20130701 統計論文勉強会 遺伝的差異の定量的解析法

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Early changes of hepatitis B virus quasispecies during lamivudine treatment and the correlation with antiviral efficacy. J Hepatol. 2009 May;50(5):895-905. 20130701 Journal

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Page 1: 20130701 統計論文勉強会 遺伝的差異の定量的解析法

Early changes of hepatitis B virus quasispecies during lamivudine treatment and the correlation with antiviral efficacy.J Hepatol. 2009 May;50(5):895-905.

20130701Journal

Page 2: 20130701 統計論文勉強会 遺伝的差異の定量的解析法

Evaluation of genomic diversity and complexityAdvice on calculation from base frequency data

A viral quasispecies is a group of viruses related by a similar mutation or mutations, competing within a highly mutagenic environment.

Page 3: 20130701 統計論文勉強会 遺伝的差異の定量的解析法

Hepatitis B virus (HBV)

3.2kb, double strand, circular DNA virus.HBV is the second most cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).HCC is the 3rd cause of cancer death in Japan.A nucleoside analog (lamivudine) therapy is available but we often encounter drug-resistance.

Page 4: 20130701 統計論文勉強会 遺伝的差異の定量的解析法

n=25

n=14

n=11

Experimental design and resultBaseline(0 week) 4 weeks

DNA cloning

ResponderLow HBV-DNALow AST, ALT

Non-responderHigh HBV-DNAHigh AST, ALT

???

What dynamic changes could occur during anti-viral therapy?

???

DNA cloning

DNA cloning

Lamivudine (anti-HBV drug)

Page 5: 20130701 統計論文勉強会 遺伝的差異の定量的解析法

n=14

n=11

Experimental design and result4 weeks

ResponderLow HBV-DNALow AST, ALT

Non-responderLow HBV-DNAHigh AST, ALT→ Responders were low

complexity and diversity. Non-responders were high.

↓ Responders were monoclonal. Non-responders were polyclonal.

Page 6: 20130701 統計論文勉強会 遺伝的差異の定量的解析法

Evaluation of quasispecies heterogeneity

complexity diversityShannon entropy (Sn) Genetic distance (d)

Synonymous substitution/site (dS or Ks)Non-Synonymous substitution/site (dN or Ka)

Page 7: 20130701 統計論文勉強会 遺伝的差異の定量的解析法

4/8 2/8 1/8

Evaluation of quasispecies heterogeneity

complexityShannon entropy (Sn)

𝑆𝑛=−∑𝑖

❑ 𝑝𝑖 ln𝑝𝑖

ln𝑁

𝑝𝑖

𝑁Frequency of clones in viral population

Total # of clones

p <- c(1,2,4)/8- sum(log(p)*p)/log(8)[1] 0.4583333

0 ~ monoclonal1~ polyclonal

Page 8: 20130701 統計論文勉強会 遺伝的差異の定量的解析法

Evaluation of quasispecies heterogeneity

diversityGenetic distance (d)Synonymous substitution/site (dS or Ks)Non-Synonymous substitution/site (dN or Ka)

Hamming distance

A A T G C T

A C T G T T Dist 2

Levenshtein distanceA A T G - C T

A C T G G T T

Transversion 1Transition 1Insertion 1(any cost can be set)

Dist 3

Page 9: 20130701 統計論文勉強会 遺伝的差異の定量的解析法

Evaluation of quasispecies heterogeneity

diversityGenetic distance (d)Synonymous substitution/site (dS or Ks)Non-Synonymous substitution/site (dN or Ka)

C G A

C A A

C C A

C T A

G G A

T G A

C G G

C G C

C G T

Arg(R)

Synonymous mutation

Possible dS sitesC G A

1/3 0/3 3/3

MethodsMiyata & YasunagaNei & GojoboriLiMaximum Likelihood

A G A

Page 10: 20130701 統計論文勉強会 遺伝的差異の定量的解析法

Evaluation of quasispecies heterogeneity

diversityGenetic distance (d)Synonymous substitution/site (dS or Ks)Non-Synonymous substitution/site (dN or Ka)

C G A

C A A

C C A

C T A

G G A

T G A

C G G

C G C

C G T

Arg(R)

MethodsMiyata & YasunagaNei & GojoboriLiMaximum Likelihood𝐿0

𝐿2All are non-synonymous.

1/3 is synonymous.

𝐿4𝐴𝑖𝐵𝑖

All are synonymous.

# of transition at

# of transversion atC G A

𝐿4𝐿0𝐿2

𝑑𝑆=𝐿2 𝐴2+𝐿4 𝐴4

𝐿2+𝐿4+𝐵4

𝑑𝑁=𝐿0𝐵0+𝐿2𝐵2

𝐿2+𝐿4+𝐴0

A G A

𝐿𝑖

𝐿𝑖

Synonymous mutation

Page 11: 20130701 統計論文勉強会 遺伝的差異の定量的解析法

Evaluation of quasispecies heterogeneity

diversityGenetic distance (d)Synonymous substitution/site (dS or Ks)Non-Synonymous substitution/site (dN or Ka)

C G A

C A A

C C A

C T A

G G A

T G A

C G G

C G C

C G T

Arg(R)

Synonymous mutation

MethodsMiyata & YasunagaNei & GojoboriLiMaximum Likelihood

𝑞𝑖 , 𝑗={0𝜋 𝑗

𝜋 𝑗𝜅𝜋 𝑗𝜔𝜋 𝑗𝜅𝜔

more than one mutationsynonymous transversion

synonymous transition

nonsynonymous transversionnonsynonymous transition

𝜔=𝑑𝑁𝑑𝑆

𝜅=𝑇 𝑠

𝑇 𝑣

𝑇 𝑠𝑇 𝑣

Transition rateTransversion rate

𝜋 𝑗

𝑞𝑖 , 𝑗Substitution frequency from codon i to j.

Equilibrium frequency of codon j.

𝜒2

𝐿𝑅=2 ln𝐿𝜔𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑚𝑎𝑡𝑒

𝐿𝜔=1

distribution (df=1)

A G A

Page 12: 20130701 統計論文勉強会 遺伝的差異の定量的解析法

Clustering

Sorry!!!

Page 13: 20130701 統計論文勉強会 遺伝的差異の定量的解析法
Page 14: 20130701 統計論文勉強会 遺伝的差異の定量的解析法

n=14

n=11

Experimental design and result4 weeks

ResponderLow HBV-DNALow AST, ALT

Non-responderLow HBV-DNAHigh AST, ALT→ Responders were low

complexity and diversity. Non-responders were high.

↓ Responders were monoclonal. Non-responders were polyclonal.

Page 15: 20130701 統計論文勉強会 遺伝的差異の定量的解析法

Genotype estimation from frequency?

Cloning NGS

4/8 2/8 1/8

A T T G C G A T G C A C T G C T

A T T C G G A T G C G C T G C T

A T T G C G A A G C G C T G C T

?? ?? ??

A T T G C G A T G C A C T G C T

A T T ? ? G A T G C ? C T G C T

A T T G C G A ? G C ? C T G C T

A

G

C

T

0.95

0.05

0.98

0.02

0.90

0.10

Page 16: 20130701 統計論文勉強会 遺伝的差異の定量的解析法

Monte Carlo simulation?

Random samplingGenerate pseudosequenceRare mutation ??Linkage ??

NGS

?? ?? ??

A T T G C G A T G C A C T G C T

A T T ? ? G A T G C ? C T G C T

A T T G C G A ? G C ? C T G C T

A

G

C

T

0.95

0.05

0.98

0.02

0.90

0.10