2010_valeday_nyse
DESCRIPTION
Vale dayTRANSCRIPT
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1October 18, 2010
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2October 18, 2010
Roger AgnelliChief Executive Officer
The journey to sustainable
value creation
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3This presentation may include declarations about Vale's expectations
regarding future events or results. All declarations based upon future
expectations, rather than historical facts, are subject to various risks and
uncertainties. Vale cannot guarantee that such declarations will prove to
be correct. These risks and uncertainties include factors related to the
following: (a) the countries where Vale operates, mainly Brazil and
Canada; (b) the global economy; (c) capital markets; (d) the mining and
metals businesses and their dependence upon global industrial
production, which is cyclical by nature; and (e) the high degree of global
competition in the markets in which Vale operates. To obtain further
information on factors that may give rise to results different from those
forecast by Vale, please consult the reports filed with the Brazilian
Comisso de Valores Mobilirios (CVM), the French Autorit des Marchs
Financiers (AMF), and with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
(SEC), including Vales most recent Annual Report on Form 20F and its
reports on Form 6K.
Disclaimer
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410th Vale listing anniversary
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25
30
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40
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
US
$
VALE the ADR representative of our common shares - started trading on the NYSE on
Wednesday, March 20, 2002
VALE P
VALEP started trading on the NYSE on
Tuesday, June 20, 2000
June 20, 2000
October 12, 2010
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60
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
VALE P
MSCI metals & mining
MSCI World
It has been one of the best investment options. Each US$ 100,000 invested in VALEP has grown into US$ 1.2 million in October 2010
June 20, 2000
October 12, 2010
100
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7 A promising outlook
Growth and value creation
The quest for sustainability
Agenda
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8A promising outlook
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9-4
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0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010E 2015E
Developed Economies
Emerging Economies
Sources: Vale and IMF
Real GDP growth% annual
Convergence
Emerging economies will continue to be the key engine of global growth, with positive implications for the demand of minerals, metals and fertilizers
Convergence
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10
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
19
90
19
92
19
94
19
96
19
98
20
00
20
02
20
04
20
06
20
08
Emerging Economies
Developed Economies
Steel consumption intensitymetric tons / US$ million of real GDP
Source: World Steel Association, WBMS, IMF and Vale
Intensity of metals consumption in emerging economies is expected to remain high in view of urbanization, industrialization and the rising consumption of consumer durables
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
Iron Ore
Nickel
Copper
Share of emerging economies in global
consumption of metals
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11
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
Brazil
Korea
China
India
Urbanization rate%
Source: UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs, World Urbanization Prospects: the 2009 revision.
Chinas urbanization rate in 2010 is equal to Brazilsposition in the mid 50s and Korea in the early 70s
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1950
1955
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
China
World
Urbanization rate%
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12
In spite of the substantial expansion, there is still room for large flows of infrastructure spending in China
2005 2009 2020F
Expressways (km) 41,000 65,000 100,000
Railways (km) 75,437 86,000 120,000
Airports (number) 140 166 244
F = Target
Sources: NBS, NDRC, CAAC and Ministry of Transport of China
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13
India's ability to improve infrastructure is
critical for the sustainability of its high pace
of economic growth
Indian energy and logistics infrastructure is
inadequate to meet its growth aspirations.
The Indian government intends to double
infrastructure investment to US$ 1 trillion in
2012-2017 from US$ 500 billion in 2007-
2011.
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14
Chinas car industry is already bigger than the US industry. However, the penetration is
still low, indicating a huge growth potential
Passenger cars per 1,000 people
2002
Sources: University of Sheffield, UK and CEIC
36
95
107
120
132
205
428
464
481
World
Mexico
Brazil
Russia
Korea
Japan
Western Europe
US
China 2008
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15
Geological and institutional factors will continue to constrain the supply response to price incentives contributing to lengthen the cycle
Grades are declining while stripping ratios are
increasing.
World-class assets tend to be increasingly dependent on
more complex regions.
Restrictions on environmental permits are a major cause
of project delays.
Natural resources nationalism hampers mining
investment.
Higher taxes are a threat to mining investment.
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16
Growth and value creation
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17
Mineral exploration
Greenfieldprojects
Acquisitions
Brownfieldprojects
Maximizing asset
performance
Our long-term growth strategy embodies a multilane
road to value creation built on discipline in capital
allocation and minimization of cost of capital
Discipline in capital allocation
Existing assets
New assets
ShareholderValue
Portfolio management
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18
Focus on organic growth.
Massive investment in the development of
world-class assets supported by the expansion
of our infrastructure.
