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4 MATERIALS AND METHODS
MATERIALS AND METHODS
89
4.1 INTERPRETATIVE METHODOLOGY: THE MICROLEIS DECISION SUPPORT
SYSTEM A small number of systems such as MicroLEIS are widely used. One obvious reason
for MicroLEIS common use is the straightforward approach of the procedure,
which uses simple models. MicroLEIS predicts the optimum land use and the best
management practices, individualized for each soil type, to predict the optimum
biomass productivity, minimum environmental vulnerability and maximum CO2
sequestration. Climate change scenarios are considered together with other
important global changes, such as land use change, desertification, agricultural
extensification/intensification, etc. (Muñoz-Rojas, 2012).
MicroLEIS DSS is an agro-ecological decision support system (technology
developed by CSIC-IRNAS and transferred to Evenor-Tech, www.evenor-
tech.com). It is considered a very suitable tool to contain the soil and climatic
attributes for a better identification of vulnerable areas and formulation of action
programs (Anaya-Romero et al., 2010).
MicroLEIS DSS include three databases (SDBm, CDBm and MDBm) and thirteen
models. Seven models of the system can be applied in different hypothetical
scenarios of climate and agriculture management:
� Terraza, Cervatana and Sierra are models associated to evaluate soil
productivity as bioclimatic deficiency, general land capability and forestry
land suitability respectively.
� Raizal, ImpelERO and Pantanal are models related to land degradation
assessment as soil erosion risk, prediction of soil loss, specific soil
contamination risk, respectively; CarboSOIL is used to evaluate carbon
sequestration under different climate conditions.
� The other six models (Almagra, Albero, Marisma, Aljrafe, Alcor and
Arenal) are used to evaluate soil productivity and land degradation
depending on physical, chemical and pedological soil characteristics. All
the results of evaluation models can be spatialized by GIS integration
(Figure 4-1).
Applications of evaluation models are useful to assess climate change impacts,
planning of land use and intended for suitable soil management system.
CHAPTER 4
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Figure 4-1. Conceptual design and components integration of the MicroLEIS DSS land evaluation decision support system. Environmental modeling: SS, simulation system; QA, qualitative approach; ES, expert system; ; NN, neural network; HM, hybrid model; SM, statistical model. Biophysical processes/outputs: BD, bioclimatic deficiency; LC, land capability; FS, forestry suitability (61 species); ER, erosion risk; IM, erosion impact/mitigation; SC, specific contamination; AS, agricultural suitability (12 crops); CP, crop productivity (3 crops); NF, natural fertility; PW, plasticity/workability; CT, compaction/trafficability; CR, contamination risk. CarboSOIL model is not included in this figure.
MicroLEISDecision Support System
Land evaluation modelbase
(12 models)
Climatic data included
Mod
els
ab
le t
o g
ene
rate
clim
ate
hyp
oth
eses
Mod
els
not a
ble to g
ene
rate
clima
te h
ypo
theses
Climatic data
not included
Application user-interface
PC-
Software
Web-
Development
GIS integration
Result
Spatialization
Lan
d de
gra
dati
on
mod
els
So
il p
rod
ucti
vity
mod
els
Land
de
gradatio
n
mo
dels
So
il prod
uctivity
mod
els
Specific supported decisions
Climate change impacts
Land use
planningSoil management
systems
Graphical
presentationTable results
Ag
ro-e
nvir
onm
ent
al
dat
aba
se SDBm
Soil data
CDBm
Climate data
MBDm
Farming data
QA Cervatana LC
SS Terraza BD
NN Sierra FS
ES Raizal ER
HM ImpelERO IM
ES Pantanal SC
QA Almagra AS
SM Albero CP
QA Marisma NF
SM Aljarafe PW
SM Alcor CT
ES Arenal CR
MATERIALS AND METHODS
91
4.1.1 DATA SOURCES AND HARMONIZATION
SOIL DATA BASE (SDBM)
GENERAL DESCRIPTION
The multilingual soil database SDBm plus (De la Rosa et al., 2002) is used to store
and manipulate the large amount of soil data extracted from soil profiles, These
soil attributes are input variables for applying the MicroLEIS models which have
been extracted by SDBm plus program, which is a geo-referenced soil attribute
database for storage of an exceptionally large number of morphological, chemical
and physical properties .
Figure 4-2. General scheme of the SDBm Plus database. Source: De la Rosa et al. (2002).
CHAPTER 4
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Figure 4-3. Screen capture of SDBm data base.
SDBm Plus has been entirely re-designed and re-written as a WINDOWS
application (Figure 4-2). It is a user-friendly software designed to harmonize, store
and use large amounts of geo-referenced soil profile data in an efficient and
systematic way. Soil data sets can be stored in the SDBm Plus database, including
general information, horizon description, standard analyses, soluble salts/heavy
metals, physical analyses, water retention/hydraulic conductivity, photographs
and analytical methods.
Figure 4-3 represent a screen capture of the multilingual soil profile database
SDBm Plus with the stored soil profiles and how to add/modificate the soil
information contents for a specific soil profile to obtain the final soil profile
description. Figure 4-4 show an example of soil profiles description extracted from
the SDBm Plus database.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
93
Figure 4-4. Example of soil profiles description extracted, from the SDBm Plus database.
CHAPTER 4
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Figure 4-4. (Cont.) Example of soil profiles description, extracted from the SDBm Plus database.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
95
DATA COLLECTION
ANDALUSIAANDALUSIAANDALUSIAANDALUSIA
The multilingual soil database SDBm plus includes detailed information on soil
profiles such as site information, morphological descriptions and a detailed
physical and chemical analysis (1103 soil profiles of Andalusia) Figure 4-5-A. In this
study we have choosen the most representative profiles for Andalusia (62 profiles;
De la Rosa et al., 1984) (Table 4-1 and Figure 4-5-B).
Table 4-1. Soil taxonomy Classification (USDA, 2010) of 62 representative soil profile of Andalusia (87600 km
2). Codes are soil profile identification codes in the original soil data
base (SDBm). Source: adapted from De la Rosa et al. (1984). (*) Typical soil profiles of the Mediterranean region.
