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    1

    Strategic Supply Chain Design

    Massachusetts Institute of Technology

    Sloan School of Management

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    2

    Strategic Supply Chain Design

    1. Introduction

    2.Fruit Flies & Supply Chain Evolution3.Supply Chain Design & 3-DCE

    4.Customer Service and Service Supply Chains

    5.Value Chain Roadmapping & Strategy Making

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    3-D Concurrent Engineering & 3the imperative of concurrency

    Product Process Supply Chain

    Technology FulfillmentSupply Chain Supply Chain

    Fulfillment Architecture Technology

    Detailed

    Design

    Specs

    Materials

    Functions

    Product

    Architecture

    Modular/

    Integral

    L ife Cycles

    Unit

    Processes

    Technology

    Equipment

    Production

    System

    Objectives

    Systems

    People

    Ca aci t

    Supply

    ChainArchitecture

    Sourcing

    Selection

    Relationship

    Logistics

    & CoordSystem

    Information

    InventoryIntegration

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    4

    SC Principles to Understand

    Supply ChainFocus Fulfillment Technology

    Decision

    Scope

    Tactical

    Strategic

    Supply Chain Supply Chain

    Costs, Cycle Times,

    Inventories

    Collaborative Prod Devel

    Bullwhip

    Revenue Management

    IT System Design

    Order Fulfill. ProcessLogistics System Design

    Supply-Demand balance

    Relationship Design

    Flexibility

    Clockspeed

    Double Helix

    Supply ChainArchitecture

    Value Migration

    3-DCE

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    Components of Supply Chain Business Processes 5

    System Design/Capabilities

    Product Fulfillment

    Process Architecture

    Supply Chain Technology

    Solution Implementation

    -postponement-quick response

    -lean production

    -common parts/

    platforms

    Operational Objectives/

    Customer Requirements-cost

    -quality

    -speed (flexibility,responsiveness)

    -improvement (learning/knowledge)

    External Influences

    -clockspeeds (product, process)-risks (design, supply, demand)

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    6

    INTRODUCTIONS

    Who are you?

    What can you offer?

    What do you want to learn?

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    7

    Strategic Supply Chain Design

    1.Fruit Flies & Supply Chain Evolution

    2.Supply Chain Design & 3-DCE

    3.Customer Service and Service Supply Chains

    4.Value Chain Roadmapping & Strategy Making

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    8

    Supply Chain Design in a Fast-Clockspeed World:

    Study the Industry Fruitflies

    Evolut ion inthe natural wo rld:

    FRUITFLIES

    evolve faster thanMAMMALS

    evolve faster thanREPTILES

    THE KEY TOOL:

    Cross-SPECIESBenchmark ingof Dynamic Forces

    Evolut ion in

    the indust r ial wor ld:INFOTAINMENT is faster than

    MICROCHIPS is faster thanAUTOS evolve faster than

    AIRCRAFT evolve faster than

    MINERAL EXTRACTION

    THE KEY TOOL:Cross-INDUSTRY

    Benchmark ingof Dynamic Forces

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    9

    CiscosEnd-to-End Integration for

    Order info

    flows direct to

    Cisco and suppliers

    Cisco Finished Product flows direct tocustomer via logistics

    supplier

    Basic Design Principle: Arms lengthRelationshi withFulfillment Chain Partners

    Single enterprise information system

    Dynamic replenishment, direct fulfillment,merge in transit

    Customer orders through CiscoConnection online

    New product development on-line

    with supply base

    Technology Supply Chain Design:Innovation through Acquisition

    Customers

    its Fulfillment Supply Chain

    ComponentSuppliers &Distributors

    Contract

    Manufacturers

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    Ciscos Strategy forTechnology Supply Chain Design

    1.Integrate technology around the router tobe a communications network provider.

    2. Leverage acquired technology with

    - sales muscle and reach- end-to-end IT- outsourced manufacturing-market growth

    3. Leverage venture capital to supply R&D

    Basic Design Principle: Acquisition

    Relationship with Technology Chain Partners

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    Volatility Amplification in the Supply Chain:The BullwhipEffect

    Customer

    Retailer Distributor

    Factory Tier 1 Supplier Equipment

    Information lags

    Delivery lagsOver- and underordering

    Misperceptions of feedback

    Lumpiness in ordering

    Chain accumulations

    SOLUTIONS:Countercyclical MarketsCountercyclical TechnologiesCollaborative channel mgmt.(Cincinnati Milacron & Boeing)

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    12

    Supply Chain Volatility Amplification:

    Machine Tools at the tip of the Bullwhip

    See "Upstream Volatility in the Supply Chain: The Machine Tool Industry as a Case Study,"

    E. Anderson, C. Fine & G. Parker Production and Operations Management,

    Vol. 9, No. 3, Fall 2000, pp. 239-261.

