260911 eastern australia business unit briefing final...finance driving profit, performance and...
TRANSCRIPT
13/10/2011
1
Eastern Australia Business UnitEastern Australia Business Unit
Capturing the FutureMoomba Investor Trip: 26-27 September 2011
Disclaimer & important notice
This presentation contains forward looking statements that are subject to
risk factors associated with the oil and gas industry. It is believed that the
t ti fl t d i th t t t bl b t th bexpectations reflected in these statements are reasonable, but they may be
affected by a range of variables which could cause actual results or trends to
differ materially, including but not limited to: price fluctuations, actual
demand, currency fluctuations, geotechnical factors, drilling and production
results, gas commercialisation, development progress, operating results,
engineering estimates, reserve estimates, loss of market, industry
competition, environmental risks, physical risks, legislative, fiscal and
regulatory developments, economic and financial markets conditions inregulatory developments, economic and financial markets conditions in
various countries, approvals and cost estimates.
All references to dollars, cents or $ in this document are to Australian
currency, unless otherwise stated.
2
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2
Today’s key themes
Introduction
A East coast market dynamics have shiftedA. East coast market dynamics have shifted
B. Santos is ideally placed to capitalise
C. Driving efficiencies and maximising margins in central Australia
D. Delivering value in NSW CSG
Closing messages
3
EABU introduction and today’s speakers
James BaulderstoneVP Eastern Australia Business Unit
Cooper Gas Business
Oil &Offshore
Energy Business
Development Development & Technical & Technical
ServicesServices
CFOCFO
N Lagonik L Dello A Kremor C CruickshankC Cruickshank D FlewD Flew
StrategyStrategyCommercialCommercial
MarketingMarketingFinanceFinance
Driving profit, performance and accountability
Functional excellence
EABU – Eastern Australia Business Unit4
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3
Today’s key themes
Introduction
A East coast market dynamics have shiftedA. East coast market dynamics have shifted- Unprecedented east coast gas demand
- Gas prices trending toward LNG netback
B. Santos is ideally placed to capitalise
C. Driving efficiencies and maximising margins i t l A t liin central Australia
D. Delivering value in NSW CSG
Closing messages
5
East Australian gas demand to triple by 2020
Strong LNG demand + Australia’s transition to a low carbon economy is driving unprecedented east coast gas demand growth.
PJ/a
4 000
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
Five LNG trains sanctioned
Gas-fired power generation to triple by 2030
Proposed
Sanctioned
6
0
500
2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029
Retail and C&I Power generation QCLNG (T1&2)
GLNG (T1&2) APLNG T1 APLNG T2
Shell (T1&2) QCLNG T3
Source: Santos
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Higher demand will push gas prices higher
Gas prices will trend towards oil-linked international parity,circa $6–9 / GJ …
Gas fired power generation demand
LNG demandCarbon pricing
Permanent structural shift in the east coast gas market
Higher development costs
Gas-fired power generation demand
7
… unlocking the next wave of development.
Gas price increases are affordable
Expected higher domestic gas prices consistent with other energy and commodity price movements over the past decade.
Commodity price indices
Historically east coast domestic gas prices have been relatively flat
Gas cost is a small percentage of end-user price of both gas and electricity – circa 20%
East coast gas prices are
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
h in
de
x (
Yr
20
00
= 1
00
)
East coast gas prices are low compared to other markets (UK, Europe and Asia)
8
0
200
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Gro
wth
East coast gas Iron ore Copper Silver Coal
Source: BMI
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5
Today’s key themes
Introduction
A. East coast market dynamics have shiftedy
B. Santos is ideally placed to capitalise- Growing and diverse resource position – conventional, unconventional and CSG
- Owner and operator of critical infrastructure – processing, gathering systems transport and storage
- Portfolio scale and diversity to leverage commercialisation
C Driving efficiencies and maximising margins inC. Driving efficiencies and maximising margins in central Australia
D. Delivering value in NSW CSG
Closing messages9
Santos is ideally placed to capitalise
Key attributes …
A large high quality reserve and resource base to A large, high-quality reserve and resource base to meet increased demand across eastern Australia
Owner, operator with access to critical infrastructure –processing, gathering systems, transport and storage
Portfolio scale and diversity to leverage
10
commercialisation
… ensure Santos will capitalise on the transforming market dynamics and its strategic initiatives.
