2015, quarter 1 european paper and packaging update...welcome to pöyry capital’s first european...
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Welcome to Pöyry Capital’s first European quarterly Paper and Packaging newsletter. We plan to publish the newsletter at the end of each quarter and intend to cover the key transactions announced each quarter in the European Paper and Packaging sector.
Pöyry Capital has acquired a high degree of industry insights and transaction experience in sectors that usually are not associated with the Pöyry Group, in particular non cellulose packaging and packaging converting. We hope that this newsletter is a natural extension of the industry capabilities that we have as a company acquired during the last few years.
European Paper and Packaging Update
PÖYRY CAPITAL’S QUARTERLY EUROPEAN PAPER AND PACKAGING UPDATE
2015, QUARTER 1
4TH QUARTER 2014During the 4th Quarter of 2014, approximately 30 paper and packaging transactions were announced in Europe, representing an announced transaction value of approximately EUR 7.5bn. During this quarter, two of the largest transactions in the paper and packaging space during the last few years were announced.
THE SALE OF SIG COMBIBLOC BY REYNOLDS GROUP HOLDINGS (ANNOUNCED 24TH NOVEMBER 2014)Onex Corporation, a Canadian headquartered Private Equity company, announced the acquisition of SIG Combibloc Group AG for a transaction value of EUR 3.575 billion with an additional amount of up to EUR 175 million payable based on the financial performance in 2015 and 2016. SIG Combibloc is one of the largest beverage carton packaging companies in Europe with additional manufacturing operations in China, Brazil and the Middle East. The valuation consideration represented an Enterprise Value / EBITDA multiple of approximately 8.9x (including earn-out, 8.5x excluding earn-out). In 2013 SIG Combibloc generated sales of approximately EUR
1,680 million. This transaction represents a successful exit by the Reynolds Group Holdings Limited from the aseptic beverage carton market.
SIG Combibloc focuses on the manufacturing of aseptic packaging cartons, an area where the dominant packaging player is Tetra-Pak.
During the last few years a number of new beverage carton converting players have aggressively entered the market (including Greatview Asceptic Packaging, IPI and other Chinese beverage carton converts) creating a more competitive environment.
One area of further growth in this market is expected to lie in aseptic packaging products in those emerging markets where cold-chains are not fully established, particularly for dairy products, as well as use of this type of packaging for solid food packaging (soups, sauces).
SIG Combibloc has a system of proprietary SIG machines installed at their customer sites around the world. Many other beverage carton converting companies do not offer this integrated model.
“The valuation levels achieved in the announced transactions for both SIG Combibloc and Constantia Flexibles are among the highest multiples paid for food related packaging companies in Europe during the last few years. The consumer packaging sector’s limited cyclicality and resilience (and the availability of financing) continue to attract financial investors to the sector”
Cele MoncayoManaging Director
Source: Capital IQ, Company Information, Onex, Reuters, Wendel, Reynolds Group Holdings
PÖYRY CAPITAL’S QUARTERLY EUROPEAN PAPER AND PACKAGING UPDATE
THE SALE OF CONSTANTIA FLEXIBLES BY ONE EQUITY PARTNERS (“OEP”) (AN-NOUNCED 23RD DECEMBER 2014)Wendel Group, a French headquartered investment group, announced the acquisition of Constantia Flexibles for a transaction value of EUR 2,300 billion. Constantia Flexibles is one of the largest European flexible packaging companies focusing on food and pharma packaging and labels with a growing exposure to Latin America, India and North America. The consideration represented an Enterprise Value / 2014E EBITDA multiple of approximately 9.0x.
Wendel stated that an important area of focus for Constantia would be entering emerging markets through acquisitions.
The heritage of Constantia is in the aluminium foil sector. In recent years the demand for other types of flexible packaging material has grown at a faster pace, with a wide variety of polymer films doing especially well.
The acquisition of Constantia Flexibles represents the most substantial divestiture of OEP from the portfolio of aluminium and packaging assets acquired from Constantia Packaging in 2009. The remaining asset owned by OEP from the original Constantia Packaging is Duropack, a corrugated packaging company focused on Eastern and South Eastern Europe.
