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TRANSCRIPT
WORLd OF
CORN2 0 1 7
Metric Version
A Letter from NCGA
America’s corn farmers demonstrated their ability to sustainably produce an
abundant crop in 2016. This record-setting crop offers infinite possibilities for
feeding and fueling a growing world. From renewable fuels to high-quality feed
to food ingredients, corn improves our lives today and offers a future limited
only by our imaginations. As the World of Corn continues to grow, we invite
you to take a moment to learn more about how amazing maize can truly be.
1.25 METRIC TONHECTAREharvested in 1912 11.0 METRIC TON
HECTAREharvested in 2016
WESLEY SPURLOCK, PRESIDENT
CHRIS NOVAK, CEO
— PAGE 4 —
World of Corn
2016 Projections
2015 Estimate
Corn
Soybeans
Wheat
Sorghum
Barley
Oats $0.19
$0.13
$1.20$0.98
$1.98$1.39
$10.08$8.78
$35.14$40.92
$49.10$51.50
U.S. Select Crop Value($ billion)
U.S. All Crop Acres Harvested 2015 – 2016(1,000 hectare)
Source: USDA WASDE Jan. 12, 2017
2015 2016Corn (grain) 32,692 35,121
Corn (silage) 2,519 2,504
Soybeans 33,090 33,496
Hay 22,039 21,644
Wheat 19,157 17,769
Cotton 3,269 3,855
Sorghum (grain) 3,179 2,495
Sorghum (silage) 124 121
Rice 1,043 1,254
Barley 1,279 1,036
Canola 694 682
Dry Edible Beans 693 631
Peanuts 632 626
Sunflower 729 621
Dry Edible Peas 439 538
Sugar Beets 464 456
2015 2016Potatoes 427 408
Oats 517 397
Sugar Cane 359 371
Lentils 193 368
Rye 148 168
Proso Millet 169 167
Flaxseed 183 149
Tobacco 133 129
Sweet Potatoes 62 66
Safflower 64 63
Mustard Seed 16 40
Peppermint 26 26
Hops 18 21
Other 102 26
Total 124,457 125,247
Source: USDA, NASS, Crop Production 2016 Summary, Jan.12, 2017
— PAGE 5 —— PAGE 5 —
U.S. Corn Production
Source: USDA, WAOB, World Agriculture Supply & Demand Estimates, Jan. 12, 2017 *Crop Year Ending Aug. 31, 2017
Planted Hectares (1,000s)
Harvested Hectares (1,000s)
Average Yield
MT/Ha
Total Production (1,000 MT)
AL 134 128 7.5 960
AR 308 302 10.7 3,236 AZ 38 20 13.5 273 CA 170 40 11.6 470 CO 543 474 8.6 4,072 CT 10 0 0 0DE 69 66 10.7 708 FL 32 16 9.1 147 GA 166 138 10.4 1,425 IA 5,628 5,466 12.7 69,613 ID 138 40 11.8 478 IL 4,696 4,636 12.4 57,297 IN 2,267 2,215 10.9 24,038 KS 2,065 1,992 8.9 17,746 KY 607 567 10.0 5,654 LA 251 223 10.4 2,305 MA 6 0 0 0MD 186 162 9.5 1,544 ME 13 0 0 0MI 972 826 9.9 8,136 MN 3,421 3,239 12.1 39,220 MO 1,478 1,417 10.2 14,492 MS 304 291 10.4 3,036 MT 47 22 6.3 140
Planted Hectares (1,000s)
Harvested Hectares (1,000s)
Average Yield
MT/Ha
Total Production (1,000 MT)
