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44 th Annual EEI Financial Conference November 3, 2009 Brian Burden Chief Financial Officer

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Page 1: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

44th Annual EEI Financial ConferenceNovember 3, 2009

Brian BurdenChief Financial Officer

Page 2: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

2

This presentation may contain forward-looking statements, including statements regarding the business and anticipated financial performance of TransAlta Corporation. All forward-looking statements are based on our beliefs and assumptions based on information available at the time the assumption was made. These statements are not guarantees of our future performance and are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated by the forward-looking statements. Some of the factors that could cause such differences include cost of fuels to produce electricity, legislative or regulatory developments, competition, global capital markets activity, changes in prevailing interest rates, currency exchange rates, inflation levels, unanticipated accounting or audit issues with respect to our financial statements or our internal control over financial reporting, plant availability, and general economic conditions in geographic areas where TransAlta Corporation operates. Given these uncertainties, the reader should not place undue reliance on this forward-looking information, which is given as of this date. The material assumptions in making these forward-looking statements are disclosed in our 2008 Annual Report to shareholders and other disclosure documents filed with securities regulators.

Unless otherwise specified, all dollar amounts are expressed in Canadian dollars.

Forward looking statements

Page 3: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

3

Value PropositionStrategy2009 OverviewMarkets and ProfileInvestment Highlights 2010+

Outline

Page 4: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

4

Value proposition

Yield plus steady and disciplined growth• Providing a strong dividend payout ratio: target of 60 - 70% of comparable EPS• Comparable earnings per share and cash flow growth

Low to moderate risk profile• Diversified contracting strategy, with diversified fuels• Focused on western markets with strong fundamentals

Disciplined capital allocation• Committed to paying a dividend• Growth balanced against dividends and share buy back• Portfolio optimization• After tax IRR > 10%; ROCE > 10%

Financial strength• Strong balance sheet and ample liquidity• Secured cash flows - Alberta PPA’s & LTCs• Investment grade credit ratios

Page 5: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

5

UNITED STATES

CANADA

AUSTRALIA

Disciplined GrowthTransAlta strategy

324 MW

*Generation Facilities:

Coal-fired under construction

Coal-fired plants

Gas-fired plants

Hydro plants

Wind-powered plants

Wind under construction

Geothermal

4,914 MW

1,843 MW

894 MW

817 MW

201 MW

164 MW

Biomass 25 MW

Net generation in operation 8,657 MW

Hydro under development 18 MW

* Includes Canadian Hydo

Wholesale generator & marketer inWestern Canada and U.S.

Strong long-term market fundamentalsKnowledge base provides competitive advantageFocused on renewables across Canada

Low to moderate riskStrong balance sheet and balanced capital allocationDiversified fuels and age of fleetHighly contracted

Low cost, predictable operationsUnit specific operating and maintenance plansCulture of cost management and productivity improvementPreventative maintenanceTarget Zero: focus on safety

Disciplined growth2009 – 2012: wind, geothermal, hydro and

thermal uprates2013 – 2015: hydro uprates and natural gas2016+: large scale hydro, natural gas

and clean coal tech.

Environmental leadershipEfficiency, offsets, trading and technologyProject Pioneer – carbon capture and storage

Page 6: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

6

Coal62%

Gas

23%

Renewables15%

Portfolio at a glance

Calculation based on MW ownership at Oct, 2009. Net capacity equals 8,657 MW. Fleet age based on MW capacity per facility.

Coal

57%Gas

21%

Renewables22%

TA & KHD: 8,657 MW

Fleet Age

Fuel Type

TA: 7,963 MW

30-4021-30

11-20

0-10>40

Avg. ~28 years

30-40

>40

0-10

11-20

21-30

Avg. ~26 years

8,920 MW

Avg. ~28 years

30-40

>40 0-10

11-20

21-30

Coal

55%Gas

21%

Renewables24%

2009 2013

Acquisition of Canadian Hydro accelerates renewables growth and reduces average fleet age

Page 7: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

7

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

TA/K

HD

GLH

.UN

TA

BA

M.A

KH

D

EM

A

FTS

IEF.

