2012 dassault falcon market & compendium worldwide report · pdf...

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2012 Dassault Falcon Market & Compendium Worldwide Report Spirit of St. Louis Airport, 595 Bell Avenue, Suite 100, Chesterfield, MO 63005 Telephone: +1.636.449.2833 Email: [email protected] Annual Report produced by Jeremy R.C. Cox, Vice President JetBrokers, Inc.

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Page 1: 2012 Dassault Falcon Market & Compendium Worldwide Report · PDF file23.11.2012 · 2012 Dassault Falcon Market & Compendium Worldwide Report Spirit of St. Louis Airport, 595 Bell

2012 Dassault Falcon Market & Compendium

Worldwide Report

Spirit of St. Louis Airport, 595 Bell Avenue, Suite 100, Chesterfield, MO 63005 Telephone: +1.636.449.2833 Email: [email protected]

Annual Report produced by Jeremy R.C. Cox, Vice President – JetBrokers, Inc.

Page 2: 2012 Dassault Falcon Market & Compendium Worldwide Report · PDF file23.11.2012 · 2012 Dassault Falcon Market & Compendium Worldwide Report Spirit of St. Louis Airport, 595 Bell

Annual (Late Nov. 2012) Dassault Falcon Market Report

by Jeremy R.C. Cox, Vice President I hope that this Report finds you well? Please call or email me with any comments or input that you may have.

Spirit of St. Louis Airport, 595 Bell Avenue, Suite 100, Chesterfield, MO 63005 Telephone: +1.636.449.2833 Email: [email protected]

Model # For Sale

Change from 2010

% For Sale

Median Fleet Age (Yrs)

Avg. TTAF For Sale

Avg. Ask $ For Sale

Value Trend Since 2011

Used Models Sold

in 2012

Falcon 10/100 34 -2 20 31 8,713 644,000 23

Falcon 20 All 14 -2 8 44 10,695 948,000 5

Falcon 20-5 All 21 -6 19 35 12,207 1,640,000 12

Falcon 200 14 0 42 29 6,791 1,140,000 6

Falcon 50 All 36 -10 16 30 10,004 2,700,000 19

Falcon 50EX 8 -5 8 13 4,405 7,100,000 13

Falcon 2000 21 -5 9 14 4,908 8,800,000 17

Falcon 2000EX/DX/LX

24 +1 10 7 2,521 18,940,000 17

Falcon 900/B/C 34 +1 17 18 7,320 12,000,000 15

Falcon 900EX/DX/LX

28 +9 10 6 4,301 23,275,000 18

Falcon 7X 12 +6 7 5 1,107 40,200,000 4

Model First Qtr Second Qtr Third Qtr Fourth Qtr Total New

Deliveries in 2012 (Nov)

Change from Last Year (2011)

Falcon 2000LX 2 9 2 2 15 +1

Falcon 2000DX 0 0 0 0 0 N.A.

Falcon 900DX 0 0 0 0 0 No change

Falcon 900EX-Easy 1 1 0 0 2 No change

Falcon 900LX 3 2 0 0 5 -2

Falcon 7X 7 14 6 2 29 +2

GRAND TOTALS 13 26 8 4 51 Net = No Change *

New Deliveries in 2012

Used Falcon Market in 2012

*Dassault Falcon Jet reported at their Family Breakfast at this Year’s NBAA in Orlando, did report that 65 New Falcons will be delivered by the end of 2012

Page 3: 2012 Dassault Falcon Market & Compendium Worldwide Report · PDF file23.11.2012 · 2012 Dassault Falcon Market & Compendium Worldwide Report Spirit of St. Louis Airport, 595 Bell

Spirit of St. Louis Airport, 595 Bell Avenue, Suite 100, Chesterfield, MO 63005 Telephone: +1.636.449.2833 Email: [email protected]

Model D.O.C.

$ per hour Range N.M.

T.A.S. Knots

Cabin Size cubic feet

Number of Pax Seats

Fuel Burn Avg. U.S.G.

