26 june 2008 steve bratt ([email protected]), [email protected] chief executive officer panel 2:...

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26 June 2008 Steve Bratt ( [email protected] ), Moderator Chief Executive Officer http://www.w3.org/ Panel 2: Challenges in the Air – Mobile Internet http://www.w3.org/2008/Talks/0626-bratt-W3C-NGMG-intro/W3C-NGMN2008.

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Page 1: 26 June 2008 Steve Bratt (steve@w3.org), Moderatorsteve@w3.org Chief Executive Officer  Panel 2: Challenges in the Air – Mobile Internet

26 June 2008

Steve Bratt ([email protected]),

Moderator

Chief Executive Offi cer

http://www.w3.org/

Panel 2:

Challenges in the Air –Mobile Internet

http://www.w3.org/2008/Talks/0626-bratt-W3C-NGMG-intro/W3C-NGMN2008.pdf

Page 2: 26 June 2008 Steve Bratt (steve@w3.org), Moderatorsteve@w3.org Chief Executive Officer  Panel 2: Challenges in the Air – Mobile Internet

World Wide Web ConsortiumSets the Standards that Make the Web Work

• Founded in 1994 by Tim Berners-Lee, inventor of the Web (current W3C Director)

• 420+ Members (corporate, government, non-profit, academia) from 40+ countries

• Liaisons with 40+ global standards organizations, e.g. UN (IGF), ISO, ITU, IETF, OGF, Unicode, OMA, 3GPP, ETSI, …

• 1,500 participants in 60+ Groups

• 30,000 people subscribed to mailing lists

• 8,000,000 hits/day on www.w3.org

Page 3: 26 June 2008 Steve Bratt (steve@w3.org), Moderatorsteve@w3.org Chief Executive Officer  Panel 2: Challenges in the Air – Mobile Internet

W3C Vision:Leading the Web’s Expansion…

.. from a Web of linked documents (1.0),

to One Web: of Creators and

Consumers (2.0) of Linked Data

and Services (3.0) on Everything for Everyone

Page 4: 26 June 2008 Steve Bratt (steve@w3.org), Moderatorsteve@w3.org Chief Executive Officer  Panel 2: Challenges in the Air – Mobile Internet

One Web …

… providing the same information and services to users, regardless of the operators and device they are using.

Page 5: 26 June 2008 Steve Bratt (steve@w3.org), Moderatorsteve@w3.org Chief Executive Officer  Panel 2: Challenges in the Air – Mobile Internet

Challenges for the Web on Everything, are Everywhere … but fading fast (imho)

Content that is usefulContent that is usable

… given the screen size, key pad, speed, consistency

Reasonable pricing and revenue modelsUbiquitous interoperability Identity, privacy, trust… on a wide variety of devices

Page 6: 26 June 2008 Steve Bratt (steve@w3.org), Moderatorsteve@w3.org Chief Executive Officer  Panel 2: Challenges in the Air – Mobile Internet

Mobile Web LandscapeWho is challenged, and who stands to gain?

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Page 7: 26 June 2008 Steve Bratt (steve@w3.org), Moderatorsteve@w3.org Chief Executive Officer  Panel 2: Challenges in the Air – Mobile Internet

Mobile Web Potential = Substantial

http://www.gsmworld.com/documents/universal_access_full_report.pdf (2006)

Mobile haves vs. have nots

Internet haves vs.have nots

People onInternet

Page 8: 26 June 2008 Steve Bratt (steve@w3.org), Moderatorsteve@w3.org Chief Executive Officer  Panel 2: Challenges in the Air – Mobile Internet

Mobile Reach (Q2 2008)

• “Mobile Internet Extends the Reach of Leading Internet Sites by 13%” (Neilsen)

• “EU's mobile data market grew by 40 per cent last year” to 112 million users (silicon.com)

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Page 9: 26 June 2008 Steve Bratt (steve@w3.org), Moderatorsteve@w3.org Chief Executive Officer  Panel 2: Challenges in the Air – Mobile Internet

Perspective from one (of many) browsers: Opera Mini

May 2008: Users = 15 million / Data vol = 43 million Mbytes / Pages = 3 billionGrowth = 10 – 15% per month

Page 10: 26 June 2008 Steve Bratt (steve@w3.org), Moderatorsteve@w3.org Chief Executive Officer  Panel 2: Challenges in the Air – Mobile Internet

Mobile Advertising

Challenges– Space, standards

Wildly-varyinggrowth projections(AccuraCast)

– Global now:• $1 to 2B ?

