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Page 1: 2015-16 Budget Overview, May 12, 2015 · Overview 2 Budget at a glance We are building on our strong foundations with a responsible Budget focused on small business, better child

Overview12 May 2015

Page 2: 2015-16 Budget Overview, May 12, 2015 · Overview 2 Budget at a glance We are building on our strong foundations with a responsible Budget focused on small business, better child

© Commonwealth of Australia 2015

ISBN 978-1-925220-53-7

This publication is available for your use under a Creative Commons BY Attribution 3.0 Australia licence, with the exception of the Commonwealth Coat of Arms, third party content and where otherwise stated. The full licence terms are available from http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/au/legalcode.

Use of Commonwealth of Australia material under a Creative Commons BY Attribution 3.0 Australia licence requires you to attribute the work (but not in any way that suggests that the Commonwealth of Australia endorses you or your use of the work).

Commonwealth of Australia material used ‘as supplied’

Provided you have not modified or transformed Commonwealth of Australia material in any way including, for example, by changing the Commonwealth of Australia text; calculating percentage changes; graphing or charting data; or deriving new statistics from published Commonwealth of Australia statistics — then Commonwealth of Australia prefers the following attribution:

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Derivative material

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Based on Commonwealth of Australia data

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Other Uses

Inquiries regarding this licence and any other use of this document are welcome at:

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A copy of this document is available on the central Budget website at: www.budget.gov.au.

Printed by CanPrint Communications Pty Ltd

Page 3: 2015-16 Budget Overview, May 12, 2015 · Overview 2 Budget at a glance We are building on our strong foundations with a responsible Budget focused on small business, better child

ContentsBudget at a glance 2

Preparing for future challenges 3

Economic outlook 4

Impact of iron ore on tax revenue 5

Credible path to surplus 6

Growing jobs and small business 7

Accelerated depreciation 8

Supporting small business growth 9

Helping Australians into work 10

A brighter future for Australian families 11

Access to quality care for families in need 12

Universal access to preschool 13

Healthy families and flexible care 14

Strong on multinational tax integrity 15

Making the tax system fairer 16

Reforming foreign investment 17

Fairness of benefits 18

Keeping Australia safe 19

Investigating threats 20

Connecting Australians 21

Paving the way to prosperity 22

A vision for the north and our regions 23

Helping farmers in drought 24

Australia’s free trade agreements 25

Strengthening health and aged care 26

A fairer pension system 27

Your Government online 28

Appendix A Budget aggregates 29

Appendix B Revenue and spending 30

Appendix C 2015-16 support for households 31

Appendix D Major initiatives 33

Appendix E Major savings 34

Appendix F Child care fee assistance 35

Appendix G Detailed economic forecasts 36

Appendix H Historical budget and net financial worth data 37

Page 4: 2015-16 Budget Overview, May 12, 2015 · Overview 2 Budget at a glance We are building on our strong foundations with a responsible Budget focused on small business, better child

The 2015 Budget boosts jobs, growth and opportunity• WearebuildingonourstrongfoundationswitharesponsibleBudgetfocusedonsmallbusiness,betterchildcare

andmeasuresthatimprovefairness.

Growing jobs and small business - $5.5 billion including $5 billion of tax relief

• Supportingsmallbusinesses,withannualturnoverunder$2million,bycuttingsmallcompanies’taxrateby1.5percentandgivinga5percenttaxdiscounttosmallunincorporatedbusinesses.

• Encouraginginvestmentbyallowingsmallbusinessestoimmediatelydeducteachassetcostingunder$20,000thatispurchasedbetweenBudgetnightand30June2017.

• Reducingredtapeandunnecessaryregulationforsmallbusinesses,andsupportingstart-upsandentrepreneurship.

• Providingtargetedsupportforyoungpeoplewhohavedisengagedfromworkandstudyandareatriskoflong-termwelfaredependency.

Supporting Australian families – a $4.4 billion funding boost

• Deliveringa$3.5billionreformpackagetomakechildcaresimpler,moreaffordable,accessibleandflexible,tosupportworkforceparticipation.

• Investing$843millioninpreschoolprogrammes,toensurechildrenhaveastrongstartandabrightfuture.

• IntroducingaChildCareSafetyNettoprovidetargetedassistanceforgenuinelydisadvantagedorvulnerablefamilies.

• Atwoyeartrialofsupportforeligiblefamiliesusingnannies.

Ensuring fairness of tax and benefits

• EnsuringgreaterfairnessinAustralia’staxsystembyimplementingtheMultinationalAntiAvoidanceLawtostopcompaniesartificiallyavoidingtax,andactioningkeyrecommendationsoftheG20/OECDBaseErosionandProfitShiftingActionPlan.

• Improvingthefairnessofthetaxsystembyfightingfinancialcrime,extendingtheATO’sGSTcomplianceprogrammeandcappingexcessiveuseofsalarysacrificed‘mealentertainment’benefits.

• Strengtheningtheforeigninvestmentframeworktoensureinvestorsplaybytherulesandthatforeigninvestmentisalwaysinournationalinterest.

• Improvingthefairnessofbenefitsbyremovingdouble-dippingfromParentalLeavePayforparentswhocanalreadyaccessmoregenerousparentalleaveentitlementsfromtheiremployerandrequiringpeoplewhomoveoverseastocontinuetorepaytheirHigherEducationLoanProgrammedebt.

Protecting Australia

• Investing$1.2billioninnewfundingfornationalsecurity,buildingonthe$1billionoffundingannouncedlastyear.

• ExtendingandexpandingAustralia’smilitaryoperationsinAfghanistan,IraqandtheMiddleEast.

Progressing budget repair in a responsible, measured and fair way

• TheGovernmenthasacrediblepathtosurplus,despitea$52billionwrite-downintaxreceiptsandtheironorepricealmosthalvingsincethe2014Budget.

• Thedeficitisreducingineachandeveryyearandpaymentsasashareoftheeconomyarereducing.

Page 5: 2015-16 Budget Overview, May 12, 2015 · Overview 2 Budget at a glance We are building on our strong foundations with a responsible Budget focused on small business, better child

2Overview

Budget at a glance

We are building on our strong foundations with a responsible Budget focused on small business, better child care and integrity

Jobs, growth and opportunityThe2015BudgetisabouthelpingAustralianshaveago.

TheGovernment’s$5.5billionJobsandSmallBusinessPackagewillhelpbusinessesinvest,hireandgrow.

A$4.4billionFamiliesPackagewillreformthechildcaresystemtomakeitsimplerandimprovetheaffordability,accessibilityandflexibilityofchildcare,tosupportparentswhochoosetoparticipateintheworkforce.

TheBudgetcontainsmeasurestobuildgreaterconfidenceandfairnessinourtaxandbenefitssystems.ThevastmajorityofAustraliansdotherightthingandplaybytherules,andexpectotherstodothesame.ChangesintheBudgettosomebenefitswillensuretheyremainsustainable.

TheGovernmentisinvestinganadditional$1.2billioninthisBudgettosupportourmilitaryoperationsandstrengthenourcounter-terrorismcapability,bothhereandabroad.

ThisbringsouradditionalinvestmentinmeasurestoprotectAustraliatoover$2billionsincethe2014Budget.

Ensuring fiscal sustainabilityTheGovernmenthasacrediblepathtosurplus,despitea$52billionwrite-downintaxreceiptsandtheironorepricealmosthalvingsincethe2014Budget.

Consistentwiththefiscalstrategy,newspendinghasbeendirectedtoinvestmentsthatboostproductivityandparticipation.

Wecanhaveamoreprosperousfutureifweplanfortomorrow,today.

Budget aggregates and major economic parameters

Outcomes

2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19

Real GDP 2.5 2 1/2 2 3/4 3 1/4 3 1/2 3 1/2

Employment 0.7 1 1/2 1 1/2 2 2 2

Unemployment rate 5.9 6 1/4 6 1/2 6 1/4 6 5 3/4

Consumer price index 3.0 1 3/4 2 1/2 2 1/2 2 1/2 2 1/2

Wage price index 2.5 2 1/2 2 1/2 2 3/4 2 3/4 3 1/4

Nominal GDP 4.0 1 1/2 3 1/4 5 1/2 5 1/4 5 1/2

ProjectionsForecasts

(a) Year average unless otherwise stated. From 2013-14 to 2016-17, employment, the wage price index and the consumer price index are through the year growth to the June quarter. The unemployment rate is the rate for the June quarter. The unemployment rate is the rate for the June quarter.

Actual Estimates Projections2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19

Underlying cash balance ($b)(a) -48.5 -41.1 -35.1 -25.8 -14.4 -6.9Per cent of GDP -3.1 -2.6 -2.1 -1.5 -0.8 -0.4

Fiscal balance ($b) -43.7 -39.4 -33.0 -23.4 -9.2 -3.2Per cent of GDP -2.8 -2.5 -2.0 -1.3 -0.5 -0.2

(a) Excludes net Future Fund earnings

Page 6: 2015-16 Budget Overview, May 12, 2015 · Overview 2 Budget at a glance We are building on our strong foundations with a responsible Budget focused on small business, better child

3 Overview

Preparing for future challengesThe Intergenerational Report shows that we need to focus on reforms to enhance productivity and participation, and repair the budget to continue to provide the services that Australians expect

Australia’sstrongeconomicperformanceoverthepast40yearshasgreatlyenhancedourstandardofliving.

But,continuedeconomicgrowthandprosperitycannotbetakenforgranted.

The2015IntergenerationalReportprojectsthattheAustralianpopulationwillgrowandchangeinthenext40years.Australianswilllivelonger,andthenumberofAustraliansaged65andoverwillincreaseasaproportionofthepopulation.

ImprovingAustralia’seconomicperformanceandlivingstandardsinthefuturewilldependcruciallyonproductivitygrowth—thatis,workingmoreefficientlyandeffectively.Wemustalsofindwaystoboostthenumberofpeopleparticipatingintheworkforce.

The2015BudgetrecognisesthechangingshapeofAustraliaandsetsusuptotakeadvantageoftheopportunitiesthispresents.

ThisBudgetisabouttakingactionnow.Measurestosupportsmallbusinessinnovationandincreaseparticipationwithbetterchildcarewilldriveourfutureprosperity.

Continuedprogressonbudgetrepairwillensurewearebetterplacedtomeetwhateverchallengesthefuturemaybring.

