4 ways to spot long term trends

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4 ways to spot long-term trends frederic de meyer founder institute for future insights [email protected] www.i4fi.com www.fredericdemeyer.com @fdemeyer

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Page 1: 4 ways to spot long term trends

4 ways to spot long-term trends

frederic de meyer founder institute for future insights [email protected] www.i4fi.com www.fredericdemeyer.com

@fdemeyer

Page 2: 4 ways to spot long term trends

sophistication

acc

ura

cy

Gut feel…

Statistical certainties

ways to spot long-term trends

Frederic De Meyer @ i4fi

Page 3: 4 ways to spot long term trends

spotting long-term trends -extrapolate-

Page 4: 4 ways to spot long term trends
Page 5: 4 ways to spot long term trends

trend: locally grown vegetables in urban areas, sometimes managed in

communities

urban farming

are these signs of a trend towards:

Page 6: 4 ways to spot long term trends

Natural resources scarcity, oil price volatility will increase

(transport) cost of food in big cities

Conscious consumer, focus on health, ethical buying

Self-reliance, ‘Do it Yourself’

urban farming

Page 7: 4 ways to spot long term trends

spotting long-term trends -transpose-

Page 8: 4 ways to spot long term trends
Page 9: 4 ways to spot long term trends

mass customization

cars shoes

clothes candy

toys

health care (?)

education (?)

government (?)

retail (?)

utilities (?)

food

prints media

Page 10: 4 ways to spot long term trends

automation Self awareness, self-centricity, choice

(pressure from) 3D printing

mass customization

Page 11: 4 ways to spot long term trends

spotting long-term trends -synthesize-

Page 12: 4 ways to spot long term trends

banks music press

Page 13: 4 ways to spot long term trends

banks music press

disintermediation

Page 14: 4 ways to spot long term trends

Digitalization, ‘everything as a platform’

Personalization, personal branding, social media

New business models, ‘creative destruction’

disintermediation

Page 15: 4 ways to spot long term trends

spotting long-term trends -connecting the dots-

Page 16: 4 ways to spot long term trends

patients now have limitless ways to be as knowledgeable as the

doctor

(mass) customization of health care becomes the new paradigm

open source pharma challenges the current business R&D model

new market for DIY health (9000 Apple apps for personal

health care)

Page 17: 4 ways to spot long term trends

Patients now have limitless ways to be as knowledgeable as the

doctor

(mass) Customization of health care becomes the new paradigm

Open source pharma challenges the current business R&D model

New market for DIY health (9000 Apple apps for personal

health care)

health as a lifelong service

Page 18: 4 ways to spot long term trends

Digitalization, social networks Mass customization, personalization

Scientific advancements

health as a lifelong service

Page 19: 4 ways to spot long term trends

www.i4fi.com www.fredericdemeyer.com

additional questions: [email protected]

The future cannot be predicted …but it can be made !

(ancient African saying)

Page 20: 4 ways to spot long term trends

website www.i4fi.com

blog www.fredericdemeyer.com

mail [email protected]

Phone +32 478 68 13 08

for useful long-term planning tools: http://www.i4fi.com/useful_tools.html

discover our services

Full assessment of the impact

of megatrends on your business

Long-term competitive benchmarks based on 25

metrics

Thought-provoking keynote

speeches and workshops

Page 21: 4 ways to spot long term trends

are you prepared to make the maximum out of long-term trends?

In English on

click here

“Frederic offers a unique insight of how global changes

translate into new business opportunities. This book is an

essential tool for any future-oriented manager or

entrepreneur and anyone involved in innovation strategies”

Philippe De Ridder, co-founder, Board of Innovation

“Designing and implementing a good strategy is quite a

challenge. In an increasingly complex world, it is becoming

increasingly difficult to recognize the core from the noise.

This book on megatrends will help you do this. It will give

you the necessary insights to focus on the themes that are

crucial to the future of your company. A must read!”

Jeroen De Flander, co-founder, The Performance

Factory, author of Strategy Execution Heroes

“This excellent book is a comprehensive overview of the

major trends and also offers a methodology to better assess

the future reality and master its consequences. The author

provides an essential guide for any strategy exercise”

Peter Corijn, Vice-President, Procter & Gamble In Dutch at click here