– Global by 2112:• $1B (Forrester)

vs.• $21B for Google alone (Thomson)

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AdMob Live Map

Page 12: 26 June 2008 Steve Bratt (steve@w3.org), Moderatorsteve@w3.org Chief Executive Officer  Panel 2: Challenges in the Air – Mobile Internet

MWI Next Generation:New push about to start in W3C…

• mobileOK and testing• Mobile Web 2.0 applications• Mobile search, social networking, ads• Location-based services (+ privacy & security)

• Mobile Web in developing countries• Integration of voice and multimodality• Mobile video

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Page 13: 26 June 2008 Steve Bratt (steve@w3.org), Moderatorsteve@w3.org Chief Executive Officer  Panel 2: Challenges in the Air – Mobile Internet

Starter Questions

• What content will drive growth of the mobile

web?

– e.g, what does the user want?

• How important are web standards in this

growth?

• How important is it to allow the customers

maximum freedom vs. providing a controlled

environment?

• How can the operators profit?

• What can we learn from history?

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Page 14: 26 June 2008 Steve Bratt (steve@w3.org), Moderatorsteve@w3.org Chief Executive Officer  Panel 2: Challenges in the Air – Mobile Internet

Your Panelists …

Phil Brown(Nokia)

Terry von Bibra(Yahoo!)

Michael Walker(Vodafone)

Steve Bratt(W3C)

Page 15: 26 June 2008 Steve Bratt (steve@w3.org), Moderatorsteve@w3.org Chief Executive Officer  Panel 2: Challenges in the Air – Mobile Internet

• Extra slides follow

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Page 16: 26 June 2008 Steve Bratt (steve@w3.org), Moderatorsteve@w3.org Chief Executive Officer  Panel 2: Challenges in the Air – Mobile Internet

More than 1 Billion Served

In 1995, there were ~16,000,000 Internet users, or 0.4% of global population

Source: http://www.internetworldstats.com/stats.htm

Page 17: 26 June 2008 Steve Bratt (steve@w3.org), Moderatorsteve@w3.org Chief Executive Officer  Panel 2: Challenges in the Air – Mobile Internet

Internet Growth Driven by Open Web

Internet Users in early 2007 ~ 1+ billion

Users:Servers ratio=> 1996 ~ 150:1. 2000 ~ 50:1. 2006 ~ 10:1

Sources: http://www.zakon.org/robert/internet/timeline/http://www.internetworldstats.com/stats.htm

Number of Web Sites (domain names and content)

Page 18: 26 June 2008 Steve Bratt (steve@w3.org), Moderatorsteve@w3.org Chief Executive Officer  Panel 2: Challenges in the Air – Mobile Internet

What Led to the Web’s Success?

• Simple architecture - HTTP, URI, HTML• Networked - value grows with data, services,

users• Extensible - from Web of documents to .. • Tolerant - works with imperfect mark-up, data,

links, SW• Universal - regardless of HW, OS, SW, language,

ability• Free / cheap - browsers, information, services• Simple (and fun) for users - text, graphics, links• Powerful - for people (and machines)

• Open standards ...

Page 19: 26 June 2008 Steve Bratt (steve@w3.org), Moderatorsteve@w3.org Chief Executive Officer  Panel 2: Challenges in the Air – Mobile Internet

What Can We Learn from History?(part 1)

Internet 1994 Mobile Data Services 2005

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Too slow Too slow

“Walled gardens” “Walled gardens”

Lack of interoperability Lack of interoperability

Open Web changed the world ? ? ?