NC 405 381 8.1 3,080 ND 1,397 1,324 9.9 13,124 NE 3,988 3,866 11.2 43,180 NH 6 0 0 0
NJ 32 28 9.1 262
NM 49 17 9.4 156 NV 4 0 0 0NY 445 231 8.1 1,868 OH 1,437 1,336 10.0 13,328 OK 162 142 7.6 1,076 OR 32 16 14.4 228 PA 567 385 8.1 3,113 RI 1 0 0 0SC 152 142 8.0 1,129 SD 2,267 2,077 10.1 20,980 TN 356 336 9.5 3,184 TX 1,174 1,032 8.0 8,226 UT 32 12 11.0 129 VA 198 138 9.3 1,278 VT 36 0 0 0WA 69 34 14.7 507 WI 1,640 1,304 11.2 14,559 WV 20 14 9.1 129 WY 40 28 9.2 258
U.S. 38,058 35,121 11.0 384,782
Source: USDA, NASS, Crop Production 2016 Summary, Jan. 12, 2017
2016 U.S. Corn Production by State
‘16*‘15‘14‘13‘12‘11‘10‘09‘08‘07‘06‘96‘86‘76‘66‘56‘46‘36
2 7
36
21 23
124
22
33
41 42 43
29 25 21
31
44 44
60
U.S. Corn Ending Stocks 1936 – 2016(million metric tons)
‘16‘15‘14‘13‘12‘11‘10‘09‘08‘07‘06‘96‘86‘76‘66‘56‘46‘36
27,4
63
31,74
5
26,2
66
23,0
78
28,9
50
27,8
98
29,4
11
28,5
98 35,0
28
31,8
10
32,18
2
32,9
74
34,0
04
35,3
70
35,4
05
33,6
58
32,6
92
35,12
1
— PAGE 6 —
U.S. Corn Production
‘16‘15‘14‘13‘12‘11‘10‘09‘08‘07‘06‘96‘86‘76‘66‘56‘46‘36
1.2
2.3 3.
0
4.6 5.
5
7.5 8.
0
9.4 9.5 9.7 10
.3
9.6
9.2
7.7
9.9 10
.7
10.6 11.0
U.S. Average Corn Yield 1936 – 2016 (metric ton/hectare)
Source: USDA, NASS, Crop Production 2016 Summary, Jan. 12, 2017
Source: USDA, NASS, Crop Production 2016 Summary, Jan. 12, 2017
U.S. Corn Acres Harvested 1936 – 2016 (1,000 hectare)
Source: USDA, NASS, Crop Production 2016 Summary, Jan. 12, 2017
U.S. Corn Acres Planted 1936 – 2016 (1,000 hectare)
‘16‘15‘14‘13‘12‘11‘10‘09‘08‘07‘06‘96‘86‘76‘66‘56‘46‘36
41,2
79
35,9
91
31,5
09
26,8
61 34,2
46
31,0
04
32,0
77
31,7
11 37,8
65
34,8
11
34,9
72
35,7
05
37,2
21
39,3
34
38,6
09
36,6
79
35,6
27
38,0
58
— PAGE 7 —
U.S. Corn Production
‘16‘15‘14‘13‘12‘11‘10‘09‘08‘07‘06‘96‘86‘76‘66‘56‘46‘36
31,9
72 74,0
73
78,11
8
105,
863 159,
754 208,
946
234,
520
267,5
06 331,1
81
307,1
45
332,
552
316,
168
313,
952
273,
195 35
3,05
4
361,0
95
345,
490
384,7
82U.S. Corn Production 1936-2016 (1,000 metric tons)
Source: USDA, NASS, Crop Production 2016 Summary, Jan. 12, 2017
‘16**‘15*‘14‘13‘12‘11‘10‘09‘08‘07‘06‘96‘86‘76‘66‘56‘46‘36
$40
.55
$60
.23
$50
.78
$48
.82 $84
.64
$59
.05 $
106.
69
$11
9.68
$16
5.35
$15
9.83
$13
9.76
$20
3.93
$24
4.87
$27
1.24
$17
5.58
$14
5.66
$14
2.12
$13
3.85
U.S. Corn Prices 1936-2016 ($/metric ton)
Source: USDA, WAOB, World Agriculture Supply & Demand *estimated **projected for crop year Sept. 2016 – Aug. 2017
‘16**‘15*‘14‘13‘12‘11‘10‘09‘08‘07‘06‘96‘86‘76‘66‘56‘46‘36
$1.3
0
$4.4
6
$3.9
7
$5.17 $1
3.52
$12.