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A significant resource base with geographic and geological diversity, from which to build reserves and accelerate production.
EABU has 10,600+ PJ of gas in eastern Australia (YE 2010)
Amadeus Basin#
SE Qld(Non-GLNG)*
2P 123
2C 121
Cooper Basin
NSW CSG^
2P 1,216
2C 2,987
2P 157
2C 1,056
All Santos share reserve and resource numbers are in PJ (as at 31 Dec 2010)* Excludes Santos reserves and resources held within GLNG project^ Post Eastern Star Gas acquisition and subsequent 20% sell-down to TRUenergy (per ASX release 18 July 2011)# Post completion of the Mereenie acquisition and sell-down of Palm Valley/Dingo 11
2P 868
2C 3,570Victoria
2P 369
2C 228
A proven record of strong reserve conversion
Infill drilling has resulted in a substantial resource to reserve conversion in the Cooper Basin.
Four years of continued Cooper gas 2P reserve* build
150
200
250
300
350Forecast
Targeting additional 2P reserve adds of circa 1,000* PJ from the Cooper
PJ
rese
rve a
dditio
ns
0
50
100
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
pBasin by 2015
* Santos share (sales gas only)
12
2P r
13/10/2011
7
Significant conventional resource potential
Through infill drilling, Santos will unlock material upside in the Cooper Basin with potential to produce a further 5,700 PJ of conventional gas, based on US experiences.
2P2P1,332 1,332 PJPJ
AdditionalAdditional2,520 PJ2,520 PJ
2C2C1,848 PJ1,848 PJ
US experience75% recovery
f t (RF)
Conventional resource pie
Original gas in place >16 Tcf
48% recovery factor
13
ProducedProduced6,420 PJ6,420 PJ
factor (RF)
All volumes gross
YE 2010 produced recovery factor of ~40%
Infill has been a 10-year journey
New technology trials in Greater Tindilpie
demonstrate commerciality
L t i t t d
20+ well pad planned –
First infill 2P reserve booking and further 2C
resource booking
First tight gas fracture
stimulation performed in
Australia in 1983
2005
S f l
2004 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Largest integrated reservoir study in
Australia highlighting infill
potential
Big Lake pad with 50-acre
spacing
planned Australian first
2000
Successful Moomba Nth
infill pilot program @
50-acre spacing
First pin-point, multi-stagefracturing technologyto Australia
First independently certified* infill
contingent resource booking
Successful application of
micro-seismic in the Cooper
Moomba Nth and Moomba Sth pilot
program with50-acre spacing
State-of-the-art on-shore drilling rigs introduced
Cowralli pad with 20-acre
spacing
14 * Certified by DeGolyer and MacNaughton
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8
Infill resource is conventional gas
The Cooper Basin remains materially under-drilled
compared to North American standards
10-acre spacing 20-acre spacing 40-acre spacing
Rock outcropping ofMesaverde River deposits
standards.
Cowralli cross-section(50-100 acre spacing)
Channel
top continuousgas in subsurfacetop continuousgas in subsurface
top marineMesaverdetop marineMesaverde
~1
50
0’
650’
3-5
fra
csta
ges in
su
bsu
rface
Cowralli cross-section demonstrates abundance of gas bearing sands throughout the field
The tighter drill spacing will access these conventional sands
Channelsandstones
15
Infill is low risk and economically robust
Resource potential* (PJ)
Target
Seven trials undertaken at 30-50 acre spacing have been successful, with the majority of the acreage yet to be evaluated …
Infill projects2C
resources
Targetincrease to
75% RF
Greater Tindilpie 630
Tirrawarra 166
Moomba North 120
Moomba South 159
Big Lake Patchawarra 265
Big Lake Tirrawarra 102
16
Coonatie 60
Baryulah 92
Other 254
TOTAL 1,848 ~4,368
… while Coonatie-20 has been the best individual well result in the Cooper Basin for over 10 years at 20 mmscf/day.