Enhancement of competitiveness in the Asian
market.
Development of an asset base in Africa.
Confidence in long-term global fundamentals underlies the continuity of our strategy to deliver strong and steady growth and value
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19
Iron ore & pellets
Nickel
Coal
Copper
Phosphates & Potash
Logistics
Energy
Steel
Brownfield
Greenfield
2010 2012
Developing an exciting pipeline of world-class assets to exploit the opportunities stemming from rapid emerging economies growth
2011 2013 2014
ReferenceUS$ 1 billion
Ona
Puma
Conceio
Itabiritos
Carajs
Additional 30 Mtpy
Teluk Rubiah
Salobo
Tubaro VIII
Estreito
Oman
Bayovar
Karebbe
Long-Harbour
Serra Sul
(S11D)
Rio Colorado
Moatize
Totten
Apolo
Biofuel
Konkola North
Carajs
Additional 20 Mtpy
Tres Valles
Vargem Grande
Itabiritos
Salobo II
CSA
ALPA
CSP
CSU
Total project capex. Vale has a stake of 26.87%.
Total project capex. Vales investment depends on its final stake in the project
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20
Many growth options to feed the project
pipeline in the future
Cristalino
Paulo Afonso
Furnas
Alemo
Salobo III
Polo
Kalumines
118
Neuqun
Carnalita
Regina
Bayovar III
Evate
Moatize II
EagleDowns
Ellensfield
Belvedere
Copper Phosphates Coal
Salitre
Simandou
Iron ore
Malaysia
Potash
Corumb
Visconde
Bayovar II
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21
18 large projects are coming on stream in
2010 - 2012
Cash flow will start to be generated from the
US$ 26 billion of over time in these 18 projects.
The delivery of these projects lays the ground
for building new growth platforms through the
development of low-capex brownfield projects.
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22
Maximizing competitive advantages: boosting
production of high-quality iron ore.
Minimizing competitive disadvantages:
building a low-cost portfolio of maritime
freight and distribution centers.
Changing the game in the Asian market
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23
Carajs and Simandou, the best iron ore
growth platform in the world
Simandou
Carajs
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24
Lower operating costs and superior value-in-
use recognized through price premia.
The use of Vales iron ores and pellets leads
to higher productivity and reduction in fuel
consumption and CO2 emission, addressing
Chinese concerns.
Demand is less sensitive to recessions and
tends to increase with rising needs for
blending.
The focus on high-quality iron ore output
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25
Lower costs and mitigates freight price
volatility for clients.
Portfolio composed of own vessels -
capesizes and VLOCs - and long-term
contracts.
VLOCs, an innovative idea launched by Vale,
will promote a permanent cut in the costs of
Atlantic-Pacific dry bulk shipping.
The build up of a shipping fleet
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26
The construction of Distribution Centers adds
flexibility to our operations, strengthening
competitiveness
Tubaro
San Nicolas
PDM Malaysia
Oman
Guaba
&
Itagua
Low seaborne transit time, inventories synergy and blending flexibility are among the unique
advantages of Vales DCs.
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27
Easy discoveries are gone.
The discovery of new world-class deposits is
increasingly dependent on Africa.
Vale is taking steps to build a large African
asset base.
Africa: the new mining frontier
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28
Simandou
The build up of an efficient logistics
infrastructure to anchor our African bulk
materials assets
Moatize
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29
The quest for sustainability
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30
While the benefits of carbon-based energy use
are current and highly focused, social costs
are delayed and dispersed.
Vale is developing several initiatives to
reconcile short and long term interests,
becoming an agent of global sustainability.
Contributing to global sustainability
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31
Vale has been developing and implementing
several technological solutions in a quest for
continuous improvement of mining
Dry iron ore processing
Truckless mine
Green vessels
Renewable energies
- Biodiesel
- Synthetic diesel
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32
Run of mine
Water
Lump
Sinter feed
Run of mine
Lump
Sinter feed
Conventional wet process
Reduction of water and energy consumption.
Reduction of CO2 emissions.
No need for tailings dam.
Reduction of capex and opex
Tailings
Dry iron ore processing: saving water, an
increasingly scarce resource
Vales dry ore process
Pellet feed
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33
The truckless operation at Serra Sul will mean
a reduction in carbon emissions, higher safety
and forest preservation
Conventional mining
Truckless transportation
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34
Green vessels
Increasing global focus on carbon emissions.
Our 400,000 dwt vessels emit 34% less pollution.
VLOC400,000 dwt
LOA 360m
Capesize170,000 dwt
LOA 288m
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35
GHG emissions reduction
Reduction of 12 millions tons of CO2equivalent in 25 years.
