2011 census: analysis jon gough office for national statistics

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2011 Census: Analysis Jon Gough Office for National Statistics

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2011 Census: Analysis

Jon Gough

Office for National Statistics

Content

• Overview ONS Census analysis programme- Purpose

• Analysis that will be produced- Types of analysis- Format for analysis

• Dissemination plans- Analytical Centre for the Census

- Joined up approach

Why ONS should do analysis

• To fully exploit the use of the Census data/outputs

• Helping users to understand and interpret Census outputs

• Contextualising Census outputs by incorporating them in topic reports, adding insight to policy and other users

• Ability to analyse data at low levels of detail

• More robust survey outputs

Purpose of the ONS Census Analysis Programme

• Produce more timely analysis– Providing users with a planned & coordinated

release programme that ties in with outputs– Prioritises analyses to meet user needs

• Coordinated approach– Across ONS– Across the UK– External researchers/academics

• Aim to maximise benefits

Analytical Topics

Population

Ethnicity

Identity

Families

Language

Religion

Ageing

Nationality

Qualifications HealthHousing

Migration

Caring

Disability

Labour Market Fertility

Examples of analytical products (1)

Ageing & older people:• Electoral statistics; estimates of the population eligible to vote

and analysis of voter registration rates• Demographic profile and characteristics of older people • Living arrangements of older people (private households and

communal establishments)

Fertility & Families:• Total Fertility Rates for 2011 by mother's country of birth• Analysis by family size• Other analysis of characteristics of children/families/households

Examples of analytical products (2)

International Migration:• comparison of international migration estimates for year to March 2011

with 2011 Census data on address one year ago, & estimates for the past decade with 2011 data on year of arrival

• analysis of the characteristics of both long-term and short-term international migrants

• analysis of residents of communal establishments by country of birth and nationality

• comparison of activity last week with reason for migrating collected in the IPS

Internal Migration:• comparison of internal and cross-border migration estimates by age and

sex

• development of a data visualisation tool that maps internal migration flows

How the analysis will be presented

• Short Stories– Generally based on detailed analysis– Presented so accessible for all users– Data visualisations; infra-graphics; podcasts

• Scholarly Articles– Detailed pieces of analysis

• Reports– Accompany publications– Provide clarification on specific issues

Current analysis plans – how this links to the outputs

• Analysis from 1st outputs release- Update of mid-year estimates & reconciliation report

- Population pyramids

• Analysis from 2nd outputs release- Short stories

• Aim to promote Census outputs & to compare against 2001

• Publication strategy in line with release of outputs

- Regional report highlighting key findings

• Analysis from subsequent outputs release

- More detailed scholarly articles to follow in 2013

- Want flexibility to react to changing priorities

Short story – Example: Workless Households by Regions

Top and bottom three workless areas in the UK, 2011

[email protected]

For a transcript...

Workless households in the UK –August 2012

How the analysis will be disseminated

• Want to promote analysis and stimulate further analysis• easier access for users accessing analysis of Census

data/outputs

• widening the availability and use of analysis, potentially increasing the number of users

• Internal and external analysis

• tool to help coordinate analysis across internal & external areas

• Provide guidance to users on analysis work associated with the census• A forum to encourage discussion with users and producers of

analysis

The User Journey

Questions?

Email: [email protected]