per Hour

Number Active

Falcon 10/100 2,356 1,550 452 251 6+ 200 166

Falcon 20, D, & E 3,309 1,300 430 700 9 345 137

Falcon 20 F 3,209 1,450 430 700 9 350 45

Falcon 20C/D/E-5 2,818 2,200 455 700 9 235 32

Falcon 20F-5 2,818 2,400 455 700 9 240 76

Falcon 200 3,829 2,315 430 700 9 230 33

Falcon 50 3,207 3,100 460 700 9 340 237

Falcon 50EX 3,043 3,500 460 700 9 330 100

Falcon 2000 2,540 3,000 458 1,024 10+ 266 229

Falcon 2000DX 2,377 3,500 488 1,024 10+ 296 4

Falcon 2000EX/Easy 2,442 3,800 460 1,024 10+ 296 137

Falcon 2000LX 2,297 4,100 488 1,024 10+ 282 109

Falcon 900 3,283 3,800 460 1,267 12+ 350 19

Falcon 900B/C 3,283 3,950 488 1,267 12+ 340 176

Falcon 900DX 3,085 4,100 496 1,267 12+ 340 24

Falcon 900EX/Easy 2,993 4,500 496 1,267 12+ 340 236

Falcon 900LX 2,970 4,400 496 1,267 12+ 340 18

Falcon 7X 3,159 5,700 496 1,500 12+ 350 164

Technical Comparison of the Falcon Fleet

Page 4: 2012 Dassault Falcon Market & Compendium Worldwide Report · PDF file23.11.2012 · 2012 Dassault Falcon Market & Compendium Worldwide Report Spirit of St. Louis Airport, 595 Bell

Spirit of St. Louis Airport, 595 Bell Avenue, Suite 100, Chesterfield, MO 63005 Telephone: +1.636.449.2833 Email: [email protected]

Model Number Built Number Active

(Nov 2012) Net Written-Off

Percentage of Fleet Model Lost

Falcon 10/100 225 166 59 26%

Falcon 20, D, & E 242 137 105 43%

Falcon 20 F 60 45 15 25%

Falcon 20C/D/E/F-5 119 108 11 9%

Falcon 200 33 33 0 0%

Falcon 50/-4/-40 244 237 7 3%

Falcon 50EX 100 100 0 0%

Falcon 2000 230 229 1 0.4%

Falcon 2000DX 4 4 0 0%

Falcon 2000EX/Easy 138 137 1 0.7%

Falcon 2000LX 109 109 0 0%

Falcon 900 19 19 0 0%

Falcon 900B/C 176 176 0 0%

Falcon 900DX 24 24 0 0%

Falcon 900EX/Easy 238 236 2 0.8%

Falcon 900LX 18 18 0 0%

Falcon 7X 164 164 0 0%

TOTAL 2,143 1,942 201 9%

Falcon Fleet Aircraft Written-Off

Current Production Models New Price

Falcon 2000LX $32,300,000 Falcon 900LX $42,400,000 Falcon 7X $52,200,000

Current Production Aircraft

Page 5: 2012 Dassault Falcon Market & Compendium Worldwide Report · PDF file23.11.2012 · 2012 Dassault Falcon Market & Compendium Worldwide Report Spirit of St. Louis Airport, 595 Bell

Spirit of St. Louis Airport, 595 Bell Avenue, Suite 100, Chesterfield, MO 63005 Telephone: +1.636.449.2833 Email: [email protected]

Asia

Australia/Oceania

E. Europe / W. Asia

Mid. East/Africa

N. America

S./C. America

W. Europe

Falcon 10/100

Falcon 20, D, & E

Falcon 20 F

Falcon 20C/D/E/F-5

Falcon 200

Falcon 50/-4/-40

Falcon 50EX Falcon 2000

Falcon 2000DX

Falcon 2000EX/Easy

Falcon 2000LX

Falcon 900

Falcon 900B/C

Falcon 900DX

Falcon 900EX/Easy

Falcon 900LX Falcon

7X

Falcon Fleet divided by Model

Worldwide Distribution of the Falcon Fleet

Page 6: 2012 Dassault Falcon Market & Compendium Worldwide Report · PDF file23.11.2012 · 2012 Dassault Falcon Market & Compendium Worldwide Report Spirit of St. Louis Airport, 595 Bell

Spirit of St. Louis Airport, 595 Bell Avenue, Suite 100, Chesterfield, MO 63005 Telephone: +1.636.449.2833 Email: [email protected]

Residual Value

$(100,000)

$4,900,000

$9,900,000

$14,900,000

$19,900,000

$24,900,000

$29,900,000

$34,900,000

$39,900,000

$44,900,000

$49,900,000

$54,900,000

$59,900,000

$64,900,000

$69,900,000

$74,900,000

$79,900,000

$84,900,000

1st Qtr 01

1st Qtr 02

1st Qtr 03

1st Qtr 04

1st Qtr 05

1st Qtr 06

1st Qtr 07

1st Qtr 08

1st Qtr 09

1st Qtr 10

1st Qtr 11

1st Qtr 12

Blu

e B

oo

k R

etai

l Val

ue

Calendar Period

Dassault Falcon Series - Residual Values Since 2001 (Includes Historical Dow Jones Industrial Average)