Income generation
Biodiesel
Allows the use of blend B-20 (20% pure biodiesel and 80% regular diesel) from 2014 onwards.
Benefits to about 2,000 families of small producers in the Amazon region.
Creation of over 6,000 direct jobs.
Recovery of degraded areas in the Amazon region.
70,000 ha. of natural forest.
60,000 ha. of palm trees.
Vales solutions for reduction of GHG emissions and carbon sequestration
Vales renewable source of energy - Biodiesel
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36
High carbon feedstock
GasificationFischer Tropsch
SyntheticDiesel
* Under study / ** Demonstration plant under implementation and commercial plant under study
monetization of high ash coal (no commercial use) development of local economy
Coal to liquidsMozambique*
Supply of palm oil** from Vales biodiesel project
Sugar cane bagasse*
Biomass to liquidsBrazil
Output of high value products (synthetic fuels) without increasing agriculture area nor competing with food industry
reduce waste volume in mills use of non recycled waste
Waste to liquidsto be developed
Synthetic diesel is sulfur free.
Ready for carbon sequestration.
Vales renewable sources of energy Synthetic diesel
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37
Installation of wind fences at the port of
Tubaro, Brazil, where we operate seven iron
ore pellet plants.
The wind fences minimize the emissions of up
to 120 km/hour.
Controlling dust pollution: wind fences
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38
Vale protects 10,321 sq km of natural areas in South America, North America, Asia and
Oceania.
These include regions in several forests:
Amazon rainforest
Boreal
Atlantic
New Caledonia
Wellacea
Protecting natural wealth
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39
Capacity to fund social investment through its own
endowment and fund raising with partners.
Capacity to execute projects.
Focus on infrastructure building, human and economic
development, quality of local administration and
management of mining impacts.
2009 investment reached 0.75 % of Vale net revenues,
the highest among global metals and oil companies.
Fundao Vale : one of the largest corporate
foundations in the world
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40
October 18, 2010
Tito MartinsExecutive Officer of Basic
Materials Operations
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41
Our base metals business involves nickel, copper,
aluminum and associated precious metals and
PGMs.
Transfer of interests in aluminum to Norsk Hydro is
expected to be concluded before year-end.
Centred in Toronto, Canada
Introdution
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42
A global network of world-class assets
Principal mines &
operations
Development properties
Other metal
refineries
JV refineries
THOMPSON
SUDBURY
VOISEYS BAY
PTI
VNC
ONA PUMA, SALOBOCRISTALINO, POLO,FURNAS, ALEMAO
PORT COLBORNE
CLYDACH
ACTON
TAIWAN NICKEL
MATSUZAKA
KOREA NICKEL
DALIAN
TRES VALLES
SOSSEGO
KONKOLA
KALUMINES
LONG HARBOUR
PARAGOMINAS
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43
Nickel
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44
An overview
Two broad types of ore (laterite + sulphide) are used to produce nickel with
many different processing options dependant on the ore
There is an increasing shift to laterite ores
Sulphides are typically at the lower end of the cash cost curve
Different end-products can target specific markets; stainless represents 60-
65% of global nickel demand
FeNi, NPI, and some other low grade products target stainless steel;
represents majority of industry growth
Unlike copper, nickel is mostly integrated. 3rd party volumes used as top-up
Sulphide process assets (dealing with 3rd party trade) are generally
controlled by the top 5 producers
Our growth projects will contribute to maintain Vales share in 20% of the
global nickel market.
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45
Carbonyl
Electro
Thompson
SudburyClydach
Matsusaka
KNC
TNRC
Dalian
Tonimet
Utility
VoiseysBay
PTIOnca
Puma
VNCRefinery
Mines
Development properties
FeNiMarketing or JV refinery
A global set of world-class refineries with a
diversified portfolio of high-quality products
for all nickel applications
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46
Current
Sudbury
Voiseys Bay
Thompson
Indonesia (PTI)
Growth
Ona Puma
Vale New Caledonia (VNC)
Vale has a strong platform to grow the nickel
business a balance of sulphide and laterite properties
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47
Vale has worlds largest nickel reserves
2,6
2,8
2,9
4,6
6,4
7,9
Eramet
BHP Billiton
Xstrata
Jinchuan
Norilsk Nickel
Vale
proven and probable reserves in 2009.
