3q09 results - banco sabadell · 1q08 2q08 3q08 4q08 1q09 2q09 3q09 231.9 233.5 sep-08 sep-09 231.9...
TRANSCRIPT
Banco Sabadell
3Q09 Results
22nd October 2009
Disclaimer
Banco Sabadell cautions that this presentation may contain forward looking statements with respect to the business. financial condition. results of operations. strategy. plans and objectives of the Banco Sabadell Group. While these forward looking statements represent our judgement and future expectations concerning the development of our business. a certain number of risks. uncertainties and other important factors could cause actual developments and results to differ materially from our expectations. These factors include. but are not limited to. (1) general market. Macroeconomic. governmental. political and regulatory trends. (2) movements in local and international securities markets. currency exchange rate. and interest rates. (3) competitive pressures. (4) technical developments. (5) changes in the financial position or credit worthiness of our customers. obligors and counterparts. These risk factors could adversely affect our business and financial performance published in our past and future filings and reports. including those with the Spanish Securities and Exchange Commission (Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores).
Banco Sabadell is not nor can it be held responsible for the usage. valuations. opinions. expectations or decisions which might be adopted by third parties following the publication of this information.
Financial information by business areas is presented according to GAAP as well as internal Banco Sabadell group´s criteria as a result of which each division reflects the true nature of its business. These criteria do not follow any particular regulation and can include forecasts and subjective valuations which could represent substantial differences should another methodology be applied.
The distribution of this presentation in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law. Recipients of this presentation should inform themselves about and observe such restrictions.
These slides do not constitute or form part of any offer for sale or subscription of or solicitation or invitation of any offer to buy or subscribe to any securities nor shall they or any one of them form the basis of or be relied on in connection with any contract or commitment whatsoever.
22
Agenda
1. 3Q09 Results
2. Commercial activity and liquidity
3. Risk management
4. Optima program
5. Summary
33
9M 2009
YoY (€m) YoY (%)Sep 08 Sep 09 YoY (€m) YoY (%) Adjustments adjusted Adjusted
Net interest Income 1,078.1 1,215.4 137.4 12.7% 137.4 12.7%Equity Method & Dividends 45.4 56.3 10.9 24.1% 10.9 24.1%Commissions 424.3 385.8 -38.5 -9.1% -38.5 -9.1%Trading income & Forex 97.5 279.8 182.3 186.9% -96.8 85.5 87.7%Other operating Results 16.8 6.1 -10.7 -63.7% -10.7 -63.7%
Gross operating income 1,662.0 1,943.5 281.4 16.9% -96.8 184.6 11.1%Operating costs -715.0 -774.2 -59.2 8.3% 52.0 -7.2 1.0%Depreciations -103.1 -104.9 -1.8 1.7% -1.8 1.7%
Pre-provisions income 843.9 1,064.4 220.5 26.1% -44.8 175.7 20.8%Provisions fot credit risk -424.6 -359.6 65.0 -15.3% 65.0 -15.3%Other provisions & impairments -40.2 -230.5 -190.3 473.9% -190.3 -- Gains on sale of assets 25.2 64.9 39.7 157.8% -39.7 0.0 0.0%Taxes & minority interests -70.4 -70.7 -0.3 0.4% -5.0 -5.3 7.6%Disc. transactions 428.4 0.0 -428.4 -100.0% 418.4 -10.0 -2.3%
Attributable net profit 762.2 468.4 -293.7 -38.5% 328.8 35.1 4.6%
44
6.63
1.161.24
2.272.25
7.70
2Q09 3Q09
BIS ratio (%)
Lower Tier I
Core Capital
Tier II
10.0611.19
Strong capital position in absolute terms
55
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Ratio de cobertura de la morosidad
Rat
io d
e co
re c
apita
lStrong capital position in relative terms
NPL ratio above system average
System average(NPL coverage)
NPL ratio below system average
System average(core capital)
NOTE: The size of the circle represents the amount of gross loans to customers. BS core capital ratio including convertible bond issue. Data as of most recent information, including last issues announced of the main Spanish banks and saving banks.