    Weare experiencing a 100-year flood. J. Chambers, 4/16/01

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    13

    LESSONS FROM A FRUIT FLY:

    CISCO SYSTEMS

    1. KNOW YOUR LOCATION INTHE VALUE CHAIN2.UNDERSTAND THE DYNAMICS

    OFVALUE CHAIN FLUCTUATIONS

    3.THINK CAREFULLY ABOUTTHE ROLEOFVERTICAL COLLABORATIVERELATIONSHIPS4. INFORMATION AND LOGISTICS SPEED DO NOT

    REPEAL BUSINESSCYCLES OR THE BULLWHIP.

    Bonus Quest ion :

    How does clockspeed impact volatility?

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    INDUSTRY CLOCKSPEED IS A COMPOSITE: 14OF PRODUCT, PROCESS, AND ORGANIZATIONAL

    CLOCKSPEEDS

    Mob i le Phone INDUSTRY CLOCKSPEED

    THE THEMob i le Phone Mob i le Phone

    product technology THE

    Mob i le PhonePRODUCTION

    PROCESSprocess technology

    MANUFACTURING

    COMPANYorganization

    1

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    Mobile Phone System CLOCKSPEED is amix ofTransmission Standards, Software and Handsets

    Mob i le Phone Sys tem

    TRANSMISSION

    STANDARD

    SOFTWARE

    slow clockspeed APPLICATIONS HAND SETmedium clockspeed fast clockspeed

    OPERATING SERVICESSYSTEM fast clockspeed

    slow clockspeed

    ISSUE: THE FIRMS THAT ARE FORCEDTO RUN AT THEFASTEST CLOCKSPEEDARETHE MOST LIKELY TOSTAY AHEADOF THE GAME.

    16

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    Automobi le CLOCKSPEED IS A MIX OFENGINE, BODY & ELECTRONICS

    Automobi le

    ENGINE BODYslow clockspeed medium clockspeed

    ELECTRONICSfast clockspeed

    ISSUE: MOST AUTO FIRMS OPERATE ATENGINE OR BODY CLOCKSPEEDS; IN THE

    FUTURE THEY WILL NEED TO RUN

    AT ELECTRONICS CLOCKSPEED.

    17

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    Clockspeed drivesBusiness Strategy Cadence

    CORECAPABILITIES NEW PROJECTS(New produc ts,new processes,

    new suppl iers)

    Dynamics between New Projects and CoreCapability Development: PROJECTS MUSTMAKE MONEY AND BUILD CAPABILITIES

    18

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    See Leonard-Barton, D. Wellsprings of Knowledge

    19

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    Projects Serve Three Masters:Capabilities, Customers, & Corporate Profit

    CORE

    CAPABILITIES

    PROJECT

    DESIGN(New products,

    new processes,

    new suppliers)

    20

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    The Strategic Leverage of Value Chain Design:

    Who let In tel Ins ide?

    1980: IBM designs a product, a process, & a value chain

    Customers

    The Outcome:A phenomenonally successful product design

    A disastrous value chain design (for IBM)

    Intel

    IBMI ntel I nside

    Microsoft

    20

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    LESSONS FROM A FRUIT FLY:THE PERSONAL COMPUTER

    1. BEWARE OF INTEL INSIDE

    (Regardless of your industry)

    2. MAKE/BUY IS NOT ABOUT WHETHER IT ISTWO CENTS CHEAPER TO OUTSOURCE3. VALUE CHAIN DESIGN CAN DETERMINE

    THE FATE OF COMPANIES AND INDUSTRIES,

    AND OF PROFIT AND POWER4. THE LOCUS OF VALUE CHAIN CONTROL

    CAN SHIFT IN UNPREDICTABLE WAYS

    21

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    LESSONS FROM A FRUIT FLY:THE PERSONAL COMPUTER

    1. BEWARE OF INTEL INSIDE

    (Regardless of your industry)

    2. MAKE/BUY IS

    NOTABOUT WHETHER IT IS

    TWO CENTS CHEAPER OR TWO DAYS FASTER

    TO OUTSOURCE VERSUS INSOURCE.