UN

TRP

BP

T.U

N

EP

.UN

Acquisition of Canadian Hydro Developers expands our position as a leading publicly traded provider of renewable energy in Canada

324324Non-Renewables under construction (MW)

219201Renewables under construction (MW)

Pro FormaCurrent

22%15%Renewables (%)

1,9001,206Renewables (MW)

8,6577,963Total Generation (MW)

Pro Forma Statistics as at Nov 3, 2009

*Based on renewable generation in Canada only

Renewable CapacityIn Canada(MW)*

Page 8: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

8

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

2006 2007 2008 2009 YTD

35%

40%

45%

50%

55%

60%

2006 2007 2008 2009 YTD0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

2006 2007 2008 2009 YTD

Highly contracted portfolio allows us to maintain long-term financial strength and stability

Min 4x

Cash flow to interest

Min 25%

Cash flow to debt

Financial strength

Max 55%

Debt to capital

Contract coverage*

* Includes Canadian Hydro>5 yrs 3 – 5 yrs <3 yrs

Long Term Medium Term Short Term Open

Page 9: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

9

POSITIVES

Approximately 95% contracted for 2009; 87% for 2010; PPAs provide cash flow stability

Culture of cost containment; Excluding accerlated major maintenance, OM&A in line with last year

Organic growth opportunities within our control and current economics make acquisitions attractive:

Successful acquisition of Canadian Hydro Developers positions TransAlta as a North American leader in renewables

Positioned to deliver strong results into 2010

• Completed accelerated major maintenance program and finalized new long-term contract at Sarnia

CHALLENGES

Current economic conditions put downward pressure on price and demand growth:

• Q3 AB: $49 vs. $80 in 2008• Q3 PACNW: $33 vs. $60 in 2008

Drought like conditions in Alberta impacting hydro volumes and prices; YTD AB Hydro revenue: $61M vs. $95M in 2008

Reduced industrial demand, gas price uncertainty, and market structure changes put pressure on Energy Trading gross margins; YTD $37M vs. $81M in 2008

Coal cost increases:• Alberta +5% from capital spend• Centralia +10 - 15% from contract

escalations and diesel hedges

Environmental uncertainties

2009 overview

Page 10: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

10

90

92

94

96

98

2007 2008 2009e

70

75

80

85

2007 2008 2009e

84858687888990

2007 2008 2009e

%

Fleet availability remains strong; impacted by AB coal

Fleet

79808182838485868788

2007 2008 2009e

%Alberta coal

NERC Average

Our diversified fleet allows for stable and reliable availability

Significant focus on bringing Sundance back In line with industry benchmarks

Gas & Renewables%

NERC Average

%

Centralia coal

Conversion to PRB coal completed in 2009, returning Centraliato historical run rates and stabilizing the availability

We have consistently achieved solid performance from our gas and renewables fleet

NERC gas (max)

Page 11: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

11

70%72%74%76%78%80%82%84%86%88%90%

• Maintenance in 2nd half 2008 improved performance of four units

• Operations Diagnostic Centre opened Q4; Improved trend analysis to allow for more predictive maintenance

• Turnarounds and pitstops on five major units completed

• Sundance 5 major turnaround to be completed in Q4

• Turnarounds and pitstops scheduled for 4 units

Enhanced AB coal major maintenance work substantially complete; plants on track to deliver availability targets and lower forced outage rates

~2,000

~1,925

Q2

~500

~700

Q3

~700~2002008 Planned Major Maintenance (Lost GWh’s)

~700

Q1

~2002009 Planned Major Maintenance (Lost GWh’s)

Q4Fleet

Alberta Thermal Total Fleet

Est. 79 - 80%

Est. 86 - 87%

2009 Availability

Alberta coal: Accelerated major maintenance plans expected to greatly improve 2010 availability

2008:

2009:

2010:

Page 12: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

12

$591 $620$675

$778

$922

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009e 2010e

$0.66$0.82

$1.16$1.31

$1.46

$0.97

$1.45

$0.25

$0.50

$0.75

$1.00

$1.25

$1.50

$1.75

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009e 2010e

Accelerated major maintenance program lowered 2009 results; improvements in 2010 driven by operational stability and sustainable cost savings

