2014 profile of international home buying activity summary of report at
TRANSCRIPT
2014 Profile of International Home Buying ActivitySummary of Report at
http://www.realtor.org/reports/profile-of-international-home-buying-activity
Lawrence Yun, Senior Vice President & Chief EconomistJed Smith, Managing Director, Quantitative Research
Gay Cororaton, Research Economist
Dollar Volume Sales to International BuyersApproximately 7 Percent of Total Market Dollars
Increases in 2014 Due to Rising Prices and Volumes
2011 2012 2013 2014
$ 66.4
$ 82.5
$68.2
$92.2
Estimated Sales Dollar Volume of U.S. Residential Property to Foreign Buyers ( in Billion Dollars)
Estimate is for 12 month period April 2013 - March 2014.
Sales to Foreigners: Modest GrowthApproximately 5 percent of Total Residential Transactions
2010 2011 2012 2013 20140
1000000
2000000
3000000
4000000
5000000
6000000
Domestic International
International Buyers: 7% of $1.2 Trillion MarketFive Countries: 54 Percent of Total International Sales
Sales ($) % Share Sales ($) % Share Canada $11.8 17% $13.8 15%China $12.8 19% $22.0 24%Mexico $3.6 5% $4.5 5%India $3.9 6% $5.8 6%United Kingdom $4.2 6% $5.8 6%
Total International Sales $68.2 $92.2
Estimate of International Sales from Major Buyers
2013 2014 ( In Billion Dollars)
Canada Leads in Number of TransactionsChina Leads in Dollar VolumeCanada: $13.8 Billion; China: $22 Billion
Brazil Canada China* France Germany India Japan Mexico Russia United King-dom
2010 0.01 0.23 0.09 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.01 0.1 0.03 0.09
2011 0.03 0.23 0.09 0.04 0.04 0.07 0.02 0.07 0.01 0.07
2012 0.03 0.24 0.12 0.03 0.03 0.06 0.01 0.08 0.02 0.06
2013 0.0197044334975369
0.22824302134647
0.119868637110016
0.0197044334975369
0.0311986863711002
0.0541871921182266
0.00821018062397373
0.0821018062397373
0.0164203612479475
0.049
2014 0.021 0.188 0.164901664145235
0.021 0.032 0.054 0.02 0.086 0.012 0.05
3%
8%
13%
18%
23%
28%
Distribution of International Transactions by Country of Origin
Foreign Purchasers: Geographic Preferences
Canadians: Las Vegas, Detroit, Los Angeles, Ft. Lauderdale, Miami, Orlando
Florida Arizona California Texas Washington Other States
40%
23%
10%
3% 3%
21%
Canadian Home Buyer Preferences Percent Distribution of Total Canadian
Purchases
Chinese: Los Angeles, San Francisco, Irvine, New York, Las Vegas
California Washington New York Pennsylvania Texas Other States
35%
9%7% 6% 6%
36%
Chinese Home Buyer PreferencesPercent Distribution of Total Chinese Purchases
Foreign Purchasers: Geographic Preferences
Indians: Los Angeles, Las Vegas, Chicago, Dallas, New York
California Illinois Pennsylvania Texas Arizona Other States
17%
8% 8% 8%6%
53%
Indian Home Buyer PreferencesPercent Distribution of Total Indian Purchases
U.K.: Los Angeles, Orlando, Houston, Las Vegas, Kissimmee
Florida California Texas Maine Maryland Other States
45%
12%9%
6% 6%
21%
U.K. Home Buyer PreferencesPercent Distribution of Total U.K. Purchases
Florida Popular with Latin Americans, Canadians, and Europeans
Africa Asia/Oceania Europe Latin America (inc Mexico)
North America (exc Mexico)
Middle East Unknown
1%
8%
28%26%
34%
3% 2%
Distribution of International Clients Purchasingin Florida
California: Popular with Asians and Canadians
Africa Asia/Oceania Europe Latin America (inc Mexico)
North America (exc Mexico)
Middle East Unknown
0%
62%
16%
4%
13%
1%3%
Region of Origin of International Clients Purchasingin California
Arizona: Particularly Popular with Canadians
Africa Asia/Oceania Europe Latin America (inc Mexico)
North America (exc Mexico)
Middle East Unknown
0%
11%8%
3%
74%
3% 3%
Region of Origin of International Clients Purchasingin Arizona
Texas: Popular with Latin Americans, Particularly Mexicans
Africa Asia/Oceania Europe Latin America (inc Mexico)
North America (exc Mexico)
Middle East Unknown
4%
18%
9%
59%
5%3% 3%
Region of Origin of International Clients Purchasingin Texas
Foreign Sales Tend to be at Higher End of Market
Mean Price Median PriceU.S. Existing Home Sales $247,417 $201,700International Sales $396,180 $268,284
Average Mean and Median Prices from April 2013-March 2014
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20140%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
51%56% 54%
45%54%
46%
30%28% 28%
30%
23%29%
12% 10% 13%15%
15%16%
7% 7% 5% 10% 7% 9%
Purchase Price(Percentage Distribution)
up to $250,000 $250,001 to $500,000$500,001 to $ 1M $ 1M up
Perc
enta
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f Res
pond
ents
With
Clie
nts
Prices Paid by Buyers Vary by Country of Origin
Canada China India Mexico United Kingdom
Median Price 212500 523148.148148148 342857.142857143 141071.428571429 350000