Source: Companies reports and Brookhunt, 2009
million metric tons of contained nickel
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48
Norilsk
20,6%
BHP
8,7%Xstrata
7,8%
Jinchuan
7,6%
Other
37,9%
Vale
17,4%
Share of world finished nickel production - 2008
Vale is one of the worlds leading nickel producers
Source: CRU Quarterly Q2 2009
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49
Nickel output from sulphides is generally the lowest
on the cash cost curve2010 cash cost curves
NP
I B
F
Sulphides
NP
I E
AF
Laterite - FeNi
Source: Brookhunt, 2010 Q2
Laterite HPAL,
Caron
US$/lb
million lb
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50
Ensure success of
projects1
The main goal of our nickel business
Reduce sustaining
capital2
Improve cost
efficiency3
Increase production4
Improve price
realization5
Complete and ramp-up of VNC, Ona Puma,
Long Harbour, Karebbe
=> Average gross fixed asset/throughput in 15 50% of 09 figure
Reduce the sustaining capital requirements of the
Canadian operations to 3% of gross fixed assets
Reduce the operating costs of the
Canadian operations by 5% in 15 over 09
Seek production improvements
=> Increase production in Indonesia
Maximize premium and maintain consistency of sales
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51
Integration of the North Atlantic nickel flows
2010
Ni Oxide Sinter
Cobalt
Pellets& Powders
PGMsGold Silver
Copper anodes
Sudbury
minesClarabelle
mill
Copper Cliff
smelter Matteprocessing
Clydach nickel refinery
Copper Cliff nickel refinery
Port Colborne
Acton
Copperconcentrate
CathodeRounds
Thompson
mines Thompson
millThompson
smelter
Thompson
nickel refinery
Voiseys mill
Voiseys Baymine
Copper concentrate
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52
VNC - New Caledonia
Design production of 60ktpa of
nickel.
Ramping-up to full production
has commenced.
Short-term strategy is to
produce an intermediate
product.
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53
Ona Puma - Brazil
Design production rate of
58ktpa nickel as ferronickel.
Commissioning underway with
first production in Q4 2010.
Continuing construction on line
2 with commercial production
in 2011.
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54
Long Harbour - Canada
Construction underway of
nickel concentrate refinery in
Newfoundland.
Design capacity of 50 ktpa
nickel.
Start-up in 2013.
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55
Copper
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56
An overview
In the copper industry the most value adding segment is mining /
concentration because:
The capex per ton in mining is only 50% higher than for smelting /
refinery.
Mining/concentration gets 90% of LME prices (just 10% for smelting /
refinery).
There is no major problem to sell clean concentrates to existing smelters.
The industry is only 46% vertically integrated (in comparison to almost 90%
in nickel).
Declining costs at existing operations and low grades of existing resources
of non developed projects demand high copper prices in the long term.
In addition, TC/RCs are expected to remain low, given the deficit in mine
supply.
Therefore, smelters must specialize in treating concentrates with impurities
in order to compensate for these very low TC/RCs.
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57
Developing our copper business
Executing a pipeline of projects that will take
advantage of potential copper deficits in the
next 5 years.
Acquisitions may be an option to ensure scale
and flexibility.
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58
Tres Valles - Chile
First international greenfield
copper project to be executed by
Vale.
First experience of downstream
and first cathode industrial scale
production.
The project is nearing completion
with commissioning in Q4 2010.
It has an expected lifetime of 11
years, with a production capacity
of 18.5 ktpa of copper cathodes.
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59
Salobo - Brazil
Phase 1 of the Salobo project is
currently under construction.
The start-up for the Phase 1 is
scheduled for Q3 2011with a
design production rate of 100 ktpa
copper in concentrate.
Phase 2 of Salobo will double
copper and gold production and is
expected to be in production from
2013.
A Phase 3 is being considered.
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60
Konkola North - Zambia
Konkola North, located at the north-
western extremity of the Zambian
portion of the Copperbelt.
It was discovered in 1924 and mined
until 1959.
Konkola North will be Vales first
operation in the Copperbelt and is a
JV with African Rainbow Minerals
(ARM).
All licenses and permits have already
been granted.
Design production is 45 ktpa of copper
in concentrate.
Start-up is expected in 2013.
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61
Main projects by horizon and estimated
production capacity
Horizon 1
Horizon 2
2010-2012 2012-2016
Horizon 3
2016 onwards
Tres Valles 18
Salobo I 100
Salobo II 100
Cristalino 100
Konkola North 100
118 Oxide 36
Polo 100
Salobo III 80
Alemo 80
Kalumines 36
Visconde 90
118 Sulphide 36
Furnas 100
Paulo Afonso 160
000 metric tons
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62
October 18, 2010
Eduardo LedshamExecutive Officer of
Exploration, Energy and Projects
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63
Project overview
Project details
Short and medium term action plan
Simandou
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64
Vale will unlock the development of
Simandou Project.
