350 presentation
TRANSCRIPT
?WHAT IS
it’s MORE than a NUMBER...
SCIENCE
it’s about…
a SCIENTIFIC TARGET…
CHANGING CLIMATE
FOR OUR
it’s a opportunityPOLITICAL
a specific goal
to shift what’s possible for
A GLOBAL CLIMATE TREATY
it’s about…
MOVEMENT
moving away from fossil fuels
a rallying cry for a global movement
and a single day to join together
AND MAKE OUR VOICES HEARD
24 oct.
an international day of
climateaction2009
SCIENCE
THE GREENHOUSE EFFECT
387ppm CO2
today:
Do you think we’re above or
below where we need to be?
NOW
climate change is impacting our planet
NATURAL WORLD
it’s impacting our
GLACIERS ARE MELTING
MUIR & RIGGS GLACIER 1941
MUIR & RIGGS GLACIER 2004
PEDERSEN GLACIER, AK 1920
PEDERSEN GLACIER, AK 2005
OCEANS ARE ACIDIFYING
Coral reefs are bleaching
SEA LEVELS ARE RISING
Three Year Average
Satellite Altimetry
Year
Sea
Leve
l Cha
nge
(cm
)
WEATHER IS BECOMING MORE EXTREME
Australia suffers worst drought in
1,000 years “ ”
- Guardian UK, Nov 7, 2008
Burma cyclone death toll rises above 43,000. “ ”- USA Today, May 15th, 2008
U.S. dealing with
Katrina’s wrath as death toll
soars.
“ ”- International Herald Tribune,
August 31, 2005
Solomon Islands declare
FLOOD DISASTER.“ ”- Reuters Feb 4, 2009
MAJOR FLOODS PER DECADE
FORESTS ARE THREATENED
“Rapid Warming’ Spreads Havoc in Canada’s Forests.“ ”
- Washington Post, March 1, 2006
Australia fires spark calls for CLIMATE ACTION“ ”- Washington Post, March 1, 2006
climate change impacts
HUMANITY
threatens the survival of
SMALL ISLANDS
[Small islands] are like the canary in the coal mine in terms of the
dramatic impact of climate change on a whole civilization of
people. They didn’t cause the problem, but they will be among
the first to feel it.
“ ”- James J. McCarth,
Oceanographer
impacts
LOCAL LIVELIHOODS
The most comprehensive review ever carried out on the economics of climate change warns that global warming could inflict worldwide disruption as great as that caused by the two World Wars and the Great Depression.
“ ”- Environmental News Service
STERN REVIEW, 2006
The world has never faced such a predictably massive threat to
food production as that posed by the melting mountain glaciers of
Asia
“ ”- Lester Brown, Earth Policy
Institute, Author of Plan B
DISRUPTS FOOD PRODUCTION
Global Warming Increases Malaria, Dengue Fever Threat, UN Says.“ ”- Bloomberg, Nov. 27, 2007
AFFECTS OUR HEALTH:
Climate change could force
1 BILLION from their homes by 2050.
“ ”- April 30, 2008, The Independent.
CREATES CLIMATE REFUGEES
Climate change will draw ever-deeper lines of division and conflict in international relations… over the distribution of resources, especially water and land.
“ ”- Report: World in Transition
THREATENS SECURITY:
387ppm CO2
today:
CO2 CONCENTRATIONS ARE OFF THE CHARTS
CO2 in PPM
TEMPERATURE
Years
Part
s p
er M
illio
n C
O2
TODAY: 387ppm
550ppm? More?
EARLY 1900S
LAST ICE AGE
Where we’ll be mid-century if we keep this up
The most startling evidence yet…
is the MELTING OF THE ARCTIC.
New predictionsSatellite observations
Mean IPCC predictionMost likely change (melt)
IPCC rangeActual observed melting
it has melted nearly
80 YEARS ahead of when
scientists predicted
YEAR
% c
hang
e in
ice
co
ver
do you think we’re above or
below where we need to be?
So,
CO2 IN THE ATMOSPHERE
WE’RE HERE: 387
WE NEED TO BE HERE: 350
PART
S PE
R M
ILLI
ON
CO
2
YEAR
“If humanity wishes to preserve a planet similar to that on which civilization developed and to which life on Earth is adapted, paleoclimate evidence and ongoing climate change suggest that CO2 will need to be reduced from its current 387ppm to at most 350ppm.”