Productivity will be a more important driver of economic growth in the future

0.3

-0.1

1.51.7

0.1

-0.1

1.5

-1

0

1

2

3

4

-1

0

1

2

3

4

Labour productivity Real GDP per personParticipationShare of population 15+

Percentage points Percentage points

Past 40years Next 40years

Population Participation Productivity

1.5

Page 7: 2015-16 Budget Overview, May 12, 2015 · Overview 2 Budget at a glance We are building on our strong foundations with a responsible Budget focused on small business, better child

4Overview

Economic outlook

Strong fundamentals underpin opportunities for growth

TheAustralianeconomyisenteringits25thyearofeconomicgrowth.Thisisthesecondlongestcontinuousperiodofgrowthofanyadvancedeconomyintheworld.Anditisexpectedtocontinuetogrowevenasweadjusttotheendoftheunprecedentedboominresourcesinvestment.

Employmenthasbeengrowing,witharound250,000jobscreatedoverthepast18months.

Consumersarebenefittingfromlowerpetrolprices,electricitypricesandinterestrates.Thisisboostinghouseholdspendingandinvestmentinthehousingmarket.

TheoutlookgloballyisbrighterwithmajoradvancedeconomiesincludingtheUnitedStates,theeuroareaandJapanallexpectedtostrengthen.

IndiaisexpectedtobecomethefastestgrowingmajoreconomythisyearandwhilegrowthinChinaismoderatingfromdoubledigitratesseeninthelast10years,itisstillamajorcontributortoglobalgrowth.

ThelowerAustraliandollarwillsupportlocalbusinessestakingadvantageofthestrongerworldoutlookbymakingthemmorecompetitive,particularlyinsectorssuchastourismandmanufacturing.

Historicfreetradeagreementswillexpandopportunitiesforagriculturalexports.Australianservicesexporterswillalsogainimprovedaccesstomajormarkets,suchasChina.

ButtheeconomicoutlookpresentschallengesforthisBudget.WithgrowthinglobalcommoditysupplyrisingatthesametimeasdemandfromChinacools,pricesforourcommodityexportshavefallen.

ThefallincommoditypriceshasaffectedbusinessandhouseholdincomesandishavingasignificantimpactonGovernmentrevenues.

Our future growth will come from different sources

Previous three years Next three years

45%55%

Mining contribution Non-mining contribution

16%

84%

Mining contribution Non-mining contribution

Page 8: 2015-16 Budget Overview, May 12, 2015 · Overview 2 Budget at a glance We are building on our strong foundations with a responsible Budget focused on small business, better child

5 Overview

Impact of iron ore on tax revenueThe iron ore price has almost halved in the last year

Theironoreindustryhasbeenakeydriverofeconomicgrowthandnationalincomeinrecenttimes.

Ironoreinvestmentandexportsdirectlycontributed15percentagepointstoeconomicgrowthoverthepastdecade,whileexportvaluesarenow14timeshigherat$75billion.

Australianowaccountsforaroundathirdofworldproductionofironore.

Ofcoursethismeansthatournationalincomeandgovernmentrevenueshavebecomemuchmoresensitivetochangesintheironoreprice.Theironorespotpricehasalmosthalvedsincethe2014Budgetasnewsupplyhascomeonline.

Meanwhile,theoutlookfordemandhassoftened,partlyreflectingtheweakeningChinesehousingmarket,whichisakeydriverofsteelusage.

Thefallintheironorepricehasbeenthelargestsinglecontributortorevenuewrite-downsoverthelastyear.SincethelastBudget,thevalueofforecastironoreexportshasbeendowngradedbyaround$90billion.

ThishascontributedtolowernominalGDPandhasreducedforecasttaxcollectionsbyaround$20billion.

Mostofthisdowngradeisfromtaxespaidbyminingcompaniesbuttherewillalsobeanimpactontaxespaidbyotherbusinesses,incometaxandothersourcesofrevenue.

Iron ore investment is falling while exports are rising The iron ore spot price has fallen

0

4

8

12

16

20

0

20

40

60

80

100

2001-02 2008-09 2015-16

Investment (RHS)

Exports (LHS)

noillib$noillib$

(f)

40

60

80

100

120

140

40

60

80

100

120

140

Jan-14 Sep-14 May-15

$US/t FOB$US/t FOB

Source: Platts

Page 9: 2015-16 Budget Overview, May 12, 2015 · Overview 2 Budget at a glance We are building on our strong foundations with a responsible Budget focused on small business, better child

6Overview

Credible path to surplus

The deficit will reduce each and every year despite major revenue write-downs

TheGovernmenthasalreadymadeconsiderableprogressinimprovingthebudgetposition.

Overthelastyear,thebudgethasbeensignificantlyimpactedbytheironorepricealmosthalvingandpersistentlyweakwagegrowth.

Taxreceiptshavebeendowngradedby$52billionsincethe2014Budget.Over$20billionofthesewrite-downshavebeendirectlyasaresultofthefallintheironoreprice.

Despitethis,theannualaveragepaceofconsolidationremainsat0.5percentofGDPovertheforwardestimates–broadlysimilartowhatwasinthe2014Budget.

ThesizeofGovernment,measuredbythesizeofpaymentstoGDP,reducesfrom25.9percentin2015-16to25.3percentbytheendoftheforwardestimates.

Andthedeficitreduceseachandeveryyearfrom$35.1billionin2015-16to$6.9billionin2018-19.

NewspendinginthisBudgetmeetstheGovernment’scommitmenttoredirectfundingtoinvestmentsthatboostAustralia’sproductivityandparticipation.

ThisBudgetcarefullybalancestheneedforinvestmenttoenhanceAustralia’sprosperitywiththeneedtorepairthebudgetinaresponsibleandfairway.

Nevertheless,thereismoreworktodotocontinuebudgetrepairinthemediumtermandtheGovernmentremainscommittedtoreturningthebudgettosurplusassoonaspossible.

Deficits will reduce each and every year

-2.5

-2

-1.5

-1

-0.5

0

-2.5

-2

-1.5

-1

-0.5

0

2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19

Per cent of GDPPer cent of GDP

Page 10: 2015-16 Budget Overview, May 12, 2015 · Overview 2 Budget at a glance We are building on our strong foundations with a responsible Budget focused on small business, better child

7 Overview

Growing jobs and small businessTax cuts to fuel small business investment and employment

Athrivingsmallbusinesssectorisattheheartofastrongeconomy.

Australiansmallbusinessesprovidejobsfor4½millionpeopleandproduceover$330billionofAustralia’seconomicoutput.

WeknowthehardworkingwomenandmenofAustraliansmallbusinessesaretheengineroomofoureconomy.

TheCoalitionisdeliveringforthesebusinessesnowandintothefuture.

Sincecomingtooffice,theGovernmenthasundertakenwide-rangingreformstoimprovethesmallbusinessenvironment.

Peoplenowfeelmoreconfidentaboutstartinganewbusiness,withstronggrowthinstart-ups.

The$5.5billionJobsandSmallBusinesspackagebuildsontheseaccomplishmentstohelpmakeAustraliaoneofthebestplacestostartandgrowasmallbusiness.

AttheheartoftheJobsandSmallBusinesspackageis$5billionintaxreliefforsmallbusinesseswithannualturnoverbelow$2million.

96percentofAustralianbusinesseswillbeeligibleforataxcut.

Smallcorporationswillbenefitfromhavingtheircompanytaxratecutto28.5percent.Unincorporatedsmallbusinesseswillbenefitfroma5percenttaxdiscount,upto$1,000peryear.

Allsmallbusinesseswillalsobeabletogetanimmediatetaxdeductionforawiderangeofbusinessassets.

Thesetaxcutswillputmoremoneybackinthehandsofsmallbusinessowners,andwillhelptoencourageinvestmentandemployment.

Tax cuts for all Australian small businesses

28

30

28

30

Current New

Company tax rate (%)

26 26Current New

Unincorporated 1.5% tax cut 5% tax discount*Business tax liability

*Capped at $1,000

($)

Page 11: 2015-16 Budget Overview, May 12, 2015 · Overview 2 Budget at a glance We are building on our strong foundations with a responsible Budget focused on small business, better child

8Overview

Accelerated depreciation

The Government will provide small businesses with an immediate deduction for all individual assets costing less than $20,000

Allsmallbusinesseswillgetanimmediatetaxdeductionforeveryassettheybuycostinglessthan$20,000.Currently,thethresholdsitsat$1,000.

This$20,000limitappliestoeachindividualitem.Smallbusinessescanapplythis$20,000ruletoasmanyindividualitemsastheylike.

ThesearrangementsstartBudgetnightandcontinueuntiltheendofJune2017.

Increasingthedepreciationthresholdwillmeanimprovedcashflowforsmallbusinesses.Itwillencouragethemtobringforwardinvestmentintheassetstheyneedtogrowtheirbusinessandservicetheircustomers.

Thenewthresholdwillalsomeansmallbusinessesspendlesstimetrackingassetsacrossyearsfortaxpurposes.Thiscutsredtapeandallowsbusinessownerstofocusonrunningandgrowingtheirbusiness.

Anyassetsover$20,000canbeaddedtogether(‘pooled’)anddepreciatedatthesamerate.Theseassetsaredepreciatedat15percentinthefirstincomeyear,and30percentperyearthereafter.

Ifthevalueofthepoolisbelow$20,000untiltheendofJune2017itcanbeimmediatelydeductedtoo.

Thistemporaryjumpinthethresholdwillsupportsmallbusinessestoinvestinnewassetswhichwillhelpthemgrowandprosperintothefuture.

Immediate deductibility will encourage small businesses to invest and grow

Immediately deductible

$13,750 $16,400 $6,849$12,478

Page 12: 2015-16 Budget Overview, May 12, 2015 · Overview 2 Budget at a glance We are building on our strong foundations with a responsible Budget focused on small business, better child

9 Overview

Supporting small business growthA package of measures to cut red tape and encourage entrepreneurship

TheJobsandSmallBusinesspackagewillremoveimpedimentstogrowthwithadditionalmeasurestocutredtapeandencouragestart-upsandentrepreneurship.

TheGovernmenthasalreadyannouncedreformswhichwillreduceredtapeburdensby$2.45billionperannum.Butthereismorestilltobedone—particularlyforsmallbusinesses,whofaceadisproportionatelyhighregulatoryburden.

TheGovernmentwillreduceredtapeintheFringeBenefitsTax(FBT)systembyensuringallsmallbusinesswork-relatedportableelectronicdevicesareFBTfree.