Comparable earnings per share

2004 – 2008 CAGR: 22%

Cash flow from operations

2004 – 2008 56% Growth

1

1. Adjusted for timing of PPA revenues

$MM

$550-$650

$800-$9001

1

Analyst Consensus Estimate

Driving our base operations

TransAlta estimate* Does not include impacts of recent equity financing

*

Page 13: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

13

TransAlta’s growth investments deliver long-term sustainable cash flow and earnings growth

AlbertaAlbertaAlbertaAlbertaAlbertaAlbertaLocation

Tracking

15%+

Merchant

Unit 1 - Q4 2011

Unit 2 - Q4 2012

$25 - $36 MM+

$68 MM

46 MW

(23 MW each)

Efficiency Uprates

Keephills 1 and 2 Uprates

Tracking

10%+

TBD

2011

$19 - $24 MM+

$135 MM

69 MW

Wind

Ardenville

20% over initial budget - 2 month

delay

10%+

Merchant

Q2 2011

$138 - $197 MM+

$988 MM

225 MW(1)

Supercritical Coal

Keephills 3

Tracking

10%+

Merchant

Q1 2010

$14 - $20 MM+

$123 MM

66 MW

Wind

Summerview II

Tracking

10%+

Merchant

Q4 2009

$14 - $20 MM+

$115 MM

66 MW

Wind

Blue Trail

Tracking

20%+

Merchant

Q4 2009

$30 - $40 MM+

$75 MM

53 MW

Efficiency Uprate

Sun 5 Uprate

On time / On budget

Unlevered after tax IRR

Contract Status

Commercial Operations Date

Expected Annual Revenues(2)

Total Project Cost

Size

Type

Projects

(1) 450 MW gross size (2) Expected range based on $70-$100+/MWh

Page 14: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

14

Cost pass through under change-in-law

provisions

Continuous improvement at existing facilities

Active acquisition of lower cost offsets

(with Technology Fund as backstop)

Pursuit of clean combustion technology &

renewables

Emissions Management

Environmental leadership

In addition to renewables, TransAlta is competitively positioned to mitigate emission costs

Page 15: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

15

Strong balance sheet, solid financial outlook and low-to-moderate risk business model; contracting strategy provides high degree of earnings protection

Long-term market fundamentals for Western Canada and Western U.S. remain favourable:

Alberta reserve margins remain low relative to other regions; oilsands expansion will drive recoveryWestern U.S. renewable portfolio standards require new build; near-term base load opportunities in California

Disciplined and balanced capital allocation plan: DividendsGrowth and portfolio optimizationShare buy back

Environmental leadership positionLeader in addressing environmental challengesProject Pioneer CCS project a potential game changer

Long-term value proposition remains the same

Investment highlights - 2010+

Page 16: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

16

Projects under construction tracking well:Summerview II (66 MW) Keephills 3 (225 MW)Keephills 1 and 2 uprates (46 MW)Ardenville (69 MW)

Timing on additional greenfield within our control Alberta wind resourcesGeothermal resourcesStrong supplier relationshipsHydro longer-term

Asset valuations now realisticOpportunities for acquisitions are growingCanadian Hydro Developers acquisition has accelerated renewables growthStrong balance sheet and cash flows provide solid opportunities

Long-term industry opportunities outweigh short-term market risks

Investment highlights - 2010+

Page 17: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

17

Appendix

Page 18: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

18

Performance goals

Increased due to increased generation gross margins and lower OM&A spend

$0.32$0.34>10%/yrComparable EPS Grow Earnings and Cash Flow

Annual Metrics

5.8X

23.6%

50.1%

Annual Metric

$194 MM

$7.78/MWh

Annual Metric

83.9%

Q3 2009

TBDAnnual Metric$230 - $2603-yr Avg. Sustaining Capex

Make Sustaining Capex Predictable

Maintained strong balance sheet, financial ratios and ample liquidity

7.2X

31.1%

48.1%

Min. of 4X

Min. 25%

Max. 55%

Cash Flow to InterestCash Flow to DebtDebt to Total Capital

Maintain InvestmentGrade Ratings

TBDAnnual Metrics>10%/yr>10%/yr>10%/yr

ROCETSRIRR

Deliver Long-termShareowner Value

$202 MM

$8.70/MWh

Annual Metric

86.0%

Q3 2008

Decreased due to unfavorable changes in working capital, partially offset by higher cash earnings