“DO PAPER MAKERS IN EUROPE ACHIEVE AN ATTRACTIVE ROCE?” A senior packaging executive told us recently that no European paper / packaging board maker is achieving a sufficiently attractive ROCE for him to consider making a paper / board acquisition.
After this discussion, we went back to our desk and did some additional research and came out with the following conclusions:
• On average the peer group in specialty paper and printing and writing grades of paper making companies have had a ROCE below 5% for the last 5 years. This appears to be driven largely by a general decline in paper demand;
• Containerboard and paperboard packaging companies have in general achieved ROCE around 7%; and
• During the last five years most other packaging converting companies have had ROCE substantially superior to those in the paper and board manufacturing area.
However, we have noted some exceptions to the above trend that we believe are relevant here:
• In general, conversions from idle printing and writing grades paper machines into packaging based board making machines can achieve ROCE substantially higher than those achieved by current established paper and packaging companies; and
AVERAGE EBIT MARGIN VS AVERAGE ROCE (2010 TO LTM)
Source: Capital IQ, Company Information
(4%)
0%
4%
8%
12%
16%
(5%) 0% 5% 10% 15%
Aver
age
RO
CE
%
Average EBIT margin %
Speciality Paper Commodity PaperCartonboard ContainerboardRigid Plastics Flexible PlasticsGlass and Metal PulpPaper/ Packaging Machine Mfr. Distributors
• A number of niche paper manufacturing companies are able to achieve ROCE of a substantially higher magnitude than those players currently established in the market
The returns being achieved during the last five years by paper and board makers have not been sufficient to cover their cost of equity. However, attractive opportunities may exist in selected conversion into packaging paper grades where high ROCE could, in theory, be achievable.
PÖYRY CAPITAL’S QUARTERLY EUROPEAN PAPER AND PACKAGING UPDATE
SPECIALITY PAPEROn 10th October Andlinger & Company CVBA announced its intention to make a public offer for Crown Van Gelder N.V. Pöyry Capital is acting as exclusive financial adviser to Crown Van Gelder N.V.
On 20th November Nordic Paper announced that it had a new majority owner (funds advised by Orlando Management AG)
On 13th December Stora Enso announced the sale of its Uetersen mill to Perusa Partners Fund 2
COMMODITY PAPERIn October Cartiera di Galliera S.R.L. acquired La Papeterie de Raon
CARTONBOARD PACKAGINGOn the 4th November Sullivan Street Partners announced the acquisition of Medica Packaging Limited
On 12th November Essentra announced the acquisition of Clondalkin Specialist Packaging Division
On 24th November Onex Corporation announced the acquisition of SIG Combibloc Group AG
On 27th November Multi Packaging Solutions announced the acquisition of Presentation Products Group
CONTAINERBOARDIn October it was announced that Mondi Plc has sold Mondi Packaging Moederbrugg GmbH to Wolfgang Habenberger (a private individual)
On 6th November DS Smith announced that it had acquired Andopack
On 18th November Motion Equity Partners announced that it had, along with Arkea Capital, acquired Cellulose de la Loire SA
On 20th November DS Smith received a binding offer for its paper mill in Nantes, France
On 4th December it was announced that DS Smith had signed a non-binding letter of intent to acquire a further stake in Kaplamin Ambalaj Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S
On 16th December Logson Group announced the acquisition of Scott Packaging (Glasgow) Ltd
RIGID PLASTICSOn 5th November Plastipak Packaging, Inc. announced the acquisition of La Seda de Barcelona’s APPE Packaging Division
On 6th November Moulded Foams announced the acquisition of Peterhead Box Company
On 17th November Ariol Capital acquired Repli SL
On 27th November RPC Group Plc announced the acquisition of Promens Group AS