Ongoing trial fields
* Gross volumes (as at 31 Dec 2010)
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New well construction techniques are a game changer
Key benefits include:
On-site simultaneous
Leading to 25%+ cost reduction
operations
Ability to undertake continuous frac logistics
Reduced surface impact
Cost reduction from shared surface facilities
Work over rig operations
Multi-well pad drilling
17
Low spacing deviated bores (10-15 degrees) with high spacing S-shape wellbores
Santos is leading the way on shale & other unconventional plays …
Prove gas content & recoverable volumes
Achieve gas flowto surface
Demonstrate commercial flows
2P reserve bookings
V ti l ll
2004–2010 2011–2012 2012–2013 2013+
D l d th H i t l ll E l tiVertical well technology trials& optimisation
Designing and acquiring further data for appraisal optimisation, specific to optimise shale fracture stimulation
Dedicated shale well
Developed the leading resource understanding
Australia’s first shale fracture and coring program in 2006
Australia’s first independently certified shale &
Horizontal welltechnology trials& optimisation
Dedicated shale specific horizontal drilling trial
Extensive fracturing trials beyond levels currently tested in the Cooper
Evaluation across broader Santos Cooper acreage
Multiple horizontal and vertical appraisal wells
Targeting initial shale reserve bookings in 2013, and production in
18
Dedicated shale well including dedicated shale fracturing
certified shale & unconventional resource bookings achieved in 2008
the Cooper and production in 2015
4,800 PJ2C*
2C* 4,000 PJ
2C* 2,600 PJ2,345 PJ2C*
* Santos share – total shale and other unconventional resources
Outlook Outlook Outlook
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… with the most comprehensive appraisal program
Moomba North REM* Shale A
ll
Key shale appraisal programs are adjacent to existing processing facilities.
South AustraliaSouth AustraliaMoomba North REM Shale A Drill quarter 4 2011
Dedicated vertical shale gas well and shale-specific fracture stimulation and micro-seismic monitoring and fracture mapping
Fracture stimulation in quarter 1 2012, using of 80% Haliburton’s Australian fracture capability
Moomba Plant
Merrimelia Gas
Tirrawarra Oil/Gas
Dullingari Gas
Ballera Plant
4Q 2011 Dedicated vertical shale well Core, logs, high rate stimulation Micro-seismic
Moomba North REM* Shale B
Well design in progress for quarter 4 2012 drill and 2013 fracture stimulation
First horizontal well, 1,500+ feet lateral length with 10-20+ fracture stages
19
0 50
kilometres QueenslandQueensland
Moomba North REM Shale B4Q 2012 Dedicated horizontal shale well Multi stage fracture stimulation 10+ stages Micro-seismic
* REM – Roseneath, Epsilon and Muturee shales zones
Key technology trials specifically targeting shale
0.00 200.00GR MD
1:2402
140.00 40.00DT 0.20 2000.00LLD
0.20 2000.00DT [Derived] 1
MOOMBA 81 [MD]
Moomba-81Monitor well
Moomba North Shale-ATreatment well
Specifically targeted shale section fracs. We already know the tight sands above and below the REM shales produce gas.
Moomba-81 monitor well
Stimulated rock volume area
TOOL
Rose
Epsi
80
00
82
00
84
00
86
00
Casing patch or squeeze
job
se
ism
ic
Targetfrac
zones
US technology advancementsallow real time micro-seismic
monitoring of fracture accuracy and effectiveness
Frac 1
Frac 2
Epsi
lon
Rose
neath
20
Moomba North Shale A treatment well
Murt
Patc
vc50dg
base patc
88
00
90
00
92
00
94
00
5 ½” Casing
Plug
7” High Strength
Casing(~12,000 psi)
μs
~350m
zonesREM
Frac 3
Murt
ure
e
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11
Multiple unconventional gas plays exist
Numerous unconventional plays have provided Santos with the only independently certified 2C shale and unconventional resource bookings in the Cooper Basin. Moomba field
Resource potential* (PJ)
URG playsBooked
2C2015
2C target
REM shale 684 PJ
Tight sands and mixed lithology
1,075 PJ
TOOL DARA
ROSE EPSI MTRE
REM shale
Developed conventional
Gross gas
21
Deep coal 586 PJ
Total 2,345 PJ 4,800 PJPATC
GRANITE
Tight sands &mixed lithology
Deep coal
* Santos share
Gross gas thickness
~1600 feet
Existing infrastructure provides strategic advantage
Existing infrastructure reduces future capex and accelerates commercialisation timeframes for infill and shale developments when compared to greenfield developments.