NPL coverage ratio
Cor
eC
apita
l
66
Margin evolution starts to show the low interest rate environment …
1,215.41,078.1
Sep-08 Sep-09
+ 12.7 %
Euros in millions
374.8
1,078.11,215.4
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09
347.1 363.0 367.9 394.6 418.6 402.3Sep-09
NII 1,215.4
Dividends 11.3
Equity Method 45.0
Commissions 385.8
Trading income 242.2
Forex 37.6
Other op. results 6.1
Gross Op. Income 1,943.5
Personnel exp. -540.7
Administration exp. -233.5
Deprec. & amort. -104.9
Pre-provision Op. Incom 1,064.4
Prov. for NPLs and others -590.1
Gains on sale of assets 64.9
Taxes and minority int. -70.7
Disc. transactions 0.0Attr. Net Profit 468.4
77
1.80% 1.83% 1.79% 1.85%1.98%
2.06%1.95%
1Q8 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09
… although partly softened by the hedging strategy …
2.07%2.10%2.02% 2.15%2.41%
2.60%2.46%
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09
Net Interest Margin
Combined customer spread (*)
(*) Combined spread: Asset yield – (cost of customer funds + cost of wholesale funding). In percentage
We are well positioned for the current interest rate environment
88
… and an active liability management that offsets the asset yield trend
2.73%2.81%2.80% 2.84% 2.81%2.72% 2.52%
5.56%6.28%
5.93% 6.06% 6.29%
4.93%4.21%
2.83%3.47%
3.13%
2.21%
3.22%3.48%
1.70%
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09
We are actively managing the liability side to reduce funding costs
Customer loan yield
Cost of customer funds
Customer spread
99
Commissions reach an inflection point …
43.7
54.7
37.040.8 33.3 34.1 28.629.8
61.5 52.251.2 52.852.1
60.6
40.4 45.338.146.5
48.544.447.9
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09
121.5
167.4
127.8
92.5
165.5
135.5
Sep-08 Sep-09
424.3 - 9.1%385.8
138.8 150.8 134.7 133.4 134.9 132.2 118.7
Asset Mgmt1
Services
Lending
Euros in millions 1 Including mutual funds commissions and pension funds and non-life insurance brokerage
Asset Mgmt1
Services
Lending
Sep-09
NII 1,215.4
Dividends 11.3
Equity Method 45.0Commissions 385.8
Trading income 242.2
Forex 37.6
Other op. results 6.1
Gross Op. Income 1,943.5
Personnel exp. -540.7
Administration exp. -233.5
Deprec. & amort. -104.9
Pre-provision Op. Incom 1,064.4
Prov. for NPLs and others -590.1
Gains on sale of assets 64.9
Taxes and minority int. -70.7
Disc. transactions 0.0Attr. Net Profit 468.4
1010
… and show signs of improvement for coming quarters
Euros in millions
Commissions related to late payments
11.2
15.514.4
18.5
13.1
8.7
15.2
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09-1.200
-1.000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09
Net outflows at BS Asset management
1111
153.6 155.8 160.0 162.7 158.1 157.2 159.6
6.57.2 5.3 10.631.6 23,6
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09
475.0469.4
13.8 65.8
Sep-08 Sep-09
483.1 540.7
+ 1.2%
Recurrent Non-recurrent
Euros in millions. * Including Fincom, Tecnocredit and BBVA Miami in 2008.