Last high grade iron ore similar to Carajas
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65
Opportunity for Vale
Vale will consolidate its position as main
premium iron ore supplier in the seaborne
market.
Vales technologies and experience in the
implementation of large iron ore projects
will guarantee success of the project.
The current expansion in Carajas will provide
the engineering to support Simandou
The short distance between Brazil and
Guinea/Liberia allows continuous training for
different teams
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66
Simandou project details
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67
Extension:
40km
Average height:
600m
Hematite resources:
2 billion metric tons @ 66% Fe (potential)
Hematite resources:
6 billion metric tons @ 45% Fe (potential)
BSGR drilling campaign
Drillholes : 38
Metters drilled: 6,677m
Average depth: 175m
Access constructed: 70km
Drilling platforms: 9.5km2
Simandou ProjectBlocks 1 & 2 - highlights
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68
2011 feasibility study drilling
campaign (Hematite focus):
Drillholes : 1009
Metters to be drilled: 115,400m
Average depth: 150m
Access to be constructed: 217km
Drilling platforms: 252.3km2
Simandou ProjectBlocks 1 & 2 - highlights
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69
Simandou Project
Blocks 1 & 2 - geology
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70
Simandou ProjectBlocks 1 & 2 - geology
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71
Simandou Project
Blocks 1 & 2 - geology
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72
Simandou Project
Blocks 1 & 2 - geology
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73
Simandou Project
Blocks 1 & 2 open pit mine
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74
Simandou Project
Blocks 1 & 2 dry process
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75
Extension:
10km
Average height:
500m
Hematite resources:
220Mt @ 62% Fe (potential)
Hematite resources:
530Mt @ 45% Fe (potential)
Drilling campaign
Drillholes : 139
Metters drilled: 12,334m
Average depth: 88m
Access constructed: 39km
Drilling platforms: 34.8km2
Simandou Project
Zogota highlights
-
76
2011 drilling campaign:
Drillholes : 305
Metters to be drilled: 28,000m
Average depth: 100m
Access to be constructed: 56km
Drilling platforms: 76.3km2
Simandou Project
Zogota highlights
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77
Zogota projectProcess plant project
-
78
Zogota project
Beneficiation flowsheet
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79
Zogota project
Master plan : hematite final pit and future expansion
-
80
Simandou Project
Liberian logistics corridor
-
81
Simandou Project
Transguinea railway: rehabilitation in progress
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82
Simandou Project
Hematite estimated production
-
83
Action plan finished
Project team organization
Infrastructure Development Agreement (IDA) Liberia
Construction companies bid process for the emergencial works
Drilling companies bid, sampling preparation laboratory bid, sampling assay solution
Drilling camp construction
Basic engineering for Zogota process plant
Action plan in progress
330Km (50% of the total extension) refurbishment of Transguinean railway, for general cargo and passengers
Aerial survey
Environmental studies and licenses
Definition of the VBG new port location
Acquisition of the process plant main equipments
Alternative sources of energy for the Guinean and Liberian operations
Basic engineering for railway
Simandou Project
Short and medium term action plan
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84
Simandou: the largest integrated iron ore mine
and infrastructure project ever developed in Africa
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85
October 18, 2010
Mrio BarbosaExecutive Officer of Fertilizers
-
86
Fertilizers in ValeIndustry perception, perspectives, strategy and initiatives
-
87
Fundamentals are strongFertilizer demand has been boosted by the required increase in
agriculture yields to support continued growth of food production
Population growth
Increasing per capita income and changing diets
Limited Agricultural Resources
- Lower per capita arable land
- Unbalanced soil conditions
- Limited water availability
Climate Changes
-
88
Fundamentals are strongSoil conditions and available land drive fertilizers demand
Source: IFA
Soil Resilience
Soil Performance
-
89
Fundamentals are strongAgricultural land, world grain productivity and fertilizer consumption
0
50
100
150
200
61 64 67 70 73 76 79 82 85 88 91 94 97 00 03 06 09
Fe
rtil
ize
r C
on
su
mp
tio
n (
Mt)
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
Ha
rve
ste
d A
rea
(M
ha
) a
nd
Pro
du
cti
vit
y(k
g/h
a)Harvested Area
Fertilizer Consumption
Grain Productivity
Fertilizer demand is driven by
two main factors.
- Increasing demand for food
as a result of population and
high per capita income
growth.
- Limitation of arable, good-
quality land.
Increase in grain production
depends heavily on higher
agricultural productivity, what
leads to higher dosage of
fertilizer.