34 $25.
02 $32.
09
$54.7
6
$49.
09
$46.
48
$64.
48 $76.
88
$74.
10
$61.6
8
$52.
60
$49.
10
$51.5
0
Data Source: USDA WASDE Jan. 12, 2017 *estimate **projections
U.S. Corn Crop Value 1936-2016 ($ billion)
— PAGE 8 —
Global Corn Production
World Corn Production 2016 – 2017*(million metric tons)
World Corn Consumption 2016 – 2017*(million metric tons)
Source: USDA, FAS Grain: World Markets and Trade, Jan. 12, 2017
*Marketing Year Oct. 1, 2016 – Sept. 30, 2017
Source: USDA, FAS Grain: World Markets and Trade, Jan. 12, 2017
*Marketing Year Oct. 1, 2016 – Sept. 30, 2017
U.S.384.8
EU-2760.7
China219.6
Other145.2
Brazil86.5
India24.5
Russia15.5
Mexico24.5
Argentina36.5
Ukraine27
Canada13.2
World Total1,037.9
U.S.314
EU-2773.6
Other237.2
China227
Brazil58.5
India23.4
Indonesia12.3
Mexico37.5
Japan15.1
Egypt15.1
Canada13.3
World Total1,027
U.S. 56.5(39.8%)
Argentina 25.5(18%)
Brazil 22(15.5%)
Ukraine 18(12.7%)
Russia 5.3 (3.7%)
South Africa 1.3 (0.9%)EU-27 2.0 (1.4%)
Paraguay 2.3 (1.6%)Serbia 2.5 (1.8%)
Mexico 0.8 (0.6%)Burma 1.1 (0.8%)
Other 4.8 (3.3%)EXPORTING NATIONS
IMPORTING NATIONS
TOTAL EXPORTS/IMPORTS
142
Other 51.6(36.3%)
Iran 7 (4.9%)Colombia 4.8 (3.4%) Taiwan 4.6 (3.2%)
Algeria 4.5 (3.2%)U.S. 1.4 (1.0%)
Japan 15(10.6%)
Mexico 13.8(9.7%)
EU-2713.1
(9.2%)
SouthKorea 9.8
(6.9%)
Egypt9
(6.3%)
Vietnam 7.5 (5.3%)
World Corn Exports/Imports 2016 – 2017*(1,000 metric tons)
Source: USDA, FAS Grain: World Markets and Trade, Jan. 12, 2017 *Marketing Year Oct. 1, 2016 – Sept. 30, 2017
— PAGE 9 —
Global Corn Production
U.S. Corn Exports 1996 – 2016(million metric tons)
57
46
38
50 49 49 48
40
48 46
54 54
62
47 50 47
39
19
49
44 44
‘16**‘15*‘14‘13‘12‘11‘10‘09‘08‘07‘06‘05‘04‘03‘02“‘01‘00‘99‘98‘97‘96
Source: USDA, WAOB, World Agriculture Supply & Demand Estimate, Jan. 12, 2017 *estimate **projections
U.S. Corn Exports/Leading Markets 2013 – 2016(million metric tons)
2013 – 14 2014 – 15 2015 – 16Mexico 10.5 11.3 13.3 Japan 11.9 12.0 10.4 Colombia 3.6 4.4 4.5 S Korea 5 3.9 3 Peru 1.2 2.6 2.4 Taiwan 1.8 1.8 2
2013 – 14 2014 – 15 2015 – 16Saudi Arabia 1 1.2 1.4 Venezuela 1.1 0.7 1.2 Canada 0.5 1.5 1 Guatemala 0.8 0.9 0.9 Other 11.4 7.1 8.1
Total 48.8 47.4 48.2
Source: USDA, ERS Feed Outlook, Jan. 17, 2017
— PAGE 10 —
Corn Consumption Overview
Corn Processed by Segment 1996 – 2016(million metric tons)
Source: USDA, ERS Feed Outlook *projection
Carry-Out
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
‘16*‘15‘14‘13‘12‘11‘10‘09‘08‘07‘06‘05‘04‘03‘02‘01‘00‘99‘98‘97‘96
Feed &Residual
FSI
Exports
‘16*‘15‘14‘13‘12‘11‘10‘09‘08‘07‘06‘01‘96‘91‘86
31 39 44
