2019 first quarter earnings conference call · 2020-03-22 · 14 operating expense components first...

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1 2019 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call April 24, 2019

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Page 1: 2019 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call · 2020-03-22 · 14 Operating Expense Components First Quarter 2019 vs. 2018 ($ millions) Materials and Other $16 / 8% Gains on the sale

1

2019 First Quarter

Earnings Conference Call

April 24, 2019

Page 2: 2019 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call · 2020-03-22 · 14 Operating Expense Components First Quarter 2019 vs. 2018 ($ millions) Materials and Other $16 / 8% Gains on the sale

2

This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provision of the Private

Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, as amended. These statements relate to future events or future performance of

Norfolk Southern Corporation’s (NYSE: NSC) (“Norfolk Southern,” “NS” or the “Company”), including but not limited to

statements regarding future financial performance and anticipated results, benefits, and targets related to the strategic plan.

In some cases, these forward-looking statements may be identified by the use of words like “will,” “believe,” “expect,”

“targets,” “anticipate,” “estimate,” “plan,” “consider,” “project,” and similar references to the future. The Company has based

these forward-looking statements on management’s current expectations, assumptions, estimates, beliefs, and projections.

While the Company believes these expectations, assumptions, estimates, and projections are reasonable, forward-looking

statements are only predictions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, many of which involve factors or

circumstances that are beyond the Company’s control, including but not limited to: general North American and global

economic conditions; changes in energy prices and fuel markets; uncertainty surrounding timing and volumes of

commodities being shipped; changes in laws and regulations; uncertainties of claims and lawsuits; labor disputes;

transportation of dangerous goods; effects of changes in capital market conditions; and severe weather. These and other

important factors, including those discussed under “Risk Factors” in the Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended

December 31, 2018, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”), as well as the Company’s subsequent

filings with the SEC, may cause actual results, benefits, performance, or achievements to differ materially from those

expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. Please refer to these SEC filings for a full discussion of those

risks and uncertainties we view as most important.

Forward-looking statements are not, and should not be relied upon as, a guarantee of future events or performance, nor will

they necessarily prove to be accurate indications of the times at or by which any such events or performance will be

achieved. As a result, actual outcomes and results may differ materially from those expressed in forward-looking

statements. We undertake no obligation to update or revise forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new

information, the occurrence of certain events or otherwise, unless otherwise required by applicable securities law.

Forward-Looking Statements

Page 3: 2019 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call · 2020-03-22 · 14 Operating Expense Components First Quarter 2019 vs. 2018 ($ millions) Materials and Other $16 / 8% Gains on the sale

3

2019 Highlights

First Quarter

April 24, 2019

James A. Squires

Chairman, President, and

Chief Executive Officer

Page 4: 2019 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call · 2020-03-22 · 14 Operating Expense Components First Quarter 2019 vs. 2018 ($ millions) Materials and Other $16 / 8% Gains on the sale

4

First Quarter 2019 Results Versus Prior Year

1Q19 vs 1Q18

Income from operations $966M 16%

Net income $677M 23%

Earnings per share $2.51 30%

Operating ratio 66.0% 69.3%

Record first quarter financial measures

RECORD RESULT

RECORD RESULT

RECORD RESULT

RECORD RESULT

Page 5: 2019 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call · 2020-03-22 · 14 Operating Expense Components First Quarter 2019 vs. 2018 ($ millions) Materials and Other $16 / 8% Gains on the sale

5

Alan H. Shaw

Executive Vice President

and Chief Marketing Officer

2019 Marketing Overview

First Quarter

April 24, 2019

Page 6: 2019 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call · 2020-03-22 · 14 Operating Expense Components First Quarter 2019 vs. 2018 ($ millions) Materials and Other $16 / 8% Gains on the sale

6

$2,717

$2,840

$81

$41 $1

1Q 2018 Merchandise Intermodal Coal 1Q 2019

Merchandise

$1,599

+3%

Coal

$449

+13%

Intermodal

$621

+8%

RECORD VOLUME

Revenue Change in $ Millions

* Please see reconciliation to GAAP posted on our website on the Invest in NS page under Events for this event.

Leveraging the value of our service product

Merchandise Intermodal Coal Total

Revenue $1,686M 5% $719M 6% $435M 0% $2,840M 5%

Volume 598,200 (1%) 1,071,000 2% 236,300 (5%) 1,905,500 0%

RPU $2,819 6% $671 4% $1,839 6% $1,490 4%

RPU (less fuel)* $2,749 6% $576 3% $1,801 6% $1,410 4%RECORD RPU LF

Railway Operating RevenueFirst Quarter 2019 vs. 2018

RECORD RPU

RECORD RPU LF

Page 7: 2019 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call · 2020-03-22 · 14 Operating Expense Components First Quarter 2019 vs. 2018 ($ millions) Materials and Other $16 / 8% Gains on the sale

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Sustained strength in

manufacturing and

consumption

Pipeline activity

impacting growth

Tight truck capacity

Alignment with

channel partners

Growth in consumer

spending

Low natural gas and

API 2 prices

Elevated seaborne

coking coal prices

Sustained margin improvement through Yield-Up initiatives and pricing

2019 Outlook

Pricing to the value of our improving service product

Page 8: 2019 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call · 2020-03-22 · 14 Operating Expense Components First Quarter 2019 vs. 2018 ($ millions) Materials and Other $16 / 8% Gains on the sale

8

Michael J. Wheeler

Executive Vice President

and Chief Operating Officer

2019 Operations Overview

First Quarter

April 24, 2019

Page 9: 2019 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call · 2020-03-22 · 14 Operating Expense Components First Quarter 2019 vs. 2018 ($ millions) Materials and Other $16 / 8% Gains on the sale