SmallbusinesseswillalsobenefitfromanewCapitalGainsTaxrolloverreliefwhenchangingtheirlegalstructures.

TheGovernmentwillreleaseaconsultationpaperlaterin2015onpotentialchangestotheCorporations Act toreduceanyunnecessarilyburdensomeorrestrictiveregulatoryrequirementsforsmallbusinesses.

TheTaxWhitePaperisalsoconsideringopportunitiestoreduceredtapeassociatedwiththetaxsystem,withafocusonsmallbusinesses.

TheJobsandSmallBusinesspackagealsoprovidesahelpinghandtosmallbusinessstart-upsandwillfacilitateevenmoreentrepreneurialactivity.

Streamliningbusinessregistrationprocesseswillmakeiteasiertostartanewbusiness.

Start-upswillalsobeallowedtoimmediatelydeductprofessionalexpensesincurredwhentheystartabusiness.

Removingobstaclestocrowd-sourcedequityfundingwillhelppromotesmallbusinessesaccesstofinance.ThiswillcomplementexpandedtaxconcessionsforEmployeeShareSchemes.

Government support to assist small businesses to grow, invest and employ

Jobs and Small Business Package

$5.5 billion

Accelerated depreciation$1.8 billion

Start-ups$70 million

Helping all Australians Participate$375 million

Cutting red tape

$40 million

Tax cuts$3.3 billion

Page 13: 2015-16 Budget Overview, May 12, 2015 · Overview 2 Budget at a glance We are building on our strong foundations with a responsible Budget focused on small business, better child

10Overview

Helping Australians into workCreating the right conditions for small businesses to provide more jobs and assisting unemployed Australians to get these jobs

TheJobsandSmallBusinesspackagewilldelivertheconditionsthathelpsmallbusinessesgrowandcreatejobs.

Thepackagealsohelpsjobseekers,particularlyyoungpeopleandolderAustralians,accesstheskillsandopportunitiestheyneedtogetthesejobs.

Thepackagewillmakeiteasierforemployerstotakeonjobseekersbysimplifyingworkexperiencearrangementsandintroducinggreaterflexibilityintowagesubsidypaymentarrangements.

AreinvigoratedRestartwagesubsidywillencouragesmallbusinessestoemployolderworkers.

Newmeasureswillprovideintensivesupportfordisengagedyoungpeoplethatwillbuildtheiremployabilityandhelpmaximisetheirchancesoffindingajob.

Supportforvulnerablejobseekerswillhelpdisadvantagedyoungpeoplewithmentalhealthconcernsandyoungmigrantsintosustainablework.

Supportforearlyschoolleaversandparentswillhelpyoungjobseekersovercomechallengesandparticipateinworkorstudy.Tofullybenefitfromthissupport,jobseekersneedtomakeeveryefforttolookforwork.

Employmentservicesunderjobactivewillbemoreresponsiveandfocusedonresults.Theywillsetclearexpectationsforjobseekersbybalancingobligations,incentivesandassistance.

Anewfourweekwaitingperiodforunder25yearoldswillsettheclearexpectationthatyoungpeoplemustmakeeveryefforttomaximisetheirchancesofsuccessfullyobtainingwork.

Connecting workers with small business jobs

NOWHIRING

NOWHIRING

A new start

Just graduated, now what?

I’d like towork part time.

RestartJobactive

SupportIncentives

Restart

Jobactive

Trainees

Apprentices

Nowhiring

Workexperience

Page 14: 2015-16 Budget Overview, May 12, 2015 · Overview 2 Budget at a glance We are building on our strong foundations with a responsible Budget focused on small business, better child

11 Overview

A brighter future for Australian familiesProviding more generous assistance for hard working families

Supporting Australian familiesThefutureprosperityofworkingfamiliesdependsonAustraliarespondingtothechangingdemographicsofourpopulationandtheeconomicchallengesweallface.

TheGovernmentisdeliveringa$4.4billionFamiliesPackagetogiveparentsmorechoiceandopportunitytowork.

Childcarewillbereformedtomakethesystemsimpler,moreaffordable,accessibleandflexible-supportingworkforceparticipationandprovidingqualityearlylearning.

Thiswillprovideopportunityandbuildastrongandmoreprosperousfuture.

Child Care SubsidyRecognisingthatGovernmentfundingofchildcareplaysavitalroleinhelpingpeoplegetintoworkandstayinwork,theGovernmentwillinvestanadditional$3.5billionover5yearsonchildcareassistance,includinganewChildCareSubsidy.

ThesimplifiedChildCareSubsidywillbeimplementedfrom1July2017withasinglesubsidybasedonfamilyincome.

TheChildCareSubsidywillprovideassistancetomeetthecostofchildcareforparentswhoareworking,lookingforwork,training,studyingorundertakinganyotherrecognisedactivitysuchasvolunteering.

Familiesearningaround$65,000orlesswillrecieveasubsidyof85percentoftheirchildcarefees(uptoanhourlyfeecap).Therewillbenoannualcapforfamiliesearningaround$185,000orless.

EligibilityfortheChildCareSubsidywillbedeterminedbyanactivitytestthatcloselyalignsthehoursofsubsidisedcarewiththeamountofwork,training,studyoranyotherrecognisedactivitysuchasvolunteeringbyparents.

An additional $3.5 billion to make child care more affordable

0

400

800

1,200

1,600

2,000

0

400

800

1,200

1,600

2,000

2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19

$million$million

Page 15: 2015-16 Budget Overview, May 12, 2015 · Overview 2 Budget at a glance We are building on our strong foundations with a responsible Budget focused on small business, better child

12Overview

Access to quality care for families in needEarly childhood education and care plays an important role in helping children with additional needs

TheGovernmentwillensurethatallchildrencanaccessqualityearlychildhoodlearningthroughtargetedsupporttogenuinelydisadvantagedandvulnerablechildren.

TheChildCareSubsidywillsupportlowincomefamilieswithatleastoneparentnotcurrentlyundertakingrecognisedactivity,toaccess24hoursofsubsidisedcareperfortnight.Thiswillbeavailabletothoseearningbelowthemaximumsubsidythresholdofaround$65,000in2017-18.

InadditiontotheChildCareSubsidy,theGovernmentwillspend$869millionontheChildCareSafetyNettoassistvulnerable,disadvantagedandadditionalneedschildren.

TheAdditionalChildCareSubsidywillcommenceon1July2017andprovidetop-upfeeassistanceto:

• childrenwhoareatriskofseriousabuseorneglect;

• familiesexperiencingtemporaryfinancialhardship;and

• familiestransitioningtoworkfromincomesupport.

From1July2017theCommunityChildCareFundwillprovidegrantstochildcareservicesto:

• removebarriersfordisadvantagedchildren,or

• childreninregionalorremoteareas;and

• makechildcareservicesmoreviable;and

• improveaffordabilityforlowincomefamiliesinhighcostareas.

TheGovernmentwillcommit$409milliontothenewInclusionSupportProgramme,whichwillcommenceon1July2016.Theprogrammewillassistfamilieswithchildrenwithadditionalneedstoaccesschildcare.

Additional Child Care Subsidy

($156 million)

Extra assistance for 'at risk'children

Community Child Care Fund

($304 million)

Increased access to child care indisadvantaged communities

Inclusion Support Programme

($409 million)

Including children with additional needs

Child Care Safety Net

Page 16: 2015-16 Budget Overview, May 12, 2015 · Overview 2 Budget at a glance We are building on our strong foundations with a responsible Budget focused on small business, better child

13 Overview

Universal access to preschoolChildren who attend preschool in the year before starting school can benefit from improved academic performance during primary school

TheGovernmentwillinvest$843millioninthe2016and2017calendaryearsforpreschoolprogrammesacrossAustralia,toensurechildrenhaveastrongstartandabrightfuture.

Earlychildhoodisavitalperiodforlearninganddevelopment.

Accesstopreschoolbenefitsallchildrenintheyearbeforeschool,particularlydisadvantagedchildren.

TheNational Partnership Agreement on Universal Access to Early Childhood Education ensuresthatintheyearbeforeschool,statesandterritoriesprovideallchildrenwithaccesstoapreschoolprogrammeforupto15hoursaweekorfor600hoursayear,deliveredbyadegreequalifiedearlychildhoodteacher.

Investinginearlychildhoodeducationhelpsbuildaproductivesociety.Earlyeducationcantranslateintoschoolreadiness,academicsuccess,andlifetimewellbeing.Successbuildsuponsuccess.

Investing in early childhood education

Page 17: 2015-16 Budget Overview, May 12, 2015 · Overview 2 Budget at a glance We are building on our strong foundations with a responsible Budget focused on small business, better child

14Overview

Healthy families and flexible careProtecting children from preventable diseases and providing support to eligible families who use nannies

‘No Jab, No Pay’ - Vaccinating our childrenTheGovernmentrecognisesthatmoreneedstobedonetoensureweprotectourchildrenandourcommunityfrompreventablediseases.

From1January2016,the‘NoJab,NoPay’rulewillremoveallexemptions,excludingthoseformedicalreasons,foraccesstochildcarepaymentsandFamilyTaxBenefitPartAendofyearsupplement.

Improving immunisation ratesTheGovernmentwillalsoprovidea$26millionboosttotheImmuniseAustraliaprogramme,whichwillprovideadditionalincentivepaymentsfordoctorsandimmunisationproviderstoidentifyandvaccinatechildrenintheirpracticewhoareoverdue.

Nannies TrialTheGovernmentwillspendaround$250milliononanInterimHomeBasedCarerPilotProgramme(NanniesTrial)toextendsubsidysupporttoeligiblefamiliesusingnannies.

TheNanniesTrialwillfundaround4,000nannies,providingsubsidisedcaretoapproximately10,000children.Thetrialwillcommenceon1January2016.

TheNanniesTrialwillbetargetedtoassistshiftworkers,suchasnursesandpoliceofficers,whoseirregularhoursmakeithardforthemtoaccesstraditionalchildcare.

Encouraging healthy families and flexible care

Page 18: 2015-16 Budget Overview, May 12, 2015 · Overview 2 Budget at a glance We are building on our strong foundations with a responsible Budget focused on small business, better child

15 Overview

Strong on multinational tax integrityThe Government is committed to ensuring that businesses with economic activities in Australia pay tax in Australia

Somemultinationalcompaniesarenotpayingtheirfairshareoftax.ThisisunfairforfamiliesandAustralianbusinessesthatdotherightthing.

