2014 agm presentation - newstandard.com.au 2014 agm presentation phil thick, managing director ....
TRANSCRIPT
November 2014
2014 AGM presentation Phil Thick, Managing Director
Contents
• Reflection on the past year
• Portfolio overview
• Market conditions
• Future proofing – prudent management
• Corporate growth strategy
• Eagle Ford overview
• Australian assets
• The year ahead
2
Components of 2013 AGM presentation
3
Executing on the plan as presented last year
Reflecting on a transformational year
4
Successful transition from explorer to developer & producer
November 2013
• Focussed on three Western
Australian exploration projects
• Ground floor equity positions (early
mover)
• High risk profile – potential for high
reward
• Attractive energy markets and
pricing, but long dated due to lack
of infrastructure and path to market
• New Standard operating all assets
• Seeking ways to leverage our
assets and skills to add value,
change our risk profile and add
nearer term opportunities to
complement the longer term
Canning and Carnarvon prospects
November 2014
• Diversified three tier portfolio with
exploration, development and production
assets
• Drilled and completed two wells, currently
drilling two more wells
• Average 550 BOEpd production for Sept
quarter 2014
• Refocused strategy and priority on growing
value of US Eagle Ford shale acreage, by
increasing production and reserves
• Enhanced debt facility to drive US operations
• Prime Cooper Basin acreage and
experienced JV partners
• Farm-out process for WA assets underway
• Strict ongoing management of capital
• Commenced trading in US on OTCQX
platform
Portfolio overview
5
Diversified and balanced risk profile
US Assets – Eagle Ford, Texas
5,585 net acres
Acreage located within the volatile oil/oil windows
Seven producing wells
Up to 100 additional well locations identified
South Australian Assets – Cooper Basin
17.5% equity position in PEL 570
Santos (operator) and Drillsearch as partners
Exposure to east coast gas market and LNG export opportunities
Western Australian Assets
100% of 15.6 million acres across the Canning and Carnarvon onshore basins
Seeking partners to fund next stages of exploration and development
Immediate
cashflow and
acreage value
development
Short to mid term
exploration,
appraisal and
development
Long term
exploration
upside
Market conditions
• Collapse in global oil prices with WTI down 30% in only four
months
• Oil & gas sector in Australia has followed with 30 – 40% falls on
average
• Global and US stocks posting similar losses
• Broad range of forecasts from analysts and markets for 2015 oil
prices, but consensus is oil price will appreciate
• NYMEX forward curves are upwards for the first time in a long
time
• Supply to reduce, starting with higher cost producers
• All medium and low cost US shale producers, including New
Standard, well above break-even at US$75 per barrel
6
Oil price drop driving O&G stocks down globally
Share price overview
7
Comparison to four main ASX listed Cooper and US companies
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Pe
rcen
tage
Mo
vem
en
t (%
)
90 Day Relative Share Price Performance
NSE
Drillsearch
Senex
Sundance
Lonestar
Market cap vs valuation metrics
• Recent deals in adjacent Eagle Ford acreage done at $100-120k per flowing BOE
• 500 BOEpd = US$50-60 million (A$57-69 million)
• Recent undeveloped nearby acreage selling for US$2,500-$3,000 per acre
• See-through value on NSE’s 17.5% position in PEL570 A$15-20 million
8
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
NSE market cap NSE 1P reserves NSE 2P reserves
Market cap vs. Reserves valuation (PV10)
*
*Market cap at 6.7c per share
AU
D$
mill
ion
Future proofing – prudent management
• Recognition of tough market conditions
• Reflected in tough management decisions
9
Capital management is #1 priority
Reduce spend and defer commitments pending turnaround of market sentiment
One Eagle Ford well deferred
Stimulation and completion of two current wells put back to Feb 2015
Overheads cut >50%, staff by >60%
Minimise debt draw
Farm-out of Cooper Basin acreage to mostly eliminate
capital commitments
Pursuing farm-out of WA assets to reduce or eliminate capital
commitments
Corporate growth strategy
10
Eagle Ford
Grow the business – Drive the acreage value
Cooper Basin
Minimise spend
Maintain meaningful exposure
Manage commitments
WA Portfolio
No spend
Use large acreage and ownership to maximise value
and protect upside
Accelerate drilling
