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  • 8/4/2019 281865 Procter Gamble Company Presentation at Lehman Brothers Back to School Consumer Conference Septemb

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    2007 Lehman Brothers

    Back to School Conference

    Boston, MASeptember 6, 2007

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    2

    Agenda

    Business Update

    Driving Growth & Productivity Growing Beauty

    Q&As

    12 Faster-growing, higher-margin,more asset-efficient businesses

    3Developing markets and

    lower-income consumers

    Core business leading brands,countries, customers

    gro

    wthstrategies

    Growth Strategies

    Organic (excludes foreign exchange, acquisition & divestiture impacts)

    Acquisitions & Divestitures

    Strong Sales Growth

    4

    Organic Target: +4% to +6%thru FY 2010

    0%

    3%

    6%

    9%

    12%

    15%

    18%

    21%

    FY '02 FY '03 FY '04 FY '05 FY '06 FY '07

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    Reliable EPS Growth

    Annual EPS Growth Target: 10%+5 year EPS CAGR (0207) = 13%*

    EPS*

    $0.00

    $0.50

    $1.00

    $1.50

    $2.00

    $2.50

    $3.00

    $3.50

    FY '02 FY '03 FY '04 FY '05 FY '06 FY '07

    * Excludes Organization 2005 restructuring charges in FY 02 & 03

    6

    Cash ProductivityAhead of Target

    Free Cash Flow Productivity Target:

    90%+ of Net Earnings

    FreeCashFlow,

    $Bn

    $0

    $2

    $4

    $6

    $8

    $10

    FY '02 FY '03 FY '04 FY '05 FY '06 FY '07

    155%

    151% 119%

    94%

    100%

    101%

    Competition Restructuring

    Commodity and Energy Costs

    Gillette Integration Work

    Delivered Despite Challenges

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    On-track to deliver $1bnto $1.2bn cost synergies

    On-track to deliver~$750MM revenuesynergies

    Non-dilutive to EPS infiscal year 2008

    Delivering GilletteCommitments

    FY '05 FY '06 FY '07 FY '08

    EPS Impact on P&G

    $2.53P&G EPS pre-Gillette (10%+ CAGR)

    P&G EPS w/ Gillette

    P&G Est. EPS w/ Gilletteat time of closing (Oct. 1, 2005)

    9

    $2.64

    $3.04

    FY 08 Consensus = $3.47

    Double DigitEPS Growth

    Organic Sales Growth

    +4% to +6%

    Margin Expansion+50 to +75 bps/year(in addition to Gillette synergies)

    10

    Sustainable Growth ModelThrough FY 2010

    90%+Free Cash Flow

    Productivity

    ShareholderValue Creation

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    Confident in the Future

    Significant increase in sharerepurchase plan

    $24 to $30 billion over three years

    $8 to $10 billion per year

    Adds $0.01 to FY 08 EPS vs. initialoutlook that assumed $6 to $7 billion

    Organic Sales Growth+4% to +6%

    Margin Expansion+50 to +75 bps/year(in addition to Gillette synergies)

    12

    Focused on Balanced Growth

    billionP&Gs Billion-Dollar Brands

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    GlobalMarketShare

    HighestBig Country

    Market Share

    Still Upside Potential

    14

    Baby CareBlades & RazorsFabric CareFeminine CareHair CareOral CareFacial Skin Care

    35% 59%72% 91%33% 68%37% 75%26% 55%20% 38%14% 29%

    Key Global Categories

    Faster-Growing, Higher-MarginBusinesses

    Sales Index fromBeauty, Health and Home Care

    FY 00/01 FY 06/07

    Profit Index fromBeauty, Health and Home Care

    2x

    FY 00/01 FY 06/07

    3x

    16

    P&G PortfolioBusiness Mix

    Beauty,Health andHome Care

    Household

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    Developing Markets

    Sales

    FY 01 FY 07

    >2x

    P&G Geographic Portfolio

    % Sales,Developing Markets

    FY '01 FY '07 FY '10e

    20%

    27%

    30%

    Household Penetration

    HouseholdPurchases

    of P&G Product

    DevelopingMarkets

    U.S.