Order Sub-order Great group Sub-group Code Area, km2
Alfisols Xeralfs Haploxeralfs Aquic Haploxeralfs SE08 627 Calcic Haploxeralfs SE01 217 Typic Haploxeralfs CO06, CO05, JA07 5481
Palexeralfs Aquic Palexeralfs HU05 821 Typic Palexeralfs CA04 1645 Vertic Palexeralfs JA03 1491
Rhodoxeralfs Calcic Rhodoxeralfs CA03,GR10 1087 Lithic Rhodoxeralfs JA05 1102 Typic Rhodoxeralfs CA06,GR05, JA01, SE02 4835
Aridisols Argids Haplargids Vertic Haplargids AL05 1254 Cambids Haplocambids Xeric Haplocambids AL06 1196
Entisols Aquents Fluvaquents Typic Fluvaquents AL04, HU06, SE05 2202 Arents Udarents Haplic Udarents CA05 747 Fluvents Xerofluvents Aquic Xerofluvents GR11 1368
Typic Xerofluvents AL08, CO07, SE09 3719 Orthents Xerorthents Lithic Xerorthents HU02 1129
Typic Xerorthents CO01, GR08, MA03, AL01, GR01, GR03, GR06
9398
Inceptisols Xerepts Haploxerepts Typic Haploxerepts HU07 3013 Haploxerepts Calcic Haploxerepts AL02, GR07, MA01 4818
Lithic Haploxerepts CO03, HU01, GR04, MA02 7056 Typic Haploxerepts AL07, JA06, JA09, CO04 6075
Udepts Dystrudepts Typic Dystrudepts GR02 1139 Fluventic Dystrudepts HU04 1472
Molisols Rendolls Haprendolls Lithic Haprendolls JA08, AL03 2640 Ustolls Haplustolls Udic Haplustolls MA05 1374 Xerolls Haploxerolls Entic Haploxerolls SE04 589
Typic Haploxerolls MA04 1666 Ultisols Xerults Haploxerults Typic Haploxerults SE06 3748 Vertisols Xererts Haploxererts Entic Haploxererts GR09, HU03 1905
Typic Haploxererts CA02, CO02, JA04,SE03 JA02, SE07
11945
Chromic Haploxererts CA01 1841
CHAPTER 4
96
Figure 4-5. Spatial distribution of soil profiles in Andalusia. A: represents the spatial distribution all the stored soil profiles in SDBm; B: spatial distribution of the selected soil
profiles and the dominated land use in each soil profile.
Land use
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±
Portugal
ExtremaduraCastilla-La Mancha
Murcia
Andalusia Mediterranean sea
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B
MATERIALS AND METHODS
97
Soils were classified using the keys to soil taxonomy (USDA, 2010) at the sub-
group level of USDA Soil Taxonomy, resulting in 31 units. These included the
following soil orders within area km2 and the psentage of each of them from the
total area: Alfisols 17304.6 (19.8%), Aridisols 2450.0 (2.8%), Entisols 18563.2
(21.2%), Inceptisols 23573.2 (26,9%), Mollisols 6269.3 (7.2%), Ultisols 3748.1
(4.3%) and Vertisols 15691.8 (17.9%). The three major soil sub-groups are Typic
Xerorthents, Lithic Haploxerepts and Typic Haploxererts, representing 10.7 %,
8.1% and 13.6 respectively (Table 4-1).
Table 4-2 represents the morphologic proprieties of 24 profile selection that are
dominated in the Mediterranean areas
Table 4-2. Morphologic properties of the selected 24 soil profiles. Abbreviations: Texture class : c=clay; l=loam; si=silt; s=sand; cl=clay loam; scl=sandy clay loam; sl=sandy loam; ls=loamy sand; sic=silty clay; sicl=silty clay loam; sil=silty loam. Structure: Size: f=fine; m=medium; c=coarse; vc=very coarse. Grade: 0=structureless; 1=weak; 2=moderate; 3=strong. Type: m= massive; abk=angular blocky; sbk=subangular; pr=prismatic; cpr=columnar; gr=granular; sg=single grain. Soil consistence: when moist: lo=loose vfr=very friable fr=friable fi=firm sfir=slightly firm vfi=very firm. Boundary: c=clear; a=abrupt; g=gradual; d= diffuse; s= smooth; w=wavy; i=irregular; gs=gradual smooth; ds= diffuse smooth; cs=clear smooth; cw=clear wavy. Reaction: n=null; e=slight; es=strong; ev=violent.
Profile Horizon Depth Texture Structure Color Consistency Boundary Reaction
P-SE08 Ap 0-25 ls f1cr 10 YR 5/4 Mfi cs n
B1 25-40 sl c3sbk 10 YR 7/6 Mfr gw n B21t 40-70 sc c3pr 10 YR 5/6 Mfr d n B22g 70- sc c3pr 10 YR 5/6 Mfr gw n B3g >110 sc c2pr 10 YR 5/6 Mfr -- e P-SE01 Ap 0-20 scl f3cr 5 YR 4/8 Mfr gs e AB 20-45 sc c1cr 2.5 YR Mfr cs e B2t 45-60 sc c3abk 2.5 YR Mfi cs n B3ca 60-75 sl f3abk 5 YR 5/6 mfi gs es C1ca 75- l f2abk 5 YR 5/6 mfi gs ev IIC2ca >115 ls c3bk 10 YR 6/6 mfi -- ev P-CO06 A1 0-10 c c3gr 5 YR 4/4 mfi ci e B oct- c m2sbk 5 YR 5/6 mfi ai e R >50 P-CA03 Ap 0-15 scl m2cr 5 YR 4/4 mfr cs e B2 15-35 scl m2sbk 2.5 YR mfr ci n B3ca 35-60 c2cr 2.5 YR mfr g es Cca 60-80 f1sbk 2.5 YR ev C >80 2.5 YR ev
CHAPTER 4
98
Table 4-2. Continuation.
Profile Horizon Depth Texture Structure Color Consistency Boundary Reaction
P-CA06 A1 0-10 sil m3cr 5 YR 4/2 mfr c n Bt oct- sic c2abk 2.5 YR mfi c n B+C 30-70 sil f2sbk 5 YR 5/4 mfr a ev R >70 P-AL05 A1 0-15 ls m2cr 10 YR 6/3 cs es B2 15- sl m2cpr 10 YR 5/6 es C >100 P- AL06 A 0-20 sic m2cr 2.5 Y 7/4 mfr ds ev AB 20-60 sic m2sbk 2.5 Y 6/6 mfr cs ev C >60 sic m2sbk 2.5 Y 7/ mfi -- ev P-SE05 A1sa 0-10 c m2sbk 10 YR 7/2 mfi cs es B11g oct- c c3m 10 YR 4/2 mvfi gs es B12g 37-65 c c2m mfi gs es IICg >56 c c3abk 2.5 Y 5/2 mfi es P-CA05 Ap1 0-10 sic m3sbk 2.5 Y 8/2 mfr cs es Ap2 oct- sic c2sbk 2.5 Y 8/2 mfr gs Ap3 20-60 sic m1sbk 2.5 Y 8/2 mfr d e AC 60-80 sic m3sbk 2.5 Y 8/2 mfr d e C >80 sicl c3abk 2.5 Y 7/2 e P-CO07 Ap 0-15 cl m1cr 10 YR 4/3 mvfr cs es AC 15-25 scl m2cr 10 YR 4/3 mfi as es C1 25-35 sl m2cr 10 YR 4/3 mfr gs es C2 35-65 scl m1sbk 10 YR 6/4 mfr gs es C3 >65 0 10 YR 6/3 es P-HU02 A1 0-9 l f1cr 10 YR 5/4 c n R >9 P-AL01 A1 0-25 sl m1gr 10 YR 5/2 cs e AC 25-80 cl m3sbk 5 YR 4/6 gs n C 80- n R >100 P-GR06 A 0-12 si m2gr 5 YR 7/1 es C >12 5 YR 7/1 es P-MA01 Ap 0-20 c m2sbk 5 YR 3/4 mfr d e AB 20-40 c c2sbk 5 YR 3/4 mfr c e B 40-60 c c2sbk 5 YR 4/4 mfi d es C >60 s c2sbk 5 YR 5/4 mfi ev P-HU01 A1 0-5 scl f3cr 7.5 YR mfr cs n B may- l c3sbk 10 YR 5/8 mfr cw C >25 P-CO04 A11 0-10 ls f1cr 10 YR 4/4 mvfr gs n A12 oct- sl f1cr 10 YR 4/4 mvfr cw n B 20-40 sl c2sbk 7.5 YR mfr ci n C >40 sl m2pr mfr n P-JA06 A1 0-35 c f2sbk 2.5 Y 8/ mfr cw es C >35 cl m 2.5 Y 8/3 mfi es P-GR02 A11 0-9 sl f3cr 7.5 YR mvfr cs n A12 sep- sl m2cr 7.5 YR mvfr cw n B2 20-33 sl m1gr 7.5 YR mfr gw n B3 33-65 sl f1sbk 2.5 Y 5/4 mfr cw n C1 65-95 sl m 2.5 Y 5/4 mfr d n C2 >95 sl m 2.5 Y 5/2 mfr d n P-HU04 A1 0-15 s f1cr 5 YR 2/1 mvfr gs AC 15-25 s 0 5 YR 3/1 mvfr g C1 25-50 s 0 10 YR 3/1 mvfr g C2 >50 s 0 10 YR 7/2 P-JA08 A11 0-15 sl f2cr 10 YR 3/2 mvfr d e A12 15-35 sl f2cr 10 YR 4/3 mvfr ci e R >35
MATERIALS AND METHODS
99
Table 4-2. Continuation.