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16

18

20

22

1Q18 1Q19

MP

H

Better

Train Speed

18

22

26

30

1Q18 1Q19

Ho

urs

Better

Terminal Dwell

Improvement in Network Metrics

+14%-23%

Service Performance

Page 10: 2019 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call · 2020-03-22 · 14 Operating Expense Components First Quarter 2019 vs. 2018 ($ millions) Materials and Other $16 / 8% Gains on the sale

10

Service and Productivity Metrics

163.0

143.0 143.0

120

140

160

180

2018Actual

2019Goal

2021Goal

Th

ou

san

ds

Internal Cars-On-Line

Cars-On-Line

Better

35.1 36.1

46.9

0

20

40

60

2018Actual

2019Goal

2021Goal

Th

ou

san

ds

KGTMs / Average Active T&E

T&E Productivity

6.38

6.55

7.13

6.0

6.4

6.8

7.2

2018Actual

2019Goal

2021Goal

Th

ou

san

ds

Tons / Road Train

Train Weight

103.3117.2

134.0

0

50

100

150

2018Actual

2019Goal

2021Goal

Th

ou

san

ds

KGTMs / average Active Locomotive**

Locomotive Productivity

1.0

1.41.5

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2018Actual

2019Goal

2021Goal

Delivery performance of

scheduled shipments*

Service Delivery Index

* Blended calculation of Shipment Consistency and Intermodal Availability, updated 2021 goal

** Includes units available to transportation + bad orders

Better Unless otherwise indicated

Page 11: 2019 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call · 2020-03-22 · 14 Operating Expense Components First Quarter 2019 vs. 2018 ($ millions) Materials and Other $16 / 8% Gains on the sale

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TOP21 Operating Plan Update

Targeted implementation already

underway

Better network balance, greater use

of Distributed Power

Collaboration with customers

Full implementation of this year’s

iteration by end of July

Routes with increased speed to 60 mph

Page 12: 2019 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call · 2020-03-22 · 14 Operating Expense Components First Quarter 2019 vs. 2018 ($ millions) Materials and Other $16 / 8% Gains on the sale

12

Cynthia C. Earhart

Executive Vice President Finance

and Chief Financial Officer

2019 Financial Overview

First Quarter

April 24, 2019

Page 13: 2019 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call · 2020-03-22 · 14 Operating Expense Components First Quarter 2019 vs. 2018 ($ millions) Materials and Other $16 / 8% Gains on the sale

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Operating Results First Quarter 2019 vs. 2018 ($ millions)

Record first quarter operating results

2019 2018 Favorable

Railway operating revenues $ 2,840 $ 2,717 $ 123 5%

Railway operating expenses 1,874 1,882 8 --%

Income from railway operations $ 966 $ 835 $ 131 16%

Operating ratio (%) 66.0 69.3 3.3 5%

RECORD RESULT

RECORD RESULT

RECORD RESULT

Page 14: 2019 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call · 2020-03-22 · 14 Operating Expense Components First Quarter 2019 vs. 2018 ($ millions) Materials and Other $16 / 8% Gains on the sale

14

Operating Expense Components First Quarter 2019 vs. 2018 ($ millions)

Materials and Other $16 / 8%

Gains on the sale of rail property and lower

network velocity-related costs

Fuel $16 / 6%

4% lower price per gallon

1% decreased consumption

Purchased Svcs and Rents $23 / 6%

Higher intermodal volume-related expenses

and information technology costs

Lower equipment rents

Compensation and Benefits $10 / 1%

Lower employee activity levels, higher

capitalized labor, and decreased overtime and

recrews

Higher agreement pay rates

$1,882

$16

$16$10

$11

$23 $1,874

Comp &

Ben

Materials &

Other

Deprec2018 Purchased

Svcs & Rents2019Fuel

Operating expenses down slightly

Page 15: 2019 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call · 2020-03-22 · 14 Operating Expense Components First Quarter 2019 vs. 2018 ($ millions) Materials and Other $16 / 8% Gains on the sale

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Financial ResultsFirst Quarter 2019 vs. 2018 ($ millions except per share)

2019 2018Favorable

(Unfavorable)

Income from railway operations $ 966 $ 835 $ 131 16%

Other income – net 44 8 36 450%

Interest expense on debt 149 136 (13) (10%)

Income before income taxes 861 707 154 22%

Income taxes 184 155 (29) (19%)

Net income $ 677 $ 552 $ 125 23%

Earnings per share – diluted $ 2.51 $ 1.93 $ 0.58 30%

Net income up 23% and diluted earnings per share up 30%

RECORD RESULT

RECORD RESULT

RECORD RESULT

Page 16: 2019 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call · 2020-03-22 · 14 Operating Expense Components First Quarter 2019 vs. 2018 ($ millions) Materials and Other $16 / 8% Gains on the sale

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Cash FlowsFirst Three Months 2019 vs. 2018 ($ millions)

2019 2018

Cash from operating activities $ 881 $ 816

Property additions (467) (383)

Free cash flow (1) $ 414 $ 433

Returns to shareholders:

Dividends $ 230 $ 205

Share repurchases $ 500 $ 300

(1) Please see reconciliation to GAAP posted on our website on the Invest in NS page under Events for this event.

Returns to shareholders up 45%

Page 17: 2019 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call · 2020-03-22 · 14 Operating Expense Components First Quarter 2019 vs. 2018 ($ millions) Materials and Other $16 / 8% Gains on the sale

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www.norfolksouthern.com

Thank You