2005: W3C starts the Mobile Web Initiative

Page 20: 26 June 2008 Steve Bratt (steve@w3.org), Moderatorsteve@w3.org Chief Executive Officer  Panel 2: Challenges in the Air – Mobile Internet

What Can We Learn from History? (part 2)

Internet 1994 Mobile Data Services 2005

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Lack of content Tons of content and growing

No industry / business model Both emerging rapidly

Web 1.0: Documents Web 2.0 and Web 3.0

Smaller user base Mobile = 2x current Web users

Web = novelty Web is a staple of life (for many)

2008: Is the mobile industry finally readyto embrace the open Web model?

Page 21: 26 June 2008 Steve Bratt (steve@w3.org), Moderatorsteve@w3.org Chief Executive Officer  Panel 2: Challenges in the Air – Mobile Internet

Challenges for Mobile Web

• 2 billion people own mobile phones with Web browsers– 300-400 million are actively used

• 2-3 million new mobile phones sold / day– Most new

phones will continue to include simple Web browsers

Potential for bringing the Web to more people is huge

Graphic: Nokia

Page 22: 26 June 2008 Steve Bratt (steve@w3.org), Moderatorsteve@w3.org Chief Executive Officer  Panel 2: Challenges in the Air – Mobile Internet

W3C Standards AddressMobility Challenges

User Requirements W3C SolutionsUser-friendly content Mobile Web Best Practices

“One Web” Effective adaptation

Device DescriptionUbiquitous Web

Labeling, protection Protocol for Web Description

Description, discovery, trust mobileOK

Voice, stylus, keys VoiceXML, Multimodal

Universality WAI, I18N, Developing World

Security Browser Security, Privacy

Interoperability Web standards: XHTML, CSS, Graphics, Forms, AJAX, Widgets, Ubiquitous Web, etc.

Page 23: 26 June 2008 Steve Bratt (steve@w3.org), Moderatorsteve@w3.org Chief Executive Officer  Panel 2: Challenges in the Air – Mobile Internet

The Promise: Web for Everyone

• Commerce• Healthcare • Education• eGovernment• Communication

• Mobile Web Initiative• Accessibility• Internationalization• Developing Countries

Page 24: 26 June 2008 Steve Bratt (steve@w3.org), Moderatorsteve@w3.org Chief Executive Officer  Panel 2: Challenges in the Air – Mobile Internet

Web 2.0

• What is it?– Everyone is a creator, as well as a

consumer– Dynamic interaction

• Web 2.0 @ W3C = Rich Web Clients Activity

• Updating existing W3C standards & javascript– HTML5 + graphics, styling, etc.

• Standardizing new technologies– AJAX technologies and other javascript

stuff– Widgets, security, etc..

Page 25: 26 June 2008 Steve Bratt (steve@w3.org), Moderatorsteve@w3.org Chief Executive Officer  Panel 2: Challenges in the Air – Mobile Internet

Web 3.0*

• Web 1.0 = Linked Documents• Web 3.0 = Linked Data (

Semantic Web)– Web becomes

a global,relational database

– Potential tobreak downwalled gardensof many Web 2.0applications

* * New York Times, InternetNews

*New York Times, InternetNews

Page 26: 26 June 2008 Steve Bratt (steve@w3.org), Moderatorsteve@w3.org Chief Executive Officer  Panel 2: Challenges in the Air – Mobile Internet

Ubiquitous Web Applications

• Enabling Web applications to interact across wide diversity of devices:– Computers, equipment, media,

appliances, mobile devices, physical sensors, effectors, consumer electronics

• Deliverables … standards for:– Device independent authoring – Delivery contexts – Remote eventing, device coordination– Location service support

Working Group homepage

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Page 27: 26 June 2008 Steve Bratt (steve@w3.org), Moderatorsteve@w3.org Chief Executive Officer  Panel 2: Challenges in the Air – Mobile Internet

Internationalization

• Can you view content easily no matter where you are in the world?

• How can we make mobile devices travel more easily around the world?

Page 28: 26 June 2008 Steve Bratt (steve@w3.org), Moderatorsteve@w3.org Chief Executive Officer  Panel 2: Challenges in the Air – Mobile Internet

For more information

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http://www.w3.org/

Mobile Web Initiativehttp://www.w3.org/Mobile/