Decreased primarily due to targeted cost savings throughout the company and lower compensation costs

TBD

Decreased due to higher unplanned outages at Centralia Thermal and higher unplanned outages at Alberta Thermal

2009 Goals

$800 - 900 MMOperating Cash Flow

90 - 92%AvailabilityAchieve top decile operations

10%/yrInjury Frequency RateImprove Safety

Offset InflationOM&A/installed MWhEnhanceProductivity

Measures ReviewFinancial ratios

Page 19: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

19

Comparable net earnings per share of $0.34 versus comparable earnings of $0.32 in Q3 2008

• Accelerated major maintenance program resulting in positive performance from the majority of Alberta coal units; higher availability at Keephills partially offset by unplanned outages Sundance

• New 16.5 year, long-term contract at Sarnia natural gas co-gen facility adds incremental economic value

• Lower OM&A driven by targeted cost savings across the organization

• Higher unplanned outages at Centralia Thermal Unit 1 and lower Energy Trading gross margins offset gains

• YTD comparable earnings of $0.49 versus $1.06 for same period in 2008; due to reduced earnings from hydro assets as a result of poor water conditions in Alberta, higher unplanned outages at Centralia Thermal and higher planned outages at Alberta coal plants

Cash flow from operations of $194 million compared to $202 million in Q3 2008• Decrease in cash flow due to lower improvement in working capital offsetting higher cash earnings

• YTD cash flow from operations $334 million compared to $610 million for same period in 2008 due to lower cash earnings, an extra $116 million PPA payment in 2008, and higher inventory balances in 2009

Increased results from Canadian Generation and OM&A savings partially offset by lower results from Centralia Thermal and Energy Trading

Q3 2009

Page 20: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

20

$0.32

198

$62

-

-

1

-

$61

Q3 2008

$0.49

198

$97

-

(6)

1

-

$102

YTD Q3’09

199198Weighted average common shares outstanding in the period

$0.34

$66

-

-

-

-

$66

Q3 2009

$210Earnings on a comparable basis

-Settlement of commercial issue, net of tax

8Change in life of Centralia parts, net of tax

$1.06Earnings on a comparable basis per share

65Writedown of Mexican investment, net of tax

(4)Sale of assets at Centralia, net of tax

$141Net earnings

YTD Q3’08

Results ($M)

Comparable earnings

Q3 2009

Page 21: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

21

33,439

84.4

$0.87

$334

$0.52

$0.49

$102

$97

$219

$1,107

$2,007

YTD Q3’09

12,357

86.0

$0.27

$202

$0.31

$0.32

$61

$62

$124

$398

$791

Q3 2008

36,235

85.7

$0.81

$610

$0.71

$1.06

$141

$210

$406

$1,207

$2,302

YTD Q3’08

11,610

83.9

$0.29

$194

$0.34

$0.34

$66

$66

$120

$380

$666

Q3 2009

Availability (%)

Comparable earnings per share

Basic and diluted earnings per share

Comparable earnings

Operating income

Production (GWh)

Cash dividends declared per share

Cash flow from operating activities

Net Earnings

Gross margin

Revenue

Results ($M)

Q3 2009

Page 22: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

22

Net earnings

$102$66Net earnings, 2009105Other

97-Decrease in equity loss

29(5)(Increase) decrease in income tax expense

1112Decrease in non-controlling interest

(3)

(3)

17

(14)

(8)

4

$61

Q2 2009

(1)

(34)

(51)

(44)

13

(69)

$141

YTD Q2’09

Mark-to-market movements - Generation

Decrease in COD gross margins

Decrease (increase) in operations, maintenance, and admin costsIncrease in depreciation expense

Increase in net interest expense

Increase (decrease) in Generation gross margins

Net earnings, 2008

Q3 2009

Page 23: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

23

Significant EventsSarnia ContractSept 30, entered into a new agreement with the Ontario Power Authority for our Sarnia power plant. The new contract is from July 1 through to the end of 2025.

