2015 phoenix mobile festival keynote

36
© 2015 Citrix | Confidential Creating our Superpowers With the Next 20B Computers Guy

Upload: guy-bieber

Post on 11-Apr-2017

201 views

Category:

Technology


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

© 2015 Citrix | Confidential

Creating our SuperpowersWith the Next 20B Computers

Guy

© 2015 Citrix | Confidential

Guy

Inspire ✦ Be Inspired ✦ Create Amazing Experiences

Anticipate

CTO Council Citrix Labs

Innovate

Future of Education

Future of Work

© 2015 Citrix | Confidential

© 2015 Citrix | Confidential

© 2015 Citrix | Confidential

© 2015 Citrix | Confidential

CREATION

CONTROL

PREDICTION

SUPER Intelligence

SuperPowers

© 2015 Citrix | Confidential

CREATION

© 2015 Citrix | Confidential

It is the most amazing time ever to be a maker, developer, hacker, or builder of things…

© 2015 Citrix

© 2015 Citrix

PREDICTION

© 2015 Citrix | Confidential

Exponential Growth (2x)

Prize-Based Competition (4yr)

To predict the human-made future you have to understand the passion of human beings and the long dreams of mankind

Startups (2yr)

Intersections (1x1)

© 2015 Citrix

2015 Things

2020+ Genomics, Biomimickry

2019 Robotics

2018 Matternet

2017 Driverless

2016 Healthcare

Hybrid Intelligence

Creative Economy

Reinvention of Privacy

Accelerated Evolution

Reinvention of Small Unit Manufacturing

Electric Economy

Mobility Revolution

Rise of Robotics & Training Robots as a Job

Mass Robotic / Automated Workforce

Mashable Things

Tren

ds

Major Healthcare Cost Reduction & Doctors Prescribe SW / HW

Matternet < 1hr delivery

2x - Exponential

Compute Biotech

Net Traffic Knowledge

($6B) Biotech

($2.8B) Life Sciences

2yr - Startups - VC ($48B 14)

($19.8B) Software

($5.7B) Media & Entertainment

($3.5M) DARPA Robotics Challenge

($10M) Tricorder XPrize

4yr - Prizes ($30M) Lunar

XPrize

($15M) Global Learning XPrize

Virtualized Corporations

Reverse Engineered Brain Drives new Compute

Adaptive / Virtual Education Sharing

Economy

Super Empowered Individual

1x1 - Intersections

Google + Robotics

Game Tech + Wearable Tech + Productivity SW

Biology + Computing

Healthcare + Wearables

Acceleration of Robotics

Compute / Moore Next

Preventative / Lower Cost

Augmented Reality for Work

=

=

=

=

Vision / Hearing Processors

Simultaneous Computing (Neuromorphic)

AR Work Experiences

© 2015 Citrix

Disruption & Surprise are the New Norm

“The only reason I go to the store is to find something I didn’t know

I wanted.” – Jade Meskill

Retail

“You are the Banker”

Finance / VCs

“Knowledge is Free but Degrees are Expensive”

Education

Work

30% -> 40% by 2020

Transportation

Parking, Insurance, Sharing

Healthcare

Continuous Healthcare

Your Phone is your Dr

© 2015 Citrix

“In short, software is eating the world.” Marc Andreessen

P Q P Q

© 2015 Citrix | Confidential

CONTROL

© 2015 Citrix | Confidential

What will we control?

How about everything?

© 2015 Citrix | Confidential http://www.businessinsider.com/global-smartphone-market-forecast-vendor-platform-growth-2015-6

7.2

2015

2020

A smart phone in the developing world is a powerful enabler of: •  Connection •  Education •  Banking •  Healthcare •  Security •  Etc.