In December PFF Packaging Group announced the acquisition of Thermopak
FLEXIBLE PLASTICSOn 3rd November Plastics Capital announced the conditional acquisition of Flexipol Packaging Limited
On 4th November CCL Industries Inc. announced the acquisition of Label Connections Ltd
On 22nd November Huhtamaki announced the sale of its films business to DBAG Fund VI, a fund advised by Deutsche Beteiligungs AG
On 3rd December CCL Industries announced its second acquisition this quarter, Druckerei Nilles GmbH
On 23rd December Wendel announced the acquisition of Constantia Flexibles
GLASS AND METALOn 2nd December ADCURAM Group AG announced the sale of Duran Group to One Equity Partners
In December it was announced that Verallia had sold Saint-Gobain Kavminsteklo, ZAO to RATM Holding
On 22nd December it was announced that Vidrala had made an offer to purchase Encirc Limited
MACHINE MANUFACTURERSOn 25th October Masterwork Machinery Co Ltd announced the acquisition of post press packaging assets from Heidelberger Druckmaschinen AG
On 24th November Krones announced the acquisition of a 51% stake in Till GmbH
On 3rd December J.M. Voith GmbH & Co. announced the acquisition of a 24.09% stake in KUKA AG
DISTRIBUTORSOn 22nd December Brenntag announced the acquisition of Fred Holmberg & Co AB
TRANSACTION UPDATE – Q4 2014
0x
3x
6x
9x
12x
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 LTM
0x
3x
6x
9x
12x
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 LTM
0x
3x
6x
9x
12x
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 LTM
0x
3x
6x
9x
12x
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 LTM
0x
3x
6x
9x
12x
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 LTM
0x
3x
6x
9x
12x
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 LTM
0x
3x
6x
9x
12x
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 LTM
0x
3x
6x
9x
12x
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 LTM
0x
3x
6x
9x
12x
15x
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 LTM
0x
3x
6x
9x
12x
15x
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 LTM
Specialty paper
Cartonboard Packaging
Rigid Plastics
Glass and Metal
Paper/ Packaging Machine Manufacturers
Commodity paper
Containerboard
Flexible Plastics
Pulp
Distributors
0x
3x
6x
9x
12x
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 LTM
0x
3x
6x
9x
12x
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 LTM
0x
3x
6x
9x
12x
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 LTM
0x
3x
6x
9x
12x
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 LTM
0x
3x
6x
9x
12x
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 LTM
0x
3x
6x
9x
12x
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 LTM
0x
3x
6x
9x
12x
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 LTM
0x
3x
6x
9x
12x
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 LTM
0x
3x
6x
9x
12x
15x
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 LTM
0x
3x
6x
9x
12x
15x
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 LTM
Specialty paper
Cartonboard Packaging
Rigid Plastics
Glass and Metal
Paper/ Packaging Machine Manufacturers
Commodity paper
Containerboard
Flexible Plastics
Pulp
Distributors
ON AVERAGE MOST PAPER AND PACKAGING COMPANIES IN EUROPE ARE TRADING AT RELATIVE VALUATION LEVELS ABOVE THEIR FIVE YEAR AVERAGE
THE EV/EBITDA MULTIPLES OF FLEXIBLE PACKAGING AND PULP COMPANIES ARE APPROXIMATELY 30% TO 40% HIGHER THAN THE LEVELS IN 2010 AND 2011
EV/LTM EBITDA
Source: Mergermarket, Capital IQ, Company Information, Pöyry
PÖYRY CAPITAL’S QUARTERLY EUROPEAN PAPER AND PACKAGING UPDATE
PÖYRY CAPITAL HAS LONGSTANDING EXPERIENCE ACROSS THE PAPER AND PACKAGING SECTORS
Pöyry Capital’s Quarterly European Paper and Packaging Update
1
Cartonboard Packaging Containerboard
Specialty Paper Commodity Paper
Pöyry Capital has longstanding experience across the paper and packaging sectors
Rigid Plastics Flexible Plastics
Distributors Pulp
Pending
Exclusive Financial Advisor to Crown Van Gelder
Intends to make apublic offer for
October 2014