    3. DEVELOPMENT PARTNERSHIP DESIGN CAN

    DETERMINE THE FATE OF COMPANIES ANDINDUSTRIES, AND OF PROFIT AND POWER

    4. THE LOCUS OF VALUE CHAIN CONTROL

    CAN SHIFT IN UNPREDICTABLE WAYS

    22

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    Vertical Industry Structure

    with Integral Product Architecture

    Computer Industry Structure, 1975-85

    IBM DEC BUNCH

    (See A. Grove, Intel; and Farrell, Hunter & Saloner, Stanford)

    Microprocessors

    Operating Systems

    Peripherals

    Applications Software

    Network Services

    Assembled Hardware

    AllPro

    ducts

    AllProducts

    AllPro

    ducts

    H i t l I d t St t23

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    Horizontal Industry Structure 23

    with Modular Product Architecture

    Computer Industry Structure, 1985-95

    (See A. Grove, Intel; and Farrell, Hunter & Saloner, Stanford)

    Microprocessors

    Operating Systems

    Peripherals

    Applications Software

    Network Services

    Assembled Hardware

    Intel

    Moto AMD etc

    HP Compaq IBM Dell etc

    Microsoft Mac Unix

    HP Epson Seagate etc etc

    Microsoft Lotus Novell etc

    AOL/Netscape Microsoft EDS etc

    THE DYNAMICS OF PRODUCT ARCHITECTURE 24

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    THE DYNAMICS OF PRODUCT ARCHITECTURE 24ANDVALUE CHAIN STRUCTURE:

    THE DOUBLE HELIX

    See Fine & Whitney, Isthe Make/Buy Decision Process a Core Competence?

    25

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    THE DOUBLE HELIX

    IN OTHER INDUSTRIES

    TELECOMMUNICATIONS-- MABELL was Vertical /Integral BABY BELLS & LONG LINES & CELLULAR are

    Horizontal/Modular TodaysVerizon is going back to Vertical /Integral

    AUTOMOTIVE-- Detroit in the 1890s was Horizontal/Modular Ford & GM in the mid 1900swere Vertical /Integral TodaysAuto Industry is going back to Horizontal/Modular

    TELEVISION-- RCA was Vertical /Integral

    1970STHROUGH 1990Swere Horizontal/Modular

    Todaysmedia giants are going back to Vertical /Integral

    BICYCLES-- Safety Bikes to 1890sboom to Schwinn to SShhiimmaannooIInnssiiddee

    26

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    P&GRetailer

    Retailer

    Controlling the Chain Through Distribution:

    The End of P&G Inside ?

    Controlling the Channel Through Closeness to Customers:

    consumer research, pricing, promotion, product development

    Customers

    Retailer

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    Clockspeeds accelerate as you head downs tream,

    closer to the f inal customer ;Clockspeed = f(technology push, customer pull, system complexity)

    Vehicle

    Electronics

    Architecture

    Telematics

    System

    AutomobileIn-Vehicle

    Services

    Semiconductor

    Equipment

    Maker

    Chip makerPC MakerWeb Site

    Developer

    Telecom

    Equipment

    Handset

    Platforms

    New Phone

    Applications

    Optical

    Components

    29

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    Media Supply Chains: An Industry at Lightspeed

    Customers The box The Pipe The Content(Access, Metro, Backbone)

    Land-basedTelco:

    -copper POTS-fiber

    -DSL

    Internet, et al

    PC/laptop

    Wired

    Phone

    Page

    r

    News/articles/books

    (newspapers &

    magazines)

    Wireless

    phone

    Video/Audio:

    Movies & Art

    & News & Sports

    Cable

    Networks

    Wireless:

    -broadcast TV

    -CDMA, TDMA, GSM

    -satellite/microwave

    PDA

    Communication:

    voice & video & emailTelevision

    Retail Outlets

    -Borders:

    -Blockbuster

    -Seven-Eleven

    BankingVCR

    Education

    Shopping

    Delivery (e.g., Fedex)

    30

    ALL COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE

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    ALL COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE

    IS TEMPORARY

    Autos:Ford in 1920, GM in 1955, Toyota in 1990

    Computing:

    IBM in 1970, DEC in 1980, Wintel in 1990World Dominion:

    Greece in 500 BC, Rome in 100AD, G.B. in 1800

    Sports:

    Bruins in 1971, Celt ics in 1986, Yankees no end

    The faster the clockspeed, the shorter the reign

    31

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    Exercise 1:Value Chain Analysis

    Consider these five industries:

    -Food

    -Defense aircraft

    -Automobiles

    -Handheld electronic organizers/communicators

    -Music

    At each table, pick two of these industries:

    What are the key elements in the value chain?Who has power in the chain?