Profile Horizon Depth Texture Structure Color Consistency Boundary Reaction
P-CO02 Ap 0-20 m3cr 2.5 Y 4/2 mfr cs es AC 20-90 m3sbk 2.5 Y 6/2 mfi d es C1 90- c3pr 2.5 Y 7/4 mvfi es C2 >120 m mvfi es P-SE03 Ap 0-25 c f2sbk 2.5 Y 4/2 gs es A1 25-35 c m3abk 2.5 Y 4/2 gs es C1ca 35-70 c m3pr 2.5 Y 4/2 gs es C2 70- c m3pr 2.5 Y 6/4 d es C3 120- c m 2.5 Y 6/6 ev P-CA01 Ap 0-10 c f3sbk 10 YR 5/1 mfr as e AB oct- c m3pr 10 YR 3/2 mvfi cs e B+C 45-80 c m 10 YR 5/2 mvfi gs es C >80 cl c3abk 2.5 Y 6/2 mfr es P-HU03 Ap1 0-20 c m3gr 10 YR 4/1 mfi gw e Ap2 20-60 c m3gr 10 YR 3/1 mvfi d es AC 60- c c3pr 10 YR 3/1 mvfi gw es C >140 c m 10 YR 8/4 mvfi ev
Table 4-3 represents the ranges and dominantvalues of site characteristics such as
landform, slope gradient, elevation and also exemplify the soil characteristics with
respect to useful depth, drainage, particle size distribution, superficial stoniness,
organic matter, pH, cation exchange capacity, sodium saturation.
Table 4-3. Ranges and dominant values of land characteristics of the 62 benchmark soils for Andalusia. (*) Soil parameters measured within the soil section 0 to 50 cm.
Land characteristics (Range) Dominant
Site – related characteristics Landform (plan - mountain) hill Slope gradient, % (0.7 - > 30) 2 Elevation, masl (1-2080) Soil- related characteristics Useful depth, cm (0-260) 150 Drainage (poor-excessive) well Particle size distribution* (sand-clay)clay Superficial stoniness (nill –abundant ) nill Organic matter,* % (0.14 – 4.32 ) 1.59 pH* (5.1 – 8.7) 7.4 Cation exchange capacity,* meq/100g (2.5- 50.4) 17.46 Sodium saturation,* % (0.2 – 11.9) 2.7
CHAPTER 4
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ELELELEL----FAYOUMFAYOUMFAYOUMFAYOUM
The total soil profiles of 46 have been collected from previous research (Haroun,
2004; Ali, 2005); six representative soil profiles were selected to represent the soil
types of El-Fayoum area, (Figure 4-6): Vertic Torrifluvents, Typic Haplocalcids,
Typic Torrifluvents, Typic Haplogypsids, Typic Haplosalids, Typic Torripsamments.
Soil physical and chemical properties of each selected profile were included in the
SDBm database (Antoine et al., 1995; De la Rosa et al., 2002).
Figure 4-6. Spatial distributions of the collected soil profile in El- Fayoum area. Red points represent the representative soil profiles.
As illustrated inTable 4-4, the soil layers indicate that the sub-great group Vertic
Torrifluvents is the dominant soil sub-great group; it covers an area of 760 km2
representing 42.79% of the mapped soils. The sub-great group of Typic
Haplocalcids covers an area of 421 km2 representing 23.70% of soil units’ area. Its
geographic distribution is located on the edges of the depression exhibiting the
old river terraces. Typic Torrifluvents occurs within the depression, covering an
area of 141 km2, representing 7.94% of the mapped soils. These soils are
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FA-H02
FA-H01FA-A16
FA-A15 FA-A14
FA-A13
FA-A12
FA-A11
FA-A10
FA-A09
FA-A08
FA-A07
FA-A06
FA-A05
FA-A04
FA-A03
FA-A02
FA-A01
Qarun Lake
0 10 205 km
Wad
i El r
ayan
lake
s
±El-Fayoum
MATERIALS AND METHODS
101
associated with the recent terraces of the flood plain. The Gypsic soils, e.g. Typic
Haplogypsids, exist on the eastern borders of the Fayoum depression covering an
area of 87 km2 representing 4.90%. A very small patch of the sub-great group
Typic Haplosalids exists in the south east of the depression (58 km2; 3.27% of the
mapped soils) as shown in (Table 4-4) Typic Torripsamments cover small spots in
the south of El-Fayoum depression, covering an area of 26 km2 (1.36%). It should
be noticed that such variability of sub-great groups is unique for the Fayoum
Province due to its location, altitude, formation processes and patterns of
agricultural practices. The soil database SDBm-El-Fayoum physical, chemical and
morphological descriptions of 46 soil profiles of El-Fayoum depression.
Table 4-4.Classification of the soil taxonomic units (USDA, 2010) of six representative soil profile of El-Fayoum (1493 km
2) and corresponding area (km
2). (*) Source: H, Haroun
(2004); A: Ali (2005).
Order Sub-order Great group Sub-group Soil profile* Area Km
2
Aridisols Calcids Haplocalcids Typic Haplocalcids FA-H05 421 Gypsids Haplogypsids Typic Haplogypsids FA-A13 87 Salids Haplosalids Typic Haplosalids FA-H08 58
Entisols Fluvents Torrifluvents Vertic Torrifluvents FA-H19 760 Typic Torrifluvents FA-H07 141
Psamments Torripsamments Typic Torripsamments FA-H15 26
CLIMATE DATA BASE (CDBM)
GENERAL DESCRIPTION
The climate database CDBm developed for MicroLEIS DSS (Figure 4-7) is a
computer-based tool for the organization, storage, and manipulation of agro-
climatic data. These geo-referenced climate observations, at a particular
meteorological station, correspond to the mean values of such records for a
determinate period. It is precisely by this integration over a time period that
meteorology is distinguished from climate. The basic data of CDBm are the mean
values of the daily dataset for a particular month. The stored monthly mean
values correspond to a set of temperature and precipitation variables (maximum
CHAPTER 4
102
temperature, minimum temperature, accumulative precipitation, maximum
precipitation per day, and days of precipitation).