Increase acreage
Better completions
Increase production
Increase reserves
Reduce costs - higher IRRs
Prudent capital management and cost control will continue to influence the above
growth strategy until market conditions become more favourable
Eagle Ford project overview
11
Operations and growth summary
Operations Reserves growth Cost overview
• Drilled Peeler Ranch-5H
and 6H on time and
under budget
expectations
• Both wells drilled,
fracked and tied into
production
• Added to five producing
wells (now seven wells
generating cashflow)
• Currently drilling Peeler
Ranch-7H & Lagunillas-
3H
• Additional wells
scheduled over the next
six months
• Independent reserves
report significantly
increased reserves
base
• Strategy to drill in
limited reserves
acreage to continually
expand reserves base
and grow acreage value
• Continuing to reduce
spend and enhance
value in drilling and
fracking operations
• Secured enhanced debt
facility with Credit
Suisse for US$45
million
• Wells funded by
combination of existing
capital, revenue and
debt
Eagle Ford growth strategy
12
Core focus on increasing acreage value
Growth strategy Key driver
Accelerate drilling
• Re-commenced active drilling program in Q4 2014
• More wells to be drilled mid 2015
• Use drill rigs/frac equipment for multiple well programs
Increase acreage position
• Work closely with Magnum Hunter to identify additional acreage
opportunities
• Identify acreage that will extend the existing Eagle Ford acreage
positions – to grow reserves base concurrently
Better completions • Type III wells using longer laterals, higher proppant
concentration and more frac stages
Increase production • Prove Type III wells to increase IP’s and EUR’s
Increase reserves
• Target proven plays to build the reserve base
• Drilling on acreage with no reserves base
• Ability to enhance debt position alongside larger reserves base
Reduce costs - higher IRRs • Achieved through lower capital cost of wells and lower ongoing
operating costs , coupled with higher IP’s and EUR’s
Eagle Ford reserves overview
1P (‘000 BOE) 2P (‘000 BOE) 3P (‘000 BOE)
January 2014 1,535 2,677 12,390
September 2014 3,580 4,892 16,450
Increase 133% 83% 33%
13
Significant growth since January 2014 report
• Independent report calculates PV10 value for Eagle Ford reserves net to New
Standard at:
o A$30.8 million for 1P
o A$72.3 million for 2P
o A$148.5 million for 3P
*Reserves as at 30 September 2014 based on NSAI report and as released to the ASX on 28 October 2014
Eagle Ford, Texas – offset operators
14
Peeler Ranch project area
15
Allright project area
16
Driving Eagle Ford value creation
17
Key value drivers for Eagle Ford
• Increase daily production - targeting ~1,500-2,000 Boepd by end 2015
(recent deals valuing production at US$100,000 – US$120,000 per flowing Boepd)
• HBP majority of acreage with only 5 additional wells after current wells, giving full flexibility moving forward
• Increase reserves through more effective wells, longer laterals and more frac stages
• Improve IRR’s through lower capital cost of wells and lower ongoing operating costs
• Build larger acreage position and drilling inventory in proven play
Va
lue
pe
r a
cre
(U
SD
)
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
Initial
transaction
@
USD1,500
Current focus
Prove
production
Increase
reserves
base
Increase
acreage
position
Accelerate
drilling
Increase
reserves
base
HBP all
acreage
Opportunity
to monetise
at >USD25k
per acre
Recent transactions
18
Eagle Ford continues to attract corporate activity
Frac evolution – Atascosa County
19
All frac types – NSE target
20
Efficiency trends
21
22
Australian Assets
Cooper Basin – PEL 570 project
23
New Standard has secured a prime acreage
position within the rapidly emerging Cooper
Basin with proven prospectivity
Cooper Basin snapshot
PEL 570 is in the heart of the Patchawarra Trough
Substantial acreage position in prime location
Highly competent joint venture partners in Santos
Ltd and Drillsearch Energy Ltd
Farm-out to Santos brings Cooper Basin expert as
permit Operator
Reduced exploration expenditure commitments
while retaining exposure to prospective acreage
position
Includes active involvement by experienced partner
Magnum Hunter Resources
The PEL 570 Joint Venture
24
Farm out overview
Joint Venture Partner Pre deal PEL 570
equity
Post deal PEL 570
equity
New Standard Energy Ltd 52.5%* 17.5%
Drillsearch Energy Ltd 47.5% 47.5%
Santos Ltd nil 35%*
• Addition of Santos to PEL 570 JV significantly enhances exploration and
