2016 full-year and fourth quarter earnings › documents › investors › earnings › 2016 q4...

of 20 /20
2016 FULL-YEAR AND FOURTH QUARTER EARNINGS February 23, 2017

Author: others

Post on 09-Jun-2020

6 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

Embed Size (px)

TRANSCRIPT

  • 2016 FULL-YEAR AND FOURTH QUARTER EARNINGS February 23, 2017

  • FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

    This presentation includes “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

    Forward-looking statements are statements other than statements of historical fact. They include statements that give our current expectations or forecasts of future events, production

    and well connection forecasts, estimates of operating costs, anticipated capital and operational efficiencies, planned development drilling and expected drilling cost reductions, general

    and administrative expenses, capital expenditures, the timing of anticipated noncore asset sales and proceeds to be received therefrom, projected cash flow and liquidity, our ability to

    enhance our cash flow and financial flexibility, plans and objectives for future operations (including our ability to optimize base production and execute gas gathering agreements), the

    ability of our employees, portfolio strength and operational leadership to create long-term value, and the assumptions on which such statements are based. Although we believe the

    expectations and forecasts reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, we can give no assurance they will prove to have been correct. They can be affected by

    inaccurate or changed assumptions or by known or unknown risks and uncertainties.

    Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from expected results include those described under “Risk Factors” in Item 1A of our annual report on Form 10-K and any

    updates to those factors set forth in Chesapeake's subsequent quarterly reports on Form 10-Q or current reports on Form 8-K (available at http://www.chk.com/investors/sec-filings).

    These risk factors include the volatility of oil, natural gas and NGL prices; the limitations our level of indebtedness may have on our financial flexibility; our inability to access the capital

    markets on favorable terms; the availability of cash flows from operations and other funds to finance reserve replacement costs or satisfy our debt obligations; our credit rating

    requiring us to post more collateral under certain commercial arrangements; write-downs of our oil and natural gas asset carrying values due low commodity prices; our ability to

    replace reserves and sustain production; uncertainties inherent in estimating quantities of oil, natural gas and NGL reserves and projecting future rates of production and the amount

    and timing of development expenditures; our ability to generate profits or achieve targeted results in drilling and well operations; leasehold terms expiring before production can be

    established; commodity derivative activities resulting in lower prices realized on oil, natural gas and NGL sales; the need to secure derivative liabilities and the inability of

    counterparties to satisfy their obligations; adverse developments or losses from pending or future litigation and regulatory proceedings, including royalty claims; charges incurred in

    response to market conditions and in connection with our ongoing actions to reduce financial leverage and complexity; drilling and operating risks and resulting liabilities; effects of

    environmental protection laws and regulation on our business; legislative and regulatory initiatives further regulating hydraulic fracturing; our need to secure adequate supplies of

    water for our drilling operations and to dispose of or recycle the water used; impacts of potential legislative and regulatory actions addressing climate change; federal and state tax

    proposals affecting our industry; potential OTC derivatives regulation limiting our ability to hedge against commodity price fluctuations; competition in the oil and gas exploration and

    production industry; a deterioration in general economic, business or industry conditions; negative public perceptions of our industry; limited control over properties we do not operate;

    pipeline and gathering system capacity constraints and transportation interruptions; terrorist activities and cyber-attacks adversely impacting our operations; potential challenges by

    Seventy Seven Energy Inc’s (SSE) former creditors of our spin-off in connection with SSE's recently completed bankruptcy under Chapter 11 of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code; an

    interruption in operations at our headquarters due to a catastrophic event; the continuation of suspended dividend payments on our common stock; certain anti-takeover provisions

    that affect shareholder rights; and our inability to increase or maintain our liquidity through debt repurchases, capital exchanges, asset sales, joint ventures, farmouts or other means.