Mean Price 314717.741935484 590825.688073395 459027.777777778 224122.807017544 499242.424242424
$50,000
$150,000
$250,000
$350,000
$450,000
$550,000
$650,000
Purchase Prices of Top 5 International Homebuying Countries Based on Reported Transactions from Apr 2013-Mar 2014
Cash Sales Are in the Majority
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20140%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
28%43%
46%
55% 62% 62% 63% 60%
69%54%
52%44%
36% 37% 35% 38%
Type of Financing(Percentage Distribution)
All cash (no mortgage financing) With mortgage financing Don't know
Perc
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f Res
pond
ents
With
Clie
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Foreigners Buy for a Variety of Reasons
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20140%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
20% 18% 21% 21% 22% 25%
32%29% 27% 31% 31% 31%
40% 45% 43% 40% 39% 37%
8% 8% 9% 8% 8% 7%
Most Important Factor Influencing Purchase(Percentage Distribution )
U.S. real estate is viewed as a secure investment. U.S. real estate is viewed as profitable investment. U.S. is viewed as a desirable location.
Other
Perc
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f Res
pond
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With
Clie
nts
Not All Potential Foreign Clients Purchase a HouseForeigners Don’t Buy for a Variety of Reasons
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20140%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
10%18% 21% 26% 24% 25%1%2% 1%
1% 1% 2%30%26%
28%33%
29% 30%9%
8%8%
6%7% 9%21%
25% 22%18% 21% 19%
28% 21% 20% 16% 17% 16%
Reasons for Not Buying(Percentage Distribution )
Could not find a property to purchase Loss of home country benefits Cost/taxes/ insurance Immigration laws Financing issues
Other
Perc
enta
ge o
f Res
pons
es
International Sales Tend to be Concentrated in Real Estate Practices
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 201480%82%84%86%88%90%92%94%96%98%
100%
91% 91%87% 88% 87% 88%
6% 6%9% 8% 9% 8%
3% 4% 4% 5% 4% 4%
Number of International Clients, Whether or Not Client Purchased a Property (Percentage Distribution)
1 to 5 6 to 10 11 or more
Perc
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f Res
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With
Cl
ient
s
Transactions Tend to be Concentrated in Specialists28 Percent of REALTORS® Have More than 10 Percent of Their Business with
International Clients
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20140%
10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
34%24% 22% 21% 16% 18%
49%54% 51% 52% 58% 54%
17% 22% 27% 27% 26% 28%
Percent of Transactions with International Clients for REALTORS® with International Clients(Percentage Distribution)
0% 1 to 10% more than 10%
Perc
enta
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f Res
pond
ents
With
Cl
ient
s
REALTORS® Have Both Resident and Non-Resident Clients
2010 2011 2012 2013 20140%
10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
41% 44% 38% 38% 35%
38% 33% 37% 36% 34%
21% 23% 25% 26% 30%
Types of International Clients(Percentage Distribution)
TypeA (Foreign Client) TypeB (Recent Immigrant) Both Types
Steady Net Growth in Number of Clients
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20140%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
15% 19% 19% 18% 21% 20%
57%56%
53% 55%53%
48%
9%10%
9% 9% 7%6%
19% 15% 19% 17% 19%26%
Change in International Clients: Past 5 Years(Percentage Distribution )
Increased Stayed about the same Decreased Not applicable, have been in business less than 5 years
Perc
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With
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2014 Profile of International Home Buying ActivityMajor Conclusions
• International Sales a Niche Market.– 7 Percent of total U.S. Home Sales by Dollar Volume.– Slow Growth/Varies from Year to Year.– Specialized Experience in Serving Buy-Side Important: Knowledge of language, customs,
culture necessary in serving clients.• A Concentrated Market.
– States: 55 percent of Transactions Concentrated in Florida, California, Texas, and Arizona.– Countries: 54 percent of Transactions by Nationals from Canada China, India, Mexico, U.K.
• International Buyers are Diverse.– Motivations include investment, personal use (permanent or vacation), asset diversification.
• International Buyers Need Assistance.– U.S. real estate Practices Differ from Foreign Practices– Cultural as Well as Day-to-Day Differences Between U.S. and Other Countries.
• Sources of Clients– Generally Through Referral.– Websites Also a Source.