2010-management science in decision making
TRANSCRIPT
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Total No. of Questions-lO1 lTotal No. of Printed Fages-7 f
MBA-II/5
21orrc
M B A cCIuRSE NO. 203
(Management Science)
Time Allowed: 3 Hours Maximum Marks: 70
Note: Attempt five questions selecting one from each {Jnit.
AII questions carrY equal mnrks.
UMT-Il. For the game having the following payoff tabie, use the
graphical procedure to determine the value of the game and
optimal mixed strategy for each player.
strateev
Flayer 2
123
Player 1
I
2
J
4
I -1 3
041? -? {
-3 6-2
2. What is maximin - rninimax principle? Analyze the process
of determination of saddle point for a game.
{Tum Over
rI
I
*'!il!:qrT(2)
UNIT * II
The ABC fast-food restaurant operates a single * channel
service facility for its cusromers. A single ABC employee
takes a customer's order, determines the total cost of the
order, takes the money from the customer, and then fills the
order. Once a customer's order is filled, the employee takes
the order from the next customer waiting for service. The
Poisson probability disuibution describes rhe cusromer
arrivalS. The mean arrival rate is 0.75 customers per minute.
The exponential probability distriburion describes the service
times. The mean service rate is one flrstorler per minute_ For
economic considerations, A"BC evalunes cuslorner waiting
time at $10 per hour qfrile the sewice channel can be ''t
operated for $7 per hcur-
Management is iuterested in developing a better
understanding. of the operatiag characteristics of the food -service waiting line- Specifically, rnanagement worrld like to
know the probability that no customers are in the system, the
average number of customers waiting for sewice, the average
time a customer waits . for service, the probability that an
arriving customer has to wait, and the hourly cost of the
service operation.
I+.
(r)
lYrite a detail note on the application of queuing theory and
general structure of queuing system. Distinguish between
single and multiple channel waiting lines theory model (8'6)
UNTT _ M
5. A manufacfilrer of jeans is interested in developing an
advertising campaign that will reach four different age
groups. Advertising campaigns can be conducted through
TV, Radio and Magazines. The following table gives the
estimated cost in paise per exposure for each age group
according to the medium employed- In addition, maximum
exposure levels possible in each of the media, namely TV,
Radio, and Magazines are 40, 30,20 mittions respectively'
Also the minimum desired exposures within each age group,
namely 13-18, Ig-25,V6-35,36 and older are 3A,25,15 and
10 millions. The objective is to minimize the cost of attaining
the mininlrm exposure level in eaeh age group. Formulate
the above as transportation problem, and find the optimal
solution.
fTurn Over
6.
Media Age Groups
13-18 19-25 26-35 36 and above
TV t2 7 10 10
Radio l0 9 12 10
Magazines L4 12 9 1Z
Five swimmen are eligible to compete in a relay team which
is to consist of four swimmers swimming 4 different
sr,l'immilrg styles; back stroke, brcast sftoke, free style and
butterfly- Jfos firrE taken for the fwe swirers - Rahul,
Kunal, Sadeep, Deqak d Rdit - b otwer a distance of
100m in various sfyks are gim ltfu in sords' Suggest,
which swimtner should k asigd s rtich swimming
style? Who out of five will not be in.ibf relay? Ignre the
state of affairs if somebody is not participating in arry of the
swimming stYle.
Swimmers'€tYles Back stroke Breast Stoke Free stylt Butterfly
Rahul
Kunal
SandeeP
Deepak
Rophit
69
t:80
75
76
80
76
6i65
6
80
12
7t
70
(5)
UNIT _ iV
7. Innis Investments manages funds forand wearthy crienb. The invesrmel
a number of companies
each o&er crient,s needs. ,o, u o.rtt
strategy is tairored to
aurhorized ,o inu.J;,*l^':: : * client, rnnis has been
*m,*;*..,d,ilT?#f{-",:#fi 'Jof r0%; each unit of the money ,n*rr*o
annuar rate of return
provides an annuai rafe of rctu* o, o
ttt fund cost $100 and
minimize nr* ,*,.", ; -::* or 4 %' The client wants to
income from rhe ,::::-- the requirement that the annuai
to Innis's nr* *ottstmenf be at least $ 60'000' According
rsurement system, each unit invested in thestock fund has a risk index of g' and each unif invested in themoney market fund has a risk iadex ,
index associated ri.irh the stock *no ,uot
3; rhe higher risk
is the riskier jnvest
Ieast g 300000 or r"* Innis's
'""nt l'**l u;ttff;:l'Jvested in the money market fund.
(a) Derermine how many units of each fund Innis shouldpurchase for the client to minimize total risk index forthe porrfoiio.
8.
(6)
(b) How much annual income will this invesment strategy
generate?
Use Simplex Method to solve the followrng L'P'P':
9.
Minimize:
Subject to
'When it is difEcult
solving tectrnique for
simulation'' Discuss'
Z=5x+13Y2x +4Y 112
2x +2Y :10
5x +2Y210 x'Y>0
TINIT-V
ts use an optimization technique for
solving a problem one has to resort to
10. (a)
(b)
Explainbriefly CPM and analyzeits applicauon'
Listed in the tabie are the activitiJs and sequencing
necessary for a maintenance job on the heat exchange
in a refinery' Draw a network diagram of activities for
the Project'
A
B
Disrnantle pipe conaection
ilffi'f*:ater'crosureRemove tube bundjet-tean bolts
Clean heater and flcatingheat front
Clean tube bundle
Clean shell
Rephce fube bundle
Prepare shell pressure test
llif* Tube pressure fesrand reassemble
BB
B
CD
E
F
G
H
I
J
C
C
F,G
D,E,H
(6,8)***8********