    In addition, disclosures concerning the estimated contribution of derivative contracts to our future results of operations are based upon market information as of a specific date. These

    market prices are subject to significant volatility. Our production forecasts are also dependent upon many assumptions, including estimates of production decline rates from existing

    wells and the outcome of future drilling activity. Expected asset sales may not be completed in the time frame anticipated or at all. We caution you not to place undue reliance on our

    forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation, and we undertake no obligation to update any of the information provided in this release or the

    accompanying Outlook, except as required by applicable law. In addition, this presentation contains time sensitive information that reflects management’s best judgement only as of

    the date of this presentation.

    Q4 2016 EARNINGS 2

  • 4Q’16 FINANCIAL AND OPERATIONAL RESULTS

    Q4 2016 EARNINGS

    (1) See non-GAAP reconclination on pages 14 and 15

    (2) Includes stock-based compensation

    (3) Adjusted for asset sales

    (4) Oil and NGLs collectively referred to as “liquids”

    ADJ. EBITDA (1)

    $384mm

    LIQUIDS MIX (4)

    26% of total production4% QOQ. (3)

    ADJ. EPS (1)

    $0.07

    ADJ. PRODUCTION

    575 mboe/d

    PROD. and G&A EXP.

    ADJ. OIL PRODUCTION

    4% QOQ. (3)90 mbo/d

    10% QOQ.$4.26/boe (2)

    3

  • > Oil growth driven by Eagle Ford,

    Mid-Continent and the emerging PRB

    2017 CAPITAL ALLOCATION AND FOCUSFLEXIBLE PROGRAM BUILDING FOR GROWTH IN 2018

    Q4 2016 EARNINGS

    > Strong gas economics from Haynesville,

    Utica and Marcellus provide >40% ROR (1)

    Eagle Ford Shale175 – 195 Spuds

    155 – 175 TILS

    Haynesville Shale30 – 35 Spuds

    32 – 37 TILS

    Mid-Continent100 – 120 Spuds

    95 – 115 TILS

    Powder River Basin25 – 30 Spuds

    28 – 33 TILSUtica Shale40 – 50 Spuds

    70 – 80 TILS

    Marcellus Shale10 – 15 Spuds

    50 – 60 TILS

    (1) Price Deck: $3/mcf and $60/bbl oil flat

    Eagle Ford

    Utica

    Haynesville

    Marcellus

    OtherPowder

    River

    Mid-Continent

    50

    70

    90

    110

    130

    150

    170

    Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017

    TILs by Quarter

    2017 Capital

    4

  • SOUTH TEXAS ASSET OVERVIEWUNDRILLED ACREAGE, POSITIONED FOR GROWTH

    • Extended laterals driving value

    and providing strong oil growth

    in 2017 and 2018

    • Secure acreage position

    (1) Net processed production mix

    ~260,000 Net Acres in Eagle Ford – 99% HBP/HBO

    56%19%

    25%

    Production Mix (1)