Mt Isa
Ballera plant
Jackson
SouthAustralia
Owner-operator position
15 major satellite facilities incorporating field compression
Gas storage facilities
Extensive gathering systems and pipeline networks linking the
Brisbane
22
Moomba plant
Queensland
Legend
Oil satellite
Gas satellite
fields (~6,000km)
Moomba and Ballera have substantial sales gas processing capability ~550 TJ/d with ability to upgrade
Adelaide Sydney
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12
2Preserves
Contingent resource (3C)
Prospectiveresource (P50)
NSW CSG – 12,000+ PJ opportunity
Gunnedah Basin coals are world-class with appraisal program confirming confidence and known resources in excess of 12,000 PJ.
GoondiwindiQueenslandQueenslandese es esou ce (3C) esou ce ( 50)
Santos* 1,216 PJGross 1,520 PJ
Santos* 8,619 PJGross 11,832 PJ
Santos* 5,188 PJGross 9,219 PJ
Field/regionGas
content(m3/t)
Permeability(md)
Flow rate(mmscf/d)
Gascomposition
(CH4%)
Net coalthickness
(m)
Fairview 8 – 15 10 – 1000s 1 – 5 99% 5 – 15
PEL 427
PEL 428
PEL 6
PEL 238
PEL 434
PEL 450
Moree
Narrabri
GunnedahCoonamble
Walgett New South WalesNew South Wales
* Post Eastern Star Gas acquisition and subsequent 20% sell-down to TRUenergy (per ASX release 18 July 2011)
23
Gunnedah 5 – 20 1 – 100+s 2+ 75-98% 3 – 90
San Juan 9 – 19 5 – 100s 0.1 – 25 84-99% 12 – 30
Powder River 0.9 – 2 5 – 200 0.15 >95% 12 - 80
PEL 450
PEL 462
PEL 1PEL 12
PEL 433PEL 456
PEL 452
Tamworth
Quirindi
Scone
GulgongDubbo
Coonabarabran
Attractive commercialisation options
Consolidated Gunnedah position strengthens
Value created by leveraging portfolio scale to accelerate development and meet customer demand.
Darwin
Proposed pipeline
Existing pipelineposition strengthens portfolio capability
Conventional and unconventional fields in Cooper Basin and Victoria add further flexibility Moomba
Brisbane
Mt Isa
Mereenie
Surat/Bowen
Existing pipeline
Santos operations
Dual channels to market provide ideal commercialisation flexibility, including gas swaps
24
Melbourne
Adelaide
Pt Bonython
CanberraSydney
Gunnedah
OtwayGippsland
13/10/2011
13
Today’s key themes
Introduction
A. East coast market dynamics have shiftedy
B. Santos is ideally placed to capitalise
C. Driving efficiencies and maximising margins in central Australia
- Accelerated drive on cost control and efficiency improvement- Accelerated drive on cost control and efficiency improvement
- Application of North American technologies and development concepts
- Oil continues to provide material upside
D. Delivering value in NSW CSG
Closing messages25
Santos has a highly disciplined safety culture
PeoplePeople ProcessProcess EnvironmentEnvironment
Safety and environmental excellence are core values for the business.