Figure 4-8 represents the screen capture of the main and calculations menus of
climate database also represents input/edit data form and summaries form.
Figure 4-7. General scheme of the CDBm database. De la Rosa et al. (2002).
MATERIALS AND METHODS
103
Figure 4-8. Screen capture of CDBm data base.
ANNUAL CLIMATIC INDEX CALCULATIONS
Different climatic indices were included in this research in relation with crop
productivity (humidity, aridity and growing season) and land degradation
(precipitation concentration, Fournier and Arkley indices).
HUMIDITY INDEXHUMIDITY INDEXHUMIDITY INDEXHUMIDITY INDEX
Humidity index (HUi) is used to estimate the availability of water to the plants in a
general way. It is also often used to anticipate the needs of artificial drainage in an
area. To calculate the humidity index (HUI) the following formula is used:
��� � ����
Where: P is precipitation and ET0 is potential evapotranspiration (calculated
according to Thornthwaite’s or Hargreaves’ method).
ARIDITYARIDITYARIDITYARIDITY INDEXINDEXINDEXINDEX
Aridity index (ARi) is a simple procedure to estimate the general climate aridity.
The aridity index is calculated as the number of months of the year when
CHAPTER 4
104
potential evapotranspiration (calculated according to Thornthwaite’s or
Hargreaves’ method) exceeds precipitation.
GROWING SEASON INDEXGROWING SEASON INDEXGROWING SEASON INDEXGROWING SEASON INDEX
Growing season (GS) indicates the length of the vegetative period, calculated as
the number of months of the year when the temperature average exceeds 5 oC
(CEC, 1992).
PRECPRECPRECPRECIPITATION CONCENTRATIPITATION CONCENTRATIPITATION CONCENTRATIPITATION CONCENTRATION INDEXION INDEXION INDEXION INDEX
According to (Oliver, 1980) the precipitation concentration index (PCi) was
proposed to estimate the aggressiveness of rainfall from the temporal variability
of monthly rainfall. It is expressed as a percentage, according to the following
formula:
�� � ∑ ��� ��� (∑ ��) ���
� ∙ 100
Where pi is the monthly precipitation in month i.
FOURNIER INDEXFOURNIER INDEXFOURNIER INDEXFOURNIER INDEX
The modified Fournier index (FRi) is frequently used to estimate the erosivity of
rainfall (factor R) during the soil erosion process , is defined by Arnoldus (1980)
using the following expression:
��� � ∑ ��� ��� (∑ ��) ���
Where pi is the monthly precipitation in month i.
ARKLEY INDEXARKLEY INDEXARKLEY INDEXARKLEY INDEX
Arkley index (AKi) is used to estimate the effect of climate on the degree of soil
leaching. Arkley (1963) defined this index as the highest value either the sum of
the monthly precipitations minus potential evapotranspirations (calculated
according to Thornthwaite’s or Hargreaves’ method) of those months when the
precipitation is greater than evapotranspiration, or the total amount of
precipitation of wettest month
DATA COLLECTION
ANDALUSIAANDALUSIAANDALUSIAANDALUSIA
The climate database CDBm-Andalusia (mean monthly temperature, maximum
and minimum monthly rainfall and number of days of rainfall for each natural
MATERIALS AND METHODS
105
region of Andalusia there is a representative meteorological station (62) that
includes geo-referenced climate observations, recorded during a period of 30
years) and CDBm-El-Fayoum (with data recorded during a period of 44 years).
ELELELEL----FAYOUMFAYOUMFAYOUMFAYOUM
Climatic data such as temperatures and precipitation for the last 44 consecutive
years (1962-2006) were collected from El- Fayoum meteorological station. These
data were integrated into the CDBm database (De la Rosa et al., 1986).
AGRICULTURE DATA BASE (MDBM)
GENERAL DESCRIPTION
The agriculture database MDBm is knowledge-based software to capture, store,
process, and transfer agricultural crop and management information obtained
through interviews with farmers (Figure 4-9). The MDBm dataset consists of geo-
referenced agricultural data on a particular land use system, structured and
stored as a file.
Figure 4-9. General structure of the MDBm database. De la Rosa et al. (2002).
CHAPTER 4
106
Figure 4-10. Screen capture of MDBm database. De la Rosa et al. (2002).
A menu system guides the user through a sequence of options to capture the
management practices followed on a site-specific farm. Input parameters include
farm and plot descriptions, crop characteristics, sequence of operations, and
behavioral observations. These parameters represent 59 management practices.
Variables can be modified or extended as appropriate.
Figure 4-10 shows a screen capture MDBm: agriculture management database
and a screen of coding, language change and data.
DATA COLLECTION
MDBm-Andalusia and MDBm-El-Fayoum contain information about agricultural
use and management of major crops. Original data were collected from the
SEIS.net database and published scientific literature, respectively.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
107
4.2 SELECTED MODELS OF MICROLEIS DSS Three databases and five land evaluation models of MicroLEIS DSS have been used
for soil evaluation under climate or management change scenarios. Pantanal
(vulnerability of soil contamination by phosphorus, nitrogen, heavy metals and
pesticides), Raizal (water and wind soil erosion), Terraza (bioclimatic deficiency),
Cervatana (agricultural land use capability) and Almagra (soil suitability of for
annual, semi-annual and perennial Mediterranean crops). (Table 4-5 and
Figure 4-11)
Table 4-5. Applied MicroLEIS land evaluation models.
Purpose Model Land evaluation issue (Modelling approach)
Specific strategy supported
Agriculture productivity
Terraza Bioclimatic deficiency (parametric )
Crop water supply quantification and frost risk limitation
Cervatana General land capability (qualitative)
Segregation of best agricultural and marginal agricultural lands
Almagra Agricultural soil suitability (qualitative )
Diversification of crop rotation in best agricultural lands: for traditional crops (12)
Land degradation
Pantanal Specific soil contamination (expert system)
Rationalization of specific soil input application: N and P fertilizers, urban wastes,and pesticides
Raizal Soil erosion risk (expert system )
Identification of vulnerability areas with soil erosion problems
Figure 4-11. Selected components of MicroLEIS DSS and the integration between models applications result and GIS.
CHAPTER 4
108
Pantanal, Rhaizal and Terraza models require the following climate parameters to
run: monthly precipitation (mm), monthly mean and minimum temperature, oC.
Climate data for baseline and future climate change scenarios were obtained from
the time series of the CLIMA subsystem of the Environmental Information
Network of Andalusia (REDIAM5 ), which assimilates several databases from a set
of more than 2200 observatories since 1971. These data include climate spatial
datasets in raster format for different SRES emissions scenarios, obtained by
statistical downscaling of different GCMs. The downscaling techniques are based
on inverse distance interpolation and regression modelling of regional/local
physiographic features.