    Oil NGL Natural Gas

    Locations

    Remaining

    Development

    75%

    Drilled

    25%

    5 – 6 rigsActive in 2017 drilling 175 – 195 wells

    with 155 – 175 TILs

    Q4 2016 EARNINGS 5

  • MID-CONTINENT WEDGE & OSWEGO RAPID OIL GROWTHLOW-COST, HIGH-RETURN OIL VOLUME

    Q4 2016 EARNINGS

    ~2 rigs Active in 2017 drilling 60 – 70 Oswego

    wells with 55 – 65 TILs

    Cycle time of 38 days spud to TIL

    40 MILES

    40 M

    ILE

    S

    ~2 rigsActive in 2017 drilling 40 – 50 Wedge play

    wells with 40 – 50 TILs

    6

  • POWDER RIVER BASIN2017 CAPITAL PROGRAM

    2 rigsActive in 2017 drilling 25 – 30 wells

    with 28 – 33 TILs

    Q4 2016 EARNINGS

    Teapot

    ParkmanE, A, B/C & Deep

    Surrey

    Sussex

    Niobrara

    Turner

    Frontier

    Mowry

    2017 Focus Areas

    7

  • GULF COASTWORLD-CLASS RESOURCE

    Delivering monster IPsROTC 1H – 40 mmcf/d, 10,000' lateral, 5,200 lbs/ft

    CA 1H – 38 mmcf/d, 10,000' lateral, 3,000 lbs/ft

    Nabors 2H – 19 mmcf/d, 5,200’ lateral, 5,000 lbs/ft

    ~3 rigsActive in 2017 drilling 30 – 35

    wells with 32 – 37 TILs

    Q4 2016 EARNINGS

    Nabors 2H

    ROTC 1H

    CA 1H

    8

  • UTICA SHALEVALUE OPTIMIZATION

    (1) Price deck: $3/mcf and $60/bbl flat

    Q4 2016 EARNINGS

    ~2 rigsActive in 2017 drilling 40 – 50

    wells with 70 – 80 TILs

    Value focused DUC ROR ~90%

    (1)

    New drill ROR ~50%(1)

    Operational highlightsAverage completed lateral length in 2017 ~9,600'

    > 90% of gas sent to Gulf markets

    2017 Focus Areas

    9

  • MARCELLUS SHALESUSTAINABLE FREE CASH GROWTH

    (1) Price deck: $3/mcf and $60/bbl oil flat

    Q4 2016 EARNINGS

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    1,600

    1,800

    2,000

    2,200

    2,400

    2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021

    Gro

    ss P

    roduction,

    MM

    CF

    D

    Future

    Opportunity

    Actual Production

    Significant flexibility to

    maximize with favorable pricingFree cash machineDelivers ~$225mm in 2017 (1)

    Limited capital required

    2017 DUC focusComplete – TIL: 40 – 45 DUCs

    Drill – TIL: 10 – 15 wells

    Control the core~65% of Marcellus core is CHK operated

    ~92% of CHK acreage is HBP

    10

  • RETURNING TO GROWTHPORTFOLIO STRENGTH AND OIL GROWTH WILL DRIVE MARGIN EXPANSION

    (1) Production forecast subject to final capital allocation decisions for 2017 and 2018 and market conditions

    450

    500

    550

    600

    650

    700

    750

    4Q'16 4Q'17E 4Q'18E

    Total Production (mboe/d) (1)

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    4Q'16 4Q'17E 4Q'18E

    Oil Production (mbo/d) (1)

    Q4 2016 EARNINGS

    ~10% oil production growth projected from 4Q’16 to 4Q’17

    ~20% oil production growth projected from 4Q’17 to 4Q’18

    11

  • 2020

    Strategic targetsSubstantial progress on every front

    Reduced total leverage by

    ~50% ($11.2 billion)

    Improved cash costs by

    ~50% per boe

    Reduced financial and balance

    sheet complexity

    High-graded portfolio —

    10,500+ locations above 20% ROR

    Grow production 5 – 15%

    annually

    Expand margin through

    10 – 20% annual oil growth

    Achieve free cash flow

    neutrality in 2018

    Retire $2 – $3 billion of debt

    Achieve 2x net debt/EBITDA

    2016

    Q4 2016 EARNINGS 12

  • Q4 2016 EARNINGS 13

  • RECONCILIATION OF ADJUSTED EARNINGS PER SHARE

    Q4 2016 EARNINGS 14

    CHESAPEAKE ENERGY CORPORATION

    RECONCILIATION OF ADJUSTED NET INCOME AVAILABLE TO COMMON STOCKHOLDERS

    (in millions, except per share data)

    (unaudited)

    THREE MONTHS ENDED: December 31, 2016

    $ Shares(a) $/Share(c) (d)

    Net loss available to common stockholders $ (741 ) 887 $ (0.84 )

    Adjustments:

    Unrealized losses on commodity derivatives 395 0.45

    Restructuring and other termination costs 3 —

    Provision for legal contingencies 11 0.01

    Impairments of fixed assets and other 43 0.05

    Net gains on sales of fixed assets (7 ) (0.01 )

    Impairments of investments 119 0.13

    Losses on purchases or exchanges of debt 19 0.02

    Other 13 0.02

    Loss on exchange of preferred stock 428 0.48

    Income tax benefit(b) (190 ) (0.21 )

    Adjusted net loss available to common stockholders(c) (Non-GAAP) 93 0.10

    Preferred stock dividends (30 ) (0.03 )

    Total adjusted net income attributable to Chesapeake(c) (d) (Non-GAAP) $ 63 $ 0.07

    (a) Weighted average common and common equivalent shares outstanding do not include 211 million shares that were

    considered antidilutive for calculating earnings per share in accordance with GAAP.