Subsequent EventsKeephills 3Oct 26, the Board of Directors approved an increase in the construction cost of Keephills 3 to $988 million and a change to the commencement of commercial operations to the end of the second quarter of 2011. Keephills 3 is still expected to meet our greenfield investment hurdles.

Carbon Capture and StorageOct 14, Project Pioneer received committed funding of more than $750 million from the Canadian federal and Alberta provincial governments. The funding will support the undertaking of a Front End Engineering and Design (FEED) study to determine if the project is viable. FEED is planned for 2010.

Acquisition of Canadian Hydro Developers (TSX: KHD)On Oct. 20, TransAlta’s wholly-owned subsidiary had taken up approximately 125 million common shares of KHD, representing ~ 87% of the outstanding common shares. The common shares taken up pursuant to the Offer were paid for on October 23. The offer has been extended to 3:00 p.m. (Calgary time) on November 3, 2009 to allow additional time for Canadian Hydro Developers shareholders to tender to the Offer.

Q3 2009 and subsequent events

Page 24: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

24

$(196)

-

(8)

-

(19)

(40)

(169)

(294)

$334

YTD Q3’09

$20

(1)

-

-

(1)

(25)

(58)

(97)

$202

Q3 2008

2-Cash flows from equity investments

$(33)

-

(116)

(3)

(69)

(163)

(294)

$610

YTD Q3’08

-Timing of contractually scheduled payments

$12Free cash flow (deficiency)

-Other income

(1)Non-recourse debt repayments

(7)Distribution to subsidiaries’ non-controlling interest

(58)Dividends on common shares

(116)Sustaining capital expenditures

Add (Deduct):

$194Cash flow from operating activities

Q3 2009($M)

Free Cash Flow

Page 25: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

25

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

CDN MTN's US MTN's

22

2

Minimal debt refinancing over the short-term provides ample financial flexibility

($MM)

1) Based on Q2 2009 CDN/US foreign exchange rate of 1.08712) Includes $345 million of assumed KHD debentures

Debt profile supports balance sheet

Thereafter

Page 26: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

26

Focus of 2009 capital: improving Alberta coal plants’ availability, increasing productivity and completing the Centralia transition

$20 - 25$73Centralia modifications

$115 - 125$125Major Maintenance

$35 - 45$100Mine

$40 – 45$32Productivity capital

$135

$465

2008

$130 – 150

$340 - 390

2009e

Routine capital

Sustaining

($M)

Sustaining capex spend

Q3 2009

Page 27: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

27

$25 - 35$135Ardenville

$5 - 10-$34Keephills Unit 2 Uprate

$80 - 90$25$123Summerview II$5 - 10-$34Keephills Unit 1

Uprate

$235 - 255$336$988Keephills 31

$55 - 65$13$80Sun Unit 5 Uprate

$85 - 90$26$115Blue Trail

$490 - 5552009e

$5412

2008Total ($M)$ 1,509Growth

1. Keephills 3 capital spend in 2007 was $160M. Our estimates have increased by another $100 million due to changes in our originalestimate and labour required to complete the project

2. Includes $2M from the Sundance 4 uprate and $139M from Kent Hills

Q3 2009

Growth capex spend

Page 28: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

28

Mexico - Sold for USD $303.5M

Sarnia - received new long-term contract

$40 - $45 million to be invested in productivity in 2009

Divest or improve non-core and under-performing assetsPortfolio

Optimization

Board policy is to target a payout ratio of 60 - 70% of

comparable EPS

2008 annual dividend increased 8% to $1.08

2009 annual dividend increased 7% to $1.16

Provide shareowners sustainable dividend growthDividend

525 MW currently under construction for a total cost of ~$1.4B

Timing of organic growth within our control

Economics of asset acquisition increasingly attractive

Offer pending to acquire Canadian Hydro Developers to

accelerate the expansion of renewable portfolio

Projects must deliver unlevered, free cash, after tax IRR >10%:Growth

Investment

Under the NCIB program, 4 million shares cancelled in 2008

Received approval in 2009 to purchase for cancellation, up to

9.9 million common shares

Remains as an option: Evaluated by the Board at every meeting

Provide shareowners incremental return of capital in absence of value-creating investment opportunities