4.2.1 SOIL DEGRADATION MODELLING Land degradation models have been applied, emphasizing the study of soil
contamination and erosion to preserve this scarce resource Figure 4-12 shows an
overview with the general structure of the soil degradation models (Pantanal and
Raizal).
Figure 4-12. Overview with the general structure of the soil degradation models.
5 http://www.juntadeandalucia.es/medioambiente/site/rediam
MATERIALS AND METHODS
109
Table 4-6. Input variable list (site, crop, cultivation and fertilizer characteristics) of the Raizal and Pantanal evaluation models.
Land characteristic, class or unit Raizal Pantanal
Site-related characteristics LC Landforms, 21 classes � �
LC Slope gradient, % � �
LC Groundwater table depth, m � �
Soil-related characteristics LC Drainage, 7 classes � �
LC Particle size distribution, 23 classes � �
LC Superficial stoniness, % � LC Organic matter, % � �
LC pH �
LC Cation exchange capacity, meq/100g �
LC Sodium saturation, % � Climate-related characteristics LC Mean monthly precipitation, mm � �
LC Max monthly precipitation, mm � �
LC Mean monthly temperature, °C � �
LC Latitude, ° � �
Crop-related characteristics MC Land use type, 11 classes � �
MC Crop rotation, 4 classes � �
MC Land use on slopes, 2 classes �
MC Growing season length, days � MC Leaf duration, 2 classes � MC Leaf situation, 2 classes � MC Specific leaf area, m2/kg � MC Plant height, m � MC Maximum rooting depth, m � MC Structure of crop, 2 classes � Cultivation-related characteristics MC Sowing date, 2 classes � MC Tillage practices, 5 classes � �
MC Tillage depth, 2 classes � MC Row spacing, m � MC Artificial drainage, 2 classes � �
MC Artificial groundwater level, 2 classes �
MC Soil conservation techniques (water), 4 classes � �
MC Soil conservation techniques (wind), 5 classes � MC Residues treatment, 3 classes � �
Fertilizer-related characteristics MC Use of P-fertilizer, 3 classes �
MC Use of N-fertilizer, 3 classes �
MC Use of animal manure, 2 classes MC Use of industrial /urban waste, 2 classes �
MC Time of fertilization, 2 classes �
Pesticides-related characteristics MC Use of pesticides, 2 classes �
MC Persistence of pesticides, 3 classes �
MC Toxicity (LD-50) of pesticides, 3 classes �
MC Application methods, 2 classes �
CHAPTER 4
110
SOIL CONTAMINATION RISK: PANTANAL MODEL
Within the MicroLEIS framework, the Pantanal model was developed as a
qualitative evaluative approach for assessing limitations to the use of land, or the
vulnerability of the land, in respect to specified agricultural degradation risks. The
Pantanal model focuses on diffuse ‘soil agro-contamination’ from agricultural
substances, i.e. phosphorus (P), nitrogen (N), heavy metals (H), and pesticides (X),
which predict soil vulnerability or risk classes. It is a very complex expert model
for spatially distributed systems, using easily available parameters and being
applicable to large geographic regions (De la Rosa and Crompvoets, 1998).
Table 4-7. Summary of environmental Land/management Qualities (11) and associated Land Characteristics (27), for each vulnerability type, considered in Pantanal model. Source: From De la Rosa and Crompvoets. (1998). Vulnerability type: P = phosphorus, N = nitrogen, H = heavy metals, and X = pesticides.
Land/management quality
Vulnerability type
Land/management characteristic (input variables)
Attainable contamination risks Surface run-off, r P, N, H, X Relief; soil erodibility; rainfall erosivity. Leaching degree, l P, N, H, X Monthly precipitation; monthly temperature;
groundwater table depth; drainage; particle size distribution.
Phosphate fixation, f P pH; particle size distribution; organic matter. Cation retention, c N, H pH; particle size distribution; CEC; organic matter. Denitrification, d N Monthly temperature; groundwater table depth;
organic matter; pH. Pesticide sorption, o X Organic matter; pH; particle size distribution; CEC. Pesticide degradation, g X Monthly temperature; monthly precipitation; pH;
organic matter. Management contamination risks Phosphate incidence, i P Landuse type; use of P-fertilizer; artificial drainage. Nitrogen incidence, j N Landuse type; use of N-fertilizer; crop rotation; soil
ploughing; time of fertilization; straw incorporation. Heavy metals incidence, q H Landuse type; crop rotation; use of pesticides; use of
fertilizers; use of waste. Pesticides incidence,t X Landuse type; persistence in soil; toxicity of pesticides;
application methods; artificial groundwater level.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
111
The model has been developed for spatially distributed systems and uses easily
available parameters, being applicable to large geographic regions, also the model
can be use at different scales. The biophysical variables or land-related
characteristics were used to calculate the attainable or potential contamination
risk, and the agricultural practices or management-related characteristics were
used to calculate the management contamination risk. The characteristic values,
classes for the qualitative variables and ranges for the quantitative variables, were
grouped into generalization levels. For each vulnerability type, the land evaluation
procedure that follows is based on decision trees rather than on matching tables.
Through a total of 29 decision trees the qualities (severity levels) are related to
the characteristics (generalization levels), and the final decision or vulnerability
classes are derived from the qualities.
Table 4-8. Pathway of the decision tree branch constructed to relate the Land Quality “Leaching degree” with the associated Land Characteristics in Pantanal model. Source:
From De la Rosa and Crompvoets. (1998). Under each class the symbol >>>> followed by a letter (B to R) is used to direct to the next step of the decision tree. The path is followed until a severity level (Low, Moderate, High or Extreme) of the Land Quality is encountered.
Evaluation step Land characteristics Severity level
1 2 3 4
A Humidity index > B > C > D > E B Groundwater table depth Low > F > G
C Groundwater table depth Low > H > I
D Groundwater table depth > J > K > L
E Groundwater table depth > M Extreme Extreme
F Drainage Low Low > N
G Drainage Moderate Moderate High
H Drainage Low > N Moderate
I Drainage High High > O
J Drainage > N Moderate > P
K Drainage > Q High > R
L Drainage > O Extreme Extreme
M Drainage High High Extreme
N Particle size distribution Low Moderate Moderate
O Particle size distribution High Extreme Extreme
P Particle size distribution Moderate Moderate High
Q Particle size distribution Moderate High High
R Particle size distribution High High Extreme
CHAPTER 4
112
This empirically based model also includes a simple precipitation partitioning sub-
model to calculate surface runoff and leaching degree, by using the humidity
index as the relation between yearly amounts of precipitation and potential
evapotranspiration. Information about the soil and water contamination
processes was also obtained from questionnaires, interviews and discussions with
a range of specialists, experts and land users
Following this expert system or decision trees approach, the agrochemical
vulnerability classes established by Pantanal for each type of contamination for
the Land, Management, are defined as Class V1 (None), V2 (Low), V3 (Moderate)
and V4 (High).
The physically-related contamination risk (land vulnerability classes, are calculated
separately from the management-related contamination risk (management
vulnerability classes), and then both are combined to produce the actual
contamination risk (field vulnerability classes). So, the actual vulnerability is
grouped in five classes as follows:
Class V1 (None) field units of this class are almost invulnerable to agrochemical
contamination because of their biophysical condition and management system.