Top quartile Australian O&G industry safety performance
Strong leadership, good systems and governance
Effective contractor engagement
Balanced focus on people and plant safety
Clear standards of design, operations and maintenance
Focus on human factors, such as managing alarms
Minimising our footprint
Low impact seismic lines and pipeline laying techniques
Effective pipeline integrity management
Moomba - average no. of alarms per 10 minutes per panel(f k )
2011 volume uncontained hydrocarbons
EABU TRCFR performance(Employees & contractors)ra
te
d)
26
0
10
20
30
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
(four week moving average)
0
200
400
600
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD
y
0
2
4
6
8
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 YTD 2011
( p y )
Tota
l re
cord
able
case
fre
quency
r
(per
mill
ion m
an h
ours
work
ed
Ala
rms
per
10 m
in inte
rval
m3
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14
Cooper Basin production outlook
A material resource remains to be produced from the Cooper Basin …
mmboe
Cooper Basin production*
10
15
20
25
30
Outlook
Flood impact
Santos’ 750 PJ (140 TJ/d) contract to GLNG underpins Moomba operations
Oil continues to provide material value
0
5
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020
Oil and gas liquids Gas
Key infill fields deliver liquids rich production
27* Indicative Santos share
… underpinning a strong long-term business.
Driving reliability and cost efficiency gains …
Pursuing multiple avenues to increase reliability and improvecost performance.
Delivering improved uptime and maintenance cost reductions
Reliability25%
30%
Cooper gas downtime
1 in 30 year flood and rainfall
Cost and labour
efficiencies
Innovative contracting strategies delivering cost reductions
Labour efficiency programs increasing productivity
Rationalising and extending the life of facilities to deliver further cost reductions
Reliability improvement
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
$12
$14
$16
200
250
$m
Cooper gas production costs*
28
Technology and
automation
Advanced process control
Field telemetry
Collaboration environments $-
$2
$4
$6
$8
$10
$12
0
50
100
150
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
$/b
oe
Pro
duct
ion c
ost
$
Solid: Maintenance costsShaded: Other production costs* Santos share
13/10/2011
15
… with focus on labour and contracting efficiencies
Delivering a step-change in performance improvement.
Maintenance labour Maintenance labour productivity productivity
Construction and Construction and maintenance maintenance
contractcontract
Efficient execution of work Process improvements Increased labour utilisation Delivering $5m pa savings*
34%
39%
44%
40%
50%Field labour utilisation
Improved contract strategy Supplier consolidation Increased resource flexibility Performance based contract
30
40Contractual savings*
Annual savings
Cummulative savings
25%
0%
10%
20%
30%
2010 Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 2011
29* Santos share
-10
0
10
20
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Savin
gs
($m
)
Down-hole efficiency improvements …
Already achieved previous best drill time
Contracted three new, state-of-the-art onshore drilling rigs.
Saxon 183 – Moomba wellsTime v depth curve
y pwithout benefit of full campaign style program:
Saxon drill rig performance exciting
− Equal best Cooper drill time after four wells
− Substantial fuel savings (>25%)
− Rig move times showing similar improvementimprovement
Implementing pad developments
− Two well pad underway
− Six well pad late quarter 4 2011 and
− Planning for 20+ well pad for mid- 2012
30
13/10/2011
16
…providing material well construction cost savings
For both infill and shale drilling campaigns, scale and factory mindset will generate large savings.
Single well* 10-pad well drilling campaign*
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
0
20
40
60
80
12% decrease 25% decrease
35% - 50%based on US experiences
$m $m
0
Old rigs New rigs
0
Old rigs New rigs
Key improvements Contracting strategies Latest generation equipment Automation Efficiency improvements
Key improvements Reduced move time and costs Improved logistics efficiency (fracs) Reduced surface facilities Reduced environmental impact
31* Full cycle well construction and connection (~8,000-9,000 feet with 4-5 pin point fracs)
Oil opportunities continue to deliver …
Strong 2P oil reserve replacement in the Cooper Basin.
Exploration and development success t 75%
Oil 2P reserves* (2005-10)mmbbls
rate over 75%
Leveraging extensive existing infrastructure and efficiency improvements to:
− Enable timely connection for new wells to optimise payback and rate of return
− Incremental tolling revenue from third party crude producers
mmbbls
21 1729
68
40
60
80
100
120
140
party crude producers
Future flood mitigation through economically attractive new field pipeline networks
Conversion to 2P reserves triggered by higher oil price technology success
32
* Santos share
25 29
0
20
YE05 Growth Production YE10 2C UpsideDrilling
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17
… quality exploration and appraisal opportunities
Applying enhanced technology and recovery techniques creates material value to new, old and under-developed fields.