Falcon 10

Falcon 20

Falcon 50

Falcon 2000

Falcon 900B

Falcon 7X

Dow Jones Industrial Avg

Page 7: 2012 Dassault Falcon Market & Compendium Worldwide Report · PDF file23.11.2012 · 2012 Dassault Falcon Market & Compendium Worldwide Report Spirit of St. Louis Airport, 595 Bell

Spirit of St. Louis Airport, 595 Bell Avenue, Suite 100, Chesterfield, MO 63005 Telephone: +1.636.449.2833 Email: [email protected]

Nov 23, 2012 Total Business Jets and Turboprops for

Sale = 3880

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

1-M

ar-0

7

1-M

ar-0

8

1-M

ar-0

9

1-M

ar-1

0

1-M

ar-1

1

1-M

ar-1

2

1-M

ar-1

3

Aircraft For Sale

Aircraft For Sale

Page 8: 2012 Dassault Falcon Market & Compendium Worldwide Report · PDF file23.11.2012 · 2012 Dassault Falcon Market & Compendium Worldwide Report Spirit of St. Louis Airport, 595 Bell

Spirit of St. Louis Airport, 595 Bell Avenue, Suite 100, Chesterfield, MO 63005 Telephone: +1.636.449.2833 Email: [email protected]

My Composite Value Index* now remains well below $4.0Mil. U.S.D. *This is a component derived from a composite aircraft value number which has been derived by taking the lowest asking prices, percentage for sale, and days on market numbers for all of the following aircraft: Pilatus PC12, Beechcraft King Air B200, Cessna Citation Jet (525), Cessna Citation Bravo, Bombardier Learjet 60, Hawker 800XP, Cessna Citation XL, Dassault Falcon 50EX, Bombardier Challenger 604, Gulfstream GIVSP and Dassault Falcon 900B.

$-

$1,000,000

$2,000,000

$3,000,000

$4,000,000

$5,000,000

$6,000,000

1-O

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1-N

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10

1-D

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0

1-J

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1

1-F

eb-1

1

1-M

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1

1-A

pr-

11

1-M

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1

1-J

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-11

1-J

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11

1-A

ug-

11

1-S

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1

1-O

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1

1-N

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11

1-D

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1

1-J

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2

1-F

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2

1-M

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2

1-A

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1-M

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1-J

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1-J

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1-A

ug-

12

1-S

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2

1-O

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2

1-N

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12

1-D

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2

Composite Value

23 Nov-2012, $3,204,545

Page 9: 2012 Dassault Falcon Market & Compendium Worldwide Report · PDF file23.11.2012 · 2012 Dassault Falcon Market & Compendium Worldwide Report Spirit of St. Louis Airport, 595 Bell

Spirit of St. Louis Airport, 595 Bell Avenue, Suite 100, Chesterfield, MO 63005 Telephone: +1.636.449.2833 Email: [email protected]

The Cox Index My Index is derived from all of the following Factors:

Total Number of Business Aircraft Worldwide Total Available For Sale Overall Percentage For Sale Average Low Asking Price Percentage of Aircraft For Sale” Number of Days On Market* Dow Jones Industrial Average U.S. Dollar versus IMF Special Drawing Rights (SDR) LIBOR

9/1/11 12/1/11 3/1/12 6/1/12 9/1/12 12/1/12

Page 10: 2012 Dassault Falcon Market & Compendium Worldwide Report · PDF file23.11.2012 · 2012 Dassault Falcon Market & Compendium Worldwide Report Spirit of St. Louis Airport, 595 Bell

Spirit of St. Louis Airport, 595 Bell Avenue, Suite 100, Chesterfield, MO 63005 Telephone: +1.636.449.2833 Email: [email protected]

1-Jan-2010 21-Oct-11 1-April-12 23-Nov-12

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

The

Co

x In

de

x

11-Mar-10

22-Apr-10

10-Jun-10

22-Jul-10

4-Nov-10

30-Dec-10

16-Sep-11

27-Oct-11

14-Dec-11

1-Apr-12

10-Oct-12

23-Nov-12

Cox Index 264 264 266 265 267 269 274 278 277 278 283 281

Dow Jones 211 221 222 218 225 231 236 229 234 246 225 229

Overall Biz-Jet & T/P Market Trend Graph (red) Dow Jones Ind. Avg. Overlay (green)

Long Term Graph

Page 11: 2012 Dassault Falcon Market & Compendium Worldwide Report · PDF file23.11.2012 · 2012 Dassault Falcon Market & Compendium Worldwide Report Spirit of St. Louis Airport, 595 Bell

