2012 presented by jeremy harson beau box commercial real estate
TRANSCRIPT
2012
PRESENTED BY
JEREMY HARSON
Beau Box Commercial Real Estate
• Total of 13,081 units surveyed
• 11,689 units in Lafayette
• 1,392 units represented
within Lafayette Parish
• 80 complexes surveyed
• Approximately 5,000 units
that were not surveyed
• There are an estimated total
or approximately 16,000 apartment
units in Lafayette
SCOPE OF RESEARCH
2012
ECONOMIC INDICATORS
• Problems in Housing Market Sales
• Supply of New Construction
Multi-Family Complexes
• Perceived Economic
Environment Improvements
• Unemployment Rate
(Local & National)
2012
UNEMPLOYMENT TRENDS
Low Unemployment = Low Vacancy
12.0
2005 2006 200920082007 2010 2011
242
563
412
1262
154
310
10.0
8.0
6.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
Lafayette Unemployment
National Unemployment
State Unemployment
Vacancy Rates
2012
OCCUPANCY RATES – ENTIRE MARKET
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
95%
90%
85%
80%
75%
100%
91%
95%
99%
95%
97%
89%
94% 94%
2012
SUPPLY TRENDS
1,000
1,200
1,400
0
200
400
800
600
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
242
563
412
1262
154
310
New Units by Year*
*according to permits issued
2012
SUPPLY TRENDS
$ 50
$ 60
$ 70
$ 0
$ 10
$ 20
$ 40
$ 30
$5
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
$13.4
$47.9
$20.5
$73.8
$14.8
$29.6
Construction Permit Dollars by Year
(Millions)
$ 80
2012
2012
MULTIFAMILY – CLASS A
Distinguishing Factors:
• Age – typically less than 10 years old
• Designed with a community focus
• Gated for security
• Resort-style amenities:
• Business centers
• Washer/dryer hook-ups
• Upgraded appliances
• Enhanced fitness
centers – gymnasiums
• Garages
RENTAL RATES – CLASS A
$ 0
$ 200
$ 400
$ 800
$ 600
$ 1,000
$ 1,200
$ 1,400
$ 1,600
1 Bedroom 2 Bedroom 3 Bedroom
$1,063
$943
$1,314$1,208
$1,344
$1,445
2010 2011
2012
OCCUPANCY – CLASS A
2010
91%
9%
2011
92%
8%
Vacant Occupied
2012
MULTIFAMILY – CLASS B
Distinguishing Factors:
• Age – typically older than 10
years old
• Older facilities with
better locations
• General parking areas
for tenants
• Laundry facilities in
common areas
• Smaller recreational areas
•Amenities:
Covered parking
Fitness centers
Multiple pools
Multiple laundry facilities
2012
$ 500
$ 600
$ 700
$ 800
$ 0
$ 100
$ 200
$ 400
$ 300
1 Bedroom 2 Bedroom 3 Bedroom
$587 $598$686
$696
$892
2010 2011
$ 900
$ 1,000
$926
RENTAL RATES – CLASS B
2012
OCCUPANCY – CLASS B
2010
97%
3%
2011
96%
4%
Vacant Occupied
2012
WHAT’S MOVING?
• University Place Apartments = 192 Units = Sold for $44,792/unit.
• Acadian House Apartments = 261 Units = Sold for $44,828/unit.
• Moss Gardens Apartments = 114 Units = Sold for $26,754/unit.
• Willow Park Apartments = 88 Units = Sold for $30,682/unit.
• Magnolia Apartments = 26 Units = Sold for $41,154/unit.
• South College Gardens = 60 Units = Sold for $41,667/unit
• Himbola Manor Apartments = 136 Units = Listed for $33,088/unit. (Under Contract)
2012
CONCLUSION
• Supply Absorption has been the going theme since 2009
with a sharp increase in Class A units.
• Occupancy levels may actually see an increase for 2012
with the lack of new construction expected to take place.
• While the Mortgage Industry is recovering, it may be some
time before it affects the rental market.
• With unemployment levels expected to stay low due to the
strong state of the oil industry and evolving local economy,
the local rental market looks to remain strong for the short
and mid-term.
2012