Exclusive Financial Advisor to the Supervisory Board and Management
of Crown Van Gelder
Pöyry Capital provided a fairness opinion in relation to Andlinger & Company’s intended public offer for
Crown Van Gelder
Q1 2014
Financial Advisor to the lending banks
Pöyry Capital acted as financial advisor to the
lending banks of a leading paper producer and
distributor during the restructuring process
December 2014
Exclusive Trustee to Sonoco-Alcore joint venture
Have divested 100% of shares in Ahlstrom Cores AS Norway
to
August 2011
Financial Advisor to the lending banks of Myllyoski
has been acquired by
and
February 2014
Exclusive Financial Advisor to Graphic Packaging
has agreed to acquire
December 2012
Exclusive Financial Advisor to Graphic Packaging
has agreed to acquire
Beer and Beverage Packaging Business
December 2012
Exclusive Financial Advisor to Graphic Packaging
has agreed to acquire
October 2013
Exclusive Financial Advisor toH2 Equity Partner
has agreed to divest
September 2007
Financial Advisor to Stora Enso
have divested
Stora Enso North America Inc
to
January 2014
Exclusive Financial Advisor to Irving Place Capital and Oaktree Capital
Management
and
have sold
Q1 2014
Exclusive Financial Advisor
Middle Eastern PackagingCompany
Pöyry Capital conducted a rigorous target search
for global flexible packaging targets
Exclusive Financial Advisor toUPM-Kymmene Oyj
UPM-Kymmene Oyj
have sold
to
Investor Group led by 3i Group
Financial Advisor toUPM-Kymmene Oyj
UPM-Kymmene Oyj
have sold
to
Bemis Company, Inc
March 2013
Exclusive Financial Adviser to ENCE Energia y Celulosa
Has agreed to divest its Uruguayan Operations to
a U.S. institutional fund with forestry operations in Latin
America
Exclusive Financial Advisor toStora Enso Oyj
have divested
Celulose Beira Industrial (Celbi) SA
to
August 2006 March 2001
Exclusive Financial Adviserto the Investor Group
Československá obchodní banka, a.s.P.I.F. a.s – 1. Privatizační investiční fond
První investiční společnost, a.s.TARPA Securities B.V.
Triton Development Fundrepresented by
Quorum Pro, a.s.have sold 93.6% of the shares of
toHeinzel, Bunzl Beteiligungs- und
Liegenschaftsverwaltungs GesmbH
Financial Advisor to Rexam PLC
has divested
to
November 2009
Financial Advisor to Sun European Partners LLP
has agreed to acquire
European Rigid Plastic Consumer Goods
December 2010 August 2003 August 2002
Exclusive Financial Advisor toStora Enso Oyj
have acquired
Private Shareholders and IFC
December 2004
March 2008
Exclusive Financial Advisor to Altor
has acquired
from
April 2005
Exclusive Financial Advisor to Papyrus AB
have acquired
from
International Paper
September 2005
Exclusive Financial Advisor to Papyrus AB
have acquired
from
Private Shareholders
June 2007
Exclusive Financial Advisor to M-real Corporation
have divested
M-real Petöfi Nyomda Kft
to
Cele MoncayoManaging Director+44 207 479 [email protected]
Pöyry Capital Limited5-6 Cork StreetLondon W1S 3NX, UK
www.poyrycapital.comwww.poyry.com
DisclaimerPöyry reserves all rights to this publication. No part of this publication may be reproduced or used in any form without the prior written consent of Pöyry. This publication is partly based on information that is not within Pöyry’s control. Pöyry does not make any representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this publication. Pöyry expressly disclaims any and all liability arising out of or relating to the use of this publication. This publication may contain projections which are based on assumptions subjected to uncertainties and contingencies. Because of the subjective judgments and inherent uncertainties of projections, and because events frequently do not occur as expected, there can be no assurance that the projections contained herein will be realized and actual results may be different from projected results. Hence the projections supplied are not to be regarded as firm predictions of the future, but rather as illustrations of what might happen.
Photos: colourbox.com