Share

Buyback

Priority Direction Action

Balanced and disciplined capital allocation supports value creation through market cycles

Page 29: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

29

Alberta: Supply vs Demand 2007-2013

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 20130%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Existing Adjusted Capacity Additional Adjusted CapacityPeak Demand based Reserve Margin Peak Demand based Reserve Margin Low CasePeak Demand Peak Demand Low Case

Load growth dependent on economic recovery and oil sands expansion; supply growth also somewhat dependent

Reserve margin will likely remain lower than other regions as new supply is delayed along with demand

New wind supply may create volatility and raise average prices

Transmission constraints and environmental concerns limit significant new supply from traditional sources in the short-term

2009 impacted by lower natural gas prices

Steady price growth in various natural gas scenarios

Reserve margins remain stronger than other regions

MWsReserve Margin

Figures as of October 27, 2009

Alberta Market: Reserve margin tightness underpins pricing

Alberta Power Market - Settled Prices (CAD/MWh)

$40$50$60$70$80$90

$100

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009YTD

Alberta Power Prices(CAD $/MWh)

$40

$45

$50

$55

$60

$65

$70

$75

$80

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013Date$5 2009 Nymex $7 2009 Nymex $9 2009 Nymex Current Market

Page 30: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

30

PacNW: Supply vs Demand 2007-2013

15,000

17,000

19,000

21,000

23,000

25,000

27,000

29,000

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 201320%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

Existing Adjusted Capacity Additional Adjusted CapacityAvg. Demand based Reserve Margin Avg. Demand based Reserve Margin Low CaseAverage Demand Average Demand Low Case

Demand weak in short-term due to recession but expected to stabilize next yearNew supply growth in short-term is dominated by windIntermittent nature of renewables should create new market opportunities for established thermal generators Reserve margins will increase in the short-term due to demand destruction and new capacity additions currently under constructionReserve margins expected to decline after 2010

2009 - Reduced demand and lower natural gas prices

Steady price growth in various natural gas scenarios

Reserve margins will decline or hold flat in the long-term

MWsReserve Margin

Figures as of October 27, 2009

PacNW market: Forward prices tracking natural gas movements

PacNW Power Prices(USD $/MWh)

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014Date$5 2009 Nymex $7 2009 Nymex $9 2009 Nymex Current Market

Mid-C Power Markets - Settled Prices(USD $/MWh)

$10$20$30$40$50$60$70$80

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009YTD

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31

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

2009 2010 2011 2012

Contracted Open

Alberta PPAs and long-term contracts provide solid base for stable earnings and support TransAlta’s low to moderate risk business strategy

Total MWs*

Approx. target contracting level 90%

PPAs & LTC

Protecting the value of TransAlta’s generationand investment grade balance sheet

Merchant contracting strategy targets 25% / yr

PPAs and LTC account for ~70% of generationAverage contract life ~12 yrs

* Includes Canadian Hydro

Page 32: 44th Annual EEI Financial Conference11-20 0-10 >40 Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Avg. ~26 years 8,920 MW Avg. ~28 years 30-40 >40 0-10 11-20 21-30 Coal Gas 55% 21% Renewables

32Approx. levels only

Merchant MWs

Merchant hedging strategy designed to minimize impacts of adverse market conditions while allowing for upside potential

Approximate target level - 90% Capacity adjustments

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

2009 2010 2011 2012

Contracted To be contracted Open

2009Contracts

2011 Contracts

2010 Contracts

2009 Contracts

2010 Contracts

2009 Contracts

2008Contracts

2008 Contracts

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

2009 2010 2011 2012

Contracted To be contracted Open

2009Contracts

2011 Contracts

2010 Contracts

2009 Contracts

2010 Contracts

2009 Contracts

2008Contracts

2008 Contracts

Merchant MWs*