2014 bond preview and market conditions

9
Contacts July 24, 2014 City of College Station, Texas Drew Masterson Managing Director 700 Milam Street, Suite 500 Houston, Texas 77002 713.654.8654 [email protected] 2014 Bond Preview and Market Conditions Kristin Garcia Blomquist Associate 700 Milam Street, Suite 500 Houston, Texas 77002 713.654.8675 [email protected] Christine Crotwell Assistant Vice President 700 Milam Street, Suite 500 Houston, Texas 77002 713.654.8636 [email protected]

Upload: city-of-college-station

Post on 07-May-2015

768 views

Category:

Government & Nonprofit


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: 2014 Bond Preview and Market Conditions

Contacts

July 24, 2014 City of College Station, Texas

Drew Masterson

Managing Director

700 Milam Street, Suite 500

Houston, Texas 77002

713.654.8654

[email protected]

2014 Bond Preview and Market Conditions

Kristin Garcia Blomquist

Associate

700 Milam Street, Suite 500

Houston, Texas 77002

713.654.8675

[email protected]

Christine Crotwell

Assistant Vice President

700 Milam Street, Suite 500

Houston, Texas 77002

713.654.8636

[email protected]

Page 2: 2014 Bond Preview and Market Conditions

Member FINRA & SIPC © 2013

First Southwest Company

CI

TY

O

F

CO

LL

EG

E

ST

AT

IO

N

Summary of Preliminary Numbers

3

Over the past month, the municipal has been volatile but has ultimately moved in our favor. Rates decreased roughly 12 basis points since our last set of preliminary numbers.

Par Amount All-in TIC

Average Debt Service

GO New Money………………………………………………………12,025,000$ 3.467% 947,635$ GO Refunding………………………………………………………23,025,000 2.500% 2,491,540 Total GO and Refunding Bonds……………………………..35,050,000$ 3.000% 3,439,175$

Total Certificates………………………………………………………34,015,000$ 3.341% 2,580,765$

Par Amount All-in TIC

Average Debt Service

GO New Money………………………………………………………12,190,000$ 3.602% 958,699$ GO Refunding………………………………………………………20,435,000 2.677% 2,257,209 Total GO and Refunding Bonds……………………………..32,625,000$ 3.127% 3,215,908$

Total Certificates………………………………………………………34,485,000$ 3.479% 2,609,652$

Preliminary Statistics - Rates as of June 12, 2014

Preliminary Statistics - Rates as of July 22, 2014

Page 3: 2014 Bond Preview and Market Conditions

Member FINRA & SIPC © 2013

First Southwest Company

CI

TY

O

F

CO

LL

EG

E

ST

AT

IO

N

Summary of Refunding Statistics

4

6/12/2014 7/22/2014

Refunding Par Amount…………………………………………………………………..20,435,000$ 23,055,000$

Gross Savings (2015-2026)…………………………………………………………………..2,591,859$ 2,857,505$ Net Present Value (NPV) Savings…………………………………………………………………..2,158,950$ 2,437,431$ Average Annual Savings (2015-2026)…………………………………………………………………..129,593$ 142,875$ Net PV Savings as a % of Refunded Bonds…………………………………………………………………..9.52% 9.51%

All-in True Interest Cost…………………………………………………………………..2.677% 2.500%Average Coupon of Refunded Bonds………………………… 4.927% 4.622%Negative Arbitrage…………………………………………………………………..218,428$ 221,339$ Negative Arbitrage as % of NPV Savings………………………..10.117% 9.081%

GO Refunding Statistics

Page 4: 2014 Bond Preview and Market Conditions

Member FINRA & SIPC © 2013

First Southwest Company

CI

TY

O

F

CO

LL

EG

E

ST

AT

IO

N

Summary of Proposed Refunded Bonds

5

Principal Amount Maturities InterestSeries to be Refunded* Refunded Call Date Rates

Certificates of Obligation, Series 2006 4,660,000$ 2016-2026 2/15/2015 4.375%-4.750%General Obligation Improvement Bonds, Series 2006 4,600,000 2016-2026 2/15/2015 4.375%-4.750%

Total General Obligation Debt to be Refunded 9,260,000$

Principal Amount Maturities InterestSeries to be Refunded* Refunded Call Date Rates

Utility System Revenue Refunding Bonds, Series 2005A 4,830,000$ 2015-2018 9/11/2014 4.000%-5.250%Utility System Revenue Bonds, Series 2006 11,535,000 2016-2026 2/1/2015 4.375%-4.750%

Total Utility System Revenue Debt to be Refunded 16,365,000$

Total Outstanding Debt to be Refunded 25,625,000$ Average Rate: 4.622%

General Obligation Refunding Candidates

Utility System Refunding Candidates

Page 5: 2014 Bond Preview and Market Conditions

Member FINRA & SIPC © 2013

First Southwest Company

CI

TY

O

F

CO

LL

EG

E

ST

AT

IO

N

Timeline

6

Completion Date Event Responsibility

Thu - Jun 12       City Council Meeting: Authorize Publication of Notice of Intent for Certificates

FWG

Thu - Jun 19       Publish First Notice of Intent for Certificates BC

Thu - Jun 26       Publish Second Notice of Intent for Certificates BC

Thu - Jul 3       Distribute Underwriter RFP FA

Week of July 14       Rating Calls FWG

Thu - Jul 17       Underwriter RFP Responses Due UW

Thu - Jul 24       City Council Meeting: Approve sale parameters, appoint Paying Agent/Registrar and appoint Underwriters, adopt Ordinances and authorize preparation of Official Statement.