The actual vulnerability to soil, surface and groundwater diffuse pollution are very
low. This management system is not considered to be a controlling factor and
almost any other farming system could be implemented.
Class V2 (Low) field units are slightly vulnerable to agrochemical contamination
because the combination of the management system with the biophysical
conditions of the classified field unit does almost no harm to the soil, surface and
groundwater quality.
Class V3 (Moderate) field units are moderately vulnerable to agrochemical
contamination; the combination of the management system and biophysical
characteristics of the field unit harms the quality of soil, surface and groundwater.
The effect on the intensity of the management system to actual vulnerability class
can change considerably.
Class V4 (High) field units of this class are highly vulnerable to agrochemical
contamination, because the simultaneous impact of the management system and
the biophysical characteristics damages the quality of the soil, surface and
groundwater of the field unit on a high scale. More intensive farming systems
have negative effects on the environment.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
113
Figure 4-13. Screen captures of Pantanal model. Further information about Pantantal model can be found in De la Rosa and Crompvoets (1998).
Class V5 (Extreme) field units are extremely vulnerable to agrochemical
contamination, because the intensity of the agricultural activities on the field unit
and the high biophysical vulnerability of the field unit itself harm the soil, surface
and groundwater quality on an extremely high scale. The water management and
the quantity and toxicity of the pollutants have to be carefully applied to the field
unit. Figure 4-13 shows a screen capture of input data processes of Pantanal
model.
SOIL EROSION VULNERABILITY: RAIZAL MODEL
In the decision trees of Rizal model different classes of each Land Characteristic
(LC) or Management Characteristic (MC) are connected with the severity levels of
the corresponding Land Quality (LQ) or Management Quality (MQ) by complex
decision trees, based on the approach of expert systems. The connections
between the severity levels of the Land and Management Qualities and the
vulnerability classes of the Attainable, Management and Actual types are through
decision trees (Table 4-9).
CHAPTER 4
114
Table 4-9. Summary of environmental land/management qualities and associated characteristics, for each vulnerability type of Raizal evaluation model. Vulnerability types: Water erosion (W), Wind erosion (D). Source: From Crompvoets et al. (1994).
Land/management quality Type Land/management characteristic
Attainable erosion risks Relief, t
W, D Landform; Slope gradient.
Water soil erodibility, k
W
Particle size distribution; Superficial
stoniness; Organic matter; Drainage; Sodium
saturation.
Rainfall erosivity, r
Mean monthly precipitation; Max monthly
precipitation; Mean monthly temperature;
Latitude.
Wind soil erodibility, e D Groundwater table depth; Particle
size distribution; Organic matter; Mean
monthly precipitation; Mean monthly
temperature; Latitude.
Management erosion risks Crop properties, o W Landuse type; Growing season length; Leaf
duration; Specific leaf area; Plant height;
Maximum rooting depth; Sowing date. Cultivation practices (soil), x W Tillage practices; Tillage depth;
Artificial drainage; Soil conservation
techniques.
Cultivation practices
(plant), y
W Row spacing; Residues treatment. Crop
rotation.
Crop properties, c D Landuse type; Growing season length; Leaf
situation; Plant height; Structure of crop.
Cultivation practices (soil), s D Tillage practices; Tillage depth; Tillage
method; Soil conservation techniques.
Cultivation practices
(plant), p
D Residues treatment; Crop rotation.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
115
Table 4-10. The involved Land and Management Qualities in Raizal model. Source: From Crompvoets et al. (1994).
Land Qualities Management Qualities LQ1 Relief, t MQ1 Crop properties to water erosion, o
LQ2 Soil erodibility to water erosion, k MQ2 Cultivation practices to water erosion, z LQ3 Rainfall erosivity, r MQ2.1 Cultivation practices to water erosion:
soil, x LQ4 Soil erodibility to wind erosion, e MQ2.2 Cultivation practices to water erosion:
plant, y MQ3 Crop properties to wind erosion, c MQ4 Cultivation practices to wind erosion, u MQ4.1 Cultivation practices to wind erosion:
soil, s MQ4.2 Cultivation practices to wind erosion:
plant, p
The following (Table 4-10) Land and Management Qualities are involved in Raizal
model to make a decision about erosion risk.
Almost all the Land and Management Qualities separate four severity levels, as
follows: Very low, Moderately low, Moderately high and Very high. The whole
Raizal model is based on 19 decision trees (Figure 4-14). All the decision trees can
be observed by selecting the option "Decision Trees Observation" from the
Original Evaluation Menu.
Figure 4-15 shows the main input menus of Raizal model, the first option of input
data is the formation of evaluating-scenarios. To progress a Raizal application it is
needed to define the evaluating-scenario with its internal code locating all the
evaluating-units to be evaluated. The number of evaluating-units within an
evaluating-scenario is almost unlimited.
The assessment of soil erosion management vulnerability is classified into four
classes into four classes: Class V1 Very Low; Class V2 Moderately Low; Class V3
Moderately High and Class V4 Very High. On the other hand, the soil erosion
vulnerability classes (10) established by Raizal for the Attainable and Actual
Vulnerability risks (VAW, VAD and VCW, VCD) are defined as follows: Class V1
None; Class V2 Very Low; Class V3 Low; Class V4 Moderately Low; Class V5
Slightly Low; Class V6 Slightly High; Class V7 Moderately High; Class V8 High; Class
V9 Very High and Class V10 Extreme.
CHAPTER 4
116
Figure 4-14. Index of the decision trees of the Raizal model. Source: From Crompvoets et al. (1994).
Figure 4-15. Screen capture of Raizal model. Further information about Raizal model can be found in Farroni et al. (2002) and Crompvoets et al. (1994).
LQ1 LQ2 LQ3 LQ4 MQ2.1 MQ2.2 MQ4.1 MQ4.2
MQ1 MQ2 MQ3 MQ4
VAW VAD VMW VMD
VCW VCD
MATERIALS AND METHODS
117
4.2.2 PRODUCTION AND ECOSYSTEM MODELLING
In the initial development of MicroLEIS DSS, qualitative methods were used to
predict the general land capability of the most important crops and the specific
suitability for individual crops or for a selection of forest species (i.e. Cervatana,
Almagra, and Sierra models, respectively; De la Rosa et al., 1992). The bioclimatic
classes are established by combining the classes of water deficiency and frost risk,
following the criterion of maximum limitation. Frost risk was estimated according
to the criteria of Verheye (1986) and adapted for the Mediterranean regions. The
frost risk was defined as the number of months with minimum average
temperature below 6 oC (as the complement of the frost-free period). According
to De la Rosa et al. (1992), the calculations of Terraza and Cervatana models are
empirical, formulated and calibrated using expert knowledge and scientific
literature. The models have been recalibrated and validated using benchmark
data from various regions of Andalucia (Spain) and other sites. Figure 4-16
represent an integration scheme of soil factors, site factors, climate factors and
soil qualities to evaluate bioclimatic deficiency and agriculture land capability.
Figure 4-16. Scheme of agriculture suitability models (Terraza and Cervatana models).