- NASA climatologist Dr. James E. Hansen, 2008
?HOW DO WE GET TO
GLOBAL EMISSIONS STILL RISING 2PPM PER YEAR
Total
Petroleum
CoalNatural GasCement Production
YEAR
MIL
LIO
N M
ETRI
C T
ON
S O
F C
ARB
ON
/YEA
R
MEANS MEANS
REMAKING REMAKING OUR WORLDOUR WORLD
IT MEANS PUTTING UP WIND TURBINESINSTEAD OF COAL PLANTS
IT MEANS PLANTING TREESINSTEAD OF CLEAR-CUTTING
RAINFORESTS
AND IMPLEMENTING AND IMPLEMENTING A A THOUSAND THOUSAND
DIFFERENT SOLUTIONSDIFFERENT SOLUTIONS
that can create new jobs
And make our communities
HEALTHIER
PART
S PE
R M
ILLI
ON
CO
2
YEAR
Phaseout of coal by 2030Improved forestry and soil
Reduced oil/gas use
GETTING TO 350
POLITICS
2009
IS A CRUCIAL YEAR
World leaders will gather to create a new climate treaty
at the end of the year in
Copenhagen.
this all began 20 years ago
1988: Jim Hansen made his first testimony to the U.S. Congress on global
warming
1988: The IPCC was created to “provide the
decision-makers and others interested in climate change with an objective source
of information about climate change”
NEW REPORTS EVERY 4 YEARS
SCIENTISTS
WON THE NOBEL PRIZE IN 2007 WITH AL GORE
UNFCCC, United Nations Framework UNFCCC, United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change Convention on Climate Change created at the Rio Earth Summitcreated at the Rio Earth Summit
COPENHAGENCOPENHAGEN
RIORIO
KYOTO PROTOCOL 1997Ratified TreatyDidn’t Ratify
Signed, Ratification PendingNo Position
Each year there is a two-week Conference of the Parties (COP) to discuss the terms of the Kyoto Treaty
COP 12 Montreal, Canada 2005
10,000participants come together
from governments, corporations, media, civil society, and NGOs
to try to INFLUENCE this process
Now, Kyoto is set to
EXPIRE, and negotiators must
agree upon a new treaty by the end of
this year.
In 2007, at COP 13 in Bali, Indonesia
NEGOTIATORS CREATED THE BALI ROADMAP
•ADAPTATION
•MITIGATION
•TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER
•FINANCIAL RESOURCES
IPCC
450ppm(in 2007- last report)
MITIGATION TARGETS:
450ppm = 50% chance of 2°C
warming
As effects of warming grow, UN Report is
QUICKLY DATED.“ ”-February 12, 2009, Yale Environment 360
350ppm has begun gaining traction in the INTERNATIONAL CLIMATE NEGOTIATIONS
Two degrees (450ppm) is really not a safe level for small island states. For
many of them it would be like a death sentence in the long run.“ ”- Leon Charles, Chair of the Alliance of Small Island States (AOSIS)
Gore won the loudest cheers [at COP14 in Poland) for supporting a tougher limit on levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere than a widespread aim of 450 ppm or more. ‘We will soon need to toughen that goal to 350,’ he said. – Reuters, December 2008
DECEMBER 2009
By the end of this year, negotiators must agree upon the final terms for a NEW CLIMATE TREATY in Copenhagen
Many are concerned about the prospects for a treaty that is
fair and just:•CDM
•CARBON TRADING
•INDIGENOUS REPRESENTATION
•KYOTO HASN’T REDUCED EMISSIONS
•FINANCING FROM DEVELOPED TO DEVELOPING NATIONS
But there is reason to hope that a new treaty could be BETTER
My presidency will mark a new chapter on American leadership on climate change.
There is a lot of work to be done this year. If the nations of the world were to agree upon a deal right now, it would
be FLAWED AND INADEQUATE.
That’s why we need to make our
voices heard in 2009
HOPE
THE MOVEMENT
POTENTIAL FOR A GLOBAL MOVEMENT:
WE ARE READY FOR ACTION: Global public opinion polls have found 9 in 10 people want action on climate change, and 7 in 10 want to see dramatic action ‘very soon’
WE ARE ORGANIZED: 110,00 civil society organizations listed on WiserEarth.org
WE ARE NETWORKED: Since 2007, Avaaz.org has collected 10 million signatures online for human rights and environmental causes
BILLIONS on email lists
100+ MILLION blogs
50 MILLION Facebook users
55 MILLION users/month on YouTube
Roughly 25% of the world’s population is on-line.
A GROWING GLOBAL CLIMATE
MOVEMENT
BALI, INDONESIA
LEBANON
UNITED KINGDOM
AUSTRALIA
[INSERT YOUR OWN CLIMATE ACTION PHOTO!]
Make the
INVISIBLEVISIBLE
can unite us
HOW?