52
90
113 12
8
151 16
3
163
153 16
5
167 169 172
Food/Seed/Industrial Usage 1986 – 2016(million metric tons)
Source: USDA, ERS Feed Outlook Jan. 17, 2017 *Crop Year Ending Aug. 31, 2017
— PAGE 11 —
Corn Consumption Overview
Source: USDA, ERS Feed Outlook, Jan. 17, 2017; ProExporter Network; Crop Year Ending Aug. 31, 2017
Feed & Residual142 MMT (38.4%) • • • • • • • • • • • • •
• • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • •• • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • •
Exports57 MMT (15.3%)
Sweeteners8 MMT (2.2%)
High-Fructose Corn Syrup12 MMT (3.3%)
Starch 6 MMT (1.7%)
Beverage/Alcohol4 MMT (1.0%)
Seed1 MMT (0.2%)
FSI172 MMT
Cereal/Other5 MMT (1.4%)
Fuel Ethanol107 MMT (28.9%)
DDGs28 MMT(7.6%)
TOTAL USAGE 370 MMT• = 1 MMT
Corn Usage by Segment 2016(million metric tons)
— PAGE 12 —
Corn Consumption Food & Feed
‘16*‘15‘14‘13‘12‘11‘10‘09‘08‘07‘06‘01‘96‘91‘86
9 10
13 14 14 13 12 13 13 13 12 12 12 12 12
High-Fructose Corn Syrup Usage 1986 – 2016 (million metric tons)
Source: USDA, ERS Feed Outlook Jan. 17, 2017 *Crop Year Ending Aug. 31, 2017
‘16*‘15‘14‘13‘12‘11‘10‘09‘08‘07‘06‘01‘96‘91‘86
5
6 6 6
7 7
6 6
7
6 6 6
5
6 6
Starch Usage 1986 – 2016 (million metric tons)
Source: USDA, ERS Feed Outlook Jan. 17, 2017 *Crop Year Ending Aug. 31, 2017
‘16*‘15‘14‘13‘12‘11‘10‘09‘08‘07‘06‘01‘96‘91‘86
2
4
3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
4 4 4 4 4
Beverages and Manufacturing Alcohol 1986 – 2016 (million metric tons)
Source: USDA, ERS Feed Outlook Jan. 17, 2017 *Crop Year Ending Aug. 31, 2017
— PAGE 13 —
Corn Consumption Food & Feed
‘16*‘15‘14‘13‘12‘11‘10‘09‘08‘07‘06‘01‘96‘91‘86
4
5
6 6
7 7
6
7 7 7 7
8 8 8 8
Sweetener Usage 1986 – 2016 (million metric tons)
Source: USDA, ERS Feed Outlook Jan. 17, 2017 *Crop Year Ending Aug. 31, 2017
‘16*‘15‘14‘13‘12‘11‘10‘09‘08‘07‘06
14
23 23
28 31 30
26 26 26 28 28
Source: ProExporter Network,Crop Year Ending Aug. 31, 2017 *projections
Corn Displaced by DDG/CGF in Domestic Livestock Rations 2006-2016 (million metric tons)
‘16*‘15‘14‘13‘12‘11‘10‘09‘08‘07‘06‘01‘96‘91‘86
3
4
5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
3
Cereal and Food 1986 – 2016 (million metric tons)
Source: USDA, ERS Feed Outlook Jan. 17, 2017 *Crop Year Ending Aug. 31, 2017
— PAGE 14 —
Corn Consumption Food & Feed
U.S. Corn Fed by Region 2006 – 2016(million metric tons)
Source: ProExporter Network, Crop Year Ending Aug. 31, 2017 *projections
0
30
60
90
120
150
Non-Cornbelt
Cornbelt
‘16*‘15‘14‘13‘12‘11‘10‘09‘08‘07‘06
Corn Fed by Species 2003 – 2016(million metric tons)