TheGovernmentisstrengtheningourdomesticlawstocombattaxavoidancebymultinationalsthrough:

• aMultinationalAnti-AvoidanceLawtoensurethatforeignbusinessescannotescapetheAustraliantaxnetusingcontrivedarrangements;

• closingthedigitalloopholetoensurethatGSTisappliedtodigitalproductsandservicesimportedbyconsumers;

• increasingpenaltiesfortaxavoidancebylargecompanies;and

• workingwithbusinessesonacodeforthedisclosureofthetaxaffairsofcompaniesoperatinginAustralia.

Butthisisnottheend.

Multinationaltaxationisakeyfocusforgovernmentsaroundtheworld.

TheGovernmentisworkingwiththeUnitedKingdomandtheOECDonfurthermeasurestocombatmultinationaltaxavoidance.

AustraliaisalsocontinuingitsstronginternationalleadershipinthisareabyactioningkeyelementsoftheG20/OECDBaseErosionandProfitShiftingActionPlan,developedunder

Australia’sG20presidency:

• countrybycountryreportingandbettertransferpricingdocumentation;

• newrulestoneutralisehybridmismatcharrangements;

• newpracticesthatwillpreventtreatyabuse;and

• exchangingrulingsonpreferentialtaxregimes.

ThispackagebuildsontheGovernment’srecordofstrongactiononmultinationaltaxavoidance.Itwillsignificantlystrengthenourtaxsystemandprovideastrongdeterrentfortaxavoiders.

Australian profits shifted overseas

Contract signed

Profits

$$Licence Fees

Economic activity

Page 19: 2015-16 Budget Overview, May 12, 2015 · Overview 2 Budget at a glance We are building on our strong foundations with a responsible Budget focused on small business, better child

16Overview

Making the tax system fairerThe Government is taking steps to enhance public confidence in the integrity and fairness of the tax system at home

Improving fairnessSomeemployeesofnot-for-profitorganisationshavebeenabletosalarypackageexcessiveamountsofbenefitsthatarenotavailabletoothertaxpayers.These‘mealentertainment’benefitsincludeholidays,cruises,weddings,andmealsandalcoholinrestaurants.

Thebenefitsarenotcappedandnotreportableforfringebenefitstax,orforothergovernmenttaxandtransferpaymentincometests.Thesebenefitswillnowbesubjecttoanewgrossed-upexemptioncapof$5,000,whichimprovesfairnessinthetaxationsystem.Theseworkerswillstillretainaccesstogenerousconcessions.

Doing the right thingTheGovernmentwillprovide$265.5milliontotheAustralianTaxationOffice(ATO)overthreeyearstoextendtheGSTcomplianceprogramme.

WhiletheGovernmentrecognisesthatmosttaxpayersdotherightthing,theATOwillcontinueaseriesofcomplianceactionstomakesurehonestbusinesseshavealevelplayingfield.ThisprogrammewillallowtheATOtocontinuetoidentifyfraudulentGSTrefunds,underreportingofGSTliabilities,failuretolodgeGSTreturnsandoutstandingGSTdebts.

Fighting financial crimeTherearesignificantrisksaroundinvestmentandfinancialmarketfraud,superannuationandtaxfraudandcyberandidentitycrimesinAustralia.Theproblemisbroaderthananyindividualagencyorjurisdiction.

TheGovernmentiscreatingataskforcetofightseriousfinancialcrime.Weneedacoordinatednationalpartnershipoflawenforcementandregulatoryagenciesthatwilldevelopinter-agencyintelligenceandconductoperationstotargetnationallysignificantseriousfinancialcrimeandtaxevasion.

A coordinated approach to fighting financial crime

Australian Taxation Office

Co-ordinating information exchange to

tackle financial crime

Australian Securities and Investments Commission

Australian Federal Police

Australian Customs and Border

Protection Service

Australian Transaction Reports and Analysis

Centre

Australian Crime Commission

Commonwealth Director of Public Prosecutions

Attorney-General's Department

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17 Overview

Reforming foreign investmentStrengthening Australia’s foreign investment framework

TheGovernmentiscommittedtostrengtheningAustralia’seconomy.Toachievethis,foreigninvestmentisessentialandthatiswhytheGovernmentwelcomesallforeigninvestmentthatisnotcontrarytoournationalinterest.Australiaisopenforbusiness,withforeigninvestmentapprovalgrantedfor$167billionofproposedinvestmentin2013-14,up23.4percenton2012-13.

Enforcing the rules Arobustregulatoryframeworkreflectingchangingdemandsisessentialtomaintainingcommunitysupportandawelcominginvestmentenvironment.On2May2015,theGovernmentannouncedapackageof

measurestostrengthentheforeigninvestmentframeworktomakesuretherulesareenforced.

TheATOwillbegivenresponsibilityforregulatingforeigninvestmentinresidentialrealestate,includingstrongerenforcementoftherulessupportedbyenhanceddatamatchingsystems.

Therewillbeadditionalandstricterpenaltiestoensureforeigninvestorsandintermediariesdonotprofitfrombreakingtherules.

Theintroductionofapplicationfeesonallforeigninvestmentapplicationswillimproveservice

deliveryandensureAustraliantaxpayersarenolongerfundingtheadministrationofthesystem.

More scrutiny and transparencyTheGovernmentisalsodeliveringonitscommitmenttoincreasescrutinyandtransparencyaroundforeigninvestmentinagriculture,loweringscreeningthresholdsforagriculturallandandagribusinessandimplementingacomprehensiveregisterofforeignownershipinland.

TheGovernmentisconsultingfurtheronoptionstoensureAustraliahasamodern,streamlinedforeigninvestmentsystem.

Strengthening Australia’s foreign investment framework

ATO screening and enforcement

of residential real estate

New and stricterpenalties

Application fees on all proposed

investments

Lower agricultural and agribusiness

thresholds

Comprehensive foreign ownership

of land register

Modernisationand simplification

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18Overview

Fairness of benefits

The Government is strengthening the integrity of our welfare system to ensure that it remains fair and sustainable

TheGovernmentisupgradingourwelfarepaymentsystem,targetingassistancetothosemostinneed,improvingcompliance,andensuringthatsocialobligationsaremet.

Thesemeasureswillresultinanetsavingofaround$3.5billionovertheforwardestimates.

Transformation programmeWewillinvestaninitial$60milliontokickstarttheWelfarePaymentInfrastructureTransformationtoupgradetheDepartmentofHumanServices’(DHS)informationtechnologytomeetthedemandsoftoday’sdigitalworld.

Welfare system integrity TheGovernmentwillreturnaround$1.5billiontothebudgetbyincreasingDHScapabilitytodetect,investigateanddetersuspectedwelfarefraudandnon-compliance.

TheGovernmentwillalsoimprovethefairnessoftheHigherEducationLoanProgrammebyrecoveringdebtsfromAustralianslivingandworkingoverseaswhohavereceivedtaxpayerfundedloansfortheireducation.ThenewarrangementswillimposerepaymentobligationsonAustralianslivingoverseasonthesametermsthatcurrentlyapplytoresidents.

Wewillremovedouble-dippingfromParentalLeavePay(PLP)from1July2016.PreviouslyindividualscouldreceivetaxpayerfundedPLPinadditiontoanyemployer-providedparentalleaveentitlements.

AccesstoPLPwillnowbelimitedtoindividualswhoseemployerdoesnotprovideparentalleaveentitlements.Incaseswhereindividualsgetlessgenerousparentalleaveentitlementsfromtheiremployer,theGovernmentwilltopuptheamountpaidtobeequaltothefullamountavailableundertheexistingscheme.

Strengthening the integrity of the welfare system

Improve compliance Ensure social obligations are met

Target assistance to those most in need

Upgrade welfare payment system

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19 Overview

Keeping Australia safe

The Government is committed to protecting Australians from the threat of terrorism

TheGovernmentisdoingeverythinginitspowertokeepAustralianssafeandsecure.

Countering terrorism TheGovernmentisinvesting$1.2billioninnewfundingfornationalsecurityinthisBudget,buildingonthe$1billionoffundingannouncedlastyear.

Theeffectofnewmeasureshasalreadybeenfelt,withgreatercoordinationandnewfrontlinepersonnelandequipmenthelpingtoprotectAustraliansfromharm.

InthisBudget,theGovernmentwillinvest$450millioninnewintelligencemeasurestoprotectAustraliaandAustralians.

$296millionwillbeinvestedinnewinformationtechnologycapabilitiesforourintelligenceagencies,tohelpthemtocollectanduseinformationmoreeffectively.

$131milliontoassistthetelecommunicationsindustrytoupgradeitssystemstoimplementtheGovernment’smetadataretentionpolicy.

Lawenforcementagenciesusemetadatatodetectandprosecuteseriouscrimes,includingterrorismandcrimesagainstchildren.

$22millionwillbeprovidedtocombatextremistpropagandaontheinternetandsocialmedia.

Defence operationsInthisBudget,$750millionhasbeenprovidedtoextendandexpandAustralia’smilitaryoperationsinAfghanistan,IraqandtheMiddleEast.

AustralianpersonnelinIraqareplayingakeyroleincounteringviolentextremismatitssource.$382millionwillbeprovidedtocontinueourinvolvementwiththeinternationalcoalitionassistingIraq.

Australiawillprovide300personneltotrainandrebuildtheIraqisecurityforcesaspartoftheBuildingPartnerCapacitymission.

Dedicated funding for counter terrorism has been increased

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

2001

-02

2002

-03

2003

-04

2004

-05

2005

-06

2006

-07

2007

-08

2008

-09

2009

-10

2010

-11

2011

-12

2012

-13

2013

-14

2014

-15

2015

-16

2016

-17

2017

-18

2018

-19

$million$million

Additional funding

Baseline funding

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20Overview

Investigating threats

The Government’s new data retention policy will help our security agencies keep the Australian community safe

TheGovernmenthasenactedlegislationtorequiretelecommunicationsserviceproviderstokeepfortwoyearscertaininformation(‘metadata’)generatedbytheirusers.

Helping our agenciesRetainingmetadataisavitalstepinkeepingussafefromrapidlyevolvingthreats.

Accesstometadataisessentialtomostcounter-terrorisminvestigationsandhelpsoursecurityagenciespreventterroristactsandprosecutethosewhoseektocommitthem.