153.6
+ 11.9%
163.0 166.5 168.0
We continue to take advantage of strong revenues to apply non-recurrent charges
189.7 180.8
+ 0.9%like-for-like *
170.2Sep-09
NII 1,215.4
Dividends 11.3
Equity Method 45.0
Commissions 385.8
Trading income 242.2
Forex 37.6
Other op. results 6.1
Gross Op. Income 1,943.5Personnel exp. -540.7
Administration exp. -233.5
Deprec. & amort. -104.9
Pre-provision Op. Incom 1,064.4
Prov. for NPLs and others -590.1
Gains on sale of assets 64.9
Taxes and minority int. -70.7
Disc. transactions 0.0Attr. Net Profit 468.4
1212
Administrative expenses
78.2 73.7 78.996.1
81.572.2 80.8
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09
231.9 233.5
Sep-08 Sep-09
231.9 233.5
+ 0.7%
- 0.3%like-for-like *
Euros in millions. * Including Fincom, BanSabadell Professional and 100% BBVA Miami in 2008.
Sep-09
NII 1,215.4
Dividends 11.3
Equity Method 45.0
Commissions 385.8
Trading income 242.2
Forex 37.6
Other op. results 6.1
Gross Op. Income 1,943.5
Personnel exp. -540.7Administration exp. -233.5
Deprec. & amort. -104.9
Pre-provision Op. Incom 1,064.4
Prov. for NPLs and others -590.1
Gains on sale of assets 64.9
Taxes and minority int. -70.7
Disc. transactions 0.0Attr. Net Profit 468.4
1313
Euros in millions.
Continued extraordinary provisions reflect our conservative approach
We maintain a high coverage ratio of 83.3% Including guarantees the coverage ratio would be 135.5%
Provisions for credit risk (P/L):
Balance sheet provisions:
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09
Generic 20.2 3.8 -10.1 -12.0 0.0 -129.4 -315.5
NPLs entry 13.2 6.5 55.4 46.1 11.0 16.2 14.5Calendar effect 14.8 37.1 48.6 56.9 80.8 121.7 155.2Extraordinary 0.2 10.1 214.0 85.3 41.9 87.5 258.7
Rest -4.6 3.5 11.9 3.0 8.2 7.3 1.6
Total 43.8 61.0 319.8 179.3 141.9 103.3 114.5
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09
Generic fund 1,184.2 1,192.0 1,183.7 1,170.4 1,170.4 1,040.1 723.6Specific fund 130.3 166.7 457.5 645.4 786.0 991.0 1,357.1
Total 1,314.5 1,358.6 1,641.3 1,815.8 1,956.4 2,031.1 2,080.7
1414
-129.4
-315.5
109.4 110.7 105.9 148.4 169.7
214.085.3 41.9
87.5
258.7
24.0 -12.0 0.0-10.120.229.328.110.1
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09
Euros in millions.
Continued improvement of the total provisions buffer
1,183.7 1,170.4 1,170.4 1,040.1723.6
786.0 991.0 1,357.1457.5 645.4
Sep-08 Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09
1.641,31.815,8
2.031,11.956,5 2.080,7
Specific
Generic
Extraordinary
Ordinary specific
Generic
Rest
Provisions for credit risk (P/L):
Balance sheet provisions:
1515
Declining trend in the cost of risk
Cost of risk (in bp)
CreditCost of risk
Yearly average: 43bpsNon credit
Cost of risk
9086
2732
93
77 75
Mar-08 Jun-08 Sep-08 Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09Extraordinary provisioning this year will allow a lower cost of risk over the coming quarters
Mar-08 Jun-08 Sep-08 Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09
1616
Agenda
1. 3Q09 Results
2. Commercial activity and liquidity
3. Risk management
4. Optima program
5. Summary
1717
Deposit growth confirms customer confidence in BS …
-3,000
-2,000
-1,000
0
1,000
2,000
2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09
Loans to customers 66,048 64,458+ 2.1%
On-balance sheet customer funds* 35,479 38,309 +8.0%
Positive commercial Gap
Sep-08 Sep-09 Var.