City

Fri - Aug 1       Receive Ratings FWG

Tue - Aug 5       Due Diligence Call with UW Counsel FWG

Thu - Aug 7       Post electronic POS FA

Thu - Aug 14       ***Potential Pricing Date*** Pricing Officer Awards Bonds and Certificates to Underwriters

City

Fri - Aug 22       Print and mail OS FA

Thu - Sep 11       Closing FWG, UW

S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S S M T W T F S1 2 3 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 3 4 5 1 2

4 5 6 7 8 9 10 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 3 4 5 6 7 8 911 12 13 14 15 16 17 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 10 11 12 13 14 15 1618 19 20 21 22 23 24 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 17 18 19 20 21 22 2325 26 27 28 29 30 31 29 30 27 28 29 30 31 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

31

Council Meeting Holiday

May-14 June-14 July-14 August-14

Page 6: 2014 Bond Preview and Market Conditions

Member FINRA & SIPC © 2013

First Southwest Company

CI

TY

O

F

CO

LL

EG

E

ST

AT

IO

N

City: City of College Station

Financial Advisor: First Southwest Company

Bond Counsel: McCall Parkhurst

Underwriter: Raymond James

RBC Capital Markets

BOSC Inc.

Robert W. Baird

Underwriter’s Counsel: TBD

Finance Team

7

Page 7: 2014 Bond Preview and Market Conditions

Member FINRA & SIPC © 2013

First Southwest Company

CI

TY

O

F

CO

LL

EG

E

ST

AT

IO

N

Recipients: Winners from competitive sales in 2010 and 2011 plus unsolicited proposals in 2014.

Underwriter Request for Proposals Recipients

8

Competitive Sales:

– BOSC

– FTN Financial (no response to RFP)

– JP Morgan (no response to RFP)

– UBS

Unsolicited proposals:

– BOSC

– Piper Jaffray

– RBC

– RW Baird

– George K. Baum

Page 8: 2014 Bond Preview and Market Conditions

Member FINRA & SIPC © 2013

First Southwest Company

CI

TY

O

F

CO

LL

EG

E

ST

AT

IO

N

Criteria:

– Takedown (Commission) (points ranked 0-8)

– Number of Brokers in Texas (points ranked 0-8)

– Number of Brokers in College Station area (points 4 points for representation)

– Texas Experience: Texas city issues, full credit to senior managers for the most recent two years based on total par amount (points ranked 0-8)

– Unsolicited Proposals (4 points)

– Competitive Sales: Full credit to senior manager for 2010 and 2011 College Station issues (4 points)

Underwriter Request for Proposals Criteria

9

Page 9: 2014 Bond Preview and Market Conditions

Member FINRA & SIPC © 2013

First Southwest Company

CI

TY

O

F

CO

LL

EG

E

ST

AT

IO

N

Summary of Underwriter Request for Proposal

10

Brokers in Comp.College Unsolicited Sale

Station Proposals Winners(2)

Average No. Amount Point OverallFirm Takedown Rank Points Rep. Rank Points Points (in millions) Rank Points Points Points Total RankRaymond James 2.8675 1 8 531 1 8 4 1,341.77$ 1 8 28.0 1RBC Capital Markets 2.9258 2 7 130 2 7 1,049.36 2 7 4 25.0 2BOSC, Inc. 3.1316 7 2 57 3 6 540.92 4 5 4 4 21.0 3Robert W. Baird 3.0086 3 6 40 5 4 777.39 3 6 4 20.0 4

Piper Jaffray and Co. 3.0175 4 5 2 8 1 485.23 5 4 4 14.0 5Coastal Securities, Inc. 3.0498 6 3 42 4 5 148.98 7 2 10.0 6Stifel Nicolaus & Company, Inc. 3.0350 5 4 39 6 3 433.77 6 3 10.0 6George K. Baum and Co. 3.5067 8 1 0 9 0 3.90 9 0 4 5.0 8Stephens Inc. 3.5097 9 0 21 7 2 70.07 8 1 3.0 9

(1) Data from Ipreo's Muni-analytics for7/18/2012 - 7/17/2014. Data on Texas Underwriting experience with full credit of par amount acting as senior book runner.(2) Competitive winners since 2010

in TexasAverage Takedown Texas Volume(1)

City of College Station, TexasUnderwriter RFP Results

General Obligation Improvement & Refunding Bonds, Series 2014Certificates of Obligation, Series 2014

No. of Brokers