Italsoplaysakeyroleindetectingandprosecutingotherseriouscrimes,includingcrimesagainstchildren.

ThesechangesareinlinewiththerecommendationsoftheParliamentaryJointCommitteeonIntelligenceandSecurity.

Privacy protectionsOnlyapprovedofficersinlawenforcementagencieswillbeabletoaccessmetadata.

TheCommonwealthOmbudsmanwillhaveresponsibilityforprovidingoversightinrelationtoenforcementagencies’accesstoanduseoftelecommunicationsdatatoensurethisinformationisnotmishandledorusedinappropriately.Therearealsospecificprotectionsinplacetoprotectjournalistsandtheirsources.

Investment in securityThe$131millionprovidedbytheGovernmentformetadataretentionrepresents50percentofthecapitalcoststobebornebyindustry,asestimatedbyPwC.

Inaddition,$23millionwillgotorelevantagenciessuchastheAttorney-General’sDepartmentandtheAustralianCrimeCommissiontocoverongoingcostsrelatingtotheimplementationandoversightofthedataretentionscheme.

Ensuring the safety of the Australian community

Data Retention

User

Metadata

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21 Overview

Connecting Australians

The Government is delivering on its commitment to build infrastructure to support economic growth, create jobs and link businesses to markets

TheGovernment’s$50billioninfrastructurecommitmentisimprovingroadandraillinkagesineverystate.

TherightinfrastructurewillsupportAustralia’seconomicgrowthinthenearterm,andboostproductivityoverthemediumtolongterm.

TheAssetRecyclingInitiativeisfreeingupstatestoinvestinarangeofproductiveinfrastructure.Thetwoagreementssignedsofar-withNewSouthWalesandtheAustralianCapitalTerritory-willgeneratemorethan$15billionofadditionalinfrastructureactivity.

PlanningfortheWesternSydneyairportatBadgerysCreekiscontinuing.Workhascommencedonthe$3.6billionWesternSydneyInfrastructurePlan.

TheGovernmentisdeliveringtheNationalBroadbandNetworkfasterandatlesscosttotaxpayers.SinceSeptember2013,theNBNhasmorethantripledthenumberofhomesandbusinessesthatreceiveaservice.

Morethan413,000premisesarenowconnected,withananticipated3.1millionhomesandbusinessestohavetheNBNinplaceorunderconstructionbySeptember2016.

TheGovernmentisalsoprogressingits$100millionMobileBlackSpotsProgramme,withthefirstbasestationsundertheprogrammeexpectedtorolloutinthesecondhalfof2015.

TheGovernmentisensuringthatinfrastructureregulatorysettingssupportandpromotecompetition.FollowingthereleaseoftheNationalInfrastructureAudit,InfrastructureAustraliawillworkona15yearpipeline.Thiswillgivecertaintytoindustryandhelpensurepublicfundingisusedtodeliverthebestinfrastructureattherighttime.

TheHarperCompetitionReviewhasprovidedablueprintforfurtherreformsthatwillensurebusinessesandconsumershaveaccesstogreaterchoiceandbetterservicelevels.

WA

NT

SA

QLD

NSW

VIC

TAS

ACT

$0.6 billion

43,500 prem

$7.6 billion

639,500 prem

$0.3 billion

98,800 prem

$1 billion

171,100 prem

$2 billion

253,400 prem

$15 billion

917,000 prem

$13.4 billion

575,200 prem

$5.2 billion

388,300 prem

The Government has a $50 billion package to 2020 for transport infrastructure to improve road and rail linkages in every state. This includes a $3 billion commitment to East West Link.National Broadband Network construction underway by September 2016.

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22Overview

Paving the way to prosperityDelivering the Infrastructure Growth Package

TheGovernmentiscontinuingtodeliverthevitalinfrastructurethatAustralianeedsandhasseenworkstarton19newmajorprojectsin2014.Another55willstartconstructionin2015.

Majorworkhascommencedonthe$3billionNorthConnexproject.Itisexpectedtocreate8,700jobsforNewSouthWales.ItisthesecondmissinglinktobestartedbythisGovernment,aftertheM5WestwideningwhichwascompletedinDecember2014.

EarlyworksonWestConnexalsocommencedthisyear.Thisprojectisexpectedtodeliver$20billionineconomicbenefitsandcreatearound10,000jobs.

TheCommonwealthGovernmentremainscommittedtoimprovingMelbourne’sconnectivity,includinganongoingcommitmenttoprovide$3billioninfundingforanyVictorianGovernmentthatbuildstheEastWestLink.

NumerousmajorprojectsinQueenslandarebeingdeliveredonschedule,includingtheBruceHighway,theToowoombaSecondRangeCrossingandtheGatewayMotorwayNorth.

EarlyworksstartedontheTorrensRoadtoRiverTorrensprojectinSouthAustraliain2014andmajorworksbeginin2015.TheNorth-SouthRoadCorridorwillreceivecloseto$1billionoffunding.

Constructionofthe$1billionGatewayWAProjectisexpectedtobecompletedbymid2016.ThePerthFreightLinkwillcommenceconstructioninearly2016.IntheBudget,afurther$499millionwasprovidedforroadinfrastructureinWAfollowingaGSTrevenueshortfall.

IntheNorthernTerritory,theGovernmenthasconstructedthefirstsectionofthe$103millionTigerBrennanDriveduplication.

WorkontheMidlandHighwayinTasmaniaiscontinuing,withanadditionalfivesafetyprojectstobecompletedbyMay2015.

Over70bridgeswillbeupgradedundertranche1oftheBridgesRenewalProgrammeand95newprojectsundertheBlackSpotProgrammein2015-16.

Delivery of Major Roads

ON TIME ON BUDGETDelivery of major projects by 2020 Commonwealth Funding

Pacific Highway

WestConnex Stages 1 and 2

Toowoomba Second Range Crossing

North-South Road CorridorPerth Freight Link

Gateway WA

NorthConnex

$5.6b$1.5b

up to $1.285b

$944m$866m$675m$405m

Up to $2bn concessional loan

Gateway Motorway North up to $1b

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23 Overview

A vision for the north and our regionsThe Government is encouraging businesses to invest, expand and create jobs in Australia’s regions

Northern AustraliaAstrongnorthmeansastrongnation.

TheGovernmentwillestablisha$5billionNorthernAustraliaInfrastructureFacilitythatwillbeavailableformajorinfrastructureprojectslikeports,railways,pipelinesandelectricitygeneration.

Wewillalsoprovide$100milliontoimprovetheroadsandsupplychainsinvolvedingettingcattletomarket.

TheGovernmentisworkingtofinaliseitsplanforthenorth.ThefirsteverWhitePaperonDevelopingNorthernAustraliawillbereleasedlaterthisyear.

National Stronger Regions FundThe$1billionNationalStrongerRegionsFundcommencedrolloutin2014,selectingthebestofover400projectsfromacrossthecountry.

Aspartofthefirstroundoffunding,announcedinMay2015,over$210millionwasmadeavailablefor51projects.RoundTwoisexpectedtoopeninMay2015.

Thefundwillenhancetheeconomicgrowth,activityandoutputofourregionsandsustainthesegainsintothefuture.TheGuidelinesarecurrentlyunderreviewforRoundTwo.

Growing, and investing in, TasmaniaTheGovernmentisdeliveringoncreatingastronger,morecompetitiveTasmanianeconomy.

TheGovernmenthasinvested$60millioninTasmanianirrigationschemesandafurther$203milliontoexpandtheTasmanianFreightEqualisationSchemetoincludeexports.

TheseschemeswillgeneratejobsandhelpTasmanianbusinessestobemorecompetitiveinglobalmarkets.

Nearly 7 million Australians live in rural and regional areas

About 2/3 of export earnings are from regional areas

Agriculture

Tourism

Retail & Services

Manufacturing

Regional Australia has a diverse range of industries such as

Resources

Opportunities for Regional Australia

Page 27: 2015-16 Budget Overview, May 12, 2015 · Overview 2 Budget at a glance We are building on our strong foundations with a responsible Budget focused on small business, better child

24Overview

Helping farmers in droughtHelping farmers to manage through and recover from drought

Drought assistanceTheGovernmentiscommittedtosupportingfarmerswhoaresufferingthroughtheeffectsofdrought.

Wewillprovide$250milliontocontinuetheDroughtConcessionalLoanSchemeandtheDroughtRecoveryConcessionalLoanSchemeforoneadditionalyear.

Wewillalsoprovide$25millionfrom2015-16toassistfarmerstoreducetheimpactofpestanimalsindrought-affectedareas.

Supporting investmentToencouragedroughtpreparedness,theGovernmentwillprovideanimmediatetaxdeductionforwaterfacilitiesandallowfarmerstodepreciateoverthreeyearscapitalexpenditureonfodderstorageassetsfrom1July2016.Additionally,wewillallowfarmerstoimmediatelydeductthecostoffencingfrom1July2016.

Suporting communitiesWehaveallocated$35millionforagrantsprogrammetofundcivilandcivicinfrastructureprojectsindroughtaffectedareas.Projectsmayincludesocialandculturalinfrastructure,townfacilitydevelopmentsandwaterinfrastructure.

Supporting familiesIn2015-16,$20millionwillbeprovidedtoextendexistingsocialandcommunitysupportservicesforfarmersto70localgovernmentareasthatareexperiencingasevereandprolongedrainfalldeficiency(upfrom50in2014-15).TheGovernmentwillalsoprovide$1.8milliontofund10additionalcounsellorsundertheRuralFinancialCounsellingService.

What does this mean for farmers?

Douginstalls25kilometresoffencing,atacostof$25,000,onhiscattlefarmin2016-17.Currently,heisabletodepreciatehisfencingcostsover30yearsandclaimsadepreciationdeductionof$833eachyear.

Now,Dougwillbeabletodeductthefullcostof$25,000inthe2016-17incomeyear,givinghim$24,167moreintaxdeductionsinthefirstyear.TheadditionaldeductionsmeanthatDoughastopaylesstaxin2016-17ifhemakesaprofit.AssumingDoug’smarginaltaxrateis39percent,includingtheMedicareLevy,histaxliabilitywouldbereducedby$14,742,meaninghewillhavemoretospend,investorpayoffdebt.

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25 Overview

The economy will see key benefits from the Government’s recently completed free trade agreements

Australia’s free trade agreements

TheGovernmenthasrecentlycompletedthreehistoricfreetradeagreements(FTAs)withChina,JapanandKorea–ourthreelargestexportmarkets.TheseFTAsinvolvetariffreductionsworthover$6billion.