Land capability(CERVATANA model)
Bioclimatic deficiency(TERRAZA model)
UsefulDepth, l
Texture, l Carbonatecontent, l
Latitude
Maximumtemperature
Stoniness, l Drainage, l Salinity, l
Slope t
Minimumtemperature
Density of vegetation
Monthlyprecipitation
ET0
Plantcharacteristics
WaterAvailability, b
OxygenAvailability
Nutrientavailability
Rainfall erosivity,r
Soil Erodiblity,r
Frost Risk, b
Humidityindex
So
ilfa
cto
rsS
oil
qu
alit
ies
Sit
efa
cto
rsC
limat
efa
cto
rsC
rop
fact
or
Ag
ricu
ltu
resu
itab
iliti
es
CHAPTER 4
118
BIOCLIMATIC DEFICIENCY: TERRAZA MODEL
Bioclimatic calculation begins by determining the monthly potential
evapotranspiration (ET0), using the method of Thornthwaite (1948), as follows:
��� � 16 ∙ �� ∙ 10 ∙ ��� ∙ �
Where: Tm is monthly mean temperature (oC); Nm ismonthly coefficient of light correction, depending on the site latitude; I and a, constants for each site, which are calculated as:
� � � ���5 �
.! " �
� � 0.000000675 ∙ I% − 0.0000771 ∙ I� + 0.01792 ∙ I + 0.49239
Crop monthly evapotranspiration (ETc) is calculated as:
��, � ��� ∙ -,
The monthly real evapotranspiration (ETa) is given by:
��. � ��, − /
Where D is the monthly water deficit. The difference between monthly
evapotranspiration and precipitation at a site can be positive or negative. If
positive, there is a surplus or excess (S) of water; if negative, there is a deficit or
lack (D). During the seasonal period of a crop, this difference is calculated
between the precipitation and evapotranspiration of the crop (ETc).
The monthly reduction of yield (Ry) is calculated using the following formula:
1 − 0�0� � -1 �1 − ��.
��,�
Substituting:
1 − 0�0� � �1
MATERIALS AND METHODS
119
Where: Ya is real crop production and Ym is potential crop production. So, we
have
�1 � -1 ∙ 21 − 345346
7 ∙ 100(expressed as %).
The annual reduction in crop production (Rys) is calculated as follows:
�18 � -18 �1 − 9��.�9�,
� ∙ 100
Where SETa, is the sum of the monthly real evapotranspiration during the
phenological period of the crop and SETc, is the sum of the monthly
evapotranspiration of the crop during its phenological period.
Figure 4-16 shows a conceptual scheme considered in Terraza and Cervatana
models to relate soil, site, climate, soil qualities and agriculture suitability model.
Figure 4-17 shows screen captures of the Terraza model (Pro& Eco package), at
the stages of entering soil information and obtaining final results.
Figure 4-17. Screen capture of Terraza model.
CHAPTER 4
120
GENERAL LAND CAPABILITY: CERVATANA MODEL
The Cervatana model predicts the general land use capability or suitability for a
specific agricultural uses, depending on information about topography (t), soil
factors (l), erosion risk (r) and bioclimatic deficiency (b) Figure 4-16, the model
application results are grouped in four classes: S1-optimum, S2-good, S3-moderat
and N-marginal for each specific soils and crops. Figure 4-18 shows screen
captures of the Cervatana model (Pro& Eco package), at the stages of entering soil
information and obtaining final results.
CROP SUITABILITY: ALMAGRA MODEL
Almagra model represents a biophysical evaluation that uses as diagnostic criteria
those soil factors or conditions favorable for crop development in function of
suitability (De la Rosa et al., 1977). The reference zone chosen for this work is on
the left bank of the lower Guadalquivir valley, northwest of the city of Seville. The
area is 690 km2, and its characteristics are typical of a Mediterranean region (De la
Rosa, 1974). Figure 4-19 shows the level of generalization of Almagra model
considering the soil factors according to Antoine et al., 1995 (profile depth (p),
texture (t), drainage (d), carbonate(c),
Figure 4-18. Screen capture of Cervatana model.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
121
Figure 4-19. Levels of generalization for each soil input factors and evaluated crop.
Level of generalization
Texture, %(t)
Profile depth, cm (p)
Profile development (g)
Drainage(d)
Carbonate,%(c)
Salinity, ds/m (s)
Sodium saturation, % (a)
Very poor (d3,d4,d5)
Poor(d2,d3, d4)
Moderate (d1,d2)
Good (d1)
Excessive (d2)
V. Exces.(d4,d3)
>40 (c3,c4)
20 – 40 (c2,c3)
10-20(c2,c1)
0.5- 10(c1,c2)
< 0.5(c2,c3)
> 16 (s5)
10 – 16(s5, s4)
8 – 10 (s4,s3,s5)
6 – 8(s3,s2,s4)
4 – 6(s2,s3,s1)
2 – 4(s2,s1)
< 2 (s1)
> 25 (a5)
20 – 25(a4,a5)
15 – 20(a3,a4)
10 – 15 (a2,a3,a1)
5 – 10(a2,a1)
< 5(a1)
Grade 1 (g1)
Grade 2(g1,g2)
Grade 3(g2)
Grade 4(g2,g3)
To imperm. material
To sand or gravel
To perm. limestone
0-15 % gravels
15-25 % gravels
> 25 % gravels
0-15 %gravels
15-25 %gravels
> 25 %gravels
Coarse (t4,t3,t2)
M. coarse (t3,t2)
Medium (t2,t1)
M. fine(t1,t2)
Fine(t2,t4)
Coarse (t5,t4)
M. coarse (t4,t3)
Medium (t3,t2)
M. heavy (t2,t3,t4)
Fine(t3,t5)
Coarse (t5,t4)
M. coarse (t5,t4)
Medium (t4,t3)
M. fine (t3,t4,t5)
Fine(t4,t5)
>120 (p1)
90-120 (p1, p2)
60-90 (p2,p3,p1)
6 – 8(s3,s2,s4)
45-60 (p3,p4,p2)
35-45 (p4,p5,p3
25-35 (p5,p4)
To impermeable material
To sand or gravel
To permeable limestone
<25 (p5)
>90 (p1)
60-90 (p1,p2)
45-60 (p2,p3,p1)
45-60 (p3,p4,p2)
35-45 (p3,p4,p2)
25-35 (p4,p5,p3)
10-25(p5,p4)
<10(p5)
>60(p1)
45-60 (p1,p2)
35-45(p2,p3)
25-35(p3,p4)
10-25(p4,p5)
<10 (p5,p4)
Depth sublevel
Texture sublevel
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122
salinity(s), sodium saturation (a) and profile development (g)) and also the
evaluation of these factors depending on the level of generalization and the
different crops. The agricultural land suitability evaluation considered the
following traditional crops: wheat (T), maize (M), melon (Me), potato (P), soybean
(S), cotton (A), sunflower (G) and sugar beet (R) as annuals; alfalfa (Af) as
semiannual; and peach (Me), citrus fruits (C) and olive (O) as perennials. The
control section of soil factors measured as texture, carbonates, salinity and
sodium character were established by adapting the criteria developed for the
differentiation of Families and Series in the Soil Taxonomy (Soil Survey Staff,
1975). Development, inputs and validity of this model described in De la Rosa et
al. (1992).