development capability and provides a clear commercialisation pathway
• New Standard will receive a total benefit equivalent to $39.15m and post the cash
consideration, New Standard’s expenditure equates to as little as $3.05m to earn
its 17.5% stake
• Powerful consortium of Santos, Magnum Hunter Resources, New Standard and
Drillsearch
• Santos to assume operatorship of PEL 570, indicating that a collaborative
approach will be pursued in relation to technical and operational input from New
Standard’s partner and major shareholder, Magnum Hunter
*Operator
Western Australia assets – the way forward
The WA assets remain highly prospective and
offer substantial potential upside to NSE and
our partners:
• Huge acreage position > 15 million acres
• Early stage development with a higher risk profile than
more developed basins in Australia (i.e. Cooper Basin)
• Potential resource estimates remain unchanged – the
basins remain highly prospective for onshore
development
• If successful, connection to market is relatively long-
term
New Standard’s aim is to:
• Actively seek partners for its WA assets to share the
risk and reduce capital exposure
• Keep ongoing communications with stakeholders
• Farm-out process has commenced for all acreage
25
The year ahead
26
USA, Eagle Ford Cooper Basin Western Australia
• Drill, complete and bring
into production two
wells in the next four
months
• Drill a further 3 – 6 wells
over the following 12
months
• Grow reserves base
• Release another
independent reserves
report
• Seek opportunities to
grow existing acreage
position
• Work with joint venture
partners to confirm work
program for upcoming
year
• Plan for seismic and
drilling program in
2015/16
• Progress farm-out of
WA asset portfolio,
currently underway
• Minimise costs until new
joint venture partners
secured
Important notice
27
This document has been prepared by New Standard Energy Limited ABN 20 119 323 385 (“New Standard").
This presentation contains certain statements which may constitute "forward-looking statements". It is believed that the
expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable but they may be affected by a variety of variables and changes in
underlying assumptions which could cause actual results or trends to differ materially, including, but not limited to: price
fluctuations, actual demand, currency fluctuations, drilling and production results, reserve and resource estimates, loss of
market, industry competition, environmental risks, physical risks, legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments, economic
and financial market conditions in various countries and regions, political risks, project delays or advancements, approvals
and cost estimates.
All of New Standard’s operations and activities are subject to joint venture, regulatory and other approvals and their timing
and order may also be affected by weather, availability of equipment and materials and land access arrangements, including
native title arrangements. Although New Standard believes that the expectations raised in this presentation are reasonable
there can be no certainty that the events or operations described in this presentation will occur in the timeframe or order
presented or at all.
No representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made by New Standard or any other person that the material
contained in this presentation will be achieved or prove to be correct. Except for statutory liability which cannot be excluded,
each of New Standard, its officers, employees and advisers expressly disclaims any responsibility for the accuracy or
completeness of the material contained in this presentation and excludes all liability whatsoever (including in negligence) for
any loss or damage which may be suffered by any person as a consequence if any information in this presentation or any
error or omission there from. Neither New Standard nor any other person accepts any responsibility to update any person
regarding any inaccuracy, omission or change in information in this presentation or any other information made available to a
person nor any obligation to furnish the person with any further information.
It is not intended as an offer, solicitation or recommendation with respect to the purchase or sale of any securities.
Prospective investors should make their own independent evaluation of an investment in New Standard including without
limitation, seeking professional advice.