Charo field Cook field Mereenie field
East
Nine well campaign in 2012 An old field re-invigorated th h t h i
Under developed field with t ti l t dd t
EastProduced15 mmbbls(35 oil wells)
WestProduced 1 mmbbl
from six oil wells
33
Re-pressurising the reservoir through waterflood techniques to enhance oil recovery
4,500bbls/day trunkline increasing field uptime and reducing production costs
through new techniques
Six well campaign in 2012
Evaluating trunkline investment to mitigate futureflood events and field increase uptime
potential to add up to 40mmbbls of 2P reserves
New drilling program starting in 2012-13
LPG stripping upside
Exciting unconventional gas potential
Today’s key themes
Introduction
A. East coast market dynamics have shiftedA. East coast market dynamics have shifted
B. Santos is ideally placed to capitalise
C. Driving efficiencies and maximising margins in central Australia
D D li i l i NSW CSGD. Delivering value in NSW CSG
- Significant resource base with material upside potential
- Strategically positioned in Eastern Australia
- Ability to prosecute NSW CSG
Closing messages34
13/10/2011
18
NSW CSG – high quality CSG assets
Top quartile CSG asset:
14,619 PJ 3P + 3C contingent and 9,219 PJ prospective (gross)
2,797 PJ 3P reserves in PEL 238 (gross)
Multiple commercialisation options:
Domestic and export markets
Field development optimisation
Pipeline routes
Key risks manageable:
Stakeholder support (water, land access, approvals)
Geological and environmental
35
Sound development capability:
Dedicated team – combined Eastern Star Gas / Santos people
Broader Santos support and experience
Prudent work program ($500m over the next three years)
Strategically positioned to capture the changingmarket dynamics.
A A’
Breeza ShelfLate permianCSG play
Sound geological understanding …
Late permian play
Depth: 200–1,200 m ( t t f )
BlackJackOutcrop
BohenaTrough
Early permianCSG play
Early permian play
Depth: 600–1,200 m(outcrops at surface)
Individual seams up to 19m thick
Good gas content 4-15m3/t
Thick net coal package: 2-90 m
Methane rich fairway
Limited appraisal
A A’Bando Trough
Tooraweenah
Trough Murrurundi Trough
Individual seams up to 30m thick
High gas content
Thick net coal package: 5-42 m
Sound initial production performance from lateral pilots in PEL 238
36
13/10/2011
19
…with favourable permeability and gas content
Good to excellent permeability High gas content similar to Bowen and Surat Basins
Existing PEL 238 appraisal pilots producing >2.5TJ/day.
Permeability data derived from DSTs
Interpreted permeability >1,000 mD
Master cleating identified in PEL 238
Good to excellent permeability consistent with results from PEL 238 lateral pilots
4–20m3/t (daf)
High saturation confirmed by early gas breakthrough in PEL 238 pilots
Focus on demonstrating continuous, growing productionfrom the pilots.
Typicalcoal
Bohenacoal
37
Core sample
Excellent coal thickness
World-class CSG assets resulting in competitive cost of production …
Gunnedah Basin – PEL 238
9,0004,000
PEL 238 total pilot production history
Tintsfield Dewhurst Excellent coal thickness
High permeability
High gas content
High Bcf/km2
Existing infrastructure
L t l t h l 0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
Wa
ter
(bb
l)
Ga
s (
Mscf)
Bibblewindi
Dewhurst
Bibblewindi West
Lateral technology
… Santos focus on maximising optimal efficient operations and demonstrate continuous production.