    5 to 10 x

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    BrandingGo-to-Market

    Innovation

    Scale

    ConsumerUnderstanding

    CoreStrengths

    Fabric Care__Laundry Compaction

    Home CareSwiffer

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    Family CareCharmin

    ______Oral CareCrest Pro Health

    Oral CareInnovation on Established Franchises

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    Increasing Productivity

    1. Leveraging scale

    2. Traditional cost savings3. Organization efficiencies

    4. On-going restructuring

    5. Marketing & R&D

    Sales Growth of 5% to 7% (ex Fx)

    Overhead Cost Growth of about 3%

    25 to 50 Basis Points of Margin Improvementfrom Fixed Overhead Cost Leverage

    Overhead Costs

    +

    =

    Purchasing scale

    Local sourcing

    Streamlined distribution

    Traditional Cost Savings

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    Purchasing Scale

    Increase strategicpartnerships with suppliers

    Leverage low cost supplysources

    Leverage scale on alarger portion of thespend pool

    Local Sourcing

    20%

    30

    30%

    50%Increase

    July-06 Future

    Streamlined Distribution

    Lower distribution costs

    Less P&G inventory

    Improved customer service

    31

    450

    225

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    GBU/MDOStructure

    32Organization Efficiency

    SmallCountries

    Ongoing Restructuring

    Gross Margin and S,G&A

    Annual $300 to $400million budget

    Not reported separately

    Marketing and R&D Spending

    Marketing andR&D Spending

    Efficiency Gains

    Reinvestment

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    Always

    Integratedteen marketing

    TV often low prioritybehind other tools:

    Interactive

    Partner ads

    Print

    School programs

    36

    Balanced Growth

    Organic Sales Growth+4% to +6%

    Margin Expansion+50 to +75 bps/year

    (in addition to Gillette synergies)

    Fueled byProductivity

    Savings

    Growing P&G Beauty

    Winning formula

    Consumer Understanding Meaningful Innovation

    Leading Brand Equities

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    38

    Olay Sales Growth History

    FY'

    97

    FY'

    98

    FY'

    99

    FY'

    00

    FY'

    01

    FY'

    02

    FY'

    03

    FY'

    04

    FY'

    05

    FY'

    06

    FY'

    07

    Past 5 Yr. Sales Growth CAGR = 20%

    Consumer Segmentation & BrandingDriving Olay Boutiques

    40

    Olay Total Effects

    Launched June 00

    Price points >$15 forthe first time

    First significant step toattract anti-agingfocused consumers

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    Olay Regenerist

    Launched March 03

    Price points up to $20

    Stressed ingredient-driven performancebenefits

    Olay Regenerist

    15 new items launchedsince initial 3 variants

    Price points >$20

    Share of segment = 14%

    43

    Olay Regenerist

    MicroSculpting Cream

    Tested by GoodHousekeeping Institute

    beat its priceycompetition, even the$350 one.

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    44

    Olay Definity

    Launched July 06

    Price points ~$25 onbase lineup

    Adds new benefits:fights discoloration,dullness and unevenskin tone

    Olay Definity

    Beginning expansionof lineup with newitems

    Definity Cleanser

    Foaming UV Moisturizer

    Illuminating EyeTreatment

    OlayGeographic Whitespace

    46

    ~60% of sales fromoutside the U.S.

    Shipment volume inChina greater than U.S.

    Recent expansion into:Russia, Turkey, Chile, Greece,Philippines, Vietnam, India, etc.

    Plenty of whitespace leftto fill

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    Retail Hair ColorPriority Brands

    Nice n Easy

    Natural InstinctsHerbal Essences

    Koleston

    US Nice n Easy Share History

    17

    16 16

    15

    14

    13

    11

    10

    109 9

    10

    11

    13

    14

    15

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    18

    CY92

    CY93

    CY94

    CY95

    CY96

    CY97

    CY98

    CY99

    CY00

    CY01

    CY02

    CY03

    CY04

    CY05

    CY06

    CYTD07

    2/03 Brand Restage 2/05 New Usage Driver2/05 Base Brand Upgrade

    Retail Hair ColorNice n Easy Innovation

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    Retail Hair ColorNice n Easy Innovation

    2/06 New Usage Driver2/06 Base Brand Extension

    Retail Hair ColorNice n Easy Perfect 10

    Leverages P&G, Clairol andWella combined expertise

    Protected with 18 patents

    Establishes a newtechnology platform forfuture innovation

    Forward Looking Statement

    52

    All statements, other than statements of historical fact included in these presentations, are forward-lookingstatements, as that term is defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements arebased on financial data, market assumptions and business plans available only as of the time the statementsare made, which may become out of date or incomplete. We assume no obligation to update any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or other factors. Forward-looking statementsare inherently uncertain, and investors must recognize that events could differ significantly from ourexpectations. In addition to the risks and uncertainties noted in these presentations, there are certain factorsthat could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated by some of the statements made.These include: (1) the ability to achieve business plans, including with respect to lower income consumers and

