.palm.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=1772

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Stuff

Doh!

http://developer.palm.com/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=1772

sorry I took out the cuss words :-/

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Making It Easier On Idiots

“After a while, everybody wanted to be a programmer. Since programming is actually kind of hard, many of these folk landed in

PHP and HTML, hence the explosion of webapps. As such, the

browser became a feeble example of a "runtime".”

http://teddziuba.com/2008/09/a-web-os-are-you-dense.html

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Type on the web

http://www.flickr.com/photos/splorp/429914192/sizes/l/

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twitter

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From this:

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To this:

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http://www.flickr.com/photos/97041449@N00/1467420263/

Went to the gym this morning.

As I left, everyone said I was

the best! http://tweetingtoohard.com/

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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roman_roads

“Roman roads

enabled the

Romans to move

armies and trade

goods and to

communicate

news”

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Social Media Card

http://www.pleaseenjoy.com/project.php?cat=4&subcat=&pid=112&navpoint=1

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http://card.ly/jeremyjohnson

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“...However, Card.ly goes in a different direction. Its goal isn’t just to get you a phone number an an email address, but to create a beautiful, shareable social media card.”

http://mashable.com/2009/08/04/card-ly/

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http://www.meeid.com/jeremy/

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http://www.jeremyjohnson.mp/

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Death of Real Media

http://www.flickr.com/photos/23327787@N08/3064596190/

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MOVIES

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“$0.09 to deliver one HD movie”

http://blog.streamingmedia.com/the_business_of_online_vi/2009/03/estimates-on-what-it-costs-netflixs-to-stream-movies.html

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BOOKS

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http://kindlepop.com/tag/blogs/

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GAMES

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Touch, Holograms, Gestures, and 3D

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Touchable Holography

http://www.alab.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp/~siggraph/09/TouchableHolography/SIGGRAPH09-TH.html

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Touch for the Blind

http://www.etre.com/blog/2009/08/touch_the_invisibles/

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“While it had 25,000 apps in January, that

number has more than doubled: it now has over

65,000 applications. With another five months

to go in 2009, we should see the app count

break 100,000. Seriously, think about how large

that number is.”

http://mashable.com/2009/08/05/flurry-iphone-apps/

http://www.flickr.com/photos/8045053@N08/3508316008/

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Location

http://datenform.de/blog/2007/10/

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Mobile

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“...a new survey, commissioned by Best Buy, indicates

that 6 in 10 Americans (60%) would choose to give

up alcohol for a week if it meant they could hold onto

their mobile phone - a shocking 15% would even opt

to have their teeth drilled in exchange for keeping

their mobile phones in their pockets.”

http://www.intomobile.com/2009/07/01/survey-most-americans-choose-mobile-phone-over-alcohol-dumbfounded-by-smartphones.html

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“The survey also highlights that many Americans

(47%) haven’t yet made the switch to the

smartphone way of life because they’re just too

confused about models and features.”

http://www.intomobile.com/2009/07/01/survey-most-americans-choose-mobile-phone-over-alcohol-dumbfounded-by-smartphones.html

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“..a record-setting 14.4% indicated that a smartphone was

on their list of planned mobile phone purchases in the next

90 days. More impressively, a whopping 44% of those

smartphone buyers plan to plunk down their hard-earned

cash for an iPhone, compared with just 23% planning to

buy a BlackBerry smartphone in the next 90 days.”

http://www.intomobile.com/2009/07/09/apple-iphone-demand-on-the-up-and-up.html

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Odds and Ends

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http://www.babelwith.me/

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“Xerox Corporation scientists have invented a way to make

prints whose images last only a day, so that the paper can

be used again and again.http://designmind.frogdesign.com/blog/erasable-paper.html

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http://tweetingtoohard.com/

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Thanks!@jeremyjohnson @stephenjthomas

http://stephenthomas.comhttp://www.jeremyjohnsononline.com/