TheFTAswillhelpattractinvestmentinAustralia,makekeyindustriesmorecompetitiveandincreaseopportunitiesforAustralianbusinesses.Thiswillhelpdrivegrowth,increaseproductivecapacityandcreatejobs.TheseFTAsalsostrengthenAustralia’seconomiclinkswiththedynamicNorthAsiaregion.TheFTAsachieveimportantreductionsintariffsandothertradebarriersinkeymarkets,drivingimprovedaccesstointernational

marketsforAustralianexporters.ThesereducedtradebarriersmakeAustralianexports–includingfromkeyAustralianindustriessuchasagriculture,resourcesandmanufacturing–relativelycheaperandthereforemorecompetitive.

SuchreductionsintradebarrierswillalsohelpboostthecompetitivenessofAustralianexportsintheservicessector,whichmakealargecontributiontoAustralia’soverallexports. Forexample,theChina-AustraliaFTAwillenableAustralianservicesproviderstogainnewaccesstoChina’sgrowingandalreadysignificantservicessector–thelargestcontributortoChina’sGDP.

Finally,reciprocalreductionsintariffsandothertradebarriersinAustraliawillprovideconsumerswithagreatervarietyofgoodsandservicesatlowerprices.

Forexample,Toyotaannouncedsavingsofupto$1,000ontheCorollaHatchasaresultofourFTAs.

The China-Australia FTA will reduce Chinese tariffs on a range of Australian exports

Product Current tariff Tariff under the FTA

Beef 12-25% Phased to 0% in 9 years

Wine 14-20% Phased to 0% in 4 years

Dairy 10-19% Phased to 0% in 4 to 11 years, depending on the product

Manufacturing example:

Microphones 10% Phased to 0% in 4 years

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26Overview

Strengthening health and aged careThe Government is improving the quality and efficiency of health spending and delivering greater choice in home care services for older Australians

Building a healthier MedicareToimprovethesustainabilityofMedicareintothefuture,theGovernmentwillestablishataskforcetoreviewMedicareBenefitsSchedule(MBS)itemsoverthenexttwoyears,toensurepatientsreceivehighqualityandcosteffectivemedicalservices.

APrimaryHealthCareAdvisoryGroupwillinvestigatenewfundingmodelstodeliverbettercare,particularlyforchronicconditions.

My Health RecordTheGovernmentwillinvest$485milliontoimprovetheelectronichealthrecordsystemforallAustralians.

Access to medicinesTheGovernmentiscommittedtomaintainingaffordable,sustainableaccesstomedicinesthroughthePharmaceuticalBenefitsScheme(PBS)andisinthefinalstagesofnegotiationswithindustryonreformstopricingandremunerationacrossthesupplychaintounderpinthefuturesustainabilityofthePBS.

TheBudgetwillalsoprovide$1.6billionfornewandamendedlistingsonthePBS,includingmoreeffectivetreatmentsforcancer.

Medical researchTheGovernmentwillprovidedistributionsof$10millionin2015-16fromtheMedicalResearchFutureFund,withmorethan$400millionexpectedtobeprovidedtoresearchersoverthenextfouryears.

Aged care reformTheGovernmentissignificantlyreforminghomecareservicesdeliveredtoolderAustralians.

From1February2017,fundingwillbeallocatedtotheconsumerbasedontheircareneeds.Thiswillallowconsumersgreaterchoiceindecidingwhoprovidestheircareandincreasecompetitionamongproviders.

Strengthening Medicare

Electronic healthrecords

Aged care reform

Improvingquality and

choice inhealth andaged care

Clinical reviews of MBS itemsInvestigating new funding models todeliver better care

Improve the electronic health record systemfor patients and health care providers

Trial arrangements to increase participation

Better delivery of home care services

Improving consumer choice and quality in aged care

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27 Overview

A fairer pension system

Targeting pensions to those who need it most

TheAgePensionisourlargestwelfarepayment,totallinganestimated$44billionin2015-16.Wealsoprovideotherpensionequivalentpayments,including$17billioninDisabilitySupportPension.

TheAgePensionprovidesasafetynetforolderAustralians,butitisonlyonepillarofourretirementincomesystemwhichincludessuperannuationandvoluntarysavings.Asourpopulationages,weneedtoensurethepensionsystemissustainableandfair.

A fair pension systemFrom1January2017,theassetfreeareaforpensionerswillincrease,allowingaround170,000pensionerswithmoderateassetstoreceiveafullorincreasedpension.Atthesametime,theassettesttaperratewillincreasefrom$1.50to$3.Thismeansforevery$1,000ofassetsovertheassetfreethreshold,thepensionratewillreduceby$3afortnight.

Currently,pensionerswithsubstantialassetscanstillgetapartpension.Withoutchanges,asinglehomeownercouldholdassetsuptoaround$800,000andcouplehomeownerscouldholdassetsuptoaround$1.2million,inadditiontotheirfamilyhomeandstillbeeligibleforapartpension.

ThechangesintheBudgetrequirethosepensionerswithsubstantialmeanstodrawonslightlymoreoftheirassetstomaintaintheircurrentincomelevelsinretirement,whiletheGovernmentcontinuestosupportthosewhoneeditmost.

Inaworstcasescenario,thiswouldmeana1.8percentannualdrawdownontheirassets.

Asaresult,theGovernmenthasdecidednottoproceedwiththe2014BudgetmeasuretoindexpensionandpensionequivalentsbyCPI.

Duetothesechanges,thosewhonolongerreceiveapensionwillremaineligibleforaCommonwealthSeniorsHealthCardorHealthCareCard.

Maintaining a strong Age Pension system

CONCESSION

2.4 million age pensioners Spending of over$40 billion a year

Greater benefits throughthe Medicare Safety Net

& PBS concessions

Other Commonwealthconcessions

Home care & supportand residential care services

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28Overview

Your Government online

Government services need to be smart, efficient and ready for the digital age

Intoday’sdigitalworld,peoplehavecometoexpectconvenientaccesstoservicesatatimethatsuitsthem.

TheGovernmentisdeliveringtheNationalBroadbandNetworkfasterandatlesscost,toenableallAustralianstoconnecttotransformativeservicesonline.

Mostindustriesnowundertakemorethanhalftheirtransactionsonline.

TheGovernmentmustbeattheforefrontofmovingitsservicestodigitalchannels.

ThatiswhytheGovernmentisinvesting$254.7millionintheDigitalTransformationAgendatotransformgovernmentservicedelivery.

ThisincludestheestablishmentofaDigitalTransformationOfficetodrivetheAgendaandensurethatGovernmentservicesaresimplerandeasiertouseandcanbecompletedfromstarttofinishonline.

ThefirstphaseoftheAgendawillincludeprovisionsto:

• implementaDigitalServiceStandardtoapplytoallGovernmentagenciestomakeservicessimpler,fasterandeasiertouse;

• designanddelivermoremyGovserviceswithanimproveddigitalinbox,‘tellusonce’services,andanewdigitalaccountforbusinessesthatcanbeaccessedusingmyGov;and

• asimpler,moreconsistentandefficientgrantsadministrationprocessacrossgovernment.

TheAgendawillalsoincludetheimplementationofaStreamlinedBusinessRegistrationserviceannouncedintheJobsandSmallBusinesspackage.Thiswillsimplifytheprocessofregisteringabusiness.

NON - DIGITAL

DIGITAL BY DESIGN

The Digital Transformation JourneyThe Current Experience Future Benefits

USER EXPERIENCENOW

Inconvenient, time consuming andpoor user experience

RED TAPENOW

Interactions must berepeated across agencies

GOVERNMENTNOW

High-cost interactions

RED TAPE

Quicker interactions online make services more convenient and offer a better user experience

USER EXPERIENCEFUTURE

Reduced work throughmore simple and fewer

duplicated actions required

FUTURE

Lower cost through less manual handling andgreater sharing of platforms

GOVERNMENTFUTURE

Paper - Face to Face and Telephony

USERNEEDS

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29 Overview

The table below shows the main cash and accrual budget aggregates for the Australian Government general government sector over the period 2013-14 to 2018-19. The underlying cash deficit is estimated to be $35.1 billion in 2015-16. The fiscal deficit is estimated to be $33 billion.

Budget aggregates

ProjectionsEstimatesActual2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 Total (a)

$b $b $b $b $b $b $b6.931,22.8846.3545.2240.8933.7733.063stpieceR

2.527.422.420.425.328.22PDG fo tnec reP

2.542,21.1943.4649.4448.9240.5144.604)a( stnemyaP3.523.525.529.529.527.52PDG fo tnec reP

Net Future Fund earnings 2.3 3.4 3.3 3.4 3.7 4.0 17.8

Underlying cash balance(b) -48.5 -41.1 -35.1 -25.8 -14.4 -6.9 -123.44.0-8.0-5.1-1.2-6.2-1.3-PDG fo tnec reP

3.091,23.1052.6644.3344.5041.4839.373Revenue9.524.528.425.429.326.32PDG fo tnec reP

7.872,24.9948.1747.2545.4343.0248.314Expenses8.527.529.522.622.622.62PDG fo tnec reP

Net operating balance -39.9 -36.2 -29.1 -19.2 -5.6 1.9 -88.4Net capital investment 3.8 3.1 3.9 4.2 3.6 5.1 19.9

2.801-2.3-2.9-4.32-0.33-4.93-7.34- ecnalab Fiscal2.0-5.0-3.1-0.2-5.2-8.2-PDG fo tnec reP

Memorandum item:Headline cash balance -52.5 -43.2 -44.8 -43.9 -24.7 -17.3 -173.8

(a) Equivalent to cash payments for operating activities, purchases of non-financial assets and net acquisition of assets under finance leases.

(b) Excludes net Future Fund earnings

Appendix A

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30Overview

Appendix A

Revenue and spending

Total revenue for 2015-16 is expected to be $405.4 billion, an increase of 5.5 per cent on estimated revenue in 2014-15. Total expenses for 2015-16 are expected to be $434.5 billion, an increase of 3.4 per cent on estimated expenses in 2014-15.