    What are the key dynamic processes influencing chain power?

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    VALUE CHAIN DESIGN:

    Three Components

    1. Insourcing/OutSourcing

    (The Make/Buy or Vert ical Integrat ion Decis ion )

    2. Partner Selection(Choice of suppl iers and partners for the chain)

    3. The Contractual Relationship

    (Armslength , joint venture, long-term contract ,strateg ic all iance, equ ity part icipat ion , etc.)

    34

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    IMPLEMENTATION OF VALUE CHAIN DESIGN:

    EMBED IT IN 3-D CONCURRENT ENGINEERING

    PRODUCTPROCESS

    Performance

    Recipe, Unit Process

    Specifications Technology, &

    Process Planning

    Details,

    Strategy

    Product Architecture,

    Make/Buy componentsTime, Space, Availability

    VALUE CHAIN

    Manufacturing System,

    Make/Buy processes

    35

    P j t S Th M t

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    Projects Serve Three Masters:Capabilities, Customers, & Corporate Profit

    CORE

    CAPABILITIES

    PROJECT

    DESIGN(New products,

    new processes,

    new suppliers)

    36

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    IMPLEMENTATION OF PROJECT DESIGN:FRAME IT AS 3-D CONCURRENT ENGINEERING

    PRODUCTPROCESS

    Performance

    Recipe, Unit Process

    Specifications Technology, &

    Process Planning

    Details,

    Strategy

    Product Architecture,

    Make/Buy componentsTime, Space, Availability

    VALUE CHAIN

    Manufacturing System,

    Make/Buy processes

    ARCHITECTURES IN 3 D 37

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    ARCHITECTURES IN 3-D

    INTEGRALITY VS. MODULARITY

    I ntegral product architectures featureclose coupling among the elements

    -Elements perform many functions-Elements are in close spacial proximity

    -Elements are tightly synchronized

    - Ex: jet engine, airplane wing, microprocessor

    Modular product architectures featureseparation among the elements

    -Elements are interchangeable-Elements are individually upgradeable-Element interfaces are standardized-System failures can be localized

    - Ex: stereo system, desktop PC, bicycle

    38

    C C C

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    VALUE CHAIN ARCHITECTURE

    Integral value-chain architecture

    features close proximity among its elements

    -Proximity metrics: Geographic, Organizational

    Cultural, Electronic

    - Example: Toyota city

    - Example: Ma Bell (AT&T in New Jersey)

    - Example: IBM mainframes & Hudson River Valley

    Modular value-chain architecture features multiple,

    interchangeable supplier and standard interfaces

    -Example: Garment industry

    -Example: PC industry

    -Example: GeneralMotorsglobal sourcing

    -Example: Telephones and telephone service

    39

    ALIGNING ARCHITECTURES BUSINESS SYSTEMS

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    BUSINESS SYSTEM/SUPPLY CHAIN ARCHITECTURE

    (Geog., Organ., Cultural, Elec.)

    INTEGRAL MODULAR

    ALIGNING ARCHITECTURES: BUSINESS SYSTEMS

    & TECHNOLOGICAL SYSTEMS

    Microprocessors

    Mercedes

    & BMWvehicles

    Lucent

    Nortel

    Polaroid

    MSFT WindowsChrysler

    vehicles Cisco

    Digital Rights/

    Music DistributionDell PCS

    BicyclesTECHNOLOGY

    /PRODUCTARCHITECTURE

    40

    D ll S l Ch i

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    Dell Supply ChainGlobal \

    Regional

    Procurement

    Continui ty of SupplySales

    Supplier

    Supplier

    SLCI

    DellI

    Customer

    Materials order ing cycle

    10-180+ days

    Customer ful f i llment

    2-5 days

    Modular Product Architecture enables Modular Supply Chain

    Demand

    Management

    Demand/

    Supply

    Management

    Build to customer

    specifications

    41

    D d S l Ch i M

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    Demand-Supply Chain Management@ Dell

    Demand Management:

    Forecast = Buy = Sell

    Buy to Plan, but Build to Order Inventory Velocity is a wonderful thing

    Customers have immediate access to the latesttechnology.

    Suppliers get their products to market quickly

    Quality is improved with fewer touches.

    Cash is generated through negative cash cycle.

    Model efficiencies drive Market Share gain.

    42

    C D ll Di t W k f A t ?

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    Can DellDirectWork for Autos?

    Appealing to OEMson ManyDimensionsSatisfy customer need for Speed

    Reduce Supply Line Inventories

    Reduce mismatches anddiscounting

    Direct OEM-Customer Relationships(& Data!)