00
Oct 2006 Oct 2007 Oct 2008 Oct 2009 Oct 2010 Oct 2011
Gas Water
38
13/10/2011
20
Exploration, appraisal and development pipeline
Narrabri (PEL 238):
1,520 PJ 2P reserves booked to date (gross) Narrabri
rity
Bando (PEL 1 and 12):
Positive appraisal results
First pilot commissioned – first gas after one week
Targeting first 2P reserve bookings in 2012
Murrurundi (PEL 456 & 452):
High GIP due to very thick net coal
NEW ENGLAND FOLDBELT
Bando
Tooraweenah
M di
Maules Creek Sub-Basin
sing r
eso
urc
e m
atu
r
High GIP due to very thick net coal (up to 90m)
First lateral pilot well early 2012
Tooraweenah (PEL 462 & 433):
Exploration stage
39
Murrurundi
Incr
eas
Narrabri (PEL 238):
Focussed 2012-13 work program
PEL 428 PEL 427
Tintsfield pilot
PEL 238 2012-13 work programCoreholesSeismicLateral pilots
Deliverability and reserves growth focus …
Demonstrate deliverability:
− Continuous flows from existing pilots
− New pilots to test drilling technology
Build 2P reserves
Bando (PEL 1 & 12):
C i l
PEL 450
PEL 1
PEL 238
Dewhurst pilotBohena vertical pilot
Kahula pilot
Bibblewindi lateral pilot
Bibblewindi vertical pilot
Bibblewindi West lateral pilot
PEL 1&12
Commence appraisal program targeting 2P reserve build
Trial lateral technology via additional pilots and coreholes
40
PEL 12
PEL 433 PEL 452
2012-13 work programCoreholesSeismicKahula phase 2 pilotLateral pilots
... providing a strong basis for commercialisation.
13/10/2011
21
Strategically positioned for market access
A number of pipeline options available to enable commercialisation.
Northern options:
Several possible routes and connection points available
Northern options traverse prospective CSG areas
Southern routes:
41
Supplement existing pipeline infrastructure
Major new power generation customers
Potential link to Newcastle and Sydney
NSW CSG concerns
The questions The facts
In Namoi Catchment NSW forecast CSG water extraction of 5GL pa
Segments of the community have concerns, which are being addressed and managed.
Water
In Namoi Catchment, NSW, forecast CSG water extraction of 5GL pa (80% of which will be re-used) compares to industrial and private use of ~540GL pa.
Proved drilling techniques isolate coal seam from aquifers. Hundreds of metres of impervious rock between coal seams and surface aquifers.
Land access 500 agreements signed in Qld, 40 in NSW, with no court action.
Impact on agriculture
CSG operations affect only ~1% of the surface area. Beneficial water sufficient to irrigate over 500 hectares.Land restored completely after operations cease.p y p
Brine disposal Re-inject in deep saline aquifers, dispose in registered facilities.
Fracture stimulationUsed by the Australian oil and gas industry safely for over 50 years, additives safe and approved.
Cumulative impact NSW projects in discrete geographic and hydrogeological regions.
42
Through investment, royalties and jobs, the benefits to the local communities are significant.
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Today’s key themes
Introduction
A. East coast market dynamics have shifted
B. Santos is ideally placed to capitalise
C. Driving efficiencies and maximising margins in central Australia
D. Delivering value in NSW CSG
Closing messages
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EABU portfolio can deliver 2x production within the next decade
Outlook reflects strong production growth with growing margins …
Production by development phase Revenue and costs per barrel*
Sanctionedand producing
Approaching FID
Evaluation
80
Revenue $/boeExploration
20
30
40
50
60mmboe
Gunnedah (phase 1)Cooper infill (phase 2)
Gunnedah (phase 2)Sole
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Cooper shale and unconventional
44
0
10
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
… whilst controlling increases in finding and development costs
Cooper 2P oil and gas(GLNG GSA)Victorian producing/sanctionedMereenie and other oil
0
10
2010 2015 2020
Production Costs
Depreciation and depletion Margin
Other Costs
* Assuming A$100/bbl oil price
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Key take-aways
MarketUnprecedented east coast gas demand will cause higher gas prices and provide opportunity for commercialisation with increased margin capture
Resource captured
Infrastructure
Capability
Santos has 10,000+ PJ of geographic and geologically diverse resources to supply the increased demand
Santos is well placed due to its owner/operator position of key infrastructure to accelerate development at reduced cost
Santos has a proven track record of strong resource to reserve conversion and efficient operations to deliver the
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Capability
Strategically positioned
reserve conversion and efficient operations to deliver the production and margin growth
Santos is strategically well placed to capitalise on the dual channel markets through its extensive east coast portfolio asset position
Eastern Australia Business UnitEastern Australia Business Unit
Capturing the FutureMoomba Investor Trip: 26-27 September 2011