Where revenue comes from (2015-16)

Where taxpayers’ money is spent (2015-16)

Appendix B

Individuals income tax, $194.3 billion

Fringe benefits tax, $5.0 billionSuperannuation taxes, $9.2 billion

Company and resource rent taxes, $71.2 billion

Sales taxes, $61.6 billionFuels excise, $17.9 billion

Other excise, $7.0 billionCustoms duty, $9.5 billion

Other taxes, $4.4 billionNon-tax revenue, $25.3 billion

Social security and welfare, $154.0 billion

Other purposes, $85.7 billion

Health, $69.4 billion

Education, $31.9 billion

Defence, $26.3 billion

General public services, $22.2 billion

All other functions, $45.0 billion

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31 Overview

2015-16 support for householdsEstimated tax and government assistance for various family types in 2015-16

Appendix C

Family type Private income(a)

Government assistance(b)

Income tax paid(c)

Disposable income(d)

Net income tax liability(e)

Full time taxpayer contribution(f)

Sole Parent

Onedependant,aged<6 $60,000 $20,179 $12,147 $68,032 -$8,032 0.4

Twodependants,aged<6 $30,000 $38,838 $2,534 $66,304 -$36,304 1.9

Twodependants,aged6-13 $40,000 $21,371 $4,147 $57,224 -$17,224 0.9

Single income couple

Onedependant,aged<6 $60,000 $7,630 $12,147 $55,483 $4,517 -

Twodependants,aged6-13 $100,000 $6,781 $26,947 $79,834 $20,166 -

Threedependants,oneaged<6andtwoaged6-13 $80,000 $24,644 $19,147 $85,497 -$5,497 0.3

Dual income couple

70:30incomesplit,onedependant,aged<6 $80,000 $11,704 $11,674 $80,030 -$30 -

70:30incomesplit,twodependants,oneaged<6oneaged6-13

$80,000 $17,001 $11,674 $85,327 -$5,327 0.3

70:30incomesplit,threedependants,oneaged<6,twoaged6-13

$80,000 $25,233 $11,674 $93,559 -$13,559 0.7

50:50incomesplit,onedependant,aged<6 $100,000 $3,201 $17,094 $86,107 $13,893 -

50:50incomesplit,twodependants,oneaged<6,oneaged6-13

$100,000 $20,499 $17,094 $103,405 -$3,405 0.2

50:50incomesplit,twodependants,aged6-13 $60,000 $13,434 $4,794 $68,640 -$8,640 0.5

TheGovernmentprovidesarangeoffurtherpaymentsandassistance,including:

• RentAssistance

• HealthCareCardsandassociatedsubsidiesformedications

• FamilySupportProgramme

• Assistanceforcarers

• HomeandCommunityCare

• AgedCare

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32Overview

Appendix C

Estimated tax and government assistance for various family types in 2015-16

Appendix C

(a)Privateincomecomprisesincomefromworkandothersources(butnotgovernmentassistance).Somerecipientsworkparttime.(b)Governmentassistanceincludesincomesupportpayments(forexample,Newstart,AgePensionandParentingPayment),familypayments(forexample,FamilyTax

BenefitPartAandPartB)andChildcareBenefitandChildcareRebate.RentAssistanceisexcludedexceptwhereotherwisestated.Children<6areinlongdaycare(at$8.55perhour)andchildren6-13areinoutsideschoolhourscare(at$7.65perhour)asrelevant.

(c)TaxpaidisequaltoincometaxincludingtheMedicareLevyandtheTemporaryBudgetRepairLevy.(d)Disposableincomeisthesumofprivateincomeandgovernmentpaymentslesstaxpaid.(e)Nettaxliabilityisequaltotaxpaidlessgovernmentpayments.(f)‘Full-timetaxpayercontribution’referstothenumberofsingletaxpayerswithnodependentsonaveragefulltimeweeklyordinarytimeearningsrequiredtofundnegative

nettaxliabilities.In2015-16,thispersonearns$79,454andpaystaxof$18,959.(g)Incomeisassumedtobefrominvestmentswhichearnarateofreturnequaltocurrentdeemingrates.(h)TheindividualisassumedtobeentitledtothemaximumRentAssistance.*FamiliesholdPrivateHealthInsurancecover.

Family type Private income(a)

Government assistance(b)

Income tax paid(c)

Disposable income(d)

Net income tax liability(e)

Full time taxpayer contribution(f)

Individuals

Singlepersonworking5daysaweek $40,000 - $4,947 $35,053 $4,947 -

Singlepersonworking5daysaweek $80,000 - $19,147 $60,853 $19,147 -

Singlepersonworking5daysaweek $100,000 - $26,947 $73,053 $26,947 -

Pensioners

Singlehomeownerwith$50,000inassets(g) $896 $22,617 $0 $23,513 -$22,617 1.2

Singlenon-homeownerwith$100,000inassets(g)(h) $2,521 $25,995 $0 $28,516 -$25,995 1.4

Couplehomeownerwith$200,000incombinedassets(g) $5,291 $34,095 $0 $39,386 -$34,095 1.8

Couplehomeownerwith$400,000incombinedassets(g) $11,791 $29,864 $0 $41,655 -$29,864 1.6

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33 Overview

Major initiatives

This table summarises the major initiatives in the 2015 Budget and their impact on the fiscal balance. More comprehensive information is provided in Budget Paper No. 2, Budget Measures 2015-16.

Appendix D

Key Measures 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 Total

$m $m $m $m $m $m

FamiliesPackage–childcare–WorkforceParticipationStream -1 -141 -277 -1,309 -1,472 -3,199

MedicareBenefitsSchedule–changestoGPrebates–reversal -181 -646 -692 -718 -754 -2,991

GrowingJobsandSmallBusiness–YouthEmploymentStrategy–revisedwaitingperiodforyouthincomesupport

4 -462 -438 -447 -501 -1,845

PharmaceuticalBenefitsScheme–newandamendedlistings -7 -388 -391 -401 -387 -1,575

FamiliesPackage–NationalPartnershipAgreementonUniversalAccesstoEarlyChildhoodEducation–extension

0 -125 -420 -299 0 -843

DevelopingNorthernAustralia–NorthernAustraliaInfrastructureFacility 0 -1 -327 -266 -206 -800

AutomotiveTransformationScheme–revisedimplementation -100 -175 -150 -183 -175 -783

WesternAustraliaInfrastructureProjects -499 0 0 0 0 -499

OperationOkra–continuedsupport -3 -383 -22 -10 0 -418

RefugeeresettlementarrangementsforIllegalMaritimeArrivalsinoffshoreprocessingcentres -138 -252 0 0 0 -390

FamiliesPackage–ChildCareSafetyNet 0 -8 -79 -135 -105 -328

FamiliesPackage–moregenerousmeanstestingarrangementsforyouthpayments 0 -21 -75 -81 -85 -263

DigitalTransformationAgenda–StageOneandestablishmentoftheDigitalTransformationOffice

0 -118 -71 -41 -25 -255

NationalPartnershipAgreementonHomelessness–extension 0 -115 -115 0 0 -230

GrowingJobsandSmallBusiness–YouthEmploymentStrategy–IntensiveSupport–transitiontowork

0 -25 -61 -64 -62 -212

Total -924 -2,859 -3,118 -3,956 -3,773 -14,630

Revenue items 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 Total

$m $m $m $m $m $m

GrowingJobsandSmallBusiness–taxcutsforsmallbusiness 0 -250 -950 -1,000 -1,050 -3,250

GrowingJobsandSmallBusiness–expandingaccelerateddepreciationforsmallbusinesses 0 -250 -800 -850 150 -1,750

Personalincometax–modernisingthemethodsusedforcalculatingwork-relatedcarexpensedeductions

0 0 270 280 295 845

StrengtheningAustralia’sforeigninvestmentframework 0 81 166 199 205 651

Personalincometax–changestotaxresidencyrulesfortemporaryworkingholidaymakers 0 -1 98 218 220 535

GST–complianceprogramme–threeyearextension 0 0 132 160 153 445

CostRecoveryofCitizenshipandadjustmentofVisaApplicationCharges 0 103 109 111 113 437

Personalincometax–bettertargetingtheZoneTaxOffsettoexclude‘fly-infly-out’and‘drive-indrive-out’workers

0 0 105 110 110 325

Introducingacapforsalarysacrificedmealentertainmentandentertainmentfacilityleasingexpenses

0 20 85 90 100 295

Total 0 -297 -785 -681 296 -1,467

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34Overview

Appendix D

Major savings

This table summarises the major savings in the 2015 Budget and their impact on the fiscal balance. More comprehensive information is provided in Budget Paper No. 2, Budget Measures 2015-16.

Appendix E

2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 Total

$m $m $m $m $m $m

SocialSecurityAssetsTest–rebalanceassettestthresholdsandtaperrate 0 0 445 975 1,024 2,443

StrengtheningtheIntegrityofWelfarePayments -1 253 559 623 254 1,688

CommonwealthcontributiontotheEastWestLinkproject* 100 300 600 0 500 1,500

RemovingDouble-DippingfromParentalLeavePay 0 -10 268 343 367 968

RationalisingandstreamliningHealthprogrammes 12 121 216 276 337 963

ManagementoftheImmigrationDetentionNetwork 30 111 142 137 136 554

NoJabNoPay 0 72 148 147 141 508

SocialSecurityIncomeTest–improveintegrityofsocialsecurityincometestarrangements 0 57 129 136 143 465

SustainableResearchExcellence–adjustment 0 0 150 38 75 263

PharmaceuticalBenefitsScheme–pricechanges 14 55 56 61 67 252

MyHealthRecord–anewdirectionforelectronichealthrecordsinAustralia 0 62 107 50 -5 214

CessationoftheLargeFamilySupplementofFamilyTaxBenefitPartA 0 -2 59 60 60 177

SmallerGovernment–ImmigrationandBorderProtectionefficiencies 0 8 51 55 55 168

MedicareBenefitsSchedule–healthassessmentitems–modification 0 20 36 41 47 145

SmallerGovernment–EducationandTrainingPortfolio 1 32 24 30 44 131

ChildDentalBenefitsSchedule–consistentindexation 0 15 25 38 48 126

DigitalTransformationAgenda–PortfolioContributions 12 45 23 22 18 120

SmallerGovernment–HealthPortfolio 3 15 29 33 33 113

InfrastructureInvestmentProgramme–savings 62 28 5 5 5 105

EmploymentServices–ChangestoServiceFeesandCessationofPersonalContactInterviews 44 9 11 11 11 86

Total 276 1,191 3,082 3,080 3,360 10,989

*TheGovernmentremainscommittedtoproviding$3billiontowardstheEastWestLink.ThiscommitmentisreflectedasacontingentliabilityinStatement 8: Statement of Risks,inBudgetPaperNo.12015-16.