A single, clear message
for everyone who believes in fighting for safety from
DANGEROUS CLIMATE CHANGE
Who is ?A global movement of concerned citizens
A network of partner organizations
Messengers
A coordinating team of young people from around the world
ALL OF US who seek a just and equitable solution to the climate crisis
350 IS A GLOBAL
MOVEMENT OF CONCERNED CITIZENS
CAMEROON
NUNAVUT, CANADA
NAGPUR, INDIA
BOGOTÁ, COLOMBIA
VALDIVIA, CHILE
[INSERT YOUR OWN 350 ACTION PHOTO!]
350 IS A NETWORK OF
PARTNER ORGANIZATIONS
to the
GRASSROOTS
From INTERNATIONAL NGOS
INSERT INFORMATION ABOUT YOUR OWN ORGANIZATION’S
INFORMATION
350 IS AIDED BY INSPIRING
MESSENGERS
If humanity wishes to preserve a planet similar to that on which civilization developed, and to which life on Earth is adapted, paleoclimate evidence and ongoing climate change suggest that CO2 will need to be reduced from its current 387ppm to at most 350ppm.
-NASA Climatologist Dr. James E. Hansen, 2008
Climate change is already dangerous. As the Arctic melts and the small islands sink below a rising sea, the world cannot stand immobile. Inuit and all Peoples have the right to live safely in their culture. As a shared humanity, we must back away from the precipice. 350 is a good target to head towards.
-Sheila Watt-Cloutier, Former International Chair, Inuit Circumpolar Conference
Why 350? We must return to the Earth’s natural balance!
-David Suzuki, Canadian Scientist, Author, and Activist
Getting to 350 means changing everything about our global economy. It means providing clean-energy jobs to rewire every corner of the world and catalyzing a global transformation built on principles of equity and opportunity.
-Van Jones, Civil Rights and Environmental Advocate
Climate change is a reality. Life depends on a sustainable environment. With no world, there can only be nothing- no birds, no animals, no trees, no us. That’s why getting involved with 350.org is so important – it’s an effective way to take action to turn around the climate crisis.
-Desmond Tutu, Archbishop Emeritus
I am completely behind the 350 campaign. A shift from industrial agriculture to ecological, local food systems would be the biggest single step to move towards 350 and a safe climate, while simultaneously solving the food crisis.
-Vandana Shiva, Environmental Leader
350 IS COORDINATED BY A TEAM OF
YOUTH FROM AROUND THE WORLD
Civilization is what grows up in the margins of leisure and security provided by a workable relationship with the natural world. That margin won’t exist, at least for long, as long as we remain on the wrong side of 350. That’s the limit we face.
-Bill McKibben, author, environmental leader, and Director of 350.org
And author and environ-mentalist Bill
McKibben
THE SAME TEAM FROM STEP IT UP 2007
2,000 EVENTS
2,000 EVENTS
1 DAY
2,000 EVENTS
1 DAY
1 MESSAGE
80% BY
2050
OUR STRATEGY:
CREATIVE ACTIONS
+
TARGETED AND SPECIFIC MESSAGE
=
REAL CHANGE IN THE POLICY DISCUSSION
GET INVOLVED!
24 oct.
an international day of
climateaction2009
ORGANIZE AN ACTION IN YOUR COMMUNITY.
Six weeks before the UN climate negotiations in Copenhagen.
A SINGLE DAY TO JOIN TOGETHER
AND MAKE OUR VOICES HEARD
TO THE MEDIA
TO DECISION-MAKERS
TO THE WORLD
What will we do at these events?
United by our COMMON CALL TO ACTION…
WE WILL GATHER
WE WILL MARCH
WE WILL HIKE TO THE TOPS OF MOUNTAINS
WE WILL DIVE UNDERWATER
WE WILL RIDE OUR BIKES
WE WILL GET CREATIVE
WE WILL LOBBY OUR POLITICIANS
The options are open...
WHAT’S YOUR
IDEA?
WHERE WILL WE TAKE
ACTION?
iconic places
places we hold dear
places we hold dear
in the face of our changing
climate
places important to places important to our communities our communities
OUTCOME
A GLOBAL MOVEMENT, CONNECTED BY THE INTERNET, WITH A
COMMON CALL TO ACTION.
THE 350 ANIMATION:
JOIN THE
MOVEMENT.Take a stand for a fair global climate deal
that meets the latest science. SIGN UP!
Insert your contact info hereLOCAL
GLOBAL
24 october, 2009 SAVE THE DATE!
Sources
• Hansen’s paper• BBC World Service Poll -
http://www.globescan.com/news_archives/bbc_climate/