Fix-term deposits 21,040 22,280 +5.9%
€ m
- 2.4%
Loans to customers excluding real estate
* Excluding repos and including preference shares placed in the retail network and convertible bond issue. Euros in millions. 1818
500
700
900
1,100
1,300
1,500
1,700
1,900
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
Mortgages
1,250
1,750
2,250
2,750
3,250
3,750
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
Loans
150
250
350
450
550
650
750
850
950
1,050
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
CrediGlobal
1,300
1,800
2,300
2,800
3,300
3,800
4,300
4,800
5,300
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
Credit lines
200820092008
2009
2008
2009
2008
2009
Number of new contracts
… and with a reasonable level of activity in the current environment
1919
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
janua
ryfeb
ruar
y
march
april
may june
july
augu
stse
ptembe
roc
tober
nove
mber
dece
mber
Factoring (€ m) Confirming (active contracts)
Market share 10.7% Market share 9.6%
We continue to improve our market share in commercial credit (7.81%)
1,150
1,200
1,250
1,300
1,350
1,400
1,450
janua
ryfeb
ruar
y
march
april
may june
july
augu
stse
ptembe
roc
tober
nove
mber
dece
mber
2008
2009
20082009
… and with a reasonable level of activity in the current environment
2020
Agenda
1. 3Q09 Results
2. Commercial activity and liquidity
3. Risk management
4. Optima program
5. Summary
2121
NPL ratio
Source: Bank of Spain
02468
10
90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 Mar-09
Jun-09
Sep-09
System NPLs BS NPLs
* Banco Sabadell forecast
*
*
Continued improvement of gap vs. the rest of the sector
Mar-08 Jun-08 Sep-08 Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09
NPL ratio BS 0.62% 0.85% 1.59% 2.35% 2.82% 3.19% 3.47%
NPL ratio system 1.20% 1.70% 2.63% 3.37% 4.27% 4.60% 4.99%
GAP (p.b) 58 85 104 102 145 141 152
2222
Improving the gap between entries andrecoveries
Evolution of entries and recoveries
750.0
806.7
625.4
748.5823.7
531.9480.1
35.1
223.1
532.9
3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09
Entries
Recoveries
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09
Entries 213.2 244.0 625.4 748.5 806.7 823.7 749.9
Recoveries -59.9 -42.2 -35.1 -223.1 -480.1 -532.9 -531.9
Write-offs -39.4 -24.5 -40.9 0.5 -1.7 -25.4 -9.1
Quarterly change on NPL 113.9 177.3 549.5 525.8 324.8 265.4 208.92323
7%
23%
32%
38%
162
391 42261
89121 110
15
412
20
3T08 4T08 1T09 2T09 3T09
53253348022335
58%
42%
150(**)
The pulling effect explains 87.5% of non-court filingsNote: The ‘pulling effect’ means that all the debt goes into NPL even if the unpaid instalment is only a fraction of the total debt.