    (b) Our effective tax rate in the three months ended December 31, 2016 was 35.7%.

    (c) Adjusted net income and adjusted earnings per common share are not measures of financial performance under accounting

    principles generally accepted in the United States (GAAP), and should not be considered as an alternative to net income

    available to c ommon stockholders or earnings per share. Adjusted net income available to common stockholders and

    adjusted earnings per share exclude certain items that management believes affect the comparability of operating results.

    The company believes these adjuste d financial measures are a useful adjunct to earnings calculated in accordance with

    GAAP because:

    (i) Management uses adjusted net income available to common stockholders to evaluate the company's operational trends

    and performance relative to other oil and natural gas producing companies.

    (ii) Adjusted net income available to common stockholders is more comparable to earnings estimates provided by

    securities analysts.

    (iii) Items excluded generally are one -time items or items whose timing or amount cannot be reasonably estimated.

    Accordingly, any guidance provided by the company generally excludes information regarding these types of items.

    (d) We have revised our presentation of adjusted loss per share to exclude shares considered antidilutive when calcul ating

    earnings per share in accordance with GAAP.

  • RECONCILIATION OF ADJUSTED EBITDA

    Q4 2016 EARNINGS 15

    CHESAPEAKE ENERGY CORPORATION

    RECONCILIATION OF ADJUSTED EBITDA

    ($ in millions)

    (unaudited)

    THREE MONTHS ENDED: December 31,

    2016

    December 31, 2015

    EBITDA $ (198 ) $ (2,371 )

    Adjustments:

    Unrealized losses on commodity derivatives 395 51

    Unrealized gains on supply contract derivatives — (5 )

    Restructuring and other termination costs 3 (3 )

    Provision for legal contingencies 11 (6 )

    Impairment of oil and natural gas properties — 2,831

    Impairments of fixed assets and other 43 27

    Net (gains) losses on sales of fixed assets (7 ) 1

    Impairment of investment 119 53

    (Gains) losses on purchases or exchanges of debt 19 (279 )

    Net income attributable to noncontrolling interests (1 ) —

    Other 1 (1 )

    Adjusted EBITDA(a) $ 385 $ 298

    (a) Adjusted ebitda excludes certain items that management believes affect the comparability of operating results. The

    company believes these non-GAAP financial measures are a useful adjunct to ebitda because:

    (i) Management uses adjusted ebitda to evaluate the company's operational trends and performance relative to other oil

    and natural gas producing companies.

    (ii) Adjusted ebitda is more comparable to estimates provided by securities analysts.

    (iii) Items excluded generally are one -time items or items whose timing or amount cannot be reasonably estimated.

    Accordingly, any guidance provided by the company generally excludes information regarding these types of items.

    Accordingly, adjusted EBITDA should not be considered as a substitute for net income, income from operations or cash flow

    provided by operating activities prepared in accordance with GAAP.

  • 215

    2017 CAPITAL BUDGET

    • 2017 budget of $1.9 – $2.5 billion

    ˃ 2017 investment expected to deliver FCF in 2018

    ˃ Lower DUC working inventory

    Drilled Uncompleted InventoryReducing DUC inventory

    by 40 – 65 wells

    2016 2017E

    150 – 175

    Q4 2016 EARNINGS

    $1.9 – $2.5B

    $1.7B

    2017 Capital Budget

    $1.7 – $2.3B

    D&C

    $0.25B Cap Int.

    2016 2017E

    $1.45B

    D&C

    $0.2B Cap Int.