Source: IFA
-
90
Fundamentals are strongPace of global demand growth is expected to accelerate in this
decade
0
40
80
120
160
200
61 73 83 89 92 95 98 '01 '04 '07 10 13 16 19
Fe
rtil
ize
r co
nsu
mp
tio
n,
Mt
K2O
P2O5
N
Global fertilizer consumption is
expected to reach ~ 200 Mt by the
end of this decade.
- Global population is estimated to reach
7.7 billion, 1.1% CAGR
- Most refers to urban population, which
has higher dietary standards .
That implies an average 3% CAGR
for the growth of fertilizers demand
the following years.
Emerging countries will lead this
growth and Brazils rate is expected
to keep is 6% aa pace.
Source: IFA
-
91
Fundamentals are strongFertilizer consumption has increased significantly specially in
emerging countries. Brazil presented the highest growth rate among
them in the last two decades
50
100
150
200
250
300
90 92 94 96 98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08
Brazilian Market
World Market
90 00 05 06 08 %
China 27 34 44 46 48 3%
India 13 17 20 22 22 3%
USA 18 19 19 19 19 0%
Brazil 3 7 8 9 9 6%
World 137 137 153 159 160 1%
Source: IFA /ANDA
Fertilizer consumption, Mt Fertilizer consumption, index 1990=100
CAGR
-
92 Source: IFA
0
7000
14000
21000
28000
35000
Chi
na
Indi
aEU
AUE
Bra
sil
Out
ros
Nitrogen consumption
kt of N
0
3000
6000
9000
12000
15000
Chi
na
Indi
aEU
A
Bra
sil
UE
Out
ros
Phosphate consumption
kt of P2O5
0
1500
3000
4500
6000
7500
9000
Chi
na EUA
Bra
sil
UE
Indi
a
Out
ros
Potash consumption
kt of K2O
Fundamentals are strongChina, India, the US, EU and Brazil represent more than 70%
of the total demand for fertilizers
-
93
Fundamentals are strongChina is the main producer of nitrogen (ammonia) and phosphate
(phosphate rock), but its production is mainly consumed internally
32%
9% 8%6% 1%
China Russia India US Brazil
Ammonia production
153 Mt World in 2008
36%
18%
14%
6% 4%
China US Morocco Russia Brazil
Phos rock production
174 Mt World in 2008
33%
19%
15%
11%
2%
Canada Russia Belarus Germany Brazil
KCl production
54 Mt World in 2008
17%15%
13%
6%0%
US Canada Russia S. Arabia Brazil
Sulphur production
48 Mt World in 2008
Source: IFA
-
94
Global trading of fertilizer
94
Origin
Western Canada
Destination
Brazil
Destination
Argentina
Origin
Morocco
Origin
Arab Gulf
Origin
Eastern Europe
Origin
China **
Destination
India
Destination
Southeast Asia
Destination/Origin
US/Mexico
Potash
Phosphate
Dry Nitrogen
UAN (liquid Nitrogen)
* US exports only P. Us is a net importer of N and K. Mexico is a net importer of NPK
** China is the largest producer and consumer of fertilizer. China is the largest producer and a significant exporter of urea.
Source: IFA
-
95
Fundamentals are strongRaw material prices (excluding ammonia) are expected to stabilize in the
near future, and final products still have room to increase more
199233222
278
318
278
323
378
415435
475505
545
102105113
154
195
235
325330365
395420
455
588
522
274
'00 '02 '04 '06 '08 10 12 14 16 18 20
Raw Materials Ammonia FOB
Tampa US$/tBasic Fertilizer UREA Fob
Black Sea US$/t
Nitrogen
117 118118175
210
620
520
420360
440480 480 480480
100
300
500
700
900
'00 '02 '04 '06 '08 10 12 14 16 18 20
Basic Fertilizer KCl Fob Vancouver US$/t
Potash
43 40 434756
262
95 100 110
61
442
36
124147 146
177
216247
930
410
335365
430
467506
546
176
50543850 26
37
329
413
0
200
400
600
800
1000
'00 '02 '04 '06 '08 10 12 14 16 18 20
Raw Materials phosphate
rock Fob Morocco US$/t
Raw Material Sulphur Fob
Vancouver US$/t
Basic Fertilizer MAP Fob
Black Sea US$/t
Phosphates
Source: CRU
-
96
80%
20%
47%
53%
92%
8%
Imports in 2008
Brazilian production in 2008
Phosphate Potash