Evolution of court and non-court recovery files
Real estaterepossession
Cash
Court file recoveries (9M09)
Non-court file recoveries (9M09)
Guarantees andcommercialdiscount
Cash + reactivation‘pullingeffect’(**)
Court files Non-court files
** Adjusting for August seasonality
Real estaterepossession
Cash + reactivation‘pullingeffect’(**)
Recoveries analysis
2424
Individuals 14%
Companies 61%
Real estate 17%
Self-employed 8%
Individuals 11%
Companies 61%
Real estate 23%
Self-employed 5%
NPL ratio: New entries and recoveries by segments
NPL new entries Recoveries
2525
NPL by segments
Mar-08 Jun-08 Sep-08 Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09
Companies 0.35% 0.52% 1.28% 2.02% 2.54% 2.89% 2.97%
SME 0.84% 1.07% 1.37% 2.17% 2.18% 2.77% 3.12%
Small retailers and self-employed 1.04% 1.10% 1.37% 1.68% 2.42% 2.92% 3.59%
Real Estate development 0.42% 0.95% 2.99% 5.35% 7.34% 7.73% 8.05%
Mortgages to individuals 0.47% 0.57% 0.75% 1.12% 1.48% 1.69% 1.99%
Individual others 1.88% 1.98% 2.44% 3.21% 4.24% 4.91% 5.53%
Total 0.62% 0.85% 1.59% 2.35% 2.82% 3.19% 3.47%
2626
NPL by segments
0
50
100
150
200
250
2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q090
20
40
60
80
100
120
Individuals
TOTAL
SMEs
Real estate (LHS)
Quarterly cost of risk evolution
2727
5.2%
7.4%7.5%
6.7%7.1%
6.6%
7.1%
6.2% 6.1%
4.7% 4.7%4.5%
4.3%
5.8%
6.4%
5.9% 5.9%
5.1%
5.7%
4.4%
4.8%
3.9% 3.8%3.6%
3.2%
Set-08 Oct-08 Nov-08 Dec-08 Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09
Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09
System BS
Evolution of non-performing commercial discount
Source system: National Institute of Statistics (INE). 2828
931 1.025 1.1121.025
Dic-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09 Dic-09e
Solvia. Real estate assets
Portfolio evolution and writedowns
Euros in millions
Acquisition
Repossession
Sales
Writedowns
Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09e
931 1,275 1,442 1,661 1,950
-68-59 -59-129 -193 -230
-43
250460
Significant provisioning effort
617
2929
Agenda
1. 3Q09 Results
2. Commercial activity and liquidity
3. Risk management
4. Optima program
5. Summary
3030
The transformation plan continues to move forward …
Branch network1,44 FTEs* Back-office FTEs* per branch (1,95 dec-07)
572 back-office personnel reduction since the beginning of the program, increasing our commercial capacity
Service centersServices Global Center set up, concentrating headquarters’ activity for the
branch network
3 Regional Administrative Centers open (RAC): Service-related facility rolled out, asset-related facility in its final roll-out stage in Catalunya.
Foreign trade facility streamlined down to 25 operational centers, from 63 previously
* FTE= Full Time Equivalents 3131
36%Efficiency improvement
due to Optima 09
Widespread implementation of digital processing, centralized workflowmanagement system and advanced tracking system have resulted in a 36% efficiency improvement in the businesess where these measures have beenapplied.
Digital processing
Advanced tracking tool
Workflow management system
… and positive impact on efficiency
3232
… and positive impact on efficiency
FTEs*
1.25
1.591.67
2.25
2.00 1.95
1.541.44
2004 2006 2007 2008 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 2009e
2009 YTD -280 FTE
The operating efficiency program continues to
reduce back office time at the
branch level
*FTE= Full Time Equivalents 3333
1,229
1,2601,257 1,2561,247
1,2301,223
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09
9,668
10,015
10,18910,178
9,929
9,615 9,559
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09
Number of branchesNumber of employees
… and positive impact in efficiency
3434
7,567,86 7,64
6,95 6,90
7,667,827,657,317,43
6,736,63
6,216,53
6,80 6,737,09 7,24 7,08 7,00
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 1T09 2T09 3T09
Grupo Banco Sabadell Mercado
Service quality and awards
Ranking in retail banking network independent quality surveys2
Renewal of the Global Award of
European Excellence
Source: 1 Bank of Spain, 4Q08 Bulletin 2 STIGA, “RCB Objective Quality in Retail Banking Networks” 2Q09.
Ranking in service quality 1
The only Spanish financial institution with a global ISO
9001 quality certificate
3535
Agenda
1. 3Q09 Results
2. Commercial activity and liquidity
3. Risk management
4. Optima program
5. Summary
3636
Summary
Focus on active margin management policies
An inflexion point in fee income with a positive outlook
Excellent cost management performance
Conservative provisioning / asset quality under control
We continue to manage our solid capital base
3737
El valor de la confianza