© 2014 Citrix. Confidential. 18

2013 $1.9T IoT - IDC (everything on the net) 2017 $7.3T IoT - IDC 2018 7B M2M connections with 80% YOY Growth - 2020 50B devices - 80% of Revenue from Services - Gartner

“$19T market in the next decade”

http://www.businessinsider.com/internet-of-everything-2015-bi-2014-12

A/V Today

In 4 Years

IT for the Non-Office Biggest Ever IT Expansion

© 2014 Citrix. Confidential. 19

1T Devices by 2030 @ 30% CAGR

Fusion of the Physical

and Digital World

1T Devices =

1 every 6 sqft

© 2015 Citrix | Confidential – Content in this presentation is under NDA.

Biggest IT Expansion: Billions of Devices

Location Matters

World is the UI: No UI is the best UI

End of Data Entry

Decentralized: Compute & Data Reduction at the Edge

Low / No Power Wireless Devices

Connect Everything: Services, Devices, People

Automate Anything

Onboard – Secure – Share - Manage Sensed not entered

Gateway

Thing

Place

Sense

Context

Learn

Control

Efficiency

Magic Speed

© 2015 Citrix | Confidential – Content in this presentation is under NDA.

Par

alle

lism

/ C

ompu

te P

ower

Time

Traditional Computing

Transistors

Increasing Parallelism

Decreasing Power

Beyond Moore: Curve Jumping in Computing

4 to 8 Cores

100B Neurons 1Q Connections

87M X Less Power

Human Brain

Mobile Computing

Transistor / Watt

Powerless Computing

Mined Power Transistors / Watt

Parallel Computing

Cores

Neural Computing

Neurons + Synapses

Simultaneous Computing

Quantum Bits

1K to 5K Cores

1M Neurons 256M Connections

The Death of Dumb Cameras and Mics

Breaks Cryptography as we know it

© 2015 Citrix | Confidential – Content in this presentation is under NDA.

We have seen amazing change in computing….

1)  Goto Computing: Mainframes & Desktops 2)  Luggable Computing: Laptops & Tablets 3)  Intimate Computing: Phones & Wearables 4)  Immersive Computing: IoT & Mixed Reality 5)  Accommodative Computing: Robotics & AI

© 2015 Citrix

The Robots are here, just not widely distributed…

© 2015 Citrix | Confidential

This scale of computing will necessitate a change in how we interact with computers?

© 2015 Citrix | Confidential

1 Remote -> 1 Thing

1 App -> 1 Thing

1 Person -> Everything

© 2015 Citrix | Confidential – Content in this presentation is under NDA.

1946

Wires

1950-1960s

Switches and Punchcards

1970s

Command Line

Interface

1984

Graphical User

Interface

2007

Multi-touch + Accelerometers

2010

Depth Cameras and

Gesture

2011

Speech Question and

Answer Interfaces

2012

Brain Interface

2013

Intimate Computing

2014

Directional Hearing

2015

Projection and Augmented

Reality

Inferencebasedonsensing

Context Understanding

Natural Human Interfaces

© 2015 Citrix | Confidential

https://www.microsoft.com/microsoft-hololens/en-us

© 2015 Citrix | Confidential

SuPER INTELLIGENCE

© 2015 Citrix | Confidential

How can we have superhuman performance in a complex,

infotoxicated world?

With a little help from our AI… Hybrid Intelligence

© 2015 Citrix | Confidential

3x

5x

< 50h

© 2015 Citrix | Confidential

What we have is a mostly unaware, disembodied voice…

But what we really want is something that knows us and can manipulate the world for us.

Executive Coach

Colleague Executive Assistant

Amplification

© 2015 Citrix | Confidential

Image 7.1 Lorem Ipsum dolor amet, consectetur

HEALTHCARE LAW

© 2015 Citrix

CREATION

CONTROL

PREDICTION

SUPER Intelligence

SuperPowers

© 2015 Citrix | Confidential

Think differently. Shock everyone. Do the impossible.

© 2015 Citrix | Confidential

?

QUESTIONS

© 2015 Citrix | Confidential

Guy

[email protected]

Inspire ✦ Be Inspired ✦ Create Amazing Experiences

Thank You

@gbieber2

Guy Bieber, Senior Director of Strategy and Innovation Citrix Labs & CTO Council