Revenue items 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 Total

$m $m $m $m $m $m

GrowingJobsandSmallBusiness–taxcutsforsmallbusiness 0 -250 -950 -1,000 -1,050 -3,250

GrowingJobsandSmallBusiness–expandingaccelerateddepreciationforsmallbusinesses 0 -250 -800 -850 150 -1,750

Personalincometax–modernisingthemethodsusedforcalculatingwork-relatedcarexpensedeductions

0 0 270 280 295 845

StrengtheningAustralia’sforeigninvestmentframework 0 81 166 199 205 651

Personalincometax–changestotaxresidencyrulesfortemporaryworkingholidaymakers 0 -1 98 218 220 535

GST–complianceprogramme–threeyearextension 0 0 132 160 153 445

CostRecoveryofCitizenshipandadjustmentofVisaApplicationCharges 0 103 109 111 113 437

Personalincometax–bettertargetingtheZoneTaxOffsettoexclude‘fly-infly-out’and‘drive-indrive-out’workers

0 0 105 110 110 325

Introducingacapforsalarysacrificedmealentertainmentandentertainmentfacilityleasingexpenses

0 20 85 90 100 295

Total 0 -297 -785 -681 296 -1,467

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35 Overview

Child care fee assistance

The table below shows Government fee assistance available to families using long day care in 2017-18 on a per child, per year basis.

Appendix F

Hours of care per week

Family Adjusted Taxable Income 10 20 30 40 50

$60,000orless $4,332 $8,663 $12,995 $17,326 $21,658

$70,000 $4,259 $8,517 $12,776 $17,035 $21,294

$80,000 $4,089 $8,178 $12,267 $16,355 $20,444

$90,000 $3,919 $7,838 $11,757 $15,676 $19,595

$100,000 $3,749 $7,498 $11,247 $14,997 $18,746

$110,000 $3,579 $7,159 $10,738 $14,317 $17,896

$120,000 $3,409 $6,819 $10,228 $13,638 $17,047

$130,000 $3,240 $6,479 $9,719 $12,958 $16,198

$140,000 $3,070 $6,139 $9,209 $12,279 $15,348

$150,000 $2,900 $5,800 $8,699 $11,599 $14,499

$160,000 $2,730 $5,460 $8,190 $10,920 $13,650

$170,000 $2,560 $5,120 $7,680 $10,240 $12,800

$180,000 $2,548 $5,096 $7,644 $10,192 $12,740

$190,000 $2,548 $5,096 $7,644 $10,000 $10,000

$200,000ormore $2,548 $5,096 $7,644 $10,000 $10,000

Notes-Lowerthresholdof$65,710at85percent-Upperthresholdof$170,710at50percent-Annualfeecapof$10,000appliestofamilyincomesgreaterof$185,710ormore-Feecapof$11.55applieswhichwillaffectsubsidiesreceivedabovethisamount-Assumesfeeof$9.80perhourin2017-18-Assumes52weeksperyear

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36Overview

Appendix F

Detailed economic forecasts(a)

The table below shows the Government’s macroeconomic forecasts. More comprehensive information is provided in Budget Paper No. 1, Statement 2.

Appendix G

Outcomes(b) Forecasts

2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17

Realgrossdomesticproduct 2.5 21/2 23/4 31/4

Householdconsumption 2.2 23/4 3 31/4

Dwellinginvestment 5.1 61/2 61/2 41/2

Totalbusinessinvestment(c) -5.1 -51/2 -7 -31/2

Byindustry

Mininginvestment -7.0 -151/2 -251/2 -301/2

Non-mininginvestment -3.7 2 4 71/2

Privatefinaldemand(c) 0.9 11/4 11/4 21/4

Publicfinaldemand(c) 1.6 11/4 11/2 11/2

Changeininventories(d) -0.3 0 0 0

Grossnationalexpenditure 0.7 11/4 11/2 21/4

Exportsofgoodsandservices 5.8 61/2 5 61/2

Importsofgoodsandservices -1.9 -3 -11/2 21/2

Netexports(d) 1.6 2 11/4 1

Nominalgrossdomesticproduct 4.0 11/2 31/4 51/2

Pricesandwages

Consumerpriceindex(e) 3.0 13/4 21/2 21/2

Wagepriceindex(f) 2.5 21/2 21/2 23/4

GDPdeflator 1.5 -1 1/2 21/4

Labourmarket

Participationrate(percent)(g) 64.6 643/4 643/4 643/4

Employment(f) 0.7 11/2 11/2 2

Unemploymentrate(percent)(g) 5.9 61/4 61/2 61/4

Balanceofpayments

Termsoftrade(h) -3.7 -121/4 -81/2 3/4

Currentaccountbalance(percentofGDP) -3.1 -3 -31/2 -23/4

(a)Percentagechangeonprecedingyearunlessotherwiseindicated. (b)Calculatedusingoriginaldataunlessotherwiseindicated. (c)Excludingsecond-handassetsalesfromthepublicsectortotheprivatesector. (d)PercentagepointcontributiontogrowthinGDP. (e)Through-the-yeargrowthratetotheJunequarter. (f)Seasonallyadjusted,through-the-yeargrowthratetotheJunequarter. (g)SeasonallyadjustedratefortheJunequarter. (h)Theforecastsareunderpinnedbyspotpricesof$48($US/t,FOB)forironore;$90($US/t,FOB)formetallurgicalcoaland$60($US/t,FOB)forthermalcoal.

Note:Theforecastsforthedomesticeconomyarebasedonseveraltechnicalassumptions.Theexchangerateisassumedtoremainarounditsrecentaveragelevel—atrade-weightedindexofaround64anda$USexchangerateofaround77UScents.Interestratesareassumedtomovebroadlyinlinewithmarketexpectations.Worldoilprices(MalaysianTapis)areassumedtoremainaroundUS$64perbarrel.

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37 Overview

Historical budget and net financial worth dataThis table provides historical data and forward estimates for Australian Government General Government Sector cash receipts, cash payments, the underlying cash balance and net financial worth. More comprehensive information is provided in Budget Paper No. 1, Budget Strategy and Outlook Statement 10.

Appendix H

Receipts(a) Payments(b)Underlying

cash balance(c) Net financial worth(d)

$mPer cent of GDP $m

Per cent of GDP $m

Per cent of GDP $m

Per cent of GDP

1984-85 58,817 25.0 64,853 27.6 -6,037 -2.6 na na

1985-86 66,206 25.4 71,328 27.4 -5,122 -2.0 na na

1986-87 74,724 26.1 77,158 27.0 -2,434 -0.9 na na

1987-88 83,491 25.8 82,039 25.3 1,452 0.4 na na

1988-89 90,748 24.7 85,326 23.2 5,421 1.5 na na

1989-90 98,625 24.4 92,684 22.9 5,942 1.5 na na

1990-91 100,227 24.2 100,665 24.3 -438 -0.1 na na

1991-92 95,840 22.7 108,472 25.6 -12,631 -3.0 na na

1992-93 97,633 22.0 115,751 26.1 -18,118 -4.1 na na

1993-94 103,824 22.2 122,009 26.1 -18,185 -3.9 na na

1994-95 113,458 22.9 127,619 25.7 -14,160 -2.9 na na

1995-96 124,429 23.5 135,538 25.6 -11,109 -2.1 na na

1996-97 133,592 24.0 139,689 25.1 -6,099 -1.1 na na

1997-98 140,736 23.9 140,587 23.9 149 0.0 na na

1998-99 152,063 24.5 148,175 23.9 3,889 0.6 na na

1999-00 166,199 25.2 153,192 23.2 13,007 2.0 -67,036 -10.1

2000-01 182,996 25.9 177,123 25.1 5,872 0.8 -71,876 -10.2

2001-02 187,588 24.9 188,655 25.0 -1,067 -0.1 -78,032 -10.4

2002-03 204,613 25.5 197,243 24.6 7,370 0.9 -82,931 -10.4

2003-04 217,775 25.3 209,785 24.3 7,990 0.9 -72,389 -8.4

2004-05 235,984 25.6 222,407 24.1 13,577 1.5 -58,882 -6.4

2005-06 255,943 25.6 240,136 24.1 15,757 1.6 -59,763 -6.0

2006-07 272,637 25.1 253,321 23.3 17,190 1.6 -35,696 -3.3

2007-08 294,917 25.0 271,843 23.1 19,754 1.7 -14,690 -1.2

2008-09 292,600 23.3 316,046 25.1 -27,013 -2.1 -71,490 -5.7

2009-10 284,662 22.0 336,900 26.0 -54,494 -4.2 -144,485 -11.2

2010-11 302,024 21.5 346,102 24.6 -47,463 -3.4 -198,787 -14.1

2011-12 329,874 22.2 371,032 24.9 -43,360 -2.9 -355,834 -23.9

2012-13 351,052 23.1 367,204 24.1 -18,834 -1.2 -312,724 -20.6

2013-14 360,322 22.8 406,430 25.7 -48,456 -3.1 -370,331 -23.4

2014-15(e) 377,309 23.5 415,000 25.9 -41,121 -2.6 -350,096 -21.8

2015-16(e) 397,980 24.0 429,836 25.9 -35,115 -2.1 -383,538 -23.2

2016-17(e) 422,461 24.2 444,923 25.5 -25,836 -1.5 -405,998 -23.3

2017-18(p) 453,595 24.7 464,292 25.3 -14,396 -0.8 -415,241 -22.6

2018-19(p) 488,233 25.2 491,101 25.3 -6,905 -0.4 -417,754 -21.6

(a)Receiptsareequaltocashreceiptsfromoperatingactivitiesandsalesofnon-financialassets.(b)Paymentsareequaltocashpaymentsforoperatingactivities,purchasesofnon-financialassetsandnetacquisitionofassetsunderfinanceleases.(c)Underlyingcashbalanceisequaltoreceiptslesspayments,lessnetFutureFundearnings.Forthepurposesofconsistentcomparisonwithyearsprior(d)Netfinancialworthisequaltofinancialassetslesstotalliabilities.(e)Estimates.(p)Projections.Note:Fullhistoricalseriesgoingbackto1970-71areavailableinBudgetPaperNo.1,BudgetStrategyandOutlook,Statement10.