    growing existing sales and volume profitably despite high levels of competitive activity, especially with respectto the product categories and geographical markets (including developing markets) in which the Company haschosen to focus; (2) the ability to successfully execute, manage and integrate key acquisitions and mergers,including (i) the Domination and Profit Transfer Agreement with Wella, and (ii) the Companys merger with TheGillette Company, and to achieve the cost and growth synergies in accordance with the stated goals of thesetransactions; (3) the ability to manage and maintain key customer relationships; (4) the ability to maintain keymanufacturing and supply sources (including sole supplier and plant manufacturing sources); (5) the ability tosuccessfully manage regulatory, tax and legal matters (including product liability, patent, and intellectualproperty matters as well as those related to the integration of Gillette and its subsidiaries), and to resolvepending matters within current estimates; (6) the ability to successfully implement, achieve and sustain costimprovement plans in manufacturing and overhead areas, including the Company's outsourcing projects; (7)the ability to successfully manage currency (including currency issues in volatile countries), debt, interest rateand commodity cost exposures; (8) the ability to manage continued global political and/or economic uncertaintyand disruptions, especially in the Company's significant geographical markets, as well as any political and/oreconomic uncertainty and disruptions due to terrorist activities; (9) the ability to successfully managecompetitive factors, including prices, promotional incentives and trade terms for products; (10) the ability toobtain patents and respond to technological advances attained by competitors and patents granted tocompetitors; (11) the ability to successfully manage increases in the prices of raw materials used to make theCompany's products; (12) the ability to stay close to consumers in an era of increased media fragmentation;and (13) the ability to stay on the leading edge of innovation and maintain a positive reputation on our brands.For additional information concerning factors that could cause actual results to materially differ from thoseprojected herein, please refer to our most recent 10-K, 10-Q and 8-K reports.

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    Regulation G / Non-GAAP Financial MeasuresThe accompanying presentation includes the disclosure of non-GAAP financial measures. Inaccordance with the SECs Regulation G, the following provides definitions of the non-GAAPmeasures used in the presentation and the reconciliation to the most closely related GAAP measure.

    Organic Sales Growth. Organic sales growth measures sales growth excluding the impacts ofacquisitions, divestitures and foreign exchange from year-over-year comparisons. The Companybelieves this provides investors with a more complete understanding of underlying results and trendsby providing sales on a consistent basis.

    5%7%8%8%6%1%Organic Sales (Ex: A&D, FX)

    -2%1%-2%-4%-2%1%Less: FX Impact

    -5%-14%0%-7%0%-3%Less: Acquisitions & Divestitures Impact

    12%20%10%19%8%3%Reported Sales Growth

    FY07FY06FY 05FY04FY03FY02

    Note: Sales percentages are approximations based on quantitative formulas consistently applied.

    Sales Growth Excluding Foreign Exchange. Sales Growth Excluding Foreign Exchange is ameasure of the companys net sales growth versus prior year excluding the impact of year-on-yearchanges in exchange rates.

    10%21%8%15%6%4%Sales Growth Excluding Foreign Exchange

    -2%1%-2%-4%-2%1%Less: FX Impact

    12%20%10%19%8%3%Reported Sales Growth

    FY07FY06FY05FY04FY03FY02

    Note: Sales percentages are approximations based on quantitative formulas consistently applied.

    Core Earnings Per Share. Core EPS referenced in this presentation exclude restructuring chargesrelated to the Organization 2005 program. Management believes this measure provides an importantperspective of underlying business trends and results and provides a more comparable measure ofyear-on-year earnings per share growth. The table below provides a reconciliation of reported dilutednet earnings per share to core earnings per share:

    $3.04$2.64$2.53$2.20$1.89$1.65Base Business EPS

    ----$0.19$0.26Less: Organization 2005 Restructuring Charges

    $3.04$2.64$2.53$2.20$1.70$1.39Diluted Net Earnings Per Share

    FY07FY06FY 05FY04FY03FY02

    The restructuring program began in 1999 as part of the Companys Organization 2005 initiative andwas substantially completed at the end of fiscal year 2003. Restructuring program charges includeseparation related costs, asset write-downs, accelerated depreciation and other costs directlyassociated with the Companys reorganization. Restructuring program charges are not included inbusiness segment results, but instead are reported in corporate.

    Free Cash Flow Productivity. Free cash flow productivity is defined as the ratio of free cash flowto net earnings. The Companys long-term target is to generate free cash at or above 90 percent ofnet earnings. Free cash flow is also one of the measures used to evaluate senior management.The reconciliation of free cash flow and free cash flow productivity is provided below:

    101%100%94%119%151%155%Free Cash Flow Productivity

    $10,340$8,684$6,923$6,156$4,788$3,910Net Earnings$10,490$8,708$6,498$7,331$7,220$6,061Free Cash Flow

    -$2,945-$2,667-$2,181-$2,024-$1,482-$1,679Capital Spending

    $13,435$11,375$8,679$9,355$8,702$7,740Operating Cash Flow

    FY 07FY 06FY 05FY 04FY 03FY 02