Source: IFA
Fundamentals are strongBrazil is highly dependent on imported fertilizers
Nitrogen
-
97
KCl consumption
Mt in 2010
Fundamentals are strongVale is the only producer of Potash in Brazil and supplies an average of 10 % of
domestic demand (6.5 Mt KCl in 2010). Agricultural frontiers head to the
northeastern part of the country and total KCl consumption is expected to reach
almost 10 Mt/y by the end of the decade
KCl consumption
Mt in 2020
> 900 > 600 and < 900 > 400 and < 600 > 100 and < 400 < 100
Source: Agroconsult
Taquari-
Vassouras
-
98
> 500
> 300 and < 500
> 200 and < 300
> 100 and < 200
P205 consumption
kt
< 100
Sources: ANDA, Conab, DIFM, Agroconsult
Uberaba
Catalo
Cubato
Guar
Arax
Patos de Minas
Fundamentals are strongP2O5 consumption in Brazil is 3.4 Mt and the projected demand is 4.7 Mt by
the end of the decade. Vale assets supply around 45% of this total and are
well located to support the regions with higher demand and growth potential
-
99
An exciting portfolio of projects and
operations supports Vales growth strategy
PotashPhosphate
Neuqun -
Argentina
Taquari
Vassouras
Carnalita
Evate Mozambique
Bayovar - Peru
Regina -
Canada
Rio Colorado -
Argentina
Vale
Fertilizantes
Vale Fosfatados
Salitre
Anitpolis
Vale
Fosfatados
expansions
Expansion
Bayovar
Regina II -
Canada
-
100
Achievements made through organic growth
and acquisitions have strengthen our
positioning
Acquisition of fertilizer assets.
Start up of Bayovar in July 2010.
Asset integration and
optimization: synergies
assessment and capture already
in place.
Salitre project to be submitted to
Board approval on November
2010.
Evate project under development
Rio Colorado : submission to
Board approval on November
2010.
Carnalita and Regina (Canada)
projects under development.
Phosphate Potash
-
101
and have expanded Vale`s presence in the fertilizer industry
Natural gas
Nafta
Asphalt residue
N
Sulphur
S
Phosphate
rock
P
Potash
K
Ammonia
Nitric
acid
Sulfuric
acid
Phosphoric
acid
Urea
Ammonium
nitrate
Ammonium
sulphate
MAP/DAP
TSP
SSP
KCl
Natu
ral re
so
urc
es
Init
ial in
du
str
iali
zati
on
Fin
al in
du
str
iali
zati
on
Gra
nu
lati
on
an
d b
len
din
g
NP
K
Farm
er
Vale presence
DCP
-
102
Our goal is to become one of the global
leaders in the industry
3,2
3,5
3,5
4,2
4,6
5,5
9,0
9,6
10,5
11,5
16,5
18,2
44,7
CF Industries
Foskor
Ferphos
Kara Tau
Rotem Amfert Negev
Gecopham
Ma'aden
PCS Phosphates
GCT / CPG
JPMC
Vale
Mosaic
OCP 18,9
10,7
9,7
7,0
6,3
6,1
4,3
3,0
2,8
2,4
2,3
1,5
1,2
1,2
1,2
15,1
Intrepid Mining
Mengo Potash Project
Cleveland Potash
Iberpotasas
EuroChem
Arab Potash
Agrium
Qinghai Salt Lake
Dead Sea Works
K+S
Silvinit
Uralkaliy
Belaruskaliy
Vale
Mosaic
PotashCorp
Source: Fertecon, Vale
Potash production capacity 2017 (Mt KCl)Phosphate rock production capacity 2017 (Mt rock)
Note: Considers total capacity of the projects PRC 4.35 Mta, VSP I 2.9 Mta, Carnalita I and II 1.6 Mta, Neuqun 1.0 Mta; UOTV 0.8 Mta
Note: Considers total capacity of the projects Bayovar 3.9 Mta, Bayovar II and III 3.8 Mta, Evate 3.5 Mta, Salitre 2.0 Mta, Anitpolis 0.3 Mta
-
103
Current operations
-
104
KCl production.
Underground mine room and pillar mining.
Estimate production for 2010 ~ 710 kt.
Average KCl grade of 27% (2009).
Life of mine up to 2019.
Potash - Taquari -Vassouras
-
105
Phosphate - Brazil
mines
plants
Arax
Tapira
Cajati
Guar
Uberaba
Catalo
Cubato/Piaaguera
(Mine and Port)
Patos de Minas
Araucria
-
106
Phosphates - Bayovar (Peru)
TonnageGrade
P2O5
Tonage
P2O5
MT % MT
Proven 237.1 17.3 41.0
Probable 1.9 15.9 0.3
Total 239.0 17.2 41.1
Reserves
Located in Piura region in Peru.