Source: ProExporter Network, Crop Year Ending Aug. 31, 2017 *projections
0
10
20
30
40
50
‘16*‘15‘14‘13‘12‘11‘10‘09‘08‘07‘06‘05‘04‘03
Poultry
Dairy
Other
BeefPork
U.S. Meat Exports by Animal Group 1996 – 2016 (1,000 metric tons)
Source: PRX; USDA, WAOB World Agriculture Supply *Calendar year estimates and Demand Estimates, Jan. 12, 2017
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
‘16*‘15‘14‘13‘12‘11‘10‘09‘08‘07‘06‘05‘04‘03‘02‘01‘00‘99‘98‘97‘96
Poultry
Beef
Pork
poultry pork dairybeef
— PAGE 15 —
Corn Consumption Ethanol
Insect Resistant 1,142Non-Biotech 3,045Herbicide Tolerant 4,948Stacked Traits 28,924
3%Insect
Resistant8%Non-Biotech
13%HerbicideTolerant
76%Stacked Traits
Total 38,058
Biotech Share of U.S. Corn Acres Planted 2016(1,000 hectare)
Data Source: USDA, NASS, Crop Production Annual Jan. 12, 2017
Percentage of Biotech Acreage 2014 – 2016
Source: USDA, NASS, Acreage June 30, 2016
Insect Resistant Herbicide Tolerant Stacked Traits All Biotech HybridsYear ‘14 ‘15 ‘16 ‘14 ‘15 ‘16 ‘14 ‘15 ‘16 ‘14 ‘15 ‘16
IL 3 1 2 5 4 4 83 88 87 91 93 93
IN 2 4 2 8 8 9 78 76 75 88 88 86
IA 1 5 3 8 8 9 83 80 80 95 93 92
KS 5 4 4 18 12 12 72 79 79 95 95 95
MI 2 2 3 15 16 18 76 74 70 93 92 91
MN 2 2 3 10 13 10 81 78 80 93 93 93
MO 4 5 4 10 9 8 79 75 81 93 89 93
NE 4 4 3 15 10 15 77 82 77 96 96 95
ND 6 6 4 22 21 25 68 70 66 96 97 95
OH 3 3 2 14 14 18 69 68 66 86 85 86
SD 3 1 4 14 13 16 80 83 78 97 97 98
TX 12 10 8 17 12 11 62 67 71 91 89 90
WI 3 3 3 17 19 17 72 70 70 92 92 90
Other 6 4 5 19 18 18 66 68 68 91 90 90
Total 4 4 3 13 12 13 76 77 76 93 92 92
‘16*‘15‘14‘13‘12‘11‘10‘09‘08‘07‘06‘01‘96‘91‘86
7 10 11 1854
7794
117 12
712
7
118 13
0 132
132 135
Corn Used for Ethanol and DDG Production 1986 – 2016(million metric tons)
Source: USDA, ERS Feed Outlook Jan. 17, 2017
*Crop Year Ending Aug. 31, 2017
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National Corn Growers Associationwww.ncga.com
www.worldofcorn.com
20 F Street NW, Suite 600Washington, DC 20001
(202) 628-7001
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(636) 733-9004
State Organizations& Grower Members
Grower Members
State Organizations& Grower Members
Grower Members
Founded in 1957, the National Corn Growers Association represents more than 40,000 dues- paying corn farmers nationwide and the interests of more than 300,000 growers who contribute through corn checkoff programs in their states. NCGA and its 49 affiliated state organizations work together to sustainably feed and fuel a growing world by creating and increasing opportunities for corn growers.
For more information, visit www.ncga.com.