2010 Election 2010 Election PreviewPreview

NAM TRIVIANAM TRIVIA

True or False: True or False: No one has ever served in the No one has ever served in the House and Senate, as Vice-President, and House and Senate, as Vice-President, and President.President.

FALSE: FALSE: John Tyler, Andrew Johnson, Lyndon Johnson, and Richard

Nixon all held each position

SenateSenate• Current:Current: 59D – 41R

• In Cycle: In Cycle: 36: 18D – 18R

• Open: Open: 11: 6R – 5D• Status: Status: 18 to Rs; 10 to Ds;

8 Toss-ups (5D; 3R)

Change Today - ArkansasChange Today - Arkansas• Sen. Blanche

Lincoln (D)

• Rep. John Boozman

(R)• Latest poll:

Boozman 48% Lincoln 39%

Rasmussen Reports 3/1/10

Change Today - DelawareChange Today - Delaware• Sen. Ted Kaufman

Open (D)• Rep. Mike Castle (R)• Chris Coons (D)

• Latest poll: Castle 53% Coons 35%

Research 2000; 2/22-24

Change Today – North DakotaChange Today – North Dakota• Sen. Byron Dorgan

Open (D)• Gov. John Hoeven (R)• Tracy Potter (D)

• Latest poll: Hoeven (R) 65% Heitkamp (D) 29%

Rasmussen Reports – 2/9-10

NAM TRIVIANAM TRIVIA

True or False: True or False: Congress once officially declared a Congress once officially declared a former President as “a sworn enemy of the United former President as “a sworn enemy of the United States.”States.”

True: True: After leaving the Presidency, After leaving the Presidency, John Tyler was elected to the Congress of the Confederate States of America, representing Virginia. Upon his election, the US Congress took their action.

House – 1994 vs 2010House – 1994 vs 2010

• Today:Today: 253D – 178R; 4DV

• 1994:1994: 259D – 176R

• R Gain 1994:R Gain 1994: +54

The “Aggregate Vote”The “Aggregate Vote”

HouseHouse• Current:Current: 253D – 178R – 4V

(4D; 0R)

• Open:Open: 39: 20R – 19D

• Status:Status: 237 to Ds; 179 to Rs 19 Toss-ups

House StatsHouse Stats• Toss-ups:Toss-ups: 17D – 2R• D to R: 5D to R: 5: AR-2, LA-3, NY-29, OH-1,

TN-6• R to D: R to D: 2: DE-AL, LA-2• Lean D:Lean D: 31• Lean R:Lean R: 18• Total “In-Play”:Total “In-Play”: 68

House Republican OutlookHouse Republican Outlook

• Relevancy – 200-209200-209; net gain of 22-31

• Parity – 210-217210-217; net gain of 32-39

• Majority – 218218; net gain of 40

• Working Majority – 225225; net gain of 47+

• R Likely Losses – 2; DE-AL; LA-2

NAM TRIVIANAM TRIVIA

Four US Presidents have been assassinated, Four US Presidents have been assassinated, but one person, and only one person, was but one person, and only one person, was present or in close proximity for three of the present or in close proximity for three of the four (not Kennedy). Who is that person?four (not Kennedy). Who is that person?

Hint: It is Hint: It is NOTNOT John Tyler! John Tyler!

Answer: Answer: Robert Todd Lincoln, oldest son of Robert Todd Lincoln, oldest son of President Abraham LincolnPresident Abraham Lincoln

The “Hidden” ElectionThe “Hidden” Election

Partisan Control by Congressional Seats Drawn

GovernorsGovernors

• Current:Current: 26D – 24R

• In Cycle: In Cycle: 37: 19D – 18R

• Open:Open: 23: 12D – 11R

• Likely to Change:Likely to Change: 11 so far

NAM TRIVIANAM TRIVIA

Which of the following Presidents has a living Which of the following Presidents has a living grandson?grandson?

1)1) William McKinley – 1897-1901William McKinley – 1897-1901

2)2) James Garfield – 1881James Garfield – 1881

3)3) Abraham Lincoln – 1861-1865Abraham Lincoln – 1861-1865

4)4) John Tyler – 1841-1845John Tyler – 1841-1845

Answer: Harrison Ruffin Tyler (1928- )Answer: Harrison Ruffin Tyler (1928- )