World class resource with lowest
cost in phosphate rock
production.
Start up July 10, 2010.
Estimated production of 3.96
Mtpa of phosphate rock to be
reached in 2014.
Life of mine: 27 years.
Potential expansion under
evaluation.
-
107
Port
Storage and conveyor belt
Conveyor belt
Phosphates - Bayovar (Peru)
-
108
Projects in the pipeline
-
109
Potash - Rio Colorado
Located in Mendoza, Argentina
Successful solution mining pilot trials
undertaken
Logistics and natural gas supply had
been set on, mitigating project risk
Proprietary technology defined and
acquired
Life of mine of at least 70 years
Large resource and planned
infrastructure can support further
expansion
Total capacity 4.3 Mt/y
- First phase starting in 2013 and
reaching 2.4 Mt/y by 2016
- Second phase starting in 2017 and
reaching 1.9 Mt/y by 2023
TonnageGrade
P2O5
Tonage
P2O5
MT % MT
Probable 360.8 34.2 123.4
Total 360.8 34.2 123.4
Reserves
-
110
Implementation plan : critical
path to guarantee schedule is
ongoing.
Energy solution: JV 50% Vale to
dedicated gas supply.
Logistic solution: concession
agreement already signed with
Ferrosur.
Permits already granted.
- general for mine and plant.
- electric line.
- port .
Potash - Rio Colorado
La Pampa
Neuqun
Rio Negro
Buenos AiresZapala
. Baha Blanca Port
-
111
Well drilling
Potash - Rio Colorado
-
112
Located in the leading potash
producing province of
Saskatchewan, Canada, with
logistics and infrastructure in place.
Development stage: FEL 1 (to be
concluded in 2010).
Solution mine envisaged.
- 9 new holes drilled in 2009-2010.
- All historic and new holes
intersected the 3 potash beds with
a combined thickness of 20m -
30m.
Resources to produce up 2.9 Mtpa
of KCl/year.
- Start-up in 2015 and reaching full
capacity of 2.9 Mt/y by 2024.
Location
Potash - Regina
-
113
Located in Sergipe, Brazil, near Taquari-Vassouras operations
Solution mining method
Development stage: FEL2 pilot plant operation
with two wells commenced in Aug/08
Test of first layer concluded with good results
Geomechanic tests in progress
Environmental permit granted in April 08, 2010
100% to domestic market.
Gas supply (Long term): contract with Sergas
First phase starting in 2015 and reaching1.2 Mt/y by 2016
Potash - Carnalita
CARNALITA
PROJECT
UOTV
ARACAJU
TMIB
Pilot plant
-
114
Located in Patrocnio/MG, Brazil, in the heart of a fast growing market.
Open pit mine and sulfuric acid, phosphoric acid, MAP, DAP and TSP plants.
Development stage: FEL 3.
Start-up scheduled for 2014.
Board approval in November/2010.
Best practice on project development recognized by IPA (Independent Project
Analysis).
Pilot mining Mine, plant and infrastructure
Phosphate - Salitre
-
115
Northeast Mozambique, 65 km from the port of Nacala
Location
Consists of 3 types of phosphates:
High grade sands: 6Mt @ 20% P2O5
Low grade sands: 54Mt @ 8% P2O5
Hard rock: 208Mt @ 12% P2O5
Development stage: FEL 1
It is strategically located to supply the South and Southeast Asian markets
Phosphate - Evate
-
116
FertilizersSummary of estimated production capacity
Current Additional Total 2017
Potash (KCl)
Phosphates
Ammonia
MAP (high)
0.85 kt/y 10 Mt/t 11 Mt/y
9.2 Mt/y 8.0 Mt/y 17 Mt/y
620 kt/y 0 620 kt/y
1,180 kt/y 1,300 kt/y 2,480 kt/y
TSP (high) 865 kt/y
SSP
Dicalcium
Phosp
Urea
2,500 kt/y
500 kt/y
610 kt/y
670 kt/y 1,535 kt/y
120 kt/y 620 kt/y
0 2,500 kt/y
610 kt/y0
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117
Conclusion
Vale has established a robust platform to build a world-class
fertilizer business.
Strong position in the most important and fast growing
Brazilian market.
Our goal is to become a global leader in fertilizer industry.
Some important issues that should be addressed.
- Define optimal corporate structure for fertilizer assets.
- Integrate and capture synergies from acquired assets .
- Delivery of projects on time and on budget.
- Cost control and operational efficiency.
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118
Vale,
a global leader