Figure 4-20 shows screen captures of the Almagra model (Pro& Eco package), at
the stage of entering soil parameter information and final results.
The Almagra model has been applied on the studied soil transects in Seville and
El-Fayoum.
Figure 4-20. Screen capture of Almagra model.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
123
4.3 CLIMATE AND MANAGEMENT CHANGE SCENARIOS Climate database CDBm-Andalusia, includes 62 climatic stations data that
contains monthly average values of climate variables: mean temperature,
maximum and minimum rainfall, number of days of rain. Climate variables have
been collected during a consecutive period of 40 years (1960-2000) to represent
current climate conditions, and the hypothetical future climate change scenarios
for three periods (2040- 2070-2100) have been calculated according to the
average of 18 global climate models of A1B scenario (Table 4-11).
The present scenario of climatic condition of the study area was derived from the
climatic data during the latest 20 (1989–2009). In the light of the results of
IPCC,2007a the study area will be affected by increase in atmospheric
temperature and decreasing precipitation in a systematic manner. The predicted
scenario of climatic conditions of the study area was worked out using results of
the conference; according the achieved data the annual precipitation will be
decreased to 7.6 mm/year in 2080 instead of 11.3 mm/year. On the other hand, it
was found that climatic changes have a significant impact on the amount of water
entering El-Fayoum Province, in this turn has a close relationship with soil
degradation and lack of productivity.
In El-Fayoum area the soil contamination risk have been evaluated under different
management of major crops in the studied area. Table 4-12 shows the different of
input management parameters between the studied crops using Pantanal model.
Table 4-11. Climate change scenarios for different climate parameter in Spring, Summer, Autumn and Winter seasons; ΔT, change in temperature (d C); ΔP, change in precipitation (%) Source: Adapted from State Meteorological Agency (AEMET, 2011).
Period
Current climate Future scenarios of climate change
1961-2000 2040 2070 2100
T
max,
T min,
°C
P,
mm
∆T
max
∆T
min
∆P ∆T
max
∆T
min
∆P
∆T
max
∆T
min
∆P
Spring 20.5 8.2 160.5 2.0 1.7 -17.0 4.0 3.0 -38.0 5.6 4.0 -42.0 Summer 31.6 16.3 31.6 2.5 2.5 -25.0 4.5 4.0 -13.0 7.2 6.1 -32.0 Autumn 23.2 11.0 170.9 1.9 1.7 -22.0 3.6 3.4 -17.0 5.8 5.0 -35.0 Winter 14.4 4.4 253.3 2.1 2.1 10.0 2.5 2.5 -10.0 3.3 2.8 -12.0 Annual 22.4 10.0 616.2 2.1 2.0 -13.5 3.7 3.2 -19.5 5.5 4.5 -30.3
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124
Table 4-12. Evaluation model application: Input crop management parameters of Pantanal model.
Crops Maize Beans Wheat Sorghum
Land use type Arable. irrigated Arable. irrigated Arable. irrigated Arable. irrigated Crop rotation Winter-summer
crop combination Winter-summer crop combination
Winter-summer crop combination
Winter-summer crop combination
P-fertilizer Excessive Excessive Controlled Controlled N-fertilizer Excessive Controlled Excessive Excessive Animal manure Yes Yes Yes Yes Industrial / urban waste
Yes No No Yes
Time of fertilization
Spring/summer Autum /winter Autum /winter Spring/summer
Use of Pesticides Yes Yes Yes Yes Persistence of pesticides (months)
Low (< 6) Low (< 6) Low (< 6) Low (< 6)
Toxicity (LD-50, ppm)
Low (>1000) Low (>1000) Low (>1000) Low (>1000)
Application methods of pesticides
Foliage Foliage Foliage Foliage
Artificial drainage
Yes Yes Yes Yes
Artificial ground water
Yes yes Yes Yes
Residues Treatment
Burning Mulching. ploughed-in
Mechanical Burning
Soil conservation techniques
Nil Nil Nil Nil
Tillage practices type
Conventional tillage
Minimum tillage Minimum tillage Conventional tillage
Also hypothetical recommended management scenarios ( under maize crop) were
established for each soil type to formulate sustainable agriculture practices by
reducing inputs use like water, fertilizers and pesticides, and so minimizing the
risk of soil degradation due to contamination. This in in agreement with Carsan et
al. (2014), who suggested that low-input practices (including reducing tillage,
using legumes in rotations or intercrops) can contribute to restoration of soil
nutrients, improve soil carbon contents and reduce dependence on fertilizer use
by 50% (Carsan et al., 2014).
MATERIALS AND METHODS
125
Figure 4-21. Steps of extracting the studied soil profile information using Arc.GIS 10.2.
4.4 ANALYSIS OF TOPOGRAPHIC TRANSECTS
4.4.1 PROVINCE OF SEVILLE Two transects (S-N and W-E) were considered in the province of (Figure 4-21).
These points were subsequently represented by 41 soil profiles from the soil
database SDBm-Seville. In the first stage, the exact location of 576 soil profiles
from the database was represented (Figure 4-21-1). Then, representative selected
topographic transects were selected (Figure 4-21-2) and representative points at
regular 4 km intervals were stablished (Figure 4-21-3). Data from the nearest soil
profile were considered as representative of each point.
Climate change scenarios have been calculated according to the global climate
model (CNRMCM3) (Andalusian Environmental Information Network, REDIAM,
2011) by extracting spatial climate data under IPCC scenario A1B for the current
period (average data from 1960-2000), 2040, 2070 and 2100.
4.4.2 EL FAYOUM
One topographic transect (SE-NW) was considered in El-Fayoum, including 10
representative soil profiles at regular 3.3 km intervals. Climate data from El-
Fayoum weather station were collected and soil degradation risks under wheat,
sunflower and olive crops under different management scenarios were studied.
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126
4.5 SPATIAL DATA COLLECTION AND PROCESSING
All results have been integrated in a GIS to perform spatial analysis of degradation
(contamination + erosion), land capability and crop suitability and produce
graphical outputs. Spatial data processing was carried out using ArcGIS 10.2.
Soil spatial information was obtained by digitalization of the Andalusia (De la Rosa
et al., 1984), Seville (De la Rosa et al., 2009) and El-Fayoum preexisting soil maps
(Ali, 2005; ASRT, 2009; Haroun, 2004). Data from selected soil profiles of
Andalusia, Sevilla province and El-Fayoum, including morphological, chemical and
physical properties, were attached to the attribute table of the digital soil map.
Digital Elevation Models (DEM) of the study areas have been obtained from the
Shuttle Radar Topographic Mission (SRTM). The SRTM uses precisely positioned
radar to map the Earth surace at intervals of 1-arc second (~30 meters). The DEM
extracted from SRTM data can be used in conjunction with controlled imagery
sources to provide better visualization of the terrain. DEMs have a key role in
improving accuracy in the field of soil and agricultural characterizing (Matinfar et
al., 2011). The SRTM image of El-Fayoum and Seville Provinces were processed in
ENVI 4.7 software to extract the surface elevation, slope gradient and slope
direction.
Pattern of land uses in Andalusia.