Spirit of St. Louis Airport, 595 Bell Avenue, Suite 100, Chesterfield, MO 63005 Telephone: +1.636.449.2833 Email: [email protected]

Cox Index

Dollar

Gold

Oil

Commodities Market Values Graph

Page 12: 2012 Dassault Falcon Market & Compendium Worldwide Report · PDF file23.11.2012 · 2012 Dassault Falcon Market & Compendium Worldwide Report Spirit of St. Louis Airport, 595 Bell

Who We Are

Spirit of St. Louis Airport, 595 Bell Avenue, Suite 100, Chesterfield, MO 63005 Telephone: +1.636.449.2833 Email: [email protected]

About JetBrokers, Inc. JetBrokers, Inc. has grown into one of the largest independent, professional Aircraft Brokerage Firms in the World. JetBrokers is staffed with industry professionals that together bring centuries of cumulative aircraft selling experience. Past and present clients include companies that range from Fortune 500 to individual businessmen and women. Many clients are based outside of the United States. JetBrokers has sales offices in St. Louis, Chicago, Austin, Detroit and Europe. Since the company started in 1993, it has successfully closed more than 500 turbine and jet aircraft transactions, in total a combined value close to $1 Billion Dollars. Ten full-time aircraft brokers now staff our six regional offices: KSUS - KDPA - KPTK - KAUS – EGLF – LSGG✈ 2013 will be JetBrokers 20th Anniversary as a Professional Business Aircraft Brokerage. References and a List of Aircraft transacted available upon request.

Page 13: 2012 Dassault Falcon Market & Compendium Worldwide Report · PDF file23.11.2012 · 2012 Dassault Falcon Market & Compendium Worldwide Report Spirit of St. Louis Airport, 595 Bell

Your Own JetBrokers Representative

Spirit of St. Louis Airport, 595 Bell Avenue, Suite 100, Chesterfield, MO 63005 Telephone: +1.636.449.2833 Email: [email protected]

Jeremy R.C. Cox

• Aviation Consultant • Professional Aircraft Broker • Elected Technician of the Royal Aeronautical Society of Great Britain • Commercial and Instrument Rated Pilot • Certified Ag Pilot • Aircraft Delivery Specialist • FAA Certified Airframe and Powerplant Mechanic - with Inspection Authorization • FCC GROL Licensed Operator/Technician (Avionics Tech) • CAA Aircraft Engineering Certificate Holder • Experimental Aircraft Association Technical Counsellor • Gulfstream II/IIB Maintenance Trained/Qualified • Falcon 20 Maintenance Trained/Qualified • Published Aviation Writer • Author of St. Louis Aviation, ISBN #: 9780738584102 Jeremy Cox is the Vice President at JetBrokers, Inc; a professional aircraft sales company. His duties at JetBrokers include acting as a direct interface between aircraft purchasers and sellers, marketplace research, prospecting, technical status/compliance review, pre-purchase inspection monitoring and reporting. In addition to his duties at JetBrokers, Inc. Jeremy is very active in the aviation industry. He currently holds valid A&P IA FCC Licenses and a Commercial and Instrument Ratings. In 1987 Jeremy was elected by the Royal Aeronautical Society as a Technician of the Society. He is on the Board of Directors of the Greater St. Louis Business Aviation Association; a Delegate and Member of the National Business Aviation Association; Member of the Experimental Aircraft Association; and The Aircraft Owners and Pilots Association. Jeremy currently serves as the Past President of the St. Louis Air & Space Museum. Jeremy was formally the Vice President at a St. Louis based full-service FBO and Repair Station, and Aircraft Parts Manufacturing Company. Jeremy’s thirty plus years of diverse technical and operational experience includes North Atlantic aircraft delivery experience, S.T.C. approval processing, government contract negotiation and awards, FAA coordination and extensive maintenance experience on light aircraft through Air Carrier aircraft. Jeremy has been a Director of Maintenance for several different companies and he has been employed by several airframe manufacturers’ independent Service Centres which include Dassault, Gulfstream, Raytheon and Lockheed. He also air-towed targets for the British and NATO fleets prior to immigrating to the United States from Great Britain. He is a dual citizen.

Direct Telephone Number: +1.636.449.2833 Mobile Telephone Number: +1.636.751.3987 Skype Name: jetbroker1965 Company Website: http://jetbrokers.com Email Address: [email protected] Address for Large Files: [email protected] Linked-in Account Name: Jeremy R.C. Cox Twitter Name: JetBrokerJeremy Market Condition Blog: http://jetbroker.wordpress.com Personal Website: http://jeremyrccox.com