    16

  • OPTIMIZING DOWNSTREAM COMMITMENTS

    (1) Assumes Seaway and MEP buy down

    Q4 2016 EARNINGS 17

    ~$560mm additional commitment reductions

    with Seaway and MEP buy down

    ($mm) 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Thereafter

    Haynesville 355 149 147 125 114 419

    Northeast 373 401 401 401 399 3,580

    Eagle Ford 363 334 332 335 255 1,085

    Other 248 222 187 127 125 122

    Total (1) 1,339 1,107 1,067 989 894 5,205

    GP&T Commitments ($ billion)

    YE’14 YE’15 YE’16 YE’17

    $16.0 $14.0 $11.1 $9.3E

    Optimizing Commitments To Further Increase EBITDA

    ~$7 billion reduction In midstream and marketing

    commitments since 2014

    Commitment being fully utilized; CHK projects overall estimate of ~90% utilization company-wide

    Reducing Commitments

  • DEBT MATURITY PROFILE

    • Pro forma tender results, OMRs, 6.25% Euro note maturity and 6.50% 2017

    redemption

    Q4 2016 EARNINGS 18

  • HEDGING POSITION

    (1) As of 2/6/16, using midpoints of total production from 2/14/2017 Outlook

    Oil2017 (1)

    68%

    Swaps $50.19/bbl

    Natural Gas2017 (1)

    71%

    68%Swaps

    3%Collars

    $3.00/$3.48/mcfNYMEX

    $3.07/mcfNYMEX

    ~120 bcf hedged in 2018 with swaps at an average price of $3.13

    ~47 bcf hedged in 2018 with collars at an average price of $3.00/$3.25

    NGL2017 (1)

    7%

    Ethane Swaps $0.28/gal

    Q4 2016 EARNINGS 19

  • CORPORATE INFORMATION

    HEADQUARTERS

    6100 N. Western Avenue

    Oklahoma City, OK 73118

    WEBSITE: www.chk.com

    CORPORATE CONTACTS

    BRAD SYLVESTER, CFA

    Vice President – Investor Relations

    and Communications

    DOMENIC J. DELL’OSSO, JR.

    Executive Vice President and

    Chief Financial Officer

    Investor Relations department

    can be reached at [email protected]

    PUBLICLY TRADED SECURITIES CUSIP TICKER

    7.25% Senior Notes due 2018 #165167CC9 CHK18A

    3mL + 3.25% Senior Notes due 2019 #165167CM7 CHK19

    6.625% Senior Notes due 2020 #165167CF2 CHK20A

    6.875% Senior Notes due 2020 #165167BU0 CHK20

    6.125% Senior Notes due 2021 #165167CG0 CHK21

    5.375% Senior Notes due 2021 #165167CK21 CHK21A

    8.00% Senior Secured Second Lien Notes due 2022#165167CQ8 N/A

    #U16450AT2 N/A

    4.875% Senior Notes due 2022 #165167CN5 CHK22

    5.75% Senior Notes due 2023 #165167CL9 CHK23

    8.00% Senior Notes due 2025#165167CT2 N/A

    #U16450AU99 N/A

    5.50% Contingent Convertible Senior Notes due 2026 #165167CR6 N/A

    2.75% Contingent Convertible Senior Notes due 2035 #165167BW6 CHK35

    2.50% Contingent Convertible Senior Notes due 2037#165167BZ9/

    #165167CA3CHK37/ CHK37A

    2.25% Contingent Convertible Senior Notes due 2038 #165167CB1 CHK38

    4.5% Cumulative Convertible Preferred Stock #165167842 CHK PrD

    5.0% Cumulative Convertible Preferred Stock (Series 2005B)#165167834/

    N/A#165167826

    5.75% Cumulative Convertible Preferred Stock

    #U16450204/

    N/A#165167776/

    #165167768

    5.75% Cumulative Convertible Preferred Stock (Series A)

    #U16450113/

    N/A#165167784/

    #165167750

    Chesapeake Common Stock #165167107 CHK

    Q4 2016 EARNINGS 20

    http://www.chk.com/mailto:[email protected]