    Information Transparency

    Adapted from Prof. J.P. MacDuffie, IMVP & The Wharton School

    43

    BUT

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    BUT,A Car is not a Computer!!

    Adapted from Prof. J.P. MacDuffie, IMVP & The Wharton School

    Car~ 4000 components100 key subsystems

    300 key suppliers12 month validation1,000,000

    variationsIntegral

    Architecture

    PersonalComputer

    ~50 components8-10 key parts

    40 key suppliers24 hour burn-in100 design

    variationsModular

    Architecture

    DESIGNING ARCHITECTURES FOR 44

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    PRODUCTS & VALUE CHAINS:

    MODULARITY VS. OPENNESS

    ARCHITECTURALPROPRIETARINESS

    CLOSED OPEN

    ARCHITECTURAL

    STRUCTURE

    INTEGRAL

    MODULAR

    INFORMATIONARCHITECTURE MUST

    REFLECT BUSINESS MODEL

    Pentium Chip

    Mercedes VehiclesSAP ERP

    Linux

    IBM Mainframes

    MicrosoftWindowsChrysler Vehicles

    Palm Pilot

    software & accessories

    Phones & serviceWeb-based ERP

    In/Outsourcing: Sowing the Seeds 45

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    g gof Competence Development to develop

    dependence for knowledge or dependence for capacity

    +

    Independence

    Amount of

    Work

    Done In-house

    knowledge

    +/or supply

    +

    InternalCapability

    Amount ofInternal

    Learning

    +

    +

    DependenceAmount of

    Work

    Outsourced

    knowledge

    +/or supply

    +

    SupplierCapability

    Amount ofSupplier

    Learning

    +

    46

    Technology Dynamics in the Aircraft Industry:

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    Technology Dynamics in the Aircraft Industry:

    LEARNING FROM THE DINOSAURS

    +

    Japanese

    Japanese

    appeal as

    subcontractors

    + +

    U.S.firms

    appeal as

    subcontractors

    Industry

    Autonomy

    +Japanese

    industry

    size &

    capability

    Boeing outsources

    to Japan

    (M itsubishi I nside?)

    +

    U.S.

    industry

    size &

    capability

    - 47SOURCEABLE ELEMENTS

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    SOURCEABLE ELEMENTS

    PROCESS ELEMENTS

    ENGINEERING

    ASSY

    CONTROLLER

    VALVETRAIN

    BLOCK

    TEST

    I4 V6 V8 PRODUCTS

    SUBSYSTEMS

    48

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    Strategic Make/Buy Decisions:Assess Critical Knowledge & Product Architecture

    DEPENDENT FORINDEPENDENT FOR

    KNOWLEDGEKNOWLEDGE & INDEPENDENT FOR

    & CAPACITYDEPENDENT FOR KNOWLEDGE & CAPACITY

    Adapted from Fine & Whitney, Isthe Make/Buy Decision Process a Core Competence?

    ITEM

    ISINTEGRAL

    ITEM

    ISM

    ODULAR

    A

    POTENTIAL

    OUTSOURCING

    TRAP

    BEST

    OUTSOURCINGOPPORTUNITY

    OVERKILL

    IN

    VERTICAL

    INTEGRATION

    WORST

    OUTSOURCING

    SITUATION

    CANLIVE

    WITH

    OUTSOURCING

    BEST

    INSOURCING

    SITUATION

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    Qualitative analysis of strategic

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    Poss ible Decisions(Knowledge & Supply

    Insource

    Outsource

    Partner/Acquire

    Part ial Inso urce

    Part ial Outsou rc

    Invest

    Spin Off

    )

    Qualitative analysis of strategicimportance uses five key criteria

    Customer

    Importance: High

    Medium

    Low

    Technology

    Clockspeed:Fast

    Medium

    Value chain elements w ith high customer

    im portanc e and fast clock speed are generally

    strategic (unless th ere are many capable

    suppl iers)

    Compet i t ive posit ion is seldom the

    prim ary considerat ion for strategic

    imp ortance, rather it serves as atie-breakerwhen o ther criteria are

    When many c apable

    SlowCompetit ive

    Posi t ion:AdvantageParity

    in conf l ict

    suppl iers exist , knowledgemay b e considered

    comm odi ty and

    development should beoutsourced

    Architecture is considered a

    Disadvantage

    Capable Supp liers:NoneFew :Many

    cons tra int for the sourcing decision

    model, contro ls the level of

    engineer ing that m ust be k ept in

    hous e for integrat ion purposes

    Architecture:Integral

    Modulare